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☆ Analysis: Sizzling rally in US energy stocks has room to run, bulls say
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( David Randall | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Some believe a tight oil market and resilient U.S. growth will keep energy stocks rising for the rest of 2023. Bullish investors argue that energy stocks are still cheap by historical standards - and far less richly valued than other areas of the market. The energy sector currently trades at a forward price to earnings ratio of 12.2, well below its historical median forward P/E of 15.3, according to LSEG Datastream. Parts of the market appear skeptical energy stocks have much further to run. "That should result in a ... smoother ride for energy stocks than we’ve been accustomed to."

Persons: Bing Guan, LSEG, Charles Lemonides, Baker Hughes, Savita Subramanian, Brent, Bjarne Schieldrop, Rodney Clayton, we’ve, David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili, Marguerita Choy Organizations: Exxon, Mobil, REUTERS, Energy, West Texas, Federal, drillers, U.S . Energy, Administration, Global, Citi, Brent, SEB Research, Macquarie, Duff, Phelps Investment Management, Thomson Locations: Beaumont , Texas, U.S, Saudi Arabia, Russia, China

☆ BofA lifts S&P 500 2023-end target by 7%, led by "old economy" stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-20 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The S&P 500 is up 15.7% so far this year, largely driven by a rally in a handful of mega-cap growth stocks such as Nvidia (NVDA.O) and Meta (META.O) that have ridden the artificial intelligence (AI) boom. While the rally has been moderating, BofA remains in "neutral" to "positive" territory on U.S. stocks, with a bias towards equal-weighted stocks, strategists led by Savita Subramanian said. An equal-weight index assigns uniform weights to each constituent, unlike a market capitalization-based index, like the S&P 500, where bigger companies tend to have an outsized influence. Equal-weighted stocks have less volatile earnings, smaller differences in analysts' estimates, and are cheaper and less crowded than growth stocks, Subramanian said. While a "fresh wave of bear narratives around equities have emerged", BofA says the "old economy", which includes value stocks - more prevalent in the equal-weighted S&P 500 - could benefit as much as tech and growth.

Persons: Andrew Kelly, Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, BofA, Morgan Stanley, Susan Mathew, Savio D'Souza Organizations: Dow Jones, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Street, Nvidia, Tech, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York City, U.S, Bengaluru

☆ Bank of America raises year-end S&P 500 price target, says rally will broaden out from here
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-20 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Bank of America's Savita Subramanian raised her 2023 year-end S & P 500 price target to 4,600, saying the rally will broaden out from here. The equity and quant strategist increased her S & P 500 target to 4,600 from 4,300 — placing it among the higher forecasts in CNBC's Market Strategist survey . The strategist expects even better returns for the average stock over the S & P 500, which is weighed by market value, as the rally broadens. Her bear case is 4,100 and bull case is 4,700 for the S & P 500. All three major averages are negative on the month, and the S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are lower this quarter.

Persons: America's Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: America's, Nasdaq, Tech

☆ BofA Securities' Savita Subramanian explains why she's raising her year-end S&P 500 target to 4,600
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBofA Securities' Savita Subramanian explains why she's raising her year-end S&P 500 target to 4,600Savita Subramanian, BofA Securities head of U.S. equity and quantitative strategy, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, why she raised her year-end S&P 500 target to 4,600 from 4,300, rest of the year outlook, and more.

Persons: Subramanian Organizations: BofA Securities

☆ This stock market signal points to the S&P 500 surging 25% within the next year
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-17 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

There's still significant upside potential in the stock market, according to Bank of America. Subramanian observed that long-term profit growth expectations among Wall Street analysts are near record low levels, which signals pervasive pessimism. Typically, when there's such a high level of pessimism towards future corporate profits, the stock market delivers spectacular returns. AdvertisementAdvertisementAnalysts expected the S&P 500 to deliver long-term profit growth of 11% a year ago, while the trailing 5-year level of growth has been 12%. The stock market went on to enter a year-long bear market just a couple months later.

