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Two women sit on the sidewalk of Qiansimen Jialing River Bridge, decorated with Chinese national flags, on October 3, 2024 in Chongqing, China. National Day Golden Week is a holiday in China commemorates the founding of the People's Republic of China in 1949. But he stopped short of announcing any new major stimulus plans, underwhelming investors and weakening the rally in the mainland Chinese markets. China will speed up special purpose bond issuance to local governments to support regional economic growth, the senior NDRC official said. Zheng said ultra-long special sovereign bonds, totaling 1 trillion yuan, have been fully deployed to fund local projects, and he vowed that China will continue to issue ultra-long special treasury bonds next year.
Persons: Zheng Shanjie, Zheng Organizations: National, Reform, Golden, CSI Locations: Chongqing, China, People's Republic of China, Shanghai
The dollar clung to seven-week highs against major currencies on Tuesday as investors ponder the outlook for U.S. rates after a strong jobs report last week dashed bets for large rate cuts, while escalating tensions in Middle East dented risk sentiment. Traders have drastically shifted their monetary easing expectations from the Federal Reserve this year. That has kept the dollar on the front foot and surging to a multi-week high against the euro, sterling and the yen. The New Zealand dollar was 0.3% higher at $0.6144 ahead of the monetary policy decision on Wednesday. A majority of economists in a Reuters poll last week said the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will cut interest rate by 50 basis points.
Persons: Kieran Williams, Louis, Alberto Musalem, Shigeru Ishiba Organizations: Federal Reserve, Asia FX, InTouch, Reserve Bank of St, Treasury, Bank of, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New Locations: Middle East, Asia, China, Bank of Japan, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
But he did not announce any major new plans for ensuring economic health, leaving investors feeling underwhelmed. The iShares MSCI China ETF (MCHI) sank nearly 11%, on track for its worst day ever. The iShares China Large-Cap ETF, for example, soared 33% between Sept. 23 and Oct. 7. Morgan Stanley strategist Laura Wang on Tuesday revised price targets for the major Chinese stock market indexes, suggesting no room for further gains compared with current levels. "Today's press conference at least in the near term reinforces such belief, in our view, and the stock market could see more divergence at individual stock level."
Persons: Zheng Shanjie, Bilibili, Nio, Ray Dalio, FXI, Jeff deGraaf, David Tepper, Morgan Stanley, Laura Wang, Wang, Merrill Lynch, Helen Qiao, Xiangrong Yu, Yu Organizations: National, Reform Commission, CSI China Internet, Billionaire, Bridgewater Associates, Greenwich Economic, Appaloosa Management, U.S . Federal Reserve, Wynn Resorts, Sands, Macau — Locations: China, Greenwich, Greenwich , Connecticut, Beijing, Macau, Tuesday's, U.S
Hong Kong CNN —China has set aside 200 billion yuan ($28 billion) for investment projects by local governments this year, as it promised to meet its own ambitious economic growth targets. China announced a 5% target growth rate in March, but a series of economic data over the summer has been so weak that economists were worried the goal might be missed. To help local governments struggling with mountains of debt, Beijing will provide 100 billion yuan ($14 billion) from the central government’s budget and an extra 100 billion yuan for investment projects, Zheng said. Nevertheless, investors were disappointed at the lack of details on new fiscal measures,” Fred Neumann, chief Asia economist for HSBC, told CNN. Fiscal measures, on the other hand, can include the use of taxation or other measures to impact public spending more directly.
Persons: ” Zheng Shanjie, Zheng, Xi Jinping, Fred Neumann, What’s, Jia Kang, , … Jia Kang, , Xi, Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, National Development, Reform Commission, HSBC, CNN, , Ministry of Finance, Citi, People’s Bank of China Locations: China, Hong Kong, Beijing, Asia, Shanghai, Shenzhen
Dollar on a roll after U.S. jobs data and Middle East flare-up
  + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Bank notes of the Chinese yuan, Japanese yen and the U.S. dollar. Japan's yen fell to its lowest in nearly two months and other major currencies too were grappling with losses early on Monday as the dollar extended a rally sparked by Friday's strong U.S. jobs data and an escalation in the Middle East conflict. But that came on top of a more than 4% decline last week, its biggest weekly percentage decline since early 2009. Yields dipped early last week when investors bought safe-haven Treasuries after Iran launched more than 180 missiles against Israel in escalating geopolitical tensions. Market expectations have swung to the extreme for the Federal Reserve to do just a 25 bps cut in November, rather than 50 bps, following the jobs data.
