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The small-cap-heavy Russell 2000 will jump 15% or more in August, Fundstrat's Tom Lee told CNBC. Expectations of a Trump White house are also helping drive small-cap buying, Lee added. Fundstrat's Tom Lee told CNBC that the small-cap-focused Russell 2000 is likely to gain 15% or more through August, if history is any guide. Lee says the market's certainty in upcoming interest-rate cuts — expected to commence in September — is helping drive the small-cap rally. "The nine times it did that since 1979, when you were in a bear market, we were up 100% — one month, three months, six months, 12 months later," he said.
Persons: Russell, Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Lee, , It's, He's, Donald Trump Organizations: CNBC, Trump, Service, tanking, Barclays
Tesla — Stock in the electric vehicle company sank about 9% after second-quarter earnings were weaker-than-expected. Texas Instruments — Stock in the chipmaker ticked up about 2% thanks to better-than-expected second-quarter earnings. Texas Instruments reported earnings of $1.22 per share while analysts polled by LSEG expected $1.17. Visa's $8.9 billion in revenue was slightly weaker than an estimated $8.92 billion from analysts polled by LSEG. Analysts polled by LSEG forecast $404 million.
Persons: LSEG, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, , Alex Harring, Sarah Min, Jesse Pound Organizations: YouTube, . Texas, , Texas, Garden Entertainment, Visa —, LSEG, FactSet, Capital, Meta, Seagate, Enphase Energy Locations: Madison
Here are Wednesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: RBC upgrades Estee Lauder to outperform from sector perform RBC said it sees an attractive risk/reward. Morgan Stanley reiterates Tesla as overweight Morgan Stanley said it's standing by shares of Tesla following the release of disappointing earnings. Morgan Stanley initiates Biohaven as overweight Morgan Stanley said it sees "value creation" for the biotech company. Morgan Stanley downgrades General Motors to equal weight from overweight Morgan Stanley said it sees a more "balanced" risk/reward for shares of GM. " Cantor Fitzgerald downgrades Tesla to neutral from overweight Cantor downgraded Tesla following earnings on Tuesday.
Persons: Lauder, Raymond James, Taylor Morrison, it's, Morgan Stanley, Tesla, Tesla's, TD Cowen, JFrog, Cowen, Lockheed Martin, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Smith, Stifel, GOOGL, Jefferies downgrades, Gamble, Jefferies, Piper Sandler downgrades Ulta, Piper, Gordon Haskett, Joel Anderson, Cantor Fitzgerald downgrades Tesla, Cantor Organizations: RBC, Taylor Morrison Homes, Tesla, Lockheed, Spotify, JPMorgan, Garden Entertainment, Apple JPMorgan, Apple, Jefferies downgrades Colgate, Palmolive, Procter, Colgate, Gamble, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche, Motors, GM, Barclays, Disney, Universal Studios, Davidson Locations: GenAI, Malibu
Read previewInvestors should stay on guard as this market rally loses steam, a veteran strategy chief says. The investment chief and the chief market strategist signaled in April that US equities had an attractive risk-reward setup after a 5.5% selloff. "All those factors combined suggest maybe a choppier market, even though we still think the long-term bull market is intact," Lerner said. "In the fall, I think investors will eventually come back to tech because I still think that's the main secular theme of this bull market," Lerner said. "But I don't know that this is a game changer for this bull market where small caps will be leadership."
Persons: , Truist's Keith Lerner, Lerner, Truist, Truist Lerner, he's, you've, isn't, haven't Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Business
Mega-cap tech stocks have a lot to prove with upcoming second-quarter earnings results. The long-term outperformance of mega-cap tech relative to small-cap stocks is being tested by slowing revenue growth. AdvertisementThe mega-cap tech rally hit a wall in recent weeks as investors turned their attention to small-cap stocks in a historic way. That's in stark contrast to the dominance of mega-cap tech stocks relative to small-cap stocks over the past one-, three-, five-, and ten-years. Investors will get their first taste of mega-cap tech earnings on Tuesday, with Tesla and Alphabet set to release their second-quarter results after the market close.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, , Russell, David Kostin, Kostin, That's Organizations: Service, Vanguard, Growth, Tech, Investors, Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Nvidia, Big Tech, Trump
The firm is looking at specific levels for the 10-year Treasury yield and manufacturing PMI. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. New research from Bank of America outlined two specific criteria that could serve as signals the rally will continue. AdvertisementMeanwhile, manufacturing PMI fell to 48.5 in June. "The Manufacturing economy is in the second longest downturn in history with 21 months without two straight months of 50+ PMI.
