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Search resuls for: "disinflationary"


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Cazoo’s debt fix points to bumpy ride
  + stars: | 2023-09-20 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
That’s not the fate of shareholders in UK-based and U.S.-listed Cazoo (CZOO.N), which has just announced a brutal debt restructuring. Under the deal announced on Wednesday, bondholders will swap $630 million of convertible notes for $200 million of fresh debt and a large slug of the equity. The debt cut will do little to fix Cazoo’s rickety engine. Although the company had 195 million pounds of cash at the end of June, it burnt through over 50 million pounds in the previous six months. And revenue this year is expected to fall nearly 40%, as customers racked by high interest rates tighten their belts.
Persons: That’s, Cazoo, Aimee Donnellan, Bernie Sanders’s, Neil Unmack, Oliver Taslic Organizations: Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S
UK disinflationary shock sharpens Bailey’s dilemma
  + stars: | 2023-09-20 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
Governor of the Bank of England Andrew Bailey speaks as he attends a press conference for the Monetary Policy Report August 2023, at the Bank of England in London, Britain, August 3, 2023. Alastair Grant/Pool via REUTERS Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Sept 20 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey finally got some good news on Wednesday. UK annual inflation fell to 6.7% in August, from 6.8% in July, confounding market expectations of a rise to 7%. Domestic disinflationary forces offset a nearly 30% rise in oil prices to bring headline inflation to the lowest level since February 2022. Higher petrol prices did add around 0.3 percentage points to the consumer price index, according to Capital Economics.
Persons: Bank of England Andrew Bailey, Alastair Grant, Andrew Bailey, disinflation, Francesco Guerrera, Bernie Sanders’s, Neil Unmack, Streisand Neto Organizations: Bank of England, Monetary, REUTERS Acquire, Reuters, Capital Economics, CPI, Thomson Locations: London, Britain
Pearson’s pricey CEO will rile shareholders
  + stars: | 2023-09-20 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
LONDON, Sept 20 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Pearson (PSON.L) is baiting shareholders with its choice of new CEO. The 57-year-old will receive 13 million pounds’ worth of cash and restricted shares on top of his normal pay as compensation for leaving Microsoft. Such generosity is questionable considering that in April nearly half of the London-listed company’s shareholders voted against a pay package of more than 8 million pounds for Bird. Despite its greater digital focus, Pearson’s revenue is expected to flatline over the next three years, LSEG forecasts show. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Persons: Pearson, Andy Bird, Omar Abbosh, There’s, Aimee Donnellan, Bernie Sanders’s, Francesco Guerrera, Oliver Taslic Organizations: Reuters, Microsoft, Disney, X, Thomson Locations: London
The Federal Reserve, as expected, left interest rates unchanged on Wednesday while raising forecasts for economic growth and lowering them for unemployment next year. “Job gains have slowed in recent months but remain strong, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation remains elevated.”The central bank updated its forecasts for economic growth, unemployment and inflation. The GDPNow estimate from the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta is now pegging economic growth in the third quarter at 4.9%. But it would likely curb economic growth at a time when the Fed’s policies have restricted credit and other government stimulus is waning.
Persons: , ” Powell, , Powell, Andrew Patterson, Ruslan Lienkha, Victor Li, Jeff MacDonald, Joe Biden, Donald Trump Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, , Villanova University, Federal Reserve Bank of, GOP Locations: Saudi Arabia, Russia, U.S, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
Disney’s theme parks reveal shrunken treasure
  + stars: | 2023-09-20 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Sept 20 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Bob Iger can’t get off the roller coaster. Walt Disney’s (DIS.N) chief executive plans to double the Magic Kingdom’s investment in theme parks and other experiences to $60 billion over the course of about 10 years. On the other, Disney’s dwindling cash and the increasing demands for it is cause for concern. One issue is that Disney’s free cash flow has plummeted. No wonder adding theme parks to the list is making shareholders skittish.
Persons: Bob Iger can’t, Walt Disney’s, Iger, Jennifer Saba, Bernie Sanders’s, Jeffrey Goldfarb, Sharon Lam Organizations: Writers Guild of America, Walt Disney Studios, Reuters, Disney, Comcast, Pearson’s, Thomson Locations: Burbank , California, U.S, Hulu
Striking United Auto Workers members Laura Zielinski and Aisha Cochra hold their strike signs outside the Stellantis Jeep plant in Toledo, Ohio, U.S. September 19, 2023. The fledgling auto workers strike, if it lasts and broadens out, could be just that. A prolonged nationwide strike could put already-low inventory under heavy strain, posing "significant" upside risk to auto prices. The United Auto Workers strike against the 'Detroit Three' automakers General Motors, Ford and Stellantis entered its fifth day on Tuesday. Annual inflation has plummeted this year and by some measures now has, or is close to having, a "2" handle - the central bank's 2% goal is within sight.
