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Experts believe mortgage rates will hold steady for the rest of the year in the low 6% range. After spending the first half of the year at record highs, mortgage rates have finally been trending down for several months now. According to Freddie Mac, 30-year mortgage rates are now just above 6%. But Fed officials have indicated that we may only get 50 basis points worth of cuts by December. What would need to happen for mortgage rates to drop further?
Persons: , Freddie Mac, Danielle Hale, Realtor.com, Hale, Scott Haymore, Haymore, Will, Dan Burnett, Phil Crescenzo, We're, that's, Crescenzo, there's, refinance Organizations: Service, Federal, Traders, TD Bank, Hometap, Nation One Mortgage Corporation
Stock futures were little changed on Monday evening, after the S&P 500 closed at a record to end September. S&P 500 futures inched lower by 0.1%, while Nasdaq 100 futures were just below the flatline. In the regular session, the S&P 500 and the 30-stock Dow notched closing records. All three major averages posted monthly gains, and it was the first positive September for the S&P 500 since 2019. The S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq Composite also ended the third quarter in positive territory.
Persons: Jerome Powell, nonfarm, Dave Sekera Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Federal, Investors, Morningstar, Traders, International Longshoremen's Association, Gulf Coasts, U.S, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor, Survey, P Global U.S, Manufacturing, ISM, PMI Locations: New York City, U.S, Gulf
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRate cuts and broadening fundamentals are propelling markets higher, says Richard BernsteinRichard Bernstein, Richard Bernstein Advisors CEO and CIO, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss Bernstein's thoughts on September's equity performance, if investors need to be on watch for a market melt-up, and much more.
Persons: Richard Bernstein Richard Bernstein, Richard Bernstein
The S&P 500's positive performance this year means that a Harris victory is likely, history says. The S&P 500 has gained 10% since August 5, and if it keeps going up, a Harris victory seems imminent. Likewise, the so-called Misery Index is flashing a Harris victory. If the stock market declines, the outlook for a Harris victory could quickly sour. While these indicators might be flashing a Harris victory for now, nothing's set in stone leading up to this election.
Persons: Harris, , LPL, Adam Turnquist, Turnquist, it's, Jerome Powell, Lynch, nothing's Organizations: Service, Comerica Wealth Management, Federal
Even though the Fed plans to continue cutting rates, mortgage rates might not fall much more this year. Mortgage rates trended down ahead of this decision, but now that the cut has happened and the rest of this year's cuts are priced in, it will take a change in the economic outlook to push mortgage rates down further. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile.
Persons: they've, Freddie Mac Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Zillow, ARM, Federal Housing Administration, Department of Veterans Affairs Locations: U.S, Chevron
Most analysts think that September's top-performing stocks could continue their ascent. September is a traditionally dicey for stocks: It's the worst month of the year for the S & P 500 , according to the Stock Trader's Almanac . With October right around the corner, CNBC Pro used FactSet data to screen for this month's top-performing stocks in the S & P 500 and find out where analysts see them going next. Constellation Energy is up more than 30% on the month, making it September's second-highest performer in the S & P 500. Power company Vistra has surged nearly 196% in 2024, and it's the top performer in the S & P 500 this month.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, David Arcaro, Vistra, Jefferies, Julien Dumoulin, Smith, Raymond James, Brian Gesuale Organizations: Federal, Dow Jones, CNBC Pro, Analysts, Constellation Energy, Microsoft, Constellation, Energy, Software, Palantir Technologies, Oracle, Delta Air Lines Locations: Thursday's
Both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S & P 500 have broken out to new highs this month. BTIG chief market technician Jonathan Krinsky asked this week, referring to the S & P 500. The S & P 500 had risen more than 5%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite was higher by more than 1%. For the S & P 500, those levels represent declines of about 6% to 9%, as of Thursday's close. Initial Claims (09/28) 9:45 a.m. PMI Composite final (September) 9:45 a.m. S & P PMI Services SA final (September) 10 a.m.
Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, Dow, Adam Turnquist, LPL Financial's Turnquist, Jeff Hirsch, he's bullish, Hirsch wouldn't, Lamb Weston, Nonfarm Payrolls, , Nick Wells Organizations: Federal, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, CNBC, Nasdaq, LPL, Chicago PMI, Dallas Fed, PMI, Manufacturing, Nike, McCormick, ADP, PMI Services SA, Services PMI, Constellation Locations: Europe, U.S, Chicago
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. How much will oil demand grow? Oil demand will experience "robust medium-term growth," reaching 112.3 million barrels per day in 2029 from 102.2 million barrels per day in 2023, according to OPEC's 2024 World Oil Outlook report. The International Energy Agency thinks oil demand will level off at 106 million barrels per day by the end of the decade.
