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AdvertisementSt. Louis FedDespite the Sahm Rule's impressive history, it is sometimes criticized because it fails to account for rising labor participation, which can raise the unemployment rate. In addition to downcast labor market data, the ISM Manufacturing Index fell further into contraction territory this week, signaling that US manufacturing continues to slow. The market's direction also depends on how investors interpret interest rate cuts alongside future data. Fed funds rate futures markets are now pricing in a 50-basis-point cut in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. AdvertisementHartnett and his team analyzed Fed rate-cutting cycles and identified three different types of rate cuts — cuts into a soft landing, cuts into a hard landing, and panic cuts, which are due to a credit event or some sort of Wall Street crisis.
Persons: , Claudia Sahm —, Louis Fed, Piper Sandler, Tom Essaye, Jack McIntyre, Lara Castleton, Janus Henderson, Michael Kantrowitz, we've, Kantrowitz, Michael Hartnett, Hartnett Organizations: Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business, Labor, Brandywine Global, ISM, Nasdaq, Fed, Janus, Janus Henderson Investors, Bank of America, Fund
Technical signals suggest downside is limitedThere isn't much evidence that poor-performing areas of the market, like small-cap stocks, have peaked, Newton said. Meanwhile, Treasury yields have fallen in recent months as traders anticipate Fed rate cuts, which is typically bullish for stocks, he added. Advertisement"Thus, looking to buy dips makes sense technically," he said, adding that small-cap stocks looked "certainly appealing" after their recent slide. Fed rate cuts will mark a turning point in the marketThat's because rate cuts are expected to ease borrowing costs across several sectors. Small-cap stocks are flashing bullish signalsThe Russell 2000 hit a 30-month high in July, something that's only happened nine times over the past 45 years.
Persons: Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Lee, , Tom Lee, who's, Mark Newton, Newton, I'm, Russell, That's Organizations: Tech, Service, Fed, Wall Street Locations: Wall
US stocks plunged Friday after a weak July jobs report sparked investor panic. The Nasdaq closed in correction territory, and the VIX soared as much as 60% to hit its highest since March 2023. AdvertisementUS stocks plunged on Friday, with the S&P 500 extending its two-day sell-off to more than 3%, as a weak July jobs report sparked panic among investors. Meanwhile, the CBOE Volatility Index, better known as the VIX, soared as much as 60% to 29.66, its highest level since March 2023. AdvertisementThe damage was exacerbated after the July jobs report showed an unexpected increase in the unemployment rate and payroll figures badly missed estimates.
Persons: , Tom Lee Organizations: Nasdaq, Service, Treasury, Amazon, Intel, Federal, CME, Fed, UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: Americas, Here's
The new burger, the Big Arch, is currently being piloted in Canada and Portugal. By using a brand name rather than a descriptor — like calling it the Big Burger — companies can "signal superiority," Kerrigan said. "And so you elevate what is a big burger to a branded shiny thing." AdvertisementThe arches imagery is now returning to menus again, with the launch of the Big Arch and its accompanying Big Arch Sauce. "You show that you are in someone's club or part of their tribe by using the same kind of brand names," she said.
Persons: , McDonald's, Finola Kerrigan, — you've, Kerrigan, David Hughes, didn't, Hughes, Birdie, Ronald McDonald Organizations: Service, Business, Birmingham Business School, Mac, Triple, Mayo, Burger, Imperial College London Locations: Canada, Portugal, California, Texas
This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. Brands like Unilever, L'Oréal, and NotCo pay Memorable AI an annual fee to use its tools. The company said this allows advertisers to reduce the time they would usually spend testing and optimizing ad creative, the company said. Related storiesThe Memorable AI team has joined Reddit as part of the acquisition. AdvertisementIts ads business is growing, but still tiny compared to Google, Meta, Amazon, and TikTok.
Persons: , Reddit, van, Cofounders Camilo Fosto, Sebastian Acevedo, Michael Kassan, Brian O'Kelley, hasn't Organizations: Service, Business, Harvard, Stanford, MIT, Brands, Unilever, L'Oréal, Aperiam Ventures, Bertelsmann Digital Media Investments, LDV, Ventures, Google Locations: New York
As a Republican governor who has won four elections in a purple state, I’ve learned a thing or two about how to win. Catchy one-liners — calling Vice President Harris a “bum,” “not a serious person” and “bottom of the barrel” — might rile up the base, but they do little to connect with independent voters needed to close the deal in November. Independent voters are independent for a reason. They are not driven to the polls by personal attacks. The message from both sides must be inspirational, focused and about the results that can be delivered for the American people.
