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CNN —President Joe Biden faces continued headwinds from broadly negative job ratings overall, widespread concerns about his age and decreased confidence among Democratic-aligned voters, according to a new CNN Poll conducted by SSRS. There is no clear leader in a potential rematch between Biden and former President Donald Trump, who is widely ahead in the GOP primary. And nearly half of registered voters (46%) say that any Republican presidential nominee would be a better choice than Biden in 2024. Record low share of Americans say Biden inspires confidenceViews of Biden’s performance in office and on where the country stands are deeply negative in the new poll. Despite voters’ strong opinions toward Trump, Biden fares no better against any other Republican hopefuls tested in the poll.
Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, , Ronald Reagan, Barack Obama, Bill Clinton, they’re, Robert F, Kennedy, Jr, Marianne Williamson, , , CNN’s, Trump, they’d, Ron DeSantis, Mike Pence, Tim Scott, Scott, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ramaswamy, Chris Christie, Christie, Haley, SSRS Organizations: CNN, Democratic, SSRS, GOP, Republican, South Carolina Gov, Trump, Biden, Democrat, Voters, Whites, Independent, Capitol, White, Republicans
Takeaways from the Ohio special election
  + stars: | 2023-08-09 | by ( Eric Bradner | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
CNN —Abortion rights advocates on Tuesday won a critical victory in Ohio, beating back a measure that would have made their push to enshrine abortion rights in the state’s constitution more difficult. It was widely seen as a proxy battle over the proposed constitutional amendment guaranteeing abortion rights that will be on Ohio’s ballots in November. Here are four takeaways from Ohio’s election:Abortion remains a major driving forceOhio’s August election would ordinarily have been a sleepy, low-turnout affair. Mail-in and early voting for this election had already surpassed 2022 primary voting before Election Day even began. However, the November vote could settle the issue of abortion rights in Ohio for good, raising questions about how effective those Democratic attacks would be a year later.
Persons: Frank LaRose, Ohio’s, Roe, Wade, Gretchen Whitmer, Donald Trump, SSRS, Dobbs, Democratic Sen, Sherrod Brown, Brown Organizations: CNN, Tuesday, Ohio’s Republican, State, GOP, Republican, Michigan Gov, Buckeye State, Republicans, Democratic Locations: Ohio, Kansas, Kentucky, Montana, Michigan , California, Vermont, Wisconsin, Indiana, Ohio’s
And even if Trump is not the GOP nominee in 2024, ebbing public support for the war could hurt Biden. Therefore, for political, as well as strategic reasons, there is huge pressure on Ukraine’s long-awaited counteroffensive this summer to produce significant battlefield breakthroughs. Any suggestion that Ukraine’s offensive has been bogged down will deepen that skepticism over a prolonged US commitment. Soon after the Russian invasion in February 2022, 62% said the US should do more to support Ukraine. The political dynamics in the House represent a rather precarious foundation for Ukraine’s vital US support, underscoring why a stalled offensive could represent a political disaster for Zelensky in the United States as well as a strategic loss for Ukraine at home.
Persons: Volodymyr Zelensky’s, Vladimir Putin, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Putin, Trump, Biden, CNN’s Jim Sciutto, bleakly, Ukraine’s, Zelensky, ” Zelensky, ” It’s, Mark Hertling, ” Hertling, darkens, George H.W, George H.W . Bush, Kevin McCarthy, John Kirby, CNN’s Wolf Blitzer, He’s, Chris Christie, Nikki Haley, Mike Pence –, there’s Organizations: CNN, GOP, Senior, Ukraine, Army, Republican, Democratic, Trump Republicans, National Security, New, New Jersey Gov, South Carolina Gov Locations: US, Ukraine, Moscow, United States, NATO, Russia, Kyiv, Washington, Boston, Saudi Arabia, Crimea, George H.W ., Iowa, New Hampshire, New Jersey
In the CNN poll published Friday, 55% of all respondents said that Congress should stop authorizing new military aid for Kyiv. Worse, from my perspective, is the shameful fact that Republicans are far more likely to favor an end to aid than Democrats. He also has said the US should prioritize school safety over Ukraine aid. Certainly, the CNN poll suggests a measurable level of Democratic support for military solutions to geopolitical crises. Official opposition to Ukraine aid is most significant in Congress, which does play a role in what happens to the flow of assistance.