Persons: There's, Savita Subramanian, Bank of America's Savita Subramanian, Subramanian Organizations: Bank of America, Service, Wall Street, Bank of America's, Wall, Energy Locations: Wall, Silicon

☆ These are the 50 best stocks to buy now as the downturn ends and the US economy begins to recover, according to Bank of America
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-13 | by ( Mark Reeth | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: 1 min

The economic downturn is ending, and a recovery is beginning, according to Bank of America. Cyclical stocks tend to outperform during a recovery, according to Savita Subramanian. She found the 50 stocks best positioned to profit from a US economic recovery. For months, Wall Street has been worried that restrictive monetary policy would curtail economic growth and quite possibly lead to both a recession and a market downturn. Now, however, Bank of America analysts believe that the economy has turned a corner and might once again be on the upswing.

Persons: Savita Subramanian Organizations: Bank of America, Bank of

☆ One sector outperforms the stock market 100% of the time when an economic recovery begins, Bank of America says. Where to invest now, and 5 reasons why the downturn phase is over.
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-12 | by ( Mark Reeth | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

What happens to the US economy nextBank of America's economic indicator has made a sudden pivot upwards, from the lows of a "downturn" phase into the gradual strengthening of a "recovery" phase. Rising inflation indicates improving economic conditions. Rising inflation indicates improving economic conditions. A rising Z-Score indicates improving economic conditions. A rising Z-Score indicates improving economic conditions.

Persons: it's, Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, Jan, Staples underperformed, Bank of America Subramanian, Dev Organizations: Bank of America, Bank of, Thomson, PMI, Supply Management Manufacturing, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Survey, Conference Board, Bond, ICE, Utilities, Health Care, Fed, of America

☆ Bank of America says it's an official economic recovery now so history points to these stocks outperforming ahead
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-11 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

There appears to be an economic rebound taking place — and history shows ways to play it in the market, according to Bank of America. "It's official: we're in a Recovery," wrote strategist Savita Subramanian in a note to clients Sunday. An average recovery lasts nine months, though shorter durations seen in recent history raise concern that this one may not have staying power, she said. Still, the average analyst has a hold rating on the stock, according to LSEG. The average analyst has a hold rating on the stock, but price targets imply an upside of more than 7% on average.

Persons: Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, FactSet, Piper Sandler, John Barnidge, Barnidge, AIZ, Newell, Canaccord, Brian McNamara, McNamara, Molson Coors, Bud, Invesco, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America, Wall, Newell Brands, LSEG, destocking, Anheuser, Busch InBev, Bud Light, TAP BUD, Molson Coors, Busch Inbev, Molson, ZOA Energy Locations: U.S

☆ These 10 stocks have the most exposure to China's 'stalling' economy, BofA warns
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-08 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

China's "stalling" economy is putting some US companies at risk, according to Bank of America. The bank highlighted the top 10 stocks that have the most revenue exposure to China. Applied MaterialsApplied Materials’ new corporate signage photo in Santa Clara California ReutersTicker: AMATMarket value: $122.6 billionRevenue exposure to China: 33%9. Wynn ResortsAdvertisementAdvertisementFILE PHOTO: Wynn Resorts Ltd property in Las Vegas ReutersTicker: WYNNMarket value: $10.7 billionRevenue exposure to China: 40%4. ReutersTicker: LVSMarket value: $38.2 billionRevenue exposure to China: 67%Other companies that have considerable revenue exposure to China include: Intel (27%), Tesla (26%), and Nvidia (26%).

Persons: Savita Subramanian, Santa Clara California, Lam, Shanghai Aly Song Organizations: Bank of America, Service, Santa Clara California Reuters, Broadcom Reuters, IPG Photonics, Wynn, Wynn Resorts Ltd, Las Vegas Reuters, WYNN, Qualcomm, China, Vegas Sands Corp, Reuters, Intel, Nvidia Locations: China, Wall, Silicon, Santa Clara, Las Vegas, Shanghai, Macau

☆ BofA’s Savita Subramanian says she believes the bond move is bullish
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBofA’s Savita Subramanian says she believes the bond move is bullishSavita Subramanian, BofA Securities head of U.S. equity & quantitative strategy, joins 'Fast Money' to talk recent moves in the bond market.

