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☆ Earnings will drive the stock market in the week ahead. That's a good thing
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-13 | by ( Kevin Stankiewicz | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

In Friday's look at wholesale inflation, the producer price index was unchanged month over month . We'll hear from Club holdings Morgan Stanley and Abbott Laboratories on Wednesday morning. Morgan Stanley: The ongoing recovery in investment banking will be front and center. That was a key theme in the second quarter , and the hope is that the July-to-September period showed a continuation of the trend for Morgan Stanley. Morgan Stanley has been strong lately, though.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Jim, Gamble, — Wells, industrials, Goldman Sachs, ASML, Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley's, Louis, Abbott, Charles Schwab, Johnson, JB Hunt, Kinder Morgan, Huntington, Jim Cramer's, Charly Triballeau Organizations: Club, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Procter, Federal, JPMorgan, —, Tech, . Utilities, UnitedHealth, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Abbott Laboratories, Abbott Labs, NEC, Abbott, Food and Drug Administration, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Citigroup, Bank of America, United Airlines, Interactive, US Bancorp, Citizens, Alcoa, PPG Industries, CSX, Truist, Netflix, Crown Holdings, American Express, Gamble, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Financial, Afp, Getty Locations: Wells, U.S, Wells Fargo, St, Taiwan, New York City

☆ Why economists and strategists still say a recession is postponed, despite a startling inflation report
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-13 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Contradictory messages about inflation and the labor market have investors on guard. Price growth is slowly falling from its peak, but it exceeded expectations in September after a hot reading in August. AdvertisementInflation is a threat that won't sink the economyWhile there's plenty of economic data to get excited about, persistent price growth is a problem. "If we're going to be data dependent, we have to at least look at the data," Sosnick said. Higher-than-hoped inflation is rarely compatible with an economic downturn, so if price growth does persist, it likely won't be in an earnings-crushing contraction.

Persons: —, Steve Sosnick, they've, John Kerschner, Janus Henderson, Sosnick, Preston Caldwell, Morningstar's, Jim Baird, Plante, Baird, Joe Quinlan —, Skyler Weinand, Regan, Weinand, We've Organizations: Service, US, of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Interactive Brokers, Business, Manufacturing, Index, Janus, Janus Henderson Investors, Equity, Financial, Merrill, Private Bank, Bank of America, Regan Capital, Fed Locations: China

☆ What is open and closed on Indigenous Peoples’ Day 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-13 | by ( Ramishah Maruf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

New York CNN —On the second Monday of October, Americans will be celebrating Indigenous Peoples’ Day, also known as Columbus Day. Indigenous Peoples’ Day recognizes the contributions and legacy of those who lived here long before Christopher Columbus erroneously claimed to have discovered America. President Joe Biden formally recognized Indigenous Peoples’ Day in 2021 by signing a proclamation stating that federal policies “systematically sought to assimilate and displace Native people and eradicate Native cultures.”Some states officially celebrate Indigenous Peoples’ Day and others commemorate it through proclamations. More than 100 cities have replaced Columbus Day altogether with the holiday. Chase Bank and TD Bank will be open for Indigenous Peoples’ Day.

Persons: Christopher Columbus, Joe Biden, “ Organizations: New, New York CNN, Indigenous, Columbus Day . Indigenous, ’, Indigenous Peoples, Columbus, Banks, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, New York Stock Exchange, Bank of America, Citibank, Chase Bank, TD Bank, Mail, United States Postal Service, UPS, FedEx, FedEx Express, Target, Walmart, Kroger Locations: New York, America, Wells Fargo

Mortgage rates for October 13, 2024, are flat around 6.20%, according to Zillow data. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 30-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering near 6.20% today, according to Zillow data. 15-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 15-year mortgage rates remain in the mid 5% range, according to Zillow data. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data.

