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Americans are doom spending
  + stars: | 2024-11-10 | by ( Erika Tulfo | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
While this kind of catharsis might work to temporarily allay worries, experts say doom spending poses a danger to consumers’ long-term financial health. Joe Raedle/Getty ImagesThat financial gloom is powering doom spending and, in turn, driving up credit card debt. Beyond the economy, experts say that internet habits play a significant role in driving doom spending, especially for younger consumers. But Alev says that she anticipates a pop in spending whether Americans feel positively or negatively about the outcome of the election. How do you curb doom spending?
Persons: , Gen, “ We’re, Courtney Alev, , Alev, Donald Trump, Trump, Kamala Harris, , Sertan Kabadayi, Joe Raedle, Bankrate, Aja Evans, ’ ” Evans, hasn’t, ” Alev, Jeff Roberson, Biden, Evans Organizations: CNN, Wheaton College senior, YouTube, Credit, Gallup, Fordham University’s Gabelli School of Business, Federal, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Finance, Brookings Institution Locations: Massachusetts, Miami , Florida, West Palm Beach , Florida
AdvertisementA key sticking point for the 73,479,065 Americans (and counting) who voted for President-elect Donald Trump was inflation. Inflationary promisesThe main Trump proposals viewed as inflationary are: sweeping tariffs on imports, mass deportation of immigrants, and lower taxes. Related storiesTypically, US companies simply pass the tariff costs to consumers via higher prices, and company executives are already signaling this to investors. Possible inflation falloutIf Trump delivers on all of these proposals, then a rebound in inflation is all but guaranteed, economists have said. AdvertisementIt's worth noting that the tariffs Trump enacted in his first term did not result in a significant inflation increase.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Trump, It's, Taylor Rogers —, Philip Daniele, Timothy Boyle, Wendy Edelberg, Nobel, Paul Krugman, Ned Davis, Veneta Dimitrova, Dimitrova Organizations: Trump, Service, White, Biden, Republican National, Center, Columbia, Washington Post, National Association of Homebuilders, Federal Reserve Locations: China,
Mark Cuban has criticized Donald Trump's tariff proposals. AdvertisementMark Cuban is raising the alarm again on President-elect Donald Trump's tariff proposals. In a Threads post on Friday, Cuban said companies are already bracing for potential tariffs on Chinese imports by shoring up inventory. Cuban wrote that this will inevitably raise consumer prices due to the cost of storing inventory. Many economists say that Trump's tariffs will ultimately hurt consumers' wallets.
Persons: Mark Cuban, Donald Trump's, , Cuban, Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Paul Krugman, Philip Daniele, Timothy Boyle, Oliver Zipse Organizations: Service, Cuban, Trump, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Federal, Taxation, Economic, Columbia, Washington Post, BMW Locations: Cuban, China, United States
WASHINGTON — As a candidate, Donald Trump promised to relieve consumers of high interest rates. Trump repeatedly said during the campaign that he would bring down interest rates without elaborating on how. He has suggested the president should have a say in determining rates set by the Federal Reserve and publicly berated the central bank and its chairman, Jerome Powell, for not lowering rates sooner. Trump has no direct control over the interest rates set by the Federal Reserve, which is determined by a committee that includes seven members appointed to 14-year terms along with five regional Reserve Bank presidents. “There aren’t a lot of policies that the president has at his disposal that can really lower rates,” said McLaughlin.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Jerome Powell, , Kent Smetters, , isn’t, Ralph McLaughlin, McLaughlin, Powell, Xi Jinping, ” Powell, he’s, ” Trump, reappoint Powell, Scott Bessent, Barron’s, Bessent Organizations: WASHINGTON, Federal Reserve, United, University of Pennsylvania Wharton School, Federal, Realtor.com, Reserve Bank, Fed’s, Governors, Twitter, Trump, Chicago Economic, Senate, Republicans, Fed Locations: United States, America, U.S, China
Many Americans have been holding back from jumping into the housing market in the hopes that mortgage rates will decline. The average 30-year mortgage rate has been above 6% for two years — and is likely to stay above that level for the foreseeable future, experts say. “Sixes are the new normal,” said Lisa Sturtevant, chief economist at Bright MLS, a mortgage listing services group, referring to 6% mortgage rates. It’s really not going to be impacting mortgage rates at all.”Mortgage rates work differently. When demand for those increases, mortgage rates tend to fall.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, , Lisa Sturtevant, Brian Rehling, Trump, Mike Fratantoni, ” Fratantoni, Helene, ” Samuel Tombs, Tombs, Sturtevant, “ It’s Organizations: Federal, Bright MLS, Federal Reserve, Wells, Investment Institute, , U.S, Mortgage, Association, , National Association of Realtors, Pantheon, NBC
Incumbent governments have been punished in Britain, France, India, Japan, South Korea, and elsewhere. The near-universal shift away from Democrats echoes voters' rejection of incumbent political parties across the world this year. South Africa's African National Congress (ANC) party lost its majority. Similarly, Deutsche Bank's Reid wrote that voters are disappointed by how slowly their lives are improving amid cooler economic growth. He said they don't buy that incumbents can tackle immigration, some incumbent governments have had scandals, and voters have become "much more willing to change their vote from election to election."
