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☆ Recession is still a real threat, Jamie Dimon and David Solomon warn
  + stars: | 2024-05-23 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Read previewPersistent inflation and a full-blown recession are still firmly on the table, two Wall Street titans have warned. Jamie Dimon told CNBC on Thursday that sticky inflation is more likely than many people think. Dimon said the "worst outcome" would be stagflation — a painful combination of elevated inflation, higher rates, and a recession that would hit consumers and pull down corporate profits. No cuts and a real slowdownDavid Solomon struck a similar tone at a Boston College event on Wednesday, Bloomberg reported. Solomon also said in March that he was less certain of a soft landing than the market consensus.
Persons: —, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, David Solomon, Goldman Sachs, Solomon Organizations: Service, Wall, CNBC, JPMorgan, Business, Federal Reserve, Boston, Bloomberg
☆ Opinion | The Gender Pay Gap Is a Culture Problem
  + stars: | 2024-05-22 | by ( Jessica Grose | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
American women made significant progress toward closing the gender pay gap in the second half of the 20th century, but that gap has barely budged over the past two decades. In 2022, according to Pew Research, “American women typically earned 82 cents for every dollar earned by men. While there are several factors at play, one of the key contributors to the gap is what’s known as the motherhood penalty and the corresponding fatherhood premium: Women’s pay decreases when they have children, while men’s pay increases. Somewhat surprisingly to me, his research, which builds on years of earlier scholarship, suggests that a country’s family policy has relatively little to do with how big the parenthood pay gap is. A society’s culture and norms seem to be much bigger factors in how big the motherhood penalty is: The more egalitarian the culture, the lower the gap.
Persons: don’t, ”, Henrik Kleven, Camille Landais, Gabriel Leite Organizations: Pew Research, of Economic Research
☆ Opinion | Return of the Inflation Truthers
  + stars: | 2024-05-21 | by ( Paul Krugman | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
Inflation swaps, which allow Wall Street in effect to make bets on future inflation, are implicitly projecting just 2.1 percent inflation over the next year. And it’s really hard to deny that inflation is way down from its peak. Yet many Americans don’t believe that inflation has fallen, and there are a number of commentators with large audiences insisting that there has been no improvement. Instead, they became “inflation truthers,” insisting that the benign numbers were fake. Now the inflation truthers are back.
Persons: don’t, ”
☆ Nvidia beating earnings per share expectations is worst-kept secret on Wall Street, says Evercore ISI
  + stars: | 2024-05-20 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Wall Street has great expectations for Nvidia 's earnings on Wednesday, according to Evercore ISI. Yet, how the artificial intelligence darling's stock will react is less clear — and it is likely to have big implications for the entire stock market, the firm said. The share price reaction will likely cause a ripple effect, he said. Over the past year, Nvidia's stock has had an "almost unimaginably close" day-to-day correlation to the S & P 500 of 0.95, he pointed out. which helped catalyze 2023's S & P 500 Fall Fall … the one certain thing is that NVDA's share price reaction, while difficult to gauge, will have consequences for the S & P 500 as a whole," Emanuel said.
Persons: NVDA, Julian Emanuel, Emanuel Organizations: Nvidia, ISI
☆ London quant hedge fund Qube's assets swell to $20 billion after hot start in 2024
  + stars: | 2024-05-16 | by ( Alex Morrell | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +1 min
Quant hedge fund Qube Research & Technologies is on a tear. The rapidly expanding fund is up 22% in 2024, or roughly $3.5 billion. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementLondon-based quant fund Qube Research & Technologies is off to a scorching start in 2024. While hedge funds were up slightly on average last month and have gained nearly 6% for the year, according to Hedge Fund Research, the HFRI index of quantitative directional strategies fell about 3%.
Persons: — Organizations: Research, Technologies, Service, Qube Research, Fund Research, Business Locations: London
☆ Interest-rate cuts could be coming this fall, adding another wrinkle to an election set to focus on the economy
  + stars: | 2024-05-16 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +6 min
In today's big story, inflation is cooling just in time for a US presidential election that will likely focus heavily on the economy . This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. The big storyThe economy and the electionAnna Moneymaker/Getty, Anna Moneymaker/Getty, Tyler Le/BISometimes, the biggest surprise is when there isn't one at all. AdvertisementOn Wednesday, Biden and Trump agreed to face off in two debates, the first coming in June . Now he has 18 direct reports, according to an internal org chart seen by Business Insider.
