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Premarket stocks: This is how the banking crisis ends
  + stars: | 2023-05-05 | by ( Julia Horowitz | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
London CNN —US regional bank stocks look set to rebound Friday but are still down sharply this week, accentuating fears that federal regulators have not yet contained a crisis in the sector that could shake the financial system. Breaking it down: Wall Street is on the hunt for any signs of vulnerability in the banking system after the high-profile demise of Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and First Republic Bank in a matter of weeks. While authorities stepped in to protect depositors at those banks, investors were left with stocks that were suddenly worthless. “I believe it really only ends after we get some type of government intervention,” Michaud told me. The value of short positions in regional bank stocks reached $15.1 billion in mid-April, up from about $13.7 billion one year ago, according to data from S3 Partners.
JPMorgan made a bold call on Friday, upgrading three regional banks despite a renewed rout in the sector this week that the investment bank says is partly due to short sellers. "To this end, we believe a sell-off in regional banks has become a catalyst itself to cause further fear and selling pressure." The SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF , down 15% through Thursday this week, was up 4% in premarket trading Friday. The banks that JPMorgan upgraded have been hit even harder than the broader sector. The regional bank stocks have fallen despite the fact that the companies reported lower deposit outflows than First Republic.
Lyft – Stock in the rideshare giant fell 21% on Friday, after reporting quarterly results a day earlier. Coinbase – Shares of the cryptocurrency platform rose 17% after Wedbush reiterated an outperform rating on the stock earlier on Friday. The company reported beats on quarterly results a day earlier, with a smaller-than-expected loss of 34 cents per share. Wells Fargo upgraded the stock to equal weight from underweight, saying green shoots for Vans were becoming harder to ignore. Lucid is set to report quarterly results on May 8, and analysts polled by FactSet forecast a loss of 39 cents per share.
Morgan Stanley reiterates Apple as overweight Morgan Stanley said Apple is "delivering under pressure" after its earnings report on Thursday. Guggenheim upgrades Portillo's to buy from neutral Guggenheim said it sees multiple expansion for the restaurant chain. Goldman Sachs downgrades Atlassian to neutral from buy Goldman said the company's "cloud transition [is] likely taking longer than expected." UBS upgrades Shopify to neutral from sell UBS said in its upgrade of Shopify that it sees revenue upside. Jefferies initiates Playboy Group as buy Jefferies said it sees "significant upside" for the adult themed global media and lifestyle company.
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOptions Action: Traders betting big against Zions Bancorp amid regional bank routMike Khouw, Optimize Advisors president, joins CNBC’s Melissa Lee and the Options Action traders to breakdown the regional banking rout's impact on the options market.
Futures waver as PacWest slide offsets Fed pause optimism
  + stars: | 2023-05-04 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
The Fed over the past 14 months has raised rates by 500 basis points to tame price pressures in its most aggressive policy tightening since the 1980s. The KBW Regional Banking index (.KRX) and S&P 500 Banks index (.SPXBK) have lost around 29% and 15% so far in 2023. Investors will also monitor weekly jobless claims for further clues on the state of the labor market. Qualcomm Inc (QCOM.O) slumped 6.7% after third-quarter forecasts missed estimates, while Etsy Inc (ETSY.O) gained 3% on beating expectations for quarterly revenue. Reporting by Ankika Biswas in Bengaluru; Editing by Shounak DasguptaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
PacWest plunges as banking woes spreadThe regional banking sector is teetering again, with PacWest’s stock plummeting more than 35 percent in premarket trading, despite the Fed chair Jay Powell’s assessment that the worst is over. The Los Angeles-based lender confirmed that it was talking to potential investors following reports that it was exploring a sale. Investors may be feeling some déjà vu after witnessing two big bank failures, and billions in market value wiped out, since the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in March. It’s not just PacWest in free-fall. News of a potential PacWest sale, first reported by Bloomberg — and confirmed by DealBook — came just hours after Mr. Powell declared that the banking system was “sound and resilient.”
Deposits stood at $28 billion as of Tuesday, compared with roughly $29 billion that it said it held in late April. The bank released the updated details after its shares had plunged more than 50 percent in late trading on Wednesday. That drop came after Bloomberg News reported that the bank was working with advisers to explore options, including a sale. In premarket trading on Thursday, PacWest was down about 37 percent. Two other regional lenders, Western Alliance and Zions Bancorp, fell 19 percent and 10 percent.
