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Joseph R. Biden Jr. and Donald J. Trump won Michigan’s primary elections on Tuesday as the president and his predecessor hurtle toward a rematch in November. But the results showed some of the fragility of the political coalitions they have constructed in a critical state for the fall. Losing any slice of support is perilous for both Mr. Biden and Mr. Trump. Mr. Biden won Michigan in 2020 by about 150,000 votes, and Mr. Trump carried it in 2016 by about 11,000 votes. The results of the primaries on Tuesday carried extra weight because Michigan was the first state that is a top general-election battleground to hold its primary in 2024.
Persons: Joseph R, Biden, Donald J, Trump Organizations: Michigan
Donald J. Trump and Mitch McConnell haven’t said a word to each other since December 2020. Assuming it happens, Mr. McConnell’s endorsement of Mr. Trump would have enormous symbolic value to the former president, giving him the embrace of the last holdout of Republican power whose rejection of him represents the final patch of unconquered territory in Mr. Trump’s march to the party’s 2024 presidential nomination. The support of Mr. McConnell, the Republican senator from Kentucky and the chamber’s minority leader, would also carry huge value in signaling to an entire class of donors and Trump-resistant Republican elites that it’s acceptable to get behind the party’s expected nominee — no matter their misgivings. This is no small thing, given that Mr. Trump has been forced to spend more than $50 million already on legal bills, and the groups supporting him are expected to be vastly outspent by President Biden’s operation. The secretive conversations between the Trump and McConnell camps have been happening between key advisers to both men who have known and worked with each other for more than 20 years: Chris LaCivita, a top campaign adviser to Mr. Trump, and Josh Holmes, a confidant and longtime political strategist for Mr. McConnell.
Persons: Donald J, Trump, Mitch McConnell haven’t, Trump’s, McConnell, , Biden’s, Chris LaCivita, Josh Holmes Organizations: Republican, Trump Locations: Kentucky
“If Donald Trump is at the top of the Republican ticket, the risk of one-party rule by a Democratic Party captured by the progressive left is severe,” she wrote. In a statement, the Haley campaign praised Americans for Prosperity Action as an ally. “We thank them for their tremendous help in this race,” the statement read. We have a country to save.”The endorsement from the group, which was announced in November, was crucial for Ms. Haley. It came as she was trying to gain traction against Mr. Trump, particularly given how small her team was at the time.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Seidel, Ms, Haley’s, Haley, , Trump Organizations: Republican, Democratic Party, Prosperity, Mr Locations: South Carolina, Iowa
Donald J. Trump lapped Nikki Haley in the Midwest. And now he has trounced the former two-term governor in her home state of South Carolina. The race was called the moment the polls closed, and within minutes an ebullient Mr. Trump took the stage, avoiding a mistake he made in New Hampshire when Ms. Haley spoke first and, even in defeat, gave a rousing speech that had irked him. “It’s an early evening,” Mr. Trump beamed. But Ms. Haley, the former United Nations ambassador, is still vowing to plow on, warning her party that sticking with Mr. Trump and the distractions of his four criminal indictments is a pathway to defeat in November.
Persons: Donald J, Trump, Nikki Haley, Haley’s, Haley, “ It’s, ” Mr Organizations: United Nations Locations: South Carolina, New Hampshire
Ron DeSantis of Florida told supporters in a call on Wednesday that he would not want to be Donald J. Trump’s vice president, suggested it would be a “mistake” for Mr. Trump to consider “identity politics” in making his selection for a running mate and left wide open the door to a 2028 presidential run. “I haven’t ruled anything out,” Mr. DeSantis said of a 2028 presidential run, as he outlined plans to stay involved in politics beyond Florida. In a more than 30-minute call held to thank backers who had volunteered to serve as his presidential delegates, the governor was unusually candid in assessing his failed 2024 campaign a month after he dropped out of the race. He also sounded off on conservative news media outlets that he said had backed the former president over him. He also spoke about “all the baggage Trump has” as a concern for Republicans headed into the fall, but said that President Biden was “going to be the gift that keeps on giving.”
