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If you called the economy wrong, admit it, says Jim Cramer
  + stars: | 2023-08-08 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer talks lessons and warnings from short sellers. Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email
Persons: Jim Cramer
Shares of Icahn Enterprises, the firm led by the billionaire financier Carl C. Icahn, fell as much as 30 percent on Friday after the saber-rattling investor, under pressure from a short seller, said his firm would halve its quarterly dividend and refocus on the style of activist investing that brought him his fame and fortune. The announcement comes three months after Hindenburg Research, the short seller, released a report questioning the financials of Icahn Enterprises, and whether it had the wherewithal to continue paying a dividend to shareholders. Hindenburg, led by Nathan Anderson, accused Mr. Icahn’s firm of running “Ponzi-like economic structures.” Short sellers profit when stock prices fall. The plunging stock price of Icahn Enterprises is the latest setback for the 87-year-old investor who, for more than four decades, has taken on publicly traded companies and pressured their chief executives to make changes. Including the drop on Friday, shares of Mr. Icahn’s firm are down roughly 50 percent since Hindenburg released its report on May 2.
Persons: Carl C, Nathan Anderson, Mr, Icahn’s, Hindenburg Organizations: Icahn Enterprises, Hindenburg Research, Mr
Gains for Roku will be harder to come by, Citi warned. Analyst Jason Bazinet downgraded the streaming company to neutral from buy, but raised his price target to $100 from $75. Bazinet's new target suggests the stock could climb more than 9.6% in the next year from where shares finished on Wednesday at $91.25. "If Roku can revert to historical share gains, we believe Roku's total revenue can return to ~20% growth. However, given the run-up in the shares, we believe this may be largely priced into the equity."
Persons: Jason Bazinet, Bazinet, Roku, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Roku, Citi Locations: U.S
The BOJ sets policy later in the session. The Nikkei newspaper reported, without citing sources, that policymakers will discuss tweaking the yield control policy to allow 10-year government bond yields above a 0.5% cap in some circumstances. "I think the idea is even a tiny tweak is a big deal for the BOJ. Japan's Nikkei (.N225) opened 1.4% lower though bank shares (.IBNKS.T) surged to an eight-year high on the prospect of rising interest income at lenders. Further strong U.S. data, with better-than-expected second-quarter growth figures out overnight drove up longer-end Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar.
Persons: Imre Speizer, We'll, Kristina Clifton, Christine Lagarde, Lagarde, Jerome Powell, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Nikkei, ECB, SYDNEY, Bank of Japan, European Central Bank, Westpac, Japan's Nikkei, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Federal Reserve, Fed, U.S ., Nasdaq, Intel, Brent, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Asia, Pacific, Japan
Steve Eisman of "The Big Short" revealed a mistake he's made when trying to deploy his strategy of betting against stocks that made him famous. He said the failure of that trade made him realize the challenge of betting against a stock that doesn't trade on fundamentals. "The hardest thing that I have found over the years, is trying to short cult stocks, or meme stocks, they seem to go up on nothing," Eisman said on CNBC's " Squawk Box. " His success was chronicled in Michael Lewis' "The Big Short," and the subsequent Oscar-winning movie based on the book. Eisman said he was shocked by the stock's rally despite the EV company's drastic price cuts recently.
Persons: Steve Eisman, he's, Neuberger Berman, Eisman, shorting, Michael Lewis, Elon, Jim Chanos, Tesla, it's Organizations: Tesla Locations: United States
Remember the GameStop mania of 2021, fueled as it was by forcing short sellers to cover their bets? However, when the stock jumps instead, it forces short sellers to buy back shares in order to limit their losses. The stock market is in the middle of a strong rally as inflation pressures ease and the Fed nears the end of its rate-hiking campaign. GameStop was once the most shorted stock in the market, with short interest as a percentage of shares available for trading exceeding 100%. Carvana , Novavax, Lucid Group and Beyond Meat were also heavily targeted by short sellers.
