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☆ Here’s why some bond traders care so much about the US government’s budget deficit nowadays
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-03 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

And as the mountain of debt keeps piling up, and the government’s budget deficit remains massive, some bond traders are now joining politicians in decrying the government’s ever-growing financial obligation. Those bond traders are seemingly up in arms over the government’s gaping budget deficit — something that occurs when the government’s spending outstrips revenues — which currently stands at roughly $67 billion so far for the current fiscal year. For the full 2023 budget year, the Congressional Budget Office estimated that the deficit stood at a staggering $1.5 trillion. How do we manage the budget deficit? Our interest rate team is looking at the 10-year (US Treasury) yield to be closer to 4% than 5% next year.

Persons: ”, Jerome Powell, Bell, Joe Quinlan, It’s, it’s, what’s, You’d, Powell, ” Powell, they’re Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, Treasury Department, Congressional, Office, Federal, Merrill, Bank of America Private Bank, Treasury, Spelman College, US Labor Department, Institute for Supply Management, US Commerce Department, University of Michigan Locations: Washington, Atlanta

☆ Analysis: The 2023 stock rally is back on track
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

New York CNN —The US stock market has rebounded from its months-long rut. Stocks finished out their best month of the year on Thursday, breaking a three-month streak of declines for all the major indexes. “The only way I see a rally continuing is if the bond market behaves itself,” said Richard Steinberg, chief market strategist at The Colony Group. While those stocks have remained at the top of Wall Street’s scoreboard, the recent rally has encompassed a wider range of stocks. Long-neglected pockets of the stock market, from beaten-down financials to small-caps to cyclical stocks, have climbed higher in recent weeks.

Persons: Stocks, ”, Richard Steinberg, “, Santa Claus, Ned Davis, Anna Cooban, Elisabeth Buchwald, Nelson Peltz, Nelson Peltz’s, Bob Iger, ” Trian, Trian, Trian’s, Morgan Stanley, James Gorman, Sky Jeremy Darroch, ” Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Treasury, The Colony, Wall Street, Ned Davis Research, Organization of, Petroleum, Saudi Press Agency, Ministry of Energy, Saudi, United Emirates, Reuters, Disney, Management, Peltz, Sky Locations: New York, Santa, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Vienna, Russia, Iraq, United, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, Oman, Brazil, Brazil’s

☆ Fed Chair Powell: Too early to say when to expect rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

While Powell and other officials say they’re not even thinking about cutting rates just yet, some investors expect cuts to begin around the middle of next year. With Treasury yields sliding in recent weeks, so have mortgage rates, and rate cuts next year would help that along. Inflation, spending and mortgagesConsumer spending and inflation both eased in October, the Commerce Department reported Thursday. What Fed officials are sayingFed officials have broadly acknowledged that economic conditions are setting the stage for inflation to continue its descent. While some Fed officials have expressed optimism, others remain unconvinced that the Fed’s job is done.

Persons: Jerome Powell, ” Powell, ”, Powell, they’re, Freddie Mac, Christopher Waller, John Williams, “ We’ve, Michelle Bowman, “ Organizations: DC CNN — Investors, Federal, Spelman College, Treasury, Fed, December’s Fed, Commerce Department, ”, Washington . New York Fed, New York Fed Locations: Washington, Atlanta, September’s, America, doldrums, Washington . New, Salt Lake City

The economy was even hotter in the third quarter than initially believed, according to an update Wednesday from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Increased investment and government spending drove the higher estimate. in 3Q23, up from initial estimate of +4.9% … personal consumption revised lower while business investment revised higher,” Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab, posted on social media. “Ultimately, excess savings accumulated during the pandemic helped boost consumer spending and delay the onset of recession,” BCA Research wrote on Wednesday. “However, the tailwind from excess savings is ebbing.

Persons: ann, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, Consumers, Monday’s Organizations: Gross, BEA, “, Federal Reserve Bank, Atlanta’s, Research, San Francisco Fed, BCA, Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: 3Q23, U.S

☆ The Way Geert Wilders Won - The New York Times
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( Paul Tullis | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +2 min

“He is a straight talker and tells it like it is,” a 23-year-old Rotterdam waitress told The Guardian. Mr. Wilders has promised to bring down housing prices by building more apartments (as has virtually every other party) and to prioritize Dutch citizens for public housing. Mr. Wilders does not have a record of working well with others; coalitions typically require smaller parties to shave off their more extreme positions, which Mr. Wilders has in the past refused to do. His Party for Freedom hasn’t been in government since 2012 — and the head of the People’s Party for Freedom and Democracy, Dilan Yesilgoz-Zegerius, announced Friday morning she would not join a cabinet with Mr. Wilders. “We have to be more forward-thinking and listen to people everywhere.”Perhaps there is hope yet for the polder model.