Persons: Friday's, Chris Weston, haven't, Brent, underperformance, Shigeru Ishiba, Sterling, Huw Pill, Andrew Bailey, BoE Organizations: U.S ., Federal, U.S, Treasuries, Federal Reserve, Bank of England Locations: China, East, Israel, Lebanon, Gaza, Iran, Japan
China's stock investors and watchers are discussing the markets before they reopen. AdvertisementChina's investors are looking forward to some stock market action after the country's weeklong National Day break. AdvertisementChina's domestic stock markets are dominated by retail traders, who number over 200 million and account for about 70% of trading volume. Goldman Sachs, for one, has upgraded China's stocks to overweight and is forecasting another 15% to 20% upside to Chinese shares. China's stimulus measures include interest rate cuts and 800 billion yuan, or about $114 billion, to support the domestic stock markets.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Twitter, Weibo, Shanghai Stock Exchange Locations: China, Mainland, Beijing, Weibo, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Shenzhen
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRoom for Chinese yuan appreciation if equity flows return to China: TD SecuritiesAlex Loo of TD Securities expects China to deliver a "pretty substantial fiscal package" and explains why he's turned bullish on the country's currency.
Persons: Alex Loo, he's, bullish Organizations: TD Securities Locations: China
The stimulus measures should have come far sooner, says Lun, but better late than never. Beijing has largely held back on unveiling fiscal measures, which can include the use of taxation or other measures to impact public spending. Another one trillion yuan may be set aside for recapitalizing banks or helping indebted local governments to issue bonds. Jia said China’s economy had expanded sufficiently since then to support the issuance of Treasury bond financing between four trillion to 10 trillion yuan. Any meaningful stimulus measures must tackle the problem of oversupply in the property market, experts said.
Persons: Francis Lun, he’s, Lun, , we’re, Juliana Liu, Ray Dalio, Pan Gongsheng, Li Yunze, Wu Qing, Pan, Jing Liu, it’s, Xi, Jia Kang, Jia, Chi Lo Organizations: Hong Kong CNN —, Index, CNN, Geo Securities, Nikko Asset Management, Bridgewater Associates, National Development Reform Commission, People’s Bank of China, Financial Regulatory, China Securities Regulatory, HSBC, Reuters, Ministry, Finance, Ministry of Finance, China Academy of New, Barclays, BNP, Management Locations: China, Hong Kong, Causeway, Beijing, Renhuai
Chinese stocks could climb as much as 15% on the nation's expected fiscal stimulus package, SocGen said. The stimulus measures could push China's GDP to grow as much as 5% next year, strategist said. The package could amount to as much as 3 trillion yuan, or $427 billion, and include an "open-ended commitment" for a bigger stimulus package the following year. "The exact magnitude of the boost will be subject to the size and details of the fiscal package … the sustainability of housing stabilization and household wealth recovery." AdvertisementOther experts have noted that China's monetary stimulus measures are unlikely to be effective without fiscal stimulus to go along with it.
Persons: SocGen, , Société Générale Organizations: Service, National People's Conference Locations: Beijing, China
Western sanctions have forced Russia to rely on the Chinese yuan for reserves and trade. China's financial system is deeply tied to the greenback, limiting diversification options. These include the entrenched role of the greenback in the global commodities trade and much larger foreign reserves than Russia, wrote Greene, a former senior advisor at the US Treasury. However, many CIPS participants are highly connected to the dollar financial system and potentially subject to the reach of US sanctions. The dollar is still kingIn short, China just can't copy Russia's sanctions-proofing playbook and is likely to continue orbiting around the dollar financial system in the near-term.
Persons: , China —, Robert Greene, Greene, China's, It's, dollarization, James Lord, Morgan Stanley's, Michael Zezas Organizations: Service, Carnegie Endowment Asia, US Treasury, Patomak Global Partners, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Locations: Russia, China, Beijing, Russia's, Ukraine
"Maybe that weight loss product (by United Laboratories) works, maybe it doesn't. United Laboratories' price-to-earnings of 5.8 times is a fraction of the 34.3 times that Novo Nordisk is trading at, Peche added. [United Laboratories] is making smooth progress in R & D and targets to launch Liraglutide in 2024. Their comments follow United Laboratories' "faster than expected earnings" growth in the first half of the year. Analysts' average price target on United Laboratories is 12.95 Hong Kong dollars, giving it 28.2% potential upside.