Persons: Adam Parker, Trivariate, Parker Organizations: Research, Fed, Dow Jones, GameStop, Nasdaq, Therapeutics
ChatGPT excelled at predicting a stock's price direction based on news sentiment. They found that while ChatGPT excelled at predicting a stock's direction based on news sentiment, it is not without limitations. They prompted ChatGPT to assign the following scores to headlines: "1" for good news, "0" for unknown and "-1" for bad news. Is this headline good or bad for the stock price of (company name) in the term (short or long-term)?" This meant negative news had a greater and longer impact in the real world than in the simulation,, likely giving ChatGPT an advantage, Lopez-Lira noted.
Persons: ChatGPT, Bard, Alejandro Lopez, Yuehua Tang, Merrill Lynch, Lopez, Lira, Tang, Russell, BERT, Philip Morris, Gene Tipps, David Capablanca, Alpesh Patel, Praefinium, Patel, Capablanca, GPT's, it's, Cory Mitchell, would've, Mitchell, you'll, they're Organizations: University of Florida, of Florida's Department, Finance, Lira, Center for Research, Linux, NYSE, Nasdaq, GPT, Design, Cadence Design, Philip Morris Beats, Global, Global Operations, Dow Locations: GPT
July 21 (Reuters) - Shares in Sirius XM Holdings (SIRI.O) were down 10.5% on Friday, erasing some of their dramatic gains in the previous day's session with analysts attributing the volatility to a short squeeze, as well as a rebalance of the Nasdaq 100 (.NDX). U.S. satellite and online radio company, Sirius XM, which is majority owned by Liberty Media (FWONA.O), last traded at $6.99 after closing up 42% at $7.81 on Thursday for its biggest one-day percentage gain since March 2009. A short squeeze is when these investors are forced to quickly cover their bets to limit losses if a stock gains ground instead of falling. "However, the large number of shares held short along with a relatively small float provided fertile ground for a short squeeze as seen on July 20," wrote Macker who estimates a $7.50 fair value for the stock. Evercore analyst Vijay Jayant said the upcoming rebalance of the Nasdaq 100, of which Sirius is a member, was also a factor for the short squeeze as well as related options trading.
Persons: Neil Macker, Macker, Vijay Jayant, Jayant, David Joyce, Joyce, Sinéad Carew, Medha Singh, Lance Tupper, Sharon Singleton Organizations: Sirius XM Holdings, Nasdaq, Sirius XM, Liberty Media, Atlanta Braves, Sirius, Liberty's, Research Partners, Thomson
Carvana shares surge on plans to cut debt load
  + stars: | 2023-07-19 | by ( Nathan Gomes | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Companies Carvana Co FollowJuly 19 (Reuters) - Carvana (CVNA.N) shares soared as much as 43% on Wednesday after the troubled used-car retailer struck a deal with most of its term bondholders to cut its outstanding debt by more than $1 billion. Carvana had long-term debt of $6.54 billion as of June end, relatively unchanged from a year earlier. But Carvana has been struggling to sell cars acquired at elevated prices as buyers, hit by inflation and worried about a recession, cut spending. Carvana shares have lost 87% of their value in the past two years. In premarket trading on Wednesday, Carvana's shares rose as high as $57, in what traders said looked like a short squeeze.
Persons: John Zito, Carvana, Ernest Garcia's, Carvana's, Ortex, they're, Dennis Dick, Nathan Gomes, Bansari Mayur, Shivansh, Raechel, Medha Singh, Sriraj Kalluvila, Saumyadeb Chakrabarty, Anil D'Silva Organizations: Triple D, Carvana, Thomson Locations: Bengaluru
Post-it maker 3M is in danger of coming unstuck
  + stars: | 2023-07-19 | by ( Jeffrey Goldfarb | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +10 min
There will be up to $1.5 billion of costs related to separating the health care business, 3M has said. Its interest cover, after backing out estimated operating income from health care, would fall to about 4 times from 11 times. And its net debt, using all these assumptions and excluding the health care division, would swell to nearly 5 times EBITDA from less than 2 times. Back out $2.5 billion from health care, as estimated by the Morgan Stanley team, and $1.5 billion of capital expenditure costs noted by Wolfe Research. For example, the water settlement, as drafted, only envisions $4.6 billion of outlays through 2025, and the rest over the ensuing 11 years.
