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Those dividends may begin to look more attractive to investors as the Federal Reserve starts cutting interest rates. UBS compiled a list of global, high-quality dividend stocks using its quantitative models, as well as its fundamental analysts. "Throughout the process, we emphasise the stability and growth potential of dividend streams, as opposed to the current yield," analyst Claire Jones said. Investors can grab a 2.69% dividend yield with Home Depot . The oil giant boasts a 3.35% dividend yield and is up more than 11% so far this year.
Persons: What's, Claire Jones, Richard McPhail, Giovanni Staunovo, Brent, Jonathan Woloshin, Sempra, Jeffrey Martin, CNBC's Jim Cramer, Melissa Repko, Spencer Kimball Organizations: UBS, Federal Reserve, Depot, CNBC, Exxon Mobil, Exxon, Pioneer Natural Resources, CME Group, JPMorgan, Group, Utilities Locations: Saudi, Aramco
Treasury yields inch higher ahead of PCE inflation data
  + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by one basis point to 4.2980%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 4.7244% after rising by less than one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields were slightly higher on Friday as investors awaited the latest personal consumption expenditures price index, the Federal Reserve's favored inflation measure. Investors are looking to the release of the latest inflation data that could provide hints about the state of the economy and the path ahead for monetary policy. Federal Reserve policymakers have frequently indicated they would only move to cut rates once data showed that inflation was easing toward the 2% target.
Persons: Michelle Bowman Organizations: Treasury, Federal, PCE, Reserve, Traders
ET, the 10-year Treasury yield was down by less than one basis point to 4.2457%. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was last at 4.7466% after rising by more than one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields were little changed on Tuesday as investors looked ahead to key economic data slated for the week, including fresh inflation insights. Investors looked ahead to several economic data points due this week as well as comments from Federal Reserve officials. While chances of a summer rate cut appear low, investors are looking for hints about whether the Fed may move to cut rates in September.
Persons: Mary Daly, Daly Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Traders, San Francisco Federal Locations: U.S
Don't expect rate cuts from the Federal Reserve before the November election, according to David Rubenstein. "Generally the Fed wants to stay out of politics," the co-founder and co-chairman of The Carlyle Group told CNBC's Andrew Ross Sorkin on " Squawk Box " Monday. "I've always said that I think the Fed is not likely to cut rates before the election because it would just cause too much political turmoil." Rubenstein noted that the Fed likely recognizes it would be "heavily criticized" by former President Donald Trump if it starts cutting ahead of the election. "I suspect the market is probably more right than wrong when it says the rate cuts are likely to come after the election," he said.
Persons: David Rubenstein, CNBC's Andrew Ross Sorkin, I've, Rubenstein, Donald Trump, He's Organizations: Federal Reserve, The Carlyle Group, Traders, The Kennedy Center, Democrat
May retail sales rise 0.1%, weaker than expected
  + stars: | 2024-06-18 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
A worker assists with check-out at a Costco store in Teterboro, New Jersey, US, on Wednesday, Feb. 28, 2024. Retail spending was weaker than expected in May as consumers continued to wrestle with stubbornly higher levels of inflation. Sales rose just 0.1% on the month, one-tenth of a percentage point below the Dow Jones estimate, according to a Commerce Department report Tuesday that is adjusted for seasonality but not inflation. On a year-over-year basis, sales rose 2.3%. The sales number was worse when excluding autos, with a decline of 0.1% against the estimate for a 0.2% increase.
Persons: Dow Jones, Patrick Harker Organizations: Costco, Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, Fed, Philadelphia Fed Locations: Teterboro , New Jersey, US
Economist Claudia Sahm has shown that when the unemployment rate's three-month average is half a percentage point higher than its 12-month low, the economy is in recession. "My baseline is not recession," Sahm said. "The worst possible outcome at this point is for the Fed to cause an unnecessary recession," she added. That's the highest the Sahm reading has been on an ascending basis since the early days of the Covid pandemic. The value essentially represents the percentage point difference from the three-month unemployment rate average compared to its 12-month low, which in this case is 3.5%.
