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European markets are heading for a mixed open as global investors digest Donald Trump's presidential election win and political upheaval in Germany. They also await monetary policy decisions from the U.S. Federal Reserve and Bank of England. Global markets continue to react to Donald Trump's decisive election win, with U.S. stocks rallying Wednesday as Wall Street rejoiced the speedy conclusion of the presidential election. Central banks will be closely watched Thursday, with the Fed and BoE both expected to announce rate cuts. Scholz announced he would bring a vote of confidence to the German parliament on Jan. 15.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Germany's DAX, BoE, Chancellor Olaf Scholz, Christian Lindner, Lindner's, Scholz Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of England, France's CAC, IG, Global, Fed Locations: Germany, Asia, Pacific, U.S
Donald Trump's election victory is set to make the Federal Reserve's job more difficult. His tariff and immigration plans are expected to stoke inflation, complicating the Fed's policy decisions. Trump has also said he'd like a say in setting monetary policy, which would erode Fed independence. Donald Trump's election win brings his vision of hefty trade tariffs and a sweeping immigration crackdown closer to becoming reality. A study from the Peterson Institute of International Economics said interfering with the Fed's independence could cost the economy $300 billion and drive inflation higher.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Trump, , it's, Glen Smith, Smith, Paul Krugman, Trump's, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: stoke, Service, Treasury, GDS Wealth Management, Fed, Fed Trump, Peterson Institute of International Economics, Pantheon Macroeconomics, Trump Locations: China
Firm dollar keeps peers on back foot ahead of BOE, Fed decisions
  + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Trump's policies on restricting illegal immigration, enacting new tariffs, lowering taxes and deregulation may boost growth and inflation and crimp the Fed's ability to cut rates. Following the election, markets now see about a 70% chance the Fed will also cut rates next month, down from 77% on Tuesday, according to the CME Group's Fed Watch Tool. Anything less than a "dovish cut" from the Fed on Thursday could see traders trim back bets for a December cut and the dollar and yields rising higher, Simpson added. The yen was up 0.22% at 154.30 per dollar, after touching 154.7 on Wednesday, its lowest against the greenback since July 30. The Riksbank is seen easing by 50 basis points, and the Norges Bank is set to stay on hold.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Matt Simpson, Trump, Treasuries, Simpson Organizations: U.S, Federal Reserve, Trump, White, Index, Treasury, Fed, Republicans, CME, Bank of England, Norges Bank, Bitcoin Locations: U.S, Index ., cryptocurrencies
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during the morning trading on November 07, 2024 in New York City. U.S. stock futures hovered near the flatline Thursday night after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite hit records in a postelection rally and investors weighed the Federal Reserve's latest interest rate cut. S&P 500 futures and futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added just 0.03% and 0.05% each. The moves higher continue the market rally from Wednesday in the wake of President-elect Donald Trump's victory, during which the Dow and S&P 500 rose to their best days since November 2022. The postelection surge put all three of the major averages are on pace for strong weekly gains, with the S&P 500 up about 4.3% and the Dow higher by nearly 4%.
Persons: Dow, Donald Trump's, Jerome Powell, Scott Helfstein, Trump Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Dow, Global, Republican, Fed Locations: New York City . U.S, Thursday's
DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffrey Gundlach said Thursday that interest rates could shoot higher if Republicans end up controlling the House, securing a governing trifecta that gives President-elect Donald Trump free rein to spend as he pleases. "If the House goes to Republicans, there's going to be a lot of debt, there's going to be higher interest rates at the long end, and it'll be interesting to see how the Fed reacts to that," Gundlach said on CNBC's "Closing Bell." The race to control the House is undecided as of Thursday after Republicans clinched their new Senate majority. "So it looks to me that there will be some pressure on interest rates, and particularly at the long end. Still, Gundlach, who had predicted a recession in the U.S., said the Trump presidency makes such an economic downturn less likely.
Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, Donald Trump, there's, Gundlach, Trump Organizations: DoubleLine, Republicans, Senate, Federal, Trump Locations: U.S
Market moves: The stock market tacked on some additional gains after the Federal Reserve on Thursday afternoon cut interest rates by 25 basis points. Bond yields, which move inversely to bond prices, have been on the rise since the Fed cut rates in September. Stick to discipline: The stock market especially liked the idea of a pro-business environment and de-regulation expected in the future Trump administration. It's not surprising to see Wells Fargo down 3% after the Club stock surged more than 13% on Wednesday. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER .
