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☆ In a world of infinite AI, the new luxury item will be humans
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-25 | by ( Alistair Barr | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +11 min

The same inevitable supply-and-demand dynamic is about to wash over us again with large language models and generative AI. AI models are trained on masses of data from the past. Humans are good at learning quickly from a small amount of data, while AI models need mountains of information to train on. Soon, human content creators will be vying for attention with content generated by AI models. 'Utility, value and signaling'Hartz, a venture capitalist who now chairs Eventbrite's board, says successful technologists will continue to spend heavily on human experiences.

Persons: —, Kevin Hartz, Eventbrite, Taylor Swift, Marc Andreessen, Hartz, John Barone, you'll, Sal Khan, That's, Gates, Michael Larson, Elon Musk's, Morgan Stanley, Jared Birchall, Noam Brown, He's, Mark Zuckerberg, Zuckerberg Organizations: Service, Khan Academy, Menlo School, Sigma, Bloomberg, Meta, OpenAI, Google, Amazon Locations: GPT, Fiji, Palo Alto, Silicon, Menlo

☆ 20 cash-generating stocks large investors are scooping up while they're cheap, according to a quant strategy that filters for quality companies
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-25 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: 1 min

Quant funds use statistical and mathematical models to make trades. Fintel.io filters stocks by quality, value, and positive fund sentiment to do something similar. Unless you're strategically scouring the web for high-quality stocks that are well-priced, in that case, you could be scoring a deal. But how does an investor know the difference between a well-priced stock and one being dumped for good reason? Alternatively, you can take a cue from the quant funds that use statistical and mathematical models to inform their trades.

☆ Morgan Stanley says Ted Pick will succeed James Gorman as CEO on Jan. 1
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-25 | by ( Hugh Son | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

In this article MS Follow your favorite stocks CREATE FREE ACCOUNTJames Gorman, Morgan Stanley CEO, July 18, 2023. CNBCMorgan Stanley said Wednesday that Ted Pick will succeed James Gorman as CEO at the start of 2024. Pick led the bank's institutional securities group, which includes investment banking and trading activities, and was co-president of Morgan Stanley for the last two years. Pick, who graduated from Middlebury College and has a Harvard MBA, joined Morgan Stanley in 1990. He earned his reputation by whipping several businesses into shape during an uncertain time for Morgan Stanley.

Persons: James Gorman, Morgan Stanley, CNBC Morgan Stanley, Ted Pick, Gorman, Pick, Morgan Organizations: CNBC, New, Middlebury College, Harvard, Mitsubishi Locations: New York

☆ As oil prices rise, these global stocks are set to outperform: Bank of America
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-17 | by ( Amala Balakrishner | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas has seen oil prices jump as investors consider the risk of wider geopolitical issues across the Middle East. These rising prices will benefit a number of stocks, according to Paulina Strzelinska, quant strategist at Bank of America. Outperformers when natural gas prices rise In a separate screen, Bank of America revealed its list of companies that tend to outperform when natural gas prices rise. Equinor is listed on both the Oslo Stock Exchange and Nasdaq, while Rio Tinto is listed on the London Stock Exchange and Australian Securities Exchange. Meanwhile Anglo American has a dual listing on the London Stock Exchange and Johannesburg Stock Exchange.

Persons: Paulina Strzelinska, Brent, Duncan Wanbald, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Sam Meredith Organizations: Hamas, Bank of America, Bank, Boliden, Royce, Aegon, Galp Energia, Wolters Kluwer, London Stock Exchange, Oslo Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Rio Tinto, Australian Securities Exchange, Johannesburg Stock Exchange, Reuters Locations: Israel, Europe, Antofagasta, Spanish, Portuguese, Dutch, Rio Tinto, Rio, American, Johannesburg

☆ Insider Today: Tech workers are bummed
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-17 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

AdvertisementAdvertisementIn today's big story, we're looking at why some tech workers don't love their jobs anymore. Many factors led to the shift, from significant layoffs in Big Tech to in-office mandates and financial pressure due to high interest rates. AdvertisementAdvertisement(Interestingly enough, Terrazas writes that workers in non-tech roles — like human resources and marketing — report the highest job satisfaction at Big Tech companies.) But it feels like tech workers themselves will end up having to do a bit of recalibration. Working in Big Tech has become a job like any other corporate gig.