Persons: Mike Roman, Roman, Sackler, Johnson, Aearo, , Morgan Stanley, Smith, Nephew, Lauren Silva Laughlin, Streisand Neto Organizations: YORK, Reuters, U.S . Environmental, Purdue Pharma’s, Association of Metropolitan Water Agencies, Bayer, Monsanto, Aearo Technologies, Partners, Honeywell International, Siemens, 3M, Refinitiv, Reuters Graphics, Wolfe Research, Thomson Locations: . Oregon, Republic, Corning
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCarvana's business model has yet to be proven, says Empire Financial's Herb GreenbergHerb Greenberg, senior editor at Empire Financial, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss why Carvana shares are jumping following a $1.2 billion debt deal, short sellers betting on Carvana, and disruption due to meme stock investors.
Persons: Financial's Herb Greenberg Herb Greenberg Organizations: Empire Financial
These signals are data points that indicate things like share price and trading volume, to name a few. He has a checklist of variables that he looks for before deciding to short a stock. He's also able to shop around for the best locate fee, or a flat per-share fee to borrow shares to short sell. This indicates the price point where many traders purchased shares before the price plunged, leaving them stuck holding the shares. This price point could indicate a resistance line and a possible area to short the stock, he said.
Persons: David Capablanca, TraderSync, David Olivares, Olivares, Capablanca, He's, VWAP David Capablanca, it's, I'm Organizations: Capablanca's, Interactive, Capablanca, Growth Corp, Insider
Against this backdrop, CNBC Pro used FactSet data to screen for stocks most vulnerable to a short squeeze. A short squeeze occurs once a shorted stock climbs higher, forcing investors who have short bets on shares to cover their positions. Novavax , meanwhile, has about 42% short interest from investors. Overall, short interest in the name increased 8.7% between June 15 and June 30. See below for the full rundown of potential short squeeze targets.
Persons: there's, Novavax Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, JPMorgan, CNBC Pro, New York Stock Exchange, Sunnova Energy Locations: Canada
July 14 (Reuters) - Shares of Nikola Corp (NKLA.O) jumped 14% on Friday, a day after a short squeeze sent the electric-truck maker's shares soaring in their busiest trading session on record. The stock surged nearly 61% to a more than four-month high on Thursday after Nikola entered a deal to sell 50 EVs to BayoTech and purchase low-carbon hydrogen from the firm. The short squeeze in Nikola, after short sellers rushed to exit bearish bets due to a rise in the stock's price, led to a record 317 million shares traded on Thursday. For the week, Nikola shares have surged 57%. About 22.7% of Nikola shares were in short position on July 12, according to analytics firm Ortex.
Persons: Nikola Corp, Nikola, Lucas Mantle, Peter Hillerberg, Medha Singh, Shinjini Organizations: Nikola, Vanda Research, Thomson Locations: Bengaluru
UK scraps public disclosure of short selling
  + stars: | 2023-07-11 | by ( Nell Mackenzie | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
LONDON, July 11 (Reuters) - The UK government said on Tuesday it would no longer require short sellers to publicly disclose their trades on UK companies. Under the rule change funds will no longer have to tell the public their individual net short positions on a stock. Currently, funds must tell the FCA when they have borrowed 0.1% of a company's outstanding stock in order to short it. Critics say short sellers hurt companies and exacerbate market volatility, but short sellers and advocates say they act as an important check on public firms. She said the move would "unleash the benefits of short selling, including enhancing market liquidity, promoting price discovery, and exposing corporate fraud."