Persons: Jim Cramer, Thursday's, Jerome Powell, hasn't, Bond, Donald Trump, Trump, industrials, It's, Wells, Mogan Stanley, Morgan Stanley, Bloomin, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Federal Reserve, Fed, Treasury, Bond, NBC News, Club, DraftKings, Arista Networks, Azon Enterprise, Trade, Baxter International, NRG Energy, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Wells Fargo, Wells
The Polymarket trader who bet big on a Donald Trump win made much more than previously thought. New research from Chainalysis estimates a total profit of over $85 million, up from $48 million. AdvertisementA Polymarket trader who bet tens of millions on Donald Trump's presidential win appears to have raked in a much larger profit than previously known. A new estimate now places that figure at more than $85 million, well above the earlier tally of $48 million, according to research from the blockchain-analysis firm Chainalysis. Collectively, Polymarket traders bet around $3.7 billion in volume over who would win the US presidency.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Donald Trump's, Théo Organizations: Service, Trump, Wall
This Trump trade euphoria is likely to fade fast
  + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
New York CNN —Wednesday morning, my inbox was flooded with notes from analysts eager to talk about the election’s upside for various sectors. The crypto folks came on especially strong, cheering the success of the candidate who promised them the moon. When the stock market opened in New York, the enthusiasm for these so-called Trump trades went into hyperdrive. Virtually all mainstream economists oppose tariffs on that scale and expect they would cause inflation to rise yet again. “My worst-case scenario is that he’s actually successful with his blanket tariff policies,” Alpert told me.
Persons: CNN Business ’, Dow, Bitcoin, ” Daniel Alpert, “ There’s, Alpert, Art Hogan, Matt Egan, Trump, ” Hogan, , he’s, ” Alpert, Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Trump, Westwood Capital, Riley Wealth Management, Republican Locations: New York, hyperdrive, Washington
Upcoming Fed rate cut and holiday season may sustain market momentum, Tuchman predicts. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . You can opt-out at any time by visiting our Preferences page or by clicking "unsubscribe" at the bottom of the email. Markets reacted strongly to former President Donald Trump's victory over Vice President Kamala Harris in Tuesday's election. He then realized that the strong trend could be held up by more than just election results.
Persons: Tuchman, , Peter Tuchman, who's, Donald Trump's, Kamala Harris, Dow Jones, you've, Tuchman didn't, that's, there's Organizations: Dow, Service, New York Stock Exchange, Markets, AMD, Nvidia Locations: Tuesday's, Santa Claus
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks during a news conference following the Nov. 6-7, 2024, Federal Open Market Committee meeting at William McChesney Martin Jr. Federal Reserve Board Building in Washington, D.C., on Nov. 7, 2024. ET, market pricing pointed toward a 67% chance of another quarter-point cut in December and a 33% chance of a pause that month, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. The probability of a quarter-point December rate cut rose to more than 70% following the meeting, while the chances of a pause slipped to nearly 29%. Future rate probabilities found in the CME FedWatch Tool are derived from trading in 30-day fed funds futures contracts. Meanwhile, the odds that the Federal Reserve would skip an interest rate cut in January was around 71%.
Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, , Jeff Cox Organizations: Federal Reserve, Washington , D.C, Federal Locations: Washington ,, U.S
Using its patented digital fingerprint technology, ProfilePrint can rapidly analyze the identity and quality of ingredients, helping agribusinesses save money and time. The problem, he explained, is a system of multiple rounds of physical food samples exchanged between buyer and sellers, replicated across "every part of the supply chain." Machine learning means the technology analyzes food samples at a molecular level and recognizes food quality within seconds. As well predicting the quality and flavor profiles, the company's ingredient quality platform can offer their client various options when it comes to balancing quality with price. Profile Print is not alone within the still embryonic pool of food quality and AI startups.
Persons: Alan Lai, Lai Organizations: CNBC Tech, Traders Locations: Singapore, California
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch Thursday's full episode of Mad Money with Jim Cramer — November 7, 2024"Mad Money" host and former hedge fund manager, Jim Cramer, provides stock traders with all manner of investing advice.
Persons: Jim Cramer —, Jim Cramer
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch Thursday's full episode of Fast Money — November 17, 2024"Fast Money" is America's post-market show. Hosted by Melissa Lee and a roundtable of top traders, "Fast Money" breaks through the noise of the day, to bring you the actionable news that matters most to investors.
