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☆ Surging inflation fears sent markets tumbling and Fed officials scrambling
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-13 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Energy prices, which have been a major factor in the past two months' inflation readings, pushed higher on signs of further geopolitical turmoil. Minutes released Wednesday from the March Fed meeting showed officials were concerned about higher inflation and looking for more convincing evidence it is on a steady path lower. Sticky price CPI entails items such as housing, motor vehicle insurance and medical care services, while flexible price is concentrated in food, energy and vehicle prices. "If that's the case, you would require a decent amount of unemployment to get inflation all the way to 2.0%." That's why Furman and others have pushed for the Fed to rethink it's determined commitment to 2% inflation.

Persons: Spencer Platt, —, Stocks, Jason Furman, We've, Israel, Jim Paulsen, Wells, Substack, Paulsen, Furman, Barack Obama, Jamie Dimon, John Williams, Susan Collins, it's, Larry Fink Organizations: Getty, Investors, Dow Jones, CNBC, of Economic Advisers, New York Fed, National Federation of Independent Business, Labor Department, JPMorgan, University of Michigan's, Boston, Commerce, CPI, Citigroup, Fed, Atlanta Fed, Dallas Fed, Harvard, BlackRock Locations: Manhattan, New York City, Iran, Israel

☆ The stunning strength of the US economy means the soft landing may already be here, Evercore founder says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-12 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The US economy may have already stuck the soft landing, according to Evercore founder Roger Altman. AdvertisementThe US economy may have successfully avoided a recession and is already gliding toward a soft landing, according to Evercore founder Roger Altman. AdvertisementThose are big reasons stocks remain buoyant despite a sell-off this week as markets repriced expectations for Fed rate cuts. "Everything by and large is going right in the US economy," Altman said, noting that inflation is usually sticky as it falls from a peak. Arguably, the soft landing already has happened."

Persons: Roger Altman, Altman, —, David Rosenberg Organizations: Service, CNBC, Atlanta Fed, Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, The New, Fed, National Association for Business Economics Locations: —

☆ The Fed might not be done raising interest rates just yet
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Inflation slowed substantially in 2023 as the Fed lifted rates to nearly a quarter-century high and held them at that level since July. Still, most Fed officials have signaled that they plan to cut rates this year if the economy evolves as expected. And if the inflation situation worsens even further, the Fed may even have to consider raising rates. Like Bowman and Kashkari, New York Fed President John Williams said rate hikes aren’t part of his baseline outlook. The timing of that first rate cut is critical because if the Fed cuts too soon, it risks locking in inflation at a high level.

Persons: hasn’t, Michelle Bowman, Neel Kashkari, Bowman, John Williams, he’s, ” Williams, Williams, Jerome Powell, Susan Collins, ” Collins, Powell, Larry Summers, ” Summers, Summers, Goldman Sachs, ” Organizations: CNN, Wall, Federal Reserve, ” Minneapolis, Kashkari , New York Fed, Boston, CPI, Bloomberg, UBS, Barclays, Bank of America Locations: Kashkari , New

☆ With inflation stalling, the long-predicted storm clouds in the economy may actually be forming
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-10 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

New York CNN —Jamie Dimon warned two years ago that storm clouds and a hurricane were brewing in the US economy. On top of that, the unemployment rate has stayed below 4% for more than two years despite 11 rate hikes intended to slow the economy in an effort to curb decades-high inflation. But potentially persistent inflation isn’t the only red flag in the economy right now. Small-business owners haven’t felt this bad about the economy in over a decadeAlthough the economy is booming by many measures, including last month’s blowout jobs report, small business owners aren’t feeling gung-ho about it. That’s significant because that cohort is experiencing an even lower unemployment rate than the nation overall.

Persons: Jamie Dimon, Dimon, Michelle Bowman, she’s, Bowman, ” Bowman, haven’t, Holly Wade, Bill Dunkelberg, aren’t Organizations: New, New York CNN, JPMorgan Chase, Federal Reserve, FactSet, National Federation of Independent, York Locations: New York

☆ China's plan for reinvigorating its economy has the West worried, but others still see an opportunity
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-08 | by ( Jordan Parker Erb | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

In today's big story, we're looking at how China's plan for reinvigorating its economy has the rest of the world worried . The country is overproducing goods and then flooding global markets with them to save its struggling economy, writes Business Insider's Huileng Tan. Decades ago, as the country opened up its economy, China underwent rapid industrialization, allowing it to produce cheap goods. AdvertisementUS Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has already warned China shock 2.0 could destabilize the global economy, specifically impacting green-energy exports . He pointed to China's GDP growth outpacing the US when the numbers are adjusted for disinflation and inflation in each country, respectively.

