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JPMorgan's top strategist had something positive to say about stocks for the first time in a while. "While it is too soon to assume that this is a turning point, it does suggest that a recession is unlikely in the near term." Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. But that seems to be changing, based on a Tuesday note from JPMorgan chief global equity strategist Dubravko Lakos-Bujas. "We are neutralizing our long Defensive and short Cyclicals view," Lakos-Bujas said.
Persons: Dubravko Lakos, Bujas, Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, Reserve, Federal Reserve, & $ Locations: China, buybacks
All eyes are on Nvidia milestone into Wednesday's close
  + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Nvidia is the stock to watch heading into Wednesday's close. The mega-cap tech stock that is everyone's artificial intelligence barometer is nearing a milestone with its recent rally. At its high for Wednesday's session it reached $134.52. The morning move higher in Nvidia helped to lift the S & P 500 to an intraday record . A record close for Nvidia, along with an S & P 500 record close, could indicate to some that the artificial intelligence trade that's powered the bull market is back on.
Persons: Katie Stockton, She's, Stockton Organizations: Nvidia Locations: Wednesday's
Goldman Sachs raised its S&P 500 year-end price target to 6,000, implying a 5% gain. AdvertisementStrategists at Goldman Sachs raised their S&P 500 year-end price target for the third time this year. The price target increase comes after Kostin and his team set an initial year-end S&P 500 price target of 4,700 late last year. AdvertisementKostin also raised the bank's 12-month S&P 500 price target to 6,300 from 6,000. Kostin's price target forecasts assume the S&P 500 continues to trade at a premium valuation of about 22x forward earnings.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, , Goldman's David Kostin, Kostin, Myers Squibb Organizations: Service, Myers, Warner Bros ., Communacopia Locations: Bristol, Gilead
Monday, October 7, 2024: Cramer breaks down the analyst downgrade of this mega cap tech stockJim and Jeff discuss Big Banks ahead of earnings season. They also talk about the analyst downgrade of this mega cap tech stock. Finally, they break down the moves in this chemical maker.
Persons: Cramer, Jeff, Big Banks
US stocks fell Monday as bond yields and oil prices moved higher. The rise in oil prices and solid September jobs report has revived inflation concerns. Friday's release of the September jobs report sparked the move higher in yields. AdvertisementMeanwhile, oil prices continued to surge on Monday, rising by about 4% as tensions in the Middle East continued to simmer on the first anniversary of the Hamas-led attack against Israel. The rise in oil prices and the stronger jobs report are fanning fears of a potential rebound in inflation, which would mean fewer rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.
Persons: Organizations: PepsiCo, Service, Treasury, Israel, Federal Reserve, Amazon, Epic, Bank of America, Here's Locations: Hurricane Milton, Wells
NXP Semiconductor — Shares added 0.8% after UBS upgraded the chipmaker to buy from neutral. Amazon — Shares slumped nearly 2% after Wells Fargo downgraded the e-commerce company to equal weight from overweight, citing slowing growth and competition from Walmart. Pfizer — Activist investor Starboard Value took a roughly $1 billion stake , seeking a turnaround at the struggling company, sources told CNBC. American Express — The financial services stock fell more than 1% after JPMorgan downgraded shares to neutral from overweight. Ally Financial — The financial services stock added 1.4% on the back of a JPMorgan upgrade to overweight from neutral.
Persons: Jefferies, Wells, Coty, Ashley Helgans, Bernstein, headwinds, Ally, Yun Li, Samantha Subin, Alex Harring, Pia Singh, Michelle Fox Organizations: , Semiconductor, UBS, Walmart, Pfizer —, CNBC, Jefferies, Hershey, American Express, JPMorgan, Wynn Resorts, United Locations: Wells Fargo, underperform, GLP, United Arab Emirates
The S&P 500 rose 0.9% to 5,751.07, while the Nasdaq Composite jumped 1.22% to 18,137.85. Stocks rallied after data showed nonfarm payrolls grew by 254,000 jobs in September, far outpacing the forecasted gain of 150,000 from economists polled by Dow Jones. Financials were the top sector in the S&P 500 during the session, surging 1.6% and closing at a record. The S&P 500 finished up 0.22% on the week, while the Dow inched higher by 0.09%. Energy stocks have jumped this week as oil rallied, with the S&P 500 sector up 7%.
