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Read previewMorgan Stanley has some disappointing news for investors: your taxes are probably going up in the next few years. But one strategist at Morgan Stanley says it's not that simple. Despite these differences, Morgan Stanley expects tax rates to increase no matter who takes office. And a divided Congress, which Morgan Stanley predicts is very likely in November, will only further reduce the likelihood of dramatic change. Typically, the stock market is more influenced by the business cycle than tax policy or political party, according to Morgan Stanley.
Persons: , Morgan Stanley, Trump, Kamala Harris, it's, Monica Guerra, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management's, Harris, Biden, There's, haven't, Guerra isn't, Guerra Organizations: Service, Business, Morgan Stanley Wealth, US, Trump, Republican, Democratic, Treasurys, New, Equity Locations: New York City
The Club has stayed with Morgan Stanley on expectations that its investment banking outfit will flourish again. At Wells Fargo , the Club's other financial name, lower rates should help its burgeoning investment banking business. Wells Fargo shares year-to-date have performed better than Morgan Stanley, gaining 11%. WFC YTD mountain Wells Fargo (WFC) year-to-date performance The Corporate and Investment Banking division makes up 23% of overall revenue. To be sure, Wells Fargo management said during July's second-quarter earnings call that the bank will continue to de-risk its office portfolio.
Persons: Banks, Erica Groshen, Morgan Stanley, Morgan, Jim Cramer, Jim, Goldman Sachs, Charlie Scharf, Wells, July's, Jim Cramer's, Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin, Chip Somodevilla Organizations: Federal Reserve, New York Fed, CNBC, Cornell University, Fed, Investment, Morgan Stanley's Institutional Securities, Morgan Stanley's, Wells, Investment Banking, CIB, Federal Reserve Bank, Getty Locations: Wells Fargo, Wells, Washington ,
Read previewFor Wall Street, policy — not politics — is the motto leading up to November. Death and taxesUnsurprisingly, tax policy is at the top of money managers' minds, according to Frank Kelly, senior political strategist at DWS. The filibusterThere's an under-the-radar issue keeping portfolio managers up at night: the elimination of the filibuster, according to Kelly's conversations with clients. Wall Street analysts expect a very close election, and even a minute change could be enough to push the needle on the outcome for either candidate. Given how important gridlock is to the market, there's not enough conversation around the impacts of eliminating the filibuster, Kelly believes.
Persons: , Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, DWS, Frank Kelly, Harris, Trump, David Bianco, Bianco, Goldman Sachs, Chuck Schumer, Kelly, Monica Guerra, Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management's, it's, Jack Ablin, Washington doesn't Organizations: Service, Asset Management, Business, Trump, Jobs, DWS, Wall Street, Morgan Stanley Wealth, Cresset Capital Management, White, Washington, Democrats, Republicans Locations: DWS Americas
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed could deliver 100bps in cuts by end of year: UBS Private Wealth Management's Angie NewmanUBS Private Wealth Management's Angie Newman discusses market expectations for the Fed's easing cycle, predicting 100bps cuts in 2024 and another 100bps in 2025.
Persons: Wealth Management's Angie Newman Organizations: UBS, Wealth, Wealth Management's Angie Newman UBS
Three-Stock Lunch: Alphabet, Domino's Pizza and Hershey
  + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThree-Stock Lunch: Alphabet, Domino's Pizza and HersheyMAI Capital Management's Christopher Grisanti joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss stock plays for three stocks.
Persons: Christopher Grisanti Organizations: Hershey MAI Capital
Stock futures were flat Monday evening as Wall Street readied for key retail sales data and the start of the Federal Reserve's September policy meeting. Futures tied to the S&P 500 hovered near the flatline, along with futures linked to the Dow Jones Industrial Average . Investors on Tuesday will parse retail sales data for August for one final glimpse into the health of the U.S. consumer ahead of the Fed rate decision. The results could affect the rate cut outcome. She is forecasting additional 25 basis point cuts in November and December.
