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Yen heads for strongest week in 3 months as carry trades unwind
  + stars: | 2024-07-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The yen was poised for its strongest week in nearly three months on Friday as traders unwound their long-held bets against the frail currency ahead of crucial U.S. inflation data that could cement rate cut expectations. The yen was poised for its strongest week in nearly three months on Friday as traders unwound their long-held bets against the frail currency ahead of crucial U.S. inflation data that could cement rate cut expectations. The euro was a tad stronger at $1.0853 but is down 0.35% for the week, its steepest weekly decline since early June. The souring risk sentiment this week has weighed heavily on the Aussie and the New Zealand dollar . The Aussie is down 2% for the week, its worst weekly performance since November 2023.
Persons: James Athey, Ben Bennett, they're Organizations: Marlborough Investment Management, Federal, Fed, Traders, Bank of Japan, Legal, General Investment Management, New Zealand Locations: Tokyo, Asia, Pacific
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Fed Vice Chair Roger Ferguson on June PCE and rate cut timelineFormer Federal Reserve Vice Chair Roger Ferguson discusses his expectations for June PCE, inflation, and rate cuts.
Persons: Roger Ferguson Organizations: Former, PCE, Federal
Separate data on spending shows that American shoppers are still shopping. That measure strengthened in the second quarter, rising to a 2.9% rate compared to 2.6% seen earlier this year. Generally, one risk that comes with an economy that’s expanding robustly is that price pressures can either get stuck or heat up. Businesses are still spending, but less on thisBusinesses invested much more in the second quarter than in the first three months of the year. The measure for that — known as “nonresidential fixed investment” — rose to a 5.2% rate in the second quarter, up from 4.4% in the first quarter.
Persons: That’s, pare, , Jamie Cox, ” Scott Helfstein, ” Oren Klachkin Organizations: Washington CNN, Gross, Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, PCE, Harris Financial Group, , Nationwide
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Those are our only "own, don't trade" stocks, and they may hold the key to the rest of tech. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, it's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Apple, Nvidia, Club, Broadcom, AMD, Juniper Networks, Digital Realty Trust, Boston Beer, Bristol, Myers, Charter Communications, Colgate, Fed, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Dexcom, Sketchers, Texas
US stocks gave back gains to trade mixed on Thursday amid more tech weakness. GDP grew 2.8% in the second quarter, according to advanced estimates from the Commerce Department, well-above the 2.1% growth economists had expected. PCE inflation rose 2.6%, down from the prior reading of 3.7%. Mega-cap tech stocks continued to slide after Tesla and Alphabet delivered disappointing results for the second quarter. Alphabet was down for a second day, dropping another 3% on Thursday.
Persons: , Neil Dutta Organizations: PCE, Service, Dow Jones, Treasury, Commerce Department, Fed, Macro, Meta, Microsoft, Here's
Real gross domestic product , a measure of all the goods and services produced during the April-through-June period, increased at a 2.8% annualized pace adjusted for seasonality and inflation. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for growth of 2.1% following a 1.4% increase in the first quarter. Economic activity in the U.S. was considerably stronger than expected during the second quarter, according to an initial estimate Thursday from the Commerce Department. The so-called chain-weighted price index, which takes into account changes in consumer behavior, increased 2.3% for the quarter, below the 2.6% estimate. There also is pressure in the housing market: Sales are declining while home prices continue to climb, putting pressure on first-time homebuyers.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Commerce Department, Stock, Federal Reserve, Fed, Philadelphia Federal Locations: U.S
Gold skids on profit-taking, with U.S. economic data on radar
  + stars: | 2024-07-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Gold prices fell more than 1% on Thursday as investors booked profits ahead of U.S. economic data that could offer more cues on when the central bank will cut interest rates this year and by how much. Spot gold fell 1.2% to $2,369.20 per ounce by 0533 GMT. So, it looks like we are seeing some profit-taking and from a technical perspective, prices could move lower," said Kelvin Wong, OANDA's senior market analyst for Asia Pacific. Traders are expecting that the Fed will deliver a long-awaited rate cut in September. If PCE data shows that inflation is slowing and the Fed can cut rates in September, then we will see a resurgence in gold prices, Wong said.