Persons: Stocks, payrolls, Dow Jones, , Michelle Cluver, Tesla, Financials, Wells Fargo, Russell Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Global, Netflix, JPMorgan Chase, Dow, Israel . Energy Locations: U.S, East, Iran, Israel
The rise and fall of the "Nifty Fifty" stocks in the 1970s is a cautionary tale for investors in the Magnificent Seven craze, according to BCA Research. The "Nifty Fifty" refers to a loose group of stocks including Coca-Cola , IBM , Xerox and Pfizer , that rose to prominence in the 1970 to 1973 bull market. The comments from BCA come as the Magnificent Seven stocks continue powering the market to new heights despite a modest pullback this summer. The surge stems from ongoing bets around growth stocks and the artificial intelligence theme, especially as the Federal Reserve begins cutting rates. NVDA YTD mountain Nvidia in 2024 There are plenty of differences between the Nifty Fifty and the Magnificent Seven, Peta said, including megacap tech names' longer track record of outperforming the market.
Persons: Doug Peta, BCA's, Peta Organizations: BCA Research, IBM, Xerox, Pfizer, BCA, Federal Reserve, Nvidia
Russia's economy is staring at "near stagnation," according to Anders Åslund. That's according to Anders Åslund, a Swedish economist who says Russia's economy is taking a bigger hit from Western sanctions than some believe. "My own view is that the current sanctions regime shaves off 2-3% of GDP each year, condemning Russia to near stagnation. AdvertisementRussia's GDP technically grew 3.6% last year, with another 3.2% real GDP growth expected in 2024, according to estimates from the International Monetary Fund. Consumer prices rose 8.5% year-per-year the week of September 17, according to official figures from Russia's Economic Development Ministry.
Persons: Anders Åslund, , Putin, Åslund, SWIFT Organizations: Service, Ukraine, Syndicate, International Monetary Fund, Labor, Economic Development Ministry, Soviet Union, Wealth Fund Locations: Swedish, Moscow, Ukraine, Russia, Soviet
Tuesday, October 1, 2024: Cramer weighs in on the impact of the geopolitical turmoil on this energy stockJim and Jeff discuss the moves for this energy stock. They also talk about the weakness in this media stock. Finally, they break down the potential tailwinds for this mega cap tech stock.
Persons: Cramer, Jeff
As Microsoft investors get ready for quarterly earnings this month, there's one particular metric that's become increasingly important: finance leases. Overall, Microsoft made $19 billion in capital expenditures in the latest quarter. "It's an insane ramp," said Charles Fitzgerald, a former Microsoft manager who writes about capital expenditures on his blog Platformonomics. Investors will get further clarity on Microsoft's lease finances when the company reports fiscal first-quarter results in late October. Executives at Microsoft and other top tech companies have approved higher capital expenditures in the past two years, often to boost their performance in generative AI.
Persons: Satya Nadella, Charles Fitzgerald Organizations: Microsoft, Investors Locations: Jakarta, Indonesia, U.S, Pennsylvania
Billionaires are backing top scientists racing to develop tech that could reverse aging. Cellular reprogramming promises to rejuvenate the body — but how does it work, and is it safe?
Then there's the upside progress made in the third quarter without the leadership of super-cap tech – the equal-weighted S & P 500 is up nearly 9% since June 30 and the Nasdaq 100 up less than 2%. Goldman Sachs here plots the S & P 500 forward P/E at the time of each initial rate cut in a cycle. For sure, a breather would make sense for the broad market, with the S & P 500 up 11 of the past 15 days. In either case, it's a notable deviation from the story of placid strength being told by the S & P 500 itself. The median Wall Street strategist target for the S & P 500 is now well below the current index level, usually not something one sees at an ultimate market peak.
Persons: Scott Chronert, isn't, Goldman Sachs, it's, John Kolovos, Bitcoin's Organizations: Nasdaq, Citi, Fed Locations: China
Google struck a $2.7 billion deal with Character.ai., largley to rehire AI expert Noam Shazeer, WSJ reported. It's an eye-popping example of how expensive and in demand top AI talent is as competition heats up. AI career experts told Business Insider it's a bit like pro sports — the superstars are worth it. AdvertisementThere are plenty of stories out there about just how ruthless the hiring wars for AI talent have gotten. Grennan predicted this pattern will continue as the AI talent window stays hot for the next three to four years.
