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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLabor market will now determine the Fed's rate trajectory, says RBC's Andrzej SkibaAndrzej Skiba, RBC Global Asset Management head of US fixed income, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss the economy's most recent inflation readings, how much the labor market is weakening, and much more.
Persons: RBC's Andrzej Skiba Andrzej Skiba Organizations: Labor, RBC Global Asset Management
We are not tipping into a recession, says RBC's Lori Calvasina
  + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe are not tipping into a recession, says RBC's Lori CalvasinaLori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets head of U.S. equity strategy, joins CNBC's 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss how her expectations from the market, why she sees a rally in 2025, and more.
Persons: RBC's Lori Calvasina Lori Calvasina Organizations: RBC Capital Markets
The S & P 500 earned three records this week alone. The S & P 500 is also moving in tandem with de facto market leader Nvidia , which advanced 4.6% on the week. Meanwhile four sectors in the S & P 500, real estate, financials, energy and health care, all ended the week lower. .SPX NVDA 5D mountain The S & P 500 still ended the week higher despite a slight pullback in gains on Friday. The month is typically the worst stretch of the year, but so far the S & P 500 is ahead 1.6%.
Persons: Michael Rosen, NVDA, Lori Calvasina, Calvasina, CNBC's Organizations: Nvidia, Equity, Angeles Investments, Macro, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, RBC Capital Markets
The Treasury market, though, hasn’t been paying attention. Officials penciled in another 50 basis points in reductions by the end of the year and another 100 by the end of 2025. That sentiment is evident in the “breakeven” inflation rate, or the difference between standard Treasury and Treasury Inflation Protected Securities yields. The 5-year breakeven rate, for instance, has risen 8 basis points since the Fed meeting and is up 20 basis points since Sept. 11. Taken together, the various dynamics in the Treasury market are making it a difficult time for investors.
Persons: hasn’t, , Jonathan Duensing, — haven’t, , Robert Tipp, We’re, Jerome, Powell, ” Duensing, Tom Garretson, “ They’d, There’s Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury, Amundi, Fed, CME, Treasury Inflation, RBC Wealth Management
Here’s what could knock the stock market’s momentum
  + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The S & P 500 also reached an all-time high last week and posted a weekly advance of 1.4%. Here's a look: Valuations The S & P 500 trading near record highs is a double-edged sword, as valuations are also at historically high levels. "The S & P 500 is already trading a little above where it deserves to at year-end 2024." Scott Chronert of Citi also noted that six of the 11 S & P 500 sectors have "valuation composites near/at top decile levels." The S & P 500 has averaged a 2.3% loss in September over the past 10 years, according to FactSet data.
Persons: Stocks, it's, Lori Calvasina, Scott Chronert, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Piper Sandler, Craig Johnson, Gonzalo Asis, RBC's Calvasina, Citi's Chronert Organizations: Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, RBC Capital Markets, Citi, NBC, Presidential, PCE, Bank of America
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCroft: We haven't seen major disruptions, but conflicts could impact markets. Helima Croft, RBC Capital Markets' Head of Global Commodity Strategy, highlights rising oil prices and geopolitical risks related to Iran and Hezbollah that are "not fully priced in." She notes that while energy supplies remain stable, conflicts could impact markets.
Persons: Helima Croft Organizations: RBC Capital Markets, Global Commodity Locations: Iran
A long road It's been a long and winding road for Waymo since its inception in 2009 as Google's self-driving car project. The robotaxi service now has about 700 autonomous vehicles on the road across its markets. That changed about a year ago , when Uber added Waymo vehicles to its app. In February, Waymo recalled 444 of its vehicles after two Waymo vehicles hit a towed pickup truck in Phoenix. A Waymo autonomous self-driving Jaguar electric vehicle sits parked at an EVgo charging station in Los Angeles, California, on May 15, 2024.