Persons: Wilders’s, Wilders, Freedom hasn’t, Dilan, Timmermans, Rob Jetten, Harold Zoet, ”, “ Organizations: Guardian, Party, Freedom, People’s Party for Freedom and, Left, Labor, People’s Party for Freedom and Democracy, statehouse Locations: Rotterdam

☆ Amid the gloom here and abroad, the U.S. stock market is holding up just fine
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-27 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

I dislike getting involved in debates on the stock market when I am enjoying an old-fashion rum punch at a beach bar in the Caribbean, but I couldn't resist interjecting. "We'll see how the coming slowdown plays out," he said, and turned back to his discussion. The coming slowdown? More may be coming: the last week of November tends to be the strongest week of the month, Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at Carson Group, has noted. As for earnings, which are the lifeblood for the stock market, forward earnings estimates for the next 12 months stand at record highs.

Persons: I's, Ryan Detrick, Detrick, Fundstrat's Thomas Lee, Oppenheimer's Ari Wald, Webush's Dan Ives, BMO's Brian Belski, Bespoke's Paul Hickey Organizations: EU, Hamas, Forbes, Bloomberg, Carson Group, LSE Locations: Caribbean, Antigua, British Commonwealth, London, England, American, China, Russia, Ukraine, Israel, U.S

☆ Jeremy Grantham's GMO just launched an actively managed fund focused on high-quality stocks. Its manager shares 7 unique companies he's betting on to deliver high returns.
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-24 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The GMO US Quality ETF (QLTY) launched on November 12, and as its name implies, the fund seeks to offer investors exposure to so-called quality stocks through an actively managed approach. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. "At GMO, internally we also talk about intrinsic value, which is adjusting for growth and quality," Hancock said. The aerospace business manufactures and re-services airplane engines, and the continued resurgence in global demand for travel following the pandemic bodes well for the business, Hancock said. While the timing of the ETF release is not related to Grantham's call, Hancock said quality stocks are typically more defensive in a recessionary environment.

Persons: Tom Hancock, Hancock, Jeremy Grantham, Grantham Organizations: Business, Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Electric, GE

Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., November 17, 2023. The benchmark S&P 500 (.SPX) is about 1% away from setting a new high for the year. The S&P 500 retail sector (.SPXRT) sub-index was, however, down 0.4%. Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 1.61-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by a 1.54-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. Reporting by Sruthi Shankar and Shristi Achar A in Bengaluru; Editing by Maju SamuelOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Greg Bassuk, Sruthi Shankar, Shristi, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Nvidia, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, AXS Investments, Insider Intelligence, Composite, Dow Jones, Reuters, Czech, Colt CZ, Volkswagen, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, China, New York, Bengaluru

☆ Here are 3 underappreciated aspects of Nvidia's latest knockout quarter
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-22 | by ( Kevin Stankiewicz | In Kevinstankiewicz | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

At the same, there are three key areas aspects to Nvidia's business that are increasingly coming into focus that show the company's monstrous growth thus far still has more room to run. NVDA 1Y mountain Nvidia's stock performance over the past 12 months. Networking sales The strength in Nvidia's networking business on display in Tuesday's print underscored the company's evolution into a one-stop shop for AI computing in the data center. But its networking business — which sells communications technology to connect different parts of the data center — has become a larger piece of the puzzle. In fact, Nvidia's networking segment has now surpassed a $10 billion annualized revenue rate, the company said Tuesday.

Persons: Cowen, Bernstein, Cloud, That's, Jensen Huang, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Jen, Hsun Huang, Robert Galbraith Organizations: Nvidia, Mellanox Technologies, BMO, Enterprise, Services, Microsoft, Google, Oracle, CNBC Locations: U.S

Overall, Adobe estimates one in five Americans plan to use buy now, pay later plans to purchase holiday gifts. Retailers have found that customers offered a buy now, pay later option are more likely to have bigger cart sizes or to convert from browsing to checking out. In its report, the Fed cites research that finds that customers spend 20% more when buy now, pay later is available. LexisNexis Risk Solutions provides many buy now, pay later lenders with alternative credit scores for assessing consumers seeking loans, including those who may not have a traditional credit score. In the past two years, Williams has used buy now, pay later plans at stores including Target, BoxLunch, EyeBuyDirect, and Skims.

