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This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. [PRO] Possible S&P 5% pullback Earlier this week, the S&P 500 fell for three consecutive days, the first time since early September. The influence of the meridian sunspot over the rising moon, for instance, could cast a shadow over the S&P and cause it to slip. The bad news is that markets might again be swayed more strongly by emotions – as the word "relief" suggests.
Persons: BTIG, Billy Zhang, John Maynard Keynes, Tesla, Dow, Andy Sieg, , , Sarah Min, Pia Singh, Lisa Kailai Han Organizations: CNBC, Google, Microsoft, Wall, Nasdaq, Dow, Boeing, IBM, U.S
UBS says buy this homebuilder with more than 25% upside
  + stars: | 2024-10-25 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Analyst John Lovallo initiated coverage on the stock with a buy rating, with his price target of $232 implying more than 27% upside from Thursday's close. Lovallo joins 11 other analysts covering the stock on Wall Street who have a strong buy or buy rating, per LSEG. Within that same time, he also sees adjusted earnings growing roughly 16% annually and mid-to-high single-digit organic revenue growth. "We believe BLDR is uniquely positioned to grow with its homebuilder customers and drive above market organic growth through its size/scale advantage and idiosyncratic growth initiatives, including the digital platform rollout," Lovallo also said. BLDR YTD mountain BLDR, year-to-date The stock rose around 1% in premarket trading Friday after his move.
Persons: John Lovallo, Lovallo Organizations: UBS, Wall Locations: FirstSource, U.S
Where Vanguard sees opportunity to earn income right now
  + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
With the Federal Reserve rate-cutting cycle now underway, income investors may want to take a closer look at their portfolios. In this environment, Vanguard likes higher-quality, fixed-income assets. However, with high yield credit, Vanguard is focusing on bottom-up security selection due to the dispersion among issuers. CCC-rated bonds gained 12.5% year to date, as of Sept 30, versus the 4.3% return in AA credit, according to Vanguard. Individual investors can get access to corporate credit through mutual funds or exchange-traded funds comprising investment-grade or high-yield bonds.
Persons: Sara Devereux, Devereux, Colleen Cunniffe, Cunniffe, outsized Organizations: Federal, Vanguard, Fed, Investor, Securities, Exchange Commission, Fund Locations: Utilities
Dow stock Honeywell was one of the biggest drags on the 30-stock average Thursday after Club industrial giant reported mixed third-quarter results compounded by a mixed outlook. HON YTD mountain Honeywell YTD Honeywell shares sinking 4.5% after the release was understandable but represents an opportunity. Honeywell Why we own it: Honeywell is a provider of industrial technology solutions to companies in various industries. Sales were revised lower because the short cycle recovery in the company's industrial automation segment is not materializing as quickly as management was expecting. Honeywell International Inc. signage is displayed on a monitor on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York.
Persons: we're, Vimal Kapur, Kapur, Kupar, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Michael Nagle Organizations: Dow, Honeywell, Emerson, CAES Systems, Air Products, Aerospace Technologies, CNBC, Honeywell International Inc, New York Stock Exchange, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: New York
In the battle of the tech giants, Wall Street firm Bernstein favors Meta Platforms over Alphabet . The analysts raised their Meta price target to $675 per share from $600 and kept their outperform buy rating on the stock. Bernstein acknowledged the valuation of Meta stock versus Alphabet "feels stretched" at the moment. Big picture Bernstein's bullish assessment of Meta's future growth prospects comes as the stock has significantly outperformed both the overall market and Alphabet. META YTD mountain Meta Platforms YTD Before Wednesday's 3% drop in an ugly market, Meta closed Tuesday just 2% off its record close of $595.94 on Oct. 4.
Persons: Bernstein, Meta, Shein, we're, Jim Cramer's, Kamala Harris, Jim, Jim Cramer Organizations: Wall, Google, Meta, Adobe, Facebook, CNBC Locations: Wednesday's, U.S
Dover on Thursday reported weaker-than-expected third-quarter results, pressuring shares of the industrial conglomerate with ties to AI data centers. Dover Why we own it : We own Dover as an industrial turnaround story with exposure to mega-themes, most notably the data center buildout to support artificial intelligence computing. That created headlines that implied Dover cut its full-year guidance, but in reality executives warned in advance that sales growth and earnings projections would be altered. To be sure, we are restricted from trading Dover's stock for the next 72 hours because Jim Cramer on Thursday mentioned the company on CNBC TV. Dover considers those areas its "growth platforms," and their increasing share of the portfolio carries positive implications for Dover's margins.
