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While there's no universal minimum credit score to rent an apartment, landlords generally prefer applicants with a good credit score, which is at least 670. While your credit score will suffice for some landlords, under the Fair Credit Reporting Act, landlords are also allowed to view your credit reports. The average credit score of a Gen Z consumer is 680 compared to the average baby boomer's credit score of 745. Though these services won't directly help you build credit, keeping track of your credit score is a crucial part of the credit building process. Apartment credit score requirements frequently asked questionsCan you rent an apartment if you do not have credit?
Persons: , TransUnion, Kendall Meade, Jay Zigmont, Will, Jamela Adam, Read Organizations: Fair, Childfree, Forbes, . News, Mint Intuit Locations: AnnualCreditReport.com, SoFi, Chevron
Amazon on Thursday reported better-than-expected revenue and profits for the fourth quarter, driven by strong consumer spending during the holiday shopping season. The Seattle-based e-commerce company said it earned $170 billion in revenue and $10.6 billion in profits during the last three months of 2023, beating expectations from analysts surveyed by FactSet. In a statement, Amazon CEO Andy Jassy called it a “record-breaking” holiday shopping season for Amazon. The company said its online retail business earned $70.5 billion in revenue during the quarter, a 9% jump compared to $64.53 billion during the same period in 2022. Roughly an hour before it released its earnings on Thursday, Amazon announced a new generative AI-powered shopping assistant called Rufus.
Persons: Andy Jassy, Rufus, Organizations: FactSet, Amazon, San Locations: Seattle, San Francisco
The firm’s monthly survey showed 107,000 jobs were added, well below the 145,000 estimate. “Progress on inflation has brightened the economic picture despite a slowdown in hiring and pay,” said Nela Richardson, chief economist at ADP. The ADP report comes two days ahead of the Labor Department’s monthly jobs report for January, with consensus estimates for about a 180,000 gain in payrolls after December’s better-than-expected 216,000 increase. “The January jobs report will likely show that the labor market started the year on a solid note,” said Lydia Boussour, EY senior economist. The strong job market and U.S. economic growth in the fourth quarter led the International Monetary Fund to boost its projections of global economic growth this year.
Persons: , Nela Richardson, December’s, Lydia Boussour, EY, , Jerome Powell, José Torres Organizations: ADP, Labor, Federal Reserve, Observers, Interactive, International Monetary Fund, IMF Locations: U.S, payrolls, hawkish,
'Big Short' traders told CNBC that investors are too complacent, although the economy is healthy. But traders should still keep their eyes on pockets of risk, such as commercial real estate, the others said. As to today's economy, Eisman considers it relatively healthy, essentially dismissing Wall Street's concerns that a consumer spending drawdown guarantees a coming slowdown. AdvertisementSome on Wall Street are nervous this could trigger a massive real estate default wave, with billions at risk. Still, markets shouldn't be too complacent, as the commercial real estate industry has seen "fits and starts" crop up, Moses said.
Persons: Steve Eisman, , Neuberger, Danny Moses, Vincent Daniel, Porter Collins, Wall, Collins, Moses, Eisman Organizations: CNBC, Service, Consumers, Seawolf, Moses Ventures, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg
Combine that with a steady pace of monthly job gains, a historically-low unemployment rate of 3.7%, and inflation under 4%, and it looks like a soft landing is in view. But according to a list of recession indicators from ClearBridge Investments, a downturn is still likely in the months ahead. The Conference BoardThen there's wage growth, which is also declining at a pace typically seen in recessionary environments. On a three-month moving average basis, median wage growth has fallen to 5.2% in December 2023 from 6.7% in August 2022. With the economy holding strong in recent months, consensus has swung heavily back in favor of a soft landing.
Persons: Jeff Schulze, Schulze, Louis Fed, Louis, That's Organizations: Business, ClearBridge Investments, Fourth, Institute for Supply Management, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Louis Fed
"The model is forecasting lower economic growth in 2024 and I believe that will be realized," Harvey said, predicting a slowdown this quarter that will continue into the summer. AdvertisementHarvey also called on the Fed to end its inflation fight, arguing price growth has already normalized based on real-time housing data. "What the Fed has done in this cycle has made things worse, so we will be very fortunate to get out of this with slow growth." That could slow economic growth in the short term but prevent a full-blown recession later, he said. On the other hand, he argued the US should aim to accelerate economic growth to 5% by capitalizing on innovations like artificial intelligence and decentralized finance.