Persons: they've, you'll, Freddie Mac, it's, They'll Organizations: Zillow, Fed Locations: Chevron

☆ A 32-year market vet shares 5 labor market indicators showing the US economy is barreling toward a recession — putting an overvalued stock market at risk for major declines
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-12 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

This is while S&P 500 valuations remain high, putting the market at risk for big declines. In a September note, Wolfenbarger shared the below chart from Bank of America showing 19 of 20 valuation measures they monitor as being overvalued. That means the S&P 500 would have to fall 60% just to return to the historical average. But it's still unclear how accurate the September jobs data is. Future revisions and further lackluster jobs data could resume investor fears that a downturn is a serious potential threat.

Persons: Jon Wolfenbarger, —, Merrill Lynch, St, Louis Fed, Wolfenbarger, September's, it's, David Rosenberg Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics, JPMorgan, Conference Board, Global, Bank of America, Rosenberg Research, Nvidia Locations: St

☆ The stock market's bull rally is 2 years old. Here's what tends to happen next.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-12 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

With the bull market in stocks now two years old, investors are wondering how long the rally can last. AdvertisementThe stock market bottomed on October 12, 2022, marking two years since the start of the ongoing bull rally. A resilient job market, lower inflation, and continued corporate earnings growth helped push the stock market higher over the past two years. A common Wall Street expression is "rotation is the lifeblood of a bull market," and that appears to be playing out. Advertisement"Although many might think this bull market has gone too far and is getting old, that isn't the case at all.

Persons: —, Jay Woods, Woods, Ryan Detrick, Detrick, Baird, Ross Mayfield Baird, Ross Mayfield, Mayfield, Rob Haworth, Haworth Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Freedom Capital, Jay, Freedom Capital Markets, Carson, Carson Group, Business, Asset Management, Rob, Bank Asset Management, Federal Reserve

☆ Elon Musk is on track to become a trillionaire by 2027. Here's why the rich keep getting richer
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-12 | by ( Charlotte Morabito | In Charlottemorabito | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Elon Musk is on track to become the world's first trillionaire by 2027, according to a recent report from Informa Connect Academy. Of the world's billionaires, Musk is the closest to that 13-figure mark, and his wealth is growing. At the start of 2020, Musk was worth about $28.5 billion, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. "Over the past quarter century in particular, changes in tax policy have made it much more difficult to tax the rich," Sabelhaus said. Watch the video above to learn more about how the rich keep getting richer and what it means for the U.S. economy.

Persons: Elon Musk, Musk, Jeff Bezos, James Pethokoukis, Pethokoukis, John Sabelhaus, Sabelhaus Organizations: Informa Connect, Bloomberg, American Enterprise Institute, Federal Reserve, Brookings Institution Locations: U.S

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhy the rich keep getting richerElon Musk is on track to become the world's first trillionaire by 2027, according to a report from Informa Connect Academy. The biggest driver of Musk's wealth has been Tesla stock and his ownership of SpaceX. Federal Reserve data shows the share of wealth controlled by the top 1% has grown dramatically, while the wealth of the bottom 50% has stagnated. Some feel that rising tides lift all boats, while others think wealth concentration can be harmful to society.

Organizations: Elon, Informa Connect Academy, SpaceX, Federal

See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's interest rates will affect your monthly payments. Current 30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates are around 6.20%, according to Zillow data. In September, 30-year refinance rates averaged 5.89%, while 15-year refinance rates were around 5.19%. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile. Now that the Fed has cut rates, mortgage rates may not drop much in October.

Persons: you'll, Freddie Mac, it's, they've Organizations: Fed, Zillow Locations: Chevron

☆ It's a tough time to be a tech graduate — AI and layoffs have made it a competitive job market
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-12 | by ( Beatrice Nolan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +10 min

Tech graduates, once near-guaranteed a role, are facing a tough job market. The rise of AI, offshoring, and tech layoffs are making roles more competitive. While the US job market is improving, experts say tech graduates are still struggling — and will continue to for a while. AdvertisementLayoff streakAfter two years of brutal tech layoffs, demand for tech workers has still not returned to pre-pandemic levels. "But there just isn't a lot of bites right now to say that AI is eliminating roles for entry-level workers."

