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Barbie dolls (R) are displayed for sale ahead of Black Friday at a Walmart Supercenter on November 14, 2023 in Burbank, California. Shoppers may get an early present this holiday season: falling prices in many gift-giving categories. On Thursday, Walmart CEO Doug McMillon said deflation could be coming as general merchandise and key grocery items, such as eggs, chicken and seafood get cheaper. Across most categories, Americans are still spending more on the same items, according to the latest CPI numbers. Walmart's McMillon said some stubborn food prices continue to be a concern.
Persons: Barbie, Doug McMillon, it's, Richard McPhail, John David Rainey, Rainey, Walmart's McMillon Organizations: Walmart, Shoppers, Labor Department, CPI, Home, American Farm Bureau Federation, Wall, CNBC Locations: Burbank , California, U.S
Food inflation, which had taken over from energy as the main driver of inflation in recent months, also slowed in October. For example, officials look at core inflation, a measure that excludes food and energy prices, because they can be volatile and heavily influenced by international financial markets. Policymakers also track wage growth, one of the stickier aspects of inflation. Price growth in the services sector, which is heavily influenced by companies’ wage costs, slowed to 6.6 percent. Controlling inflation is actually in the hands of Bank of England policymakers who are mandated to return inflation sustainably to 2 percent.
Persons: Rishi Sunak, Huw Pill, Pill Organizations: Bank of England Locations: Ukraine, Britain, Bristol, British
It's a sign the dream economic scenario – where the Fed reins in inflation without crushing growth or driving up unemployment – is still on the table. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . After a difficult few months, there are signs the central bank's dream economic scenario is back on the table once again. The dream economic scenarioSome big-name investors sounded cautious in their responses to the latest data, warning that inflation may prove stickier than expected. Some might call this a "Goldilocks" scenario – where inflation, growth, and the job market all look "just right".
Persons: Stocks, , PIMCO, Paul McCulley, Jamie Dimon, Ken Griffin, Matt Turner, Taylor, it's Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Federal Reserve, Reuters, Nasdaq, JPMorgan, Citadel, optimist, country's Locations:
Markets are probably overreacting to the October inflation data, according to Jamie Dimon. The JPMorgan CEO told Bloomberg that he's "afraid inflation may not go away that quickly". AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve shouldn't call time on its inflation fight just yet, according to Jamie Dimon. "I'm afraid inflation may not go away that quickly," Dimon added. AdvertisementThe JPMorgan boss isn't the only big name on Wall Street telling markets not to put too much stock in Tuesday's CPI print.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, , Stocks, Dimon, El Financiero, that's, Dimon –, they've, isn't, Ken Griffin Organizations: JPMorgan, Bloomberg, Service, JPMorgan Chase, El Financiero Bloomberg, CPI, Billionaire Citadel
Morning Bid: Murky US inflation picture
  + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +6 min
According to consensus forecasts at least, U.S. headline inflation is expected to have retreated sharply again in October back toward midyear lows around 3.3%. But underlying 'core' inflation is expected to stay stickier at an unchanged annual rate of 4.1% last month and still more than twice the Fed's target. But the Fed may want to hang tough long enough into a slowing economy to ensure that inflation is squeezed back to its 2% goal. And perhaps the negative tilt on October core inflation going into today's release leaves more room for a positive surprise. The International Energy Agency on Tuesday raised its oil demand growth forecasts for this year and next despite the weakening economic picture.