Persons: Campbell Harvey, Julia Roche, Harvey, hasn't, it's Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, Duke University, Fed
The US economy ended 2023 with a bang
  + stars: | 2024-01-25 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Real GDP grew at an annualized rate of 3.3% in the fourth quarter. After real GDP surged 4.9% in the third quarter, the latest point suggests still strong growth. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Real GDP rose at an annualized rate of 3.3% per the news release from the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Persons: , Steve Rattner, Willett, Rattner Organizations: Service, National Association for Business Economics, Willett Advisors, Bloomberg, Labor Statistics
Read previewThis year will be when the distress brewing in commercial real estate finally reaches its breaking point, according to Capital Economics. The research firm pointed to pessimism that has clouded the commercial real estate sector for the past year. Around $541 billion of commercial real estate debt officially matured in 2023, though fallout was muted as many loans were granted extensions, the firm said. Meanwhile, property investors like Brookfield are raising cash to potentially buy cheap commercial real estate properties that hit the market. AdvertisementSome commentators have warned of an even more severe crash coming for commercial real estate.
Persons: , Kiran Raichura, Raichura, Kyle Bass Organizations: Service, Capital Economics, Business, Fed, International Monetary Fund Locations: Brookfield
Commercial real estate prices are in the midst of one of the biggest drops in the past half-century, the IMF said. AdvertisementUS commercial real estate prices are enduring one of the sharpest drop-offs in the last half-century, easily topping losses seen in previous rate-hike cycles, the International Monetary Fund said. Since the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike in March 2022, US commercial property prices have slumped by over 11%, the agency outlined in a blog post. "Some of the earlier rate hikes, though, such as in 2004-06, were subsequently followed by a recession during which commercial property prices recorded notable declines as demand fell." In one worst-case scenario, that could as much as $1 trillion in commercial real estate equity, according to Cantor Fitzgerald CEO Howard Lutnick.
Persons: , Andrea Deghi, Cantor Fitzgerald, Howard Lutnick Organizations: Service, International Monetary Fund, Federal, International Monetary, IMF
So she turned to a novel solution to get through the season: Buy now, pay later. It's tough to say how buy now, pay later fits into the country's overall debt picture. Klarna, PayPal and Affirm all declined to share buy now, pay later delinquency rates with CNBC. Affirm has said the short-term and high-velocity nature of its buy now, pay later service makes traditional credit metrics less relevant. Klarna said its global default rate for its overall business including buy now, pay later is less than 1%.
Persons: Kiki Andersen, Andersen, I've, I'm, It's, Ted Rossman, delinquencies, who've, Klarna Organizations: PayPal, CNBC, Adobe, Federal Reserve Locations: Los Angeles, U.S
"However, the decline in full-time employment suggests recession risks are higher than thought." Here's the drop in wage growth Roberts mentions. At the moment, CEO confidence isn't great, Roberts pointed out, which could mean further trouble ahead for employment growth. AdvertisementA warning sign for stocksWhile it will take time for the labor market outlook to become clear, Roberts said stocks are already flashing signs of trouble. But that view became less popular in the second half of 2023 as the labor market proved resilient month after month amid Federal Reserve rate hikes, and inflation dropped to under 4%.
Persons: , Lance Roberts, Roberts, St, Louis Fed, it's Organizations: Service, RIA, Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Conference, Federal Reserve
Markets are closely monitoring Q4 earnings results, which began rolling out in mid-January, since they give much-needed clarity on the prior year while setting the tone for the year ahead. AdvertisementWhat to expect during the Q4 earnings seasonEarnings seasons often bring surprises, but there are also bankable bets. But we're going to be driven more by the macro, if we're excluding these mega-cap tech stocks." 3 sectors with boom-or-bust potentialWhile the strategists Business Insider spoke with didn't provide investing recommendations, several shared which sectors they're watching in Q4. Bianco believes the tech sector's earnings will rise over 20% this year.