Persons: Kelvin Wong, OANDA's, Wong Organizations: Asia Pacific, Federal, Gold Locations: U.S
Stock futures rose modestly on Thursday evening as the major averages head for weekly losses and investors anticipated a reading of the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 42 points, or just over 0.1%. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed about 0.1% each. The activity seemed to be part of a broader rotation into small caps and more cyclical areas of the market. ET, traders will watch for the June reading of the personal consumption expenditures report, an inflation reading that's preferred by central bank policymakers.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Dexcom, Adam Turnquist, Dow, Dow Jones Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Federal, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, Bristol Myers Squibb, Colgate, Palmolive, 3M Locations: New York City, Stock, Michigan
Dollar firms as commodities slide and carry unwinds
  + stars: | 2024-07-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Purchasing managers' index figures will be particularly watched in Europe later in the session to see whether they support bets on two European rate cuts by the end of January. The euro held at $1.0848 in Asia trade and sterling , which could rally if PMIs in Britain surprise to the upside and reduce bets on rate cuts, bought $1.2901. Moves in other pairs were even larger, with the euro dropping 1.3% on the yen overnight and hitting a five-week low of 168.79 yen in Asia. Mexico's high-yielding peso dropped 2% on the yen overnight and the Australian dollar is down almost 6% on the yen in two weeks. The Canadian dollar made a six-week low of C$1.3787 per dollar ahead of a central bank meeting later on Wednesday where markets have priced an 84% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut.
Persons: Jason Wong Organizations: Bank of Japan, U.S ., New Zealand Locations: Europe, Asia, Britain, Japan, Wellington, New Zealand, Australia
US stocks dropped Wednesday, with the Nasdaq seeing its steepest single-day loss since 2022. AdvertisementUS stocks dropped on Wednesday, led by a steep sell-off in the tech sector after the first batch of mega-cap earnings disappointed investors. Tesla shares dropped 12% after the carmaker missed earnings estimates and logged a big drop in auto revenue. AdvertisementOther mega-cap tech stocks also tumbled in Wednesday's session as investor sentiment soured. Investors are waiting on more mega-cap tech earnings, with Meta, Apple, and Amazon set to report their financials next week.
Persons: Organizations: Nasdaq, Service, Dow Jones Industrial, YouTube, Nvidia, Meta, Tech, Apple, Here's Locations: Tech
Gold prices climb as investors focus on U.S. economic data
  + stars: | 2024-07-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices inched higher on Wednesday, with investors awaiting U.S. economic data that could influence the Federal Reserve's rate-cut timeline. Gold prices inched higher on Wednesday, with investors awaiting U.S. economic data that could influence the Federal Reserve's rate-cut timeline. Bullion prices scaled an all-time high of $2,483.60 last week amid rising bets of rate cuts. Spot gold may break resistance at $2,417 and bounce further to $2,432, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao. "Growth estimates in photovoltaic panel usage have been markedly revised higher, resulting in silver demand draws far exceeding supply.
Persons: Tim Waterer, KCM, Wang Tao Organizations: ANZ, Management Locations: India
In today's big story, we're looking at another Tesla earnings report that was light on details about big future plans . The approach worked well last quarter when Tesla's earnings report was even worse than expected . However, big-picture plans without concrete details fell flat for investors this time around. It's Tesla's silver lining amid the EV market slowdown. But as beneficial as competitors were to Tesla this quarter, others seem to be gearing up for battle.