Persons: —, Alex Diaz, Diaz, Diaz isn't, I'm, I've, James O'Brien, O'Brien, Alec Wolyniec, he's, Wolyniec, Alex Hernandez, Hernandez, Kantenga, Gen, Gen Z, Chris Abbass, it's Organizations: Tech, Service, of Maryland, —, University of Maryland, University of California, ADP, Federal, Emory University, LinkedIn, Twitter Locations: Berkeley, WFH

☆ S&P 500 grinds higher to further record highs, finding little to fear in October
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-12 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

This time of year typically tests nerves, more so when — as now — an election is onrushing and the S & P 500 was already up 20% for the year. Since June 30, the equal-weighted S & P 500 has gained 9.5%, more than triple the Nasdaq 100's rise. A buyer at the mid-July S & P 500 peak of 5667 sustained a quick 8% tumble in three weeks. Goldman Sachs calculated VIX being this elevated with the S & P 500 calmly clicking to record highs is essentially unheard-of. Cash that's still yielding well more than inflation and bonds holding their value allow investors to shoulder higher equity exposures rather than rotating out.

Persons: isn't, it's, Goldman Sachs, Cash, Friday's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, American Association of, Deutsche, –, Bank

☆ America's offices are about to see a wave of distress that could result in a billion square feet of fresh housing supply
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-12 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Advertisement"The banks are going to have to dispose of that real estate," Barkham told Business Insider in an interview. John Vavas, a real estate finance attorney at Polsinelli who works with commercial real estate lenders, has worked on a handful of office-to-residential conversion deals this year. There's around 1.2 billion square feet worth of office space that could be spun into residential space, Yardi said in a separate report. Late payments on commercial real estate loans have climbed to 1.42% in the second quarter, the highest rate in nearly 10 years. Commercial real estate prices, meanwhile, dropped another 9% year-over-year in the first quarter, Fed data shows.

Persons: —, Richard Barkham, Barkham, RentCafe, John Vavas, Yardi, Vavas Organizations: Service, Federal, Silverstein Properties, Washington DC Locations: New York, United States, New York City, Dallas, Chicago, Los Angeles

☆ A portfolio manager at a $21 billion firm warns the odds of a recession have risen to 40% from 20% as inflation and geopolitical concerns surge — and shares where he's investing
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-12 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Zehrid Osmani, a portfolio manager at the $21 billion investment manager Martin Currie, has actually increased his recession odds. US-China tensions are escalating over Taiwan, home to the world's largest semiconductor foundry, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company. Osmani sees what he calls "seismic thematic shifts" in these areas. And Osmani sees potential for parts of the market driving the energy transition, such as alternative energy and electric vehicles. AdvertisementHis top picks include Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), chemical company Linde plc (LIN), and industrial manufacturing company Atlas Copco (ATLKY).

Persons: Martin Currie, —, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Zehrid, Currie, hasn't, Osmani Organizations: Service, Technology, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Semiconductors, Nvidia, Microsoft, Linde, LIN, Atlas, Martin Currie Global Portfolio Trust Locations: Europe, Russia, Ukraine, Israel, China, Taiwan

The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average powered to new highs on Friday and capped off a winning week as banking behemoths ushered in a promising start to the third-quarter earnings season. The broad index gained 0.6% to end at 5,815.03, while the Dow rallied 409.74 points, or nearly 1%, to finish at 42,863.86. The S&P and Nasdaq jumped 1.1% each, while the Dow toted a 1.2% gain. A strong start to the third-quarter earnings season provided a lift to stocks. That included a cooler-than-expected September producer price index reading after the consumer price index increased slightly more than expected.