Persons: Adam Kinzinger, Kinzinger, , SSRS, Reagan, pollsters, Trump, Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin, Putin, Hitler, Charles Coughlin, Joe Biden’s, Hunter, ” Trump, Republicans ’ Biden, Hunter Biden, Dominic Tierney, Ron DeSantis, ” DeSantis, Mike Pence, Chris Christie Organizations: CNN, Republican, House Foreign Affairs, Air National Guard, Russia, Kyiv, Republicans, Ukraine, White, Fox News, FBI, DOJ, IRS, Swarthmore College, Florida Gov, Twitter, Trump, Former New Jersey Gov, GOP Locations: Illinois, Russia, Russian, Ukraine, Soviet Union, The, Iraq, Afghanistan, America, Florida, Iowa, Kyiv
One US official said they have “no doubt” that Putin is “trying to hold out” until the 2024 election. Another source familiar with the intelligence said “it’s sort of the elephant in the room” for the US, Ukraine and Europe. Trump, the far-and-away front-runner for the GOP nomination at this point, has not committed to backing Ukraine in the war. Ron DeSantis walked back previous statements calling the war in Ukraine a “territorial dispute” he has maintained a broadly anti-interventionist policy. “Putting a shape on the US election will have an enormous effect” in how the war proceeds, the official said.
Persons: Vladimir Putin, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, , Putin, “ Putin, Trump, Biden, Ron DeSantis, Kevin McCarthy, Daniel Fried, Gian Marco Benedetto, Bill Taylor, Patrick Ryder, Matt Miller Organizations: Washington CNN —, CNN, Western, , Trump, Republican, Ukraine, GOP, Florida Gov, Congressional Republicans, Anadolu Agency, , New York Times, Pentagon Locations: Ukraine, Europe, European, Poland, Japan, Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia, Russia, India
US officials are concerned Putin is prolonging efforts in Ukraine in hopes Trump wins in 2024, CNN reported. Putin likely believes Trump in the White House would mean dwindling US support for Ukraine. And so do the Ukrainians and our European partners," one unnamed source told CNN. Putin's possible long-game makes ongoing US assistance to Ukraine all the more important in the meantime, officials told the outlet. Fifty-five percent of the Americans polled responded that they believe Congress should not approve more funding to support Ukraine.
Persons: Putin, Trump, Vladimir Putin, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Hunter Biden, Daniel Fried, SSRS, Biden, Jake Sullivan, Sullivan Organizations: Trump, CNN, Ukraine, Service, Republican, House, Wagner Group, US National Security, Press Locations: Ukraine, Wall, Silicon, Russia, Poland
Hundreds of Trump’s supporters have already faced a courtroom reckoning for their efforts to disrupt the certification of a democratic election. Trump faces charges of conspiracy to defraud the United States, conspiracy to obstruct an official proceeding, obstruction of and attempt to obstruct an official proceeding and conspiracy against rights. Another reason why Trump’s trial is unlikely to be the kind of unifying event that eases a deep national wound is that most of his Republican Party is closing ranks around him. Given the political recriminations of a trial of a former president, it is reasonable to question whether such a prosecution is in the national interest. “Anyone who asks someone else to put themselves over the Constitution should never be president of the United States again,” Pence told reporters at the Indiana state fair.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Biden’s, snubbing, Jack Smith –, , Van Jones, Smith, Rudy Giuliani, John Eastman, ” Trump, Joe Biden, President Trump, Elise Stefanik, Biden didn’t, Biden, , Mike Pence, , Pence, ” Pence Organizations: CNN, GOP, Biden, Capitol, Trump, White, Republican, , Republican White House Locations: United States, Washington, DC, New York, Lago, Florida, Indiana