Persons: , Matt Stucky, Stucky, David Kelly, UBS Josh Jamner, That's, Jamner, Carol Schleif, Schleif, there's, Anthony Saglimbene, David Bianco, Saglimbene, Bianco, Brad Klapmeyer, Klapmeyer, " Bianco, Ameriprise's Saglimbene, BMO's Schleif, Indrani De, De, she's, he'd, that's Organizations: Service, Business, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management, Asset Management, UBS, ClearBridge Investments, BMO Family Office, DWS, Macquarie Asset Management, FTSE Russell Locations: Americas
Stephen Squeri, chairman and chief executive officer of American Express Co., speaks during an Economic Club of New York event in New York, US, on Thursday, Nov. 10, 2022. American Express CEO Stephen Squeri on Friday said the credit card company saw "good consumer spending" during the holidays and signs of strong overall health for U.S. spending. In particular, delinquency rates were "lower than they were in 2019," Squeri told CNBC's Scott Wapner in an interview at the American Express PGA Tour event in La Quinta, California. The signs of resilient consumer spending run somewhat counter to persistent inflation. American Express reports its fourth-quarter earnings on Jan 26.
Persons: Stephen Squeri, Squeri, CNBC's Scott Wapner, he's, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, Goldman Sachs, David Solomon, We'll Organizations: American Express Co, Economic, of New, American Express, JPMorgan, Federal, Express Locations: of New York, New York, La Quinta , California, U.S
What broke the American Dream for Millennials
  + stars: | 2024-01-19 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +11 min
For their nine-month-old son, Miles, Rachael and Garrett agree: They’re not going to push him to pursue the same path. “This is the American Dream,” Rachael says. The nest egg mythA common refrain Millennials heard from their Boomer parents is that buying is always better than renting. Luke Sharrett/Bloomberg/Getty ImagesCentral to the pitch of the American Dream is a house. “I don’t think anyone could have foreseen house prices going up 20% or 30% in a three-year period,” Garrett says.
Persons: Pennsylvania CNN — Rachael Gambino, Garrett Mazzeo, , Miles, Rachael, Garrett, They’re, ’ ”, ” Rachael, Kristen Gambino, Rachael Gambino, Deborah Brunswick, John General, America it’s, Brendan Duke, Baby, Millennials, gumming, Obama, , Louis, Boomer, Luke Sharrett, they’d, ” Garrett, they’re, homeownership, We’re, “ we’re, That’s, Duke, ” Duke, , Camerota, Matthew Friedman Organizations: Pennsylvania CNN, , CNN, Center for American Progress, of Education, America, Federal Reserve Bank of St, Bloomberg, Getty, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Workers, Center, American Progress ’ Locations: Lansdale, Pennsylvania, America, United States, Attom, financials
Thursday's analyst calls featured an upgrade to a car rental stock and a big downgrade to an airline. The bank also hiked his price target on the tech giant to $225 per share, implying upside of 23%. — Pia Singh 5:36 a.m.: Citi downgrades Spirit Airlines to sell Citi is throwing in the towel on Spirit Airlines . Week to date, Spirit shares are down nearly 60%. Spirit shares were down more than 4% in the premarket.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Hertz, Andrew Percoco, Percoco, — Pia Singh, Wamsi Mohan, Fred Imbert, Kirk Materne, Materne, Dan Dolev, Dolev, he's, CFRA, Kenneth Leon, Berkshire Hathaway, Leon, Ranjan Sharma, Sharma, bode, Adam Jonas, Jonas, Morgan, Stephen Trent, Trent Organizations: CNBC, flipside, Citi, Spirit Airlines, JetBlue, Bank of America, Apple Bank of America, Apple, Microsoft, ISI, Activision, Activision Blizzard, Mizuho, Fidelity National Information Services, Paramount Global, RedBird Capital, Warner Bros ., Comcast, Paramount's, Showtime, Paramount, JPMorgan, Grab Holdings, Hertz Global Holdings, Jan, Citi downgrades Spirit Airlines, Spirit, Airlines Locations: Berkshire, 1H24, Wednesday's
NEW YORK (AP) — Americans stepped up their spending even more than expected in December, closing out the holiday season and the year on an upbeat tone. Retail sales rose 0.6% in December compared with November's 0.3% increase, according to the Commerce Department. Sales at stores selling general merchandise rose 1.3%, while sellers of clothing and accessories saw business up 1.5%. While consumers continue to face higher borrowing costs, tighter credit conditions and higher prices, spending is being fueled by a strong job market and rising wages. Higher energy and housing prices boosted overall U.S. inflation in December, a sign that the Federal Reserve’s drive to slow inflation to its 2% target will likely remain a bumpy one.