Persons: Vivek Pandya, Demishia Alford, Alford, “, ”, she’ll, I’ll, I’m, ” Kevin King, Kevin, ” Alford, Jessica Sarceda, ” Sarceda, Sarceda, Allison Williams, Williams, —, ” Jinal Shah, Charles Schwab Organizations: —, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Adobe, Adobe Digital, ”, Retailers, Fed, Consumers, Walmart, LexisNexis, Solutions, Nike, Target, Zip, Associated Press, Charles, Charles Schwab Foundation, Inc, AP Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Greensboro , North Carolina, Santa Monica , California, Amelia , Ohio

☆ Homebuilder stocks could get another boost from rate hikes ending
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-17 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

New York CNN —For over a year, the red-hot housing market has been at the mercy of the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes, which have driven mortgage rates to sky-high levels. Mortgage rates have hovered above 7% since August, according to Freddie Mac data. Both those factors have helped create a scorching-hot housing market and a boom in homebuilder stocks, as Americans turned to building as a buying alternative. Moderating bond yields could change the narrative for the housing market. Tight supply and elevated mortgage rates this year made home purchases the least affordable they’ve been since 1984.

Persons: Bell, Freddie Mac, Toll, DR Horton, Lennar, Price, Steve Sosnick, ”, John Petrofsky, Chris Isidore, Danielle Wiener, Bronner, haven’t, Clare Duffy, Donie, Meta Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New, New York CNN, Homeowners, DR, Federal, Treasury, Interactive, National Association of Home Builders, FBB Capital Partners, Starbucks, United Auto Workers, SAG, Writers Guild of America, Starbucks Workers United, Facebook, Street, Washington Post Locations: New York, Wells Fargo, Buffalo , New York, United States, Brazil, Israel, Italy

☆ Morning Bid: Oil slide, Walmart stoke disinflation speculation
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-17 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Oil, miniatures of oil barrels and U.S. dollar banknote are seen in this illustration taken, June 6, 2023. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNov 17 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Wayne Cole. Asia has been in a contemplative mood so far on Friday after another week of wild swings in bonds, equities and commodities. The market now implies 98 basis points of cuts next year, compared with 73 basis points a week ago. U.S. data on housing starts for OctBy Wayne Cole; Editing by Muralikumar AnantharamanOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Wayne Cole, Brent, Christine Lagarde, De Cos, BoE's Greene, Ramsden, Barr, Daly, Collins, Muralikumar Organizations: REUTERS, Walmart, Federal Reserve, Westpac, EU, Thomson Locations: Wayne, Asia, Ukraine, Goolsbee .

Activity picked up again this month, he said, as shoppers turned out for special promotions. Two-thirds of toys in its stores will be priced at less than $25, the company said. Target expects sales to continue falling in the final months of the year, subject to a “wide range” that reflects the uncertainty about holiday spending. The U.S. Commerce Department reported that retail sales nationwide nudged down 0.1 percent in October from the previous month, the first drop since March. The decline, which is not adjusted for inflation, was driven by weakness in big-ticket categories like furniture and cars, which may be weighed down by the higher interest rates consumers face when buying on credit.

Persons: “, ” Mr, Rainey, Brian C Organizations: Target, Cornell, U.S . Commerce Department

☆ Solar stocks could rebound in 2024 after a brutal year but interest rates will make or break the recovery
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( Spencer Kimball | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Solar stocks could rebound in the second half of 2024 after taking a beating this year, though the industry's recovery depends largely on whether the Federal Reserve raises interest rates again. The rally comes as the residential solar industry looks toward the end of a rough year, with demand softening significantly as repeated rate hikes made installations unattractive for consumers. "The big headwind is interest rates," said Julien Dumoulin-Smith, a stock analyst who covers clean energy for Bank of America. Inventory problem The residential solar companies misread the market this year after a record 2022. The residential solar stocks will probably be broadly revisited on the buyside sometime around the spring of 2024, Blanchard said, though this also depends on what the Federal Reserve does with interest rates.