Persons: Alyssa Powell, tech's, Aaron Terrazas, Terrazas, Insider's Hugh Langley, Grace Kay, Garry Gensler, Drew Angerer, Gary Gensler, Janet Yellen, it's, Satya Nadella, JASON REDMOND, ADAM GRAY, didn't, Israel, Don't, Rae Dunn, Jim Jordan, Jada Pinkett, Pinkett Smith, Will Smith, Goldman Sachs, Lockheed Martin, Johnson, Leah Kern, Joe's, Dan DeFrancesco, Naga Siu, Hallam Bullock, Lisa Ryan Organizations: Sigma, Insider Tech, Big Tech, Tech, Terrazas, SEC, Getty, LinkedIn, Tesla Edinburgh, Amazon, Republican, Bank of America Locations: Big, Israel, Ukraine, AFP, Tesla, Temple, El, New York City, York, San Diego, London, New York

☆ S&P 500 earnings estimates for 2024 are overly optimistic, JPMorgan's quant guru says
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-17 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

AdvertisementAdvertisementThe stock market is poised to disappoint investors over the coming months and into next year because S&P 500 earnings growth estimates are too optimistic, according to JPMorgan's quant guru Marko Kolanovic. Wall Street consensus expects S&P 500 earnings per share to deliver 4% year-over-year growth in the third-quarter, according to the note. Kolanovic doesn't expect much to change in 2024, arguing that Wall Street analysts are still too optimistic about the potential for earnings growth. Consensus estimates suggests that the S&P 500 will grow its earnings per share by 12% next year. Kolanovic is sticking by his year-end S&P 500 price target of 4,200, pointing to potential downside of 4% from current levels.

Persons: JPMorgan's, Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic, — Organizations: Service, PMI, Federal Reserve

☆ Tensions flare at Two Sigma over donations after Hamas attack
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( Bradley Saacks | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The heightened sensitivity around Israel and Palestine hit home last week at Two Sigma, the $60 billion New York-based quant fund manager. The firm's leadership faced internal criticism last week following its regular companywide Wednesday email, according to sources familiar with the situation. The company is also backdating donations to these organizations to October 7, the date of the deadly attacks. "We are horrified by the recent terrorist attacks in Israel and devastated by the loss of innocent civilian lives in the region. In response, last week we launched a 2:1 company match for employee donations made to organizations providing critical support and humanitarian relief," a statement from a Two Sigma spokesperson said.

Persons: Bill Ackman, Marc Rowan, maters — Organizations: Sigma, Google, USA, Committee, United, Finance, Pershing, maters — Harvard, University of Pennsylvania Locations: Israel, Palestine, York, Gaza, United Nations

☆ A California hedge fund's noncompetes drew outcry from employees. Now, it's doing away with the practice for former staffers.
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-15 | by ( Alex Morrell | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

California quantitative hedge fund The Voleon Group is abandoning its controversial practice of demanding that ex-employees recuse themselves from the industry for two years without pay. The $5 billion fund, based in Berkeley, California, has long imposed one of the industry's harshest noncompetition agreements despite California lawmakers' efforts to eliminate the practice. Insider last week reported on Voleon's noncompete policies, which the company has at times tried to enforce using intimidation and legal threats, ex-employees told Insider. "I don't know anyone who hasn't signed," a former employee previously told Insider, adding that Voleon managers encouraged employees to sign the agreement. A Voleon spokesman previously told Insider: "Like most hedge funds, in order to protect its most sensitive intellectual property, Voleon requests that select employees sign noncompetition agreements."

Persons: they'd, Lee Koffler, hasn't, Voleon, that's, — Organizations: Company, Voleon, Labor Locations: California, Berkeley , California, York

☆ Stocks to bet on China’s economic future after the real estate pain ends
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-08 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

For example, China's urbanization rate in 2022 was 64%, the same as Japan's back in the 1960s, she said, noting Japan's urbanization rate in the 1990s was a much higher 77%. China is also leading in innovation based on research and development spending as a percentage of sales, the report said. Easier said than done, especially since that debt and urban development are linked to a struggling real estate sector that's accounted for about a quarter of China's economy. After a summer of mounting worries about China's growth prospects, KKR's head of global macro, Henry McVey, made yet another trip to the region . He pointed to China's push to reduce carbon emissions and increase the integration of tech in the economy — such as through automation.