Persons: Paul Wiseman Organizations: Commerce Department, Federal Locations: Washington
Nik Shah, a housing expert who was spot-on in his forecast for last year, said prices could climb 7% in 2024. "Barring a black swan event, we predict that the housing market in 2024 will appreciate more than 2023," Shah told the real estate outlet. Related storiesFor reference, the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price Index notched a 4.8% annual gain up to October 2023, in line with Shah's estimate. At the same time, aging boomers will lead to an uptick in housing supply, which will should help ease prices. Meanwhile, findings from a separate Zillow survey suggest that the housing market could be breaking free from the "rate lock" phenomenon that froze activity last year.
Persons: Nik Shah, ResiClub, , Shah, hasn't, Gen Z Organizations: Service, metros, Owners Locations: Austin, Boise, Denver
Delinquency rates on loans backed by office properties jumped to 6.5% in the fourth quarter, an MBA survey found. Out of all the commercial real estate loan delinquency rates tracked by the survey, office loans led the pack. AdvertisementFinancial troubles continue to plague the office market, which led an increase in commercial real estate loan delinquency rates. Zooming out, the commercial real estate sector has been in a pinch ever since interest rate hikes made borrowing money a lot more expensive. AdvertisementStill, MBA's survey found that while the office market segment of commercial real estate is still wobbling, other slices of the sector are recovering.
Persons: , multifamily, Jamie Woodwell Organizations: Service, Financial, Mortgage Bankers Association, Capital Economics
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) during morning trading on January 11, 2024 in New York City. Stock futures are lower Monday night as Wall Street awaits further data and bank earnings that will provide a better glimpse into the state of the American consumer. S&P 500 futures dipped more than 0.1%, while Nasdaq 100 futures shed 0.2%. Another batch of bank earnings will be out during this holiday-shortened week, providing further clues about consumer health and data on credit card payments and delinquencies. Charles Schwab and M&T Bank , as well as several regional banks, are also slated to release their earnings this week.
Persons: FactSet, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Charles Schwab, Wells Fargo — Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Futures, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, PNC Financial Services, T Bank, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Dow Locations: New York City, Friday's
He is the founder of Rosenberg Research and the former chief economist at Merrill Lynch — and he called the 2008 recession. Rosenberg ResearchRosenberg's model takes into account stock valuations, investor sentiment, market technicals, investor positioning, and macro fundamentals. Here's The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index, which bundles together manufacturing data, bond and stock market performance, housing market activity, and consumer sentiment data. The economy doesn't jump from a tight labor market to layoffs," Rosenberg said in a note on Friday. Labor market and inflation data in the months ahead will tell the story for the US economy.
Persons: David Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch —, Rosenberg, It's, , Louis, GMO's Jeremy Grantham, Societe Generale's Albert Edwards Organizations: Rosenberg Research, Business, Research, Federal Reserve Bank of St, CNN, National Federation of Independent Businesses, Rosenberg, Societe Generale's, Federal, Labor, CPI
Credit card delinquencies surpass pre-pandemic levels
  + stars: | 2024-01-11 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +3 min
New York CNN —More Americans are buckling under the weight of mounting credit card debt. The Philadelphia Fed analyzed consumer credit card and mortgage data that large banks provide to the Federal Reserve on a quarterly basis. As such, a greater share of people are revolving all or part of their credit card balance. This nearly three-year stretch of high inflation and strong consumer spending has helped to send consumer debt — especially credit card balances — ballooning. It’s typically practical matters — that surprise medical bill, unexpected home or car repair, and day-to-day expenses — that get people into credit card debt, Rossman said.
