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Mortgage rates are the lowest they've been since March in response to cooler-than-expected inflation data. This could help mortgage rates fall even further than currently expected, potentially boosting affordability for homebuyers later this year. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowToday's refinance ratesMortgage type Average rate today This information has been provided by Zillow. This is a significant slowdown compared when it peaked at 9.1% in 2022, which means mortgage rates should start trending down soon. This means your entire monthly mortgage payment, including taxes and insurance, shouldn't exceed 28% of your pre-tax monthly income.

Persons: you'll, Fannie Mae Organizations: Federal Reserve, Zillow, Mortgage, Association, Sky Locations: Chevron

☆ Dollar drifts as Powell comments bring September rate cut in focus
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The dollar fell slightly on Monday after comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, while cryptocurrencies rose on bets that an assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump lifted his reelection chances. The dollar hung around five-week lows on Tuesday as comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell bolstered the case for a rate cut in September, while cryptocurrencies gained on rising odds of former President Donald Trump getting reelected. The comments, likely Powell's last until his press conference following the Fed's July 30-31 meeting, shifted rate cut expectations. Markets are now anticipating 68 basis points of easing this year, with a rate cut in September fully priced in, CME FedWatch tool showed. "Markets may need to wait longer for the confirmation of their September rate cut hopes, and growth and labor data will be on the radar such as retail sales today."

Persons: Jerome Powell, Donald Trump, cryptocurrencies, Powell, We've, Charu Chanana, Trump, Gary Gensler, Chris Weston Organizations: Federal, Economic, of Washington, Saxo, Traders, Bank of Japan, Republican, cryptocurrency, San, SEC, New Zealand Locations: Tokyo, San Francisco

☆ Gold heads for record high close on view that Fed is poised to cut rates
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-16 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

An employee handles one kilogram gold bullions at the YLG Bullion International Co. headquarters in Bangkok, Thailand, on Friday, Dec. 22, 2023. Gold prices advanced Tuesday, on track for a record close as rising expectations of a September interest rate cut bolstered demand for bullion. Gold futures advanced 0.6% to $2,443.80. According to UBS, central bank buying of bullion is the highest it's been since the late 1960s. The U.S.-listed shares of Harmony Gold and Gold Fields rose 6% and 4%, respectively.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Joni Teves, Teves, Gold Organizations: Co, Federal, U.S, greenback, UBS, Citi, Miners, Harmony Locations: Bangkok, Thailand, Ukraine, China, U.S

☆ Traders see the odds of a Fed rate cut by September at 100%
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-16 | by ( John Melloy | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Traders are now 100% certain the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by September. That put the annual inflation rate at 3%, the lowest in three years. Odds that rates would be cut in September were about 70% a month ago. The CME FedWatch Tool computes the probabilities based on trading in fed funds futures contracts at the exchange, where traders are placing their bets on the level of the effective fed funds rate in 30-day increments. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's recent hints have also cemented traders' belief that the central bank will act by September.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Jerome Powell's, Powell Organizations: Bank, Financial, Federal, U.S, Capitol, Washington , DC, Traders, Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: Washington ,

☆ Gold eases, investors seek more cues on Fed's rate path
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A selection of gold bars and one-ounce gold coins at Gold Investments Ltd. bullion dealers in London, UK, on Tuesday, May 21, 2024. Gold prices dipped on Monday as the dollar held firm, while investors awaited comments from Federal Reserve officials and economic data for further cues on U.S. interest rate trajectory. The dollar rose on safety bids after an attempted assassination of former U.S. President Donald Trump, which raised his odds of winning. Data sets due this week include U.S. retail sales, industrial output for June and weekly jobless claims. "If we get another big miss on retail sales, it will reinforce there is a sense of urgency to cut rates, which could help gold.

Persons: Donald Trump, I'm, Trump, Matt Simpson, Jerome Powell, Ilya Spivak Organizations: Gold Investments, Federal Reserve, Trump, Index Locations: London, Beijing

☆ 3 reasons the Fed should cut interest rates this month instead of waiting for September
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-15 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The Fed should cut interest rates at its meeting this month, according to Goldman Sachs. Economist Jan Hatzius highlighted three reasons a rate cut makes sense this month rather than in September. The market sees a 100% chance of a rate cut in September, but only a 7%chance for a cut in July. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve should cut interest rates at its upcoming policy meeting on July 31, according to Goldman Sachs. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, investors see just a 7% chance of an interest rate cut at this month's FOMC meeting.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, —, Hatzius Organizations: Service, Fed

Mortgage rates dropped last week and remain low today. This should remove a lot of upward pressure off of mortgage rates and allow them to trend down. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's interest rates will affect your monthly payments. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesAverage 15-year mortgage rates inched down to 6.17% last week, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates increased dramatically over the last two years, but they're expected to go down at some point this year.

