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☆ Argentina braces for election with economy in 'intensive care'
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( Eliana Raszewski | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

"It is an economy that is in intensive care," Miguel Kiguel, a former undersecretary of finance at the Economy Ministry in the 1990s, told Reuters. "The main challenge is to get Argentina out of stagnation, but to do that you have to lower inflation." J.P. Morgan has estimated inflation will end 2023 at 210%, while a central bank poll of analysts forecast 180%. In a bid to tamp down inflation Argentina's central bank has hiked the benchmark interest rate to 133%, which encourages saving in pesos, but hurts access to credit and economic growth. Milei wants to ditch the peso completely and dollarize the economy, while Bullrich says she favors a dual peso-dollar system.

Persons: Javier Milei, Sergio Massa, Patricia Bullrich, Miguel Kiguel, J.P, Morgan, Fernando Morra, Bullrich, Eliana Raszewski, Adam Jourdan, Daniel Wallis Organizations: Argentine, Buenos Aires, Argentina, Economy Ministry, Reuters, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Coldplay, Reuters Graphics, CENTRAL, International Monetary Fund, Thomson Locations: Buenos Aires, BUENOS AIRES, Argentina, China, Brazil

☆ Risky biotech M&A therapy will heal more fractures
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( Jonathan Guilford | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +8 min

NEW YORK, Oct 19 (Reuters Breakingviews) - How can a suitor offering $1 billion see eye-to-eye with a seller asking for $2 billion? Such contingent value rights, or CVRs, are a way to get around the inherent uncertainty of an unproven drug. Its $74 billion takeover of Celgene in 2019 included a $6.4 billion payout dependent on a trio of drug approvals. There have been only 27 biotech market debuts this year, raising $2.2 billion, according to LSEG data. Given the nagging fissures in valuation perspectives, however, more dealmakers are apt to try this risky M&A therapy.

Persons: Schulman, Sidley, Bristol Myers, Myers, CVRs, Andrew Weisenfeld, IPOs, ”, Dan Lepanto, biopharma, Eli Lilly’s, Bristol Myers Squibb, Jeffrey Goldfarb, Sharon Lam, Streisand Neto Organizations: Reuters, Dow, Marion Laboratories, LyondellBasell Industries, Mirati Therapeutics, JPMorgan, Sanofi, Health Partners, Nasdaq Biotechnology, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters Graphics, Leerink Partners, Therapeutics, Public, Bristol Myers, U.S . Food, Drug Administration, Thomson Locations: Celgene, Genzyme, U.S

SummaryCompanies Safe-haven buying pushes up goldFocus on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech on ThursdayOct 18 (Reuters) - Gold rose to a more than two-month peak on Wednesday as the escalating conflict in the Middle East sent investors flocking towards the safe-haven metal. Spot gold increased 1% to $1,950.67 per ounce by 2:48 p.m. "Gold could breach $2,000 in the near-term if there is an escalation of geopolitical conflict. "Gold will pull back if the Middle East situation simmers down, but right now the market place is expecting a further escalation," said Jim Wyckoff, senior analyst at Kitco Metals. Spot silver rose 0.2% to $22.87, platinum fell 1.4% to $884.89 and palladium fell 1% to $1,132.61.

Persons: Jerome Powell's, Ryan McIntyre, Jim Wyckoff, Fawad, Ole Hansen, Ashitha, Daksh Grover, Sharon Singleton, Shilpi Majumdar, Shailesh Organizations: East, Sprott Asset Management, Graphics, Kitco Metals, City, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Federal, Saxo Bank, Thomson Locations: Gaza City, Bengaluru

☆ Saudi is wild card in Middle East’s new turmoil
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-18 | by ( George Hay | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +8 min

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman attends the 18th consultative meeting of the leaders of the GCC & the Gulf summit with the central Asian countries C5, in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, July 19, 2023. Saudi Press Agency/Handout via REUTERS Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Oct 18 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Mohammed bin Salman is the wild card in the Middle East’s new conflict. Saudi Arabia also needs prices above $85 a barrel in order to balance its budget. Saudi Arabia also needs to consider the views of international investors, though. For now, Saudi Arabia can count on the support of global bankers and fund managers.