Persons: —, Anna Moneymaker, Tyler Le, haven't, Insider's Madison Hoff, they're, Jennifer Sor, Ed Yardeni, Jerome Powell hasn't, Powell, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, Biden, Trump's, Alyssa Powell, Keith Gill's, Jim Simons, Shaw, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Sameer Samat, Sundar Pichai, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover Organizations: Service, Business, Biden, White, Democratic, Renaissance Technologies, Sigma, Bloomberg, Android, Google, Microsoft, Apple, Walmart Locations: New York, London
☆ Here's how big-name quants like Renaissance Technologies and D.E. Shaw performed in April despite choppy markets
  + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( Bradley Saacks | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +1 min
Funds like Renaissance Technologies, Two Sigma, and D.E. RenTech founder Jim Simons died last week; the billionaire stepped down as chairman in 2021. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThe last full month of returns Renaissance Technologies delivered during its founder's life were strong. The quant giant's two largest funds for outside investors, Renaissance Institutional Equities Fund and Renaissance Institutional Diversified Alpha, did well in April, before the firm lost its founder, 86-year-old billionaire Jim Simons, on Friday.
Persons: Shaw, Jim Simons, —, Simons — Organizations: Renaissance Technologies, Sigma, Service, Renaissance Institutional, Fund, Alpha, Business
☆ A bank ETF could bounce if inflation data is cooler than expected, Bank of America says
  + stars: | 2024-05-14 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The rapid shift in expectations away from multiple rate cuts this year may have created a trading opportunity around Wednesday's inflation data, according to Bank of America. We believe squeeze risks for rate-sensitive laggards on a CPI miss outweigh downside risks on a CPI beat," Kwon wrote. Specifically, there could be an opportunity to bet on the squeeze risk through the SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) , Kwon said. KRE YTD mountain This regional bank ETF is underperforming the broader market year to date. Investors could position for this potential squeeze by just buying the ETF outright, though that does carry the risk of a hot inflation reading pushing regional bank stocks down.
Persons: Ohsung Kwon, Kwon, Russell, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America . Equity, Regional Banking, Federal Reserve, Silicon Valley Bank, First Republic, Bank of America Locations: IWM, Silicon
☆ The 2024 CNBC Disruptor 50: How we chose the companies
  + stars: | 2024-05-14 | by ( David Spiegel | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
These companies are upending the classical definition of disruptive innovation that shaped the creation of the Disruptor 50 list more than a decade ago. A whopping 34 of the 50 companies on our twelfth annual CNBC Disruptor 50 list claim that artificial intelligence is "critical" to their businesses. Thirteen of the 2024 Disruptors call themselves "generative AI companies," including five of the top ten on this year's list. Here's how we chose them in 2024:All private, independently owned startup companies founded after Jan. 1, 2009, were eligible to be nominated for the Disruptor 50 list. New for 2024, CNBC formed a Disruptor 50 VC Advisory Board, in an effort to leverage the valuable expertise of leading venture capital firms and investors.
Persons: disruptors, Jan, — Organizations: CNBC, Advisory, SpaceX
☆ These are the new meme stocks getting the most buzz on message boards
  + stars: | 2024-05-14 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Meme stocks are back, and the mania is actually spreading far beyond GameStop and AMC Entertainment . The latest frenzy was triggered by a single post on social media site X from "Roaring Kitty," the man who inspired the epic meme stock mania in 2021. Quiver Quantitative , an alternative data analytics firm, looked to find all the meme stocks that are popular among the Reddit traders. A few names associated with the artificial intelligence boom also became popular meme stocks, including voice AI and speech recognition company SoundHound AI , AI IT services firm BigBear.ai and Super Micro Computer , a maker of servers. Other under-the-radar meme names included B. Riley Financial, Spirit Airlines , Tilray Brands and Smart for Life.
Persons: Smart, Riley Organizations: GameStop, AMC Entertainment, Marathon Digital, IT, Micro, Nvidia, Riley, Spirit Airlines, Tilray
☆ GameStop mentions surge on Reddit, surpassing Nvidia
  + stars: | 2024-05-13 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
GameStop has once again become a hot topic on Reddit 's famed WallStreetBets page Monday after the man who helped make it a meme stock reappeared online. GameStop was the most talked about equity on WallStreetBets by far on Monday, with more than 700 mentions in the last 24 hours. Monday's jump in discussion comes as "Roaring Kitty," the user who helped catalyze the GameStop stock craze in 2021, posted online for the first time in nearly three years. It marked his first post on Reddit or X, formerly known as Twitter, since 2021. Multiple Reddit users shared screenshots of their GameStop positions on the WallStreetBets page following the return of "Roaring Kitty," though it appeared that many posts on the topic were being filtered out.