Persons: Stocks, Consumer's, September's, Dow, Goldman, Denis Coleman, Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase Organizations: CNBC, Dow Jones, U.S . Federal, JPMorgan, International Energy Agency
CNBC Daily Open: Some caution might be good for markets
  + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. While analysts think this move may mark the end of China's deflationary streak, many think monetary policy is not enough. How much will oil demand grow? The International Energy Agency thinks oil demand will level off at 106 million barrels per day by the end of the decade.
Persons: Larry Hu, Consumer's, September's, Dow Organizations: CNBC, Dow Jones, U.S ., People's Bank of China, Macquarie, International Energy Agency, U.S, U.S . Federal, Barclays, Citi Locations: Corte Madera, Corte Madera , California, Asia, Pacific, China, U.S .
In today's big story, the economy is heading in the right direction, but consumers aren't buying it . Things seem to be going really well for the economy, right? Consumers aren't feeling bullish about the economy these days. Last time around, pesky inflation was keeping things like groceries and housing costs high, even as the rest of the economy showed improvement. China's stimulus plan to boost its ailing economy sent emerging markets indexes to their highest level since April 2022 .
Persons: , Rebecca Zisser, We've, Insider's Juliana Kaplan, Spencer Platt, Getty, Tyler Le, We'll, Morgan, Mike Wilson, Steven Blitz, China's, aren't, Chelsea Jia Feng, weren't, Natalie Ammari, that's, Ron Sherman, Gen, Mark Zuckerberg, Dan DeFrancesco, Jack Sommers, Jordan Parker Erb, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Business, Federal Reserve, Conference Board, Fed, Chelsea, Spotify, Visa, US Justice Department, Prosecutors, Meta Locations: Austin , Texas, New York, London
In fact, the S & P 500 is on pace for a winning September — its first since 2019 — with a gain of more than 1%. The month is typically the worst stretch of the year on average for all three major averages and the Russell 2000, according to the Stock Trader's Almanac. Some of September's strength could be attributed to the Federal Reserve's supersized rate cut last week . The S & P 500 notched a fresh record close on Monday and an intraday all-time high on Tuesday. The benchmark S & P 500 typically pulls back nearly 1% on average in October in election years, per the Stock Trader's Almanac.
Persons: , Russell, Gary Pzegeo Organizations: Federal, CIBC Private Wealth Management
Morgan Stanley is now looking ahead at the perfect mixture of conditions for a strong fourth quarter. The firm is squarely focused on an improvement in the labor market driving the best possible returns. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve nailed the rate-cut scenario that Morgan Stanley called its best-case result leading into the decision. Heading into last week's announcement, Morgan Stanley was looking for a 50-basis-point cut that didn't also stoke worries about unnecessary growth. To be sure, job conditions are not the only thing Morgan Stanley is watching.
Persons: Morgan Stanley's, Morgan Stanley, , didn't, Mike Wilson, Wilson Organizations: Federal, Service, Reserve, stoke, Bank of America, Conference Board
Investors are parsing through data and Fed commentary to determine future rate cuts. On Tuesday, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman explained why she dissented against a deep cut in September. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! Both indexes closed at all-time highs on Monday amid rising outlooks that the Federal Reserve will deliver another half-point interest rate cut in November. To better understand where monetary policy may be headed after the Fed's first rate cut in four years, investors are tuning into Fed commentary and parsing through incoming data.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, , dovish, Michelle Bowman's, Bowman Organizations: Service, Dow Jones Industrial, Federal Reserve, Fed, Richmond, Here's Locations: Kentucky
Citi Private Bank's latest Global Family Office survey showed that family offices had already been moving into risk assets well before the central bank began cutting. Citi Private Bank's latest Global Family Office survey. Related storiesSo far, the move toward equities has translated into a rush for big tech's AI, which remains a favorite among family offices. AdvertisementWhen it comes to real estate, family offices often prefer private investments. AdvertisementFixed incomeThe number one goal for any family office is the preservation of capital.