Persons: Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Mohammed bin Salman, Joe Biden, Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel’s, Biden, Netanyahu, International Energy Agency reckons, Jamal Khashoggi, nix, Larry Fink, JPMorgan’s, Jamie Dimon, Israel, Antony Blinken, Jordan, ” Blinken, ”, “, Hossein Amirabdollahian, Al Jazeera, Peter Thal Larsen, Oliver Taslic Organizations: GCC, Saudi Press Agency, Handout, REUTERS Acquire, Reuters, Hamas, Israel . U.S, MbS, United, Gaza, International Energy Agency, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Saudi, kingdom’s Public Investment Fund, U.S, PGA, Foreign Investment, Telefonica, STC, BlackRock’s, Future Investment, United States, Diplomats, don’t, Palestinian, Israeli, United Arab, Iran’s, Thomson Locations: Saudi, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, Israel, Iran, Palestinian, Israel ., United States, Gaza, OPEC, Russia, Saudi Aramco, Riyadh, Palestine, United, Amman, Jordan, Bahrain, Qatar, United Arab Emirates, Egypt, Lebanon, America

☆ Morning Bid: Banks, Biden visit buoy markets
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., August 15, 2023. Biden leaves later on Tuesday for a high stakes visit to Israel and Jordan and Washington said Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu had agreed to let humanitarian aid reach besieged Gazans. That reversed a pre-weekend 'safety bid' that emerged amid fears an Israeli ground invasion into Gaza could draw other regional countries and groups into the war. Before then, bond markets will have to negotiate tomorrow's 20-year Treasury auction. The relatively new 20-year tenor has often proved unpopular and will be watched closely after a poor reception for the latest 30-year bond last week.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, Joe Biden's, Biden, Washington, Benjamin Netanyahu, Wells, Goldman Sachs, Charles Schwab, Jerome Powell's, Vladimir Putin, Xi Jinping, Lockheed Martin, Johnson, JB Hunt, Michelle Bowman, John Williams, Neel Kashkari, Tom Barkin, Luis de Guindos, Joe Biden, Olaf Scholz Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Bank of America, Bank of New York Mellon, Federal Reserve, HK, Bank of England, Lockheed, United Airlines, Michelle Bowman , New York Fed, Minneapolis Fed, Richmond Fed, European Central Bank, European Union, Luxembourg Retail, Reuters Graphics Reuters, EIA, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Israel, Gaza, Jordan, Israeli, Gazans, Asia, Europe, Wells Fargo, China, Russian, Beijing, Ukraine, United, Canada, Michelle Bowman , New, Frankfurt, Luxembourg, Venezuela

☆ Globalisation woes create new winners and losers
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-17 | by ( Francesco Guerrera | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +8 min

Over the past seven decades, the world economy has grown 14-fold, powered by a 45-fold expansion in global trade, according to the World Trade Organization. World trade as a percentage of GDP peaked at 61% in 2008. The first is rising geopolitical tensions between the United States and China. The retrenchment is probably going to be gradual: global trade was still worth 57% of world GDP last year. For 2024, the WTO said growth in goods trade would pick up to 3.3%, virtually unchanged from its April estimate of 3.2%.

Persons: Chris Helgren, Joe Biden, Xi Jinping “, ”, Caroline Freund, Aaditya Mattoo, Alen Mulabdic, Michele Ruta, Ursula von der Leyen, it’s, Laura Alfaro, Davin Chor, Dario Perkins, GlobalData’s Perkins, Peter Thal Larsen, Streisand Neto, Thomas Shum Organizations: Warehouse Union, REUTERS, Reuters, World Trade Organization, Economic, Reuters Graphics Reuters, HK, Amperex Technology, European Central Bank, GlobalData, Lombard, Companies, Bureau of Labor Statistics, ECB, Thomson Locations: Vancouver , British Columbia, Canada, Netherlands, United States, China, Beijing, Washington, U.S, Taiwan, Mexico, Vietnam, People’s Republic, Latin America, Chile, Brazil, Ukraine, Geneva

☆ Breakingviews: Globalization woes create new winners and losers
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-17 | by ( Francesco Guerrera | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +8 min

"I don't think the price cuts are over, mainly for the reason that demand is still weak," said Thomas Martin, senior portfolio manager at Tesla shareholder Globalt Investments. Tesla has already cut U.S. prices of its Model 3 compact sedan and Model Y SUV in October. The slump will continue into the fourth quarter and margins could dip below 15%, said Wells Fargo analyst Colin Langan. However, that likely falls short of offsetting the price cuts," Langan said. Tesla slashed the technology's price by a fifth in August and analysts said that more cuts could be on the cards.