Persons: Sean Peche, it's, Peche, there's, that's, Eli Lilly, Amgen, Carol Dou, Sunny Chen, UOB Kay Hian, bode Organizations: Novo Nordisk, Ranmore Fund Management, United Laboratories, Pfizer, AstraZeneca, Global Equity Fund, Hong, Hong Kong bourse, HK Locations: Hong Kong, Novo, Europe, U.S
China's economic woes dampen 'Golden Week' holiday travel
  + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( Anniek Bao | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Passengers arrive at the Beijing railway station on the first day of peak travel ahead of the National Day holidays in China's capital city on Sept. 29, 2023. China is expecting to see more travelers during Golden Week, but the country's persistent economic woes will likely continue to weigh on overall spending this holiday season. Prices for both domestic and outbound flights during the National Day period declined compared to last year, according to report by Trip.com released last month. During the Golden Week holiday last year, China saw domestic tourism revenue reach 753 billion yuan ($107.37 billion). By comparison, a single-day record of 20.7 million trips were made on May 1, the start of China's Labor Day holiday.
Persons: Shaun Rein, Rein, Trip.com, Alicia Garcia Herrero Organizations: Golden, Authorities, Ministry of Transport, China Market Research Group, Ministry of Culture, National Railway Administration, China's Labor, Tourism Locations: Beijing, China's, China, Tourism
Investors shouldn't be putting their money in Chinese stocks for the long term, according to Kyle Bass. The "Big Short" investor pointed to the long-running stagnation in Chinese stocks. AdvertisementInvesting in China over the long term is nothing short of a bad idea, according to "Big Short" investor Kyle Bass. The Hayman Capital founder said he's still bearish on China, despite the historic run-up in Chinese stocks after Beijing unveiled a fresh stimulus package. Bass has been bearish on China for years, previously shorting the Chinese yuan before closing his position in 2019.
Persons: Kyle Bass, , he's, China hasn't, Bass, you'll Organizations: Investors, Service, Hayman Capital, CNBC, Communist Locations: China, Beijing, Hong, Kong, Taiwan, Russia
Costfoto | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesBEIJING — The rocket higher in Chinese stocks so far looks different from the market bubble in 2015, analysts said. Major mainland China stock indexes surged by more than 8% Monday, extending a winning streak on the back of stimulus hopes. Stock market leverage by percentage and value were far higher in 2015 than data for Monday showed, according to Wind Information. He added that there are market risks from how unprepared the stock trading system was for the surge of buying. Reports indicate brokerages have been overwhelmed with new requests, echoing how individuals piled into the stock market nearly a decade earlier.
Persons: Aaron Costello, We're, Xi Jinping, Zhu Ning, Stephen Roach, Yale Law School's Paul Tsai, Costello, Peter Alexander, it's, , Alexander Organizations: Nurphoto, Getty, Cambridge Associates, U.S ., greenback, U.S, CSI, People's Bank of China, Nikkei, Yale Law, Yale Law School's Paul Tsai China Center, Ministry of Finance, Ben Advisors, Shanghai Stock Exchange Locations: Hangzhou, China, BEIJING, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Asia, MSCI, People's Republic of China, Beijing
BYD has informed the Chinese regulator it is recalling nearly 97,000 electric vehicles (EVs) due to a manufacturing fault involving a steering control unit that could lead to fire risks, the market regulator said on Sunday. The Chinese automaker is recalling Dolphin and Yuan Plus EVs manufactured in China between November 2022 and December 2023, according to a statement from the State Administration for Market Regulation (SAMR). The company would ask its dealers to install a physical fix in the recalled cars, the SAMR statement added. Dolphin and Yuan Plus were BYD’s two top-selling models in 2023, which in total accounted for 26% of its three million cars sold in the year, according to data from the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers. It recalled a small batch of Tang plug-in hybrids in 2022 due to a defect in the battery pack that could cause fires.
Persons: BYD Organizations: State Administration, Market, Yuan, China Association of Automobile Manufacturers Locations: China
Yen steadies, dollar slips as China reaches for stimulus
  + stars: | 2024-09-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Japanese 10,000 yen banknotes and U.S. one-hundred dollar banknotes are arranged for a photograph in Tokyo, Japan. The yen slipped about 0.4% to 142.75 per dollar after jumping 1.8% on Friday. European inflation data on Tuesday and Chinese data due later on Monday are also keenly awaited. The New Zealand dollar was up 0.3% at $0.6360 after hitting its highest since December on Friday. "The trend over next year or so is for the dollar to go down," said Commonwealth Bank of Australia strategist Joe Capurso.