Persons: Ron DeSantis, Donald J, Trump’s, , Trump, ” Mr, DeSantis, Biden, Organizations: Mr, Trump Locations: Florida
A victory in a New York special election on Tuesday injected Democrats with fresh optimism that the party might have found some of the basic ingredients to neutralize immigration and the border as political issues, which party officials have privately seen as among their deepest areas of vulnerability in 2024. The success in the race for a House seat by former and now future Representative Tom Suozzi — a Democrat whom Republicans had pilloried as “Sanctuary Suozzi” — came in a corner of the country, Long Island, that had been increasingly hostile to Democrats in the last two years. And Mr. Suozzi won after he frontally and repeatedly addressed a topic that his party has sometimes tried to shy away from. With border crossings surging to record highs in recent months and more than 170,000 migrants arriving in New York City, Republicans had hoped to use immigration to paint Mr. Suozzi as unacceptably beyond the mainstream. The leading G.O.P.
Persons: Tom Suozzi —, , Suozzi, frontally Organizations: Democrat, Republicans, Democrats, Fox News Locations: New York, Long, New York City
When President Biden appeared at a last-minute news conference on Thursday night, he hoped to assure the country of his mental acuity hours after a special counsel’s report had devastatingly referred to him as a “well-meaning, elderly man with a poor memory.”Instead, a visibly angry Mr. Biden made the exact type of verbal flub that has kept Democrats so nervous for months, mistakenly referring to the president of Egypt, Abdel Fattah el-Sisi, as the “president of Mexico” as he tried to address the latest developments in the war in Gaza. The special counsel’s report and the president’s evening performance placed Mr. Biden’s advanced age, the singularly uncomfortable subject looming over his re-election bid, back at the center of America’s political conversation. The 81-year-old president — already the oldest in the nation’s history — has for years fought the perception that he is a diminished figure. “My memory is fine,” he insisted on Thursday from the White House.
Persons: Biden, Abdel Fattah el, Biden’s, , Locations: Egypt, Mexico, Gaza
Only five days after Donald J. Trump left office, one of his aides emailed a lawyer to request approval of a formal-looking seal for use on statements from the office of the 45th president. Margo Martin, one of his closest personal aides, told the lawyer, Scott Gast, that consultants had designed a subtly-modified seal for Mr. Trump. “They said they changed a few things to avoid trademark issues,” she wrote, asking Mr. Gast if the design was acceptable. The eventual image that Mr. Trump’s team used — a recognizable eagle from the Great Seal of the United States, placed in a circle — was evocative of the presidential seal that identified Mr. Trump with the job he had just left. And while he is hardly the first former White House occupant to affix an eagle to his website, the early conversations about presidential imagery revealed what has turned out to be an important obsession of Mr. Trump’s: being seen as much as a future president as a former one.
Persons: Donald J, Trump, Margo Martin, Scott Gast, , , Mr, Gast Organizations: White Locations: United States
The Federal Election Commission deadline is here for end-of-year finance reports that will reveal how much money the presidential candidates had raised recently, and how much cash their campaigns had on hand. The end-of-year fund-raising and spending reports can reveal a lot about the trajectory of a presidential campaign, and the health of its money operation. Spending by presidential campaigns alone — not counting super PACs — topped $4 billion for the 2020 election. Just this week alone, a Democratic super PAC supporting Mr. Biden began reserving $250 million in advertising in battleground states, scheduled to begin after the Democratic National Convention in August. For example, the main super PAC supporting Senate Democrats has about $61.5 million on hand, compared with $29.1 million for the top PAC supporting Republican Senate candidates.
Persons: Biden, Nikki Haley, Donald J, Trump, Haley, Mr, Tim Scott’s, Ron DeSantis’s, Michael C, Bender Organizations: Teamsters, Democratic, PAC, Mr, Democratic National Convention, Republican, Records Locations: South Carolina, Florida, New York, Washington, Iowa
The main Democratic super PAC supporting President Biden’s re-election bid, Future Forward, is beginning this week to reserve $250 million in advertising across the most important battleground states, a blitz that it says is the largest single purchase of political advertising by a super PAC in the nation’s history. The ads, which are to be split between $140 million on television and $110 million on digital and streaming platforms, will start the day after the Democratic National Convention concludes in August and will run through Election Day, the super PAC said. The ad reservation covers seven states that are seen as the main presidential battlegrounds: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. It is also spending heavily in smaller markets in battleground states: $3 million each in Madison, Wis., and Reno, Nev., and $2 million in Flint, Mich. The digital reservation includes roughly $35 million on YouTube, with more on other streaming platforms, including Hulu, Roku and Vevo, plus the streaming services of the Spanish-language giants Telemundo and Univision.