But so far there’s no sign that two and possibly more trials looming over Trump will convince most GOP primary voters he’s too much of a risk to nominate. In his first hours in the White House, Trump accused the media of falsely underestimating the size of his inaugural crowd. Some polls, for example, show substantial numbers of GOP voters who liked his presidency are open to supporting someone else. But DeSantis also assures Trump voters he’s not piling on the ex-president. But he added: “Let me be very clear: President Trump was wrong on that day.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Mike Pence, Jack Smith, DeSantis, , Hillary Clinton, ” Trump, , Christopher Wray, Smith, Robert Mueller, James Comey, Wray, Arizona Sen, Jeff Flake, Liz Cheney, Kevin McCarthy, Nancy Pelosi, McCarthy, “ Donald Trump, he’s, , “ I’m, Chris Christie, Asa Hutchinson, he’d, Jake Tapper, Russell Brand, ” Haley, ” Pence, rebutting Trump’s, Pence Organizations: Washington CNN, Republican White House, Republican, Trump, GOP, Florida Gov, South Carolina Gov, Democrats, Republican Party, House, CNN, Democratic, Washington, Justice Department, FBI, Pro, Trump House Republicans, Marxist Communists, and Freedom Coalition, New, New Jersey Gov, Arkansas Gov, Pence, Republicans Locations: Iowa, Washington, Russia, Florida, Arizona, Wyoming, “ State, New Jersey, United States, State
All those candidates, however, then proceeded to lose the New Hampshire primary and the party nomination. Only 26% of New Hampshire Republican primary voters identified the same way. Trump has also been weaker among demographic groups who make up a larger share of the New Hampshire Republican electorate. Although the 2016 Iowa entrance poll did not ask about income, the 2020 general election exit poll did. (Note: Household and family income are somewhat different measures, but I’m merely demonstrating that New Hampshire Republicans are, on the whole, wealthier than Iowa Republicans.)
Persons: Donald Trump, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Mike Pence –, Trump, Iowans, Mike Huckabee, Rick Santorum, Ted Cruz, Bob Dole, George W, Bush, Mike Pence, Joseph Prezioso, Ron DeSantis, Quinnipiac, Iowa Republican caucusgoers, I’m, Chris Christie, Christie Organizations: CNN, , Trump, Iowa Republican, Trump Republicans, Republican, New, Iowa, GOP, Hawkeye, Getty, New Hampshire Republicans, Iowa Republicans, Republicans, Florida Gov, New Hampshire GOP, New Hampshire Republican, New Jersey Gov Locations: South Carolina, Iowa, New Hampshire, Derry , New Hampshire, AFP, Hampshire, New, New Jersey
Though steadfast allies throughout much of the pandemic, Trump and DeSantis, as presidential primary rivals, agree on very little about what transpired during one of the most trying periods in their respective tenures in leadership. Unsaid in the ad was that DeSantis had repeatedly praised Fauci early in the pandemic, calling him “really, really good and really, really helpful” and “really doing a good job.” A CNN KFile review found Trump began harshly criticizing Fauci much earlier than DeSantis. Trump has dismissed the conservative back-slapping of DeSantis’ handling of the pandemic, insisting the governor’s performance wasn’t all that great. By preemptively attacking DeSantis’ pandemic policies, Trump, too, appears aware that voters could see his top rival as stronger on the issue. The shift became an early fault line in the fracturing relationship between Trump and DeSantis.
Persons: Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis –, Trump, Anthony Fauci, DeSantis “, Fauci, , DeSantis, Ron, , Andrew, Cuomo, ” Trump, ” DeSantis, shutdowns, it’s, Steve Sisolak’s, Steve Sisolak, “ You’re, OAN, they’re Organizations: CNN, Florida Gov, GOP, New, Concord, Twitter, Trump’s, National Institute of Allergy, Trump, Florida, DeSantis, Republicans, New York Democratic, Republican, Gallup, Las Vegas, Democratic, Fox News, Food and Drug Administration, “ Fox, Friends Locations: New Hampshire, Hollis, lockstep, Florida, Nevada
Ron DeSantis got some good news thanks to a new poll of Wisconsin Republicans. According to the Marquette University Law School Poll, DeSantis is in a dead heat with Trump. Ron DeSantis received some good news from a poll on Wednesday, with a Marquette University Law School Poll finding DeSantis and Trump are in a statistical dead heat among Wisconsin Republicans. The poll found that among those Republicans and independents who lean Republicans in the state, Trump is at 31%, and DeSantis is at 30%. The Marquette University Law School Poll was conducted from June 8-13, 2023.