Persons: you'll, Freddie Mac, it's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Zillow Locations: May's, Chevron

☆ Here are 5 key things we're watching closely in the stock market this week
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-13 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Three of our Club rate plays — solar panel company Nextracker , Stanley Black & Decker , and Ford — were our top-performing stocks for the week. Friday also ushered in the start of the second quarter earnings season. Earnings Club name Morgan Stanley reports second-quarter earnings before Tuesday's opening bell. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.

Persons: Nextracker, Stanley Black, Decker, Ford —, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, Abbott, Goldman Sachs, Charles Schwab, JB Hunt, Johnson, Ally, Kinder Morgan, Horton, Huntington, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Ted Pick, Adam Galici Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Big Tech, PPI, Abbott Laboratories, Libre Rio, Bank of America, PNC Financial, PNC, Pinnacle Financial, Housing, U.S . Bancorp, Northern Trust Corporation, Citizens, United Airlines, Alcoa, Steel Dynamics, Green Realty, Taiwan Semiconductor, Nokia, Infosys Technologies, McLennan Companies, T Bank Corp, Forestar, Novartis, Textron, Netflix, PPG Industries, AAR, American Express, Fifth Third Bancorp, Halliburton, HAL, Comerica, CMA, Financial, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: Wells, BlackRock, BLK, U.S, Marsh, Davos, Switzerland

See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 30-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesThe average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 6.89% last week, according to Freddie Mac. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesLast week, average 15-year mortgage rates were 6.17%, an eight-basis-point decrease from the previous week, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates started ticking up from historic lows in the second half of 2021 and increased over three percentage points in 2022. Once the Fed cuts rates, mortgage rates should fall even further.

Persons: homebuyers, you'll, Freddie Mac, it's Organizations: Zillow, Federal Reserve Locations: Chevron

☆ The big change that could come for the economy in September
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Wall Street’s expectations for a September rate cut rose to roughly 93% on Thursday from 73% the day before, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. “A September rate cut should be a done deal at this point,” wrote Ron Temple, chief market strategist at Lazard, in a Thursday note. Some economists worry that if the Fed doesn’t cut rates by then, cracks could begin to deepen in the labor market. A September rate cut “may not be the magic elixir some investors are seeking,” wrote Brent Schutte, chief investment officer at Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management, in a Monday note. On an annual basis, consumer prices are increasing at their slowest pace since June 2023, matching the lowest annual rate since early 2021.

Persons: ”, Ron Temple, Jerome Powell didn’t, Brent Schutte, Alicia Wallace, —, Elisabeth Buchwald, McDonald’s, Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Lazard, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management, Bureau of Labor Statistics ’, Taco Bell Locations: New York, Burger

Average 30-year mortgage rates fell to 6.89%, down six basis points from the week before, according to Freddie Mac. As inflation slows and the Federal Reserve is able to start lowering the federal funds rate, mortgage rates are expected to trend down. This would remove a significant amount of upward pressure off of mortgage rates, allowing them to finally trend down. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. Now that the Fed has paused hiking rates, mortgage rates have come down a bit.

Persons: Freddie Mac Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Zillow, Fed Locations: May's, Chevron

☆ Volatile yen keeps markets on edge as intervention risks swirl
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

A sheet of newly-designed Japanese 10,000 yen banknotes at the National Printing Bureau Tokyo plant in Tokyo, Japan, on Wednesday, June 28, 2023. The Japanese currency swung between gains and losses in early trading before trading slightly weaker. It spiked nearly 3% to as high as 157.40 immediately after the consumer inflation report on Thursday. "Currency interventions should certainty be rare in a floating rate market, but we'll need to respond appropriately to excessive volatility or disorderly moves," Kanda said. Tokyo intervened at the end of April and in early May, spending roughly 9.8 trillion yen ($61.55 billion) to support the currency.

Persons: Masato Kanda, Kanda, It's, Siong Sim, Charu Chanana, Matt Simpson, Menon, Donald Trump, Sterling Organizations: National Printing Bureau, Asahi, Nikkei, Bank of Singapore, U.S, CPI, Saxo, Federal Reserve, City, Traders, Presidential, Trump Locations: National Printing Bureau Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, U.S

☆ Stock market today: Dow closes above 40,000 as rally breaks out beyond mega-cap tech
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Max Adams | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Investors cheered the broadening of a 2024 stock-market rally that has been largely concentrated with mega-cap tech names associated with the AI trade. Behind the rally in encouraging data that's paving the way for a rate cut in September. Consumer prices rose less than expected last month, while wholesale inflation was hotter, though only slightly and not enough to derail a coming rate cut, market pros said Friday. The rate-sensitive two-year Treasury note has dropped by about 14 basis points in a week and the 10-year bond is down over eight basis points in that time.