Persons: Yao Yang, Yao, Bernstein, Rupal Agarwal, Bernstein's Agarwal, BYD — Bernstein, Meituan, Henry McVey, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Tokyo, CNBC, National School of Development, Peking University, KKR, Citi Locations: China, Japan, Asia, Hong Kong

The pandemic pushed financial giants to embrace a more casual dress code that many other corporations had begun to embrace. Diversity in dressFor some women on Wall Street, the shift from business formal to business casual has allowed them to step out of the unofficial uniform of pantsuits and sheath dresses. Lululemon in the boardroomNo Wall Streeters mentioned buying more Ferragamo ties, but many said they were leaning into athleisure. People still come in wearing their suits and ties and their Louboutins, and I'm like, 'what are we doing here?' "For a lot of client interactions, dressing business casual can make it more comfortable and can lead to a better relationship-building experience."

Persons: Luis Arteaga, Shanta Wu, Kristen Powers, Morgan Stanley, She's, Thom Browne, Anne, Victoire Auriault, Goldman Sachs, Jack Dillon, He's, David Trinh, It's, we've, Thoma Bravo, Andrew Almeida, Richard Handler, Jefferies, Katya Brozyna, I'm, Benjamin Kiflom, Neil Kamath, Sarah Sigfusson, Michael Wilkinson, Wells, Patrick McGoldrick, Laiwala, I've, Rachel Hunter, Goldman, Luna McKeon, Ricky Mewani, Dominic Rizzo, Rowe Price Organizations: Barclays, Fidelity, Vista Equity Partners, Bridgewater, Jefferies, Nike Air Force, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Bank of, Moelis & Company, KKR, Blue Owl, Citadel Locations: Bridgewater, New York, Florida, Miami, San Francisco

☆ How a California hedge fund bulldozed the state's labor laws to impose some of the harshest noncompetes on Wall Street
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-03 | by ( Alex Morrell | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +23 min

That's partly why so few quantitative trading firms reside in California, whose labor-friendly laws have long favored employee mobility and competition. Exhibit A: The Voleon Group, a prominent quantitative-trading firm based in Berkeley, California, that manages about $5 billion in assets. The hedge fund has bulldozed past state prohibitions to not just impose noncompetes, but impose some of the harshest noncompetes in the entire industry, according to seven former employees, industry experts, and documents detailing the firm's restrictive covenants. Like so many other quant-trading firms, Voleon took care to protect its edge. Other employees Insider spoke with have a less generous view, with several describing the company as stingy — a third ex-employee bemoaned the company as "notoriously cheap" on compensation.

Persons: Kathy Hochul's, haven't, Michael Kharitonov, Jon McAuliffe, Shaw, — Kharitonov, McAuliffe, Voleon, —, Harry Lipman, Rottenberg Lipman Rich, Lipman, bemoaned, noncompetes, Martin Wainwright, Howard Aiken, Wainwright, hasn't, It's, Jessica Riggin, Rukin Hyland, Riggin, specter, James Hannaway, Sanford Heisler Sharp, Hochul, Rob Bonta, Sen, Anna Caballero, foisting, Caballero, Voleon's Organizations: New, Gov, University of California, Stanford, UC Berkeley, Wall Street, Google, Citadel, Sigma, That's, Big Tech, Darwin, MIT, Berkeley, California, Labor Locations: New York, California, Berkeley , California, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, Voleon, Delaware, Washington ,

☆ The $8 billion Sam Bankman-Fried criminal trial starts today — here's what's at stake and how we got here
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-03 | by ( Mackenzie Sigalos | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +19 min

In the first trial, Bankman-Fried faces seven criminal counts related to the collapse of the crypto empire he built, including wire fraud, securities fraud and money laundering. Alameda, FTX and a host of subsidiaries Bankman-Fried founded filed for bankruptcy protection in Delaware. FTX's own terms of use specifically forbade him, or Alameda, from using customer money for anything — unless the customer allowed it. And from FTX's inception, there was a lot of customer money. Bankman-Fried and other executives admitted to each other that "FTX customer funds were irrevocably lost because Alameda had appropriated them."