Persons: We're, Ingersoll Rand, Dover, Richard Tobin, Tobin, Jim Cramer, DOV, Dover's, , Danaher, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Jason Marz Organizations: IDEX Corp, Management, CNBC, Dover, Mizuho Securities, Club Locations: Dover, Veralto, Europe
Electricity and labor headwinds slow Amazon's data center buildout. AdvertisementAmazon is spending heavily on data centers to support booming AI workloads, putting it on pace to build 240 new facilities by 2040, one estimate found. David Cahn, a Sequoia Capital general partner, recently predicted data center delays across the sector. Bernstein Research recently estimated that electricity demand for AI data centers could exceed supply in just two years without action. An Amazon data center in Oregon.
Persons: , It's, David Cahn, Marc Wulfraat, MWPVL, we've, Bernstein, Amazon's, Matt Garman, JOSH EDELSON, Garman, Manuel Pineda, Pineda, Owens Corning Organizations: Service, Sequoia Capital, Energy, Amazon, Boston Consulting Group, Bernstein Research, Business, Web, San Francisco 49ers, BI, AWS, Uptime Institute, Center, Survey Locations: AMER, Americas, Oregon , Ohio, Northern Virginia, Amazon's Portland, Arizona, Indiana, Pennsylvania, Silicon Valley, Santa Clara , California, Santa Clara, Levi's, City, Santa, Oregon
Investors have been increasingly on edge about the prospect of former President Donald Trump winning the election, a possibility for which Wall Street has been preparing to a greater extent. While polls remain effectively dead-even, Trump’s prospects have grown since the start of this month in political betting markets. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite led the decline, ending the day down by 1.6%; while the S&P 500 and Dow both fell about 1%. Recent strong economic data has led traders to question whether the central bank might maintain higher rates for longer than anticipated. The current market environment suggests continued volatility ahead, said Torres, warning of the potential for further yield curve steepening and increased market turbulence ahead.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, ” Steven Ricchiuto, Kamala Harris, Dow, , José Torres, McDonald’s, Kelly Ortberg, Torres Organizations: New, New York CNN, Mizuho Securities, Treasury, Nasdaq, Dow, Interactive Brokers, Nvidia, Apple, Boeing, Federal Locations: New York, United States
The International Monetary Fund raised its growth forecast for the US economy to 2.8% this year. AdvertisementThe International Monetary Fund raised its growth forecast for the US, projecting the world's largest economy would expand by 2.8% this year instead of the 2.6% it predicted in July. However, they predicted GDP growth would slow to 2.2% in 2025 as the US government curbs its spending and the labor market cools, sapping consumption. The IMF projected global growth of 3.2% in both 2024 and 2025, virtually unchanged from its previous prediction. They underscored their latest forecast for global growth over the next five years of 3.1% was "mediocre" compared with the pre-pandemic average.
Persons: Organizations: Monetary Fund, IMF, Service, UN Locations: China, East, Central Asia, Africa, Asia
Municipal bonds not only offer solid, tax-free income — they should also see some capital appreciation later this year, according to UBS. Consumers are still spending and the combination of job growth, higher wages and slowing inflation should continue to push households' real disposable income higher, he added. Further, the longer end of the muni bond yield curve is also starting to look attractive, he said. Investors hoping to take a diversified approach to municipal bonds may want to consider an exchange-traded fund. Schwab's Municipal Bond ETF (SCMB) , which has an expense ratio of 0.03% and a 30-day SEC yield of 3.25%.
Persons: Sudip Mukherjee, Mukherjee, Bonds Organizations: UBS, muni, Index Fund, SEC, Schwab's Municipal Bond ETF
"The global battle against inflation is almost won," the IMF report trumpeted, even as it called for "a policy triple pivot" to address interest rates, government spending, and reforms and investment to boost productivity. The fund kept its global growth estimate at 3.2% for 2024 and 2025 — which it called "stable yet underwhelming." Market volatility among key downside risksHeightened financial volatility is another threat to global growth, the IMF report said. Further challenges to global financial markets could come in the final stretch of the fight against inflation. The IMF forecasts global growth will rise 3.1% annually at the end of the 2020s, the lowest level in decades.