Persons: Dow, Russell, —, Stocks Organizations: Service, Dow Jones, Investors, Reserve, Nvidia Locations: Here's

☆ Gold eases, but set for weekly gain on Fed rate cut bets
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices edged lower on Friday, but were headed for a third straight week of gains as cooler-than-expected U.S. inflation data boosted hopes of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in September. Gold prices edged lower on Friday, but were headed for a third straight week of gains as cooler-than-expected U.S. inflation data boosted hopes of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in September. "Inflation outlook and interest rate picture have moved in favor of gold this week. As we move closer to a lower interest rate environment, conditions could be ripe for gold to set new record highs before the year is out," said Tim Waterer, KCM Trade's chief market analyst. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion.

Persons: Tim Waterer, KCM, Mary Daly, Austan Goolsbee, Waterer Organizations: Federal Reserve, San Francisco Fed Bank, Chicago Fed Bank Locations: U.S

☆ The inflation report is great news for the prospect of a rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Max Adams | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Odds of a cut at the July policy meeting rose, though the strongest odds are still for a September cut. AdvertisementUS stocks edged higher on Thursday after the June consumer price index report showed inflation cooled more than anticipated last month. Odds of a cut at this month's policy meeting edged slightly higher after the CPI report dropped, though the strongest odds are still for a September cut. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, investors see about an 80% chance of a rate cut in September, with odds growing for another cut at either the November or December meeting. "The latest inflation numbers put us firmly on the path for a September Fed rate cut," Seema Shah, chief global Strategist at Principal Asset Management, said.

Persons: —, Seema Shah Organizations: Treasury, Fed, Service, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Asset Management

Average 30-year mortgage rates have been hovering in the upper 6% range so far this month, according to Zillow data. That would likely mean we'd need to wait longer for mortgage rates to drop. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage Refinance Rates TodayMortgage type Average rate today This information has been provided by Zillow. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. Lower mortgage rates will bring more buyers onto the market, putting upward pressure on prices.

Persons: Fannie Mae Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Zillow, Mortgage, Association, ARM Locations: Chevron

☆ Dollar adrift ahead of U.S. inflation test; sterling firms
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The dollar fell a touch on Thursday although moves were largely subdued ahead of a U.S. inflation report due later in the day, while sterling firmed on receding expectations for an August rate cut from the Bank of England (BoE). The dollar fell a touch on Thursday although moves were largely subdued ahead of a U.S. inflation report due later in the day, while sterling firmed on receding expectations for an August rate cut from the Bank of England. BoE Chief Economist Huw Pill on Wednesday said price pressures in Britain's economy were persistent and that the timing of a first rate cut was an "open question". His colleague Catherine Mann signalled she is unlikely to vote for an interest rate cut in August. Against the greenback, the euro gained 0.04% to $1.0834, and the Aussie dollar rose 0.01% to $0.6754.

Persons: BoE, Huw Pill, Catherine Mann, Carol Kong, Jerome Powell Organizations: Bank of England, Monetary, ANZ, MPC, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Federal Reserve, U.S, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New, Bank of Japan Locations: U.S, Asia, Japan

☆ Here's why the cooler consumer inflation we wanted flipped the stock market on its head
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

It also gave investors the green light to rotate out of this year's tech winners and into rate-sensitive stocks. In other words, we're right back to the market expecting as many as three cuts by the end of the year. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.

Persons: Jim Cramer, toolmaker Stanley Black, Decker, Jim, Price, That's, We've, we've, Jim Cramer's, Eric Thayer Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC, PPI, Walmart, Costco, PepsiCo, CPI, U.S, Nasdaq, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Aldi, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Alhambra , California

☆ Your bank is about to reveal key information about the US economy’s health
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Dave Sekera, chief US market strategist at Morningstar, says that he’s watching for insights on banks’ delinquency rates. Consumers have increasingly fallen behind on or missed payments in recent months as they get squeezed by high interest rates. But banks could see higher losses compared to 2023 if the economy were to experience a downturn, the Fed warned. Investors are wagering that the central bank will begin easing rates as soon as September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. “The worst outcome for all of us is what you call stagflation: higher rates and recession,” Dimon said in an interview with CNBC.