Persons: Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, , Trump, Joe Biden, Biden, Mike Pence, Sen, Tim Scott of, Nikkie Haley, Vivek Ramaswamy, Chris Christie, Trump's, Rick Scott Organizations: Wisconsin Republicans, Marquette University Law School, Trump, Service, Gov, Marquette University Law, Florida, GOP, UN, New, New Jersey Gov, Republican, DeSantis, The Marquette University Law Locations: Wisconsin, Florida, Marquette, he's, Tim Scott of South Carolina, New Jersey, New Hampshire
Chicago CNN —President Joe Biden’s top economic advisers believe the worst effects of inflation are in the rear-view mirror. “I didn’t come up with a name,” he said, crediting the news media for inventing the term Bidenomics. The debt ceiling impasse also needed to be resolved and Biden’s key economic legislation needed to begin to be implemented. Now, officials see Bidenomics as an opportunity to tie together the president’s economic accomplishments, the vision behind those policies and a growing economy under one term. But it’s working.”But when faced with the question of whether “Bidenomics” can be the answer to changing public perception of the president’s record, White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre offered a frank reply: “We’re going to try.
Persons: Joe Biden’s, There’s, , Bidenomics ”, ” Biden, , Biden, he’d, he’s, Anita Dunn, Mike Donilon, Dunn, Donilon, Lael Brainard, ” Brainard, It’s, “ It’s, ” Dunn, we’re, Richard Nixon, it’s, Ronald Reagan, Bidenomics, ’ ”, Karine Jean, Pierre Organizations: Chicago CNN, Old, Old Chicago Main Post, CNN, SSRS, , MSNBC, British, Wall Street, White Locations: Chicago, Old Chicago, America, Ukraine, Philadelphia
Trump maintains a huge lead over the GOP field, but his support is slipping amid his legal struggles. His favorability among GOP voters dropped 10 points, though he remains very popular at 67%. This was also the first CNN poll to be conducted since DeSantis formally announced on May 24. CNN found that 41% of GOP voters are open to changing their minds on their first choice for the nomination. The CNN poll was conducted by SSRS Opinion Panel from June 13-17 online and over the phone.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Donald Trump's, Ron DeSantis, Trump, CNN's, Mike Pence, DeSantis Organizations: Trump, GOP, Service, Florida Gov, CNN, Republican, Republicans Locations: Florida
CNN —Former President Donald Trump’s support appears to have softened following his indictment and arrest on federal charges, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS. Most Americans approve of Trump’s indictment stemming from his alleged mishandling of classified documents after leaving office, even as 71% say politics played a role in that charging decision. Overall, 47% of Republicans and Republican-leaning registered voters say Trump is their first choice for the party’s nomination for president, down from 53% in a May CNN poll. A 54% majority of Republican and Republican-leaning voters say that Trump’s conduct doesn’t matter much to them as they consider his candidacy, because a president’s effectiveness matters more. Most Republican and Republican-leaning voters who support Trump for the nomination say he did nothing wrong in this case (58%) and just 3% that he acted illegally.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Trump, Ron DeSantis, Mike Pence, Nikki Haley, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Chris Christie, Trump’s, unethically Organizations: CNN, SSRS, GOP, Republican, Florida Gov, United Nations, New, New Jersey Gov, Trump, Republican Party, Trump GOP, Trump Republicans, Democratic, Republicans Locations: South Carolina, New Jersey, Manhattan, York, Florida
CNN —The Republican presidential field is growing almost by the day, but no candidate has yet offered an effective answer to GOP primary voters on the race’s most compelling question – why they should ditch Donald Trump. Nikki Haley has been on the trail for weeks, appearing in a CNN town hall on Sunday in Iowa. No Republican voters will weigh in for at least six months in early state contests. There’s even less evidence that GOP voters believe that Trump’s legal problems disqualify him from serving as their nominee. In an NBC News poll in April, 68% of Republican voters believed that investigations into Trump were politically motivated attempts to stop him.