Persons: SolarEdge, Julien Dumoulin, Smith, we're, Corinne Blanchard, Blanchard, Wood Mackenzie, Jerome Powell, Goldman Sachs, James West, orderbook, West Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury, Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, Federal, Golden State, Utilities, Evercore ISI Locations: Dumoulin, California, Golden

☆ US retail sales fell in October for the first time in seven months
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Washington, DC CNN —Americans cut their retail spending in October for the first time since March, with interest rates at a 22-year high. Retail sales, which are adjusted for seasonality but not inflation, fell 0.1% in October from the prior month, the Commerce Department reported Wednesday. October’s decline in retail spending is potentially an early sign of a slowing economy as US consumers get squeezed by higher borrowing costs and they continue to rack up credit card debt. Car sales fell 1.1% in October from September, while furniture sales declined 2% during the same period. Wednesday’s retail sales report bodes well for the Fed, since it shows spending isn’t reaccelerating or remaining stubbornly strong.

Persons: Jerome Powell, ”, Kathy Bostjancic, Austan Goolsbee, market’s, ” Goolsbee Organizations: DC CNN, Commerce Department, Federal, Nationwide, Reserve, of Labor Statistics, Chicago Fed, Detroit Economic Locations: Washington

☆ Here's why chemical maker Dupont should benefit from high demand in AI chips
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-10 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Here's why chemical maker Dupont should benefit from high demand in AI chipsFriday's market rebound is boosting the tech sector, and that bodes well for our semiconductor stocks. It could be a good sign that the chip industry is bottoming out. Jim says this is the most important industry in the broader market because chips are now incorporated in so many devices used today.

Persons: Dupont, Jim

☆ Profitable Klarna poses IPO valuation conundrum
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-09 | by ( Karen Kwok | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Last year, Siemiatkowski raised money at a $6.7 billion equity value, or 85% below its 2021 price tag of $45.6 billion. The implied Klarna valuation, before netting out the company’s cash or debt, would be roughly $14 billion. It’s hard to see Klarna getting close to those multiples, if it’s valued like a bank, since the Swedish company is nowhere near as profitable. For Siemiatkowski, then, the key to gaining an IPO valuation uplift will be to convince investors that Klarna is a lender but not a bank. Klarna raised $800 million at a $6.7 billion valuation in July 2022.

Persons: Sebastian Siemiatkowski, Klarna, That’s, Breakingviews, Siemiatkowski, Liam Proud, Streisand Neto Organizations: Reuters, Bank, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Revenue, Thomson Locations: U.S, Swedish, United Kingdom

UBS lowered its rating on Albemarle to neutral from buy, slashing its price target by more than 40%. Analyst Matthew Hedberg initiated coverage of the data stock at an outperform rating with a $22 target price for shares. Hedberg's price target implies shares could climb 23.9% over the next year from Friday's close. In addition to the downgrade, analyst Jessica Reif Ehrlich slashed her price target on the stock to $9 from $32. Analyst Joshua Spector downgraded the stock to neutral from buy and slashed his price target to $140 from $253.

Persons: Ferrari, Matthew Hedberg, Hedberg, Alex Harring, Jason Bazinet, Bazinet, — Alex Harring, Jefferies, Brent Thill, Thill, Jessica Reif Ehrlich, Reif, Vivek Arya, Arya, Nicholas Campanella, Campanella, " Campanella, Banks, Goldman Sachs, Citi's Paul Lejuez, Baird, Mark Altschwager, Morgan Stanley, Edouard Aubin, Aubin, there's, Henning Cosman, Cosman, Joshua Spector, Spector Organizations: CNBC, UBS, Barclays, Bank of America, Nvidia, RBC, RBC Capital Markets, Citi, Disney, Jefferies, Paramount, Paramount Global, Dominion Energy, Dominion, Wall, JPMorgan, Ferrari, U.S, UBS downgrades Locations: Albemarle, Friday's, China, Birkenstock

☆ Opinion: Why Democrats shouldn’t despair over concerning new polls about Biden
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-05 | by ( Dean Obeidallah | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Despite the concerning top-line numbers, the Times/Siena College polls do offer some hope and a road map to Biden’s victory. The other issue Biden wins more trust than Trump on is the handling of “democracy,” according to the new polls. Biden made democracy a key issue in the closing weeks of the 2022 midterms. For those who want Biden to win in 2024, you can’t ignore the polls but shouldn’t be panicked by them. The Biden campaign needs to do its part in terms of campaigning on the key issues and building an effective ground game.