Persons: Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Dave Sekera, Stocks, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, Matt Egan, it’s, ”, Joe Brusuelas, Mark Zandi, ” Zandi, “, Jerome Powell, Erika Tulfo, “ It’s, Neil Saunders, Abrigo, Gen Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, United, United States ’, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Bank of America, Morningstar, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Fed, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, JPMorgan, CNBC, Federal, RSM, “, Moody’s, CNN, GlobalData, Apple Locations: New York, United States, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, China

☆ The Nasdaq looks ugly, giving many stocks in the broader market their time in the sun
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

However, most stocks were up with about 6 to 1 advancers to decliners on the New York Stock Exchange. The reverse happened Thursday as those stocks became a source of funds to buy the rest of the market, especially the housing stocks, solar stocks, real estate stocks, utilities, cyclical, and small caps. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on July 11, 2024 in New York City.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Russell, Banks, Wells, Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, New York Stock Exchange, Meta, Palo Alto Networks, Big Tech, FedWatch, CPI, PPI, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Traders, Getty Locations: decliners, Wells Fargo, New York City

☆ Stock market today: Indexes poised for another record as traders digest Fed commentary
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementUS stocks climbed higher on Wednesday and were poised to notch another fresh record. Traders were feeling upbeat after Fed Chair Powell delivered slightly dovish guidance on rate cuts before Congress on Tuesday. Investors are pricing in around two rate cuts by the end of the year, though bets on three rate cuts by December rose slightly, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Here's where US indexes stood shortly after the 9:30 a.m. opening bell on Wednesday:AdvertisementHere's what else happened today:In commodities, bonds, and crypto:Advertisement

Persons: —, Powell, Hogan, Riley Wealth Organizations: Fed, Service, Traders Locations: Here's

Mortgage rates have been holding steady so far this week, but they could fluctuate on Thursday when the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases June's Consumer Price Index data. If this index shows that inflation slowed last month, rates could ease. As inflation slows and the Federal Reserve is able to start lowering the federal funds rate, mortgage rates are expected to go down. This should remove some of the upward pressure off of mortgage rates and allow them to trend down more substantially. This means your entire monthly mortgage payment, including taxes and insurance, shouldn't exceed 28% of your pre-tax monthly income.

Persons: they're, you'll, Fannie Mae Organizations: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Investors, Zillow, Mortgage, Association, Sky Locations: Chevron

☆ Why the Fed is stressed about presidential elections
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

New York CNN —Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell sent investors mixed messages on Tuesday during his semiannual testimony to Congress. Powell is stressed about the election: Powell was asked by multiple senators about White House politics, which he dodged. While the Fed head noted that policy decisions are data dependent, “elevated inflation is not the only risk we face,” he said. The September Fed meeting will be “live”: Powell noted multiple times that every Fed policy decision is made “live” using the latest available economic data – in other words, decisions aren’t made in advance. About 75% of investors think the Fed will cut rates, and about 25% think they’ll remain the same.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, “, Donald Trump, reappoint Powell, ”, Joseph Brusuelas, Trump, Gregory Daco, Chris Larkin, Morgan Stanley, Larkin, don’t, aren’t, David Rubenstein, he’ll, Airbnb, Isabelle Chapman, Majlie, Puy Kamp, Audrey Ash, Chris Isidore . Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN — Federal, White, “, Reserve, RSM, Federal Reserve, US Consumer, Treasury, Fed, Economics, Washington DC, Jackson, CNN, Boeing, Alaska Airlines Locations: New York, Powell, Washington, Alaska

☆ Stock market today: S&P 500 closes at a fresh record above 5,600 as traders brace for June inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks climbed Wednesday, with the S&P 500 closing at a record high. Traders are waiting on the June inflation report, which will be a key input for Fed policy. Investors are anticipating two rate cuts from the central bank by year-end, per the CME FedWatch tool. AdvertisementUS stocks rose on Wednesday as traders waited for upcoming inflation data and took in Powell's testimony before Congress. Still, the outlook for Fed rate cuts was little changed.

Persons: —, Powell Organizations: Traders, Service, Dow Jones, Nasdaq

As long as inflation continues to slow, mortgage rates should ease throughout the remainder of 2024, improving affordability for hopeful homebuyers. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. Mortgage Rates for Buying a Home30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Decrease Slightly (-0.09%)The current average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is 6.62%, down nine basis points from where it was this time last week, according to Zillow data. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Essentially Flat (+0.01%)The average 15-year mortgage rate is 5.99%, just one basis point higher than last week. Mortgage Refinance Rates30-Year Fixed Refinance Rates Increase Slightly (+0.16%)The average 30-year refinance rate is 7.86%, 16 basis points up from last week.

Persons: you'll, It's, refinance Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Zillow, FHA Locations: Chevron

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