Persons: Keith Gill Organizations: Nvidia, Trust, GameStop
☆ Chinese consumer stocks to buy even if the overall market rally fades
  + stars: | 2024-05-12 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
It's now focused on finding industry leaders with high free cash flow. Hong Kong-based AlphaHill Capital is looking specifically for Chinese consumer names with free cash flow growth, said Siliang Jiang, the firm's partner and portfolio manager. Jiang expects the Chinese consumer will start to turn around in the second half of this year or next year. China's "Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) edged up in the past 9 months, despite falling property prices and fears of 'household balance sheet recession '. Two of their picks based on positive free cash flow are Li Auto and New Oriental Education .
Persons: Ding Wenjie, Ding, It's, Siliang Jiang, Jiang, Li, Liqian Ren, Ren, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Citi, China Asset Management Co, CNBC, Investors, China Merchants Securities, Baidu, Bank of America, Li Auto, New Oriental, Speed Railway, WisdomTree, Reuters Locations: China, India, Hong Kong, Tencent, Beijing, Shanghai, Shanghai . State
☆ Wall Street expects rate hikes are off the table for now. Next week’s inflation data will test that thesis
  + stars: | 2024-05-10 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +7 min
Stocks have been churning higher lately after Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated rate hikes are likely off the table , a position that investors expect is a bullish event for equities. A strong earnings season, as well as some cooler labor data , also have investors more optimistic in this year's outlook. On Friday, all three major averages are on pace for a winning week, with the 30-stock index up by more than 2%. The market reaction Inflation data has been crucially important this year for investors. Export Price Index (April) 8:30 a.m. Housing Starts (April) 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Mike Dickson, Stocks, Dickson, Jeff Buchbinder, Buchbinder, Strategas, Jason De Sena Trennert, Ken Mahoney, Mahoney, Charles Schwab, Price Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Treasury, Horizon Investments, Nasdaq, UBS, Investments, ICE, Fed, LPL, Asset Management, Walmart, Deere, Retail, Cisco, Price, Housing, Philadelphia Fed, Manufacturing, Materials Locations: NAHB
☆ Jim Simons, billionaire hedge fund founder, dies at 86
  + stars: | 2024-05-10 | by ( Samantha Delouya | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
CNN —Jim Simons, the billionaire investor, mathematician and philanthropist, died on Friday in New York City, according to his foundation, the Simons Foundation. According to his foundation, Simons was fired from the institute in 1968 due to his opposition to the Vietnam War. Simons then joined the faculty at Stony Brook University as the head of the school’s mathematics department. Last year, Simons’ foundation donated $500 million to Stony Brook’s endowment, the largest unrestricted gift to an American university in history, according to the Simons Foundation. “I joined Stony Brook University in 1968 as chair of their Department of Mathematics,” Simons said at the time.
Persons: Jim Simons, Simons, ” Simons, “, ” Organizations: CNN, Simons, Technologies, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, University of California, MIT, Harvard University, Institute for Defense, National Security Agency, Stony Brook University, Renaissance Technologies, Simons Foundation, of Mathematics Locations: New York City, Newton , Massachusetts, Berkeley, Princeton , New Jersey, Vietnam, American
☆ Jim Simons, billionaire quantitative investing pioneer who generated eye-popping returns, dies at 86
  + stars: | 2024-05-10 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Jim Simons, a mathematician who founded the most successful quantitative hedge fund of all time, passed away on Friday in New York City, his foundation announced on its website. Pioneering mathematical models and algorithms to make investment decisions, Simons left behind an otherworldly track record at Renaissance Technologies, that bested legends such as Warren Buffett and George Soros. Its flagship Medallion Fund enjoyed annual returns of 66% during a period starting in 2018, according to Gregory Zuckerman's book "The Man Who Solved the Market." Simons received a bachelor's degree in mathematics from MIT in 1958, and he earned his PhD in mathematics from University of California, Berkeley at the age of only 23. He was active in the work of the Simons Foundation until the end of his life.