Persons: —, ”, Craig Sterling, JPMorgan Chase, Wells, Kim Forrest, Forrest, Stocks, Goldman Sachs, David Russell, “ Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, Nasdaq, JPMorgan, Bokeh Capital Partners, “, Federal, Federal Reserve

☆ Stock market today: US stocks edge up after wholesale inflation comes in cool
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks rose as September's wholesale price data showed cooling inflation. The producer price index was flat, and core PPI rose less than expected in September. AdvertisementUS stocks edged higher on Friday after Producer Price Index data for September came in lower than expected, signaling a continued cooling of wholesale inflation. The producer price index was flat month-over-month, below economist estimates of a 0.1% rise. Apart from earnings results, retail sales data, set to be released on October 17, is the next big data release for investors to watch.

Persons: Wells, —, Price, David Russell, Russell, Jamie Dimon Organizations: PPI, JPMorgan, BlackRock, Service, Business, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Here's Locations: Wells Fargo, BlackRock

See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 30-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering near 6.20%, according to Zillow data. 15-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 15-year mortgage rates are in the mid 5% range, according to Zillow data. Average Refinance Mortgage Rates TodayRefinance rates are a bit higher today after dropping in September. Last month, 30-year refinance rates averaged 5.89%, while 15-year refinance rates were around 5.19%.

Persons: they've, you'll, Freddie Mac, it's, refinance Organizations: Fed, Federal Reserve, Zillow Locations: Chevron

☆ Gold drifts higher after data supports U.S. rate-cut bets
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices climbed on Friday after recent data supported bets for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut next month, while market participants awaited the U.S. Producer Price Index report for further direction. Spot gold rose 0.5% to $2,641.70 per ounce by 0245 GMT but was down about 0.4% for the week. Data on Thursday showed that U.S. consumer prices rose slightly more than expected in September, while jobless claims increased to 258,000 in the week ended Oct. 5, versus estimates of 230,000. "Gold is seeing short-term gains as recent data has been positive. If the PPI data comes in softer, gold's momentum could continue upward," said Kelvin Wong, OANDA's senior market analyst for Asia Pacific.

Persons: Price, Kelvin Wong, OANDA's, CME's Organizations: Federal, PPI, Asia Locations: Tokyo, Japan, CME's FedWatch, Beirut

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Is higher-than-expected CPI just a 'janky' data point?
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Justin Sullivan | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. "I am totally comfortable with skipping [rate cuts for] a meeting if the data suggests that's appropriate," Bostic told The Wall Street Journal in an interview Thursday. The data suggests so. But Bostic acknowledged it's important to see whether individual data points cohere into a larger pattern, or if they're just "janky," as Bostic put it.

Persons: Justin Sullivan, Raphael Bostic, Bostic, Joseph Brusuelas, Jeff Cox, Samantha Subin, Hakyung Kim Organizations: Getty, CNBC, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Wall Street, Federal, Market, RSM Locations: San Rafael , California

South Korea's central bank has cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 3.25%, the first rate cut from the BOK since the Federal Reserve started tightening its monetary policy in March 2022. This was in line with a poll of economists from Reuters, who forecasted a rate cut. At that time, South Korea's inflation stood at 2.6%, but climbed sharply to hit 6.3% in July 2022, its highest in over 20 years. Oh noted that macro conditions are supportive of a rate cut, with a "favourable" inflationary backdrop. Oh predicts that after the October cut of 25 basis points, three more consecutive cuts will follow on a quarterly basis, eventually bringing the BOK's benchmark interest rate to 2.5%.

Persons: BOK, Morgan Stanley's, Kathleen Oh, We've, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Bank of, Federal Reserve, Reuters Locations: Bank of Korea, Seoul, Korea's, Korea

☆ CNBC Daily Open: CPI’s higher than expected. Is it just a “janky” data point?
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

SeongJoon Cho | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. "I am totally comfortable with skipping [rate cuts for] a meeting if the data suggests that's appropriate," Bostic told The Wall Street Journal in an interview Thursday. The data suggests so. "This choppiness to me is along the lines of maybe we should take a pause in November," said Bostic, a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee.