Persons: Florence, China's, Thomas Martin, Elon Musk, Tesla, Wells, Colin Langan, Langan, Musk, Gary Black, Akash Sriram, Aditya Soni, Sayantani Ghosh, Arun Koyyur Organizations: Fair for Trade, Services, REUTERS, HK, Globalt Investments, Reuters, Visible Alpha, Fund, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, Europe, MEXICO, Nuevo Leon, Mexican, Bengaluru

Describing that anticipated outcome while keeping open the possibility of future rate increases will be one challenge Powell faces. Another will be discounting speculation about the prospect of rate cuts or changes to other aspects of Fed policy, such as the ongoing reduction of the central bank's balance sheet. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note is just about six-tenths of a percentage point below the Fed's policy rate; when the gap between the two shifts from negative to positive is when monetary policy gets perhaps its truest test. Recent data on balance don't fully back the Fed's view of a gently slowing economy and steadily easing inflation. "Assuming the economy keeps growing ... the Fed will get back to hiking," Blitz said.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Larry Meyer, Meyer, Krishna Guha, Powell's, Christopher Waller, Waller, Steven Blitz, Howard Schneider, Dan Burns, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, U.S ., Economic, of New, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Evercore ISI, Hamas, U.S . House, Graphics, TS Lombard, Thomson Locations: U.S . Congress, of New York, Israel, Palestinian, Washington, U.S

☆ US grand strategy can prop up the global order
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( Hugo Dixon | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +7 min

But the United States can prevent the rules-based order from collapsing if it keeps steering a steady course with regards to Russia and China. If the United States holds firm on its grand strategy, any new geopolitical risks should be similarly contained. One explanation for the current outbreak of crises is that the United States is weaker and more internally divided than it was during the so-called “Pax Americana” era. It could easily drop down the United States’ list of priorities, says Michel Duclos, a former French diplomat who is a fellow at the Paris-based Institut Montaigne. He will struggle to unite the U.S.’s allies as he is not a champion of either the NATO military alliance or the rules-based global order.

Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Mike Segar, Vladimir Putin, –, Biden, David Hannay, Benjamin Netanyahu’s, ”, Jake Sullivan, Michel Duclos, Putin, ’, Peter Thal Larsen, Oliver Taslic, Thomas Shum Organizations: Democratic, Belmont University, REUTERS, Reuters, U.S, Reuters Graphics Reuters, United Nations Charter, –, Montaigne, Kyiv, Trump, NATO, Thomson Locations: coronavirus, Nashville , Tennessee, U.S, Israel, Gaza, United States, Russia, China, Ukraine, Afghanistan, Korea, Vietnam, Soviet, Soviet Union, Iraq, Washington, China’s, Taiwan, Africa, Azerbaijan, Europe, Asia, India, Saudi Arabia, French, Paris, Beijing, Japan, South Korea

☆ Rainmakers find political hedge in Chris Christie
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( Ben Winck | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

[1/2] Republican presidential candidate and former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie speaks at the New Hampshire Republican Party’s First in the Nation Leadership Summit in Nashua, New Hampshire, U.S., October 13, 2023. Several hedge fund rainmakers poured cash into Chris Christie’s campaign over the summer, according to filings released on Monday. But with legal woes hanging over Trump’s campaign, contributions to the most anti-Trump conservative could become a valuable call option for the group that knows something about hedging. It’s notable that Christie has been vocal about attacking Trump, whom he advised during the prior president’s first term. Former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie raised $3.8 million over the quarter, aided by donations from wealthy investors including Stanley Druckenmiller, David Tepper and Paul Tudor Jones.

