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Here's what five forecasters have to say about the latest rally — and why they think the stock market is headed for a fall. In 2009, he wrote a book predicting a stock market crash and ensuing economic depression, which he said could last for 10 years or more. The research firm is predicting the S&P 500 could see a steep correction following a rally to 6,500. Yet, that could end up being an excellent opportunity for investors who are diversified in other areas of the market, Bernstein said. AdvertisementTypically, there are eight warning signs of a market bubble forming, and six of them have already flashed, the bank said.
Persons: Stocks, , haven't, Harry Dent Stocks, Harry Dent, Dent, John Higgins, Higgins, John Hussman, Hussman, Richard Bernstein, Bernstein Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Apple, Nvidia, Fox Business Network, Stocks, Capital Economics, John Hussman Elite, UBS
Meme stock and erstwhile videogame retailer GameStop is back in the limelight as Reddit ringleader Roaring Kitty stirs up another trading frenzy. Warren Buffett commented at length about the speculative behavior during the first GameStop mania in 2021. Then, the "Oracle of Omaha" called the stock market a gambling parlor for retail investors, encouraged by Wall Street's investment banks and brokerages. "It's become a very significant part of the casino group that has joined into the stock market," Buffett said at 2021's Berkshire annual meeting . Options trading in GameStop exploded after Roaring Kitty, whose legal name is Keith Gill, touted his large positions in those risky vehicles.
Persons: Kitty, Warren Buffett, Wall, It's, Buffett, They've, Keith Gill, John Maynard Keynes Organizations: GameStop, Berkshire, Citadel Securities Locations: Omaha
Some young investors are using astrology and tarot cards to guide day trading decisions. They believe stock market behavior aligns with cyclical patterns of planets and the moon. Gen Z sees astrology as a form of inner clarity, akin to religion, amid shifting identities. The idea is that everything — from the whims of the stock market to the rotation of the planets — is cyclical. AdvertisementSo relying on astrology, tarot cards, or some other method of divination is, in some sense, an act of faith.
Persons: , it's, TJR, MAREN, Paige Doherty Organizations: Service, Business, Genius Ventures
At the turn of the year, the market was banking on six rate cuts beginning in March. Advertisement"The valuation ratio from small caps to large caps right now is at a 24-year low. This is probably one of the best entry points into small and mid-cap stocks," Ewing said. He added that when the Fed starts cutting rates, small caps have historically outperformed. Morningstar holds steady to its expectation of two rate cuts of 25 basis points each for 2024.
Persons: Jerome Powell, James St . Aubin, Brett Ewing, you've, we're, Ewing, haven't, David Sekera, Russell, Sekera Organizations: Service, Federal, Market Committee, Sierra Funds, Fed, Morningstar
CNN —“Good news is bad news” has been a common refrain for a while now. When economic reports are released that are solid, they have all too often been clouded with concerns that good news for the economy actually means a longer wait before the Federal Reserve rolls out rate cuts. Inflation as measured by the Consumer Price Index cooled more than expected in May, with prices holding flat on the month for the first time since July 2022. The markets don’t seem to be buying the one-cut plan, especially after the Producer Price Index on Thursday showed that wholesale prices fell from April to May and the BLS’ Import and Export Price Index showed that US imports prices fell 0.4% in May after rising 0.9% in April. And more good news is likely on the way this next week and later this month, Brusuelas said.
Persons: CNN —, , Joe Brusuelas, , ” Brusuelas, spoilsport, Price, ” Chris Rupkey, , ” Rupkey, Brusuelas Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve, RSM US, New York Fed, National Federation of Independent, Consumer, Index, BLS, Price, FwdBonds, CPI, PPI
Investors are currently reveling in the 'better', as an ongoing eight-month melt-up once again pushed the S&P 500 to fresh highs this week. But sooner or later, the 'worse' will come, warns David Rosenberg, the founder of Rosenberg Research, who famously called the 2008 recession while working as Merrill Lynch's chief economist. AdvertisementAnother sign the market is out over its skis is the performance divergence between the market cap-weight and the equal-weighted S&P 500 indexes. On June 12, the Dow underperformed the S&P 500 by 0.94%, one of only 71 trading days since 1982 where that's happened, according to Rosenberg's technical analysis consultant, Walter Murphy. AdvertisementIn addition to concerning market technicals, fundamentals could also be in a troubling place in the form of labor market weakness, Rosenberg said.
