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Inflation increased slightly in September and moved closer to the Federal Reserve’s target, according to a Commerce Department report Thursday. The personal consumption expenditures price index showed a seasonally adjusted 0.2% increase for the month, with the 12-month inflation rate at 2.1%, both in line with Dow Jones estimates. Fed officials target inflation at a 2% annual rate, a level it has not achieved since February 2021. The annual rate was 0.1 percentage point higher than forecast but the same as in August. Consumer spending rose 0.5%, topping the outlook by 0.1 percentage point.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Commerce Department, Fed, Energy, Labor Department, of Labor Statistics
Some customers think the coffee chain has drifted too far from its core, according to Niccol. He's betting that more personal touches — including bringing back Sharpies to write customer names or messages on cups — will bring customers back to cafes. Starbucks CEO Brian Niccol said the coffee chain plans to buy roughly 200,000 Sharpie markers as part of his plan to take the coffee chain back to its roots. For decades, Starbucks positioned itself as a place to linger, but the company has lost that sheen over the years. Shares of Starbucks have risen roughly 1% this year, trailing the S&P 500's gains of 22%.
Persons: Sharpies, Brian Niccol, Niccol, we've, CNBC's, it's, — CNBC's Jacqueline Corba Organizations: Starbucks, Staples Locations: Manhattan , New York, U.S
Key Fed inflation rate hits 2.1% in September, as expected
  + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Inflation increased slightly in September and moved closer to the Federal Reserve's target, according to a Commerce Department report Thursday. The personal consumption expenditures price index showed a seasonally adjusted 0.2% increase for the month, with the 12-month inflation rate at 2.1%, both in line with Dow Jones estimates. Fed officials target inflation at a 2% annual rate, a level it has not achieved since February 2021. The annual rate was 0.1 percentage point higher than forecast but the same as in August. In September, the Fed slashed the rate by a half percentage point, a move virtually unprecedented during an economic expansion.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Commerce Department, Fed, Energy, Labor Department, of Labor Statistics
The new year is commencing with most sectors — and stocks — being overvalued, according to Kotak's analysts. Here are four buy-rated Indian stocks with over 30% potential upside that analysts are betting on this Diwali. Kotak has a 12-month target price of 2,140 Indian rupees ($25.45) on the stock, implying around 40.8% potential upside. Other factors in its favor include regulatory tailwinds promoting recycling and the formalization of reverse charge mechanism on metal scrap, Kotak's analysts wrote in a Sept. 30 note. "SHK['s] tiny relative to global majors, but its technical capabilities are reputable," Kotak's analysts wrote in their Sept. 30 re-initiation report.
Persons: Kotak, Kelkar, Gabriel India, Organizations: South, Kotak Securities, Bombay Stock Exchange, Industries Fiem Industries, India's National Stock Exchange, Company, BSE, Anand, Gabriel Locations: India, automotives
Democrat Sue Altman is running against Rep. Tom Kean Jr. in a competitive House race in New Jersey. But she's also running against Elon Musk, whose super PAC has spent over $1.5 million in her race. "Billionaires like Elon Musk," Altman said during the debate, are "funding my opponent's campaign." Advertisement"And by the way, Elon Musk is really creepy," she added, referencing a recent post in which Musk offered to give Taylor Swift "a child" after the pop star endorsed Harris. "I wouldn't let my best friend date Elon Musk, let alone let him buy our elections."
Persons: Sue Altman, Tom Kean Jr, she's, Elon Musk, Altman, , Tom Kean, Elon, Kean, cain, Donald Trump, Tom Kean , Jr, Trump, — Sue Altman, She's, Kean —, he's, Musk, who's, Musk's largesse, Kamala Harris, Mondaire Jones, Mike Lawler, Will Rollins, Ken Calvert, Volodymyr Tarasov, Sen, John Fetterman of, Tony Stark, Koch, Harris, Joe Biden, Taylor Swift Organizations: Elon, Service, Democratic, Elon Musk's, GOP, America PAC, PAC, New, Families Alliance, Trump, Democratic Rep, Republican, Republican Rep, Publishing, Getty, SpaceX, Democrats, NBC News Locations: New Jersey, New Jersey's, Pennsylvania, York's, California's, John Fetterman of Pennsylvania, Scranton
The company outperformed Q3 expectations with Mark Zuckerberg citing AI progress as a factor. AdvertisementDuring the call, Zuckerberg celebrated the "rapid adoption" of the company's chatbot Meta AI and Llama AI models. Related storiesEmarketer principal analyst Jasmine Enberg said Meta's big AI spending shouldn't spook investors, citing the Q3 revenue numbers. But the company must prove it can continue to cover its AI costs even as they trend upward, she added. Meta's AI approach goes beyond delivering products like Meta AI and Meta Ray-Bans, executives said Wednesday.
