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☆ 3 reasons why recession alarms are flashing a false positive, market vet says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Fresh anxiety might also spring from the fact that the yield curve is finally disinverting, which is a recessionary signal on its own. "In other words, the Credit Crisis Cycle may be on pause this time." AdvertisementStable credit conditions also contradict a typical reason for why the yield curve inverted in the first place. They are usually correct, Yardeni noted, but not this time around. AdvertisementBut when this happens, shorter-term Treasurys typically roll off quicker than longer ones, Yardeni noted.

Persons: —, Ed Yardeni, Yardeni Organizations: Service, Business, Federal Reserve, Federal, Valley Bank, ICE

☆ 4 reasons why Wall Street's anxiety over excessive AI spending boom is 'premature,' Bank of America says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Bank of America offered four reasons why investors are worrying too much about high AI spending. Investors can look forward to fresh catalysts ahead, such as Nvidia's upcoming Blackwell AI product, the bank said. Second, AI spending is focused on more than just creating new revenue streams. For instance, these expenditures help tech firms maintain social or e-commerce dominance, or protect their reign over the online search sector. "Concerns about the return on investment (ROI) on high AI capex is valid but premature and inconclusive in our view," the bank wrote.

Persons: —, Goldman Sachs Organizations: of America, Blackwell, Service, Bank of America, 5G, Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Apple

☆ S&P 500 may struggle in the next two months, according to history of past volatility spikes
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Bank of America found that the S & P 500 typically is lower two months after the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) spikes above 45. In the eight weeks after such a volatility surge, the S & P 500 is higher only 40% of the time and loses 0.72% on a median basis, BofA data shows. Typically, the broad market index gains 66% of the time and advances 1.95% on a median basis. Roughly three months after a Vix spike, the broad market index is higher 80% of the time, gaining 5.17% on a median basis, per BofA. One year later, the S & P 500 is up 80% of the time, rallying 18.18% on a median basis.

Persons: Stephen Suttmeier, it's Organizations: Bank of America Securities . Bank of America, BofA Securities

☆ Social media keeps catching Wall Street off guard
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-11 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +11 min

In 2015, he created TickerTags, a social media data aggregator that tracks company mentions, and sold it to Jefferies' M Science. To be fair…Speculating and making decisions based on social media trends is a risky wager. Wall Street doesn't always respond to social media trends that could negatively drive fundamentals because there aren't tools to understand the impacts, McKeown noted. In the event a social media trend is mentioned, it's not factored into their valuation model, Ober added. How social media sentiment plays into a thesis should depend on an investor's time horizon.

Persons: It's, Bud Light's, influencer Dylan Mulvaney, BUD, Kirk McKeown, Chris Camillo, Jefferies, Camillo, Bud, didn't, Paul Johnson, Laxman Narasimhan, misperception, Sara Senatore, I've, Senatore, Chipotle, Keith Lee, dollies, Brian Niccol, Goldman Sachs, They're, Matt Ober, they're, I'd, McKeown, it's, Ober Organizations: Service, Business, Anheuser, Busch, Wall Street, Pew Research Center, Molson, TAP, Starbucks, Nicusa Investment, Columbia Business School, of America Locations: Palestine, Gaza, SBUX

☆ Buy the dip in tech stocks including Nvidia amid market uncertainty, Bank of America says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-10 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

There's still plenty of top technology stocks to buy even as the market unease continues, according to Bank of America. Apple Services saw record revenue, leading Mohan to conclude there's plenty of upside ahead for Apple shares as new products debut in September. Apple shares are down about 3% this month. Meanwhile, Netflix shares are down almost 8% over the last month. Palantir "PLTR's dominant position in the AI-powered software market, differentiated end-to-end, ontology-powered & highly secure solutions and first mover advantages should support revenue growth and improving profits in the midterm.