Persons: Lucas Jackson, Mike Dolan, Goldman Sachs, Xi Jinping, Joe Biden, Biden, Xi, Shunichi Suzuki, Philip Jefferson, Loretta Mester, Austan Goolsbee, Michael Barr, Huw Pill, Christina Fincher Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, New, Bank of America's, Treasury, International Energy Agency, U.S, Economic Cooperation, Reuters, Bank of Japan, Japan's Finance, Home, Federal, Cleveland Fed, Chicago Fed, Banking, Housing, Urban Affairs, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, California, San Francisco, Asia, China, Japan, Teck, United States
The major averages advanced again this week as earnings results came in largely better than expected, interest rates stabilized and oil prices dropped below $80 a barrel. Looking ahead, we'll get a couple more earnings results and some key inflationary data to chew on. In this past week, we bought 150 shares of DuPont (DD) and added 75 shares of Wynn Resorts (WYNN). As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Stocks, Wynn Resort's, WYNN, we'll, That's, , we're, it's, PANW, Tyson, Henry Schein, Spero, Sanara, Sara Lee Corp, JD.com, Woodward, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Mario Anzuoni Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Coterra Energy, Emerson, Disney, PPI, TJX, Palo Alto Networks, DuPont, Wynn Resorts, WYNN, Tyson Foods, TSN, Tower Semiconductor, Partners, Genius Sports, Spero Therapeutics, Star Bulk Carriers Corp, Beauty Health, Asure, Gladstone Capital Corp, TeraWulf Inc, Harrow Health, Afya, Sea, Paysafe Group Holdings, Solar Inc, Aramark Holdings Corp, Lending, Holding, BioXcel Therapeutics, IHS Inc, Rewalk Robotics, Acurx Pharmaceuticals, Energizer Holdings, Power Solutions, Rekor Systems, Wine Estates, Momentus Inc, SIGMA Lithium Corporation, AlTi, QuickLogic Corporation, Arcturus Therapeutics, Dada Nexus, Solutions, Target Corp, Parts, ZIM Integrated Shipping Services, Alto Networks, Cisco Systems, Chemical & Mining Co, PennantPark Investment Corp, Copa Holdings S.A, Walmart, Arcos Dorados Holdings, ARCO, NICE, Body, Warner Music Group Corp, Ross Stores, Homes, Dolby Laboratories Inc, American Software, ESCO Technologies, ZTO, International, BJ's Wholesale, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Maxx Locations: Macau, Chile, Cayman, Pasadena , California
.SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD Progress, for sure, with something more to prove. And of course, the S & P had only just broken an eight-session win streak before then. There's no doubt the spread between, say, the Nasdaq 100 and the equal-weight S & P 500 is extreme this year, at some 42 percentage points. The S & P 500 High Beta Index, tracked by the SPHB ETF , now trades under 15-times forward earnings, down from 20-times in February and a current 18 for the S & P 500. Earnings growth — even if slow and unevenly bestowed across sectors — tends to limit equity downside at minimum.
Persons: that's, Disinflation Organizations: Federal, stoke, Treasury, Fed, NYSE, Trader's, Nasdaq, Beta Locations: Friday's
Take Five: That rate cut trade
  + stars: | 2023-11-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Nov 10 (Reuters) - Markets are keen to trade rate cuts and big central banks are pushing back, shining a new light on upcoming data in that tug of war. Traders, anticipating roughly three quarter-point Fed rate cuts next year, will now turn their attention to Tuesday's inflation data to confirm their view on the outlook. A sharper cooling could fan the peak rate talk, fuelled by October's employment report, which pointed to an easing in labor markets. Reuters Graphics Reuters Graphics3/ ONCE BITTENThe robust dollar suddenly appears vulnerable to the push and pull in the market's Fed rate cut bets. The data could also help justify, or challenge, recent remarks from BoE chief economist Huw Pill that mid-2024 could be the time for rate cuts.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Lewis Krauskopf, Kevin Buckland, Danilo Masoni, Alun John, Dhara, Jerome Powell, Ping, Powell, Rishi Sunak, Sunak, BoE, Huw Pill, Sumanta Sen, Pasit, Riddhima Talwani, Prinz Magtulis, Jayaram, Dhara Ranasinghe, Tomasz Janowski Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Traders, Reuters, Beijing, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, China, New York, Tokyo, Milan, London, Washington, September's, Germany, Europe, ITALY, Italy
Artificial intelligence's influence on increased productivity and a strong consumer could underpin the next bull run on Wall Street, according to Bank of America. "I think this is actually a very underappreciated bull case," she added. The "Magnificent Seven" stocks in the S & P 500 have been large growth drivers for Wall Street for most of 2023. As long as those factors don't change, we think that the consumer can hang in there," she said. "We've had a big move in rates, but companies have so far been able to withstand it.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, it's, We've, Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America, Wall, Nvidia, Apple, Federal Reserve, Survey
As a result, the local dollar slipped 0.4% to $0.6460 and bond futures rallied as investors lengthened the odds on a further rise in December. "It was a dovish hike...it's not pointing to any immediate need for a follow-up," said Rob Thompson, rates strategist at RBC Capital Markets. "You'd think they'd have opened the door to a bit more than this, but they are just trying to do as little as possible. INFLATION PROVES STUBBORNThis was Bullock's first rate change since taking over as governor in September, and could go some way to burnish her inflation-fighting credentials. Reporting by Wayne Cole Editing by Shri NavaratnamOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Michele Bullock, it's, Rob Thompson, Bullock, Wayne Cole, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Reserve Bank of Australia, RBC Capital Markets, CPI, Australia, Thomson Locations: SYDNEY, United States, Canada, Europe
"There was a lot of excitement and hope at the return of Bob Iger a year ago," a current Disney staffer told Insider. Uncertainty about the company's future and about who's deciding what on the creative side has left execs in a state of inertia, according to an entertainment lawyer with knowledge of Disney's business. The declining linear TV business culminated in a standoff with Charter Communications over terms for a new contract for carrying Disney's cable channels. And Disney's streaming business, which was supposed to make up for the decline in cable revenues, has lost $11 billion since Disney+ launched in 2019. Churn is a top concern in Disney streaming, some employees said.