Persons: Noam Shazeer, , Shazeer, he's, it's, Mustafa Suleyman, Karen Simonyan, Andree Mendoza, Mendoza, Sergey Brin, Zuckerberg, Meta, Altman, Conor Grennan, Grennan, Noam Shazeer isn't Organizations: Google, Service, Nvidia, Wall Street, Business, Microsoft, Carex Consulting, Big Tech, NYU's Stern School of Business, Wall, Apple
Billionaire hedge fund founder David Tepper said his big bet after the Federal Reserve's rate cut was to buy Chinese stocks. "We got a little bit longer, more Chinese stocks," Tepper continued. FXI 1D mountain iShares China Large-Cap ETF The iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) rallied more than 6% following Tepper's comments, extending its gains from a winning session for Chinese and Hong Kong stocks. Tepper also noted the Chinese market is cheaper than U.S. equities. To be sure, rising geopolitical concerns including further tariffs between the U.S. and China have spooked many investors away from the China market.
Persons: David Tepper, Tepper, CNBC's, Xi Jinping Organizations: Fed, Appaloosa Management, Baidu, Wynn Resorts, U.S Locations: China, U.S, Hong Kong, Sands
Institutional portfolios will continue to underperform due to a lack of adequate exposure to Nvidia and other winning technology names, UBS warned. Strategist Patrick Palfrey told clients that large-cap managers have 4.4% exposure to Nvidia, despite the artificial intelligence darling accounting for 6.6% of the S & P 500 . That is the biggest underweight position ever in Nvidia, according to Palfrey. As a result, "a continued TECH+ underweight is likely to remain a headwind for many portfolios," Palfrey wrote to clients. The latest evidence came Tuesday as the S & P 500 hit a record high , boosted by a 4% rally in Nvidia as CEO Huang finished selling shares for the time being under a preset trading plan.
Persons: Patrick Palfrey, Jensen, Palfrey, bode, Huang Organizations: Nvidia, UBS, Microsoft, Apple, Google
China's new stimulus measures helped boost Bernard Arnault's net worth by $6.2 billion in a day. LVMH shares surged 4% on the news. Bernard Arnault, the chairman of LVMH, saw his net worth soar $6.2 billion on Tuesday, according to data from Bloomberg, as shares of the luxury goods maker surged 4%. At one point in March, Arnault was the richest person in the world, but since the start of the year, he slipped in the net worth rankings as LVMH stock struggled and a huge mega-cap tech rally boosted the net worth of tech CEOs. AdvertisementArnault's net worth now stands at $183 billion, just ahead of Oracle cofounder Larry Ellison's $179 billion and behind the $200+ billion fortunes of Mark Zuckerberg, Jeff Bezos, and Elon Musk.
Persons: Bernard Arnault's, , Bernard Arnault, Arnault, Louis Vuitton, LVMH, Pan Gongsheng, Larry Ellison's, Mark Zuckerberg, Jeff Bezos, Elon Musk Organizations: Consumers, Service, Bloomberg, Dior, Tiffany, TAG Heuer, People's Bank of China, Oracle Locations: China
Hedge fund manager Eric Jackson believes an 'everything rally' can take hold in the stock market. Interest rate cuts, economic growth, and yield curve changes favor risk assets, according to Jackson. AdvertisementThe stock market's relentless rise higher could turn into an "everything rally," according to hedge fund manager Eric Jackson of EMJ Capital. AdvertisementHe added: "And when that happened, there was a stock market rally which lasted 10 months. The yield curve finally went positive earlier this month.
Persons: Eric Jackson, Jackson, , we've Organizations: Service, EMJ, CNBC, Nasdaq, Treasury Locations: Jackson
The outcome of November's presidential election could have major implications for some popular technology stocks. Meanwhile, a victory by Vice President Kamala Harris may lead to tighter AI regulations focused on safety, ethics and protecting consumers. AI chip giant Nvidia is another likely winner in both split scenarios and a Republican sweep. Heightened antitrust controls over Google and its local search monopoly in a Democrat sweep and split Harris government should also benefit shares of Yelp down 27% this year. Republican sweep Raymond James views Salesforce as a potential big winner in a Republican sweep, noting that "more favorable" corporate tax rates should benefit cyclical software names.
Persons: Raymond James, Donald Trump, Trump, Ed Mills, Kamala Harris, Mills, Harris, Melissa Fairbanks, John Davis, Andrew Marok, bode, Salesforce, Davis, Datadog, Adam Tindle, Josh Beck Organizations: Democrat, Veeva Systems, Flex, Visa, Democratic, Republican, Trump, Republican Senate, Microsoft, Nvidia, Verizon, U.S, Google, Apple, Texas, Intel, Qualcomm, Apollo Global Management, Arista Networks Locations: China, Washington, outperformance, Saudi Arabia, Yelp
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMercadoLibre: Argentinian e-commerce giant outperforms mega-cap techMercadoLibre, the Argentinian e-commerce giant, is emerging as a top pick on Wall Street as investors look for tech opportunities beyond the Magnificent Seven. Kate Rooney breaks down the bull case.