Persons: , SPW, Russell, Tom Lee Organizations: of America, PMI, Service, Bank of America, Treasury, 6.3ppt, Bank of America Global Research, Federal Reserve, Barclays Locations: outperformance
Analyst Mauricio Serna also raised his price target to $20 from $13, indicating 57.6% upside potential from where shares closed on Thursday. Barclays also lowered its price target to $47 from $55, indicating 11.4% downside from Thursday's close. Analyst Benjamin Swinburne has a $780 price target on shares, indicating shares could rise 20% from Thursday's close. Cahall raised his price target to $758 from $726, suggesting nearly 18% upside potential from the stock's close price on Thursday. His new price target of $190, up from $107, implies upside of 20% from Thursday's close.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Mauricio Serna, Serna, — Hakyung Kim, Barclays downgrades Molson Coors, Lauren Lieberman, BUD YTD, Hakyung Kim, Benjamin Swinburne, Swinburne, Doug Anmuth, Anmuth, Wells, Steven Cahall, Cahall, Arm Holdings Morgan Stanley, Lee Simpson, Simpson, GenAI, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Netflix, Arm Holdings, UBS, Barclays downgrades, Barclays, bearish, Molson Coors, NFLX's, Holdings, ARM Locations: Serna, Thursday's, Wells Fargo
But the race between Vance and Ryan remained extremely competitive until the end, even as other statewide Republicans had easy victories that year. While Vance won the race that November, the extent of his struggles was on full display on election night. AdvertisementRyan was undoubtedly a strong candidate, but Vance's underperformance relative to other Ohio Republicans was quite stark. But in urban and suburban communities across Ohio, Vance was swamped by Ryan in the Senate race. In the Cincinnati area, where Vance lives, Ryan won populous Hamilton County by nearly 16 points.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Sen, JD Vance, Vance, Trump, Tim Ryan, Ryan, Ohioan Sen, Sherrod Brown, Joe Biden, Mike DeWine, Dayton Mayor Nan Whaley, Dave Yost, Frank LaRose, DeWine's coattails, Ukraine — Vance, Roe, Wade —, Mitch McConnell of, John Thune of, Republicans aren't Organizations: Service, Ohio Republican, GOP, Democratic, Business, Republicans, Democrats, Ohio, Buckeye State, Republican, Dayton Mayor, Ohio Republicans, Independents, Senate, Ukraine Locations: Ohio, Mahoning, Michigan , Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, exurban, Cincinnati, Hamilton County, Franklin County, Columbus, Cuyahoga County, Cleveland, The Ohio, Ukraine, Sens, Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, John Thune of South Dakota, Trump, Rust
Temasek aims to invest up to $10 billion in India as China weighs
  + stars: | 2024-07-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Beautiful and colorful aerial view of Mumbai skyline during twilight seen from Currey Road, on Feb. 16, 2022 in Mumbai, India. India accounts for 7% of Temasek's global exposure which it wants to increase further, said Mohit Bhandari, the company's managing director for India investments. "We are bullish in India for the long term," Bhandari said in an interview at Temasek's Mumbai office. Temasek last week said that profits from investments in the United States and India were helping it cushion the impact of underperformance in China. Temasek also said that it is taking a cautious approach to China amid trade tensions.
Persons: Mohit Bhandari, Bhandari Organizations: Temasek Locations: Mumbai, India, Singapore, China, United States, Temasek
Don't expect the mammoth returns of the S&P 500 to continue this year, according to Goldman Sachs Asset Management's midyear investment outlook released last week. AdvertisementBut this doesn't mean that Goldman Sachs is expecting a severe downturn. Active management is more important now than ever, and Goldman Sachs recommends taking steps now to prepare for a lukewarm second half of 2024. To address geopolitical instability and financial shocks, Goldman Sachs recommends hedging risk through commodities. Goldman Sachs is seeing increasing opportunities in Asia.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Alexis Deladerrière, , Lindsay Rosner, Rosner, Deladerrière, it's Organizations: Service, Goldman, Business, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Fed Locations: Mexico, France, East, Ukraine, industrials, underperformance, Asia, Japan, India
A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 3, 2024. The S&P 500 is up nearly 18% in 2024, while the Nasdaq Composite is up 22% in that same time frame. Americans have often been accused, especially by those living abroad, of having a rather narrow view of the world. But President Xi Jinping's "party over prosperity" political model continues to dampen enthusiasm among both foreign investors and domestic consumers. There may be a day that that becomes true and other economies and markets may prove more alluring, but that day has yet to come.