Persons: Donald Trump, Mike Pence, Chris Christie, Ron DeSantis, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Nikki Haley, Doug Burgum, , Trump, Chris Sununu –, CNN’s Dana Bash, He’s, ” Sununu, Haley, Scott, Asa Hutchinson, Pence, DeSantis ’, DeSantis, ” Trump, Sean Hannity, Mickey Mouse, Ukraine’s, Vladimir Putin, , Putin, Ronald Reagan, There’s, Jean Carroll, quagmire Organizations: CNN, Republican, GOP, Former New Jersey Gov, Tuesday . Florida Gov, South, South Carolina Gov, North Dakota Gov, Trump, New, New Hampshire Gov, Washington Republicans, Republican Party, Republicans, Fox, Walt Disney Company, Cabinet, United Nations, NATO, Justice, NBC Locations: Tuesday, Iowa, South Carolina, New Hampshire, Trump, Arkansas, Florida, Russian, Ukraine, Baltic,
2024 Republican presidential candidates
  + stars: | 2023-05-24 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +8 min
CNN —The first Republican primary debate won’t occur until August. But the 2024 presidential primary campaign is well underway. Here are the currently declared Republican presidential candidates, sorted by their place in the most recent CNN poll of the potential GOP primary electorate. But those investigations have been ongoing for years now, and it’s not clear any allegations will hurt his strength among many Republican voters. Like most GOP candidates, he will struggle to find oxygen in a field that so far has been dominated by Trump.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, Mike Pence, Pence, insurrectionists, He’ll, Nikki Haley, Haley, Joe Biden, Tim Scott, Scott, Chris Christie, Christie, – Christie, Vivek Ramaswamy Vivek Ramaswamy, Charlie Neibergall, Ramaswamy, Asa Hutchinson, Hutchinson, Doug Burgum, Burgum, Larry Elder Larry Elder, Mario Tama, Gavin Newsom, Chris Sununu, Larry Hogan, David Chalian, ” “, ” Chalian, Chalian Organizations: CNN, Republican, Florida Gov, GOP, Disney, Trump, United Nations, White Republican, South, White, Iowa Faith, North, Getty, California, New Hampshire Gov, Maryland Gov, DeSantis, Hutchinson Locations: There’s, New York, Fulton County , Georgia, Florida, Riding, Southern, South Carolina, New Jersey, Covid, Arkansas, North Dakota, California
CNN —Fox News will pay $787.5 million for transmitting lies that a small voting technology firm helped steal the 2020 election. And Trump himself is facing several criminal probes related to his efforts to overturn the 2020 election and the run-up to the January 6, 2021, insurrection. And is there any chance that Fox’s humiliation can repair some of the damage from the disastrous election aftermath in 2020? That missing moment of accountability will be important because claims that the 2020 election was corrupt are not some artifact of recent history. No single case can repair the damage of 2020The extent to which Trump’s falsehoods and conspiracy theories harmed democracy is open to debate.
Trump's indictment might appear to open the door to the Republican Party ridding themselves of him. Trump thinks the GOP voters will stand with him. The most recent national poll of Republican voters found that 77% have a favorable view of him. Among key parts of the GOP primary coalition, Trump continues to do quite well. An earlier CNN-SSRS poll found a narrower race between Trump, DeSantis, and the rest of the field, but it also showed that 34% of self-described white evangelicals would name Trump as their preferred pick for the nominee.
