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State Street , M&T Bank – Shares of State Street dropped 11% after the company posted disappointing earnings and revenue. State Street posted earnings of $1.52 per share on revenue of $3.10 billion, while analysts called for per-share earnings of $1.64 and revenue of $3.12 billion, according to Refinitiv. Meanwhile, M&T Bank shares popped 5% higher after the bank reported beats on the top and bottom lines. Charles Schwab — Shares of Charles Schwab rose about 2.5% after the brokerage firm posted better-than-expected earnings on Monday. Schwab posted adjusted earnings of 93 cents per share, beating analysts' forecast of 90 cents per share, according to Refinitiv.
Market veteran Howard Marks is sounding the alarm on commercial real estate, with an anticipated wave of mortgage defaults set to add stress to the financial system. The longtime investor called commercial real estate loans "one of the biggest worries" U.S. banks face today in the face of higher interest rates and a looming recession. "Higher interest rates call for higher demanded capitalization rates, which will cause most real estate prices to fall," Marks said. To be sure, Marks said he's not sure if banks will suffer losses on their commercial real estate loans, or what the magnitude will be. "Mortgage defaults generally don't signal the end of the story, but rather the beginning of negotiations between lenders and landlords," Marks said.
Steve Eisman of "The Big Short" fame said Monday that he remains cautious in this fluid macroeconomic environment, and is keeping his powder dry by parking cash in short-term Treasurys. I think you have to wait," Eisman said on CNBC's " Squawk Box." "I think what the 10-year [Treasury] is telling you [is] that the market thinks that the Fed's going to cut rates. I think he's petrified of what happened to Volcker when Volcker stopped raising rates [and] inflation resurged." The widely-followed investor previously said the easy days of buying tech stocks to beat the market are over.
The index gets its value derived from option prices on short-term bets being made on the S & P 500. Market strategists say one explanation for the muted VIX is the explosion of zero-day-to-expiration options (ODTEs), contracts that expire the same day that they're traded. "The VIX Index might have become obsolete as a risk barometer," Doug Ramsey, Leuthold Group's chief investment officer, said in a note. Daily notional volumes in these 0DTE options that track the S & P 500 index have exploded to reach a record $1 trillion, according to JPMorgan. LPL Financial analyzed VIX levels for all trading days when the S & P 500 was in a drawdown ranging from 18.5% to 28.5%.
Larry Fink, chairman and CEO of BlackRock , believes the U.S. could skirt a major economic downturn this year, but inflation is going to be around for a while. "No I don't see a big recession," Fink said on CNBC's "Squawk on the Street" Friday. "I'm not sure we're going to have a recession in 2023, we may have it in early 24." The head of the world's largest asset manager said the chance of a recession is dependent on the Federal Reserve's battle against inflation. "It all depends on what is the pathway of inflation of the short run and pathway to the Fed," Fink said.
Wells Fargo reported growing profits Friday as the bank benefited from higher interest rates, despite building up loan loss reserves. Here's how the bank did compared with Refinitiv estimates:Earnings per share: $1.23 per share GAAP versus 90 cents a year ago and $1.13 expected. Revenue: $20.73 billion versus $20.08 billion expected. Wells Fargo increased its net income by more than 30% to nearly $5 billion in the first quarter from a year ago. The bank said its net interest income, what it makes lending money minus what it pays out to customers, increased 45% on the back of soaring interest rates.
The Wall Street firm anticipates U.S. retail sales could be down close to 20%. The Wall Street firm said growth in the drugs has "significantly outperformed" its expectations. Alibaba — Shares of the Chinese e-commerce giant rose 2%, rebounding from a near 6% selloff in the previous session. Chipotle — Shares rose 1% after Citi said it was optimistic about the restaurant chain's earnings report later this month. They will look for insight on whether Tesla is planning more price cuts on key models such as the Model 3 and Model Y.
UnitedHealth has by far the biggest weighting in the Dow Jones Industrial Average . The 126-year-old blue-chip benchmark is price-weighted, meaning stocks with higher share prices are given the most weight. The health-care stock closed Wednesday at $520.97, while the stock with the second-highest impact on the 30-stock Dow, Goldman Sachs , stood at $327.37, nearly $200 less than UnitedHealth. While almost all other equity indexes are weighted by market capitalization, including the S & P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite , that doesn't mean UnitedHealth's power is diminished. The insurer is so large, with a $486 billion market cap, it ranks as the ninth-biggest company in the S & P 500.
Longtime investor and trader Jim Lebenthal said he's favoring big banks over small lenders heading into the earnings season. "The big banks should have been beneficiaries of what went on last month with Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank, meaning they got deposit inflows from the smaller banks," Lebenthal said. "I think we should favor the big banks over the smaller banks just because of their overall strength." Are there further deposit outflows not just from small banks to big banks, but from all banks to money market funds?" The investor called JPMorgan the "creme de la creme" in the banking system and said he owns Citigroup as a value and turnaround play.