Persons: Uber, Waymo, Tesla, it's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Morgan Stanley, Cowen, Cowen's — Bernstein, Brad Erickson, Andreessen Horowitz, Alphabet's, Ruth Porat, Erickson, Dara Khosrowshahi, Cruise, Uber's Khosrowshahi, Ethan Teicher, Tesla's, Jim Cramer's, Patrick T, Fallon Organizations: Waymo, Austin, RBC Capital Markets, CNBC, Bank of America, Aurora Innovation, General Motors, AFP, Getty Locations: West Coast, Atlanta, Austin , Texas, Phoenix, San Francisco, Los Angeles, U.S, Waymo, Austin, San Francisco , Los Angeles, Los Angeles , California
Morgan Stanley upgrades Centessa Pharmaceuticals, to overweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley said in its upgrade of Centessa that it's bullish on the biopharma company's narcolepsy treatment. Morgan Stanley downgrades Pepsi to equal weight from overweight Morgan Stanley said it sees "topline softness." Morgan Stanley names Nio a research catalyst idea Morgan Stanley said it's bullish on Nio after the China electric vehicle company debuted its latest model, the L60. Morgan Stanley downgrades FedEx to underweight to from equal weight Morgan Stanley downgraded FedEx following its disappointing earnings report on Thursday. Morgan Stanley reiterates Sunrun as overweight Morgan Stanley said the solar company has more room to run and that it's long term bullish on the company's partnership with Costco.
Persons: Jefferies, Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley downgrades Pepsi, Key, it's bullish, Riley, Reddit, Nio, it's, Bernstein downgrades Darden, Bernstein, Olive, DRI, Morgan Stanley downgrades ASML, Wells, Susquehanna, Evercore, Sunrun, Tesla, Mercado Organizations: Duke Energy, Centessa Pharmaceuticals, Amkor, China, UBS, Apple, RBC, FedEx, Deutsche Bank, American Airlines Deutsche, Susquehanna, Darden, Costco, Bank of America, Citi, Nike, Mercado Libre, Clearway Energy Locations: Nio, tailwinds, Olive, Argentina
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBank margins should 'open up' as Fed begins rate cuts, says RBC's Gerard CassidyGerard Cassidy, RBC Capital Markets managing director, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the impact of rate cuts on banks, what will happen with loan demand, and more.
Persons: RBC's Gerard Cassidy Gerard Cassidy Organizations: RBC Capital Markets
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRate cuts along with U.S. soft landing should lead stocks to outperform bonds, analyst saysJanet Mui, head of market analysis at RBC Brewin Dolphin, on the favorable environment for equities.
Persons: Janet Mui Organizations: RBC
Bank of America reiterates Amazon as buy Bank of America said it's sticking with its buy rating on Amazon following CEO Andy Jassy's letter to employees on Monday. Bank of America adds Palantir to the US1 list Bank of America added the stock to its top picks list. Bank of America reinstates Carvana as buy Bank of America resumed coverage of Carvana and upgraded it to buy saying it sees accelerating growth. Bank of America upgrades Hewlett Packard Enterprise to buy from neutral Bank of America said shares of the company are "attractive." Bank of America upgrades GE Vernova to buy from neutral Bank of America said it sees a "power surge" for the stock.
Persons: Oppenheimer, Andy Jassy's, Andy Jassy, Bernstein, Tesla, underperform Bernstein, Redburn, LSCC, Ford Tamer, Mizuho, DELL, Morgan Stanley, Virgin, Jefferies, it's bullish, JEF, ARMK, Baird, BTIG, " Jefferies, SolarEdge Organizations: Nvidia, " Bank of America, Bank of America, Semiconductor, Stifel, Board, Dell, JPMorgan, ViaSat, United Airlines, Viasat, IFC, Virgin Galactic, Virgin, Citi, UBS, APP, RBC, Baird Conference, Burger, Walmart, Technologies, Healthcare, Barclays, D, WEC, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, of America, Hewlett, Packard Enterprise, GE, Gas Power Services Locations: Europe
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'Small caps already have a lot of good news baked in', says RBC's Lori CalvasinaLori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets head of U.S. equity strategy, and Adam Crisafulli, Vital Knowledge founder, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action.
Persons: RBC's Lori Calvasina Lori Calvasina, Adam Crisafulli Organizations: RBC Capital Markets, Vital Knowledge
The S & P 500 is on the verge of something unexpected — especially for September. The broad market index entered the week less than 1% below a record last reached in July. Krinky isn't the only one on the Street treading carefully with the S & P 500 near record highs. "With the S & P 500 close to our YE 2024 price target again, we remain neutral on the S & P 500 for now," wrote Lori Calvasina, head of global equity research at RBC Capital Markets. "However, after a sharp move lower in 10-year yields, the earnings yield gap for the S & P 500 is starting to head in a more favorable direction for stocks," Calvasina added.
Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, BTIG, Krinsky, Lori Calvasina, Calvasina, Mark Mahaney Organizations: Traders, Federal, Market Committee, RBC Capital Markets, ISI, of Justice
Stocks in the firm's coverage universe have "significantly front-loaded expected rate cut benefits, well in excess of prior fed cycles," he said. The chances of a smaller 25 basis point cut have fallen to a 41% chance. Barclays analyst Matthew Bouley is watching the data very closely as well and said a lot will depend on how consumers react as mortgage rates fall. Bouley said this is one of the clearest signs yet that a recent decline in mortgage rates is bringing buyers into the market. Slightly more than half the analysts who cover the stock rate it a buy or overweight, it said.
Persons: Mike Dahl, Dahl, Toll, Taylor Morrison, Matthew Bouley, Bouley, Horton Organizations: Federal Reserve, RBC Capital Markets, Tri, Tri Pointe Homes, Toll, RBC, KB, Barclays Locations: Tri Pointe, staving, Horton
To that end, the recommendations of top Wall Street analysts can help investors choose stocks with strong fundamentals and the ability to pay consistent dividends. Here are three dividend stocks, highlighted by Wall Street's top pros on TipRanks, a platform that ranks analysts based on their past performance. MPLX LPWe start this week with MPLX (MPLX), a midstream energy player. Recently, RBC Capital analyst Elvira Scotto reiterated a buy rating on MPLX stock with a price target of $47. The company recently paid a base dividend of $1.25 per share of common stock and a variable dividend of $1.27 per share.
Persons: Wall, Elvira Scotto, Scotto, TipRanks, Scott Hanold, Ivan Feinseth, Feinseth Organizations: Wall, MPLX, RBC Capital, Logistics, Energy, Hanold, Chord Energy, Tigress Locations: buybacks, Williston
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe setup for Boeing still looks positive, strike will be short-lived, says RBC's Ken HerbertKen Herbert, RBC Capital Markets aerospace and defense, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss Boeing's machinist strike impact on the stock.
Persons: Ken Herbert Ken Herbert Organizations: Boeing, RBC Capital Markets
"This is the bank stock to buy, if you want to buy a bank stock," Jim offered, arguing that the regulatory snag shouldn't be a huge surprise to the market either. The agency said in a statement that Wells Fargo has already started to take corrective steps to remedy these issues. During Thursday's September Monthly Meeting, he said he would consider Wells Fargo as an honorary 13 core portfolio holding . Investors appear to have brushed off worries as well, with Wells Fargo stock up more than 1% on Friday. A person walks past the entrance to a Wells Fargo bank branch on Amsterdam Avenue on June 25, 2024, in New York City.
Persons: Wells, Jim Cramer, haven't, Jim, Wells Fargo, they're, We're, Charlie Scharf, Raymond James, Jim Cramer's, Gary Hershorn Organizations: Currency, OCC, Federal Reserve, Wall, RBC Capital Markets, CNBC, Corbis, Getty Locations: Wells Fargo, Wells, Amsterdam, New York City
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCrude oil to see 'oversupply situation' in 2025, RBC Capital's Helima CroftHelima Croft, global head of commodity strategy at RBC Capital Markets, joins CNBC's "Squawk on the Street" to discuss why crude oil prices are rebounding after a sell-off, her outlook for the sector and more.
Persons: Helima Croft Helima Croft Organizations: RBC, RBC Capital Markets
Apple announced on Monday that its AirPods Pro 2 headphones will become an FDA-cleared hearing aid in the coming weeks through a software update. Apple CEO Tim Cook has highlighted health features as the company's "most important contribution to mankind." The new feature is a free software update for some AirPods models and will be included with Apple's $249 AirPods Pro 2. Many over-the-counter hearing aids are much more expensive, according to buyers guides cited by the Hearing Loss Association of America, an advocacy group. Analysts say that adding health features like a hearing aid expands the market for the device, which could help sales.
Persons: Sumbul Desai, Tim Cook, Barbara Kelley, Apple, Gene Munster Organizations: AirPods, Apple, FDA, Food and Drug Administration, RBC Capital Markets, of America, Analysts, Asset Management
Inditex remains differentiated despite competition, analyst says
  + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInditex remains differentiated despite competition, analyst saysRichard Chamberlain, equity analyst at RBC Capital Markets, weighs in on Inditex's latest earnings.