Persons: Sam Bankman, Fried, Caroline Ellison, Gary Wang, Ellison, FTX, Wang, Judge Lewis Kaplan, Samuel Bankman, MacKenzie Sigalos, San Francisco —, SBF, Wang —, Nishad Singh —, Goldman Sachs, Binance, Damian Williams, Rehypothecation, —, Crypto, Solana, Zhao, he'd, Cromwell, John J, Ray, John Ray's, — CNBC's Rohan Goswami Organizations: Alameda Research, Southern, of, Stanford, MIT, U.S, New York Times, Bankman, That's, CNBC, Jane, Capital, University of California, Formula, Democratic, Twitter, Securities Exchange Commission, SEC, Futures Trading, United States Attorney's Office, CFTC, Alameda, Alameda didn't, Voyager, BlockFi, FTX, Industry, Investors, Zhao, Publicly, Sullivan, Enron Locations: Bahamas, Manhattan, New York, Alameda, of New York, FTX, Brooklyn , New York, San Francisco, South Korea, Alameda , California, Fried's Alameda, Berkeley, Miami, Washington, Delaware, California, Federal, Solana, Fried

☆ Strong earnings will reverse decline in megacap tech stocks: Goldman Sachs
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-02 | by ( David Randall | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., August 15, 2023. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Oct 2 (Reuters) - Strong upcoming earnings results could reverse the decline in mega-cap technology and growth stocks, which have been hammered by the rise in Treasury yields and are trading at their cheapest levels in six years by one measure, according to Goldman Sachs strategists. At the same time, the group is expected to post sales growth of 11% in the third quarter, compared with a 1% improvement for the S&P 500, the firm noted. The S&P 500 has dropped nearly 5% over the last 10 trading days but remains slightly more than 11% up since the start of the year. "We expect the S&P 500 to rally into year-end, with more upside in the equal-weighted index," Subramanian wrote.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Goldman Sachs, Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili, Mark Potter Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, BofA Global Research, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S

☆ A quant fund boss talked his mom into selling Nvidia at 60% of its current price. She won't let him forget it.
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-02 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Quant fund chief Jason Hsu thought Nvidia's rally couldn't last any longer – so talked his mom into selling at $250 a share. "I'm going to be putting a hex curse on that stock," Hsu joked. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementAdvertisementThe head of a quant trading fund told his mom to sell her Nvidia shares when they were trading at just 60% of their current price – and hasn't heard the end of it since. "I told my mom, 'Sell Nvidia, you made such a good gain.'

Persons: Jason Hsu, Nvidia's, Hsu, —, hasn't, he'd, Rayliant Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Rayliant Global Advisors, Research

Making mistakes doesn't feel great, but they can provide some lessons you might not have learned otherwise. We asked this year's rising stars of Wall Street to open up about the biggest missteps of their careers so far and what they took away from them. Some shared their rookie errors — like slamming their laptop shut after forgetting to save their first big pitch deck or duplicating a trade — while others gave more reflective answers about how early career mistakes impacted their paths. We've got to iterate and change how we do things, and I think that's helped our team's process a lot. So my mistakes also brought me here, and everything that has been a mistake is always a learning experience.

Persons: there's, Luis Arteaga, David Trinh, you'll, Michael Dunn Goekjian, Tori Gilliland, didn't, It's, Andrew Almeida, Thoma Bravo I've, I've, Nadim Laiwala, Rachel Hunter, Goldman, Kristen Powers, Morgan Stanley, Sarah Sigfusson, Shanta Wu, Fred Michel, who's, Morgan, Neil Kamath, Rachel Barry, Chris Dell'Amore, We've, that's, Peter Gylfe, Ricky Mewani, Dominic Rizzo, Rowe Price, Lillian Qian Lin, of, Steve Schwarzman, Peter Peterson, Stephen Schwarzman, Blackstone, Patrick McGoldrick, Katya Brozyna, Michael Wilkinson, Yi Yi, Wells, Luna McKeon, —, Anne, Victoire Auriault, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Barclays, Delta, Barclays Bridgewater Associates, Bridgewater Associates, Apollo Management, Thoma Bravo, Moelis, US, Bank of, Fidelity, JPMorgan, BlackRock Blackstone, Citadel, Blackstone, Jefferies, Citadel Securities, Blue Owl, Goldman Locations: Bank, Evercore, Wells, Americas

☆ China's new trading rules target more oversight, not killing 'flash boys', says lobby group
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-26 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

SHANGHAI/SINGAPORE, Sept 26 (Reuters) - China's securities regulators have told market participants that tighter rules for programme trading were not designed to kill the business, but were a response to calls for more oversight, according Asia's largest financial lobby group ASIFMA. "There's no intent to be prejudiced against high frequency trading firms," said Lyndon Chao, ASIFMA managing director and head of equities and post trade. Quant funds in China include global players such as Winton, Two Sigma and D.E.Shaw though these three aren't members of ASIFMA. The rules "came out all of a sudden because the regulators might be facing pressure from investors suffering from recent poor stock market performance," he said. There are a lot of quant funds out there that do a great job of injecting liquidity when needed.