A cluster of regional banks scrambled on Thursday to convince the public of their financial soundness, even as their stock prices plunged and investors took bets on which might be the next to fall. PacWest and Western Alliance were in the eye of the storm, despite the companies’ protestations that their finances were solid. PacWest’s shares lost 50 percent of their value on Thursday and Western Alliance fell 38 percent. They are also much smaller than Silicon Valley Bank and First Republic, which each had about $200 billion in assets when they collapsed. PacWest, based in Los Angeles, has about $40 billion in assets, and Western Alliance, with headquarters in Phoenix, has $65 billion in assets.
As stock indexes slipped Thursday, PacWest's already battered shares fell by 52% in morning trading. The bank said it was talking to potential partners and investors, and would keep evaluating "all options to maximize shareholder value." Stock indexes fell ahead of a big earnings day, with Apple and other big companies on tap. The jitters follow the failures of Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and, more recently, First Republic Bank. "The cumulative effect of these bank failures will take its toll both on financial-market conditions and prompt nervousness among the investment community," said Brian O’Reilly, head of market strategy at Mediolanum International Funds.
Stock futures fell after the Federal Reserve hiked rates by another 25 basis points and investors' fears of contagion in the regional bank space returned. S&P 500 futures shed 0.46%. Regional bank shares sold off hard, with Western Alliance tumbling nearly 30% and Zions Bancorporation dropping nearly 12%. Since the closure of Silicon Valley Bank in March, First Republic has joined the ranks of failed institutions and was recently taken over by JPMorgan Chase. "I believe with a very high degree of probability there's going to be further regional bank failures."
PacWest Bancorp (PACW.O) shares gained 2.1% in early trading after tumbling 28% to close at their lowest level on record on Tuesday. The KBW Regional Banking Index (.KRX) rose 1% after closing at its lowest level since December 2020. Evercore ISI analysts lowered their 2023 earnings outlook for regional lenders. The brokerage now estimates a nearly 1%decline from a year earlier, compared to an already lowered expectations of a 4% growth, blaming it on intensifying funding cost pressures amid declining regional bank deposits. Meanwhile, short sellers have pocketed $1.2 billion in paper profits betting against regional lenders in the first two days of May, with Truist Financial Corp (TFC.N) and PacWest generating the highest gains, analytics firm Ortex said.
Banks in focus as the Fed weighs its rates moveIf market predictions are correct, the Fed on Wednesday will raise borrowing costs by a quarter of a percentage point, even as growing turmoil in the stocks of regional banks threatens to choke off credit to businesses and consumers, pushing the economy into recession. The decision comes amid a brutal sell-off in regional banks’ shares, which has wiped billions off smaller lenders’ market valuations. Regulators had hoped that the sale of the embattled First Republic Bank to JPMorgan Chase this week would contain the panic. But short sellers, investors who profit off bets that stock prices will fall, have continued to take aim at regional lenders like PacWest, Western Alliance and Zions Bancorp. (Shares in PacWest and Western Alliance are down again in premarket trading.)
Five reasons why regional bank stock investors are worried
  + stars: | 2023-05-03 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Many regional banks, like Zions, KeyCorp and US Bancorp, were trading at their lowest levels since the Great Financial Crisis in early 2009. Repricing of commercial real estate (CRE) loans is a major issue, given how top-heavy many regional banks are in this space. "Owners of bank stocks are asking, 'Why am I here?,'" one bank analyst who asked to remain anonymous told me. He has a point: the SPDR Regional Bank ETF (KRE), a basket of large regional banks, began trading in mid-2006. You heard right: a basket of regional banks is 20% lower than 17 years ago.
CVS cut its 2023 adjusted earnings guidance to a range of $8.50 to $8.70 per share from its previous projection of $8.70 to $8.90 per share. On Tuesday, the consumer products firm posted fiscal third-quarter adjusted earnings per share of $1.51 topped the $1.22 per share expected by analysts polled by Refinitiv. Revenue also beat, coming in at $1.91 billion versus the $1.82 billion expected by Wall Street. AMD also said it expects about $5.3 billion in sales in the current quarter, less than the $5.48 billion expected by Wall Street. Its adjusted earnings per share for the first quarter came in at $1.06, compared to the $1.13 expected, per Refinitiv.
Shares of PacWest and Western Alliance each fell more than 25%, leading bank stocks lower on Tuesday. "This part of the crisis is over," JPMorgan's Jamie Dimon said after his bank took over First Republic. Shares of PacWest and Western Alliance fell as much as 26% and 27%, respectively. The S&P Regional Banks Select Industry Index fell 7%, while the KBW Regional Banking ETF fell 6%. The crash in regional bank shares comes a few days after First Republic Bank failed and was taken over by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation and its assets sold to JPMorgan.