Persons: Palantir, Wamsi Mohan, Tim Cook, Mohan, Jessica Reif Ehrlich, Reif Ehrlich, BofA, Uber, Justin Post, Post, he's bullish, Nvidia, Blackwell Organizations: Bank of America, CNBC, Netflix, Nvidia, Apple, Apple Intelligence, Apple Services, Post, Uber, intel, TAM Locations: Bank

☆ Bank of America's stocks to help you sleep at night after wild week
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-09 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Bank of America is offering up a selection of stocks to help investors sleep soundly during bouts of market volatility. The picks come on the heels of a roller-coaster week for Wall Street. Here are some of the companies that made the list: Several consumer staples stocks showed up, with the S & P 500 sector up more than 11% this year. PG 1M mountain Shares over the last month Lockheed Martin was another low-beta stock that made the cut. Shares of the aerospace and defense company have rallied more than 21%, outperforming the market year to date.

Persons: Stocks, Savita Subramanian, Gamble, Lockheed Martin Organizations: of America, Wall, Bank of America, Walmart, PepsiCo, Procter, Starbucks, Elliott Management, T Bank, Home Depot, Cisco Systems, Consolidated Edison, New Locations: U.S, China, New York

☆ China's surprise import surge last month points to stockpiling of key tech ahead of trade restrictions, BofA says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-08 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

China's imports last month surged 7.2% year-over-year, more than doubling analysts' expectations. The country is growing its tech inventory to prepare for potential trade restrictions, analysts say. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! China's ramp up in tech imports is likely in preparation for possible trade regulations, analysts from Bank of America said on Thursday.

Persons: — Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Business

☆ Markets are counting on the Fed to head off recession with sizeable interest rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Jeff Cox | Jeff Cox Is A Finance Editor With Cnbc.Com Where He Covers All Aspects Of The Markets | Monitors Coverage Of The Financial Markets | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +5 min

Disappointing economic data recently generated worries that the Fed missed an opportunity at its meeting last week to, if not cut rates outright, send a clearer signal that easing is on the way. In the past, the Fed has implemented just nine such cuts, and all have come amid extreme duress, according to Bank of America. Lacking a catalyst for an intermeeting cut, the Fed is nonetheless expected to cut rates almost as swiftly as it hiked from March 2022-July 2023. Why wait?”LaVorgna, though, isn’t convinced the Fed is in a life-or-death battle against recession. Still, any quakes in the data, such as Friday’s downside surprise to the nonfarm payrolls numbers, could ignite recession talk quickly.

Persons: Jerome Powell, ” Steven Blitz, ”, Andrew Hollenhorst, ‘, ’ ”, Michael Gapen, Powell, Joseph LaVorgna, “, “ They’ll, isn’t, Goldman Sachs, David Rosenberg Organizations: Federal Reserve, TS Lombard, Fed, Citigroup, Bank of America, Nikko Securities, Rosenberg Research Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Nikko

☆ Why a full-fledged bear market is still unlikely even after the latest sharp sell-off
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Bank of America says the recent stock market sell-off is unlikely to be the start of a new bear market. AdvertisementThe stock market's recent sharp sell-off is unlikely to transform into a full-fledged bear market, according to Bank of America. But according to Bank of America strategist Savita Subramanian, the tell-tale signs of a stock market peak have yet to materialize. AdvertisementFor perspective, Subramanian pointed to stock market history to highlight that pullbacks in the market are common. Instead of preparing for a prolonged market sell-off, Subramanian recommends investors go bargain hunting and focus on buying high quality stocks.

Persons: BofA, —, Savita Subramanian, Subramanian Organizations: of America, Credit, Service, Bank of America, Nasdaq, Conference, Senior

☆ Ford turns 'dirty' business into a profit driver. GM and Stellantis are taking notice
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Michael Wayland | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

Many fleet sales, especially daily rentals, have historically been viewed as a negative for auto companies. But Ford has proven that's not always the case by breaking out financial results for its "Ford Pro" fleet business. Ram, GM retoolAs Ford touts its fleet business, its closest rivals have amped up their operations. It launched "GM Envolve" last year, its overhauled fleet and commercial business focused on fleet sales, digital telematics and logistics for commercial customers. EV goalsGM Envolve includes the company's EV commercial business BrightDrop, which was folded back into the automaker last year instead of it acting as a subsidiary.