Persons: , David Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch's, Rosenberg, Bob Farrell, Walter Murphy, Murphy, — Rosenberg, it's, Louis Fed, Piper Sandler Organizations: Service, Rosenberg Research, Business, Tech, Dow Jones, Dow, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Federal Locations: lockstep
The S & P 500 has made an all-time high on nearly thirty days this year, four of them this past week. The main S & P is up more than 3% in the second quarter while its median stock is off 5% quarter to date. .SPX mountain 2024-03-29 S & P 500 quarter to date The S & P 500 has added $5.5 trillion in market capitalization in 2024, with roughly half kicked in by the Big Three. Wall Street strategists as a group project no upside for the S & P 500 in the second half , their average and median targets both below Friday's closing level. The weekly American Association of Individual Investors survey shows the spread between bulls and bears narrowing lately even with the S & P grinding higher.
Persons: we've, FANG, That's, It's, Jerome Powell's, Chris Verrone, I've Organizations: Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Investment, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Citi U.S, CPI, Fed, American Association of
Also helping was the 8.5% rally in portfolio heavyweight Nvidia following its 10-for-1 stock split on Monday. Within the Club this week, we heard from Broadcom , which reported strong quarterly results and announced its own 10-for-1 stock split. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.
Persons: Economists, Jerome Powell, financials, That's, Here's, FactSet, Lennar, LEN, Jabil, Smith, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Brendan McDermid Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Wednesday, PPI, Apple, Broadcom, Oracle, Adobe, Nvidia, Investors, Housing, Monday, Darden, Olive Garden, Longhorn, U.S, Accenture, Kroger, KR, Wesson, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Federal Reserve, New York Stock Exchange Locations: U.S, Olive, New York City
How should traders invest in a higher-for-longer rate environment? Before the Bell: What do higher-for-longer rates mean for the stock market? What I find interesting and actually kind of invigorating is the resilience of the US economy in the face of these expected higher-for-longer rates. There will be some sectors that higher-for-longer rates will impact. And so we can see consumer durables slowing down or suffering a little bit in this higher-for-longer rate environment.
Persons: Price, Bell, Wylie Tollette, we’ve, We’ve, Jeanne Sahadi, isn’t, , , , ” Read, iPhones Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Consumer, Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions, Big Tech, Energy, Gallup, Global, , Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia Locations: New York, “ State, United States
US stocks traded mostly lower on Friday but ended up for the week after a cool May CPI report. The Nasdaq 100 closed at record highs driven by AI excitement and solid earnings from Broadcom and Adobe. AdvertisementUS stocks traded mostly lower on Friday but gained for the week after a cool May inflation report and Apple's unveiling of its AI ambitions at WWDC. The Nasdaq 100 finished the week higher by more than 3%, while the S&P 500 was up about 1.5%. The Dow Jones, which has little exposure to the AI tech trade, finished the week down about 0.5%.
Persons: , Dow Jones, Loretta Mester, we'll, Mester, Austan Goolsbee, We've, Goolsbee Organizations: Nasdaq, Broadcom, Adobe, Service, Federal, PPI, CNBC
A growing realization that President Emmanuel Macron’s decision to hold snap elections in France may backfire sent the French stock market tumbling on Friday to its lowest level in two years, and prompted warnings from the French finance minister that the economy risks stumbling into a financial crisis. Amid growing signs that Marine Le Pen’s far-right party may be ushered to the brink of power, France’s benchmark stock index, the CAC 40, slumped 2.7 percent. The losses capped a weeklong losing streak that sent shares down more than 6 percent, wiping out all the bourse’s gains since the start of the year. Among the hardest hit stocks were France’s biggest banks, including BNP Paribas and Société Générale, which hold hefty amounts of French sovereign debt. Equally worrisome, the risk premium that investors demand to hold French government bonds over Germany’s, a eurozone benchmark, rose to the highest since 2017, the biggest weekly jump since 2012, when the euro debt crisis was underway.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron’s, Société Organizations: CAC, BNP Locations: France
US stocks dipped on Friday after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 reached record highs four days in a row. Investors expect the Federal Reserve to begin cutting interest rates at its September FOMC meeting. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Friday's decline in stocks was preceded by a sharp decline in European stocks, as recent election results continue to make waves in France and Germany. The market currently expects the Fed to begin cutting interest rates at its September FOMC meeting.