Persons: Biden’s, Mr, Biden Organizations: Democratic, PAC, Convention, Phoenix, YouTube, Telemundo, Univision Locations: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada , North Carolina , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Atlanta, Madison, Wis, Reno, Nev, Flint, Mich, Hulu, Spanish
Donald J. Trump piled up legal expenses in 2023 as he was indicted four times, spending approximately $50 million in donor money on legal bills and investigation-related expenses last year, according to two people briefed on the figure. His lone remaining rival in the 2024 Republican primary, Nikki Haley, raised roughly the same amount of money across all her committees in the last year as Mr. Trump’s political accounts spent paying the bills stemming from his various legal defenses, including lawyers for witnesses. The exact figure spent on legal bills will be reported on Wednesday in new filings to the Federal Election Commission. But even those totals can be imprecise depending on how certain expense items are categorized by those doing the paperwork. The broader picture expected to be outlined in the documents is one of a former president heading toward the Republican nomination while facing enormous financial strain.
Persons: Donald J, Trump, Nikki Haley Organizations: Republican, Federal, Commission
Donald J. Trump’s campaign couldn’t have scripted the results in Iowa any better. Standing backstage at his victory party in downtown Des Moines, Mr. Trump appeared almost giddy with disbelief as television screens blared the news of an outcome so lopsided it was called while the voting was still underway. Mr. DeSantis edged just ahead of Ms. Haley, enough to stall her momentum but not enough to save his candidacy. “Did you think it was going to be like this?” Mr. Trump remarked to an adviser, according to two people who witnessed the interaction. That night, the former president and his usual coterie of top aides were joined by about a dozen Iowa staffers headed for New York, boarding the plane his campaign calls Trump Force One.
Persons: Donald J, Trump, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, DeSantis, Haley, Organizations: Trump Force Locations: Iowa, Des Moines, New York
Donald J. Trump’s victory in the New Hampshire primary on Tuesday provided him the second of an opening pair of wins in the Republican nomination fight that accelerated his push for the party to coalesce behind him and deepened questions about the path forward for Nikki Haley, his lone remaining rival. The defeat of Ms. Haley in New Hampshire came eight days after the former president trounced Gov. Ron DeSantis of Florida so thoroughly in Iowa that it drove Mr. DeSantis from the race. Mr. Trump and his allies have turned his twin early wins into a milestone — declaring, after just the first two contests, that the party needs to unite behind him now to prepare for a rematch in November between Mr. Trump and President Biden. No Republican candidate has ever won the first two states and then not ultimately secured the presidential nomination, a fact that Mr. Trump himself noted in his victory speech in Nashua, N.H.“When you win Iowa and you win New Hampshire, they’ve never had a loss — there’s never been — so we’re not going to be the first, I can tell you,” Mr. Trump told the crowd.
Persons: Donald J, Nikki Haley, Haley, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, Trump, Biden, they’ve, there’s, we’re, Mr Organizations: Republican, Gov, Mr, New Hampshire Locations: New Hampshire, Florida, Iowa, Nashua, N.H, New
Straining to recover after a bruising defeat in Iowa, Gov. At the same time, the shift could put new pressure on Ms. Haley in South Carolina, where she once served as governor. As Mr. DeSantis’s team licked its wounds on Wednesday, his super PAC, Never Back Down, trimmed operations in several places, including Nevada. Other staff members were also laid off, including almost the entire online “war room” team, a person with knowledge of the matter said. It was unclear how many people in all lost their jobs.
Persons: Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Donald J, Trump, Haley Organizations: Gov, PAC Locations: Iowa, Florida, South Carolina, New Hampshire, Nevada
Trump Left Iowa With Momentum and a Court Date
  + stars: | 2024-01-16 | by ( Matthew Cullen | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
The Iowa caucuses could hardly have gone better for Donald Trump. Now the race moves on to New Hampshire, where next week’s primary is perhaps the last clear chance for one of Trump’s rivals to slow him. Nikki Haley has banked on independents there, and one poll this month showed her at 32 percent, just seven points behind Trump. But her third-place showing in Iowa suggested that Ron DeSantis would continue challenging her, despite lacking a clear path forward. His decision to appear, under no obligation, reflected his effort to use the legal threats against him to energize his supporters.