Persons: Chris Christie, Brian Snyder, Donald Trump, hasn’t, Wall, Chris Christie’s, Christie, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, Tim Scott, That’s, Stanley Druckenmiller, David Tepper, Tudor Investment’s Paul Tudor Jones maxed, Seth Klarman, Bruce Kovner, Trump, ” Christie, Ramaswamy, Tyler Winklevoss, Paul Tudor Jones, Lauren Silva Laughlin, Sharon Lam Organizations: Republican, New, New Hampshire Republican Party’s, Nation Leadership Summit, REUTERS, Rights, Reuters, Republican Party, Trump, Duquesne Capital, Management, CAM, Fairleigh Dickinson University, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Federal, Former New Jersey, Thomson Locations: New Jersey, Nashua , New Hampshire, U.S

[1/4] A United Auto Workers (UAW) union member wears a pin while picketing outside Ford's Kentucky truck plant after going on strike in Louisville, Kentucky, U.S. October 12, 2023. ET (1400 GMT) with fallout still raining down from his surprise decision on Wednesday to strike Ford Motor's (F.N) Kentucky truck plant, the automaker's largest and most profitable operation worldwide. Last Friday, Fain said if needed, the UAW would strike the GM assembly plant in Arlington, Texas, that builds the Cadillac Escalade, Chevy Suburban and other large, high-priced SUVs. GM's Flint, Michigan, heavy-duty truck assembly plant is another potential strike target. It is in discussions with GM about the parameters of a deal to include battery plant workers under a master labor agreement.

Persons: Luke Sharrett, Shawn Fain, Fain, Ford, Kumar Galhotra, Todd Dunn, who've, Dunn, Galhotra, David Shepardson, Joe White, Jamie Freed Organizations: United Auto Workers, UAW, REUTERS, Rights, Detroit Three, Reuters, Chrysler, General Motors, Ford, GM, Ford Bronco, EV, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson Locations: Ford's Kentucky, Louisville , Kentucky, U.S, F.N, Kentucky, Louisville, Arlington , Texas, Flint , Michigan, Ford's Michigan, Washington, Detroit

☆ How U.S. bank balance sheets have changed as Fed raises rates
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-13 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Alongside that, overall U.S. commercial bank credit during the third quarter began shrinking on a year-over-year basis for the first time in more than a decade, Fed data show. Overall bank credit, reported weekly, stood at $17.26 trillion on the last Wednesday of September on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, down from $17.30 trillion on the last Wednesday of June and $17.33 trillion a year earlier. Reuters Graphics Reuters GraphicsBank deposits overall stabilized during the quarter, after falling sharply in the wake of the March bank failures. Reuters Graphics Reuters GraphicsDeposits at smaller banks fell sharply after the March bank turmoil, but have recovered much of their losses, and are now down about 2% from their April 2022 level. Reporting by Ann Saphir; Editing by Dan Burns and Diane CraftOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Reuters Graphics Banks, Ann Saphir, Dan Burns, Diane Craft Organizations: Silicon, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Reuters Graphics, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Bank, Graphics, Thomson Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo

☆ St James’s Place adds extra twist to wealth pain
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-13 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

LONDON, Oct 13 (Reuters Breakingviews) - St James’s Place (SJP.L) is in a tricky spot. Wealth managers around the world are finding it harder to justify their fees as interest rates in countries like the UK have topped 5%. Friday’s 16% drop in the 4 billion pound UK wealth manager’s shares reflects its problematic twist on that trend. The UK firm is under pressure from regulators to overhaul its fee structure to comply with new rules brought in by the Financial Conduct Authority. SJP, run by CEO Andrew Croft, has been facing intense scrutiny due to its complex fee structure and stiff penalties for clients who look to withdraw their cash.

Persons: Andrew Croft, SJP, Aimee Donnellan, George Hay, Oliver Taslic Organizations: Reuters, Financial, Authority, Reuters Graphics Reuters, X, Infosys, Ericsson, Thomson Locations: Europe

☆ Argentina central bank hikes key rate to 133% as inflation worsens
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-12 | by ( Jorge Otaola | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The facade of Argentina's Central Bank is pictured in the financial district of Buenos Aires, Argentina December 7, 2021. Argentina's central bank is struggling to keep the benchmark interest rate in line with inflation expectations, with a central bank poll of analysts later in the day forecasting inflation to end the year at more than 180%. Reuters Graphics Reuters GraphicsThe impacts of inflation has been worsened by the government's near-18% devaluation of the peso in mid-August, which coincided with the prior central bank hike, where it increased the interest rate from 97% to 118%. Milei, who is seeking to shut the central bank and dollarize the economy to tame inflation, recently recommended depositors avoid renewing bank holdings in pesos, arguing that the peso does not even serve as "excrement." The central bank's rate change on Thursday came after a last-minute decision not to raise the rate to 145% "following a leak," after Reuters reported the higher figure, citing a source close to the bank.