Persons: Loretta Mester, , DAX, Austan, Mester Organizations: Nasdaq, CNBC, Investors, Federal Reserve, Service, University of Michigan, Fed, Here's Locations: France, Germany
President Emmanuel Macron called the snap elections Sunday after his party lost to the far right in a vote for EU lawmakers, a shock move that rattled markets for French stocks and government bonds. There has been widespread speculation since then that the National Rally, the party of far-right doyenne Marine Le Pen, is poised to become the most powerful force in parliament, unseating Macron’s centrist bloc. The risk of something similar happening in France is real, according to the country’s finance minister, Bruno Le Maire. “This comes down to the (parties’) plans that are on the table, whether we can, yes or no, finance this debt,” Le Maire said. The National Rally has promised to raise public spending and slash VAT on electricity and fuel.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Pen, , Truss, Bruno Le Maire, Le Maire, , ” Le Maire, ’ jitters, Ludovic Marin, La Tribune Dimanche, Frank Gill, Moody’s, ” Joseph Ataman, Mark Thompson Organizations: London CNN —, EU, National, , AAA, Getty Images Stock, haven’t, CNN, BFMTV, La Tribune, National Rally, European Central Bank, ECB Locations: France, ‘ France, French, Portugal, Europe, Italy, AFP, Paris, London
Tempus AI, a health-care diagnostics company that uses AI to interpret medical tests to help physicians provide more accurate treatment for their patients, rose by as much as 15% in its Nasdaq Stock Market trading debut on Friday, after going public under the ticker symbol "TEM." Tempus AI priced 11.1 million shares at $37 apiece on Thursday, at the top of its initial $35 to $37 target range. Its early gains, if they hold, would place the company at a valuation of roughly $7 billion. Tempus believes that AI can help guide therapy selection and treatment decisions, in conjunction with the patient's doctor. "We're on a really good trajectory," Tempus AI CEO Eric Lefkofsky said on CNBC's "Squawk Box" Friday morning before shares started trading.
Persons: Eric Lefkofsky, we're Organizations: Nasdaq Stock Market
Wall Street is wondering whether the tech rally that's pushed the S & P 500 through record after record this year can continue, even as some cracks emerge in the market outlook. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 near record highs A peek inside the major indexes also reveals a similar pattern. Information technology is the best-performing sector in the S & P 500 this week, gaining 6.2%. As it is, the S & P 500 is already above 5,400, having advanced more than 13% this year. Winners and losers market David Miller, investment chief at Catalyst Funds, also said the S & P 500 could end 2024 with a 17% or 18% gain.
Persons: Jeff Klingelhofer, it's, Klingelhofer, Brian Nick, Nick, Dave Sekera, Dave Donabedian, Donabedian, David Miller, Miller Organizations: Nasdaq, Nvidia, Dow Jones, Apple, Thornburg Investment Management, CNBC, Macro, Federal Reserve, Morningstar, CIBC Private Wealth, Catalyst Funds, Microsoft, Google, Visa, MasterCard, American Airlines, Delta Air Lines, Novo Nordisk, TransDigm, Index, Retail, Manufacturing, Housing, Philadelphia Fed, Kroger, Darden, PMI Locations: U.S, NAHB
Even without any interest rate cuts so far in 2024 — and with the likelihood of just one meager rate reduction by the end of the year — the stock market has been purring along. That’s quite an achievement, given the expectation in January that the Fed would trim rates six or seven times in 2024 — and that interest rates throughout the economy would be much lower by now. Buoyant as the stock market may seem, when you look closely, it’s apparent that the S&P 500’s recent returns rest on a precarious base. fever — based on the belief that artificial intelligence is ushering in a new technological age — has been spreading among investors, and that has been enough so far to keep the overall stock market averages rising. In fact, strip away the biggest companies, especially the tech companies, and overall market performance is unimpressive.