Persons: Jordan Strauss, Chelsea Jia Feng, Elon, Katherine Tangalakis, Hannah Getahun, that's, , Musk, Toby Melville, BI's Nora Naughton, It's, BI's Jordan Hart, Sundar Pichai, Waymo, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Wall, Keith Lerner, Ed Yardeni, Michael M, Tyler Le, Jensen Huang, Rebecca Zisser, Biden, Benjamin Netanyahu, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Annie Smith, Amanda Yen Organizations: Business, Chelsea, AP, Tesla, Getty, BI Supply, Nvidia, Big Tech, Hollywood, AWS, Microsoft, Paramount, Digital, Google, IBM, Ford Motors, Samsung, Galaxy, The Locations: Waymo, San Francisco, Phoenix, New York, Paris, London
The record stock market rally will get a boost from key economic data and earnings results, Ed Yardeni said. Yardeni highlighted strong company earnings and profit margins supporting the market in a way it didn't in 2000. AdvertisementThe stock market rally is set to continue this week as investors digest two key pieces of economic data and an onslaught of second-quarter earnings results. "We've acknowledged that the current stock market rally is reminiscent of the valuation-led market meltup of the 1990s. "We're expecting S&P 500 earnings per share of $250, $270, and $300 in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively.
Persons: Ed Yardeni, , We've, we've, Yardeni, We're Organizations: Service, Yardeni Research, PCE, Federal Reserve
Stock were mixed early Tuesday as investors awaited earnings from big companies. Markets are getting ready to pick through results from Tesla and Alphabet after the closing bell. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementUS stock moves were muted on Tuesday, with investors getting ready to go over earnings results from Tesla and Google parent Alphabet after the closing bell. Tesla and Alphabet are the first of the Magnificent Seven tech cohort to post second-quarter results.
Persons: , Russell, Bill Adams, Adams Organizations: Service, Tesla, Google, Nasdaq, Federal
Index ended the day lower Wednesday as investors braced for Tesla and Alphabet's earnings. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . The two firms are the first of the Magnificent Seven tech stocks to release their earnings. The stock market is fresh off a winning rally on Monday, which saw the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 rise above 1%. Advertisement"The Fed's preferred measure of inflation is expected to tick lower in the June release, paralleling the month's slower CPI inflation.
Persons: , Tesla, Bill Adams, it's Organizations: Tesla, Service, Nasdaq, UPS, Federal, Comerica, CPI
CNBC Daily Open: Biden drops out, endorses Harris
  + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on June 01, 2023 in New York City. This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Get the CNBC Daily Open report in your inbox every morning and keep up to date with the markets wherever you are. Big Tech faces the challenge of rekindling Wall Street's enthusiasm after a $900 billion tech rout.
Persons: Sebastian Raedler, haven't, Stephanie Pope, Max, CNBC's Jim Cramer, Elon Musk, Dan Ives, Lina Khan, Khan, Ives, CrowdStrike, Fred Imbert, , Alex Harring, Jesse Pound, Kevin Williams, Leslie Josephs, Josie Rozzelle, Kevin Breuninger, Dan Mangan, Zev Fima, Spencer Kimball, Lim Hui Jie Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Bank of America, Boeing, Farnborough, Trump, Microsoft, Securities, Big Tech, Google, Apple Locations: New York City, London, New York, New Delhi, Washington
CNBC Daily Open: Biden drops out
  + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Starbucks stake Activist investor Elliott Management has taken a substantial stake in Starbucks and is engaging with management to boost the company's share price, according to the Wall Street Journal. Get the CNBC Daily Open report in your inbox every morning and keep up to date with the markets wherever you are. Big Tech faces the challenge of rekindling Wall Street's enthusiasm after a $900 billion tech rout.