Persons: Jillien Flores, Nell Mackenzie, Dhara Ranasinghe, Mark Potter Organizations: Financial, Authority, Union, Financial Services, Markets, FCA, Critics, Association, Thomson
CNBC's Jim Cramer warned investors Tuesday not to try and short stocks that have already been heavily shorted. "It's simple: don't short stocks that are already heavily shorted," Cramer said. Eventually, enough short sellers throw in the towel for new shorts to come in, but I don't want to be on either side of this kind of trade at that point." Cramer highlighted used car seller Carvana as an example of a company with a "balance sheet from hell" that is a perfect breeding ground for shorting. Try to stay out of shorting unless you really know what you're doing and buy stock based on a company's intrinsic value.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, I'm, it's
But as he continued researching online, he came across the idea of stock trading. He noted that when you sell a stock short, your gain is limited to the value of the stock. However, your loss is unlimited, depending on how high a stock's price could rally. Since the stock's price was below $2, he waited for a reversal for confirmation. The short interest rate could indicate how many traders are trying to short a stock.
Persons: David Capablanca, didn't, it's, Capablanca, Timothy Sykes, Sykes, he'd, TraderSync, David Olivares, Olivares, isn't, Norman Zadeh, Jim Chanos, John Paulson, Zadeh, CISO Organizations: University of Florida, University of California, Millionaire, Capablanca's, Interactive, United States, Capablanca, Super League, Gamestop, Twitter Locations: Los Angeles
The strong rally in stocks this year has sparked big losses for short sellers, according to S3 Partners. These are the three stocks that sparked $30 billion in losses for short sellers, according to S3. In total, short sellers have seen $122.1 billion in mark-to-market losses in the first six months of the year, and just three stocks drove a total loss of $30 billion. These are the top 10 stocks that have driven the biggest losses for short sellers so far this year, according to S3 Partners. TeslaTesla launched its insurance product in 2019 Getty ImagesTicker: TSLAShort seller losses: $13.0 billionYear-to-date performance: 126.5%
Persons: , Ihor Dusaniwsky, Dusaniwsky, it's, Lisa Su Steve Marcus, Microsoft Justin Sullivan, Nvidia Jensen Huang, Las Vegas Rick Wilking, Tesla Tesla Organizations: S3 Partners, Service, Partners Research, Partners, Nasdaq, Reuters, Broadcom Reuters, Palo Alto, Microsoft, Apple Apple, Nvidia, CES Locations: Las Vegas
Goldman Sachs on Monday cut Tesla to "hold" equivalent rating, joining Morgan Stanley and Barclays, which downgraded the stock last week. The brokerages, however, raised their price targets to reflect the momentum in Tesla shares, which have soared 71% since late April and more than doubled this year. The EV maker's shares were last down 1.2% in morning trading on Monday. Tesla's market capitalization of $813.29 billion far outstrips that of Japan's Toyota (7203.T), which is the next biggest global car company by market value. However, the brokerages reiterated that they saw strong growth ahead with Tesla remaining a global EV leader.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Tesla, Morgan, Japan's, Goldman, Mark Delaney, Morgan Stanley, Jefferies, Aniruddha Ghosh, Susan Mathew, Anil D'Silva Organizations: Tesla Inc, EV, Morgan Stanley, Barclays, EV maker's, Japan's Toyota, Intelligence, Ford, General Motors, Truist Securities, Tesla, Thomson Locations: China, Bengaluru
The central banks of the UK, Turkey, Norway, and Switzerland all raised interest rates yesterday. The Bank of England is the UK's central bank. Let's start with the Bank of England's decision to raise interest rates by 50 basis points and bring borrowing costs to 5%. Turkey's central bank, meanwhile, raised interest rates by 650 basis points to 15%, which was somehow less than markets expected. Just to cover our bases: Norway's central bank raised its core lending rate by half a percentage point, and Switzerland's policymakers hiked its benchmark rate by a quarter point.