Persons: Biden, Dow, Dow Jones, Seema Shah Organizations: Intel, Futures, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Apple, Fed, CME Group's, September's National Association of Home Builders Housing
The company may have maintained its full-year revenue outlook, but that was taken as good enough after last quarter's debacle. Management also provided a better-than-expected sales, earnings, and recurring revenue outlook. The Good Abbott Laboratories : Sales, earnings and organic growth all exceeded analyst estimates. Broadcom : Sales and earnings outpaced expectations , driven by strong sales of its AI products and VMware software. Alphabet : Delivered largely better-than expected earnings results that showed the search and cloud giant is finally on better footing in the fast-growing AI space.
Persons: we've, Lisa Su, , Eli Lilly, Zepbound, Stanley Black, Stanley, Morgan Stanley, Procter, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Steve Marcus Organizations: Costco, DuPont, Club, Management, Nvidia, Palo Alto Networks, Good Abbott Laboratories, Broadcom, VMware, Wealth Management, Investment Management, Microsoft, Constellation Brands, TJX, Amazon Web Services, Coterra Energy, GE Healthcare, Honeywell, Gamble, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, AMD Locations: China, Covid, Dover, Eaton, Palo, North America, GEHC, Wells Fargo, Las Vegas , Nevada, U.S
The print is causing concern that inflation may not be going away, which would mean higher interest rates than markets expect going forward. Skyler Weinand, chief investment officer, Regan CapitalWeinand says the market's current outlook on rate cuts will only take place if the economy deteriorates significantly. If inflation does slow that much, the Fed would likely cut rates faster than just a quarter percent per meeting over the next 3-6 months," Adams said in an email. "However, the stickiness of service price inflation and shelter inflation suggests the Fed will cut rates slower than financial markets currently price in." This would be a disappointment to short-term bond markets that have priced over 250 bps of rate cuts by the end of 2025."
Persons: Brian Rose, UBS Global Wealth Management Rose, Rose, Skyler Weinand, Regan Capital Weinand, Bill Adams, Adams, Peter Perkins, MRB Partners Perkins, Josh Jamner, ClearBridge Investments Jamner, Chris Zaccarelli, Zaccarelli Organizations: Service, CPI, Business, UBS Global Wealth Management, UBS Global Wealth, Fed, Comerica Bank, MRB Partners, Investment, ClearBridge Investments, Independent, bps
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJohnson: We're cutting rates despite not hitting inflation targets, while spending $3 billion dailyIvory Johnson, Delancey Wealth Management's Founder, predicts inflation will reaccelerate, pushing the Fed to raise rates by 50 basis points, and recommends diversifying with gold, Bitcoin, and alternative strategies to manage market volatility.
Persons: Johnson, Ivory Johnson
"But, longer term, a well-run snack food company is a great place to be." Mondelez stock jumped over the past few weeks, now up more than 4% since the beginning of September, according to FactSet. To Cramer, Wall Street has embraced recession-proof food companies like Mondelez as investors worry about an economic slowdown. Lower rates makes these stocks "go out of style in the Wall Street fashion show," he added. He also expressed concerns about the effect of GLP-1 weight loss drugs on snack food companies as a whole.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, Wall, Dirk Van de, Mondelez, Van de Organizations: Federal Reserve, Mondelez, Cadbury, Ritz, Fed, Bloomberg Locations: Mondelez
Over the past year, Wall Street's largest names — including Goldman Sachs , Bank of America , Morgan Stanley , Wells Fargo to JPMorgan Chase — ramped up their generative artificial intelligence efforts with the aim of boosting profits. MS YTD mountain Morgan Stanley YTD AI use cases for key businesses Morgan Stanley was among the first on Wall Street to publicly embrace the technology, unveiling two AI assistants for financial advisors powered by OpenAI. Launched in September 2023, the AI @ Morgan Stanley Assistant gives advisors and their staff quick answers to questions regarding the market, investment recommendations, and various internal processes. If it does, that would be welcome news for shareholders after Morgan Stanley's wealth segment missed analysts' revenue expectations in the second quarter . However, As long as these costs don't outweigh return on investment (ROI), we're happy with Wells Fargo and Morgan Stanley's moves to innovate.