Persons: haven't, Stephanie Pope, Max, Elliott Management, Laxman Narasimhan, Howard Schultz, CNBC's Jim Cramer, Elon Musk, Dan Ives, Lina Khan, Khan, Ives, CrowdStrike, Fred Imbert, , Alex Harring, Jesse Pound, Kevin Williams, Leslie Josephs, Josie Rozzelle, Kevin Breuninger, Dan Mangan, Zev Fima, Spencer Kimball, Rohan Goswami Organizations: CNBC, Dow, Boeing, Farnborough, Wall Street, Starbucks, Trump, Microsoft, Securities, Big Tech, Google, Apple Locations: London, New York, New Delhi, Washington
Investors are gauging what a potential Kamala Harris presidency could mean for the stock market. Second-quarter GDP and the June PCE index will be released later this week. The gains came one day after President Joe Biden announced he would not seek re-election, and instead endorsed his Vice President, Kamala Harris. That will be followed by the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, the PCE index, at 8:30 a.m. on Friday. Economists expect the June Core PCE index to rise 2.5% year over year, which is not far off from the Fed's long-term inflation target of 2%.
Persons: Kamala Harris, , Joe Biden, Harris, Donald Trump, Trump's, JD Vance, Alex Saunders Organizations: Service, Technology, Nasdaq, Trump, Citi, Federal, Here's Locations: California
The tech sector drove US stocks higher on Monday ahead of key economic data releases this week. The Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 both rose over 1%, reversing some of last week's sharp decline. AdvertisementUS stocks surged on Monday, with technology stocks leading the way as investors brace for a slew of earnings results and economic data. Investors will be focused on two big economic data points this week, as well as a steady flow of second-quarter earnings results. AdvertisementThat will be followed by the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, the PCE index, at 8:30 a.m. on Friday.
Persons: Organizations: Nasdaq, Service, Federal, Visa, Texas Locations: Fundstrat, Here's
But in general, this is the kind of development we've hoped to see ever since Starbucks' massive earnings miss April 30. We'll take the nearly 7% pop in shares Friday and hope it's only the beginning of recovery for the beaten-up stock. Fed's fave inflation measure : The personal spending and income report will be the most closely watched economic report next week. Earnings : As the second-quarter earnings season picks up pace, we'll hear from five Club holdings next week including Google parent Alphabet . Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Russell, Donald Trump, — Trump, Jim Cramer, Trump, Donald Trump's, Taiwan's TSMC, Joe Biden's, Biden, Biden's, he's, Elliott, we've, We'll, it's, we'll, Sartorius, Ford, Jim Farley, We're, Honeywell management's, , Zions, BOK, Brown, BRO, Lockheed Martin, Philip Morris, Clark, Lamb, Edwards Lifesciences, DOV, Dr Pepper, CARR, Baker Hughes, Booz Allen Hamilton, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Dow, Republican National Convention, GOP, Bloomberg Businessweek, Trump, Elliott Management, Starbucks, Street Journal, Technology, General Motors, Honeywell, Dover, Products Company, Verizon, Truist, SAP, Semiconductors, Crown Holdings, Cadence Design Systems, Medpace Holdings, AGNC Investment, Logitech International S.A, KKR Real Estate Finance Trust, Berkley Corp, Spotify Technology S.A, United Parcel Service, GE Aerospace, GE, Cola Company, Lockheed, Comcast, Polaris Industries, Philip Morris International, Company, HCA Healthcare, Moody's Corporation, Enphase Energy, Texas Instruments Incorporated, Chubb Corporation, Seagate Technology plc, Maine, Packaging Corporation of America, Weatherford International plc, Canadian National Railway Company, FTAI Aviation Ltd, Mattel, Vertiv Holdings Co, Lamb Weston Holdings, NextEra Energy, Tenet Healthcare, Fisher, GE Vernova, Boston Scientific Corporation, General Dynamics, Lennox International, Software Technologies, CME Group, Fortive Corporation, Co, Roper Technologies, Teck Resources Limited, Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Economico Mexicano S.A, Dominion Freight, Otis Worldwide Corporation, OTIS, Ford Motor Company, Grill, Business Machines, IBM, Viking Therapeutics, Las Vegas Sands Corp, Newmont, Whirlpool, Globe, WM, O'Reilly Automotive, Annaly Capital Management, Honeywell International, American Airlines Group, Hasbro, Southwest Airlines Co, New York Community Bancorp, RTX Corporation, AstraZeneca, Carrier Global Corporation, Integer Holdings Corporation, Valero Energy, Texas, Juniper Networks, Boston Beer Company, Physicians Realty Trust, Allison Transmission Holdings, Corp, Columbia Banking, Digital Realty Trust, Edison International, Myers Squibb, Charter Communications, 3M Company, Booz, Centene Corporation, AON, Barnes, Colgate, Palmolive, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, U.S Locations: U.S, Taiwan, FactSet, China, Dover, Cleveland, Alexandria, ZION, W.R, Freeport, Kimberly, Cal, Teck, Las, ORLY, New, Banc, Bristol, Milwaukee , Wisconsin