Persons: Lyndon Chao, They're, ASIFMA, Chao, Ren Zeping, Liu Yuhui, ASIFMA's Chao, Samuel Shen, Jason Xue, Tom Westbrook, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Sigma, Reuters, Thomson Locations: SHANGHAI, SINGAPORE, China, Winton, Shanghai, Shenzhen

☆ Exclusive: China scrutinizes quant strategies as market weakness stokes public anger - sources
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

A man wearing a protective mask is seen inside the Shanghai Stock Exchange building, as the country is hit by a new coronavirus outbreak, at the Pudong financial district in Shanghai, China February 28, 2020. Separately, the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges, under the CSRC's guidance, have sought information from major quant funds on their money-making strategies, another source said. The weakness has triggered finger-pointing in social media, as well as criticism from fund managers and retail investors against these quant funds and short sellers. Short-selling activities by quant funds could also be caught in the crossfire, he said. Another brokerage source said the CSRC asked them to elaborate on the size of their quant clientele and whether quant trading had impacted recent stock market.

Persons: Aly, shortsellers, Yuan Yuwei, Yang Tingwu, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Shanghai Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Rights, China Securities Regulatory Commission, Global, Sigma, Huatai Securities, China's, Quant Investment, Yanfu Investments, Shanghai Minghong Investment Management Co, Wisdom Asset, Tongheng Investment, Shanghai, Thomson Locations: Pudong, Shanghai, China, Shenzhen, Winton, Beijing

☆ Analysis: Sizzling rally in US energy stocks has room to run, bulls say
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( David Randall | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Some believe a tight oil market and resilient U.S. growth will keep energy stocks rising for the rest of 2023. Bullish investors argue that energy stocks are still cheap by historical standards - and far less richly valued than other areas of the market. The energy sector currently trades at a forward price to earnings ratio of 12.2, well below its historical median forward P/E of 15.3, according to LSEG Datastream. Parts of the market appear skeptical energy stocks have much further to run. "That should result in a ... smoother ride for energy stocks than we’ve been accustomed to."

Persons: Bing Guan, LSEG, Charles Lemonides, Baker Hughes, Savita Subramanian, Brent, Bjarne Schieldrop, Rodney Clayton, we’ve, David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili, Marguerita Choy Organizations: Exxon, Mobil, REUTERS, Energy, West Texas, Federal, drillers, U.S . Energy, Administration, Global, Citi, Brent, SEB Research, Macquarie, Duff, Phelps Investment Management, Thomson Locations: Beaumont , Texas, U.S, Saudi Arabia, Russia, China

☆ China is probing hedge funds that profit from its economic misery, report says
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

China is scrutinizing hedge funds betting against its struggling economy, according to Reuters. Beijing has put the squeeze on brokerages that use quantitative strategies to short-sell the market, the outlet reported. Get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in business, from Wall Street to Silicon Valley — delivered daily. That's dragged down Chinese stocks this year, with the flagship CSI 300 index down 5% and Hong Kong's Hang Seng index slumping 11% so far in 2023. As well as pushing back against these trading strategies, policymakers halved the stamp duty that investors are required to pay when trading stocks last month in a bid to revive China's stagnant markets.

Persons: That's Organizations: Reuters, CSI, Service, country's Securities, Commission, Financial Times Locations: China, Beijing, Wall, Silicon

☆ Bank of America raises year-end S&P 500 price target, says rally will broaden out from here
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-20 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Bank of America's Savita Subramanian raised her 2023 year-end S & P 500 price target to 4,600, saying the rally will broaden out from here. The equity and quant strategist increased her S & P 500 target to 4,600 from 4,300 — placing it among the higher forecasts in CNBC's Market Strategist survey . The strategist expects even better returns for the average stock over the S & P 500, which is weighed by market value, as the rally broadens. Her bear case is 4,100 and bull case is 4,700 for the S & P 500. All three major averages are negative on the month, and the S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are lower this quarter.