Employees of American Airlines help check in passengers at Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport on January 11, 2023 in Arlington, Virginia. Here's a look at some of the stocks making the biggest moves on Wednesday. MongoDB — Shares jumped 9.4% after Morgan Stanley upgraded MongoDB to overweight from equal weight, citing the software company's leadership in cloud optimization initiatives. American Airlines , Delta Air Lines , United Airlines — Shares of the major airline companies were under pressure on Wednesday after American Airlines updated its first-quarter guidance. Shares of American fell more than 9%, while United dropped about 2% and Delta shed nearly 6%.
Investing veteran Stephen Weiss said he's still patiently waiting to deploy capital in the stock market as Wednesday's cooler-than-expected inflation report didn't serve as an all-clear. "Inflation is still stubbornly high," said Weiss, a regular on CNBC's "Halftime Report." Excluding food and energy, the core CPI increased 0.4% and 5.6% on an annual basis, both as expected. The chief investment officer at Short Hills Capital Partners believes that the market valuation is still too high even as earnings declined. Weiss said he's going to be opportunistic until there's clarity of the economic picture.
Legendary value investor Warren Buffett said he has no expertise in artificial intelligence whatsoever, but thanks to Bill Gates, he took a crack at the buzzy chatbot ChatGPT. "I think it's something I don't understand at all, but Bill did come by about four or five months ago at least. I actually said take the song 'My Way' and write it in Spanish," Buffett told CNBC's Becky Quick on "Squawk Box" Wednesday from Tokyo. Buffett recalled Gates saying one of the limitations of ChatGPT is that it can't tell jokes. "I think this is extraordinary but I don't know if it's beneficial."
Warren Buffett says we're not through with bank failures
  + stars: | 2023-04-12 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Investing legend Warren Buffett believes there could be more bank failures down the road, but depositors should not ever be worried. "We're not over bank failures, but depositors haven't had a crisis," the Berkshire Hathaway chairman and CEO told CNBC's Becky Quick on "Squawk Box" Wednesday from Tokyo. The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank last month — the second- and third-largest bank failures in U.S. history — prompted extraordinary rescue action from regulators, who backstopped all deposits in the failed lenders and provided an additional funding facility for troubled banks. "Bankers have been tempted to do that forever," Buffett said. "Accounting procedures have driven some bankers to do some things that have helped their current earnings a little bit and caused the recurring temptation to do get a little bit bigger spread on record, a little more than earnings."
Warren Buffett has grown even fonder of his favorite Japanese trading houses, hiking his already-large investments and teasing of more to come. Berkshire Hathaway raised its stakes in five Japanese trading houses — Mitsubishi Corp. , Mitsui & Co ., Itochu Corp. , Marubeni and Sumitomo — all to 7.4%. Buffett will appear live from Japan on CNBC's "Squawk Box" on Wednesday from 6 a.m. to 9 a.m. The five trading houses — roughly akin to a conglomerate structure, just like Berkshire— seem to check every box of Buffett's stock-picking criteria. In light of expectations for tighter policy, BlackRock , the world's largest asset manager, last month cut Japanese stocks to "underweight."
WW International , the parent WeightWatchers, could see its stock price more than triple as the diet company's new foray into obesity medications could result in a major turnaround, Goldman Sachs said. The Wall Street firm upgraded the stock to buy from neutral Monday evening and raised its 12-month price target to $13. The stock skyrocketed 28% in premarket trading Tuesday after closing Monday's trading at $4.12 apiece. Goldman turned bullish after WW acquired Sequence , a telehealth platform that provides its subscribers with access to GLP-1 medications such as Wegovy and Ozempic. "We believe a catalyst for a turnaround has emerged with its new obesity drug on-ramp solution," Goldman said.
Micron Technology — Micron Technology's shares gained 8% after its rival Samsung Electronics announced that it plans to cut memory chip production in the near term. Excelerate Energy , EQT and other gas stocks — Shares of Excelerate Energy, EQT and other gas stocks ticked higher as natural gas futures climbed. Apple's stock price lost 2%, Google-parent Alphabet shed 2.8% and Microsoft lost 1.4%. New Fortress Energy — The stock gained 4% after Deutsche Bank initiated New Fortress as a buy. AMC's stock price popped 6.7%, IMAX soared by 2% and Cinemark gained 5.7%.
One tech fund is capitalizing on the artificial intelligence boom — and beating 90% of its peers this year. "is probably the largest technology theme, driver and disrupter in the next 10 plus years," said Adam Benjamin, fund manager of the $9.5-billion Fidelity Select Technology Fund (FSPTX). Companies that rushed to embrace digital transformation during the pandemic continue to seek ways to improve efficiency through large language models like ChatGPT enabled by A.I., Benjamin said. "In terms of who is really driving the adoption and will be the enabler behind this technology, Nvidia is really far up," Benjamin said. Going into the period of higher rates, software "had gotten probably several orders of magnitude out of whack relative to historical valuations," Benjamin said.