Persons: Melissa Lee
US election news on a screen on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, US, on Wednesday, Nov. 6, 2024. Stock futures are near flat Wednesday night after a huge market rally following Donald Trump's decisive victory in the presidential election. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 25 points, or 0.1%. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures both traded marginally above flat. The Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite all notched new all-time highs in the session, while the small cap-focused Russell 2000 jumped more than 5%.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Dow, Russell, Scott Helfstein, Jerome Powell's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Traders, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, U.S ., Global, CME Group's, Moderna, Warner Bros Locations: New York
Gold holds steady as market awaits U.S. election outcome
  + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold held steady on Wednesday as investors keenly awaited the outcome of a tightly contested U.S. presidential race. Spot gold held its ground at $2,745.42 per ounce, as of 0218 GMT. Gold is considered a hedge against geopolitical and economic uncertainties and tends to thrive in a low-interest-rate environment. Elsewhere, Perth Mint reported a decline in October gold sales, while silver sales slipped to their lowest in four months. Spot silver fell 0.53% to $32.49 per ounce, platinum shed 0.6% to $993.45 and palladium was down 2.17% to $1,052.25.
Persons: Gold, Republican Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Kyle Rodda, Jerome Powell's, Matt Simpson Organizations: Republican, D.C, Edison Research, Federal Reserve, Trump, Traders, Perth Mint Locations: Istanbul, Tuesday's U.S, Washington
You can typically imagine a two to three round process between a buyer and a seller," Profile Print founder and CEO Alan Lai told "CNBC Tech: The Edge." "Profile Print digitalizes food ingredients, so that buyers and sellers no longer need to ship samples physically," Lai added. Using its patented digital fingerprint technology, Profile Print quickly analyzes the identity and quality of ingredients. In 2024, Profile Print signed agreements with Brazil's two largest coffee manufacturers, as well as Instituto CNA, a government-backed institution representing Brazil's agricultural sectors. Watch Alan Lai demonstrate Profile Print's technology in the video above.
Persons: Alan Lai, Lai Organizations: CNBC Tech, Instituto CNA Locations: Singapore
(Higher interest rates tend to boost the value of a currency by attracting more capital from abroad as investors seek bigger returns.) “Investors are bracing for tariffs… which will push up the price of imported goods for American shoppers,” she wrote in a note Wednesday. The pain of Trump’s tariffs will be felt far beyond US borders. “We also believe that Trump could decide to implement even higher tariffs on economies that run large trade surpluses with the US,” BMI analysts wrote in a note Wednesday. “Donald Trump’s economic course will pose major problems for Germany and the European Union,” the institute said.
Persons: Donald Trump, Matthew Ryan, Susannah Streeter, Hargreaves, , Trump’s, Trump, ” Nomura, Philip Shaw, Ellie Henderson, Streeter, Anthony Kettle, , Spencer Platt, “ Donald Trump’s Organizations: London CNN, Republican, Senate, CNN, Federal Reserve, Trump, , RBC Global Asset Management, BMI, Fitch Solutions, Port, Getty, European Union, Ifo Institute for Economic Research Locations: United States, Mexico, China, Germany, Canada, Japan, South Korea, Newark, New Jersey, Munich
"The expectation among bond traders coming into the election was that rates would move higher in the event of a Trump victory and especially a red sweep. "The builder stocks are highly sensitive to mortgage rates and mortgage rate expectations. Big builders have been buying down mortgage rates for their customers, but that has been cutting into their margins. Mortgage rates don't follow the Fed, but do react to the central bank's thinking on the economy. Stronger-than-expected economic reports in September and October caused bond yields, and consequently mortgage rates, to move higher.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Matthew Graham, Horton, PulteGroup, Lowe's, John Burns, Trump, Carl Harris, Graham Organizations: Mortgage News, Trump, . Housing, John Burns Real Estate Consulting, National Association of Home Builders, Federal Reserve, National Association of Realtors Locations: U.S, D.R
CNBC's Jim Cramer reviewed Wednesday's market action, saying the session was shaped by traders who were relieved that the election was over and were getting ready for President-elect Donald Trump's administration. "The fact that we already know the winner is a huge win for the stock market in itself, which makes it a magnet for new money. The electric vehicle maker's CEO Elon Musk has been one the most vocal Trump supporters among his billionaire peers, and Cramer suggested the president-elect is known to reward his allies. "The ironic bottom line is it'll be tough to exceed the Biden regime when it comes to the stock market. Biden was no friend to stocks, but the market went up anyway," Cramer said.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Donald Trump's, we'd, Cramer, Elon Musk, Trump, Musk, Biden Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Big Tech, Tech, Trump, Biden, Nielsen Locations: Tesla
European stocks are heading for a lower open Wednesday as global markets focus on the vote count following the U.S. presidential election. Global markets are focusing on the results emerging from key battleground states that are expected to determine the winner of the presidential race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris. Trump won the electoral vote heavy prizes of Texas and Florida, as well as battleground states of Georgia and North Carolina. Republicans are expected to regain their majority control of the U.S. Senate in 2025, according to NBC News. U.S. stock futures rose sharply in overnight trading as investors started to speculate that Trump could have an edge in the presidential race.