Persons: Claudia Sahm, Sahm, I'm, Jerome Powell Organizations: Exchange, CNBC, Federal, Fed, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Committee
Gold subdued as investors seek more data for Fed rate cues
  + stars: | 2024-06-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices eased on Monday as investors awaited more U.S. economic data, while reports from last week showed that inflation was stabilizing and lifted hopes for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates later this year. Data released last week showed some weakening in price pressures in the U.S., suggesting that the labor market was losing momentum, keeping hopes alive for a September rate cut. Traders are seeing a 68% probability of a cut in September, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, compared to 63% before the producer prices data on Thursday. However, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari on Sunday said it's a "reasonable prediction" that the U.S. central bank will cut interest rates once this year, waiting until December to do it. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion.
Persons: Kyle Rodda, Rodda, Neel Kashkari, it's Organizations: Federal Reserve, ., Minneapolis Locations: Birmingham, England, U.S
Gold eyes first weekly gain in four on cooling U.S. inflation
  + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices edged up on Friday and were on course for their first weekly gain in four, as U.S. economic data indicated a softening of price pressures, fueling optimism that a rate cut from the Federal Reserve might be forthcoming. Gold prices edged up on Friday and were on course for their first weekly gain in four, as U.S. economic data indicated a softening of price pressures, fueling optimism that a rate cut from the Federal Reserve might be forthcoming. Spot gold as up 0.2% at $2,306.89 per ounce, as of 0334 GMT. "The best recipe for gold would be continued weakness in inflation, then that recessionary appeal of gold will start to come through as a bit of an extension of expectations of potential rate cuts this year." Data on Thursday showed that U.S. producer prices unexpectedly fell in May, another indication that inflation was subsiding after surging in the first quarter.
Persons: Kyle Rodda Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Traders
The consumer price index showed no increase in May as inflation slightly loosened its stubborn grip on the U.S. economy, the Labor Department reported Wednesday. The monthly rate rose 0.3% in April while the annual rate was 3.3%. Though the top-line inflation numbers were lower for both the all-items and core measures, shelter inflation increased 0.4% on the month and was up 5.4% from a year ago. Housing-related numbers have been a sticking point in the Federal Reserve's inflation battle and make up a heavy share of the CPI weighting. Though the Fed doesn't use the CPI as its main inflation indicator, it still figures into the calculus.
Persons: Dow Jones, Price, Robert Frick, Joseph LaVorgna, FOMC Organizations: department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor Department, Treasury, Dow Jones, Navy Federal Credit Union, Federal Reserve, CPI, Nikko Securities, Commerce Locations: U.S
The outlook for stocks looks dour as the chances of Federal Reserve rate cuts decrease and risks abound, according to JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic. Indeed, the S & P 500 initially ripped higher on Friday after the data was released but closed along the flatline for the day. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD Against this backdrop, the strategist reiterated his "defensive tilt," staying overweight commodities and cash and being underweight stocks. JPMorgan is the most bearish firm out of all those surveyed by CNBC PRO with an S & P 500 target of 4,200. The S & P 500 closed Monday at 5,360.79.
Persons: JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic, Dow Jones, Kolanovic Organizations: Equity, Labor Department, Dow, Investors, JPMorgan, CNBC PRO Locations: U.S
The 2-year Treasury yield was last more than two basis points higher to 4.8909%. U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Monday as investors looked ahead to the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting and key inflation data due this week. Due this week are the latest Federal Reserve interest rate decision and policy guidance, as well as fresh key economic data, including inflation data. The Fed is due to meet Tuesday and Wednesday, and is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged at the conclusion of its meeting. Policymakers have repeatedly said that they are looking for more data evidence to be sure that inflation is easing sustainably toward the 2% target before making interest rate cuts.
Persons: downwardly Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal
The next rate decision from the Federal Reserve coupled with May inflation data, both on Wednesday, will play key roles in how stocks perform next week — quite probably lending added volatility to an already jittery market. The Fed's rate decision All eyes are on the Fed next week and its rate decision that's set to come down at 2 p.m. Wednesday. But investors have tempered expectations since then amid a spate of stubborn inflation data. That makes May's consumer price index report due out before the bell Wednesday another key focal point for investors. Economists polled by Dow Jones are bracing for the consumer price index to rise 3.4% year over year and 0.1% on a monthly basis.