Persons: Laura Zielinski, Aisha Cochra, Rebecca Cook, Morgan Stanley, Michael Feroli, JP Morgan, Cox, Stellantis, Morgan Stanley's Ellen Zentner, Jamie McGeever, Andrea Ricci Organizations: United Auto Workers, REUTERS, Rights, Fed, Reuters, U.S . Consumer, Bureau of Labor Statistics, General Motors, Ford, Cox Automotive, UAW, UBS, University, Thomson Locations: Toledo , Ohio, U.S, Rights ORLANDO , Florida, Detroit
Christine Lagarde, president of the European Central Bank (ECB), at a rates decision news conference in Frankfurt, Germany, on Thursday, Sept. 14, 2023. The ECB raised interest rates again, acting for the 10th consecutive time to choke inflation out of the euro zone's increasingly feeble economy. The European Central Bank last week signaled that its Governing Council feels rates may have got there. Federal ReserveFed Chair Jerome Powell made clear last month that further hikes were on the table, and the central bank is deeply concerned about inflation experiencing a fresh acceleration if financial conditions ease. The consumer price index rose at its fastest monthly rate this year in August, mainly driven by energy prices, and was 3.7% year-on-year.
Persons: Christine Lagarde, Berenberg's Holger Schmieding, Raphael Thuin, Thuin, Jerome Powell, J . Safra Sarasin Organizations: European Central Bank, ECB, Bloomberg, Getty, Deutsche Bank, Tikehau, Federal, U.S . Federal, J ., Fed, Markets, Reuters, Bank of England Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, Europe, U.S
Member of the rate-setting Monetary Council of the National Bank of Hungary Gyula Pleschinger speaks during an interview with Reuters in Budapest, Hungary, September 14, 2023. REUTERS/Krisztina Than Acquire Licensing RightsBUDAPEST, Sept 14 (Reuters) - Hungary's central bank could cut its base rate to 10-11% by the end of the year from 13%, a rate-setter told Reuters, warning however against big or unexpected moves amid the fallout from a larger-than-expected rate cut in Poland last week. Once that alignment takes place, the NBH will simplify its policy toolkit further, which could include making the interest rate corridor around its base rate symmetrical, he said. "From that point onwards, we will take all of our steps in a very serious, data-driven mode, looking at the market, tracking the market," Pleschinger said. Asked about the fallout from the National Bank of Poland's much-larger-than-expected 75 bps interest rate cut last week that saw regional currencies weaken, Pleschinger said Hungary's central bank should tread carefully.
Persons: National Bank of Hungary Gyula Pleschinger, Gyula Pleschinger, unwinding, Pleschinger, Disinflation, Gergely Szakacs, Hugh Lawson Organizations: National Bank of Hungary, Reuters, REUTERS, Rights, European, National Bank of, Thomson Locations: Budapest, Hungary, Poland, National Bank of Poland's
SocGen on Tuesday raised its S&P 500 price target for the end of 2023 to 4,750 from 4,300. In the coming months, calls for a recession will be "deleted/delayed," the SocGen equity strategists said in a report. "We believe the S&P 500 will be the ‘last man standing’, in terms of defending its returns," the strategists said in the report. SocGen gave an S&P 500 target of 3,800 for the second quarter of next year, saying they expected a "shock" to the index "likely driven by a contraction in U.S. consumer spending." Such a yield move would push the S&P 500 back to 4,000, the strategists said.
Persons: Stephane Mahe, SocGen, Lewis Krauskopf, Sharon Singleton Organizations: Societe Generale, REUTERS, Generale, Japan's Nikkei, Treasury, Thomson Locations: Nantes, France, U.S, Europe, China
An electronic board shows Shanghai and Shenzhen stock indexes, at the Lujiazui financial district in Shanghai, China October 25, 2022. REUTERS/Aly Song/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSept 11 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. According to Goldman Sachs's real-time indexes, financial conditions in China, emerging markets and globally are now the tightest since last November. The economic data spotlight this week will shine on China. Money supply, loan growth, social financing (a broad measure of credit and liquidity in the economy), retail sales, industrial production, unemployment, house prices and fixed asset investment are all due for release by September 15.