Persons: SeongJoon Cho, Raphael Bostic, Bostic, Joseph Brusuelas, Jeff Cox, Samantha Subin, Hakyung Kim Organizations: AMD, Bloomberg, Getty, CNBC, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Wall Street, Federal, Market, RSM Locations: Pike, Seattle , Washington, US

☆ 10-year Treasury yield dips as investors await producer prices data
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Sam Meredith | In Samuelmeredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell around 2 basis points to 4.075%. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was down by more than 2 basis points to 3.974%. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield edged lower on Friday as market participants awaited the release of the Producer Price Index (PPI) report. The yield on the 10-year Treasury briefly topped 4.1% in the previous session following commentary from Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic that suggested his openness to a cutting pause. Sticking on the data front, investors will turn their attention to the release of the latest PPI reading, which is expected at 8:30 a.m.

Persons: Raphael Bostic, Bostic, Dow, — CNBC's Brian Evans Organizations: Treasury, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Wall Street Journal, Fed, U.S, Consumer, Index, PPI Locations: U.S

☆ Inflation reports from this week should allow the Fed to stay on track with rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Investors who fear stubborn inflation, if not an outright rebound, got a bit of a salve on Friday morning. Wholesale prices showed no change month over month for September, coming in below expectations. The producer price index report may help offset some of the slight concerns about Thursday's consumer price index report, which was a bit hotter than expected. The personal consumption expenditures price index for September will be released on Oct. 31. "We think the Fed is really still on track to cut 25 [basis points] at each of the next two meetings," Seif added.

Persons: David Seif, Seif, Wells Organizations: Nomura Securities, Fed, PPI, Traders, JPMorgan Chase, BNY Mellon Locations: Wells Fargo

☆ Another reason to rethink CDs: Your return is less than it seems
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Now that the Federal Reserve has started to cut the federal funds rate, those yields are moving lower. Lincoln Financial's analysis shows that cash yields have historically fallen by 2%, on average, twelve months after the start of a Fed cutting cycle. What to do with excess cash Instruments like CDs, high-yield savings accounts and money market funds are a good place to stash cash for emergencies and upcoming expenses. However, the forward market implies that they should start to look appealing relative to money funds in about six months, Abate wrote. "We expect investors to rotate from money funds into IG only if compensated for the risk," he noted.

Persons: Joe Boyle, Sallie Mae, Goldman Sachs, Marcus, Michael Kaye, Jayson Bronchetti, Lincoln, Boyle, Lincoln Financial's Bronchetti, Bronchetti, we've, Joseph Abate, Abate Organizations: Hartford Funds, Investors, Federal Reserve, American, Financial, Synchrony, Fed, Lincoln Financial, Bloomberg U.S, Barclays, Reserve, IG Locations: Wells Fargo, U.S

☆ Ron Insana: September consumer inflation report was a mere blip in a wider cooling trend
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

After the latest blast of consumer inflation data, traders are facing a conundrum around how they should interpret the monthly numbers. September's consumer price index report topped the Street's expectations, rising 0.1% from the month prior and increasing at a pace of 2.4% over the past 12 months. Still, the annual inflation rate was the lowest since February 2021. Relative to expectations, September's CPI number does not imply a reacceleration of inflation. Rather, the rate of consumer inflation continues to slow, albeit at a more modest pace than some had hoped for.

Persons: Dow Jones, Nonfarm payrolls, Austan Goolsbee, Ron Insana Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, Social Security, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, CNBC Locations: U.S

☆ We're adding a new Bullpen stock, and it's a financial Cramer has had his eye on
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Jim Cramer has been considering a potential investment in BlackRock, the world's largest asset manager, and we're now adding it to our Bullpen stocks-to-watch list. In addition to BlackRock, Club name Wells Fargo was among the companies that delivered strong results. Jim Cramer said Friday he knows the stock has run a lot, "but that doesn't mean it can't run more." As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER .

Persons: Jim Cramer, We've, Larry Fink, Fink, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, It's, Jim, Wells, Jim Cramer's, Michael M Organizations: BlackRock, Management, CNBC, Global Infrastructure Partners, Federal Reserve, Club, New York Times, Santiago, Getty Locations: BlackRock, New York City

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