Persons: Goofy, what's, Bob Iger, Bob Chapek, He's, confidants, Zenia Mucha, Alan Braverman, Alan Horn, Jayne Parker, Christine McCarthy —, Mickey, Ariel, grumbled, Iger's, It's, he's, Iger, Paul Verna, Chapek, Bob, it's, Ron DeSantis —, Iger —, Nelson Peltz, he'd, hasn't, Verna, Disney, Ike Perlmutter, Peltz, Perlmutter, Ike, Disney's, Paul Singer, Kevin Mayer, Tom Staggs, Puck, Stagg's Blackstone, Intelligence's Verna Organizations: Walt Disney Co, Disney, ABC, Hollywood, CNBC, Writers Guild of America, Wall, Insider Intelligence, Marvel, Lucasfilm, Century Fox, Google, Facebook, Netflix, Communications, Florida Gov, Hulu, ESPN Iger, FX, Geographic, ESPN, Apple, Electronic, Elliott Investment Management, Bloomberg, Mayer Locations: Burbank, Hollywood, Florida's, Iger
European fintech firm Revolut on Thursday said it appointed former Barclays executive Francesca Carlesi as its new U.K. CEO. A spokesperson for Revolut told CNBC that the move was not linked to its application for a banking license. Carlesi would be in charge of the company's U.K. operation — which, once it receives a banking license, would manage the Revolut banking division. The appointment comes at a time when Revolut is beefing up its local operation amid a long wait to obtain a coveted British banking license. Revolut was late to file its accounts earlier this year, which exposed the company to criticisms over whether it is ready to become a fully licensed bank.
Persons: Revolut, Francesca Carlesi, Carlesi Organizations: Barclays, Deutsche Bank, Molo Finance, Revolut, CNBC, Bank of England, Financial, Authority Locations: U.K, British
Jamie Dimon expects the Federal Reserve's war on inflation to shake markets at some point. Dimon warns overseas conflicts are a key concern and could hit the American economy. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementAdvertisementInvestors should prepare for turmoil as the Federal Reserve forges ahead in fighting inflation, Jamie Dimon says. "It'll have an effect on the economy, and it may determine whether the economy goes to hard landing or soft landing," Dimon said.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, Dimon, , there's hasn't, Warren Buffett Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Yahoo Finance, Reserve, First Republic Locations: Ukraine, Israel, Europe, China
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon suspects the Fed may not be done hiking rates, per Yahoo. On Wednesday, the Fed said it would hold federal funds at rates steady in the 5.25% to 5.5% range. Dimon said the Fed may still hike rates by 0.25 percentage point to 0.75 percentage point. "I think they're right to pause here and see what happens," Dimon told Yahoo Finance Live just hours after the central bank's decision. On Wednesday, the Fed said it would hold the federal funds rate steady in the 5.25% to 5.5% range.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, Dimon, , JPMorgan Chase Organizations: JPMorgan, Yahoo, Service, Federal Reserve, Yahoo Finance, Fed
Here are the biggest calls on Wall Street on Tuesday: Bank of America reiterates Apple as neutral Bank of America said China remains a risk for Apple . UBS downgrades Regions to neutral from buy UBS said the Birmingham, Alabama-based regional bank is going into the "penalty box." DA Davidson upgrades Braze to buy from neutral DA said shares of the cloud-based software company will benefit from "resilient growth." Piper Sandler downgrades Monster to neutral from overweight Piper said in its downgrade of Monster that it had previously been just "wrong." Seaport initiates Amazon, Meta and Alphabet as buy Seaport initiated Amazon , Meta and Alphabet on Tuesday, saying it sees further upside for all three.