Persons: Aly, Jamie McGeever, Goldman Sachs's, Diane Craft Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Nasdaq, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Shanghai, Shenzhen, China, India, Beijing, Asia, Japan, Philippine, Indonesia, Malaysia
.SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 YTD My last column before a late-summer hiatus, published July 15 with the S & P about 1% higher than Friday's close, began: "Enough for now? There's been no net progress since then after a modest push higher, 5% pullback and partial bounce. There's no doubt the market is sensitive to these yield moves, unsure how the economy and market might handle them. There's an insistence among plenty of cautious market participants that stocks are only as high as they are because eventual Fed rate cuts are anticipated. Not to be too literal, but this at least would suggest some more seasonal choppiness before a potential break higher.
Persons: There's, Oleg Melentyev, , Goldman Sachs, Tony Pasquariello, China's Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S ., Federal, Treasury, Labor, Bank of, UAW, Atlanta Fed, Investment Locations: Europe, China, U.S
Elsewhere in Asian FX markets, China's yuan slid to a 10-month low on Wednesday through 7.32 per dollar and is a whisker from plumbing depths not recorded since late 2007. Investors could get further reminders on the currency's vulnerability from Chinese trade and FX reserves figures on Thursday. Chinese trade has been one of the biggest economic red flags this year. Beijing's nominal FX reserves have risen this year, even as the nominal value of Beijing's holdings of U.S. Treasuries has fallen to a 14-year low. Here are key developments that could provide more direction to markets on Thursday:- China trade (August)- Malaysia interest rate decision- Australia trade (August)By Jamie McGeever; Editing by Josie KaoOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Aly, Jamie McGeever, Treasuries, Josie Kao Organizations: REUTERS, FX, Asian FX, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, China, India, Japan, Asian, Beijing, U.S, Malaysia, Australia
"Further progress is likely to become more difficult as base effects fade, and supply-constraints could drive global energy and food prices higher again." Brent crude prices have risen 27% since mid-year and U.S. crude is up 30%, with U.S. retail pump prices already up almost 10% so far since June. Oil and inflation expectationsReuters GraphicsSLOWING DESCENTAnd alongside creeping worries about rising debt supply, the long end of bond markets has been rattled again by the oil price jump. And this has been a far bigger influence on the inflation trajectory than oil prices per se. Yet, restive crude prices will still cloud a messy and tricky battle with inflation expectations just as policy tightening cycles near an end.
Persons: Brent that's, Christian Keller, Akash Utsav, Andrew Goodwin, there's, George H.W, Jamie Freed Organizations: Brent, UBS, Organization for Economic Cooperation, Development, Barclays, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of England, U.S, Treasury, Oxford, Monetary Fund, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Ukraine, Saudi Arabia, Russia, tailwind, U.S, Europe, Britain, West, George H.W . Bush
Morning Bid: Global business splutters, dollar surges
  + stars: | 2023-09-05 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
But the U.S. jobs picture underscores the "soft-landing" consensus - something Tuesday's updates on global business surveys from last month suggest may not be the case elsewhere. Even though messy workouts of China's ongoing property bust were some relief - as real estate giant Country Garden made some last minute dollar bond payments - the funk in the wider economy clearly persists. That saw the euro fall back against the dollar to levels not seen since mid-June. But that provided little solace to sterling , which was also pummelled by the dollar to its lowest since June. The sour business polls took some heat out of the recent oil price rebound , but did little to calm the long end of the bond market.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Mike Dolan, disinflation, Philip Lowe, Glazer, Luis de Guindos, Isabel Schnabel, Hugh Lawson Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Reserve Bank of Australia, Stock, Wall, English football, Manchester United, Sunday, Central Bank, ECB, Treasury, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Europe, China
Pumpjacks are seen during sunset at the Daqing oil field in Heilongjiang province, China August 22, 2019. REUTERS/Stringer/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSept 6 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. Oil is back in the spotlight after Russia and Saudi Arabia on Tuesday extended output cuts. Oil prices have essentially been disinflationary all year, meaning the year-on-year price change has always been negative, sometimes dramatically so. With the dollar, bond yields and oil prices all marching higher, it is little wonder investors are drawing in their horns.