Persons: it's, Xi Jinping's, It's, Dorothy Gale of, Ron Insana Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, U.S, National Institution for Finance, Development, Monetary Fund, Overseas, Treasurys, U.S ., CNBC Locations: New York City, U.S, Japan, Argentina, Turkey, China, Shanghai, Italy, Spain, America, Dorothy Gale of Kansas
IWM 5D mountain iShares Russell 2000 ETF Next week's earnings results will help investors glean whether that rotation trade is sustainable. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, which is weighted more toward the real economy than is the S & P 500 and Nasdaq, rose to a new record above 40,000. According to FactSet consensus estimates, S & P 500 companies are set to post blended earnings growth of 9.2% in the second quarter. "It's not unthinkable to see us exiting this year at 5,800 on the S & P," he said. This follows a difficult 2Q, when 75% of Large Cap Core managers trailed the S & P 500," Palfrey wrote.
Persons: Patrick Palfrey, Hogan, Keith Buchanan, Buchanan, Palfrey, David Sekera, Quincy Krosby, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Huntington Organizations: Nasdaq, UBS, Investors, Riley, Dow Jones, Globalt Investments, Riley Securities, Big Tech, Core, LPL, BlackRock, Bank of America, Taiwan Semiconductor, Price, Retail, Hunt Transport Services, State, PNC Financial Services, UnitedHealth, United Airlines, Discover Financial Services, U.S . Bancorp, Johnson, Citizens Financial Group, Philadelphia Fed, Netflix, T Bank, KeyCorp, American Express, Halliburton, Fifth Third Bancorp, Regions Locations: Nasdaq, NAHB, Horton, Blackstone, Taiwan
Investors eager to buy into the stock market rally may want to hold off, according to an analyst for Canadian investment bank Canaccord Genuity. The S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite closed at all-time highs on Monday, adding to strong gains in the first half of the year. The tech-heavy Nasdaq ended the first half up 18.1%, while the S & P rose 14.5% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 3.8%. In fact, the top 10 stocks in the S & P now account for more than 38% of the index's total capitalization, a new high, Welch said. Meanwhile, the S & P 500 is trading at a rich multiple of 24 times trailing 12-month profits, and expectations are for 10.1% earnings growth in the second quarter, he said.
Persons: Canaccord Genuity's Michael Welch, Welch, Russell Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial
CNBC Daily Open: Are markets overly optimistic?
  + stars: | 2024-07-09 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., December 1, 2023. This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. While open to collaboration, Elliott plans to give shareholders a say in leadership changes if the board remains unresponsive. Despite selling $379 million worth of bitcoin in recent weeks, Germany's Federal Criminal Police Office still holds roughly 32,488 bitcoins — worth around $1.9 billion at today's prices.
Persons: Beryl, Elliott, Elliott Management, Bob Jordan, Gary Kelly, Corning, We've, Wendell Weeks, Max Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Nasdaq, Apple, Nvidia, Dow Jones, Treasury, Southwest Airlines, Police, Federal Criminal Police, Boeing, Wall Locations: New York City, U.S, Saxony, Texas
CNBC Daily Open: Are markets too optimistic?
  + stars: | 2024-07-09 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. While open to collaboration, Elliott plans to give shareholders a say in leadership changes if the board remains unresponsive. Despite selling $379 million worth of bitcoin in recent weeks, Germany's Federal Criminal Police Office still holds roughly 32,488 bitcoins — worth around $1.9 billion at today's prices. Japan stocks hit record highJapan's export-heavy Nikkei 225 as well as the broader Topix hit record highs amid a broader rise in Asia-Pacific markets.
Persons: Beryl, Elliott, Elliott Management, Bob Jordan, Gary Kelly, Corning, We've, Wendell Weeks Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Nasdaq, Apple, Nvidia, Dow Jones, Treasury, Southwest Airlines, Police, Federal Criminal Police, National Australia Bank, CSI Locations: New York City, U.S, Saxony, Japan, Asia, Pacific, Al
TD Cowen raised its price target on Netflix, calling for 13% upside for the stock. JPMorgan analyst Rachel Vatnsdal was similarly bullish with her $42 price target, while Morgan Stanley analyst Tejas Savant set a price target of $44. The analyst also raised his price target to $42 from $37, indicating a potential 3% upside from the stock's Monday afternoon close. — Lisa Kailai Han 5:44 a.m.: TD Cowen lifts Netflix price target ahead of second-quarter earnings announcement TD Cowen expects more gains ahead for Netflix . NFLX YTD mountain NFLX year to date — Lisa Kailai Han 5:44 a.m.: KeyBanc hikes Nvidia price target The good times for Nvidia are not over yet, according to KeyBanc.