Persons: Mark Hazel, It's, Ford, Ferrari, Jim Farley, Wolfe, Joe White, Farley, BofA's John Murphy, Ram, Christine Feuell, Stellantis, Ram Ram, Ken Kayser, Sandor Piszar, Motors, Piszar, EV600 Organizations: Ford DETROIT, U.S, automakers, Ford Motor, General Motors, Chrysler, P Global Mobility, Ford, Ford Pro, Wolfe Research, North, GM, Ford Super Duty, Reuters, GM retool, CNBC, Software, Stellantis, GM Envolve, Sierra, GM Fleet, EV Locations: Dearborn , Michigan, U.S, North America, Europe, Kentucky, Louisville , Kentucky, Stellantis, Detroit

☆ Fewer people are moving as 'hidden' homeownership costs spike, BofA says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Those who are moving are typically younger, lower-income families looking for cheaper housing. Hidden costs of moving are piling on top of higher overt costs like mortgages, the analysts note. With fewer people moving, furniture retail and other moving-related sectors are taking a hit, with spending on home furnishings down 10% year-over-year. Those who are moving have "relatively lower spending power due to being younger and/or on lower incomes," the analysts said. AdvertisementThe analysts said, though, that if would-be movers see any easing of "hidden costs," furniture and appliance spending could bounce back.

Persons: —, Gen Z Organizations: Service, Bank of America

☆ Apple leads tech rout after Berkshire Hathaway sells more than half of its stake
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Apple stock plunged as much as 11% on Monday on news that Berkshire Hathaway sold about 50% of its stake. Warren Buffett's conglomerate sold about 390 million Apple shares in the second quarter. The decline in Apple shares, which was double the Nasdaq 100's decline of about 5%, came after it was revealed over the weekend that Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway sold about 50% of its Apple stake. According to its second-quarter earnings report, Berkshire Hathaway sold about 390 million Apple shares during the quarter, which is on top of the 115 million Apple shares it sold during the first quarter of the year. This is an opportunity, especially going into what I view as a really historic upgrade cycle for Apple," Ives said.

Persons: Berkshire Hathaway, Warren Buffett's, —, Warren, Buffett, Cathy Seifert, Dan Ives, Ives, It's Organizations: Apple, Berkshire, Service, CFRA, CNBC Locations: Berkshire, Cupertino

☆ 2 recession indicators with perfect track records show the US just entered a downturn — opening the door for stocks to plummet as the Fed gets set to cut rates
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-03 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

AdvertisementSt. Louis FedDespite the Sahm Rule's impressive history, it is sometimes criticized because it fails to account for rising labor participation, which can raise the unemployment rate. In addition to downcast labor market data, the ISM Manufacturing Index fell further into contraction territory this week, signaling that US manufacturing continues to slow. The market's direction also depends on how investors interpret interest rate cuts alongside future data. Fed funds rate futures markets are now pricing in a 50-basis-point cut in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. AdvertisementHartnett and his team analyzed Fed rate-cutting cycles and identified three different types of rate cuts — cuts into a soft landing, cuts into a hard landing, and panic cuts, which are due to a credit event or some sort of Wall Street crisis.

Persons: —, Claudia Sahm —, Louis Fed, Piper Sandler, Tom Essaye, Jack McIntyre, Lara Castleton, Janus Henderson, Michael Kantrowitz, we've, Kantrowitz, Michael Hartnett, Hartnett Organizations: Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business, Labor, Brandywine Global, ISM, Nasdaq, Fed, Janus, Janus Henderson Investors, Bank of America, Fund

Warren Buffett is not done selling Bank of America . Berkshire Hathaway shed a total of 19.2 million BofA shares on Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday for almost $779 million at an average selling price of $40.52 per share, according to a new regulatory filing. The conglomerate has now been offloading the bank stock for 12 consecutive days with total sales now exceeding $3.8 billion. Its remaining 942.4 million shares have a market value of $37.2 billion at Thursday's close of $39.50. The bank stock has dropped 5.2% so far this week, going as low as $38.98 in Thursday's trading as recession fears plague the financial sector.