Persons: Donald Trump's, Kamala Harris, , Donald Trump, Biden, Harris, Narendra Modi, Korea's Democrat Party snagged, Jim Reid, Tina Fordham, Louis Perron, Deutsche Bank's Reid Organizations: Service, Democratic, Britain's Labour Party, Conservative Party, Rally, Japan's Liberal Democratic Party, Indian, Korea's Democrat Party, National Congress, ANC, Deutsche Bank, Fed, Bank of England, European Central Bank, CNN, Win, Deutsche Locations: Britain, France, India, Japan, South Korea, London, Tokyo, Seoul, Cape Town, Washington, Gaza, country's, South, Ukraine
Tesla and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk, the billionaire backer of newly minted President-elect Donald Trump, endorsed the idea of allowing presidents to intervene on Federal Reserve policy. Though brief, Musk's comment reflects a broader pressure campaign on Fed independence that could take shape in the next Trump administration. On Thursday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said he would not resign from his post if Trump asked him to do so. But during his first term in office, Trump was not shy about breaking from tradition and publicly disparaging Powell and his policy decisions. Over the course of the 2024 presidential campaign, Trump also often flirted with the idea of giving himself a say in Fed policy if he were to win the White House again.
Persons: Elon Musk, Donald Trump, Tesla, Sen, Mike Lee, Musk, Lee, Trump, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Republican, SpaceX, Fed, White, Federal Reserve Locations: Butler , Pennsylvania, Utah, U.S, Lago, Florida
Trump has promised to do a variety of different things on "Day One" of his second term. "​​Many things will be done on day one," Trump said at a town hall with Tucker Carlson in Phoenix in late October. Trump has promised to issue several executive orders when he takes office, though some of them are likely to be challenged in court. "Day One" promises that Trump may not be able to fulfillSome "day one" commitments are simply not possible. AdvertisementAt times during the campaign, Trump pledged to "end inflation" just hours after taking office.
Persons: Trump, , Donald Trump's, Tucker Carlson, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Jack Smith, pardoning, Smith, Hugh Hewitt, Gary Gensler, Gensler, Biden Organizations: Service, Social Security, White, American Civil Liberties Union, Republican, Department, Securities and Exchange Commission, Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: Phoenix, Wisconsin
For one, the market was already in a sturdy uptrend, the S & P ahead by 20% in 2024 by October. Now, the S & P is up 44% in the past 18 months and the P/E is above 22 on more elevated margins. Here's the S & P 500 Value vs Growth relationship since 2014. His call is for investors to fade any near-term rally that takes the S & P above his 6100 "bull case" target for year end. For sure, the S & P 500 is by some measures running a bit hot, pushing above the top end of its two-year bull-market path.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Jay Powell, Trump, Cyclicals, Russell, YTD, Doug Ramsey, we're, reflating, Scott Chronert, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Republican, Trump Trade, Federal, Treasury, financials, Nasdaq, Group, Investment, Trump, Russell, Citi Locations: upending Washington, U.S, year's
Powell to Trump: Go ahead, make my day
  + stars: | 2024-11-08 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +5 min
That’s essentially what Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is experiencing with President-elect Donald Trump’s return to the White House. When a reporter asked the Fed chair if he’d resign if Trump asked him to, Powell didn’t miss a beat. Removing a Fed chair isn’t so simpleIf Trump, or any president for that matter, were to try to remove a Fed chair, they would encounter a steep uphill battle. Ultimately, the Supreme Court could have the final say on what merits a “for cause” firing of a Fed chair. Trump has tried testing the limits anywayNevertheless, Trump threatened to fire Powell on several occasions when he was first president.