Persons: Shigeru Ishiba, Ishiba, Ray Attrill, Joe Capurso Organizations: Liberal Democratic Party, NHK, Bank of Japan, National, New, New Zealand, U.S, U.S . Federal, Commonwealth Bank of Australia Locations: Tokyo, Japan, National Australia, China, U.S .
Chinese consumers are opting for affordable alternatives across various categories to save money. The trend, known as pingti, is driven by economic challenges and is popular among young people. Consumers are finding cheaper substitutes for luxury goods, everyday items, and even healthcare. It's now become a trend in China to save on nearly every consumer category, from luxury goods to everyday consumables to travel, with cheaper substitutes. A Bank of America survey of 1,052 adult Chinese consumers showed weakening consumer sentiment, with 30% of respondents planning to spend more — down from 45% in June.
Persons: , It's, Bobbi Brown, Estée Lauder, MingYii Lai, it's, Lindy, Hermes Lindy, Lai, Ruth Jin, Xiaohongshu Cleo Xie, they've, She's, Xie, Jin, Yves Saint Laurent, Keith, she's Organizations: Service, Daxue Consulting, Bottega, Prada, University, Dai, PPI, Bank of America Locations: China, Xiaohongshu, Beijing, Ili, Xinjiang, Provence, France, Xishuangbanna, Laos, Myanmar, Bangkok, Thailand, Chengdu, Europe, Asia
Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading: Nio — The U.S.-listed shares of the Chinese electric vehicle maker climbed 9.5% after Nio announced a 13.3 billion yuan cash injection for its Nio China business. The transactions are expected to be completed by year-end, and will reduce Nio Inc.'s stake in Nio China to 88.3% from its current 92.1%. CVS Health — Shares jumped 3.3% on news that hedge fund Glenview Capital intends to meet with CVS Health's executives to boost the struggling business. Crypto stocks — Stocks tied to the price of bitcoin retreated with the cryptocurrency following a sizeable rally last week. Cumberland Hospital for Children and Adolescents is an "indirect subsidiary" of Universal Health Services, according to an 8-K filing.
Persons: Nio, Alibaba, Stocks, bitcoin, Coinbase, MicroStrategy, Bitcoin, EchoStar, Piper Sandler, Stephen Scouten, — CNBC's Sean Conlon, Tanaya Macheel, Sarah Min, Jesse Pound, Pia Singh Organizations: Nio Inc, GM, Ford, CVS, , Glenview Capital, CNBC, DirecTV, Amerant, Moderna, Universal Health Services, Cumberland Hospital for Children Locations: U.S, China, Glenview, Florida
Nio – U.S.-listed shares surged more than 13% after the Chinese electric vehicle maker announced it will receive a cash injection of 13.3 billion yuan for its Nio China. "Strategic investors" will provide 3.3 billion yuan of that injection, with the rest coming from Nio Inc. The transactions, which are expected to be completed by the end of this year, will reduce Nio Inc.'s stake in Nio China to 88.3%, down from 92.1%. This also spurred a broader rally among China stocks, which saw their best day of trading since 2008 . Rocket Lab – Shares rose more than 3%, extending the more than 12% gains seen during Friday's session.
Persons: Nio, Ford, Alibaba, Stocks, bitcoin, Coinbase, MicroStrategy, Bitcoin, , Lisa Kailai Han, Sarah Min, Tanaya Macheel Organizations: Nio Inc, KeyBanc, CVS, Street Journal, Glenview Capital Locations: Nio –, China, Glenview, East, Gulf Coast
Tourists visit an ancient city gate in Beijing, China ahead of National Day. The stock market may be in the midst of one of its most remarkable turnarounds, but economists say reversing China’s economic downturn will require much more work. “Stimulating the stock market doesn’t really do much for the real economy in China. Very few people invest in the stock market compared to other major markets,” said Logan Wright, director of China markets research at Rhodium Group. Property woesThe outlook for the real estate industry, which makes up about a quarter of the Chinese economy and 70% of household wealth, remains dim.