Persons: Dean Obeidallah, CNN —, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, It’s, Biden, Trump, Barack Obama, Obama, Mitt Romney, “, Barack Obama’s, Hillary Clinton, Biden —, —, outraise Trump, Wade ”, ”, “ Donald Trump, overperformed, MAGA, it’s, shouldn’t Organizations: CNN, The New York Times, Siena College, Dean Obeidallah CNN, Times, Biden, Trump, PBS, Go, Democratic, Electoral, New York Times, Mr, —, ”, Siena, Republican, MAGA Republicans Locations: Siena, Nevada , Arizona, Michigan, Romney, Roe, Arizona

☆ These 4 stocks report quarterly results next week. Here's what we hope to see
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-04 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +11 min

The major averages rebounded strongly this week as quarterly earnings came in largely better than expected and interest rates fell on softer economic data. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose more than 5% for its best week since October 2022. The big theme next week is earnings and the four portfolio companies delivering their quarterly results. Here's the full rundown of all the important domestic data in the week ahead as we consider a number areas of our portfolio for trades next week. ET: Treasury budget statement for October (See here for a full list of the stocks in Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust.)

Persons: FactSet, we'll, Hulu —, Krystal, Horton, Zimmer, LEV, Armour, Ralph Lauren Corporation, CRON, Patterson, Walt Disney, MARA, Ginkgo, FREYR Battery, FREY, Arcelor Mittal, Wynn, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, ISM, Services, Coterra Energy, Emerson Electric, Wall, National Instruments, Disney, Hulu, CNBC, Comcast, ESPN —, Wynn Resorts, WYNN, Asia that's, Wynn, Wynn's, Wynn Interactive, United, Brookfield Asset Management, Axsome Therapeutics, Network Corporation, Krystal Biotech, Ceragon Networks, Kosmos Energy Ltd, TreeHouse Foods Inc, Air Lease Corporation, Inc, Eversource Energy, Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc, Graham Corporation, Aereas Inteligentes, Hilton, Energy, Realty Income Corp, Semiconductors, Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc, Clover Health, Contura Energy, Diamondback Energy, FS KKR Capital Corp, Celanese Corp, Eos Energy Enterprises, Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company, WEN, Pall Corp, TransMedics, Emerson, Uber Technologies, Holdings, Melco Resorts, Entertainment, Zimmer Biomet Holdings, ACM Research, Lion Electric Company, Emerson Electric Co, Vertex Energy, Waters Corp, Air Products & Chemicals, Esperion Therapeutics, Fidelity National Information Services Inc, Bowlero Corp, Hotels, KKR, Co, Devon Energy Corp, Occidental Petroleum Corp, Dutch Bros Inc, Gilead Sciences, ContextLogic Inc, Akamai Technologies, Viatris Inc, Technologies, Corsair, Enovix Corporation, eBay, EBAY, DaVita Inc, Pan American Silver Corp, Roblox Corporation, Fisker Inc, Warner Bros ., Nuvei Corporation, Farms, Akebia Therapeutics, Biogen Inc, 3D Systems Corporation, Gray Television Inc, BlackSky Technology Inc, Cronos, EVgo Inc, Lumentum Holdings Inc, Nexstar Media Group, UTI Energy, Starwood Property Trust, AMC Entertainment Holdings, Marathon Digital Holdings, IonQ Inc, Digital Turbine, Virgin Galactic Holdings , Inc, Arm Holdings plc, ARM, Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Suncor Energy, AppLovin Corporation, B2Gold Corp, Luminar Technologies, MGM Resorts International, MGM, Bloom Energy Corporation, Li Auto Inc, Oatly, Kopin Corp, Fiverr International, YETI Holdings, YPF S.A, Ship Lease, Himax Technologies Inc, Dickinson, CommScope Holding, RBC, Agile Therapeutics, Apyx Medical Corporation, Grab Holdings, Hawaiian Electric Industries, Profire Energy, Flags Inc, Stereotaxis Inc, TransDigm, US Foods Holding Corp, Utz Brands, Valvoline Inc, Weibo Corporation, Wix.com Ltd, Trade, Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras, Growth, Aurora Cannabis Inc, Navitas Semiconductor Corp, Archer Aviation Inc, Semiconductor, Energy Fuels Corp, Illumina Inc, Spike Investment Corp, Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp, AngloGold, Central Puerto S.A, Hudson Global, AirSculpt Technologies, Partners, Soho House, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Handout, Getty Locations: U.S, Macao, Asia, China, Las, Singapore, Wynn's Vegas, Boston, United Arab Emirates, Gilead, VVV, Central, Soho

☆ The Ozempic effect has battered this weight loss stock, but Morgan Stanley says it's a top pick
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-03 | by ( Christina Cheddar Berk | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Sequence gives subscribers access to GLP-1 medications such as Novo Nordisk's Wegovy and Ozempic. Schenk said the concern about the drop in WW's average revenue per user "seems overblown" and has created a buying opportunity for the stock. Stabilizing core business WW has been focused on stabilizing its core weight loss business. Both developments are a positive for WW's Sequence business. Schenk estimates that around 6 million current or lapsed WW subscribers would qualify for treatment with obesity medication.