Persons: Mark Zuckerberg, Meta, , Zuckerberg, Jasmine Enberg, Meta Ray, Susan Li Organizations: Service, Meta
High-net-worth sports fans can now invest in an index of companies tied to their favorite league. AdvertisementSports fans with money to spare can now reap returns from their favorite leagues thanks to a new investment offering from Morgan Stanley. The Parametric Custom Core Sports League strategy is a portfolio that allows high-net-worth fans to invest a minimum of $250,000 in an index of companies tied to major sports leagues. The offering involves 13 of the biggest sports leagues, from the NFL and NBA to the US Open and Formula 1. Last year, Goldman Sachs unveiled a new unit of dealmakers to pitch investments in teams and stadiums to wealthy clients.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, , Sandra Richards, Morgan Stanley's, Richards, Marc Lasry, Steve Cohen, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Wall, Service, League, NFL, NBA, US, Women's, Morgan Stanley's Global Sports, Entertainment Division, CNBC, Nielsen Sports, Sports, PGA, Yankees, Citi, JPMorgan
One basis point is equivalent to 0.01%. The 10-year Treasury yield was less than one basis point higher at 4.27%. The 2-year Treasury note yield added one basis point to 4.16%. U.S. Treasury bond yields rose as traders reviewed the gross domestic product reading for the third quarter and looked ahead to key inflation data out later in the session. A report on weekly jobless claims and the third-quarter reading on the employment cost index are also scheduled for release on Thursday.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Federal, Traders, Fed Locations: U.S
Yen under pressure as BOJ keeps rates steady
  + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
Japanese Yen and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 10, 2023. The yen remained under pressure on Thursday as the Bank of Japan kept ultra-low interest rates steady, while the U.S. dollar consolidated ahead of jobs data later this week and the U.S. presidential election next week. The BOJ kept interest rates steady on Thursday and roughly maintained its forecast that inflation will hover near its 2% inflation target in coming years, signaling its readiness to continue rolling back its massive monetary stimulus. Analysts are divided over the prospect of additional interest rate hikes by year-end, putting the focus on BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda's post-meeting briefing for clues on the pace and timing of further increases. "Any strengthening of the yen at present would likely result from a general weakening of the U.S. dollar if interest rates begin to align," said Sean Teo, a sales trader at Saxo.
Persons: Yen, Kazuo Ueda's, Sean Teo, payrolls, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Sterling Organizations: Bank of Japan, U.S ., U.S, Treasury, Saxo, National Statistics, PMI, Westpac, European Central Bank, Australian, Analysts, New Zealand Locations: China, U.S
The betting site Polymarket has emerged as a hot topic in the 2024 presidential race. Wagers in its pop culture section show the bro-y vibe of the site: Zyn, Andrew Tate, and Hawk Tuah. Let's look at some of the wagers:Will Trump say "skibidi" before the election? Will Donald Trump say "mog" in 2024? AdvertisementFor the record, I think the odds that Trump will say "skibidi" before the election are way too low.