Persons: Savita Subramanian Organizations: BofA Securities

☆ Treasury yield jump is not 'death to equities,' BofA's Savita Subramanian says
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-05 | by ( Stephanie Landsman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The latest jump in Treasury yields is not "death to equities," BofA Securities' Savita Subramanian told CNBC's "Fast Money" on Tuesday. In fact, Subramanian sees the bond move as a positive signal — rather than an ominous sign for the economy. In May, Subramanian hiked her S&P 500 year-end target by 7.5% to 4,300, with a range as high as 4,600. Even though she believes the corporate America has learned to do more with less, Subramanian suggests stocks won't go up in a straight line. But I do think we are at a point where we have some visibility with what the Fed is going to do," Subramanian said.

Persons: Savita Subramanian, CNBC's, Subramanian Organizations: Securities, Companies Locations: America

New Delhi CNN —The bulldozers and government officials arrived just before dawn, tearing down the row of shanties as its bewildered residents watched inconsolably nearby. CNN has reached out to the New Delhi and federal governments but is yet to receive a response. Rhea Mogul/CNN“I can’t explain how distraught everyone was as they bulldozed the homes,” Savita said. The demolitions are being done with extreme cruelty.”Savita helps her children with homework at a temporary home in Delhi. Modi sees India as a confident and modern superpower, a voice for the voiceless seizing the 21st century.

Persons: ”, Joe Biden, France’s Emmanuel Macron, Rishi Sunak, Rhea Mogul, Narendra Modi, Harsh Mander, Jayanti Devi, Savita, ” Savita, “, ” Mander, Modi, ” Modi, …, ’, ” Devi Organizations: New, New Delhi CNN, ”, British, CNN, Policy Research, Survey, India, ASI, CNN Homeless, Workers, Indian National Congress, Commonwealth Games, Global, “ Locations: New Delhi, “, Devi, Pragati, Rhea, India, Delhi, Mander, Ukraine, United States

☆ Stocks will try to keep momentum, but September seasonality and other headwinds await
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-01 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Stocks are looking to maintain momentum in the holiday-shortened week ahead even as Wall Street contends with a seasonally weak period for markets ahead of the Federal Reserve's September rate decision. Some technical indicators have investors hopeful the bullish momentum could continue in the week ahead. For example, the major indexes broke above their respective 50-day moving averages this past week — a sign of improving short-term momentum. Central bank policymakers convene for a two-day meeting starting Sept. 19 and announce their interest rate decision Sept. 20. Week ahead calendar All times are ET.

Persons: Sam Stovall, We've, Ryan Detrick, Quincy Krosby, CFRA, —, HSBC's Max Kettner, Savita Subramanian, John Luke Tyner, Carson Group's Detrick, Detrick, FactSet, Kroger Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Wall, Dow, Carson Group, Fed, LPL, Bank of America, Aptus Capital Advisors, Labor, PMI, PMI Services, Consumer Credit Locations: U.S, CFRA, China

☆ In another positive sign for stocks, the trough for earnings this cycle is likely in
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-01 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

That's according to analysis by Bank of America, which looked at the changing expectations of Wall Street analysts and historical analysis to determine that the poor second quarter earnings results just reported will be the worst we see this cycle. FactSet data shows S & P 500 earnings fell more than 4% on average from the year-earlier period during the second quarter. It's also the biggest year-over-year earnings drop since the second quarter of 2023. "Absent a collapse in demand, 2Q likely marks the trough in earnings," the report stated. For the full year 2023, Wall Street analysts currently project earnings for S & P 500 companies to post a slight increase, according to FactSet.

Persons: Savita Subramanian, It's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America, Wall Street

☆ Second-quarter earnings recap: Here's what Wall Street is saying about this quarter's winners and losers, and where the market goes from here
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-30 | by ( Mark Reeth | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Second-quarter earnings season is concluding, giving analysts new data to direct their investments. The second-quarter earnings season is quickly coming to an end, and it's time to tally the wins and losses. Here's what Wall Street is saying about second-quarter earnings, who the biggest winners and losers were, and what today's results mean for tomorrow's market. "Much of the stability in consumer stocks YTD is related to falling inflation and higher asset prices, in our view," Wilson wrote. Lori Calvasina, head of US equity strategy at RBC, also had some thoughts about the earnings season.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, didn't, you'd, Mike Wilson, Wilson, Price, BofA's, Subramanian, Lori Calvasina, Calvasina, Subramanian didn't Organizations: RBC, Bank of America, Tech, Nvidia, Comm . Services, Energy, Real Estate Locations: Comm, Tech

☆ Bank of America: Hedge funds are unusually bullish about these 20 stocks as they brace for tough times in markets
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-26 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Here are 20 stocks that hedge funds are gravitating toward in this uncertain market. Although several economic signals have offered investors reasons for optimism right now, hedge funds can't seem to shake their cautious convictions. Bank of AmericaManagers of hedge funds and long-only funds have shifted toward defensive stocks over the last few years, according to Bank of America. 20 stocks hedge funds love nowWhile hedge funds are playing defense until further notice, that's not to say they're bearish. Below are the 20 stocks that hedge funds are unusually bullish about along with the ticker, sector, and net relative weight in hedge funds for each.