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Wells, JPMorgan Chase — ramped, Jamie Dimon, Alexandra Mousavizadeh, OpenAI's ChatGPT, Jeff McMillan, Morgan, McMillan, It's, Morgan Stanley's, Evident's Mousavizadeh, Banks, Mousavizadeh, Tracy Kerrins, Morgan Stanley's McMillan, He's, Morgan Stanley's OpenAI, Teresa Heitsenrether, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Bank of America, JPMorgan, Citi, Microsoft, Nvidia, OpenAI, CNBC, Google, Deutsche Bank, BNP, Mistral, TD Bank Group, Big, Wall, New York Stock Exchange, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Wells Fargo, Silicon, management's, Wells, New York
(Photo Illustration by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images) Justin Sullivan | Getty ImagesCryptocurrency exchange Coinbase just wrapped up its worst week of the year. According to CoinGlass, September is historically a difficult trading month for crypto assets, with bitcoin notching an average loss of 4.8%. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index, a gauge of crypto market sentiment, is firmly in the "Extreme Fear" zone, indicating that investors are worried about price moves. On Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported a cooldown in the labor market with August payrolls falling short of expectations. Crypto equities hit hardestWhile it was a rough week for risky assets of all sorts, investors over-indexed in crypto stocks had it particularly bad.
Persons: Justin Sullivan, Schwab, CoinGlass, Bitcoin, payrolls, Leena ElDeeb, MicroStrategy, Michael Saylor, CleanSpark, Jerome Powell, Donald Trump, Trump, Gary Gensler Organizations: Securities, Exchange, Securities and Exchange Commission, Marathon, Nasdaq, bitcoin, Labor, of Labor Statistics, SEC, JPMorgan Chase, Federal Reserve, August's, U.S, Republican Locations: CALIFORNIA, San Anselmo , California, Bitcoin, U.S, MicroStrategy, Coinbase, Nashville
Broadcom reported an earnings beat Thursday, driven by strong sales of its AI products and VMware software. We view Broadcom as one of the biggest AI beneficiaries through its networking and custom chip businesses. However, Broadcom generated $5.3 billion in free cash flow when excluding restructuring and integration cash costs in the quarter. The semi number is a slight miss versus expectations, and the difference is probably due to the non-AI business lines because AI sales are humming. Broadcom raised its full-year AI revenue forecast to $12 billion, up from prior guidance of over $11 billion.
Persons: Hock Tan, Tan, , Tan didn't, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Justin Sullivan Organizations: Broadcom, VMware, LSEG, VMWare, Wall Street, Marvell Technology, Devices, Nvidia, Revenue, Apple, Management, CNBC Locations: Hock, American, San Jose , California
Jim Cramer said Microsoft shares could bottom Wednesday — and out of all the megacap tech stocks, this Club name is the one to buy. Wells Fargo also highlighted Microsoft's cybersecurity business. Similar to others in the sector, Microsoft's cybersecurity business can continue to rake in major corporations as clients as the threat of hacks and breaches remains elevated. In 2023, Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella said the company's cybersecurity business had surpassed $20 billion in revenue over a 12-month period. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Wells, Jim, Wells Fargo, Bing, Satya Nadella, Wells Fargo's bullishness, Piper Sandler, Jim Cramer's, Microsoft Corporation Satya Nadella, Chalinee Thirasupa Organizations: Microsoft, Wall, CNBC, Microsoft Corporation Locations: U.S, Bangkok, Thailand
PDD 's tumble of nearly 30% last week on disappointing quarterly results is a reminder that China's consumer has largely moved on from its years of double-digit growth. "The reaction of its stock price is out of touch with its fundamentals," he said in Mandarin, translated by CNBC. "The entire Chinese consumer market is weak, yes, [but] PDD management's very peculiar comments caused the share price decline," he said. Chen Lei, chairman and co-CEO of PDD, warned multiple times on the earnings call about future declines in profit. Revenue grew by 21%, while adjusted earnings nearly doubled from a year ago.