Persons: I’ve, Donald Trump, Harris, , Tim Walz, ” Don’t Organizations: Republican, Independent, Republican Party, Gov Locations: Minnesota
The rally would be sparked by a dovish Fed FOMC meeting on Wednesday that all but confirms imminent interest rate cuts. "These are significant gains, implying the S&P 500 could gain 200-300 points in the next week," Lee said. "The key premise is the Fed is likely to commit to a September rate cut of at least 25bp. Lee's confidence in a strong rally post-Fed meeting is based on the fact that recent Fed meetings have sparked a big rally in stocks. "Here are some tangible reasons a Fed cut makes sense: 30-year mortgage has excess spread to 10-year due to uncertainty.
Persons: Tom Lee, Lee, Organizations: Service, Fed, Nasdaq
The rally in small-cap stocks is set to continue after a bullish signal flashed for the first time since 2009, Fundstrat says. The Dallas Manufacturing Survey shows a sharp spread between current and forward expectations. Such spreads have historically preceded significant moves in small-cap stocks, Fundstrat's Tom Lee said. AdvertisementThe July rally in small-cap stocks is set to continue after a bullish signal flashed for the first time since 2009, according to Fundstrat's Tom Lee. Much of Lee's bullishness on small-cap stocks is based on compelling valuations, falling inflation, and the expectation of interest rate cuts later this year.
Persons: Fundstrat, Tom Lee, , Lee, you've Organizations: Dallas Manufacturing Survey, Service Locations: Dallas, Lee's
Trump keeps using 'Palestinian' as an insult
  + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Bryan Metzger | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
But they don't like him because he's a very bad Palestinian, he's a weak one." Trump to Biden: "He's become like a Palestinian! Related stories"He's Jewish, but he's become a Palestinian," Trump said at that rally. AdvertisementAmnesty International USA Executive Director Paul O'Brien told Reuters after the debate that "to insinuate that being Palestinian is somehow a bad thing, as former President Trump did when he called President Biden Palestinian, reeks of racism and anti-Arab hatred." Reaching by Business Insider, Trump spokesman Steven Cheung brushed off the criticism.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Chuck Schumer, Trump, Benjamin Netanyahu, Sid, It's, Joe Biden's, Biden, He's, Schumer, he's, Paul O'Brien, Steven Cheung, Cheung, That's, Kamala Harris, Trump's Organizations: Service, WABC, Business, Biden, USA, Reuters, Biden Palestinian, Trump, Democratic Party, Arab, Republican Party Locations: Israel, Palestinian, Virginia, Gaza
Read previewAn Olympics ad from Google depicting a father using its Gemini AI assistant to help his daughter compose a letter to her favorite athlete has drawn sharp criticism from online commentators. Google's "Dear Sydney" spot first aired on TV during the broadcast of the opening ceremony on July 24 and is also available on YouTube. Related stories"It follows a coherent story, focuses on characters with agency and vitality, and prioritizes people over the product," said Jon Evans, System1 chief customer officer, of Google's ad. Still, several ad experts have said Google's marketing department — which created the ad in-house rather than using an ad agency — should have done a better job of reading the room. The "Dear Sydney" spot was still airing on US TV on Tuesday morning, according to the measurement firm iSpot.
Persons: , USA's Sydney McLaughlin, McLaughlin, Shelly Palmer, Syracuse University's S.I, Jon Evans, Evans, System1, Kevin, Sabrina, Sydney, Maani Safa, Poppins, Safa, Malcolm Poynton, didn't, Lorraine Twohill, Josh Green Organizations: Service, Google, Gemini, Business, Paris Olympics, YouTube, Team USA, Syracuse University's, Newhouse School of Public Communications, NBC Sports, Cheil Locations: Paris
Eurosport removed Bob Ballard from its Paris Olympics coverage after he made a sexist joke. Ballard joked that Australia's female swimmers were doing their makeup after they won a gold medal. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementSports commentator Bob Ballard was removed from Eurosport's Paris Olympics line-up after making a sexist joke about female athletes. Team Australia's Mollie O'Callaghan, Shayna Jack, Emma McKeon, and Meg Harris were celebrating their gold medal on Saturday when Ballard made the comment.