Persons: Agustin Marcarian, Alberto Fernandez, Javier Milei, Jorge Otaola, Brendan O'Boyle, Isabel Woodford, Anthony Esposito, Richard Chang, Jamie Freed Organizations: Central, REUTERS, Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, BUENOS AIRES

That changed in September when U.S. central bank officials themselves sensed that progress on housing inflation might have stalled. Data released on Thursday confirmed a jump in shelter prices that, for a month at least, bucked the trend. "The uptick in housing inflation this month was the key surprise. Housing inflation will need to decline sharply over the coming months for us to see inflation near 2%." In the list of risks for inflation to remain elevated, Fed officials in September pointed to "the effects of a strong housing market."

Persons: Sarah Silbiger, Olu Sonola, aren't, Jerome Powell, Kathy Bostjancic, disinflation Powell, Andrew Hunter, CoreLogic, Hunter, Howard Schneider, Paul Simao, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Federal Reserve, Fitch, Fed, Nationwide, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Capital Economics, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S

A newly remodeled Ford F250 Super Duty truck is displayed at the new Louisville Ford truck plant in Louisville, Kentucky, U.S. September 30, 2016. UAW President Shawn Fain on Wednesday ordered a strike at Ford's Kentucky Truck factory after Ford negotiators did not present a richer contract proposal. About 4,600 Ford workers could be idled because their jobs depend on production of Super Duty pickups and large Lincoln and Ford SUVs at Kentucky Truck, said Ford manufacturing vice president Bryce Currie. Already, 13,000 workers at Ford suppliers have been furloughed because of earlier UAW walkouts at two Ford assembly plants, Ford supply chain chief Liz Door said. Fain and other UAW officials called a meeting with Ford at on Wednesday evening and demanded a new offer, which Ford did not have, a Ford official said.

Persons: Bryan Woolston, Kumar Galhotra, Ford, Galhotra, Shawn Fain, Here’s, Fain, Stellantis, Bryce Currie, Liz Door, Chris McNally, Karine Jean, Pierre, Sam Fiorani, Glen Hauenstein, Wednesday's Ford, walkouts, Joe White, Abhirup Roy, David Shepardson, Priyamvada, Peter Henderson, Ben Klayman, Nick Zieminski, Matthew Lewis Organizations: Ford, Super, Louisville Ford, REUTERS, Rights DETROIT, United Auto Workers, UAW, Ford's Kentucky, Chrysler, Detroit, Kentucky, General Motors, Lincoln, White, AutoForecast Solutions, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Delta Air Lines, Delta, Detroit Three, GM, Stellantis, Thomson Locations: Louisville , Kentucky, U.S, WASHINGTON, Stellantis, Lincoln, Kentucky, Arlington , Texas, Flint , Michigan, Sterling Heights, Warren , Michigan, Detroit, Wells, Its Kentucky, San Francisco, Washington, Bengaluru

☆ Ericsson $3 bln hit ticks most boxes for M&A folly
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-12 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

REUTERS/Mike Blake Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Oct 12 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Börje Ekholm’s overpriced M&A has come home to roost. The $15 billion Swedish telco equipment maker’s chief executive said on Wednesday he was writing down 50% of the value of software company Vonage. While the 32 billion Swedish crowns ($3 billion) hit is a non-cash impairment, Vonage remains a major goof. Ericsson bought it for $6.2 billion as recently as November 2021, in cash, and the deal only closed three months ago. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Mike Blake, Breakingviews, Ekholm, Karen Kwok, George Hay, Streisand Neto Organizations: T's, REUTERS, Reuters, Ericsson, Deutsche Telekom, Reuters Graphics Reuters, X, Qantas, Thomson Locations: San Diego , California, U.S, Brussels

☆ Wall Street prepares to dish economic dirt on US
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-12 | by ( John Foley | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +7 min

They are also among the handful of banks which can buy Treasury debt straight from the central bank. That puts leaders like JPMorgan chief Jamie Dimon at the center of the global financial spiderweb. To be sure, the financial statements that the banks will start to release on Friday will be backward-looking. Interest income will reflect the sharp and continued rise of central bank rates, which drag up the price banks must pay for customer deposits and what they charge for loans. It’s a big economic question, since plastic-related debt in the United States hit a record $1 trillion in August.