Persons: Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, there’s, Shane Goldmacher, Trump, Jean Carroll Organizations: Republican, Trump Locations: Iowa, New Hampshire, Manhattan
Donald J. Trump won the Iowa caucuses in a landslide on Monday, a crucial first step in his bid to claim the Republican nomination in a third consecutive election as voters looked past his mounting legal jeopardy and embraced his vision of vengeful disruption. Mr. Trump’s record-breaking triumph, called by The Associated Press on Monday night only 31 minutes after the caucuses had begun, gave the former president an important win in a state that had rejected him eight years ago. Ron DeSantis of Florida finished in a distant second place, according to The A.P. His narrow edge over Nikki Haley in a state where he had increasingly banked his candidacy could provide him some much-needed money and momentum in the battle for the mantle of Mr. Trump’s chief rival. With Mr. DeSantis finishing ahead of Ms. Haley in Iowa, and her leading him in New Hampshire, the possibility of a two-person race remains elusive for foes of Mr. Trump, who fear a split field will ease his path to the nomination.
Persons: Donald J, Trump, Trump’s, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, DeSantis, Haley Organizations: Republican, The Associated Press, United Nations Locations: Iowa, Florida, New Hampshire
Traditionally, Iowa caucuses are squeakers, so close that Democrats failed to produce definitive results in the chaotic 2020 contest. Ms. Haley had 20 percent and Mr. DeSantis 16 percent — a separation at the edge of the survey’s margin of error. Ms. Haley, in the Times/Siena poll, had the support of just 3 percent of those voters. (Mr. Burgum endorsed Mr. Trump at the Indianola rally.) But depending on their performance Monday, it remains to be seen whether they will drop out and pick a side: Mr. Trump, or anyone else.
Persons: Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, Donald J, Trump, Nikki Haley, Mr, Trump’s, Biden, Haiyun Jiang, Will, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Haley, Maansi Srivastava, Chris Christie, Haley’s, Charles, David Koch, Ted Cruz, , Vivek Ramaswamy, There’s, Asa Hutchinson of, Ryan Binkley, Asa Hutchinson, Hilary Swift, Mike Pence, Tim Scott of, Doug Burgum, Burgum, Ramaswamy, Hutchinson, Iowans Organizations: Gov, New, Republican, The New York, Iowa, PAC, Des Moines Register, NBC, New York Times, Mr, CBS, Iowa Republicans, Siena, Times, ., The New York Times, Republicans, Prosperity, Xavier University Locations: Florida, Grimes , Iowa, Iowa, South Carolina, New Hampshire, York, Iowans ., New Jersey, Washington, Siena, Ted Cruz of Texas, Indianola , Iowa, Asa Hutchinson of Arkansas, Texas, Des Moines, Tim Scott of South Carolina, North Dakota, Indianola
But the Arctic air has lowered those figures — or, at least, raised serious questions of not just who will turn out, but who will benefit. Ms. Haley is expected to run strongest in more urban areas — where road conditions are less likely to be a concern — so that is an advantage for her. Mr. Trump’s team has said it has the most impassioned supporters, so put that in his potential ledger. Will Mr. Trump’s big edge dampen enthusiasm to brave the elements? voters than her weak standing among voters who didn’t graduate from college.
Persons: Haley, DeSantis, Trump’s, caucusgoers, Mr, Nikki Haley’s Organizations: New York Times, Siena Locations: nudging
Donald J. Trump has the backing of 48 percent of likely caucusgoers ahead of Monday’s election, a commanding lead for the former president, according to the Iowa Poll by The Des Moines Register, NBC News and Mediacom. Nikki Haley is narrowly leading the battle for second place over Gov. Ron DeSantis of Florida, 20 percent to 16 percent, according to the survey, which was released on Saturday evening. The poll shows Ms. Haley, the former United Nations ambassador, improving compared with December and Mr. Trump slipping — but only marginally. He enjoys a 28-point lead, compared with a 32-point advantage last month.
Persons: Donald J, Trump, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Haley Organizations: Iowa, Des Moines Register, NBC, Gov, United Nations, Mr Locations: Florida
The super PAC supporting Gov. Ron DeSantis of Florida in his presidential campaign, which has seen a series of changes in the last month, went through another shake-up this week when it fired its new chief executive officer who had stepped in just nine days earlier, according to two people briefed on the matter. Ms. Davison was not alone in being fired, according to the people briefed on the matter. A spokeswoman for the group, Erin Perrine, was dismissed, they said, with more departures possible. The changes come as the primary enters the intense final weeks before the first nominating contest, and as Mr. DeSantis was in the Iowa celebrating the final stop in his tour of the state’s 99 counties — an achievement made possible by the organizational muscle and money of his allied super PAC, which is suffering its third round of upheaval in recent weeks.