Persons: Bernstein, Tesla, underperform Bernstein, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, it's bullish, Ingersoll Rand, Stifel, Davidson, Needham, Moffett, Piper Sandler, Piper, MNST, Redburn, Morgan Stanley, Wells, it's, Baird, KeyBanc, , Tommy Hilfiger, Larsson, Calvin Klein Organizations: Bank of America, Apple, of America, Nvidia, Reuters, AMD, Microsoft, UBS, Regions, Lattice Semiconductor, PSA, Fitness, Retail Media, Barclays, Rio Tinto, FMC Corp, FMC, JPMorgan, PVH, Energy Locations: China, wearables, Birmingham , Alabama, Rio
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's investment committee discuss BlackRock CEO Larry Fink's latest comments and moreBryn Talkington, Joe Terranova, Jim Lebenthal, and Steve Weiss join 'Halftime Report' to discuss the potential for a recession during the upcoming election year, Larry Fink's comments about inflation remaining stickier than expected, and data indicating consumer spending remains healthy.
Persons: Larry Fink's, Bryn Talkington, Joe Terranova, Jim Lebenthal, Steve Weiss Organizations: Watch, BlackRock
Mike Blake | ReutersIn theory, getting inflation closer to the Federal Reserve's 2% target doesn't sound terribly difficult. The main culprits are related to services and shelter costs, with many of the other components showing noticeable signs of easing. watch nowInstead, getting better control of rents, medical care services and the like could take ... well, you might not want to know. Policymakers have been banking on the notion that when existing rental leases expire, they will be renegotiated at lower prices, bringing down shelter inflation. He added that the CPI report "is a reminder that we do not have good historic examples to lean on" for long-term patterns in rent inflation.
Persons: Mike Blake, Steven Blitz, Goldman Sachs, Lisa Sturtevant, Christopher Bruen, Marta Norton, Stephen Juneau, Juneau Organizations: Reuters, GlobalData, Street, Cleveland Fed, Bright MLS, Housing, Americas, Morningstar Wealth, Bank of America Locations: Rancho, San Diego , California, Maryland, Stephen Juneau , U.S
サマリー Global growth forecast unchanged at 3.0% in 2023Inflation dropping but 'not quite there yet'-IMF chief economistIMF raises U.S. forecast, cuts outlook for China, euro areaMARRAKECH, Morocco, Oct 10 (Reuters) - The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday cut its growth forecasts for China and the euro area and said overall global growth remained low and uneven despite what it called the "remarkable strength" of the U.S. economy. The IMF left its forecast for global real GDP growth in 2023 unchanged at 3.0% in its latest World Economic Outlook (WEO), but cut its 2024 forecast by 0.1 percentage point to 2.9% from its July forecast. "The global economy is showing resilience. "We see a global economy that is limping along and it's not quite sprinting yet." It left Japan's 2024 growth outlook unchanged at 1.0%.
Persons: Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, Gourinchas, It's, it's, Andrea Shalal, Andrea Ricci Organizations: IMF, Monetary Fund, Economic, International Monetary Fund, World Bank, Reuters, Labor, U.S, autoworkers Locations: China, MARRAKECH, Morocco, U.S, Ukraine, Israel, Marrakech, United States, Japan
China Daily via REUTERS Acquire Licensing RightsSummary Global growth forecast unchanged at 3.0% in 2023Inflation dropping but 'not quite there yet'-IMF chief economistIMF raises U.S. forecast, cuts outlook for China, euro areaMARRAKECH, Morocco, Oct 10 (Reuters) - The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday cut its growth forecasts for China and the euro zone and said overall global growth remained low and uneven despite what it called the "remarkable strength" of the U.S. economy. In its latest World Economic Outlook, the IMF left its forecast for global real GDP growth in 2023 unchanged at 3.0% but cut its 2024 forecast to 2.9% from its July forecast of 3.0%. Even in 2028, the IMF is projecting global growth of just 3.1%. You put all these things together and you have a slowdown in medium-term growth," Gourinchas told Reuters. If the real estate crisis deepened, China's growth could be lowered by as much as 1.6% percentage point, which in turn would knock 0.6 percentage points off global growth, Gourinchas said.
Persons: Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, Gourinchas, It's, it's, Andrea Shalal, Andrea Ricci, Catherine Evans Organizations: REUTERS Acquire, IMF, Monetary Fund, World Bank, Reuters, Research, Labor, U.S, autoworkers, Thomson Locations: Jinhua, Zhejiang province, China, MARRAKECH, Morocco, U.S, COVID, Ukraine, Israel, Marrakech, United States, Japan
US service sector slows modestly in September -ISM survey
  + stars: | 2023-10-04 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
Despite the slowdown in new orders, services inflation remained elevated. The services sector is at the center of the Fed's battle to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Services prices tend to be stickier and less responsive to rate hikes. Some economists view the ISM services prices paid measure as a good predictor of personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation. A measure of services sector employment fell to 53.4 from 54.7 in August.