Persons: Jim Simons, Simons, Warren Buffett, George Soros, Gregory Zuckerman's Organizations: Renaissance Technologies, flagship Medallion Fund, U.S, Intelligence, Soviet Union, MIT, University of California, Stony Brook University, Simons Foundation Locations: New York City, Vietnam, Soviet, Berkeley, Stony, New York
☆ Weekly mortgage refinance demand rose 5% after a slight dip in mortgage rates
  + stars: | 2024-05-08 | by ( Diana Olick | In Dianaolick | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Mortgage rates are significantly higher than they were at the start of this year, but they pulled back slightly last week after several weeks of straight increases. "First-time homebuyers account for roughly half of purchase loans, and the government lending programs are an important source of financing for these homebuyers. The dip in rates caused refinance demand to increase 5% for the week, although it was still 6% lower than the year-earlier week. Applications for a mortgage to purchase a home rose 2% for the week but were still 17% lower than the same week a year earlier. Mortgage rates fell further to start this week.
Persons: Mike Fratantoni, MBA's, Fratantoni Organizations: Federal Reserve's, Federal Housing Administration Locations: Manhattan, New York City
☆ Fiscal spending offset much of the Fed's quantitative tightening, says Guggenheim's Anne Walsh
  + stars: | 2024-05-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFiscal spending offset much of the Fed's quantitative tightening, says Guggenheim's Anne WalshHosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC.
Persons: Guggenheim's Anne Walsh, Brian Sullivan, “ Organizations: CNBC
☆ Inside the Growing Alarm Over Blackstone's BREIT Real-Estate Fund
  + stars: | 2024-05-07 | by ( Bethany Mclean | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +23 min
Investors in Blackstone's real-estate fund asked for their money back in droves — more than $15 billion to date. Unless the real-estate market comes roaring back, analysts warn, BREIT could end up shrinking to a fraction of its current size, leaving the fund's investors holding the bag. Only 3% of BREIT's holdings are in office buildings, which have been ground zero for commercial real estate pain. Advertisement"Not all real estate is created equal," BREIT boasted in a recent letter to stockholders, "and where you invest matters." "Commercial real estate is a slow burn," Brian Moynihan, the CEO of Bank of America, recently observed.
Persons: Blackstone, —, BREIT, REITs, Steve Schwarzman, Jeenah, Nate Koppikar, Craig McCann, BREIT's, Chilton, ​ ​ McCann, McCann, Horacio Villalobos, That's, Donald Trump, Robert Chang, Schwarzman, Michael Blackshire, Phil Bak, Stephen Schwarzman, Shannon Stapleton, Brian Moynihan, it's, It's Organizations: BREIT, Orso Partners, Securities Exchange Commission, Blackstone, SEC, Chilton Capital Management, SLCG Economics Consulting, Publicly, University of California, Regents, Armada Investors, Reuters, Bank of America Locations: BREIT, Lisbon, Fideres
☆ Watch out for these momentum losers that could underperform, Evercore ISI says
  + stars: | 2024-05-07 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
A collection of so-called momentum misers are already seeing their 2024 earnings estimates revised downward and the stocks have few reasons that could drive them higher, according to Julian Emanuel, Evercore ISI managing director and head of equity, derivatives and quantitative strategy. Lowe's first-quarter results are due out on May 21, but 2024 earnings estimates have fallen 4.7% year to date, according to Evercore. LOW YTD mountain Lowe's stock. MicroStrategy also made the Evercore list. Still, its 2024 earnings estimates have been revised down by more than 116% since the year began.
Persons: Julian Emanuel, Emanuel, Russell, Lowe's, Morgan Stanley, Simeon Gutman, Gutman, MicroStrategy Organizations: ISI, Coterra Energy, Citigroup
☆ How Termina selected and ranked the 2024 Seed 100 and Seed 40 lists of the top early-stage venture capitalists
  + stars: | 2024-05-06 | by ( Jake Ellowitz | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
Read previewThe Seed 100 and Seed 40 lists are derived from a statistical analysis of investor track records. Incubated by Tribe Capital, Termina is an AI-software platform that powers quantitative due diligence for leading investors around the world. Show intermediate signs of future success with seed investments that consistently receive follow-on investment. Ten percent of all seed investors in scope were women, up from 8% when the first Seed 100 was released in 2021. The result in just one year is the largest-ever rebalancing of how investors allocate seed capital across sectors.