Persons: Ron DeSantis, Kristin Davison, Scott Wagner, Mr, DeSantis, Adam Laxalt, Davison, Erin Perrine Organizations: Gov, PAC Locations: Florida, Iowa
The main super PAC supporting Ron DeSantis’s presidential campaign has been rocked by another significant departure, as Adam Laxalt, a friend and former roommate of the Florida governor, has stepped down as chairman of the group. Mr. Laxalt, who unsuccessfully ran to become a Republican senator in Nevada in 2022, lived with Mr. DeSantis when he was training as a naval officer. He said in the note that he was still committed to Mr. DeSantis’s becoming president. The departure represents the second major departure from Never Back Down in the last two weeks. In a statement put out by the group after the resignation, Mr. Jankowski said that his differences at the group went “well beyond” strategic arguments, without explaining more.
Persons: Ron DeSantis’s, Adam Laxalt, Laxalt, DeSantis, , ” Mr, DeSantis’s, Chris Jankowski, Jankowski Organizations: Republican, The New York Times Locations: Florida, Nevada
The political network founded by the billionaire industrialist brothers Charles and David Koch has endorsed Nikki Haley in the Republican presidential nominating contest, giving her organizational muscle and financial heft as she battles Gov. The commitment by the network, Americans for Prosperity Action, bolsters Ms. Haley as the campaign enters the final seven weeks before the Iowa caucuses. Since the first Republican primary debate, Ms. Haley has steadily climbed in polls, even as Mr. DeSantis has slipped. Mr. Trump remains the dominant front-runner in the race. Nikki Haley is that leader.”
Persons: Charles, David Koch, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Donald J, Trump, Ms, Haley, DeSantis, Donald Trump, , Emily Seidel Organizations: Prosperity Locations: Florida, Iowa
And door knockers are fanning out from Des Moines to Dubuque and everywhere in between. The Iowa caucuses, the first contest in the Republican nominating calendar, are poised to play an especially consequential role in 2024. Far ahead in national polls, Mr. Trump is aiming for an emphatic victory on Jan. 15 in Iowa that could serve as an early knockout punch. Mr. DeSantis, the Florida governor, is betting on Iowa to pierce Mr. Trump’s growing aura of inevitability — and to reassert himself as the main rival to short-circuit Mr. Trump’s third run for president. Mr. DeSantis, who won the backing of the state’s popular Republican governor, has been barnstorming across all of Iowa’s 99 counties, bolstered by an army of door knockers paid for by his related super PAC.
Persons: Donald J, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Trump, DeSantis, Trump’s Organizations: Republican Locations: Iowa, Des Moines, Dubuque, Florida
Mr. DeSantis has a long history throughout his political career of cycling through different teams, a fact that people who have worked for him have attributed to his micromanaging style. His allies have questioned the messaging and depth of the ad-buying by the super PAC, according to two people briefed on the matter. A third said some allies believed Mr. DeSantis was being blamed by voters for the negative spots. Since they came into existence nearly 15 years ago, super PACs have traditionally handled negative messaging and advertising against a candidate’s rival. The group’s main strategist, Jeff Roe, and a board member, Scott Wagner, who is a college friend of Mr. DeSantis, had a heated argument during a discussion about money, according to people briefed on the matter.
Persons: DeSantis, Chris Jankowski, Steve Helber, . Jankowski, , Ron DeSantis, , Nikki Haley, Jeff Roe, Scott Wagner, Mr Organizations: Press Locations: China, Atlanta
A new political group with ties to Gov. Ron DeSantis of Florida began reserving airtime in Iowa on Monday, a surprising new player in the 2024 Republican primary that has emerged with less than two months until the Iowa caucuses. The reservations — more than $500,000 as of early Monday afternoon — were being made by an entity called Fight Right, according to AdImpact, a media-tracking company. A nonprofit by that name, Fight Right Inc., was registered in Florida last week and a super PAC with the same name was also registered with the Federal Election Commission by a Tallahassee-based treasurer, state and federal records show. The emergence of a new pro-DeSantis group at this stage of the race is unusual, in part because Mr. DeSantis has worked so closely with Never Back Down, his primary super PAC, after transferring $82.5 million to the group earlier this year.
Persons: Ron DeSantis, DeSantis Organizations: Gov, Republican, Federal Locations: Florida, Iowa, Tallahassee
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