Persons: nonfarm, Kathryn Kaminski, Scott Wren, they've, it's, Tony Roth, Envestnet's Dana D'Auria, D'Auria, Dow Jones, Wells, Wren, John Belton, Apple, Jerome Powell, John Wiley Friday Organizations: Federal, Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, GameStop, Dow, AlphaSimplex Group, Fed, Federal Open Market, European Central Bank, European Union, Wells Fargo Investment, Wilmington Trust's, CPI, Apple's Worldwide, Broadcom, Dave, Treasury, Signet Jewelers, University of Michigan Locations: Wells Fargo, Cupertino , California
Lee called for the broad market index to reach 5,500 by the end of June. The S & P 500 finished Monday's trading session at 5,283.40 and is up about 3% over the past month. The broad market index fell more than 4% in April before surging nearly 5% in May to record highs above 5,300. I don't think one cut or three cuts makes [it] that much different for stocks," Lee said. "It all depends on inflation, really the edge coming off enough for the Fed to say we're comfortable cutting this year," he added.
Persons: Tom Lee, Lee, Lee's Organizations: Fundstrat Global, Federal Reserve
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by over one basis point to 4.4926%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last one basis point lower to 4.8830%. U.S. Treasury yields fell on Monday as investors awaited fresh economic data, including key jobs data, slated for the week. Investors looked to key economic data that could provide fresh hints about the state of the economy and the monetary policy path. Including food and energy costs, the PCE increased 0.3% from the previous month and 2.7% on an annual basis, as expected.
Organizations: Treasury, U.S, European Central Bank, Traders, Fed, Investors, PCE Locations: U.S
Recent struggles in Brazilian stocks could be an opportunity for investors to buy into Latin America's largest economy at a discount. There are also other factors that can boost Brazilian stocks going forward, including an attractive valuation and investor positioning. Low valuations and strong consumer Brazilian stocks are very cheap, especially compared to the other emerging markets. Another catalyst for Brazilian stocks may be stronger consumer spending. How to invest Investors in the U.S. can gain exposure to Brazilian stocks via the EWZ ETF and its small-cap counterpart, the EWZS.
Persons: Leonard Linnet, Unibanco, Ed Yardeni, Morgan Stanley, Alexsandro Broedel, Broedel, That's, Itaú's Linnet Organizations: Federal, Brazil —, CNBC, Yardeni Research, Petrobras, Vale Locations: Brazil, U.S, New York, Latin America
Dollar steadies before inflation test; yen brushes off Tokyo CPI
  + stars: | 2024-05-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The dollar was licking wounds against peer currencies on Friday after a downward revision to U.S. GDP for the first quarter suggested room for rate cuts this year, while investors braced for inflation data. The dollar index , which measures the currency against six major peers, consolidated around 104.82 after dipping as low as 104.63 overnight. Softer U.S. consumer price inflation data earlier in May rekindled rate cut expectations for this year, weakening the dollar across the board and setting it on track to post its first monthly losses in 2024. "All told, the Tokyo CPI leaves us confident that nationwide underlying inflation will fall below 2% as soon as July." Price data for the euro zone is due on Friday, following a stronger-than-expected April inflation reading for Germany on Wednesday.
Persons: John Williams, Matt Simpson, Index's Simpson, Marcel Thieliant, Sterling, bitcoin Organizations: Treasury, greenback, New York Fed, Index, PCE, Capital Economics, Japan's Ministry of Finance, Germany Locations: U.S, Tokyo, Asia
One basis point equal 0.01%. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield fell more than 3 basis points to 4.518%. The 2-year Treasury yield was down more than 1 basis point to 4.912%. U.S. Treasury yields were slightly lower on Friday after the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation data came in mostly in line with economist expectations. Fed officials have repeatedly indicated that they are looking for more data evidence that inflation is easing before moving to cut rates, and that patience would be required.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal, PCE, Fed
A trader signals an offer in the Standard & Poor's 500 stock index futures pit at the CME Group in Chicago on Dec. 14, 2010. The data feeds for key market averages had an issue on Thursday that caused the calculations for the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average to halt for about an hour. It appears the calculations for the Dow and S&P 500 froze at about 10:41 a.m. Futures markets for the S&P 500 and the Dow appeared to be operating normally during the pause. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) , a common vehicle for investors to make broad market bets, also appeared to be actively trading.