Persons: Jamie Dimon, Marco Bello, Brian Moynihan’s, Jane Fraser, Wells Fargo, Dimon, Dean Athanasia, Banks, Wells, Peter Thal Larsen, Sharon Lam Organizations: JPMorgan Chase &, Reuters, REUTERS, JPMorgan, Bank of America, Citigroup, of America, Treasury, Citi, Fraser, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Federal Reserve, Federal, Bank of, Reuters Graphics Reuters Graphics Bank, Alpha, Thomson Locations: Miami , Florida, U.S, Wells Fargo, Wells, United States

A newly remodeled Ford F250 Super Duty truck is displayed at the new Louisville Ford truck plant in Louisville, Kentucky, U.S. September 30, 2016. Analysts at Wells Fargo estimated that Ford will lose about $150 million per week in core profit from the Kentucky plant strike. Even with 8,700 workers at Ford's Kentucky Truck plant now on strike, less than a quarter of the 150,000 UAW workers at the Detroit Three automakers are now on strike. Ford warned on Wednesday that workers at a dozen other factories could be sent home because of the truck plant walkout. Its Kentucky truck plant, the company's most profitable operation, generates $25 billion in annual sales, about a sixth of Ford's global automotive revenue.

Persons: Bryan Woolston, Shawn Fain, Here’s, Fain, Stellantis, Chris McNally, Ford's, Flint, Sam Fiorani, Wells, Colin Langan, Ford, Fiorani, leadership's, Wednesday's Ford, walkouts, Joe White, Abhirup Roy, David Shepardson, Priyamvada, Peter Henderson, Jamie Freed Organizations: Ford, Super, Louisville Ford, REUTERS, Rights, United Auto Workers, UAW, Ford's, Stellantis NV, General Motors, Chrysler, Lincoln, Detroit, AutoForecast Solutions, Detroit Three, Kentucky, GM, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson Locations: Louisville , Kentucky, U.S, Stellantis, Kentucky, Arlington , Texas, Sterling Heights, Warren , Michigan, Detroit, Wells, Its Kentucky, San Francisco, Washington, Bengaluru

☆ Morning Bid: A window into the Fed's thinking
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

They scour every line and often every punctuation mark, for any sign of a shift in thinking. They might be disappointed later on Wednesday when the minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee's September meeting hit the wire. In a statement after the Sept. 20 meeting, Chair Jerome Powell reiterated the central bank's more hawkish monetary policy stance, saying that although "people hate inflation", the jury was out on whether the central bank's work in tackling price pressures was done. MARKETS IN 'UNCHARTED TERRITORY'Deutsche Bank says the market is in uncharted territory in terms of the shrinkage in central banks' balance sheets. In the roughly 15 years since the financial crisis, central banks have never sold assets as quickly as they have in the last half-year.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Amanda Cooper, Jerome Powell, Lorie Logan, Bernadette Baum Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal, Treasury, Fed, Dallas, ING, Deutsche Bank, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Reuters Graphics Deutsche Bank, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Australia, Canada, New Zealand, Sweden, Japan

Private credit players like HPS Investment Partners and Blue Owl Capital (OWL.N) have a workaround, but it could prompt a painful hangover. Cashed-up private credit funds offered sums previously unseen outside of traditional bank financing on riskier deals. Private credit assets swelled 460% to over $1.4 trillion between 2010 and the end of 2022, Preqin says. Reuters GraphicsThe attraction of “mezz” and similar exotic lending isn’t just that it helps private credit source new deals. In 2021, that dynamic meant private loans briefly became cheaper than liquid, tradable loans – flying in the face of financial orthodoxy.