Persons: America's Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: America's, Nasdaq, Tech

☆ The CEO of a hedge fund that averaged a 66% return for 3 decades spoke about investing, hiring, and sleeping 2,000 nights in his office. Here are the 11 best quotes.
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-20 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Brown had the idea for IBM's "Deep Blue," and has spent over 2,000 nights sleeping in his office. RenTech was founded by Jim Simons, a former MIT math professor and Cold War codebreaker. Peter Brown is the CEO of Renaissance Technologies, a quant fund founded by former Cold War codebreaker and MIT math professor Jim Simons. And the job is so demanding, I really don't see how I could do it otherwise." We don't know any economics.

Persons: Peter Brown, Brown, RenTech, Jim Simons, Goldman, he's, he'd, Peter, we're, we've Organizations: Renaissance, MIT, Service, Goldman Sachs Exchanges, Renaissance Technologies Locations: Wall, Silicon, York

☆ The head quant strategist at a $194 billion firm shares 4 trades he sees delivering at least 6% returns over each of the next 5 years as a recession gets ready to hit the US economy next year
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-19 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Next, Swinkels likes developed market equities, which include stocks in countries like France, Germany, the UK, Australia, Japan, and more. The iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA) offers exposure to developed market stocks outside of the US and Canada. Exchange-traded funds like the Schwab Emerging Markets Equity ETF (SCHE) or the Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF (VWO) are one way to invest in emerging market stocks. "The CAPE ratio of global real estate is currently 13.3, well below its average of 19.4 since 2000," Swinkels said. One way to invest in real estate without buying properties directly is through real-estate investment trusts, also known as REITs.

Persons: Laurens Swinkels, Peter van der, Swinkels, we've Organizations: Federal, iShares, Yield Corp, Exchange, Schwab, Equity, Vanguard FTSE, Markets, Simon Property Group Locations: France, Germany, Australia, Japan, Canada, China, Brazil, India, Saudi Arabia

☆ Bank of America: One ironic indicator sets stocks up for a 25% rally in the next 12 months, and these 6 industries have the best opportunities
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-18 | by ( Mark Reeth | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Although valuation matters in the long-run, sentiment has a more immediate impact on share prices, Carey Hall wrote. Carey Hall noted that "based on the equal weighted S&P 500, PE ratios are roughly at historical average levels." Bank of AmericaThe reason for this is investor pessimism, particularly when it comes to long-term growth (LTG) expectations. "Today's LTG suggests >25% price returns over the next 12 months for the S&P 500, all else equal." According to Carey Hall, the best investment opportunities lie in the interactive media & services, household durables, media, passenger airlines, energy equipment & services, and insurance industries.

Persons: —, Jill Carey, Carey Hall, Carey, LTG Organizations: Bank of America, Carey Hall Locations: LTG

☆ Bank of America: 14 stocks transforming their businesses and creating long-term profits that the market is missing — including one with 181% upside
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-09 | by ( Mark Reeth | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Small and mid-cap stocks transforming their businesses can create great investment opportunities. Bank of America's Jill Carey Hall found 14 stocks making changes that the market hasn't noticed yet. Bank of America equity & quant strategist Jill Carey Hall knows this is particularly true for small and mid-cap (SMID-cap) stocks. As Carey Hall pointed out in a recent note to clients, that's exactly what many SMID-cap stocks are doing right now. The 14 stocks the BofA analysts chose are below, along with their tickers, sectors, market caps, price objectives, and upsides to those objectives.

Persons: Bank of America's Jill Carey Hall, Jill Carey, Carey, Carey Hall Organizations: Bank of America's, Bank of America

☆ The risk of a crisis over the next 6 to 12 months is rising as high rates bite and the stock market's AI rally fades, JPMorgan's quant chief says
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-05 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

There's a lot that could go wrong in the stock market that investors are not fully appreciating. That's according to JPMorgan's quant chief, Marko Kolanovic, who is worried about high interest rates. "We think there is now a higher likelihood of a crisis over the next six to 12 months," he said. For Kolanovic to turn more bullish on the stock market, he needs to see two things — and they have nothing to do with the promise of AI. Instead, he wants to see interest rates fall around the world, as well as a de-escalation of geopolitical tensions in Russia and China.

Persons: JPMorgan's, Marko Kolanovic, JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic Organizations: Service Locations: Wall, Silicon, Ukraine, Russia, China

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