Stocks slumped on Tuesday, as fears for the health of the financial sector after the collapse of First Republic Bank collided with broader anxiety over signs of a weakening economy. PacWest lost a third of its value in the first hour of trading, it’s worst single-day drop since the height of the bank turmoil in March. Western Alliance sank nearly 20 percent, while Comerica and Zions bank both suffered double-digit percentage declines. Oil prices fell sharply, too, as the prospects of an economic downturn would likely cut energy demand. The price of a barrel of Brent crude, the international benchmark, dropped to around $76, close to its lowest level for the year.
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - APRIL 24: A person walks past a First Republic bank branch in Manhattan on April 24, 2023 in New York City. First Republic , JPMorgan Chase — First Republic shares and were halted after JPMorgan Chase acquired the ailing bank and most of its assets after regulators seized control. General Motors — The automaker gained 2% after Morgan Stanley upgraded General Motors to overweight from equal weight and called the stock oversold. — Regional bank stocks were volatile on Monday as investors reacted to the seizure and sale of First Republic Bank over the weekend. However, management said on the company earnings call Monday that demand for loans originating from the fourth quarter would see a lower monetization level due to higher interest.
New York CNN —A month ago, code blue sirens went off at banks across the globe after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank. For now, looking at banks’ deposits may lead you to believe that banks are in better shape than they are, but they “are not out of the woods just yet,” said Ana Arsov, managing director at Moody’s. After the collapse of SVB and Signature Bank, record levels of deposits poured into Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase and Citibank from mid-size and regional banks. A sign is posted on the exterior of a First Republic Bank office on March 16, 2023 in San Francisco. And the Fed’s likely rate hikes at its upcoming meetings will lead to more deposit outflows, said Wolfe.
First Republic reported a more than $100 billion plunge in deposits in the quarter in the aftermath of the biggest turmoil to hit the banking sector since 2008. Regional bank PacWest Bancorp (PACW.O) fell 9%, Western Alliance Bancorporation (WAL.N) 6%, Zions Bancorp (ZION.O) 5% and brokerage Charles Schwab Corp (SCHW.N) was down 4%. First Republic said on Monday it was "pursuing strategic options" to quickly strengthen the bank, without providing details. Options include an asset sale of up to $100 billion, a source familiar with the situation said on Tuesday. "So it's tough to even describe it as good asset and bad asset," Chiaverini said.
The challenges of saving a troubled lenderFirst Republic will report quarterly earnings on Monday, its first since the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank sparked a regional banking crisis. And despite a $30 billion lifeline provided by some of the country’s largest banks, First Republic’s shares have fallen nearly 90 percent over the past six months. So why hasn’t there been a deal to raise more cash or sell assets — or itself? First Republic is not expected to announce a deal alongside its earnings. Assuming those have moderated, First Republic has time to solve its problem.
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A couple signs of stability for those worried about the banking crisis: regional bank stocks are mostly up this week, and inflows into money market funds have reversed. The Regional Bank ETF (KRE) is still 25% lower than it was in early March. Another sign of calm: money market inflows have stopped. Total assets in money market funds fell by $68.64 billion in the week ended April 19, according to the Investment Company Institute. From late February to early April, net assets of money market funds increased by about 10%, to $5.27 trillion.
American Express posted earnings per share of $2.40 for the first quarter, below an estimate of $2.66, per Refinitiv. On Wednesday, the casino and resort company posted a beat on first-quarter earnings. The decline comes a day after Zions missed earnings expectations in the first quarter. The company posted earnings of $2.73 per share on revenue of $7.97 billion. The downgrade comes ahead of the defense firm's first quarter earnings report, which is set to release April 25.
IBM — The tech stock rose more than 1% in premarket trading after the company reported an earnings beat. IBM posted adjusted earnings of $1.36 per share, compared to $1.26 per share as expected by analysts, according to Refinitiv. American Express — Shares dipped 1.3% after the payments company reported adjusted earnings per share of $2.40 for the first quarter, below StreetAccount's estimates of $2.66. F5 — The cloud-based software company's shares were down about 7% after a mixed second fiscal quarter earnings report. Analysts polled by FactSet had estimated 44 cents earnings per share and $1.79 billion in revenue.
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