Persons: Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas Organizations: International Monetary Fund, Global, Vigilance, IMF Locations: Washington , DC, United States, The Washington, Brazil, Mexico, America, Europe
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'Overuse' is causing healthcare insurer headwinds, says Mizuho's Jared HolzJared Holz, Mizuho healthcare equity strategist, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss why healthcare insurer stocks are down, whether weight loss drugs have any impact, and more.
Persons: Jared Holz Jared Holz Locations: Mizuho
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWorld Data Lab: Asia poised to lead global consumer growth, driven by Indian and Chinese spendingWolfgang Fengler of World Data Lab says Chinese consumer strength remains resilient despite economic headwinds.
Persons: Wolfgang Fengler
Piper Sandler reiterates Tesla as overweight Piper says it's sticking with Tesla heading into earnings later this week. Morgan Stanley initiates BioAge Labs at overweight Morgan Stanley says the biotech company is well positioned. " Goldman Sachs upgrades Warby Parker to buy from neutral Goldman sees customer growth for the eyewear company. Morgan Stanley reiterates Home Depot as overweight Morgan Stanley raised its price target on Home Depot to $450 per share from $380. Morgan Stanley downgrades ServiceNow to equal weight from overweight Morgan Stanley said that expectations are already priced in to the stock.
Persons: John Donovan, Piper Sandler, Tesla, Piper, it's bullish, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Warby Parker, Needham, Reddit, Gary Friedman, Jack Preston, Baird, TD Cowen, Cowen, Prologis, Goldman, Craig Felenstein, Jim Bombassei, Morgan Stanley downgrades ServiceNow Organizations: Deutsche Bank, GE Vernova, Deutsche, General Electric, BioAge, Barclays, UPS, FedEx, Dominion, Goldman, Nvidia, AMD, Mohawk Industries, JPMorgan, China EV, Catalyst, Bank of America, Fortune Locations: GitLab, NVDA, Europe, U.S, Las Vegas, China
The country's economy is slowing down, and some shoppers are rethinking their luxury purchases. AdvertisementChina, with its sheer population size and once-meteoric economic growth, has been heralded as a reliable cash cow of luxury brands for decades. But the golden days of luxury shopping in China seem to be fading for many luxury brands — though there are exceptions. In 2021, the Asia region, excluding Japan, was responsible for 35% of LVMH's total revenue. It's a similar story at other luxury brands.
Persons: , LVMH, Kering, Hugo Boss, Burberry Organizations: Service, Gucci, Swatch Locations: China, Asia, Japan, Pacific
Howard Schnapp | Newsday | Getty ImagesThe tide could be turning for commercial real estate. That could give interest rate-sensitive sectors such as commercial real estate long-awaited positive momentum. While lower rates are not a "magic bullet," the easing of the Fed's monetary policy "lays the groundwork for a commercial real estate recovery," analysts wrote in a follow-up report in late September. More than $40 billion in transactions occurred during the second quarter, a 13.9% jump quarter over quarter, but still 9.4% lower year over year, according to real estate data intelligence firm Altus Group. While these dynamics could set the stage for a broader recovery, with some major subsectors such as commercial retail real estate picking up in tandem, the path forward will likely be uneven.
Persons: Howard Schnapp, Alan Todd, Todd, Willy Walker, Walker, Dunlop, what's, Wells, Wells Fargo, , Chad Littell, Littell Organizations: Newsday, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, CNBC, REIT, Real, Board, New York, U.S, Capital Locations: Melville , New York, Wells, U.S, Manhattan, Wells Fargo
The latter appeared to hint at the Germany's waning influence over regional policy — a likely unthinkable notion only a few years ago. "The question is whether German car makers manage to adjust their product portfolios, change their organizations, and ramp up productivity quickly enough to preserve the status and relevance they had for decades." Brand loyaltyNot everyone is as concerned about the outlook for Germany's car industry. Sigrid de Vries, director general of the European Automobile Manufacturers' Association (ACEA), a car lobby group, said she finds it "really hard to believe" that Germany's auto sector is struggling to adapt to the electrification. Stephane Mouchmouche | Afp | Getty ImagesSome hope that this week's Paris Motor Show could prove to be a turning point for Europe's auto industry.