Persons: Stringer, Jamie McGeever, Brent, Japan's Hajime Takata, Josie Kao Organizations: REUTERS, Reserve Bank of Australia, U.S ., Asia, Bank, Japan's, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Heilongjiang province, China, Asia, Taiwan, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Japan, Australia
An aerial view shows the Central Bank of India building, in Mumbai, India, 28 September, 2022. (Photo by Niharika Kulkarni/NurPhoto via Getty Images)The global economy is set to slow down as inflation remains stickier than expected — but there may be some "pockets of resilience," according to Moody's Investors Service. Diron said the slowdown can be attributed to three factors: higher interest rates that persist, China's slowing growth, as well as financial system stresses. While central banks have managed to steer the global economy and "create a disinflationary trend" by raising interest rates, inflation risks are still a sticking point, she said. "There are still risks out there that inflation could prove stickier ... than currently expected, and that would lead to higher risks for longer and slower growth," explained the managing director.
Persons: Niharika Kulkarni, We're, Marie Diron, Diron Organizations: Central Bank of India, Getty, Moody's Investors Service, CNBC Locations: Mumbai, India, Asia
SHENZHEN, CHINA - MARCH 09: View of high commercial and residential buildings on March 9, 2016 in Shenzhen, China. "As a result, Chinese economic weakness and falling prices (especially Chinese producer prices) are likely to spill over into global markets — near-term good news for the Western central banks' fight against elevated inflation." "China's disappointing rebound is now feeding negatively into global sentiment and growth. Beyond the trade-related spillovers, a common global disinflationary pressure comes from commodity prices, where as a huge importer of commodities, Chinese domestic demand remains a key factor. "Weak Chinese domestic investment and broad-based excess capacity in manufacturing, as well as weak sales of new homes and land, are likely to continue to depress global commodity demand," Wilding and Liao said.
Persons: Zhong Zhi, Tiffany Wilding, Wilding, Carol Liao, Montgomery Koning, Liao, TS Lombard's Montgomery Koning Organizations: Getty, National Bureau, Statistics, Evergrande, TS Lombard, Lombard, U.S, Census, TS Lombard's Locations: SHENZHEN, CHINA, Shenzhen, China, U.S, Beijing, West, Germany
VIEW Turkey cements policy shift with super-sized rate hike
  + stars: | 2023-08-24 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
A logo of Turkey's Central Bank is pictured at the entrance of its headquarters in Ankara, Turkey October 15, 2021. "We should recall that sudden changes in interest rates usually have a delayed effect. "This was also the steepest rate hike since the CBT management reshuffle after the elections in May. We think the strong rate hike meant to address market concerns that the CBT wanted to avoid significant rate hike." TIMOTHY ASH, BLUEBAY ASSET MANAGEMENT, LONDON"Really solid move by the CBRT (central bank) to hike policy rates arguably above expectations by 750bps to 25%."
Persons: Cagla, GRZEGORZ DROZDZ, TIMOTHY ASH, 750bps, Hatice Karahan, Hatice Gaye, PIOTR MATYS, Governor Erkan, Erdogan, LIAM PEACH, Erkan, OZKARDESKAYA, SWISSQUOTE Organizations: Turkey's Central, REUTERS, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Ankara, Turkey, Turkish, EMERGINGMARKETWATCH.COM, SOFIA, GENEVA
US stocks still have further room to run, according to a Wednesday note from GlobalData TS Lombard. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe bull market in stocks that started earlier this year isn't ending anytime soon, according to a Wednesday note from GlobalData TS Lombard. TS Lombard highlighted eight charts to back up its bullish view on the US stock market. The Fed is approaching the top of its hiking cycle, although markets discounting early cuts may be too optimistic," TS Lombard said. Sentiment has largely normalized now; and the S&P 500, if anything, appears oversold today," TS Lombard said.
Persons: Andrea Cicione, Skylar Koning, Lombard, Disinflation, GlobalData Organizations: GlobalData, Lombard
The US won't see a resurgence in inflation, according to Jeremy Siegel. That was a reflection of poor productivity in the economy, Siegel said – a trend that has since turned around:"It was the worst productivity performance in over 70 years. This year we are hiring at less than half the pace and we have two to three times the level of GDP growth. That's why we can have this tremendous GDP growth and still have the disinflationary trend." And inflation won't reaccelerate as improving productivity justifies higher wages and drives more economic output, Siegel explained.