A Bankrate survey that took place from January 20 to January 23 asked about how a respondent's emergency savings compared to these savings a year ago. About 4 in 10 US adults have fewer emergency savings than they did just a year prior, according to the survey conducted by SSRS. But not everyone has seen their emergency savings fall from where they stood a year ago. "Many have resorted to tapping their emergency savings if they have it, or have taken on credit card debt, or some combination. And emergency savings is money of course that should be highly liquid for when and if they need to tap that money supply."
President Joe Biden's second State of the Union address played well with viewers, and may have helped him tee up a bid for reelection in 2024 — but it might not make a lasting impact on his hopes for a second term, experts said. And the latest poll showed that fewer respondents had a "very positive" reaction to this year's address when compared with a survey taken right after Biden's previous State of the Union speech. "He delivered his speech forcefully if not flawlessly, adding no new fuel to questions about his fitness to serve a second term," Galston said. His opponent from the 2020 election, former President Donald Trump, has technically been on the 2024 campaign trail for months, though he has done little in-person campaigning. Former President Barack Obama, under whom Biden served as vice president, had launched his own reelection bid in April 2011, less than three months after his second State of the Union address.
CNN —Even as President Joe Biden and ex-President Donald Trump move toward a rerun of the most turbulent White House race in modern history, many voters are pining for a break from the past – and the present. A new CNN/SSRS poll shows that 6 in 10 Republicans and GOP-leaning independents want their party to nominate someone other than Trump in 2024. A Biden versus Trump race would raise questions over whether a bitterly polarized political system, where democracy itself is at stake, has lost the capacity for self-renewal that has always been an American strength. The CNN poll shows Biden on an upward trajectory and in a better position in his party than Trump is in his. The question of his age, however, might be less important if Biden faces Trump, who is already 76.
CNN —There’s little appetite for a 2020 rematch in the coming presidential election, according to a new CNN Poll conducted by SSRS, as majorities of registered voters within each party say they’d rather see someone new nominated in 2024. In January, the poll found a near-even split: 50% said they hoped Trump would be the nominee and 49% wanted someone else. By July, 44% wanted Trump to be the party’s nominee, and now, 38% say the same. Among Democrats who say they’d like someone else as the party’s nominee, nearly three-quarters (72%) say they have no one specific in mind. Nearly two-thirds of Americans say the president does not deserve reelection (62%), while only 37% say he does.
She then rebuffed White House condemnations of her comments by insisting she was joking. Smith has also issued a flurry of grand jury subpoenas since Thanksgiving, including to ex-Trump adviser Stephen Miller and two former White legal counsels. A judge on Monday formally dismissed Trump’s case challenging the Mar-a-Lago evidence collection and in which she had appointed a special master. If a moment of truth is approaching for Trump, the same can be said of Garland and the DOJ. Trump has already tried to use claims that justice is being weaponized against him as rocket fuel for his 2024 presidential bid.
New York CNN —‘Tis the season for Wall Street strategists to pack their clients’ inboxes with market predictions for 2023. Market analysts aren’t alone. “US equity returns will be driven by earnings against a backdrop characterized by elevated market volatility,” write JPMorgan analysts. The effort was initially touted as a “Big Bang 2.0” — a nod to the rapid deregulation of UK financial markets under former Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher in 1986. The changes are a bid to maintain London’s role as a global financial hub after Brexit, which, alongside political turmoil, has boosted uncertainty for companies thinking about where to invest.
Trump faces yet another reckoning in Georgia
  + stars: | 2022-12-06 | by ( Stephen Collinson | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +9 min
CNN —Donald Trump is 0-for-an awful lot in Georgia since 2016. The Georgia Senate runoff represents Trump’s final opportunity to recast a painful midterm season in which his election-denying candidates flopped in swing states, casting a shadow over his nascent 2024 presidential bid. Georgia is the epicenter of American politicsThe Senate runoff in Georgia caps an extraordinary two years in which the state has emerged, somewhat unexpectedly, as the most competitive battleground in the nation. In a call on January 2, 2021, Trump asked Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger to “find” sufficient votes to overturn Biden’s victory. On the eve of the Senate runoffs in January 2021, Trump returned to Georgia to campaign for then-Sens.
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