Persons: Lucia Mutikani, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Institute for Supply Management, PMI, Fed, Thomson Locations: U.S
We're talking about this year's rise in bond yields, oil prices and the dollar — all at the time same. Nevertheless, bond yields, oil prices and the dollar always have far-reaching implications for the stock market. "The higher yields, that's what's been pressuring the equity market," Wharton School professor Jeremy Siegel said Monday on CNBC. In early September, the two countries announced their supply cuts would extend through year-end, a surprise decision that added upward pressure on oil prices. The picture is less clear-cut when considering the impact higher oil prices can have on consumers and non-energy companies.
Persons: , what's, Jeremy Siegel, Brent, WTI, It's, Siegel, Wharton's Siegel, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Nasdaq, U.S, multiweek United Auto Workers, General Motors, Club, Ford, Wharton, CNBC, Federal, Fed, Dow Jones, West, Brent, Natural Resources, Coterra Energy, Consumers, JPMorgan, Procter, Gamble, Apple, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: U.S, Ukraine, West Texas, Saudi Arabia, Russia, tailwind, headwind
The growth of artificial intelligence is creating a multitrillion dollar opportunity poised to benefit these software and technology stocks, according to Morgan Stanley. Nvidia shares have more than tripled this year as investors bet on the promise of its graphics processing units fueling many AI models. For Alphabet, Morgan Stanley forecasts that every 2% of AI spending could drive 5% upside to the company's cloud platform, and account for $3 billion in incremental revenue by 2026. Within the software space, the Morgan Stanley also highlighted Adobe as a long term beneficiary, noting that generative AI could accelerate EPS growth back toward the mid-high teens. "Generative AI functionality into existing workflows of a broad base of subscribers, enabling stickier customer engagement and opportunity to monetize incremental productivity provided to users," the firm said.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Keith Weiss, Morgan Stanley's, Joe Moore, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Microsoft, Nvidia, NVDA
Interest rates keep climbing, but that's not stopping Wall Street analysts from finding a slew of stocks to buy. CNBC Pro combed through top Wall Street research to find stocks that are beneficiaries of high interest rates. HealthEquity "We view HQY as an attractive investment in a higher interest rate environment that can function as a portfolio diversifier," according to Baird analyst Mark Marcon. The firm said as middle market businesses face rising interest rates, Bunge can take advantage. Toll Brothers High interest rates are no problem for the homebuilder, Raymond James analyst Buck Horne said in a recent note.
Persons: Bunge, Baird, Mark Marcon, Marcon, Goldman Sachs, Adam Samuelson, Samuelson, Raymond James, Buck Horne, Horne, homebuilders, TOL, HealthEquity, Morgan Stanley Organizations: CNBC, Bank of America, Toll, HealthEquity, Costco, Evercore ISI, CMA, Catering Locations: HealthEquity, homebuilders, homebuilding
Dollar rides Treasury yields higher, yen battered
  + stars: | 2023-09-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar traded near a 10-month high against its major peers on Wednesday as Treasury yields stayed elevated on the prospect of higher-for-longer U.S. rates, while the yen stumbled towards a closely-watched intervention zone. "The U.S. dollar is stickier to the upside than the downside," said Tina Teng, market analyst at CMC Markets. The elevated U.S. yields have spelt trouble for the yen , which edged marginally higher to 149.01 per dollar, after having slipped to a 11-month low of 149.185 on Tuesday. The dollar/yen pair tends to be extremely sensitive to changes in long-term U.S. Treasury yields, particularly on the 10-year front. "Even if there were intervention, it won't drive dollar/yen down permanently unless bond yields start to retreat in earnest too."
Persons: Sterling, Tina Teng, Alvin Tan Organizations: National Printing Bureau, Treasury, U.S, CMC Markets, Fed, Asia FX, RBC Capital Markets, New Zealand Locations: National Printing Bureau Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, Asia, Tuesday's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJanet Yellen: Don't see any signs that the economy is at risk of a downturnTreasury Secretary Janet Yellen joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the country's fiscal course, what could start to hit next year that may make inflation stickier, and the Secretary's upcoming diplomatic trip.
Persons: Janet Yellen
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