Persons: Savita Subramanian, defensives, Subramanian, that's Organizations: Bank of America, BofA's, Equity Locations: defensives, —

☆ These are the 5 most pressing questions about the bullish 'resilience' thesis of the stock market and the economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-11 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Much of the bullish optimism towards a soft-landing scenario in the economy hinges on this continued resilience. These are the five most pressing questions investors should be asking about the sustainability of such resilience. But as sentiment towards the economy shifts from bearish to bullish and a potential soft-landing-no-recession scenario, there are lingering questions as to whether the resilience of the all-important consumer can continue. Bank of America's Savita Subramanian highlighted in a Friday note the five most pressing questions investors should be asking about such resilience and its ultimate impact on the stock market and economy. Can consumer resilience last with rates this high?

Persons: America's Savita Subramanian, Jobs, Subramanian, Russell Organizations: Service, Bank, America's, Bank of America Locations: Wall, Silicon, bearish, Silicon Valley, Tech

☆ Companies are spending less on buybacks and investing more. How the trend is playing out for our stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-09 | by ( Kevin Stankiewicz | In Kevinstankiewicz | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Meanwhile, S & P 500 companies are spending more and more on capital expenditures (CapEx). Certainly, some companies execute wise buybacks, while others are not as ideal. Humana repurchased $529 million worth of common stock in the second quarter, after spending only $4 million in the year-ago period. Of course, companies also must consider their spending on buybacks versus investments back in the business in order to support growth, such as new manufacturing equipment or data centers. But less spending on buybacks is not necessarily something to worry about.

Persons: BofA, Savita Subramanian, Wells, Wells Fargo, Caterpillar Morgan Stanley, Halliburton Emerson, Eli Lilly, Emerson, we've, It's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: of America, GE Healthcare, Caterpillar, Humana, Halliburton, HAL, Humana . Halliburton, Bank, Microsoft, Linde, LIN, Natural Resources, Honeywell, Halliburton Emerson Electric, Ford, Procter, Gamble, Coterra, Bank of America, Bank of, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Getty Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, Wells

☆ The Fed needs the economy to slow from here. These funds could outperform
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-26 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

And while Fed Chair Jerome Powell said that the central bank's staff does not predict a recession, he did say that the economy will need to further slow in order to defeat inflation. "We have seen the impact, but not to the extent that the market expected or the Fed expected. He pointed to the iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF (QUAL) and the JPMorgan U.S. Quality Factor ETF (JQUA) as funds that are capturing some of the market rally without adding outsized risk. Those are growth-oriented defensive equities with strong balance sheets, high revenue growth, which is what investors seek during slow revenue or slow economic environments," Smith said. QUAL YTD mountain This quality factor ETF has risen more than 20% this year.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Venkat Balakrishnan, Savita Subramanian, Andrew Smith, Smith, Charles Champagne Organizations: Federal, " Bank of America, Delos Capital Advisors, CNBC, JPMorgan U.S, Quality, Visa, Mastercard, of America, Investors, Bank of America Locations: U.S, Dallas

☆ Bank of America: Make these 35 cheap options trades now to profit from earnings surprises this week
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-26 | by ( Mark Reeth | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Earnings season is underway, and investors can use options to profit from beats and misses alike. Bank of America compiled a list of 35 buy-rated stocks reporting earnings in the coming days. Earnings season is in full swing, which means earnings surprises have begun to crop up — giving investors an opportunity to profit. In a separate note published on July 24, Subramanian outlined her strategy for how to position for earnings surprises, either positive or negative, using options. Second, she contrasted Bank of America's EPS estimates with consensus estimates heading into earnings season.