Persons: Japan’s “, Xi Jinping, Xi, Xu Tianchen, Hong, David Tepper, , Logan Wright, Wright, There’s, ” Wright, , hasn’t, Alfred Wu, Lee Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Economist Intelligence Unit, Reuters, Shenzhen bourses, Securities Times, Tourists, Management, CNBC, Barclays, Communist Party, Lee Kuan Yew, of Public, National University of Singapore Locations: Hong Kong, China, People’s Republic, United States, Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Guangzhou, China’s, Xi’s
Homebuyers can also now put less money down on their purchases — an attempt to breathe life into China's moribund property market. Since the pandemic, China's leader, Xi Jinping, has done little to stop the bleeding in the country's property market or to get China's ailing consumers to start spending money again. Xi's Beijing lacks the will and the power to turn China's economy around. At the heart of its problems is a lack of consumer demand and a property market going through a deep, slow-moving correction. Plus, there's Xi, who seems fairly uninterested in restructuring the property market.
Persons: Gongsheng, Wall, Xi Jinping, China —, Goldman Sachs, , Sam Altman, Genéralé, Michael Pettis, Xi doesn't, Friedrich Hayek, Xi Organizations: Beijing, People's Bank of China, People's Bank, Shanghai, Chinese Communist Party, Nasdaq, CCP, Peking University, Carnegie Endowment, European Union Locations: China's, China, Beijing, Austrian
Russia would be in a recession by now if it weren't for the nation's hefty war budget, economists told BI. War spending is propping up the economy, which is becoming increasingly overheated, they added. AdvertisementWar may be the only thing keeping Russia's economy afloat. Russia's economy is also being plagued by currency problems, Gorodnichenko said, pointing to Russia's limited access to the dollar as the result of Western sanctions. That will ultimately depend on how long the war in Ukraine — and therefore, spending on the war — will last.
Persons: , Jay Zagorsky, there's, Zagorsky, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Gorodnichenko, That's Organizations: Service, Boston University's Questrom School of Business, Kremlin, Ukraine, University of California, Bank of, Russia, Ukraine — Locations: Russia, Moscow, Ukraine, Russian, Berkeley, Bank of Russia, Soviet, China
But the past week's stimulus blitz did not offer fiscal support to China's discouraged consumers. AdvertisementChina's latest stimulus blitz offers everything but one key fix: new incentives to revive consumers. While Tuesday's stimulus package didn't address fiscal support, Chinese officials appear to be getting around to it. Even if China commits to bigger fiscal support in the near term, it could be too late to change things this year, Huang said. For instance, Chinese consumers are staying away from new housing projects even as China has introduced looser mortgage rates and downpayment rules.
Persons: , Liz Young Thomas, Tianlei Huang, Huang Organizations: Service, JPMorgan, Investment, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Reuters, Communist, Barclays, Bank of America Locations: China, Beijing
Chinese markets clocked their best week in almost 16 years as the mainland’s CSI 300 rallied 15.7% this week, buoyed by several economic stimulus measures by the central bank. The last time the index saw a bigger weekly gain was the week ending Nov. 14, 2008. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index recorded a weekly gain of 12.75%, making it the index’s best week since February 1998, according to FactSet data. Tokyo’s headline inflation rate eased to 2.2%, down from August’s 2.6%. A slate of fresh U.S. economic data also supported the market’s gains, with weekly jobless claims falling more than expected, pointing to a steady labor market.
Persons: Hong, PBOC, Shigeru Ishiba, Sanae Takaichi, Korea’s Kospi, Australia’s, Organizations: CSI, People’s Bank of China, Google, Shanghai Stock Exchange, Reuters, Japan’s Nikkei, of Japan, U.S ., Micron Technology, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial Locations: China, Shanghai, Asia, Pacific, Tokyo, August’s, U.S
China's industrial profits plunged by 17.8% in August from a year ago, the National Bureau of Statistics said Friday. Industrial profits covers factories, mines and utilities in China. Sluggish domestic demand, a prolonged housing downturn and rising unemployment have weighed on the world's second largest economy. In August, China's industrial activity, retail sales and urban investment all grew slower than expected, with retail sales rising by barely more than 2% and industrial production by 4.5% from a year ago. The urban unemployment rate was 5.3% in August, an uptick from 5.2% in the previous month.
Persons: China's, Xi Jinping, Pan Gongsheng Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, People's Bank of China Locations: China's, Jiangsu, China, Beijing
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