Persons: TD Cowen, KeyBanc, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America Michael Ryskin, Ryskin, Rachel Vatnsdal, Tejas Savant, Morgan Stanley's Savant, William Blair, Stifel, Lisa Kailai Han, Wells, Donald Fandetti, Fandetti, — Lisa Kailai Han, Grayson, Daniel Lungo, Piper Sandler, Scott Siefers, BAC's NII, Siefers, JPMorgan Chase, Cowen, John Blackledge, Blackledge, John Vinh, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Netflix, Nvidia, Wall, Tempus, Nasdaq, JPMorgan, Bank of America, Precision Oncology, Needham, American Express, Devon Energy, of America, Citigroup, Blackwell, Wolfe Research, UBS Locations: Devon, Williston, Netflix's, Monday's, 2H24, GB200
Investors should take a look at the options market to bet on the long-awaited rebound of Wells Fargo , according to the derivatives research team at Goldman Sachs. John Marshall, the firm's head of derivatives research, said in a note to clients that Wells Fargo looks like an options trade candidate ahead of its earnings report. Wells Fargo is set to release its latest earnings before the bell on Friday. WFC 5Y mountain Wells Fargo is off to a strong start in 2024 after a long period of underperformance. Wells Fargo has been a long-term underperformer among bank stocks, and it is still under regulatory restrictions related to a fake accounts scandal under a previous CEO.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, John Marshall, Wells, Goldman, Richard Ramsden, Richard, Wells Fargo, Marshall, NII, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Locations: Wells Fargo, Wells, underperformance, 2H24
Activist investor Elliott Management said Monday it would mount a proxy fight to push for change at Southwest Airlines through a special shareholder vote unless management is willing to negotiate, citing a poison pill and board expansion that the investor views as "entrenchment maneuvers." Elliott in its letter to Southwest's board said it remained open to collaboration, but that the board had taken steps to box Elliott out. A proxy fight would be expensive and challenging for Elliott and Southwest Airlines. Activist investors can mount proxy fights if they are seeking to force change in a company's leadership or operations. Companies usually settle with Elliott, one of the most successful activist investors, rather than risk taking on the activist in a proxy battle.
Persons: Elliott Management, Elliott, Bob Jordan, Gary Kelly, underperformance, John Pike, Bobby Xu, expeditiously, Rakesh Gangwal, Pike, Xu Organizations: Southwest Airlines, Elliott, Southwest, Companies, Salesforce Locations: Southwest
Despite the pullback, a primary uptrend remains in place for the CAC 40, in addition to the related iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ) . Both proxies for French stocks appear to be finding their footing, which suggests that the market is welcoming the latest news regarding the election. Once the final outcome is determined, it would be natural for investors to respond favorably to the removal of uncertainty, particularly given the oversold status of French stocks. This suggests a counter-trend phase of outperformance is possible for French stocks versus U.S. stocks. Recent stabilization in many French stocks shows a positive reaction to widespread intermediate-term oversold conditions, which we gauge using the weekly stochastic oscillator.
Persons: LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton, Katie Stockton Organizations: CAC, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: France, EWQ
Southwest Airlines said Wednesday that it has adopted a shareholder rights plan, more commonly known as a "poison pill," in response to activist Elliott Management's investment in the airline and push to oust CEO Bob Jordan and Chairman Gary Kelly. The poison pill will only activate if Elliott — or another investor — acquires at least 12.5% of the company. "Southwest Airlines has made a good faith effort to engage constructively with Elliott Investment Management since its initial investment and remains open to any ideas for lasting value creation," Kelly said in a statement. Elliott and Southwest management met in person just two weeks ago, according to people familiar with the matter. Companies often adopt shareholder rights plans in response to an activist threat; rental car company Hertz adopted a poison pill in 2013 in response to "unusual" trading activity that management thought presaged an activist.
Persons: Elliott, Bob Jordan, Gary Kelly, Elliott —, , Kelly, Hertz, Jordan, Morgan Stanley, Ellis Organizations: Southwest Airlines, Elliott Investment Management, Companies, Boeing, Southwest, Texas, Bank of America, & Locations: Southwest, Dallas, New York, West Palm Beach , Florida, Kirkland
—Katie Stockton with Will Tamplin Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein. This material is not to be reproduced or redistributed absent the written consent of Fairlead Strategies.