Persons: Subramanian, Russell, Russel Organizations: Bank of America

☆ Why better-than-expected earnings this reporting season may have trouble boosting market further
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-13 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

They are very high, and that may prevent stock prices from moving forward even if earnings reports exceed estimates. The earnings "apocalypse" — the collapse in earnings that many feared would be coming along with a serious recession in 2023 — has not materialized. What this means is that the price of the S & P 500 has gone up to due multiple expansion, not because earnings estimates have been rising dramatically. Bottom line: The S & P 500 at 4,400 with forward earnings at $230 today (19.2 multiple) is not nearly as appealing as the S & P was in January, when it was at 3,800 with forward earnings at $220 (17.2 multiple). It's the easiest path to get the overall market higher.

Persons: Savita Subramanian, —, Chris Harvey, Wells, Nick Raich, Nicholas Colas, DataTrek Organizations: BofA Securities, Delta, Microsoft, Nvidia, P Technology, Big Tech Locations: Wells Fargo

The bullish view Just four of the 15 strategists expect the S & P 500 to end the year higher than current levels, albeit very slightly. He expects the S & P 500 to end the year at 4,500 — up 2.3% from its current level. Instead, Peng said the S & P 500 's performance will likely broaden over the second half of this year. She expects the S & P 500 to remain flat by the end of the year at 4,300. UBS expects the S & P 500 to end the year at 4,100 — a drop of 7% from current levels.

Persons: Stocks, BlackRock Karim Chedid, Jerome Powell, Karim Chedid, Chedid, Chadha, Charles Schwab Liz Ann Sonders, Ken Peng, Peng, Savita Subramanian, Andreas Bruckner, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, Matt Rowe, Mark Haefele, Christian Abuide, Sameer Samana, Rowe, Wouter Sturkenboom, Sturkenboom Organizations: CNBC Pro, Investment, iShares EMEA, BlackRock, Reserve, Deutsche Bank, Citi Global Wealth Investments, Big Tech, Bank of, Equity, Nomura, UBS Global Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, UBS, Lombard, RBC Wealth Management, U.S, Global Market, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment, Nomura Private Capital, EMEA, APAC, Northern Trust, Wells Fargo Investment Institute Locations: U.S, Asia, Europe, Wells Fargo, Northern, Samana

Tech stocks led the way higher for the market in the first half. Bank of America expects other names to join in on the rally during the second half. The first half of 2023 was the best for the S & P 500 since 2019, surging 15.9%. Only 25% of stocks outperformed the broader market index, according to Savita Subramanian, the bank's head of U.S. and quantitative strategy. The Invesco S & P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) , which tracks a version of the S & P 500 in which stocks are weight equally rather than by market cap, is up just 5% year to date.

Persons: Dow Jones, Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America, Dow, RSP Locations: St

☆ Bank of America's top stock picks for the third quarter
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-04 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Bank of America is out with its latest short-term stock picks as the third trading quarter of the year gets underway. "Over the last quarter, the BofA Macro view has evolved," strategist Anthony Cassamassino wrote in a note Monday. Bank of America gathered its 10 best ideas for the new quarter, all of them buy-rated, Cassamassino said. The bank also sees multiple growth drivers this year and improvements in merchandise margins as cost inflation and freight expenses normalize. Its $135 price target on the stock is more than 50% above its closing price Friday.

Persons: Anthony Cassamassino, Savita Subramanian, Michael Hartnett, Michael Gapen, Stephen Suttmeier, Cassamassino, it's, Lamb Weston, Wells, defensibility Organizations: of America, U.S, Our U.S . Economist, " Bank of America, Body, Bank of America, Disney, Wells Fargo Locations: Our

☆ Here's another reason that the market could post a huge rally in the second half
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-03 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

History has some more good news when it comes to what the stock market could have in the store for the second half of 2023. So, the market's robust first half, in which the S & P 500 posted a nearly 16% gain, presents a strong case for a good second half if history repeats itself. But this market has one more thing going for it: A good first half following a bad 2022. "2023 YTD has not lived up to investors' bearish expectations," Stephen Suttmeier, technical research strategist at Bank of America, said in a client note. .SPX YTD mountain SPX year to date To be sure, history offers no guarantees.

Persons: YTD, Stephen Suttmeier, Suttmeier, Savita Subramanian Organizations: Bank of America, Federal

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