Persons: Germany's DAX, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, Harris Organizations: U.S, France's CAC, IG, Global, NBC News, U.S . Senate, NBC, Republicans, Federal Locations: U.S, Texas, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, New York, California, Virginia, Asia, Pacific
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch Wednesday's full episode of Fast Money — November 6, 2024"Fast Money" is America's post-market show. Hosted by Melissa Lee and a roundtable of top traders, "Fast Money" breaks through the noise of the day, to bring you the actionable news that matters most to investors.
Persons: Melissa Lee
Shares of major banks climbed in overnight trading as investors expected Donald Trump's victory in the presidential election. Citigroup jumped about 5% in special late trading on the Robinhood brokerage for well-known stocks. Former President Donald Trump is currently leading by NBC News' count, though several key states have yet to be called. Bank stocks are expected to benefit under GOP control given the party's posture toward deregulation. "Donald Trump is the candidate where you ignore what he says and focus on what you expect him to do," Seiberg wrote in a note to clients recently.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Goldman Sachs, Donald Trump, Cowen, Jaret Seiberg, Seiberg Organizations: Citigroup, Bank of America, White House, NBC News, NBC, Trump, North Carolina . Bank, GOP, Consumer Financial, financials Locations: Wells, North Carolina
Truth Social owner Trump Media & Technology Group, Trump’s social media company, is skyrocketing in value this morning after CNN and other media outlets projected Trump won the election. Trump is the dominant shareholder in the conservative social media company, which has scant revenue and is losing money. When a stock price starts to rise sharply, traders who bet against it are forced to buy back the stock to limit their losses. That’s despite the fact that Trump Media makes very little revenue and Truth Social is a relatively small player in social media. Trump Media disclosed Tuesday afternoon that its third-quarter revenue dipped 5% to just $1 million.
Persons: Donald Trump didn’t, , Trump, Matthew Tuttle, isn’t, Tuttle, ” Tuttle, Michael Block, Block, ” Block Organizations: New, New York CNN, White, Truth Social, Trump Media & Technology Group, CNN, Trump, Trump Media, Tuttle Capital Management, JetBlue, That’s Locations: New York, Iowa
In September, Truth Social had 698,000 monthly active users in the United States, compared with 70.4 million for X, according to Similarweb, a data tracking site. Some shareholders — many of them individual investors and supporters of Mr. Trump — took to a Truth Social message board on Wednesday to blast Wall Street traders, accusing it of conspiring to keep a lid on the stock price. Before the trading day began, it appeared Trump Media shares were poised to rocket higher. The stock was the most heavily traded in the hours before the official market open and rose as much as 30 percent in early trading. Swings in Trump Media’s price set off brief trading halts by stock exchanges on Wednesday morning, as they have on other occasions.
Persons: Elon Musk, Trump’s, Trump — Organizations: Social, Mr, Trump, Trump Media Locations: United States
Analysts expect Trump's economic policies to increase inflation, and push interest rates higher. AdvertisementDonald Trump's victory is set to herald a new era of higher inflation, tighter monetary policy, and surging cryptocurrencies, analysts said in initial reactions to the presidential election result. The economic impact of Trump's second term is likely to be volatile, said Lindsay James, investment strategist at UK-based Quilter Investments. However, such cuts could be shortlived if Trump's trade policies, which include proposed near-universal tariffs, prove to be inflationary as expected. Bitcoin could hit $100,000One asset that analysts expect to surge in the wake of Trump's victory is bitcoin, which rallied sharply early on Wednesday morning.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Donald Trump's, Lindsay James, Elon Musk, Thomas Matthews, Trump, Russ Mould, AJ Bell Organizations: Service, Investments, Federal Reserve, Capital Economics, Rabobank, White
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