US stocks closed lower Friday, marking the worst week for the S&P 500 since mid-April. AdvertisementUS stocks closed lower on Friday, capping off the worst week for the S&P 500 since mid-April. Investors got their first glimpse of earnings this week, with major banks like Goldman Sachs reporting solid results on Monday. Netflix reported better-than-expected revenue, profits, and subscriber growth in its second-quarter earnings report on Thursday, but the stock fell about 2% due to somewhat weak third-quarter guidance. According to data from Fundstrat, 13% of S&P 500 companies have reported second-quarter earnings results.
Persons: , Crowdstrike, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Investors, Netflix Locations: Fundstrat
A measure of wholesale prices rose more than expected in June as Wall Street assesses when the Federal Reserve will feel comfortable cutting interest rates. The producer price index rose 0.2% last month, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Friday. The PPI is a gauge of prices that producers can get for their goods and services in the open market. Friday's report comes shortly after the June consumer price index came in cooler than expected on Thursday. The Fed's preferred inflation reading is the personal consumption expenditure price index.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Port, Federal, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, PPI, Traders Locations: Port of Los Angeles, San Pedro , California
The consumer price index, or CPI, report for June is due out at 8:30 a.m. A widely anticipated inflation report on Thursday may solidify expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in coming months. The price changes in the components that make up the CPI index will also be a focus on Thursday, especially if the number comes in different from expectations. Both shelter and medical services are also key parts of the personal consumption expenditures index, the Fed's preferred inflation measure, rather than CPI. "We've seen medical services [be] pretty tame, and that's important because medical services makes up a much bigger portion of the PCE, which is the more important of the two inflation prints," Roth said.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Dow Jones, Matt Brenner, Brenner, Tony Roth, We've, Roth Organizations: Federal Reserve, CPI, Wilmington Trust, PCE Locations: Wilmington
However, central bank officials still want to see more progress before cutting interest rates, he noted. “The most recent inflation readings, however, have shown some modest further progress, and more good data would strengthen our confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2%,” he added. Fed officials expect to cut interest rates just once this year, according to their latest economic projections in June, compared to the three cuts they forecast in March. The annual PCE inflation rate registered at 2.6% in June, down slightly from 2.7% in May. Fed officials and most economists don’t see a recession this year.
Persons: Jerome Powell, ” Powell, Powell, Inflation, John Williams, ” Seema Shah Organizations: Washington CNN, Inflation, Committee, Financial, ” New York Fed, Congress, Fed, Asset Management Locations: India, United States
The 2-year Treasury yield was last more than two basis points higher to 4.7453%. U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Monday as investors awaited key economic data due this week and digested the latest inflation insights. Investors considered the latest economic data and looked ahead to insights from the labor market expected this week. Further insights about the state of the economy are expected this week, when a series of labor market data is due. Should the numbers indicate an easing of the labor market, hopes for interest rate cuts could be boosted.
Persons: Dow Jones, ADP's Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Investors, Federal Reserve
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