Persons: Bob Ballard, Ballard, , Australia's Mollie O'Callaghan, Shayna Jack, Emma McKeon, Meg Harris Organizations: Eurosport, Paris Olympics, Service, Paris, BBC, Guardian, Business
Read previewWarning: Major spoilers ahead for season two, episode seven of "House of the Dragon." The massacre scene at the end of "House of the Dragon" episode seven may be brutal to watch, but a cinematographer told Business Insider that it was "unpleasant" to film, too. The "scary part" was that the crew didn't have much time to shoot such a crucial scene, Černjul added. Ulf White's dragon scene was filmed on the same bluescreen stageUlf the White (Tom Bennett) was introduced in "House of the Dragon" season two. "He was talking to them in real time, and then he would basically almost turn into a dragon," Černjul said.
Persons: , Rhaenyra Targaryen, Emma D'Arcy, Rhaenyra, Corlys Velaryon's, Steve Touissant, Hugh Hammer, Kieran Bew, Vermithor, Ulf White, Tom Bennett, Silverwing, Černjul, Harry Collett, Theo Whiteman, HBO Černjul, Hugh Hammer's, Loni Peristere, Hugh, King Viserys, Paddy Considine, Daemon Targaryen, Matt Smith, Ulf, White, Ollie Upton, Baelon, Daemon, Peristere Organizations: Service, Business, HBO, Warner Bros, Leavesden Studios, Max Locations: Hull, Dragonstone, Watford, England, Rhaenyra
Sophie O'Brien, the founder of the entry-level recruitment service Pollen Careers, told Business Insider that if companies want to hire the best-fitting Gen Z talent, they should ditch asking for a résumé. Gen Z are people aged 12 to 27. O'Brien found success in hiring Gen Z talent with less conventional methods. Advertisement"It's alienating Gen Z," she said. "This is groundbreaking for Gen Z, they absolutely love it," O'Brien said.
Persons: , Sophie O'Brien, Gen, O'Brien, they'd, Zers, I'm, they've, Gen Z, we've, Majella Lavelle, résumés, Lavelle, Laura Littlehales, Littlehales, David Graham, Mobsta Organizations: Service, Business, CVs, Arsenal, Sporting, aren't, McDonald's
The 2024 Paris Olympic Games is underway in the French capital. Here's a look at some of the A-listers to have touched down in France so far. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThe Paris 2024 Olympic Games are well underway following Friday night's opening ceremony. Here's a closer look at some of the A-listers to have touched down in the French capital so far.
Persons: , Ariana Grande, Tom Cruise, Here's Organizations: Service Locations: It's, France
Read previewRhaenyra Targaryen's (Emma D'Arcy) focus in "House of the Dragon" season two is finding new dragonriders. Advertisement'House of the Dragon' seemingly gives Nettles' story to Rhaena TargaryenPhoebe Campbell as Rhaena Targaryen in "House of the Dragon." Theo Whiteman/HBOIt appears that the writers have given Nettles' story to Rhaena Targaryen (Phoebe Campbell). AdvertisementNettles was in a relationship with Daemon Targaryen in 'Fire and Blood'Matt Smith as Daemon Targaryen in "House of the Dragon." AdvertisementIt seems highly unlikely that the Nettles' relationship will be folded into "House of the Dragon" because Rhaena is Daemon's daughter.
Persons: , Emma D'Arcy, Nettles, Hugh Hammer, Ulf, White, Kieran Bew, Tom Bennett, Dragonstone, Hugh, Clinton, Seasmoke, Sheepstealer, Rhaena Targaryen Phoebe Campbell, Theo Whiteman, Rhaena Targaryen, Phoebe Campbell, Jake, Rory Heard, Nettles hasn't, Daemon Targaryen, Matt Smith, Theo Whitman, it's, Rhaenyra, Word Organizations: Service, Greens, Business, Silverwing, Clinton Liberty, HBO, Aegon, Blacks Locations: Hull, Vale, Sheepstealer
The freight recession will likely remain drag on into a sixth quarter, according to AFS Logistics. Bankruptcies and aggressive competition have defined the industry downturn, the firm told Business Insider. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThere's no end in sight for the freight recession, and the downturn is reshaping dynamics in the industry. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.