Persons: New York CNN —, Gene Huang, Anna Veksler, , Ted Rossman, Bankrate, Rossman, “ That’s, it’s, Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Philadelphia Fed, Federal Reserve, Philly Fed, CNN Business Locations: New York
Buy now, pay later plans gained popularity in 2023 as an alternative to high-interest credit cards. Buy now, pay later use surged recently and those bills are now dueThe use of buy now, pay later plans skyrocketed during the 2023 holiday season. According to Adobe, which tracks online sales, buy now, pay later plans use was up 47% on Black Friday and 43% on Cyber Monday. According to PYMNTS' survey, 39.6% of respondents used buy now, pay later plans for clothing and accessories and 33.7% used them for groceries. Buy now, pay later debt can be advantageous if used correctly.
Persons: , Rather, Peter Cade, PYMNTS, Tim Quinlan, Shannon Seery Grein, Selcuk, Mark Luschini, Janney Montgomery Scott, Maria Bartiromo, Luschini, Warren Buffett, Buffett, I've Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Adobe, Household Economics, Science Research Network, Economic, Anadolu Agency, Getty, Wells, US Locations: Wells Fargo
The state of the US housing market in 5 charts
  + stars: | 2024-01-05 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
Read previewThe US housing market is facing historic unaffordability and it's kept countless Americans sidelined or forced to face hefty monthly home payments. This lock-in effect has created a tale of two markets: those who have been crushed by high mortgage rates and those who have mostly gotten by unaffected. Many Americans secured lower mortgage rates during the pandemic. AdvertisementBut in 2023, that dearth of supply for existing homes was a boon for homebuilders — and Wall Street took notice. William BlairFreddie Mac Multi-family Home Serious Delinquency Rate William Blair, Freddie MacUltimately, in 2024 William Blair forecasts supply to improve, mortgage rates to fall, and existing homeowners to return to the market out of necessity.
Persons: , it's, William Blair, Richard de Chazal, homebuilders, William Blair's, de Chazal, William Blair Freddie Mac, Freddie Mac Organizations: Service, Industry, Business, National Association of Realtors, Federal, Wall, Bloomberg
Let 'em ride: Several of 2023's best-performing stocks were grossly undervalued at the beginning of the year. So while investors recognized the company could deliver massive earnings and free cash flow, they were afraid Zuckerberg had gone off the reservation. The stock sports topline growth, substantial margins, a strong balance sheet, substantial free cash flow, and a moat around its business. It's time to hedge some of those gains (or take profits): The second best-performing stock in the Russell 1000 for 2023 is Coinbase (COIN) . If you own, but don't want to sell, consider purchasing the March $45/$35 put spread as a particle hedge, as illustrated below.
Persons: David Ricardo, Ricardo, Mark Zuckerberg, Zuckerberg, doesn't, Russell, cryptocurrencies, aren't, Equifax Organizations: Russell, Vertiv, Builders, Topbuild Corp, Nvidia, Investors, MU, Walmart, Visa, Mastercard, Paypal, Experian, PayPal, Palantir Technologies, Government Locations: uptrends
However, credit card balances are especially worrisome because they are going to keep getting worse. That means the average American could be spending $1,140 every year on credit card interest and fees alone. Americans have been accruing a lot of credit card debt at a terrible timeAccording to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Americans had nearly $1.1 trillion in credit card debt in the third quarter of this year. Credit card interest rates, which had already been at their highest level since the mid-1990s, started soaring even higher. But with credit card debt going through the roof, the blissful spending could come to a screeching halt.
Persons: couldn't, , Gary Coronado, LendingTree, Ted Rossman, Biden Organizations: Service, SoFi Bank, Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Federal Reserve Board, Fed, New York, New York Fed, Consumer Financial, CNN, Household Economics Locations: WalletHub, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, delinquencies
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