Persons: That’s, Jerome Powell, Donald Trump’s, Trump, he’d, Powell didn’t, , , curtly, ” Powell, Powell, won’t, Powell doesn’t, Joe Biden, ” Trump Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal, Trump, Republican, Bloomberg, Economic, of Chicago Locations: New York
Inflation data in the week ahead could determine whether a stock market that surged to all-time highs after Donald Trump 's decisive victory can continue to push higher. Meanwhile, the October producer price index, which excludes shelter, is set to have risen 0.3%, consensus estimates show, up from a 0.0% reading the prior month. Initial Claims (11/09) 8:30 a.m. Producer Price Index (October) Earnings: Applied Materials , Walt Disney Friday, Nov. 15 8:30 a.m. Export Price Index (October) 8:30 a.m. Import Price Index (October) 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Donald Trump, Hogan, We've, Nancy Tengler, Bitcoin, Harker, Tyson, Price Organizations: Federal Reserve, Riley Wealth Management, FactSet, Laffer, Investments, Trump, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Atlanta Fed, Treasury, Philadelphia Reserve, Carnegie Mellon, Occidental Petroleum, Nation Entertainment, Tyson Foods, Mosaic, Treasury Budget NSA, Cisco Systems, Walt Disney, Price, Retail, Manufacturing Locations: China, U.S
Now that the central bank is lowering rates — with a new quarter point rate cut announced by the Fed on Thursday — experts say having money in cash can still be a competitive strategy. Yet just how much cash to set aside is a question every individual investor needs to determine. Strive for at least a six-month emergency fundMost financial advisors recommend having cash set aside so that unexpected expenses don't blow your budget or cause you to rack up credit card debt. However, having a year's worth of expenses set aside may also be reasonable, depending on your household budget, she said. For many individuals, inflation and having too many expenses has made finding cash to set aside more difficult.
Persons: Nopphon, Greg McBride, Callie Cox, that's, Cox, Natalie Colley, Colley Organizations: Istock, Getty, Federal Reserve, Fed, Ritholtz Wealth Management, Francis Financial, Finance Locations: New York
Bitcoin is on track to hit the $100,000 price milestone by the end of the year after President-elect Donald Trump's election victory, according to analysts. Bitcoin at $100,000 "doesn't sound so unreasonable" given it equates to "just 10% of gold's market share," Butterfill told CNBC in emailed comments. BTC to hit $100K by Trump's inauguration A $100,000 bitcoin price is likely to be reached by the time Trump is inaugurated president on Jan. 20, 2025, according to Fadi Aboualfa, head of research at crypto custodian Copper.co. Still, with bitcoin exchange-traded funds currently holding roughly 1.1 million bitcoins, momentum is likely to be positive in the coming months, Aboualfa added. It cuts in half the supply of bitcoin issued to miners who successfully produce new bitcoins.
Persons: Donald Trump's, James Butterfill, Butterfill, Trump, Kamala Harris, Gary Gensler, CoinShares, Kooner, Fadi Aboualfa, Aboualfa Organizations: Republicans, CNBC, Wednesday, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, SEC, Federal Reserve, BTC, Trump's Locations: America, bitcoin, U.S
The Fed may have declared inflation victory too early, Stanley Druckenmiller said. Inflation could could be bottoming right now, the billionaire investor told a Norges Bank podcast. "I'm a little worried that the Fed has declared victory too early," the billionaire investor said about consumer prices on a Norges Bank podcast. When inflation eases, the Fed lowers rates to make sure economic growth keeps up — and has justified its cuts given shifting labor prints. AdvertisementThough the podcast was recorded prior to the president-elect's victory, Druckenmiller cited that Trump's tariff plans are marginally inflationary.