Persons: Tom Nightingale, , Cowen Organizations: AFS Logistics, Business, Service
Read previewAfter roads went eerily quiet during the early months of the pandemic, traffic is back with a vengeance. New remote and hybrid work schedules and a rise in car ownership in recent years have transformed traffic and congestion patterns. New York City had the worst congestion of any city in the world in 2023, the INRIX report found. AdvertisementNew York City had the worst congestion of any city in the world in 2023, the INRIX report found. While the population of New York City residents rose 1.4% between 2012 and 2021, the number of registered passenger vehicles rose by 12%.
Persons: , INRIX, Bob Pishue, COVID, Pishue, Declan Gill Organizations: Service, Business, New, People Locations: Dallas, New York, Manhattan, New York City, York City, Yorkers
Premium economy is having a moment
  + stars: | 2024-07-27 | by ( Tom Carter | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +5 min
Some airlines have revamped their premium economy services in recent months, with passengers increasingly tempted by the prospect of upgrading to more luxurious seating without blowing their budget. Delta plans to roll out a premium economy service to transcontinental flights in September, while Singapore Airlines announced its updated premium economy class in March with a 200-item food menu. 'The sweet spot between cost and luxury'Delta plans to roll out a premium economy service to transcontinental flights in September. AdvertisementCounterpoint director and aircraft interiors expert Rob Semple told BI that the key to convincing passengers to upgrade was to make premium economy "visibly better" than economy class to increase the sense of FOMO — while still maintaining a luxury gap between premium economy and the more expensive business class. Advertisement"We all know that economy class sucks on pretty much every airline.
Persons: , United, Collin Heller, Bauer, Griffin, Rob Semple, Semple, Henry Harteveldt Organizations: Service, Singapore Airlines, Business, Alaska Airlines, Wall Street, Counterpoint Market Intelligence, AaronP, Getty, Airlines
It could also have a major impact on House and Senate races. We talked by email about the state of play for the House and Senate and how the shake-up in the presidential race might change things. PATHE: House races are typically more nationalized than Senate races because the candidates are lesser known; therefore, it’s harder for them to separate themselves from their party and the top of the ticket. WOLF: The presidential primary process is over, but we’re still in the thick of statewide primaries for House and Senate races. WOLF: If there’s one Senate race that could be a bellwether for the country as a whole, which one is it and why?
Persons: Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Simone Pathe, Harris, Biden, It’s, Donald Trump, Trump, Wisconsin Sen, Tammy Baldwin, who’s, Baldwin, she’d, Sen, Jon Tester, Tester, it’s, Priscilla Alvarez, hasn’t, WOLF, Ohio’s Sherrod Brown, doesn’t, Brown, — Tester, Bob Casey of Pennsylvania, Jacky Rosen, Nevada –, , There’s, we’re, — GOP Sen, Rick Scott, Debbie Mucarsel, Powell, Colin Allred, GOP Sen, Ted Cruz, there’s, Cruz, we’ve, Beto O’Rourke’s, Jaime Harrison’s, South Carolina Sen, Lindsey Graham, Allred —, That’s, Debbie Stabenow, Elissa Slotkin, Mike Rogers Organizations: CNN, CNN Politics, Senate, PATHE, Democratic, Black, Biden, Trump, Air Force, GOP, Republican, Democrat, House, — GOP, of Houston, South Carolina, Democrats, Democratic Rep Locations: Washington, Wisconsin, Madison, Milwaukee, Baldwin, Montana, California, Pennsylvania, Trump, New York, Oregon , Washington , Colorado , Michigan, North Carolina, New Mexico, Maine, Alaska, York, Ohio, In Ohio, Nevada, Arizona , Michigan, West Virginia, — Texas, Florida, Maryland, Texas, Michigan
In the May primary, she defeated Rep. David Trone, who self-funded his campaign to the tune of over $60 million. If elected, she would become Maryland's first Black senator and only the second woman to represent the state in the upper chamber. The morning starts early, but I'm still the county executive, which means that the days are always really busy. I think this Senate campaign is the first time I've experienced anything where there are no days off. She took our sandwich orders, and I started explaining to her: "I'm here and I'm campaigning.