Persons: Jeremy Siegel, Wharton, Siegel, Jay Powell, Stocks Organizations: CNBC, Service, Atlanta Fed Locations: Wall, Silicon, BlackRock
SummaryCompanies Retail sales increase 0.7% in July; June sales revised upCore retail sales jump 1.0%; June sales revised downImport prices rebound 0.4%; down 4.4% year-on-yearWASHINGTON, Aug 15 (Reuters) - U.S. retail sales increased more than expected in July as Americans boosted online purchases and dined out more, suggesting the economy continued to expand early in the third quarter and keeping a recession at bay. Retail sales jumped 0.7% last month. Sales at food services and drinking places, the only services category in the retail sales report, shot up 1.4% after rising 0.8% in June. Excluding automobiles, gasoline, building materials and food services, retail sales surged 1.0% in July. Data for June was revised lower to show these so-called core retail sales increasing 0.5% instead of the previously reported 0.6%.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Andrew Hunter, David Russell, Matthew Martin, Ben Ayers, Lucia Mutikani, Paul Simao Organizations: Commerce Department, Capital Economics, Retail, Reuters, Consumers, Market Intelligence, Wall, Treasury, Labor Department, Oxford Economics, delinquencies, New York Fed, Nationwide, Thomson Locations: WASHINGTON, U.S, New York, Columbus , Ohio
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe're overall looking at a disinflationary train, says Yardeni Research presidentEd Yardeni, Yardeni Research president, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss Yardeni's disinflation outlook, the odds of a rate cut next year, and more.
Persons: Ed Yardeni Organizations: Yardeni Research
Bonds bruised, China stocks and rouble sink
  + stars: | 2023-08-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
With seasonal trading volumes so thin and the events and data diary bare today at least, there's a danger of over-interpreting recent market developments. But the backup in long-term U.S. bond yields over the past couple of weeks despite relatively unchanged expectations for Federal Reserve policy moves has clearly unsettled investors. Although 2-year Treasury yields remain below 5% and are lower than they were at midyear, 10-year Treasury yields continue to probe 9-month highs around 4.20% and the yield curve has disinverted by some 20 basis points this month as a result. China's yuan hit its lowest since June as traders look to a possible easing of 1-year interest rates on Tuesday. Events to watch for on Monday:* U.S. Treasury auctions 3-, 6-month billsReuters GraphicsReuters Graphics Reuters GraphicsReuters GraphicsReuters GraphicsBy Mike Dolan, editing by XXXX <a href="mailto:mike.dolan@thomsonreuters.com" target="_blank">mike.dolan@thomsonreuters.com</a>.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, Fitch, Goldman Sachs, Russia's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Micron Technology, Federal Reserve, United States, AAA, Treasury, . Treasury, Kremlin, Shanghai, Reuters, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, United, midyear, China, Japan, Ukraine, Hong Kong, Asia
Some said the downgrade to June's data meant the rise in the PPI last month was in line with expectations. In the 12 months through July, the PPI increased 0.8% after gaining 0.2% in June, boosted by a lower base of comparison last year. Excluding the volatile food and energy components, the so-called core goods prices were unchanged last month after falling 0.2% in June. In the 12 months through July, the so-called core PPI increased 2.7%, matching June's rise. As with all the July inflation data, the pick-up in the annual core PCE rate is due to unfavorable base effects.
Persons: Bill Adams, Will Compernolle, Eugenio Aleman, Raymond James, Lucia Mutikani, Andrea Ricci, Paul Simao Organizations: PPI, Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Comerica Bank, Reuters, Reuters Graphics, Treasury, Consumers, University of, CPI, Fed, Thomson Locations: August WASHINGTON, Dallas, U.S, New York, disinflation
The market has its mind made up: July's tame inflation reading means no more interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve. The "patience" reference goes to whether policymakers will be satisfied that inflation will come back to normal without any further rate increases, or if additional tightening is necessary. Following Thursday's release of the consumer price index , which showed a 12-month inflation rate of 3.2%, markets upped their bets that the Fed is staying put. The chance of any additional rate increases also declined, dropping to 27.3% for November and 24.1% for December, as of about 1:30 p.m. Thus, there was some caution from the CPI internals, and a stock market rally cooled Thursday afternoon as Wall Street digested the report.
Persons: Quincy Krosby, Bill Adams, Rick Rieder, Tom Lee, Bradley Saunders Organizations: Federal, LPL, of Labor Statistics, Fed, Comerica Bank, Market Committee, Capital Economics Locations: BlackRock
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