Persons: Stanley Druckenmiller, , Stanley Druckenmiller isn't, Druckenmiller, Donald Trump Organizations: Norges Bank, Service, Federal Reserve, Fed, Trump
Home Depot could be a beneficiary of the Federal Reserve's latest rate cutting cycle, according to Telsey Advisory Group. The investment firm upgraded shares of the home improvement retailer to outperform from market perform ahead of Home Depot's third-quarter earnings release on Tuesday. Analyst Joseph Feldman also lifted his price target to $455 from $360, which implies upside of 14% from Thursday's close. As a catalyst, Feldman cited upcoming Fed rate cuts. Home Depot shares are up more than 15% year to date.
Persons: Joseph Feldman, Feldman, Hurricanes Helene Organizations: Advisory, Fed, Traders, Hurricanes, Home Depot Locations: Thursday's, Milton
U.S. government bond yields have surged too, puzzling many market participants. I am going to stick with the contrarian view and bet on rates continuing to move higher. I'll express that through a bearish bet on the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) which tracks bond prices. Various inputs have driven yields higher, creating the opposite outcome for the Fed as they continue to try to land the proverbial plane. Jeffrey Gundlach stated (post Fed meeting) that interest rates could shoot even higher if Republicans end up controlling the House too.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Jeffrey Gundlach, Jerome Powell, TLT Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury Bond ETF, Fed, Treasury, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
Treasury yields have ripped higher of late, even as the Federal Reserve continues to cut rates. The benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield has soared nearly 70 basis points to 4.3% since mid-September, when the Fed cut rates by a half-point. Despite the Fed's latest action, the incoming Trump administration is likely to keep yields elevated, according to Ned Davis Research. Dimitrova noted that rising debt-to-GDP ratio has been closely linked with higher bond yields. The question for investors now is: How long until higher yields start putting pressure on equities?
Persons: Trump, Ned Davis, Veneta, Dimitrova, Goldman Sachs, BNTX Organizations: Federal Reserve, Ned Davis Research
Gold ticks lower but holds near key $2,700 level
  + stars: | 2024-11-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Argor Heraeus SA-branded one kilogram gold bars are arranged for a photograph at the Chinese Gold and Silver Exchange Society in Hong Kong, China. Gold prices eased on Friday but hovered around the $2,700 level, as traders assessed the impact of Donald Trump's presidency and its implications for the U.S. interest rate outlook. Spot gold fell 0.4% to $2,697.19 per ounce as of 0251 GMT and was headed for a weekly loss. Gold prices are marginally pressured due to the market's uncertainty over U.S. political and policy developments, said Kyle Rodda, financial market analyst at Capital.com. Spot silver fell 0.8% to $31.75 per ounce, platinum fell 0.2% to $994.80 and palladium shed 0.21% to $1,022.36.
Persons: Argor, Donald Trump's, Kyle Rodda, Rodda, Brian Lan Organizations: Argor Heraeus, Silver Exchange Society, U.S, Federal Reserve, GoldSilver, Gold Locations: Hong Kong, China, Singapore, Beijing
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Friday identified what to look out for next week on Wall Street, highlighting earnings from Home Depot , Disney and new consumer price index data from the Labor Department. Cramer also reflected on the Trump-fueled market rally over the past few days, saying there are likely more gains to come. Tuesday has more action, with earnings from Home Depot, Shopify , Tyson Foods and Spotify . Because Tyson Foods is a major meat seller, Cramer said investors can learn a lot about grocery pricing from the company's earnings commentary. Cramer added that some believe there's weak demand in the semiconductor capital equipment sector, but he said it's possible an earnings report from Applied Materials could "change that dynamic."