Persons: Dow Organizations: CME Group, Dow Jones, CNBC, Dow, Trust Locations: Chicago
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Rate cuts several months awayFederal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said he does not think further rate increases are necessary, but he will need convincing before backing any rate cuts. Singapore Airlines: one dead, 30 injuredOne person died and 30 people were injured aboard a Singapore Airlines flight that was hit by severe turbulence and forced to land in Thailand. Singapore Airlines Flight 321 encountered "sudden, severe turbulence" about 10 hours into a flight from London to Singapore, the airline said.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, Biden, Jennifer Granholm, Walt Disney, Bob Iger, Jesse Pound, JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Dow Jones, Federal, Gasoline, East, Pixar, Studios, Disney, Walt Disney Animation, Singapore Airlines, Singapore Airlines Flight, Boeing, Wall Street Locations: New York City, Israel, Thailand, London, Singapore
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Wall Street reaches new highsThe S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite rose to fresh record highs as investors await earnings from AI chipmaker Nvidia after the close on Wednesday. Nvidia's shares rose 0.6% with option traders pricing in swings of as much as 9% up or down in reaction to its earnings. Rate cuts several months awayFederal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said he does not think further rate increases are necessary, but he will need convincing before backing any rate cuts. [PRO] When Nvidia risesCNBC's Ganesh Rao takes a look at six artificial intelligence-related stocks that have historically reacted positively to Nvidia's quarterly earnings.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, Biden, Jennifer Granholm, Walt Disney, Bob Iger, Ganesh Rao Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Dow Jones, Federal, Gasoline, East, Pixar, Studios, Disney, Walt Disney Animation, CSI, Nikkei, Reserve Bank of New Locations: New York City, Israel, Asia, Hong Kong, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, United States, Japan
Christopher Waller, governor of the US Federal Reserve, during a Fed Listens event in Washington, D.C., on Friday, Sept. 23, 2022. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller, citing a string of data showing that inflation appears to be easing, said Tuesday that he does not think further interest rate increases will be necessary. Yet Waller said he's not ready to back interest rate cuts. Markets have had to recalibrate their expectations for monetary policy this year. In the early months, futures markets traders priced in at least six rate cuts this year starting in March.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, he's Organizations: US Federal Reserve, Washington , D.C, Federal, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Market, Labor Department Locations: Washington ,, Washington
The era of hiding out in cash is coming to an end, according to UBS. While investors have been earning yields of more than 5% on instruments like money market funds and certificates of deposit, those rates aren't expected to stick around much longer. "We believe investors should limit their overall cash balances as falling interest rates this year and beyond will diminish returns on cash," Solita Marcelli, chief investment officer Americas for UBS Global Wealth Management, wrote in a note Monday. Investors flooded into money market funds as the Federal Reserve began raising interest rates in 2022. UBS also moved out on the curve on TIPS earlier this month after initially buying 5-year inflation-protected securities in August.
Persons: Marcelli, Leslie Falconio, Falconio Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management, Investors, Federal Reserve, Investment Company Institute, AAA, AAA CMBS Locations: UBS Americas
"The Fed is the central bank most able to chart its own course," Citi economist Andrew Hollenhorst said in a client note Wednesday. It was the first time the Riksbank had cut since 2016 and takes its main policy rate down to 3.75%. The Riksbank's move was the second central bank cut of the year, as the Swiss National Bank reduced its key rate a quarter point in March in what was seen as a surprise action. Reductions from the Bank of England and European Central Bank are expected to come next, possibly within a month. "With the exception of Japan, developed markets are embarking on a program of rate cuts," Hollenhorst said.
Persons: Andrew Hollenhorst, BOE, Mark, Bailey, Citi's Hollenhorst, Christine Lagarde, CNBC's Sara Eisen, Lagarde, Hollenhorst Organizations: U.S . Federal, Citigroup, Citi, Sweden's, Swiss National Bank, Bank of England, European Central Bank, Bank of America Locations: U.S, Japan
Cramer's Lightning Round: CME Group is a buy
  + stars: | 2024-05-07 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Caterpillar's year-to-date stock performance. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon C3.ai's year-to-date stock performance. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon CME Group's year-to-date stock performance. CME Group : "[buy, buy, buy!] Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Tesla's year-to-date stock performance.
Organizations: CME
Lightning Round: Hard pass on C3.ai, says Jim Cramer
  + stars: | 2024-05-07 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLightning Round: Hard pass on C3.ai, says Jim Cramer'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer weighs in on stock including: Caterpillar, Johnson & Johnson, C3.ai, CME Group, Palantir, and Tesla.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Johnson Organizations: Caterpillar, Johnson, Group
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