Persons: Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, BofA Organizations: Berkshire, of America, Bank of America, Apple, American Express Locations: Omaha , Nebraska, Berkshire

☆ Berkshire's mounting cash pile could top $200 billion as Buffett continues selling stock
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

David A. GroganBerkshire Hathaway 's highly scrutinized cash pile could top $200 billion — more than the entire annual gross domestic product of Hungary — amid CEO Warren Buffett's rare sale of some of his favorite stocks. The Omaha-based conglomerate is likely to say its cash hoard topped the previous record of $189 billion, set in the first quarter, when it reports second-quarter earnings Saturday morning. The selling could have resumed in the second quarter as shares of the iPhone maker jumped 23% in the period. "It's just a question of how long they are going to sit on it," Andrew Kligerman, TD Cowen's Berkshire analyst, said in an interview, referring to Berkshire's enormous cash pile. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Berkshire Hathaway

Persons: Warren Buffett, David A, Grogan Berkshire Hathaway, Warren, Buffett, Bill Stone, Andrew Kligerman, I've, Berkshire Hathaway Organizations: Berkshire Hathaway, Apple, Bank of America, Oracle, Glenview Trust Company, America, Federal, Berkshire Locations: Omaha , Nebraska, Hungary, Omaha, Glenview, Berkshire, Charlotte

☆ BofA analyst on downgrading Mastercard and Visa
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBofA analyst on downgrading Mastercard and VisaJason Kupferberg, Bank of America Securities senior payments analyst, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss outlooks on fintech stocks, potential impacts from Fed rate moves, and more.

Persons: Jason Kupferberg Organizations: Mastercard, Bank of America Securities

☆ Amazon to report quarterly earnings after the close
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( Annie Palmer | In Annierpalmer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Amazon is set to report second-quarter earnings after the bell on Thursday. Amazon is rounding out what's been a mixed earnings season for leading tech companies. Microsoft 's beat on the top and bottom lines was overshadowed by lower-than-expected Azure cloud revenue. Amazon, which leads the cloud infrastructure market, is expected to report growth of 17.6%, according to StreetAccount. During the quarter, Amazon secured a highly sought after position as the third rights partner in the NBA's new 11-year TV deal.

Persons: LSEG, what's, Andy Jassy, Amazon Organizations: Web, Google, YouTube, Microsoft, Meta, BofA Securities, AWS, Amazon, Revenue, Loop Capital, Nasdaq

☆ Analyst explains what's behind the BOJ's decision to hike rates
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAnalyst explains what's behind the BOJ's decision to hike ratesIzumi Devalier, head of Japan economics at BofA Global Research, says the Bank of Japan is "much more focused on determining progress towards inflation using an outlook-based approach."

Persons: Izumi Devalier Organizations: Izumi, BofA Global Research, Bank of Japan Locations: Japan

☆ See strong signs for cyclicals in the second half, says BofA's Savita Subramanian
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSee strong signs for cyclicals in the second half, says BofA's Savita SubramanianSavita Subramanian, BofA Securities head of U.S. equity and quantitative strategy, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, what to make of earnings season so far, impact of AI, where investors can find opportunities, and more.

Persons: BofA's Savita Subramanian Savita Subramanian Organizations: BofA Securities

☆ 'A growth turnaround beginning': Here's what Wall Street expects from Apple's 3rd-quarter earnings
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Artificial intelligence incorporated into Apple products could add another $30 to $40 each share of Apple stock, Wedbush estimated. "We strongly believe June will be the last negative growth quarter for China with a growth turnaround beginning in the September quarter. AdvertisementMorgan Stanley: Big upgrade cycle comingMorgan Stanley's research team reiterated Apple as its "top pick", thanks to a large number of Apple users set to upgrade their devices. "Apple Intelligence is a clear catalyst for a multi-year product upgrade cycle," analysts added in a note. But investors are still waiting for Apple Intelligence to roll out before sentiment improves.