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, Tyson, Shopify, he's Organizations: Home Depot, Disney, Labor Department, Trump, Home, Tyson Foods, Spotify, Federal, Cisco Locations: Shopify
The news on Home Depot Telsey Advisory Group, a leader in retail industry analysis, upgraded Home Depot stock to a buy-equivalent outperform on Friday. The news on Best Buy Citi lowered its Best Buy price target to $109 per share from $115 on Friday while maintaining its buy-rating on the stock. BBY YTD mountain Best Buy stock performance year-to-date. Bottom line Despite Citi's concerns, we're sticking with Best Buy. Best Buy should be well-positioned to benefit from falling interest rates if home sales pick up again.
Persons: , Telsey, Jim Cramer, Jim, they're, Donald Trump's, Jim Cramer's, Ting Shen Organizations: Advisory, Depot, Federal, Home Depot, Home, Citi, Trump, CNBC, Home Depot Inc, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: China, Washington , DC
While Democrats touted job growth under Biden, Trump won over voters facing high prices. "I am promising low taxes, low regulations, low energy costs, low interest rates, secure borders, low, low, low crime and surging incomes for citizens of every race, religion, color, and creed," Trump said during remarks in September. BI adjusted 2021 amounts using Census-division-level inflation to understand how much real wages have changed across the US. Rhode Island had the highest real wage growth, just one of around a dozen states that saw an increase. Real wages massively fell in costly Washington, DC; even before adjusting for inflation wages were roughly flat.
Persons: Trump, , Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Biden, Biden's, Jed Kolko, Matthew Yglesias, Harris, Kolko, they'll Organizations: Biden, Counties, Trump, Service, Federal, The New York Times, BI, stoke Locations: Trump, Rhode, New York, Maryland, Washington
Tesla and a handful of other so-called Trump trades led the market rally this week as investors welcomed the Republican's victory in the presidential election. Excluding stocks that reported earnings this week, some of the best performers were those viewed as tied to Donald Trump 's win. Trump trades can earn that title by being part of sectors such as financials or energy viewed as beneficiaries of his expected shifts away from regulation, among other things. CNBC screened for the Trump trade names that led the index higher this week and did not report earnings. The electric vehicle maker is one of the best-known Trump trades given CEO Elon Musk 's advocacy for the president-elect on the campaign trail.
Persons: Tesla, Donald Trump, Trump, Elon Musk, LSEG, John Murphy, Murphy, Elon Musk's, Baker Hughes Organizations: Trump, Monday, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Bank of America Locations: Texas
Yields and prices have an inverted relationship and one basis point is equivalent to 0.01%. U.S. Treasury yields were lower on Friday as investors considered the outlook for interest rates and the economy after the Federal Reserve's latest rate cut decision. Treasury yields had tumbled on Thursday after the Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point interest rate cut to a target range of 4.50%-4.75%. The Fed began easing rates at its previous meeting in September with a more aggressive 50 basis point reduction. One Fed meeting remains on the agenda for this year on December 17 to 18, for which traders were last pricing in an around 75% chance of another rate cut, CME Group's FedWatch tool showed.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal, Federal Reserve, Fed
Fed may skip December rate cut, says FedWatch's Ben Emons
  + stars: | 2024-11-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed may skip December rate cut, says FedWatch's Ben EmonsBen Emons, FedWatch Advisors, joins 'Fast Money' to talk what's ahead for the Federal Reserve.
Persons: FedWatch's Ben Emons Ben Emons Organizations: FedWatch Advisors, Federal Reserve
But that doesn’t mean as a result interest rates are now low — or will soon be low. “‘Falling interest rates’ are not the same as ‘low interest rates.’ Interest rates are high and will only decline to ‘not as high’ as … we move into 2025,” said Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate. Credit cards: Just before the Fed cut its key rate in September, the average credit card rate was 20.78%, according to Bankrate. Another option: Try transferring your balance to a credit card from a credit union or local bank. Before the Fed’s September rate cut many of those accounts were offering yields between 4.25% and 5.3%, according to those listed on Bankrate.com.
Persons: , Greg McBride, Matt Schulz, Chris Diodato, they’re, Freddie Mac, Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s, ” McBride, Sinead Colton Grant, Colton Grant, , Don’t, Diodato, you’re, BNY, they’ve Organizations: CNN, Reserve, Bankrate, Fed, LendingTree, Treasury, Savings Locations: Treasuries
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