Persons: –, Zendesk, Preqin, LSEG, HPS, Goldman, Blackstone, Angelo Gordon, dealmaking, George Hay, Oliver Taslic Organizations: Reuters, HPS Investment Partners, Owl, Blackstone, Apollo, Treasury, Private, Management, Partners, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Sabre, Companies, Wolf, ADC Therapeutics, Equity, Thomson Locations: EBITDA

A strong dollar typically weighs on oil prices as it makes the commodity more expensive for holders of other currencies, dampening demand for crude. Oil prices in September hit 10-month highs as Saudi Arabia and Russia cut a combined 1.3 million barrels per day (bpd) of supply until the end of the year. Oil prices are currently high in part in response to the OPEC+ cuts. This supply shock is expected to dampen consumer purchasing power, weigh on economic growth and eventually depress oil demand, JP Morgan analysts said. And given high interest rates in key Western economies, the combination of relatively high oil prices and the strong dollar cannot last for a long time, said Saxobank analyst Ole Hansen.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Brent, Colin Asher, Francesco Pesole, Morgan, Ole Hansen, Tamas Varga, PVM, Simon Webb, Sharon Singleton Organizations: REUTERS, U.S ., Reuters Graphics Reuters, U.S, Mizuho, U.S . Federal Reserve, ING, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Saudi Arabia, OPEC, Russia, Israel, Palestinian

☆ Next EU chief will need cash more than trade wars
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-10 | by ( Rebecca Christie | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +8 min

What she sidestepped was how to find more cash and convince member states to pay up. Von der Leyen, or her successor, will have to figure out how to pay for enlargement. Von der Leyen tapped into trade frustrations with her pledge to investigate and possibly punish Chinese subsidies for car and battery makers. During her first term, von der Leyen succeeded in connecting the EU with bond investors via the 800 billion euro NextGenerationEU borrowing programme. A second term will require even more finesse to convince EU member states to raise money not just from markets, but from themselves.

Persons: Ursula von der, European Union won’t, der, von der Leyen’s, Greens –, der Leyen, Emmanuel Macron, Thierry Breton, Norway’s Jens Stoltenberg, Von der, Carlo Bastasin, Von der Leyen, von der Leyen, sceptics, Ursula von der Leyen, Charles Michel’s, Jens Stoltenberg’s, Francesco Guerrera, Streisand Neto, Thomas Shum Organizations: Reuters, European Union, Bank, EU, European Commission, Socialists, Greens, NATO, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Brookings, handouts, Organisation for Economic Co, Transport, Environment, Thomson Locations: BRUSSELS, Ukraine, Moldova, Western, Brussels, Germany, Bosnia, Herzegovina, Montenegro, Serbia, Albania, North Macedonia, Kosovo, Turkey, Georgia, Spain, Poland, United States, China, Ireland, Netherlands, EU, EU’s, Hungary

[1/2] Chairman Anthony Thomson (L) and Vice Chairman Vernon Hill pose with a dog outside the first branch of Metro Bank in Holborn in central London July 29, 2010. Metro declined to comment on Tuesday. A Starling spokesperson said the lender was making inroads into the big banks' market dominance. Metro is not the only smaller bank to have faced problems. One option is for smaller banks to gain scale through mergers and acquisitions.

Persons: Anthony Thomson, Vernon Hill, Toby Melville, John Cronin, Caius Capital, Jaime Gilinski, Dorita, Gilinski, Monzo, Starling, We've, Morgan Stanley, Gary Greenwood, Rupak Ghose, Shore Capital's Greenwood, Ghose, Shawbrook, Iain Withers, Pablo Mayo Cerqueiro, Anousha Sakoui, Huw Jones, Amy, Jo Crowley, Sinead Cruise, Chiara Elisei, Nelson Bocanegra, Alexander Smith, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: Metro Bank, REUTERS, Yorkshire, Lloyds, NatWest, HSBC, Barclays, Metro, Caius, Varde Partners, Harvard, Forbes, Finance, Bank of England, London Stock Exchange, The Bank of England, Prudential, Authority, Shore Capital, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Shore, Financial, Bank, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Holborn, London, BOGOTA, Starling, Colombian, Latin America, Metro, Bogota

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