Persons: Angela Alsobrooks, David Trone, Larry Hogan, Maryland's, I've, I'm, Alsobrooks, Millard, Sarah L, Voisin, we'd, Anita, Andrew Harnik, didn't waver Organizations: Service, Prince, Democratic, Republican Gov, Prince George's County, Hyattsville Middle, Washington, Getty, The Washington Post, US Locations: Prince George's County , Maryland, That's, Prince George's, Hyattsville, Md, Shore, Burtonsville
Read previewIn a snowy landscape near Stepove in eastern Ukraine, Russian and Ukrainian armored vehicles went head-to-head in what appeared to be a mismatched fight. The Russian tank's turret starts spinning, and then the tank veers off course and crashes into a tree. Advertisement"So armored vehicles dash in, fulfill their combat mission, and then withdraw as fast as they can," said Gressel. Only weeks later, a Bradley took out two BTR-82 Russian armored troop carriers in the same region. AdvertisementParakilas, the RAND analyst, said that the Pentagon is modifying the Bradley vehicles to better defend them against the drone and air attacks that proved devastating against the western-supplied armored vehicles in summer 2023.
Persons: , Vladimir Putin, Bradley, IFV, Gustav Gressel, Jacob Parakilas, Gressel, Scott Peterson, they've, Abrams Organizations: Service, 47th Mechanized Brigade Bradley, Business, Bradley, Ukraine, Russia, European Council, Foreign Relations, RAND Corporation, CNN, Washington Post, American, LB, Getty, RAND Locations: Stepove, Ukraine, Ukrainian, Russian, Russia, Zaporizhzhia, Baghdad, Adviikva
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. We were saddened by the news on September 8, 2022, that Queen Elizabeth II had died at 96. My mom and Aunt Louise decided to go and pay their respects, along with tens of thousands of others who adored the queen. You had to stand in line in one queue to get a wristband to join another one. Aiden wrote to King Charles III to tell him how we metI got home a few hours later, slept two hours, and went to work.
Persons: , Jessica Stevens, Queen Elizabeth II, Aunt Louise, queued, Aiden, Aiden O'Neill, Harry Swain, wasn't, we'd, Stevens, O'Neill, King Charles III, Louise, texted, Harry, Aiden's, we've Organizations: Service, Westminster Hall, Business, Facebook Locations: Westminster, London, Ohio, Niagara Falls
Read previewWhen it comes to all-inclusive vacations, I've seen it all — from mega resorts the size of small cities to sex-themed hotels where clothing is optional. Simone PagetAs someone who prefers quirky boutique hotels, the decor at all-inclusive resorts can often feel bland. Simone PagetThe resort offers things I've never seen anywhere else, like rooftop pickleball courts that glow in the dark at night. AdvertisementPlus, whether you're at the pickleball court or the pool, you're never far from your next margarita — it's always 5 o'clock somewhere. It's one of the best all-inclusive resort experiences I've had in years.
Persons: , I've, I'm, Jimmy Buffett, Simone Paget, Margaritaville, Simone Paget Margaritaville, Lola's, that's, Simone Paget I, Joe Merchant's, margarita — it's, margarita Organizations: Service, Business Locations: Cancún, Mexico, Margaritaville, margaritas,
Ford thinks bigger is not always better
  + stars: | 2024-07-25 | by ( Tom Carter | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
CEO Jim Farley told investors in an earnings call on Wednesday that when it comes to EVs, bigger is not always better — and said that the company's future would depend on its ability to build smaller, cheaper electric vehicles. Advertisement"In ICE [Internal Combustion Engine], a business we've been in for 120 years, the bigger the vehicle, the higher the margin," Farley said. The company continues to lose money on its electric vehicle business amid an industry-wide slowdown in demand for EVs. Ford has quietly created a secretive "skunkworks" team, reportedly based in California, to build this new platform. "We have to start to get back in love with smaller vehicles.
Persons: , Tesla, Jim Farley, Farley, Ford Organizations: Service, EV, Business, Detroit, Tesla, Ford, Aspen Ideas Locations: California
The small-cap-heavy Russell 2000 will jump 15% or more in August, Fundstrat's Tom Lee told CNBC. Expectations of a Trump White house are also helping drive small-cap buying, Lee added. Fundstrat's Tom Lee told CNBC that the small-cap-focused Russell 2000 is likely to gain 15% or more through August, if history is any guide. Lee says the market's certainty in upcoming interest-rate cuts — expected to commence in September — is helping drive the small-cap rally. "The nine times it did that since 1979, when you were in a bear market, we were up 100% — one month, three months, six months, 12 months later," he said.
Persons: Russell, Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Lee, , It's, He's, Donald Trump Organizations: CNBC, Trump, Service, tanking, Barclays
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