EU calls for restraint, calm amid Israel-Palestinian clashes
  + stars: | 2023-04-08 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
BRUSSELS, April 8 (Reuters) - EU foreign policy chief Josep Borrell on Saturday condemned the escalating violence between Israel and the Palestinians, urging all parties to exercise restraint and promote calm for the ongoing religious holidays. The EU calls for an immediate end to the ongoing violence. "We urge all parties to exercise maximum restraint, to avoid further escalation and promote calm for the ongoing religious holidays," he said. The Muslim holy month of Ramadan, Judaism's Passover and Christian Easter are all occuring this month. Reporting by Foo Yun Chee; Editing by Toby ChopraOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Finding opportunities in this tricky stock market is no easy task, and Goldman Sachs thinks it might be worth looking at these unloved gems with great potential. The Wall Street bank identified a slew of stocks where its analysts are bullish but most of the Street gave either a neutral or sell rating. These stocks with buy ratings from Goldman analysts have at least 10% upside, based on their price target, and the firm's earnings estimates for these companies are at least 2% above consensus. "These names appear underappreciated by the market and could generate alpha for investors with a contrarian view," Goldman said. Ride sharing giant Lyft is also widely hated by Wall Street, except for Goldman.
Costco — The wholesale retailer's shares dropped 2% after the company announced sales dipped 1.1% year over year in March. Bed Bath & Beyond — The stock tumbled 7% after the retailer proposed a stock split as it attempts to avoid bankruptcy. Analysts covering the stock welcomed the news, with Raymond James upgrading shares to outperform from market perform Thursday morning. Leslie's , Pool — Shares of pool company Leslie's popped 5.4%, while Pool gained 1%, after both names were upgraded by Loop Capital to buy from hold. Craig-Hallum downgraded the stock to hold from buy and Rosenblatt pulled its rating to neutral from buy following the guidance cut.
The European Commission announced the Chips Act last year in a bid to cut EU reliance on U.S. and Asian semiconductors following global supply chain problems that hurt European businesses from carmakers to manufacturers. EU countries and lawmakers will meet at the European Parliament's monthly session in Strasbourg on April 18 to negotiate details of funding for the Act and will likely clinch a deal, the people said. Providing funding to the entire value chain also addresses complaints from the smaller EU countries about being left out after Intel (INTC.O), attracted by the Chips Act, picked Germany for its new mega chip manufacturing complex. Franco-Italian company STMicroelectronics has also teamed up with GlobalFoundries (GFS.O) to build a 6.7 billion euro chip factory in France, drawing on funding from the government. ($1 = 0.9163 euros)Reporting by Foo Yun Chee; Editing by Jan Harvey, Kirsten DonovanOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
BRUSSELS, April 5 (Reuters) - EU countries and lawmakers are likely to clinch a deal on a multi-billion euro plan to boost the bloc's semiconductor industry on April 18, sources with direct knowledge of the matter said on Wednesday. The European Commission announced the Chips Act last year in a bid to cut EU reliance on U.S. and Asian semiconductors following global supply chain problems that hurt European businesses from carmakers to manufacturers. The countries and lawmakers will meet at the European Parliament's monthly session in Strasbourg on April 18 to negotiate details of funding for the act, the people said. Discussions have to date focused on a 400-million-euro ($438 million) shortfall, but the EU executive has managed to come up with the bulk of the funds, they said. ($1 = 0.9132 euros)Reporting by Foo Yun Chee; Editing by Jan HarveyOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
The Western Alliance Bancorporation logo is seen in this photo illustration on 13 March, 2023 in Warsaw, Poland. This development would give U.S. government customers and industry partners access to enterprise-grade capabilities by Palantir and Microsoft. Western Alliance also said it has enough liquidity to cover the remaining uninsured deposits. Johnson & Johnson — Shares rose about 3%. Conagra Brands — The packaged goods food company rose 3% after topping Wall Street's expectations on the top and bottom lines for the recent quarter, according to FactSet.
Shares of Western Alliance Bancorp cut steep losses Thursday after the regional bank gave a new update showing deposit outflows stabilizing amid the banking crisis. Western Alliance had suffered an exodus of deposits in the aftermath of the collapses of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank last month. Western Alliance said it experienced a total of $6 billion net deposit outflows in the first quarter. The bank also said its total insured deposits now stood at 68% of total deposits, significantly higher than year-end, which represented 50% of total deposits. The bank stock is down more than 50% this year, off 66% from its record high.
Within Europe, Goldman prefers companies in value sectors that pay dividends , as well as select defensive and growth stocks in the market. Emerging markets Several Wall Street analysts are putting their money on emerging markets, with most bullish on China, the world's second-largest economy. While the bank expects just 1% earnings growth for emerging market stocks, it said the sector's valuation looks attractive at a 23% discount to global peers. Philip Blancato, CEO at Ladenburg Thalmann Asset Management, is also bullish on emerging markets. He added that the case for adding to emerging market allocations is growing, particularly given the "near guarantee" of a softer dollar in the short- to medium-term.
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