Persons: —, Wedbush, Needham, Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley's, Oppenheimer, Apple's Organizations: Service, Apple, Apple Intelligence, Business, OpenAI, Bank of America, Apple Care, Apple Music, Analysts, Barclays, Stock Locations: China, Asia, Needham, Apple's

☆ Analyst discusses Airbus' sharp drop in second-quarter profits
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAnalyst discusses Airbus' sharp drop in second-quarter profitsBen Heelan, head of EMEA aerospace and defense research at BofA, discusses the challenges Airbus is facing.

Persons: Ben Heelan Organizations: Airbus

☆ Bank of America names Goldman Sachs its top financial pick, gives 3 catalysts that will drive the shares
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Bank of America analysts are growing more bullish on Goldman Sachs after meeting with chairman and CEO David Solomon. BofA reiterated a buy rating on Goldman Sachs in a note on Tuesday that summarized the meeting, alongside a $563 per share price target. GS YTD mountain Goldman Sachs stock. "We believe it is one of the best financial franchises (and among the strongest risk managers) globally at relatively discounted valuations on mid-teens ROE potential," Poonawala said. Goldman Sachs stock has advanced about 31% in 2024 through early trading Tuesday.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Solomon, BofA, Goldman, ROE resiliency, Ebrahim Poonawala, headwinds, Solomon, ROE, Poonawala Organizations: of America, Goldman, Wall Locations: Goldman Sachs

Warren Buffett walks the floor ahead of the Berkshire Hathaway Annual Shareholders Meeting in Omaha, Nebraska on May 3, 2024. Berkshire Hathaway's selling streak in its big Bank of America stake has extended to nine straight days, suggesting that Warren Buffett is not just trimming the longtime holding. The Omaha-based conglomerate sold a total of 18.4 million shares of the bank from Thursday to Monday for $767 million at an average price of $41.65, a new regulatory filing late Monday revealed. Over the past nine trading sessions, Berkshire has cut its stake by 71.2 million shares with just over $3 billion of sales. After the selling spree, Berkshire still owns 961.6 million shares of BofA with a market value of $39.5 billion.

Persons: Warren Buffett Organizations: Berkshire, of America, Apple, Express Locations: Omaha , Nebraska, Omaha, Berkshire

☆ S&P 500 faces greater downside risk ahead, Bank of America says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-29 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The odds of a pullback in the S & P 500 are higher now, according to Bank of America. "We are thus overdue for a pullback," wrote Subramanian, adding there is "elevated downside risk in coming months. In fact, the strategist expects the S & P 500 will end the year at 5,400. Just 50% have been triggered [today] vs. an average of 70% ahead of prior S & P 500 peaks." From 1936 to 2010, dividends contributed around 40% to S & P 500 total returns, but have only accounted for 15% since 2010.

Persons: Savita Subramanian, Subramanian Organizations: Bank of America, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, BofA Securities

☆ Warren Buffett starts downsizing his Bank of America bet — Here's what could lie behind the move
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-28 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Warren Buffett surprised many investors by downsizing one of his longest held and largest positions — Bank of America . Berkshire Hathaway recently unloaded 52.8 million Bank of America shares worth $2.3 billion during a six-day selling spree, the first time since late 2019 that the Omaha-based conglomerate reduced its holding. The legendary investor said then that he liked the business, valuation and management of the Charlotte-based bank "very much." BAC YTD mountain Bank of America Tax liability Taxes could also be a motivating factor in the BofA sale. Buffett, who paid over $5 billion in corporate taxes in 2023, believes the corporate tax rate could move higher to help fill the government's yawning gap between spending and revenue.

Persons: Warren Buffett, Buffett, Brian Moynihan, James Shanahan, Edward Jones, BofA, … BofA, they'd, Moynihan Organizations: — Bank of America, Oracle, Omaha . Berkshire Hathaway, of America, Berkshire, Apple, Bank of America Locations: Omaha ., Omaha, Berkshire, BofA, Charlotte

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