Persons: Julian Stratenschulte, Rico Luman, Robert Habeck, Luman, Chancellor Olaf Scholz, Germany's, Sigrid de Vries, de Vries, ACEA's de Vries, Porte, Stephane Mouchmouche, John Cooper, Julia Poliscanova, Poliscanova Organizations: VW, Getty, Volkswagen, Mercedes, Benz Group, BMW, Union, ICE, ING, CNBC, Federal, Economic Affairs, Emden ., EVs, Reuters, European Automobile Manufacturers ' Association, Paris, Automotive Summit, Porte de, Afp, John Cooper Works Electric, Transport, Environment Locations: Wolfsburg, Germany, China, Emden, German, Berlin, Europe, France, automaking, Paris
Intel products sold in China have been recommended for a security review by local officials who allege that the U.S. chipmaker poses "serious risks" to national security. CSAC further accused Intel of using remote management features to surveil users while covertly installing backdoors and of failing to address defects reported by users. Daniel Newman, CEO of The Futurum Group, noted the security review comes amid increased tensions between China and the U.S. in regard to chip controls and AI leadership. China accounted for 27.4% of Intel's revenue in 2023, making it vital to the company's bottom line at a time its stock is struggling following poor earnings and job cuts. However, under U.S. chip policy, the company has been restricted from exporting some of its most advanced products to Chinese clients.
Persons: CSAC, Daniel Newman, Newman Organizations: Intel, Cybersecurity Association of China Locations: China, U.S
Jane Street is one of Wall Street's most lucrative trading firms. Some internships at the firm offer a base salary equivalent to $250,000 annually. AdvertisementLucrative trading firm Jane Street is one of Wall Street's leading market-makers. In a sign of its success, Jane Street currently has 58 job vacancies in its New York office. AdvertisementA quantitative researcher internship, which runs from May to August, offers a base salary of $250,000 annually.
Persons: Jane, , Jane Street, Jane Street's, Sam Bankman, Caroline Ellison, Fried, Donald Trump's, Glassdoor, Goldman Sach, JP Morgan Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Financial Times, World Trade Center, Alameda Research, Jane, JPMorgan, Barclays, FT Locations: New York, Hudson, Alameda
An Ulta Beauty store in New York, US, on Monday, Aug. 19, 2024. Ulta Beauty shares slumped on Wednesday morning, as the company said it sees "headwinds" and tougher competition in the beauty industry. As it hosted its investor day near its Chicago headquarters on Wednesday, the specialty retailer stuck by its forecast for this fiscal year. In his opening remarks at the investor day, CEO Dave Kimbell said this year "has been more challenging than planned." The investor day will include presentations on Ulta's strategy and a question-and-answer session with investors.
Persons: Ulta, Dave Kimbell, Kimbell Locations: New York, Chicago
Here's a rapid-fire update on all the stocks in Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust, the portfolio we use for the CNBC Investing Club. Broadcom: Of course, we love the company's AI business — both its custom silicon solutions for companies such as Alphabet and its networking chips that help stitch data centers together. Stanley Black & Decker: Jim said that this stock is the "most significant beneficiary" from lower rates in the entire portfolio. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Jim Cramer's, Jim, there's, Lisa Su, Wells, Salesforce, CrowdStrike, it's, we've, Walt Disney, , Eaton, we're, Kamala Harris, Harris, Jim's, Linde, Eli Lilly, Lilly isn't, That's, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, D.A, Satya Nadella's, Palo, cybersecurity, Brian Niccol, We're, Stanley Black, Decker, TJX, Charlie Scharf, Wells Fargo's, Jim Cramer, Angela Weiss Organizations: Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust, CNBC, Club, Apple Intelligence, Abbott Laboratories, Devices, AMD, Nvidia, Broadcom, Apple, Federal Reserve, Costco Wholesale, Costco, Coterra, DuPont, Disney, ESPN, GE Healthcare, Democratic, Biden, Honeywell, Linde, Adobe, Microsoft, Davidson, Palo Alto Networks, Constellation Brands, Modelo, Corona, TJX, Jim Cramer's Charitable, New York Stock Exchange, AFP, Getty Locations: Wells Fargo, BlackRock, Dover, Eaton, China, U.S, Chipotle, New York City
In today’s edition, national political correspondent Steve Kornacki breaks down the historical challenges Kamala Harris faces running for president as a sitting VP. Harris faces historic challenge in running as a sitting VPBy Steve KornackiKamala Harris is the third presidential nominee in the last half-century to run as a sitting vice president. Measures like more Secret Service agents and bulletproof glass are now common on the campaign trail. Read more → 🔑 It all comes down to yinz: The Harris campaign believes its path to winning all-important Pennsylvania runs through the suburbs. Read more →The Harris campaign believes its path to winning all-important Pennsylvania runs through the suburbs.