Persons: PDD, Charlie Chen, Chen Lei, Morgan Stanley, Wang Xing, Trip.com, Liqian Ren, Ren, Joey Wat, Banks, Morgan, Richard Xu, Xu Organizations: China Renaissance Securities, CNBC, JPMorgan, Hong, Management, KFC, Yum, Savings Bank of Locations: Asia, Hong Kong, U.S, China, WisdomTree, Beijing, Yum China, Hong, Savings Bank of China
Best Buy 's quarterly beat and guidance raise on Thursday was good for a 15% pop in the stock as investors rewarded better execution and the promise of wider adoption of AI devices and lower interest rates. BBY YTD mountain Best Buy YTD Thursday's advance sent Club stock Best Buy back above $100 and above our price target of $95. On the call, Best Buy CEO Corie Barry, said that growth in tablets, computing, and services, was more than offset by declines in appliances, home theater, and gaming. Best Buy Why we own : We took a position in Best Buy because we believe it will prove to be a go-to destination for consumers looking to upgrade hardware, much of which was purchased during Covid, to new AI-powered devices. Microsoft PCs on display at a Best Buy store in Secaucus, N.J. Melissa Repko | CNBC
Persons: there's, Corie Barry, comps, we're, Barry, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Melissa Repko Organizations: Revenue, LSEG, Home, Computer, Target, Walmart, Amazon, Costco, Management, Mobile, Microsoft, Geek, CNBC Locations: Lowe's, Williams, Sonoma, Secaucus, N.J
Annual recurring revenue was $3.86 billion, just above the StreetAccount consensus of $3.85 billion. With respect to guidance, CrowdStrike called for adjusted net earnings of 80 cents to 81 cents per share on $979.2 million to $984.7 million in revenue. For the 2025 fiscal year, CrowdStrike now sees $3.61 to $3.65 in adjusted earnings per share and $3.89 billion to $3.90 billion in revenue. That is down from management's June forecast for adjusted earnings per share of $3.93 to $4.03 and revenue between $3.98 billion to $4.01 billion. The adjusted guidance excludes costs tied to the outage.
Persons: George Kurtz, Burt Podbere, Gray Powell, Trevor Rambo, BTIG, CrowdStrike, Podbere, Kurtz Organizations: Delta Air Lines, Travelers, CrowdStrike Locations: management's
The other stocks include: Ralph Lauren, Yeti, Goldman Sachs, and GE Aerospace. "We rate YETI shares Buy as we expect continued momentum supported by new product categories & international expansion," he said. Ralph Lauren "A hit down the fairway," analyst Christopher Nardone titled his recent recap of Ralph Lauren earnings. Meanwhile, Ralph Lauren shares are up 20% this year with plenty more room to run. ... We rate YETI shares Buy as we expect continued momentum supported by new product categories & international expansion.
Persons: Ralph Lauren, Goldman Sachs, Alexander Perry, Perry, Christopher Nardone, Nardone, Ebrahim Poonawala, Goldman, Poonawala Organizations: of America, Nvidia, GE Aerospace, U.S, Goldman, Bank of America, GE, Investment Locations: Europe, China, N.A, North America, N.A .
Wall Street's enthusiastic reaction Tuesday to solid earnings from Palo Alto Networks reinforced our belief that the cybersecurity stock is getting overextended. However, that doesn't mean he's any less bullish on Palo Alto in the long run. PANW YTD mountain Palo Alto Networks YTD Wall Street analysts echoed our bullish sentiments. At least two dozen research firms — including Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan, and Goldman Sachs — raised their price targets on Palo Alto, according to FactSet data. To be sure, not everyone on Wall Street is convinced that Palo Alto has significant growth ahead.