Persons: Phil Rosen, Powell, Myron Jobson, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Spencer Platt, Jerome Powell's, Goldman Sachs, David Rosenberg, it's, Warren Buffett, Jason Ma, Nathan Rennolds Organizations: Bank of England, Bank of, Interactive, New York Stock Exchange, U.S . House, Dow, Getty, Apogee Enterprises, Homeowners, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, S3 Partners, BMO Capital Markets, Berkshire Hathaway, Gates Foundation Locations: Manhattan, Turkey, Norway, Switzerland, Maremagnum, Turkey's, New York City, U.S, New York, Los Angeles, London
LONDON, June 22 (Reuters) - Ocado Group (OCDO.L) shares surged by over 40% on Thursday after The Times newspaper reported speculation of possible bid interest in the online supermarket and technology group recently squeezed by a cost of living crisis in the UK. The Times noted there was talk of bid interest from more than one U.S. suitor including tech heavyweight Amazon (AMZN.O), pondering the merits of an offer worth 800 pence per share. Ocado declined to comment on either the stock's rise or the Times report. An Ocado grocery delivery van is driven along a street in London, Britain, March 25, 2023. Shares in Ocado rose as much as 46.7% and were briefly on track for their biggest one-day jump on record.
Persons: AJ Bell, Danni Hewson, Toby Melville, Ocado's, Ocado, Spencer, Danilo Masoni, James Davey, Muvija, Mike Holden, Susan Fenton Organizations: Ocado, The Times, Times, Amazon, REUTERS, Jefferies, Marks, Thomson Locations: U.S, London, Britain
E54Fires, Short Sellers and an EV Recall: Inside Lordstown Motors’ Decline Lordstown Motors was once in the race to build America’s first EV pickup truck. But now – after vehicle fires, short seller reports and recalls – the company has turned to a reverse stock split to try and avoid filing for bankruptcy protection. Illustration: David Fang
Persons: Short Sellers, , David Fang Organizations: EV
During the streak, Tesla shares rose by more than 40%, boosting its market value to roughly $814 billion. The rally was kicked off by news of the adoption of Tesla's charging system by legacy U.S. automakers Ford (F.N) and General Motors (GM.N). Wedbush compared Tesla's share gains to Amazon, which for years defied many investor expectations that its stock would eventually fall. Tesla shares slumped in 2022, losing 65% of their value, and helping the shorts make a mint. The 13-day rally cost short sellers more than $7 billion in mark-to-market losses, taking year-to-date losses to nearly $12.7 billion, according to S3 Partners.
Persons: Tesla, Chavi Mehta, Aditya Soni, David Gaffen, Maju Samuel Organizations: Toyota, U.S, Ford, General Motors, America, Wall Street, Wedbush Securities, Amazon.com, GM, S3 Partners, Thomson Locations: U.S, Bengaluru
June 9 (Reuters) - Traders who have sold Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) shares short have lost about $6.08 billion on a mark-to-market basis during the electric car maker's current winning streak, according to the latest data from S3 Partners. And Tesla is the largest short in the world, according the S3's head of predictive analytics Ihor Dusaniwsky, who says $22.43 billion worth of Tesla shares have been sold short. Traders have shorted 15.3 million new Tesla shares, worth $3.6 billion, in 2023. And in the past thirty days bearish bets expanded further, with 1.3 million more shares worth $303 million, sold short, representing a roughly 1.4% increase even as Tesla's stock price rose 39%, Dusaniwsky said. Tesla shares on Friday traded up 4.4% at $245.08 after earlier hitting its highest level since early October.
Persons: Tesla, Dusaniwsky, Sinéad Carew, Lance Tupper, Chris Reese, Chizu Organizations: Traders, Tesla Inc, S3 Partners, Investors, Thomson
Carvana short-sellers have suffered losses of more than $1 billion this year, according to Bloomberg. That's after the company's stock surged 56% on Thursday alone on the back of improved second-quarter results. The used-car dealer's shares have jumped over 400% this year thanks to its successful cost-cutting measures. Carvana said it expects total gross profit per unit to hit above $6,000 in the second quarter of 2023. The company's stock traded up 4.75% at $25.38 at last check on Friday.
Persons: , Carvana, Ernie Garcia Organizations: Bloomberg, That's, Service, Partners Locations: Arizona
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