Persons: Steve Kornacki, Kamala Harris, Michelle Obama hasn't, Harris, Hakeem Jeffries, Steve Kornacki Kamala Harris, Joe Biden’s, it’s, Biden, Donald Trump, Trump’s, VPs, Al Gore, George H.W, George H.W . Bush, Bill Clinton, Ronald Reagan, , , ” Reagan, Bush, Michael Dukakis, Gore, Clinton, Hubert Humphrey, Lyndon Johnson, Johnson, Humphrey, Republican Richard Nixon —, they’d, Michelle Obama, Monica Alba, Carol E, Lee, Kristen Welker Barack Obama, Trump, ” Michelle Obama, Ali Vitali, Kyle Stewart ALBUQUERQUE, Democrats haven’t, “ we’ve, ” Jeffries, Jeffries, Nancy Pelosi speakership, Kevin McCarthy, Mike Johnson, , abou, l, ord, O Organizations: NBC, White House, Capitol, Democratic, White, ABC, Democratic Party, Republican, Biden, Democratic National Convention, Service, Democrats, NBC News, GOP, Republicans, aig Locations: George H.W ., midstream, Vietnam, N.M, D, Jeffries, New York, California
Bank of America -- Shares moved 1% higher after third-quarter earnings and revenue topped Wall Street analysts' estimates. Goldman Sachs — Shares of the investment bank jumped more than 2% on better-than-expected quarterly earnings. Goldman Sachs posted earnings per share of $8.40 on $12.70 billion in revenue. Citigroup — Shares of the Jane Fraser-led bank added 1.7% after third-quarter earnings and revenue were better than consensus estimates. Charles Schwab — The brokerage company surged more than 7% after third quarter results beat analysts' estimates.
Persons: Johnson, J, Goldman Sachs, LSEG, UnitedHealth, Walgreens, Jane Fraser, Coty –, Coty, Charles Schwab, , Yun Li, Michelle Fox, Samantha Subin, Sarah Min, Pia Singh Organizations: Bank of America, Wall, LSEG, Revenue, Johnson, Walgreens, Alliance, Citigroup —, Citigroup, PNC Financial, PNC, Coty, Energy, RBC Capital Markets, EV Locations: Pittsburgh, LSEG .
Why a 'no landing' scenario may take place after all
  + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
A soft landing occurs when economic growth slows just enough to bring down inflation below the Federal Reserve's 2% target without tipping the economy into a recession. She thinks the economy is experiencing a no-landing scenario as it continues to expand without slowing down. "So far, clearly bank earnings are coming in better than expected, both top line and bottom line. "The other thing that that's showing [is] that our call for the 'no landing' is actually playing out." It's not just bank earnings that point to solid economic growth.
Persons: BNY Wealth's Alicia Levine, Levine, It's, Peter Perkins Organizations: JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, U.S, MRB Partners Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo
Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading: UnitedHealth — Shares plunged 7.2% after the health-care giant lowered its earnings guidance due to ongoing headwinds from a cyberattack earlier in the year. Walgreens Boots Alliance — The stock soared 11.9% following the drugstore chain's fiscal fourth-quarter earnings and revenue beat. Enphase Energy — Shares slid 6.8% on the back of a downgrade to sector perform from outperform by RBC Capital Markets. Johnson & Johnson — The health-care conglomerate gained 1.6% after posting quarterly results that exceeded expectations on the back of strong sales of oncology drugs. Energy stocks — Energy stocks declined as oil prices dropped about 5% , with the sector last down more than 2%.
Persons: UnitedHealth, ASML, Johnson, LSEG, Halliburton, Coty, Charles Schwab —, Yun Li, Alex Harring, Hakyung Kim, Michelle Fox, Pia Singh, Sarah Min Organizations: Walgreens, Alliance, Nvidia, Devices, Broadcom, Apollo, Bank of America, Enphase Energy, RBC Capital Markets, Energy, — Energy, APA, Diamondback Energy, Occidental Petroleum, Valero Energy, U.S, Citigroup —, PNC Financial, Boeing Locations: North Carolina, New York, Pittsburgh
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