Persons: Organizations: Federal, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple Locations: U.S
Here are 9 stocks that can benefit from Fed interest rate cuts
  + stars: | 2024-06-13 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +7 min
Housing We see Stanley Black & Decker as a major beneficiary of Fed rate cuts due to its link to the housing market. On the one hand, lower rates mean a bank like Wells Fargo makes less money on the money it lends. Biotech Danaher should also see some benefit as lower rates lead to improved funding dynamics for biotech companies. Like in housing, monthly payments become far more manageable at lower rates, and therefore affordability and demand, stand to increase. Salesforce , which has also highlighted more measured deal activity, might not benefit as much from lower rates.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Stanley Black, Decker, Stanley, That's, Wells, Morgan Stanley, SVB, Ford, We're, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, David Paul Morris Organizations: Nasdaq, CNBC, Fed, Biotech, Silicon Valley Bank, Ford, Palo, Networks, Microsoft, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Wells, Wells Fargo, Silicon Valley, Colma , California
The producer price index slid 0.2% month over month against forecasts of a 0.1% decrease. Tesla stock jumped as Elon Musk said on X his pay package was headed for approval. AdvertisementUS stocks continued their rally to record highs on Thursday after investors took in another cooler-than-expected inflation print. In May, the producer price index slid 0.2% month over month against forecasts of a 0.1% decrease. Tesla stock jumped more than 6% as Elon Musk said on X that his $56 billion compensation package was headed for shareholder approval.
Persons: Stocks, Elon Musk, , Clark, Bellwether, DealBook Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, PPI, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Vanguard, BlackRock, Here's
India has been dubbed the "perfect" emerging market to invest in, but it can be tricky for those outside the country to gain access. India's stock market has been making headlines this year, and for good reason. "India remains one of the best-performing equity markets this year, underpinned by the world's fastest-growing major economy and a resilient macro backdrop," said James Thom, senior investment director Asian equities at Abrdn, in a note to clients. Some of the top ETFs in North America include the Columbia India Consumer ETF , the First Trust India NIFTY 50 Equal Weight ETF and the BMO MSCI India ESG Leaders Index ETF . In Europe, the list includes the iShares MSCI India UCITS ETF , which provides exposure to around 85% of the stock market, and the Xtrackers MSCI India Swap UCITS ETF Capitalisation 1C .
Persons: Krishnamurthy Subramanian, Narendra Modi's, Kevin T, Carter, Goldman Sachs, James Thom, aren't, GDRs, Arjun Jayaraman, there's, Jayaraman, Abrdn's Thom, Surendra Goyal, Thom, EMQQ Global's Carter, Modi's, it's, Jonathan Pines, — CNBC's Ganesh Rao, Tuul, Bruno Morandi Organizations: CNBC Pro, IMF, Bharatiya Janata Party, EMQQ, CNBC, Wealthmills Securities, Global, Causeway, Mutual, Columbia India Consumer ETF, First Trust India, BMO, India, Nasdaq, Investors, Nokia, Bank of America, Citi, Edge, Reliance Industries, U.S ., Bank of India, Network18, Bank, Getty Locations: India, China, North America, Europe, Singapore, U.S, Indian, Chhatrapati Shivaji Terminus, Mumbai
Tesla Share Price Is Its Own Referendum on Musk
  + stars: | 2024-06-13 | by ( Peter Eavis | Jack Ewing | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
The Tesla shareholder vote over Elon Musk’s pay is in some ways a referendum on the performance of the company and its chief executive. Late on Wednesday, Mr. Musk claimed victory in a social media post, saying that votes in favor of his pay package were leading by “wide margins,” giving Tesla’s stock a boost. But even before the official results are announced on Thursday, Tesla’s flagging stock price shows that investors have plenty of doubts about Mr. Musk and the electric carmaker’s outlook. Tesla’s shares are down nearly 30 percent this year, even as the broader stock market is up 14 percent. At its peak in 2021, the stock market value of Tesla was $1.2 trillion, putting it in the company of tech giants like Microsoft, Apple and Google.