Persons: —, Chelsea Jia Feng, Huileng Tan, Huileng, China's, Janet Yellen, Tyler Le, Ray Dalio, that's, it's, Dalio's, Nicholas R, Lardy, Donald Trump, M, There's, Angus Deaton, Walter Huang, Sevonne Huang, Justin Sullivan, Alyssa Powell, Tesla, Hubspot, Mikel Jaso, Zers, That's, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover, Grace Lett Organizations: Service, Business, West, New York Federal Reserve, Bridgewater Associates, Getty, Apple, Reuters, Google, McKinsey Locations: China, Glendale, Ariz, New York, London, Chicago

☆ Here's how much engineering students make in the middle of their careers
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-04 | by ( Jacob Zinkula | Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Mid-career median wages of bachelor's degree graduates who majored in engineering are robust. The median mid-career wage for four types of engineering majors was $100,000. Five types of engineering majors had a median wage above $100,000, including electrical and chemical. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Mid-career wages in this analysis means full-time workers between the ages of 35 and 45.

Persons: — Organizations: Service, New, Survey, Business Locations: New York

☆ Google says crypto fraudsters are making it look bad
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-04 | by ( Grace Eliza Goodwin | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Google is suing two crypto scammers it says threatened the integrity of its platforms. Scammers tricked Google Play into hosting 87 fake crypto apps, conning over 100,000 users, Google says. The lawsuit alleges the fraudsters tricked Google into accepting their apps on its app store, Google Play, by misrepresenting their identity, location, and intent. Advertisement"By using Google Play to conduct their Fraud Scheme, Defendants have threatened the integrity of Google Play and the user experience," the lawsuit states. "Defendant's scheme has thus impaired Google users' confidence and trust in Google, its services, and its platforms."

Persons: Scammers, —, Halimah DeLaine Prado Organizations: Google, Service Locations: New York, Shenzhen, China, Hong Kong

☆ Shvartsman brothers plead guilty to insider trading on Trump Media merger plans
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-03 | by ( Dan Mangan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

"I've made a terrible mistake," Gerald Shvartsman, 46, told Judge Lewis Liman in Manhattan federal court as he pleaded guilty, according to the Associated Press. Michael Shvartsman, 53, and Gerald Shvartsman, who owns a furniture manufacturing company, are scheduled to be sentenced on July 17. Sentencing guidelines recommend that Gerald Shvartsman, who netted about $4.6 million in illegal trading profits, receive a prison term of between 33 and 41 months. Alan Futerfas, a lawyer for Michael Shvartsman, declined to comment on the guilty plea. A lawyer for Gerald Shvartsman did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Michael Shvartsman, Gerald Shvartsman, DWAC, I've, Judge Lewis Liman, Bruce Garelick, Michael Shvartsman's, Liman, Damian Williams, Alan Futerfas Organizations: Trump Media & Technology Group, Trump Media, Associated Press, Rocket, Manhattan U.S Locations: Florida, New York, Manhattan, Michael Shvartsman's Miami

☆ A group of NY inmates are so desperate to see the upcoming solar eclipse that they're suing to witness the phenomenon
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-02 | by ( Natalie Musumeci | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Read previewA rare solar eclipse will soon cross the United States — and six inmates at a New York prison are so desperate to witness the phenomenon that they're suing the state corrections department over it. Related storiesThe lawsuit argues that the corrections department's decision to lock down its prisons statewide on April 8 "illegally prohibits" the group of inmates from observing the solar eclipse. Though Woodbourne Correctional Facility is not included on that list, an interactive map by NASA shows that the prison will be impacted by the solar eclipse. No inmates will be allowed outside to watch the solar eclipse, according to Mailey. The lawsuit says that the atheist plaintiff was granted a special request to view the solar eclipse, but that was before the lockdown rules were put in place.

Persons: —, they're, Sharon Steinerman, Alston, Bird, Thomas Mailey, Mailey Organizations: Service, Business, of Corrections, Adventist, Department of Corrections, Community Supervision, Woodbourne, NASA Locations: United States, New York, Woodbourne, Sullivan County

☆ Will A.I. Boost Productivity? Companies Sure Hope So.
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-01 | by ( Jordyn Holman | Jeanna Smialek | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Rapid productivity improvement is the dream for both companies and economic policymakers. If output per hour holds steady, firms must either sacrifice profits or raise prices to pay for wage increases or investment projects. Economies experiencing productivity booms can experience rapid wage gains and quick growth without as much risk of rapid inflation. — especially generative A.I., which is still in its infancy — has spread enough to show up in productivity data already. “may” have the potential to increase productivity growth, “but probably not in the short run.” John C. Williams, president of the New York Fed, has made similar remarks, specifically citing the work of the Northwestern University economist Robert Gordon.