Persons: clawing, Jim Cramer, Jim, management's, billings, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs —, Palo, Nikesh Arora, Arora, Morgan Staley, Jim Cramer's, Alfred Dunhill, David Cannon Organizations: Palo Alto Networks, Palo Alto, Club, JPMorgan, Management, Palo, UBS, CNBC, Getty Locations: Palo Alto, Palo, Wells, Wells Fargo, United States, St Andrews, Scotland
After two rough quarters, Palo Alto Networks on Monday evening delivered the type of earnings report we expect from one of the best cybersecurity companies in the world. PANW YTD mountain Palo Alto Networks YTD The issue with billings in recent quarters has been that the high cost of money has resulted in increased negotiations on terms and financing options. Palo Alto Networks Why we own it: We believe cybersecurity is a secular growth market as bad actors are relentless and companies simply cannot afford to not invest in defense. Palo Alto Networks headquarters in Santa Clara, California, US, on Monday, Aug. 14, 2023. Palo Alto Networks Inc. is scheduled to release earnings figures on August 18.
Persons: management's, billings, Dipak Golechha, Nikesh Arora, Arora, Palo, we're, platformization, I've, Jim Cramer, Jim Cramer's, Jim, David Paul Morris Organizations: Palo Alto Networks, Revenue, LSEG, Total billings, U.S, Networks, billings, Palo Alto, Alto Networks, Cisco Systems, Palo, CNBC, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Palo, billings, XDR, Palo Alto, Santa Clara , California
In addition to the headline numbers, here are three other factors to keep in mind when Palo Alto reports after Monday's market close. Palo Alto cut its 2024 full-year guidance for revenue and billings during quarterly results in February because of its pivot to "platformization," or bundling its products and services. Shares of Palo Alto nosedived 28% in the session following the Feb. 20 release. PANW YTD mountain Palo Alto Networks (PANW) year-to-date performance 2. As for other competitors, the case for companies to give Palo Alto their business just keeps getting stronger.
Persons: Jeff Marks, Palo, Nikesh Arora, it's, Jim Cramer, Wells Fargo, Evercore, CrowdStrike, Arora, we've, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Chris Jung Organizations: Palo Alto Networks, Wall, Palo Alto, Palo, billings, Palo Alto nosedived, Barclays, Alto, Investors, CNBC, Mobile, Congress, Fira, Barcelona, Getty Locations: Palo Alto, Palo, billings, Barcelona, Spain
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed looks set to 'get going' on rate cuts, JPMorgan Asset Management's John Bilton saysJohn Bilton, head of global multi-asset strategy at JPMorgan, says the Federal Reserve looks poised to "get going" on interest rate cuts.
Persons: John Bilton Organizations: JPMorgan
During the sell-off, strategists at Goldman Sachs recommended buying the dip in US stocks, albeit carefully, as they reiterated their year-end S&P 500 price target of 5,600. Economically sensitive stocks have lagged defensives by at least 5 percentage points in a single week 12 times since 2000, according to Goldman Sachs. "Despite the weak jobs report, our economists believe continued economic expansion is far more likely than recession," Kostin wrote. Goldman Sachs found that those micro factors explained 86% of stock returns in the first half of 2024, versus the long-term average of 57%. Fewer worries about the near-term economic outlook mean stocks will no longer trade in lockstep — a win for active investors.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, abate, lockstep — Organizations: Service, Goldman, Business, Institute of Supply, Walmart Locations: Japan, lockstep, Monday's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Morgan Stanley Investment Management's Aaron DunnAaron Dunn, Morgan Stanley Investment Management senior equity portfolio manager, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss how to position for value volatile markets, consumer staples, top stocks to own in the value trade, and more.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley Investment Management's Aaron Dunn Aaron Dunn, Morgan Organizations: Morgan, Morgan Stanley Investment, Morgan Stanley Investment Management
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street.
Persons: Jim Cramer, It's, Blackwell, Nvidia's, Eaton, Paulo Ruiz, Ruiz, Craig Arnold, Arnold, We're, Stanley Black, Decker, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Treasury, Nvidia, UBS, Club, Fed, PPI, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: York
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