Persons: Trump, Andrew Tate, Hawk, , Will Trump, Will Kamala Harris, Joe Rogan's, Will Donald Trump, Roaring Kitty, Logan Paul, Max Read, Joe Rogan, Gen Z'ers, MAGA, Theo Von, Adin Ross, Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, Shayne Coplan, There's, Polymarket, haven't, I'm, who's, John Herrman, McDonald's Organizations: Service, Trump, New, New York Magazine, Harris, Dodgers, Yankees Locations: MrBeast
CNN —Democrats are mounting an unprecedented digital advertising campaign in the closing weeks of the presidential race, pouring hundreds of millions of dollars into a targeted effort that the party hopes will tip the balance in one of the closest elections in US history. The effort is being steered by Future Forward PAC, or FF PAC, the largest single-candidate super PAC in the 2024 election. The 2024 election is poised to break the record set by the 2020 election and see $10.2 billion worth of campaign advertising, according to the ad tracking firm AdImpact. The ad laboratoryWith its massive war chest, FF PAC has faced the challenge of effectively and efficiently distributing its resources. FF PAC has not engaged in a comparable turnout effort, leaving that traditional campaign activity to the cash-flush Harris operation.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, Harris, , Joe Biden’s, Trump, Michael Bloomberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Reid Hoffman, , John Kelly, , , Ian Sams, Roe, Wade, ” Margit Westerman, we’ve, Peacock, Elon Musk, Harris ’ Organizations: CNN, Future Forward PAC, FF PAC, PAC, FF, Super, Democratic Party’s, Citizens United, Commission, Biden, Trump, Democratic, New York, Facebook, LinkedIn, Bloomberg, New York Times, PAC’s, YouTube, Olympics, Hulu, Univision, Warner Bros, GOP countereffort FF, Republican, Google, Harris, Republicans, Preserve, America PAC, Restoration PAC, America PAC –, MAGA Inc, GOP, Inc, Elon, FF PAC’s, Department of Justice Locations: Pennsylvania, Michigan , Wisconsin , Arizona , Nevada , North Carolina, Georgia, AdImpact, Preserve America, Philadelphia
Silver told Fortt that his current model shows the odds favoring Trump, who holds a 55% to 45% win probability advantage over Harris. Most people no longer even have the landline phones which past election cycle polling history relied on. Why the betting markets may be all 'vibe and chatter'The betting markets show a much bigger edge for Trump, with major wagers placed on Polymarket, Robinhood jumping into the action, and presidential election contracts surging in popularity. Critics have raised concerns that the election betting markets are potentially being manipulated. But Silver, who is a consultant to one of the leading prediction markets, Polymarket, says he wouldn't pay much attention to the betting markets data right now, as they simply may not be very accurate at this moment in the election cycle.
Persons: Nate Silver, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Silver, Trump, CNBC's, Jon Fortt, Fortt, Harris, Ken Griffin, Stanley Drunkenmiller, Critics Organizations: New York Times, CNBC Technology, CNBC, Trump, Trump Media Locations: New York City
An Australian one dollar coin sits atop a United States one dollar bill in this illustration photo taken February 12, 2016. The dollar hovered close to a three-month peak on Wednesday in a big week for macroeconomic data that could reveal the path for U.S. monetary policy. The Australian dollar edged closer to a three-month trough after some stickiness in inflation suggested a Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate cut is unlikely this year. The ADP employment report is due later in the day, ahead of the potentially crucial monthly payrolls report on Friday. "The U.S. dollar continues to garner strong support as markets adjust their rate path expectations," said James Kniveton, senior corporate FX dealer at Convera.
Persons: James Kniveton, Kniveton, Donald Trump, Rachel Reeves, Keir Starmer, Liz Truss Organizations: Reserve Bank of Australia, Federal Reserve, U.S ., Reserve Bank, Australia's, U.S, Treasury, Republican, European Central Bank, Sterling, Labor Locations: States, U.S, Australia, Europe
While the cumulative effect of inflation has had a pronounced influence on the U.S. economy, the view in relative terms is getting progressively better. Judging by the personal consumption expenditures price index, inflation was expected to run at just a 0.2% rate in September and 2.1% from a year ago, according to Dow Jones estimates. "Another strong quarter of GDP growth and close-to-target quarterly inflation reading will be welcomed by the Fed stuck between balancing the risks of inflation and the labor market," Citigroup economist Alice Zheng said in a note Wednesday. Within the GDP report, the PCE rate for the quarter was just 1.5%, suggesting that the battle has been won. While the market is still betting heavily on more rate cuts this year, the Fed likely will be cautious.
Persons: Dow Jones, Alice Zheng, Shruti Mishra Organizations: Commerce Department, Labor, Citigroup, Bank of America Locations: U.S
The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell more than 4 basis points to 4.232%, after briefly rising above 4.3% in the previous session to notch its highest level since July. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was down over 2 basis points at 4.094%. U.S. Treasury yields were lower on Wednesday, with investors poised to scrutinize economic data for further clues on the rate cut outlook. Ahead of the all-important October jobs report at the end of the week, investors will monitor a fresh batch of economic data on Wednesday. The Fed joined several other major central banks in easing monetary policy when it lowered rates by 50 basis points in September.
Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Commerce Department, Traders, Federal Reserve, Fed
The big storyPresidential betsChris duMond; Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images; Jenny Chang-Rodriguez/BIWe're less than a week from election day, but one group can already claim victory: betting markets. Kalshi's legal victory in October over the CFTC to offer election betting paved the way for the trend. iStock; Rebecca Zisser/BIThe betting market's biggest tests might come after the election. Betting markets have Trump as a heavy favorite, whereas traditional polls indicate a tight race. AdvertisementShould Trump win in a landslide, it could strengthen the case for using betting markets as a key tool for election analysis.
Persons: , Chris duMond, Chip Somodevilla, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Matthew Fox, Donald Trump, Polymarket, iStock, Rebecca Zisser, Nate Silver, Tesla, Zuckerberg, Citadel's, Justin Lubell, Lubell, Steve Schwarzman, Ken Griffin, Trump, Tyler Le, Harris, Sundar Pichai, Elon Musk, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi Organizations: Business, Service, Apple, CFTC, Trump, TikTok, Meta Connect, Meta, Bank of America, Blackstone, Republican, Amazon, AWS, Five Apple Intelligence, Google, The Washington Post, Street, Microsoft, Starbucks Locations: French, New York, London
The election markets have not gone unnoticed by the Republican Party’s presidential nominee, Donald Trump, who has touted his odds on social media and at campaign events. With more than 50 million ballots already cast ahead of Tuesday’s election, here’s what you need to know about election betting in the US. Robinhood, a popular stock-trading app, launched presidential election betting on Monday. PredictIt, another prediction market embroiled in a legal fight with the CFTC, also offers election contracts while its case is ongoing. Researchers, however, have long studied political prediction markets.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Trump, Kamala Harris, Kalshi, , PredictIt, David G, Schwartz, ” Schwartz, Paul Rhode, Koleman Strumpf, isn’t, Elon Musk, Cantrell Dumas, it’s, ” Dumas Organizations: CNN, White, Kalshi, Republican, Democratic, Futures Trading Commission, Senate, DC, Appeals, CFTC, University of Nevada, The University of Iowa, Iowa Electronic Markets, Victoria University of Wellington, Commission, Better Locations: United States, Washington ,, Michigan, Las Vegas, New York City, Rhode, Nevada , Texas , Michigan, Iowa, New Zealand, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania
Trading of Trump Media shares was halted for volatility multiple times Tuesday morning as the company majority owned by Donald Trump ricocheted in early trading. Nearly 16 million Trump Media shares changed hands in the first 10 minutes of the trading day. Just more than a month later, Trump Media shares were trading at more than four times that price. That merger, which took Trump Media public, was completed in late March. Despite losing hundreds of millions of dollars on scant revenue in recent fiscal quarters, Trump Media boasts a market capitalization above $10 billion.
Persons: Donald Trump ricocheted, Trump’s, Kamala Harris, Harris, Critics Organizations: Trump Media, Nasdaq, DWAC, Republican, Trump, Forbes, Democratic, Madison Locations: New York City
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStrategist: None of the U.S. election outcomes are positive for economic growthArun Sai of Pictet Asset Management cautions against looking to betting markets to make investment decisions. He says to focus on economic fundamentals which still remain strong.
Persons: Arun Sai Organizations: Pictet, Management
Hollie Adams | Afp | Getty ImagesBritain's Labour government appears poised to raise "sin taxes" in its highly anticipated October budget as it seeks to cash-in on lucrative industries to bolster Treasury revenues. Among a litany of measures, including a major change to the government's fiscal rules, Reeves is reported to be considering a sin tax raid. "Sin stocks are a good place to start. Shares of London-listed gambling stocks fell sharply on the news. A Treasury spokesperson was not immediately available to comment when contacted by CNBC about the prospect of sin taxes in the budget.