Persons: Jerome H, Powell, ” John C, Williams, Robert Gordon Organizations: Ben, Abercrombie, Fitch’s, Federal Reserve, New York Fed, Northwestern University

☆ The Fed needs to 'kill the zombie' with a high-rate-induced recession before investors should jump in to buy more stocks, strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-29 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Investors need to wait for a recession and accompanying rate cuts before putting more cash into stocks, Canaccord's Tony Dwyer says. Under such a scenario, the Fed would leave interest rates higher for longer to induce a downturn, then cut rates, Dwyer says. That's actually good news for investors, Dwyer said, as a downturn is the buying opportunity investors need to wait for:"You need to kill the zombie. A slowing economy could push the Fed to issue rate cuts — the monetary easing tool investors have been eagerly anticipating. Some Wall Street forecasters have warned interest rates could stay higher-for-longer as the Fed is looking to avoid a resurgence in inflation.

Persons: Canaccord's Tony Dwyer, Dwyer, —, Tony Dwyer, Canaccord, that's, haven't, Russell Organizations: Service, CNBC, of Labor Statistics, New York Fed

☆ 14 college majors where the typical graduate is making at least $100,000 by the middle of their careers
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-28 | by ( Jacob Zinkula | Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

The New York Fed analyzed the mid-career wages of college graduates with a bachelor's degree. Those graduates aged 35 to 45 with one of 14 majors had a median wage of at least $100,000 a year. Nine of those 14 college majors were related to engineering. AdvertisementWhen undergraduate college students choose their majors, there can be several factors that go into their decisions. A New York Fed analysis of 2022 American Community Survey data found that college graduates who majored in one of 14 areas of study had a median mid-career wage of at least $100,000 a year.

Persons: — Organizations: New, Fed, Service, Survey, Business Locations: New York

☆ China's attempts to revive its economy could cause a 'sugar high' that pushes US inflation higher, new research says
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-25 | by ( Aruni Soni | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

China's attempts to revive its economy could push US inflation higher, new research says. To stimulate its economy, China policymakers are encouraging investments in the manufacturing sector. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . A period of manufacturing-led growth would create a short-term "sugar high," a report from the New York Federal Reserve said. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.

Persons: China's, — Organizations: Service, New York Federal Reserve, Business Locations: China

☆ FTX's victims may get all their money back. The judge sentencing Sam Bankman-Fried might not care.
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-24 | by ( Jacob Shamsian | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +12 min

Sam Bankman-Fried bilked FTX customers out of over $8 billion, according to prosecutors. AdvertisementAccording to federal prosecutors, Sam Bankman-Fried orchestrated one of the biggest criminal frauds in the history of the world. According to his lawyers, FTX's customers might get all their money back. According to prosecutors, Bankman-Fried was responsible for more than $11 billion in fraud overall between FTX customers and investors in FTX and Alameda Research. The recovered calculations, too, distort how much money customers are actually getting back.

Persons: Sam Bankman, —, Fried, FTX, John J, Ray III, Ray, Lewis Kaplan, Kaplan, Sarah Krissoff, Cozen O'Connor, Krissoff, it's, Sarah Silbiger, Bankman, bitcoin, Rachel Maimin, Lowenstein Sandler, Barbara Fried, Mark Cohen, Jane Rosenberg Bankman, Maiman, Maimin, Caroline Ellison Organizations: Service, FTX, Bankman, Alameda Research, US, United States, Second Circuit, U.S . House Financial, Capitol, Reuters, K5 Global, Prosecutors, Wall, REUTERS, Business, of Prisons, Alemda Research Locations: FTX, Manhattan, New Jersey, New York, Washington , U.S

☆ The best- and worst-paying college majors, 5 years after graduation
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-24 | by ( Mike Winters | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

If you want to make the most money possible right after college, study to be an engineer. Engineering degrees occupy nine of the top 16 college majors with the highest incomes five years after graduation, a recent New York Federal Reserve study reveals. Computer engineering majors ranked first with an annual median salary of $80,000, followed by chemical engineering and computer science — the only two other majors that earn more than $75,000 annually. They make roughly double that of the lowest-paid majors, which tend to be degrees in the liberal arts or humanities. Here are the 16 highest-paying college majors, five years after graduation:

Organizations: York Federal, Computer

☆ The 16 worst-paying college majors, five years after graduation
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-16 | by ( Mike Winters | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

All three majors made a median annual income of $38,000, the lowest out of the 75 majors in the study. Other low-paying majors include leisure and hospitality, history, fine arts and psychology, all of which made $40,000 or less per year. With liberal arts degrees, graduates tend to get paid less overall, for various reasons. Education majors tend to be paid less, as well. When looking at "mid-career" graduates — those ages 35 to 45 — education majors are the worst paid among all majors.

Organizations: York Federal, Census, Economic Locations: U.S

☆ U.S. could be facing stagflation as jobs market cracks, inflation remains sticky, warns BofA's Hartnett
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-15 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stubbornly high inflation and a wobbly jobs market are combining to pose an ominous threat to the U.S. economy, Bank of America chief market strategist Michael Hartnett warned. The result is a narrative of "macro shifting from Q4/Q1 'Goldilocks' to Q1/Q2 'Stagflation,'" Hartnett said in his weekly "Flow Show" note to clients dated Thursday. As Hartnett indicated, the U.S. closed 2023 with the labor market looking strong and GDP posting a solid 3.2% gain. On the jobs market, while nonfarm payrolls have risen strongly , household employment actually is down by about 900,000 since November and full-time jobs have declined by nearly 1.8 million. The Fed is "implicitly ... tolerating higher inflation" as way to inflate the debt away, a condition that means "weaker policy credibility = weaker currency … why crypto & gold [are] at all-time highs."

Persons: Michael Hartnett, Hartnett, Stagflation, nonfarm, specter, That's Organizations: Bank of America, Federal Reserve, New, Fed, U.S ., Atlanta Fed, Nasdaq Locations: U.S

☆ Boeing’s problems could soon become your problem
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-15 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Washington CNN —Boeing’s problems aren’t just Boeing’s. One of America’s biggest manufacturers is dealing with some serious production, quality and safety problems that worsened this week after a 787 Dreamliner plunged suddenly mid-flight, injuring dozens of passengers. Southwest and United earlier this week said they expect Boeing to ship them fewer planes than they planned on receiving, so they’ll hire fewer pilots. (Boeing continued to build the 737 Max throughout the crisis). And Boeing’s years of problems have led to success for its French rival Airbus, which has overtaken Boeing as the world’s largest aircraft manufacturer.

Persons: Washington CNN —, aren’t, ” Kathy Bostjancic, “, ”, ” José Torres, Max, ” Lisa Simon Organizations: Washington CNN, America’s, Boeing, Airbus, Alaska Airlines, Nationwide, CNN, Interactive Brokers, New York Fed, The New, Fed, Boeing hasn’t, Federal Aviation Administration, Revelio Labs Locations: Southwest, ”

☆ Ron Insana: A market shake-up could be around the corner as inflation remains sticky
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-15 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Here's a question on the minds of investors amid recent hotter-than-anticipated inflation readings and this powerful rally: Are we due for a stock market scare? However, as of late, there have been some early warning signs that the declines in inflation may be slowing. Other areas have also sent up some flags that could adversely affect stocks and bonds in the short run. However, it is unwise to ignore what market signals are suggesting, at least in the short run. But in the short run, we should remain on heightened alert for changes in this year's outlook.

Persons: It's, I'm, John Maynard Keynes, Ron Insana Organizations: Federal Reserve, New York Federal Reserve, West Texas, Atlanta Federal, CNBC, Financial Partners Locations: York

☆ This week provided a reminder that inflation isn't going away anytime soon
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-14 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

From consumer and wholesale prices to longer-term public expectations, reports this week served up multiple reminders this week that inflation isn't going away anytime soon. Data across the board showed pressures increasing at a faster-than-expected pace, causing concern that inflation could be more durable than policymakers had anticipated. The bad news began Monday when a New York Federal Reserve survey showed the consumer expectations over the longer term had accelerated in February. It continued Tuesday with news that consumer prices rose 3.2% from a year ago, and then culminated Thursday with a release indicating that pipeline pressures at the wholesale level also are heating up. The latest jolt on inflation came Thursday when the Labor Department reported that the producer price index, a forward-looking measure of pipeline inflation at the wholesale level, showed a 0.6% increase in February.