Persons: , Richard Weintraub, Bank's, haven't, Weintraub, REITs Organizations: Service, Citi, Bank's, Business, Treasury Locations: American
Some fall baby names are obvious. Take Autumn for example, which has been in the top 100 names for American baby girls since the late 1990s. AdvertisementThere are 22 fall baby names that will last a lifetime. Fall symbolsBeyond colors, you can draw naming inspiration from common fall symbols. Giving your fall baby an autumn-inspired name is a great way to pay homage to when they arrived.
Persons: , Sophie Kihm, It's, Goldie, Goldie Hawn, Bruno, Rory, Radley, Opal, October's, September's, Harvey, Bowman, Archer, Otto, Toby, it's, Hazel, Oakley Organizations: Service, Business, Juniper Locations: Nameberry, Aurelia
Chief investment strategist Brian Belski lifted his year-end target for the broad index by 500 points to 6,100. That new forecast implies the S & P 500 can climb 8.6% from Wednesday's close. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 YTD Belski said his update came after yet another rebound in equities pushed the index to trade around his prior target. Even if the S & P 500 tests lows seen during September's choppy trading, the investing strategist said he remains confident that it can rise into year-end. The S & P 500 has climbed more than 19% in 2024.
Persons: Brian Belski, It's, Belski, What's Organizations: BMO, CNBC, Federal Reserve Locations: Wednesday's, U.S
The New York Times reported that "Beetlejuice Beetlejuice" was nearly not released in theaters. The Times reported Warner Bros. wanted to put the film on Max to avoid a box office flop. Tim Burton was asked to cut the budget to $100 million, but the film has already made $264 million. AdvertisementWarner Bros. made director Tim Burton cut the budget for "Beetlejuice Beetlejuice" by almost $50 million in order for it to get a theatrical release, The New York Times reported. "Beetlejuice Beetlejuice" has been September's biggest box office hit.
Persons: Max, Tim Burton, Organizations: New York Times, The Times, Warner Bros, Service, Business
While Wall Street widely expects the Fed to cut rates after its meeting later this week, it remains up in the air how large the cut will be. Some expect a 25 basis-point cut, while others are hoping for a 50 basis-point cut. According to Cramer, investors took profits in tech and bought cyclical stocks because many anticipate a higher rate cut. He suggested that if the Fed decides to cut rates by 0.25%, investors will shift back into tech, and Monday's winners will suffer. It flows right back to where it came from: The tech stocks that got sold today," he said.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, there's, Don't, it's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Toll Brothers
Stock futures were flat Monday evening as Wall Street readied for key retail sales data and the start of the Federal Reserve's September policy meeting. Futures tied to the S&P 500 hovered near the flatline, along with futures linked to the Dow Jones Industrial Average . Investors on Tuesday will parse retail sales data for August for one final glimpse into the health of the U.S. consumer ahead of the Fed rate decision. The results could affect the rate cut outcome. She is forecasting additional 25 basis point cuts in November and December.
Persons: Biden, Dow, Dow Jones, Seema Shah Organizations: Intel, Futures, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Apple, Fed, CME Group's, September's National Association of Home Builders Housing
Traders on the New York Stock Exchange floor on Sept. 9, 2024. Spencer Platt | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesSeptember historically hasn't been kind to stock investors. September is the only month during that nearly century-long period in which investors experienced an average loss, according to Morningstar. Trying to time the market is a losing betAlistair Berg | Digitalvision | Getty ImagesInvestors holding their money in stocks for the long-term shouldn't bail, Yoder said. Don't put faith in market maximsSimilarly, investors shouldn't necessarily accept market maxims as truisms, experts said.
Persons: Spencer Platt, Morningstar, Abby Yoder, Yoder, Alistair Berg, Digitalvision, Edward McQuarrie, McQuarrie, couldn't, J.P Morgan Organizations: New York Stock, Getty, Morningstar Direct, Finance, Morgan Private Bank, Investors, Santa Clara University, Fidelity Investments, Federal Reserve, Investor, Mutual Locations: U.S, Wells, New York City, New York
The Fed is expected to cut rates multiple times this year and in 2025, which means mortgage rates should continue decreasing. Will mortgage rates drop when the Fed cuts rates? If he or other Fed officials indicate that bigger rate cuts could be coming, mortgage rates may inch down. How Fed rate cuts affect mortgage ratesChanges to the federal funds rate don't directly impact mortgages, but mortgage rates tend to trend up when the Fed raises rates and go down when it lowers rates. The Fed could lower rates substantially by the time we reach the 2025 buying season, which means mortgage rates may be a lot lower, too.