Persons: Cathie, ARKK, Katie Stockton Organizations: Innovation, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities Locations: ARKK
The higher the PE ratio, the more investors believe the business will generate strong earnings growth in the future to justify the price today. Even excluding the technology sector, which trades at a robust 30.8 times earnings, the market's PE is a solid 18.3 times next year's earnings, according to FactSet. One place investors scour is the list of low PE stocks, which they perceive as offering attractive value because they are "cheap." First, when growth stocks are in their early stage of expansion, they can grow earnings in the high double-digits range. Then, we grouped these equities into quintiles based on their relative PE ratio from highest (1 st quintile) to lowest (5 th quintile).
Persons: Karen Firestone Organizations: Microsoft, Apple, Nike, Asset Management, Traders, New York Stock Exchange
England edged past Slovakia to reach the Euro 2024 quarter-finals, but only after staring a humiliating defeat in the face. England did get the ball in the net early in the second half, but Phil Foden’s effort was ruled offside. That gave Southgate’s team a lead that they defended successfully for the remainder of extra time to retain their place in the tournament… just. AdvertisementAcross their four matches at this tournament, England showed consistent failings that have not been addressed. Peter RutzlerWas the first half England’s worst of the tournament (so far)?
Persons: Gareth Southgate’s, Ivan Schranz, Jordan Pickford, Phil Foden’s, Declan Rice, Jude Bellingham, , Harry Kane, Jacob Whitehead, Oliver Kay, Mark Carey, Peter Rutzler, Gareth Southgate, Kyle Walker, Marc Guehi flicked, Cole Palmer, Eberechi Eze, Ivan Toney, Southgate, Carl Recine, Oliver Kay Breaking, Jude Bellingham’s, Marc Guehi, Martin Dubravka, Bellingham, Gareth Southgate England, Kieran Trippier, Trent Alexander, Arnold, Conor Gallagher, Kobbie Mainoo, Ian MacNicol, England —, Toney, Harry Kane’s, underperformance —, Kobbie, Shaun Botterill, John Stones, Ivan Schranz’s, England …, Mainoo Organizations: Slovakia, England, Switzerland, Adidas, Championship, Argentina Locations: Slovakia, England, Ruhr, ignominy, , Dusseldorf, Bellingham, Martin, Southgate’s, Iceland, Switzerland, Gelsenkirchen
Wells Fargo reiterates Nvidia as overweight Wells said it's sticking with its overweight rating on the stock. "We initiate coverage of net lease REIT Essential Properties (EPRT) with a Buy rating and $33.00 12-month price target. Citi reiterates Apple as buy Citi moved the tech giant up a spot to its number 2 top pick. Wells Fargo reiterates Amazon as buy Wells raised its price target on Amazon to $239 per share from $234. "We initiate coverage of Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) with a Buy rating and a 12-month price target of $8 per share."
Persons: Raymond James, Deere, it's, Morgan Stanley downgrades Nike, Morgan Stanley, Wells, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Oppenheimer, Riley, Piper Sandler, Piper, managements, it's bullish, Rosenblatt, ASML Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Deutsche, Nvidia, Properties Realty Trust, Apple, Citi, Xerox, JPMorgan, Realty Trust, Inc, Travelers, Susquehanna, Nextracker, BMO, SAP Locations: Americas, China
Here's a rapid-fire update on all 33 stocks in Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust, the portfolio we use for the CNBC Investing Club. Best Buy : Jim said Best Buy's pullback in recent days has created a buying opportunity in the electronics retailer. Salesforce : The stock has in recent weeks clawed back some of its post-earnings plunge , even before Thursday's 6% surge. Wynn Resorts : Wynn is another stock in the portfolio that, it's become increasingly clear, trades based on its exposure to China. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Jim Cramer's, Jim, Wall, Abbott, Johnson, We're, haven't, it's, Walt Disney, Estee Lauder, levered, Eli Lilly, Lilly, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, OpenAI, Jensen Huang, Nikesh Arora's, Stanley Black, Decker, TJX, We've, Wells, Charlie Scharf poaches, Wynn, Jim Cramer, Michael M Organizations: Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust, CNBC, Club, Apple, Abbott Laboratories, Prime, Web, Broadcom, VMWare, Costco Wholesale, Costco, Coterra Energy, DuPont, Walt, Disney, Nvidia, Ford Motor, Ford, Blue, Motors, GE Healthcare, GE, Management, Honeywell, Linde, Microsoft, Palo Alto Networks, Procter & Gamble, Constellation Brands, Modelo, Corona, Fed, TJX, JPMorgan, Wynn Resorts, Wynn, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, Getty Locations: China, Covid, Dover, Eaton, Palo Alto, U.S, Wells Fargo, Las Vegas
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