Persons: Steven Blitz, Dow Jones Organizations: New York Federal Reserve, TS Lombard, Labor Department, department's Bureau of Labor Statistics

☆ The 16 highest-paying college majors, 5 years after graduation
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-14 | by ( Mike Winters | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

If you're looking for a college degree with maximum earning potential, you'll want to be an engineer. Engineering degrees took nine of the top 16 rankings for college majors with the highest income five years after graduation, according to a recent New York Federal Reserve study of full-time workers. Computer engineering majors ranked first with an annual median salary of $80,000, followed by chemical engineering and computer science — the only two other majors that pay more than $75,000 annually. STEM jobs — science, technology, engineering and mathematics — are expected to grow twice as fast as non-STEM jobs through 2031. Here are the 16 highest-paying college majors:

Organizations: York Federal, Computer

☆ Nearly everyone has given up on their recession call, and that makes the outlook 'dangerously reminiscent' of 2007, SocGen says
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-13 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Recession views are dangerously similar to those in 2007, SocGen's Albert Edwards said. Soft landing or no landing outlooks are growing on Wall Street as the US appears on solid economic footing. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Those signs appear lost on many other market commentators, who have dialed back their recession views in the last few months. "All this is (dangerously) reminiscent of 2007, when all around were telling me I was wrong and should give up calling that much-delayed recession," he later added.

Persons: SocGen's Albert Edwards, Edwards, —, Société, Albert Edwards, That's, Doom, Nouriel Roubini Organizations: Service, Chicago, York Fed's Survey, Consumer, National Federation of Independent Business, National Association of Business, Fed, Investor Locations: York

☆ Opinion: What Hunter Biden and Donald Trump have in common
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-13 | by ( Opinion Andrey Spektor | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

CNN —Hunter Biden won’t be returning to the spotlight next week as the House Oversight Committee had hoped. The problem with the Hunter Biden investigation, though, is not its potential reliance on the word of a compromised informant. And in that sense, Hunter Biden shares something in common with an unlikely person: Trump, at least with respect to his criminal case in New York. Much like the gun charge against Hunter Biden, the tax indictment has left many former federal white-collar prosecutors like me scratching their heads. That doesn’t mean that Trump or Hunter Biden are innocent; indeed, the former has more serious cases to contend with.

Persons: Andrey Spektor, Bryan Cave Leighton Paisner, CNN — Hunter Biden won’t, James Comer’s, Joe Biden, Andrey Spektor Bryan Cave Leighton, Hunter, Alexander Smirnov, Biden, you’ve, Smirnov, Hunter Biden, –, Donald Trump –, that’s, Trump, Hunter Biden’s Organizations: CNN, Republicans, Biden, Republican, Department of Justice Tax, IRS, DOJ’s Locations: New York

☆ A key inflation reading is due out Tuesday morning. Here's what to expect
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-11 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Excluding food and energy, the increase for core inflation, is forecast at a 0.3% gain, also one-tenth of a percentage point above the previous month. On a year-over-year basis, headline inflation is expected to show a 3.1% gain and core inflation a 3.7% increase when the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics releases its latest reading on the consumer price index Tuesday at 8:30 a.m. On the brighter side, House said lower prices on travel, medical care and other services helped keep inflation in check. Still, Wells Fargo has raised its full-year inflation forecast. Focusing on the core personal consumption expenditures price index, the preferred Fed gauge, Wells Fargo sees inflation at 2.5% for the year, versus a prior estimate for 2.2%.

Persons: Elijah Nouvelage, Dow Jones, Sarah House, Wells, Wells Fargo Organizations: Kroger, AFP, Getty, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Fed, AAA, CPI, Wells, New York Fed Locations: Atlanta , Georgia, Wells Fargo, isn't

☆ Long-term inflation expectations rise, spelling possible trouble for the Fed, survey shows
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-11 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

According to a report by the Commerce Department, consumer spending rose 0.8% in July beating expectations of 0.7%. At the three-year range, expectations rose 0.3 percentage point to 2.7%, while the five-year outlook jumped even more, up 0.4 percentage point to 2.9%. All three are well ahead of the Fed's 2% goal for 12-month inflation, indicating the central bank may need to keep policy tighter for longer. Economists and policymakers consider expectations as a key factor in viewing the path of inflation, so the Survey of Consumer Expectations for February could be bad news. "We remain committed to bringing inflation back down to our 2 percent goal and to keeping longer-term inflation expectations well anchored."

Persons: Justin Sullivan, Jerome Powell Organizations: Costco, Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, New York Federal Reserve, Capitol Locations: Novato , California

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