Persons: —, We've, We're, OpenAI, Termina, Jake Ellowitz Organizations: Service, Business, Tribe Capital Locations: USA, Canada
☆ Three things investors probably don’t know, but should
  + stars: | 2024-05-06 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +10 min
Arone spoke with Before the Bell to outline three things about markets right now “that investors should know, but probably don’t.”1. You write that investors might be surprised to hear that small- and mid-cap stocks have outperformed large-cap stocks over the past five months. Why do you think that’s surprising, and what does it say about markets? Most investors think that the S&P 500 has been outperforming everything else, largely dragged up by the performance of the Magnificent 7 (Amazon, Tesla, Alphabet, Meta, Apple, Microsoft and Nvidia). The big beneficiaries of that, I think, would be a surprise for most investors — those mid-cap stocks and small-cap stocks.
Persons: ”, Michael Arone, Arone, That’s, that’s, Jerome Powell, I’m, Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, Charlie Munger, Buffett, Greg Abel, Ajit Jain, Munger’s, Read, Parija Kavilanz Organizations: New, New York CNN, Wall, Federal Reserve, Bell, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Treasury, Fed, Berkshire Hathaway, Oracle, Ikea Locations: New York, Berkshire, Woodstock, Nebraska, Omaha
☆ The Perils of the Fed’s Vast Bond Holdings
  + stars: | 2024-05-03 | by ( Jeff Sommer | More About Jeff Sommer | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +2 min
But even after two years of quantitative tightening, the amount of bonds and securities that the Fed still retains is stupendous. Quantitative tightening is a perilous operation. Earlier attempts — notably, in 2019 — disrupted financial markets. The slow pace of quantitative tightening is partly responsible for the Fed’s inability to contribute to the national budget. That’s because the Fed has also raised interest rates, which move in the opposite direction of bond prices.
Persons: — Organizations: Fed, Treasury, Silicon Valley Bank Locations: United States
☆ Stocks' bull run will end in a bubble or recession, says Bank of America strategist
  + stars: | 2024-05-03 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Stocks are in a "late secular bull market," BofA's Michael Hartnett said in a Friday research note. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThe bull market that's pushed stock prices higher for the past year and a half will probably end in tears, Bank of America's Michael Hartnett warned. Equities are in a "late secular bull market" that likely "ends with [a] bubble and/or recession," the bank's chief investment strategist wrote in a Friday research note seen by Business Insider. Hartnett's bearish stance clashes with the view held by BofA's head of US equity and quantitative strategy, Savita Subramanian, who has predicted that stocks' bull market will last.
Persons: BofA's Michael Hartnett, —, of America's Michael Hartnett, Hartnett's, Hartnett, Marko Kolanovic, BofA's, Savita Subramanian, stagflation Organizations: Service, of America's, Business, JPMorgan
☆ How Google Cloud is helping quants like Two Sigma work around the shortage of Nvidia's prized AI chips
  + stars: | 2024-05-03 | by ( Bianca Chan | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +5 min
Google Cloud, one of the fund's cloud providers, developed new technologies that drew a full room of spectators at Google Cloud Next. When Google Cloud clients request GPUs through DWS, the platform requires clients to specify the region, the machine type and count of machines, and runtime duration. Knowing how many resources a given client needs allows Google Cloud to provision capacity more granularly, which "unlocks additional capacity," Mateo said. As a cloud provider for many financial firms, Google Cloud benefits from helping its clients run these models because many research platforms are hosted on Google's public cloud. In addition to Two Sigma, Citadel Securities has its research platform on Google Cloud.
Persons: Alex Hays, Hays, Sigma's Hays, Mateo, Dax, They'd, it's, Cook Organizations: Sigma, Google, Wall Street, Nvidia, prioritizes, Citadel Securities Locations: Las Vegas, Cook
☆ Treasury yields hold steady as investors weigh monetary policy outlook
  + stars: | 2024-05-02 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by less than one basis point to 4.5975%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 4.9393% after rising by less than one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields were little changed on Thursday as investors digested the outcome of the latest Federal Reserve meeting. Investors considered the path ahead for interest rates after the Federal Reserve's meeting concluded on Wednesday. Policymakers also provided some guidance about the outlook for interest rates, with Fed Chairman Jerome Powell indicating that it was unlikely for the next interest rate decision to be a hike.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Treasury, Reserve, Federal, Fed
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