Persons: Richard Chamberlain Organizations: RBC Capital Markets
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCassidy: Issues cropping up at Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan are a bump in the roadRBC's Gerard Cassidy discusses the health of the banking sector, following warnings from Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan this week about weakness in some parts of their businesses.
Persons: Cassidy, Goldman Sachs, Gerard Cassidy Organizations: JPMorgan
The company slipped into the FTSE 250 during September's quarterly rebalancing, index provider FTSE Russell said in a statement, bringing its 15-year run in the U.K. large-cap FTSE 100 blue-chip index to a close. The company's current market cap of £2.34 billion ($3.06 billion) now puts it well below the other constituents of the FTSE 100, as well as some of the top performers in the FTSE 250. As such, funds that invest in the FTSE 100 will exit their Burberry holdings. The luxury label's addition to the FTSE 100 in September 2009 was taken as a further mark of its enduring appeal and its resilience, even amid the global financial crisis. The luxury sector as a whole has suffered from a prolonged downturn in consumer spending amid inflationary pressures and broader economic uncertainty.
Persons: Dave Rushen, Burberry Burberry's, Edward Berthelot, , Joshua Schulman, Luca Solca, Bernstein, Michael Kors, Josh Schulman, Solca, Burberry, Piral Dadhania, Richard Chamberlain, Schulman, Gerry Murphy, Cole Smead, Henry Nicholls, Smead, Hugo Boss, Gucci, Kering Organizations: UNITED, Burberry, New Bond, Getty, LONDON, Burberry Group, Russell, London Stock Exchange, jittery, CNBC, RBC, Sky News, Smead Capital Management, Afp Locations: UNITED KINGDOM, Basingstoke, England, British, U.S, London, China, Asia, Japan
Slowing rate of change in earnings growth There are two important trends to follow in earnings. In the case of Nvidia, earnings are continuing to increase, but the rate of change is decelerating. This earnings report will likely be the final time in this stretch that Nvidia will see triple-digit earnings growth. But the impact has been shrinking – just as the overall Mag 7 impact has been diminishing with second quarter earnings growth broadening out. Last season (Q1), Nvidia was responsible for a little more than one-third of the S & P 500's 8% earnings growth.
Persons: ChatGPT, It's, Wall, Jensen, Josh Brown, Christopher Rolland, I've, you've, Lori Calvasina, it's, Matt Bryson, Nvdia's, Huang, Stifel, Blackwell, Mark Lipacis, NVDA, Hopper, Angelo Zino, Dan Ives, Ives, Brown Organizations: Nvidia, Jensen Huang's, Ritholtz Wealth Management, CNBC, RBC Capital Markets, Microsoft, Meta, Analysts, Nvdia's Blackwell, Blackwell Locations: Susquehanna, Wedbush
The Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) Bryan Mound storage facility located in Brazoria County, Texas, is one of four sites that make up the country's oil reserve. Crude oil futures rose more than 1% on Friday, but are on pace for a weekly loss as slowing demand in China weighs on the market. "That has really evaporated from the market," Croft said. "The market has really refocused on these demand concerns," Croft said. "Chinese demand concerns have really weighed on this market as well as broader concerns about the macro outlook," she said.
Persons: Brent, Helima Croft, CNBC's, Croft Organizations: Strategic Petroleum Reserve, RBC Capital Markets, Traders Locations: Mound, Brazoria County , Texas, China, Iran, Israel, Tehran
JPMorgan downgrades Peloton to neutral from overweight "Following Thursday's +35% appreciation (vs. SPX -1%) we are moving from Overweight to Neutral rated as PTON's return to growth in CF Subs & Revenue remains challenging, & visibility is limited given secular & macro pressures." Wells Fargo reiterates Burlington Stores as top pick "We reiterate BURL as our "Top Pick" and see a highly visible growth/margin bull case unfolding in real time. The combination of 1) comp acceleration and 2) margin unlocks should be powerful, and we raise 2Q/FY numbers above Street. Wells Fargo upgrades BJ's Wholesale Club to overweight from equal weight "Margin investment is the right strategic shift despite n/t pain, and supplements robust member gains. Valuation is tricky, but comp ramp/return to algo in '25 point to upside."
Persons: Piper Sandler, Warby Parker, Uber, Nomura, Wells, BURL, Goldman Sachs, Bill.com, Guggenheim Organizations: Nvidia, RBC, Westlake, JPMorgan, CF Subs, Revenue, Bank of America, Waymo, Tesla, Burlington Stores, Wholesale
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