Persons: Keir Starmer, Rachel Reeves, Hollie Adams, Reeves, Michael, Britain's, William Hill, Paddy Power, Chris J, Ratcliffe, Bruce Morley, Morley, Morningstar's, Field, Alishia Abodunde Organizations: Britain's, Labour, Afp, Getty, Finance, Michael Field, Morningstar Analysts, Morningstar, CNBC, Guardian, London, Entain Plc, Bloomberg, Department, Environment, Food, Rural Affairs, Treasury, University of Bath, Imperial Brands, American Tobacco, Government Locations: London, Michael Field Europe, Europe, crosshairs, U.S, England, vapes
Betting markets are booming ahead of the US Presidential election. Kalshi has attracted $100M in election bets this month and is the top free finance app in Apple's app store. Robinhood is getting in on the action, announcing its own election betting platform on Monday. Earlier this month, a US federal appeals court cleared Kalshi to open its election betting platform for US citizens. Interactive Brokers also launched a slew of election betting contracts earlier this month following the court decision to allow Kalshi to operate.
Persons: Kalshi, , we're gunning, Tarek Mansour, it's, Donald Trump, Mansour, TikTok Organizations: Service, Apple, PayPal, CNBC, Interactive, Kalshi
The space has exploded in the US as dozens of states have legalized online gambling. Just as quant traders have changed equity markets forever, sports betting might be next. AdvertisementThrough the second quarter of this year, online gambling site FanDuel averaged 3.3 million bettors each month. AdvertisementAlready, the smartest Novig users are sanding away the easiest returns. There's demand from Novig users for the exchange to release software that would allow traders to program a bot to trade for them.
Persons: , Ed Thorp, Jim Simons, Ken Griffin, AQR's Cliff Asness, PDT's Peter Muller, Bill Bentley, Kelechi Ukah, Jacek Dmochowski, Paddy, Dmochowski, Jane, Ukah, sportsbooks Organizations: Service, Renaissance Technologies, MIT, Business, City College of New, Sports, UCLA, Paddy Power, MGM Locations: Dublin, City College of New York, Vegas
Nearly 16 million DJT shares changed hands in the first 10 minutes of the trading day. Trading was halted a second time at 9:42 a.m., with shares up nearly 9%. The company, which trades as DJT on the Nasdaq, was halted for five minutes at 9:36 a.m. Trading of Trump Media shares was halted for volatility multiple times Tuesday morning as the company majority-owned by Donald Trump ricocheted in early trading. Just over a month later, Trump Media shares were trading at more than four times that price.
Persons: Donald Trump ricocheted, Kamala Harris, Harris, Critics Organizations: Nasdaq, Trump Media, Republican, Trump, Forbes, Democratic, Madison Locations: New York City
It’s a crucial trend that undercuts one of the biggest arguments Republicans have used to hammer Democrats over the cost of living. Although gas prices are down and the rate of inflation has cooled sharply, consumers are still hurting from years of price hikes. After Russia invaded Ukraine, oil prices skyrocketed due to fears of massive supply disruptions. Drivers rolling up to gas stations in some battleground states are enjoying significant price drops, including Nevada (79 cents cheaper than a year ago), Arizona (78 cents cheaper), Pennsylvania (36 cents cheaper) and Wisconsin (32 cents cheaper). But for now the markets appear to be bracing for muted prices, a situation that should keep a lid on gas prices.
Persons: Harris, ” Patrick De Haan, It’s, we’re, , De Haan, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Biden, Trump, Tom Kloza, Kloza, Brent, Organizations: New, New York CNN, Biden, CNN, AAA, Drivers, Iran, Oil Price Information Service, Citigroup, ClearView Energy Partners Locations: New York, Nevada, Arizona, Russia, Ukraine, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Israel, Iran, Persian, China, United States
The outcome of this snap election signals that Ishiba may face difficulties in getting his party's policies passed in parliament. These include "more fiscal stimulus measures," and a cut in tax rates, Okamura added. His comments come amid expectations of the Bank of Japan leaving its rates unchanged at its meeting on Oct. 31. 'High-quality companies' Okamura is now betting on "higher quality companies with good pricing power." The five are also among the top holdings in the 19.1 billion yen (124.6 million) Japan Equity Engagement Fund .
Persons: Shigeru Ishiba's, Komeito, Izumi Devalier, CNBC's, Neuberger Berman's Kei Okamura, Okamura —, , Okamura, bode Organizations: Liberal Democratic Party, Bank of America, Nikkei, Tokyo Stock Exchange, Bank of Japan's, U.S . Federal Reserve, Fed, Bank of Japan, Hitachi, Mitsubishi Logistics, Tokyo Marine Holdings, Japan Equity, Tokyo Marine Locations: Japan, Tokyo, shareholdings
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