Persons: Sima Sistani, Morgan Stanley, Lauren Schenk, Eli Lilly, Schenk, Lilly, Novo Organizations: International, Nordisk's Wegovy, FDA, 3Q, and Drug Administration, Novo Nordisk Locations: Friday's, Novo

☆ Here are 4 big trades for the portfolio this week and 2 difficult rating changes
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-03 | by ( Matthew J. Belvedere | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Our trades and decisions on stock ratings were driven more by earnings, company-specific developments and portfolio management rather than any broad commentary on the market. The stock soared more than 5% on the news, adding to those gains throughout the rest of the week. Estee Lauder's new "Profit Recovery Plan" provided little comfort because it's not expected to kick in until the company's fiscal years 2025 and 2026. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.

Persons: week's, Ford, Estee Lauder, Estee, it's, Veralto, Locker, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, U.S . Labor Department, Ford, United Auto Workers, GE HealthCare Technologies, Oracle, DuPont de Nemours, DuPont, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: oversold, China, FL, New York City

☆ A slower holiday sales season won't be a problem for these 4 consumer companies
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-02 | by ( Paulina Likos | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Holiday sales growth is expected to be sluggish this year as shoppers continue to get squeezed by sticky inflation. "Shoppers are setting strict budgets for their holiday shopping," BofA said in a recent note. And, on Wednesday evening, the company said October net sales rose 4.5% year-over-year to $18.53 billion, continuing a streak of monthly sales growth. TJX YTD mountain TJX Companies YTD TAG expects holiday sales at off-pricers to grow 6% year over year, which would be faster than last year's 4.3% increase. Black Friday and Cyber Monday will remain popular holiday shopping events, the analysts anticipate, as more shoppers spread out their holiday purchases.

Persons: BofA, discounters, Andy Jassy, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Eduardo Munoz Organizations: Club, Bank of America, Shoppers, Starbucks, Costco, TJX Companies, BofA, China comps, comps, TJX, Marshalls, TAG, Amazon, Deal, CNBC, People Locations: China, China comps ., Maxx, HomeGoods, U.S, Canada, New York City

☆ AMD soars as AI chip sales prediction bodes well for rivalry with Nvidia
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( Samrhitha A | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

REUTERS/Florence Lo/Illustration/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNov 1 (Reuters) - Shares of Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.O) jumped 8% on Wednesday, after an upbeat AI chip sales forecast signaled the company was making progress in its bid to catch up with market leader Nvidia (NVDA.O). The optimism over AI chip sales helped ease worries about a disappointing fourth-quarter forecast and put it on course for market value gains of nearly $13 billion, based on the $106.41 share price. CEO Lisa Su on Tuesday provided a 2024 sales forecast for the first time for the MI300 chips, designed to compete against the advanced H100 chips sold by Nvidia. That would make the MI300 the fastest product to ramp to $1 billion in sales in AMD's history. The CEO also said the MI300 chips had won commitments from "multiple, large hyperscale customers", a term that refers to large tech and cloud computing companies.

Persons: Florence Lo, Lisa Su, TD Cowen, Morningstar, Brian Colello, Samrhitha, Sriraj Organizations: Devices Inc, REUTERS, Micro Devices, Nvidia, Thomson Locations: Bengaluru

We are buying 50 shares of Oracle (ORCL), at roughly $105.18 apiece. Following Wednesday's trade, Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust will own 775 shares of ORCL, increasing its weighting in the portfolio to 3% from 2.82%. Looking ahead, investors are waiting on the cloud industry to hit an inflection point and return to accelerating growth. Notably, Oracle stock is still trading a few dollars lower than the level it reached ahead of the company's AI Executive Forum event on Oct.19. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.

Persons: Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Erik Isakson Organizations: Oracle, ORCL, Software, Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Nvidia, Devices, CNBC, DigitalVision, Getty

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