Persons: Musk, Tesla, Price Organizations: Elon, Microsoft, Apple, Google, Visa, Walmart
The spotlight has seemingly shifted in the past year toward companies going to market, hoping to ride on the coattails of India's growth story. Growing foreign listingsThe allure of India's stock markets has trickled to companies beyond its shores — with foreign entities eyeing a share of its growth. Such listings add strength to India's markets, says M&G Investment's Asian Equities Portfolio Manager Vikas Pershad. The optimism on India's IPO boom is sometimes marred by concerns over elevated valuations of its stock market — and whether it is headed toward a bubble. "When we look at India, we see continued economic and earnings per share growth and higher levels of profitability," Dorson from Global X told CNBC's Inside India.
Persons: Swiggy, Debarchan Chatterjee, Neil Bahal, Dhruba Jyoti Sengupta, Ola, PhonePe, Ola Electric, Sengupta, Vikas Pershad, Malcolm Dorson, CNBC's Organizations: Getty, Reliance Industries, Adani Enterprises, Mankind Pharma, Negen, Securities, Exchange Board, Wrise Private, Aakash Educational Services, Aakash Educational, Walmart, United Arab, Hyundai, Insurance Corporation of India, Maruti Suzuki, Hindustan Unilever, Siemens, ABB India, Global Locations: Kolkata, India, SEBI, United Arab Emirates, Sri Lanka, Hyundai India, India's, Maruti Suzuki India, Hindustan
Despite all the good news, there’s one giant, inescapable reason why people don’t feel like the economy is as good as it actually is. Shelter costs — which include rent and an estimated cost of homeownership — were up 5.4% from a year ago. There are some early signs that the housing market is becoming a bit less stuck. At the same time, the one-two punch of inflation and high borrowing costs have discouraged first-time buyers, reducing competition for houses. Of course, as Powell noted in his speech Wednesday, it may take “years” for housing inflation to normalize.
Persons: CNN Business ’, We’re, supercore, doesn’t, , , , Jay Parsons, Jerome Powell, It’s, Orphe Divounguy, Zillow, ” Divounguy, Powell, There’s, Douglas Duncan, Fannie Mae Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Locations: New York, Madera, Texas
US stocks ended mostly higher on Thursday as investors were encouraged by new inflation data. Data showed wholesale inflation rose less than expected in May, a day after CPI showed consumer inflation also slowed. Tesla shares jumped ahead of the results of Elon Musk's pay package vote, while Broadcom soared after earnings. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Meanwhile, Broadcom stock rocketed higher on upbeat earnings and the announcement of a 10-for-1 stock split.
Persons: , Bill Adams, Elon Musk Organizations: Elon, Broadcom, Service, Federal Reserve, Traders, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Fed, Comerica Bank, BlackRock, Vanguard, Bank of America, Nvidia, Here's
The tech momentum trade driving market gains is likely to continue, says WisdomTree's Jeremy Siegel. AdvertisementThe tech momentum trade that has powered the stock market higher over the past year-and-a-half is likely to continue on for a lot longer than most expect, according to WisdomTree economist Jeremy Siegel. "I think that momentum trade on the tech and AI-related is still there. It takes a lot of bad news to break a momentum trade and we just haven't gotten it," Siegel said. "My forecast for three to five years on the entire stock market is 5% after inflation rate of returns.
Persons: WisdomTree's Jeremy Siegel, Siegel, , Jeremy Siegel, Carson Group's, Wharton …, overvalued Organizations: Service, CNBC, Nvidia, Broadcom, it's
Broadcom could be the next stock to reach a trillion-dollar market cap, Bank of America said. AdvertisementChip maker Broadcom looks like a contender to be the next member of the stock market's trillion-dollar club, Bank of America said Thursday. Bank of America thinks Broadcom has even greater potential even after its big quarterly report. Upside drivers will be semiconductor sales and Broadcom's VMWare, a software firm it acquired last year. AdvertisementIf Bank of America's price target pans out, that would place Broadcom among an exclusive group of stocks with trillion-dollar market capitalization.
Persons: BofA, Organizations: Broadcom, Bank of America, Service, VMware, VMWare, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple
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