Persons: Kate Rooney
As things stand, Intel is the only US chip firm with plants, known as fabs, that are capable of making advanced semiconductors. TSMC is set to open a fab in Arizona next year, while reports suggest Sam Altman is seeking to raise funds to create chip manufacturing plants. Intel's customers in China include Alibaba and TikTok parent company ByteDance, which have been subject to scrutiny from the US government. "Intel's ties to key businesses in China are typical for a high-tech firm," he said. As Intel and the US consider plans to increase manufacturing capacity at home, the company's China ties will loom large in the global chip race.
Persons: , Joe Biden, Biden, Forrester's, Alvin Nguyen, HWA CHENG, Sam Altman, Pat Gelsinger, Gelsinger, Forrester's Nguyen, it's, Stacy Rasgon, Bernstein, Rasgon Organizations: Service, Intel, Business, Qualcomm, Street Journal, Bloomberg, China Intel, HWA, Getty, Nvidia, AMD, New York Times, The Times, South Korea's SK Hynix, Intel Capital, Financial, Financial Times, Yahoo Locations: chipmaking, Washington, Intel's Arizona, China, AFP, Taiwan, Arizona , New Mexico, Oregon, Arizona, Chengdu, Dalian, South, Beijing
Read previewDown rounds and flat rounds for VC-backed startups have hit an all-time high this year since 2014. And AI startups, which have been the darlings of the tech ecosystem since late 2022, aren't exempt from the trend. The deal was seen by some investors as an omen for a wider phenomenon in the AI ecosystem — an impending wave of flat rounds and down rounds. "Investors went crazy for AI startups with zero revenue, at higher valuations, which will be an issue," said Umesh Padval, managing director at Thomvest Ventures. Down rounds are on the riseIn 2022, 90.2% of AI startups in the US raised up rounds, while 6.5% raised down rounds, according to PitchBook data.
Persons: , we've, Andreas Riegler, Umesh Padval, Padval, Francesco Ricciuti Organizations: Service, Microsoft, Business, Big Tech, APEX Ventures, Jasper, Google, Thomvest Ventures, Runa Locations: London
John Roese, the global chief technology officer and chief AI officer of Dell Technologies. In the long term, those two have to come closer together to achieve the speed necessary for an AI cycle. So the quality of what you produce in your organization as a CTO — if you're going to provide models built in-house — better be superstar quality, or no one's using it. Once you understand that those are high level, then you have to ask if you are actually on a path where if you apply AI, you're going to get to an outcome. DeCesare: I've been most inspired to drive the leverage of AI through the company by finding out how people have applied it.
Persons: Emma Cosgrove, La'Naia Jones, John Roese, Elaine Zhou, Faisal Masud, Erin DeCesare, What's, it's, Claude, It's, She's, ChatGPT, Cosgrove, we've, cocreate, that's, We've, Masud, That's, they're, Jones, You've, Everyone's, Aaron, Jensen, Huang, I've Organizations: Business, BI's, CIA, Dell Technologies, HP, Star, Amazon, Nvidia Locations: Spain, Madrid, Silicon
Stock market highs are expected to continue into 2025, according to Oppenheimer's Ari Wald. AdvertisementWald's 6,000 price target for the S&P 500 is based on the median bull market cycle. "The S&P 500 is up 64% over the 23 months between October 2022 and September 2024. And if the current bull market follows the path of the average bull market, stocks could continue to rise through the end of 2025 with the S&P 500 rising to around the 7,000 level. "We view the cycle high for Industrials as confirmation of an intact bull market," Wall said.
Persons: Oppenheimer's Ari Wald, Wald, , Oppenheimer, Ari Wald, it's, Wall, " Wald Organizations: Service, New York Stock Exchange, ISI Locations: That's
There are key stock market catalysts on the horizon before November. In a Monday note, Bank of America highlighted the most important days for the stock market between now and the November Presidential election. AdvertisementBank of AmericaNovember 6Technically the day after the election, the most important day for the stock market is November 6, when markets can react to the results. The stock market experienced a similar-sized move on the day after the prior Presidential election, with the S&P 500 jumping 2.2% on November 4, 2020. But now that the Fed has started its cutting cycle, we think labor market data (e.g.
Persons: Organizations: Service, Federal, Bank of America, Investors, Fed Locations: United States
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