Persons: Freddie Mac, Dan Burnett, Burnett, Jerome Powell, Powell, Fannie Mae, Scott Haymore Organizations: Fed, Federal Reserve, Housing Survey, TD Bank
It's been a topsy-turvy stock market since the Club's August Monthly Meeting. These were two of our top performers since the August Monthly Meeting. The stock closed nearly 5% higher on the eve of the September Monthly Meeting. The S & P 500's health care sector is up 2.2% since the August Monthly Meeting, slightly outperforming the broad index's 1.8% rise in that timeframe. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: It's, We've, Eli Lilly, Estee Lauder, Jerome Powell, it's, DA Davidson, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Andy Jassy's, TJX, Jensen Huang, Abbott, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Brendan Mcdermid Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Investor, Federal, Procter, Gamble, Dover, Abbott Laboratories, TJX, Amazon, Micro Devices, Jackson, Bank of America, Telsey Advisory Group, JPMorgan, Oracle, Devices, AMD, Nvidia, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange Locations: seesaw, Wednesday's, U.S
How to trade Adobe's upcoming earnings using options
  + stars: | 2024-09-09 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
I'll break down various option trade scenarios into the earnings, focusing on one that will benefit from a big move in any direction. Adobe's Creative Cloud subscription model generates recurring revenue and maintains a solid customer base, from freelancers to large enterprises. Adobe's Document Cloud, featuring Acrobat and PDF solutions, is critical in digital document management and e-signatures. Of course, any bears out there could also use a calendar to bet on a downside move, using a $500 Sep/Jan put calendar. Combining the call and put calendar is a trade I usually refer to as a strangle swap.
Persons: Adobe Sensei, Jan, I've Organizations: Adobe, Labor, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
The company slipped into the FTSE 250 during September's quarterly rebalancing, index provider FTSE Russell said in a statement, bringing its 15-year run in the U.K. large-cap FTSE 100 blue-chip index to a close. The company's current market cap of £2.34 billion ($3.06 billion) now puts it well below the other constituents of the FTSE 100, as well as some of the top performers in the FTSE 250. As such, funds that invest in the FTSE 100 will exit their Burberry holdings. The luxury label's addition to the FTSE 100 in September 2009 was taken as a further mark of its enduring appeal and its resilience, even amid the global financial crisis. The luxury sector as a whole has suffered from a prolonged downturn in consumer spending amid inflationary pressures and broader economic uncertainty.
Persons: Dave Rushen, Burberry Burberry's, Edward Berthelot, , Joshua Schulman, Luca Solca, Bernstein, Michael Kors, Josh Schulman, Solca, Burberry, Piral Dadhania, Richard Chamberlain, Schulman, Gerry Murphy, Cole Smead, Henry Nicholls, Smead, Hugo Boss, Gucci, Kering Organizations: UNITED, Burberry, New Bond, Getty, LONDON, Burberry Group, Russell, London Stock Exchange, jittery, CNBC, RBC, Sky News, Smead Capital Management, Afp Locations: UNITED KINGDOM, Basingstoke, England, British, U.S, London, China, Asia, Japan
The good news outweighs the bad Seasonality aside, the market is riding a wave of momentum, and with good reason: 1) The market "broadening" trend is very real. At Jackson Hole, chairman Jerome Powell made it clear that the Fed had shifted its attention from fighting inflation to the job market. S&P 500 in September: It's been ugly recently (rounded) 2023: down 5%2022: down 9%2021: down 5%2020: down 4% The elections are another wildcard. Two-thirds of the S&P 500 was up in August. Most importantly, the Equal-Weight S&P 500 (RSP) modestly outperformed the S&P 500 in August and closed Friday at an historic high.
Persons: Frank Gretz, Wellington Shields, Robert Hum, It's, Consumer Staples, Jerome Powell, David Smith, Brendan McDermid Organizations: Dow, NASDAQ, Russell, NYSE, Megacap Tech, Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Consumer, Estate, Technology, American Association of, Bulls, PCE, Fed, Rockland Trust, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange Locations: Wellington, Meta, Rockland, New York City, U.S
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