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Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. Market participants will parse commentary from Fed Board Governor Christopher Waller and New York Fed President John Williams later on Tuesday for more clues on the central bank's interest rate path. Among the 11 major S&P 500 sectors, energy (.SPNY) led declines tracking a 2% fall in crude prices on mixed economic data from China. Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 2.30-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and for a 1.55-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P index recorded three new 52-week highs and no new low, while the Nasdaq recorded 12 new highs and 48 new lows.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Dow Jones, Neel Kashkari, Austan Goolsbee, Sam Stovall, Christopher Waller, John Williams, Jerome Powell's, Stovall, Wall, advancers, Amruta Khandekar, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Chicago Fed, CFRA Research, Treasury, U.S, Fed, New York Fed, Dow Jones, Uber Technologies, Mongodb, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, China, Bengaluru

Tuesday data showing a larger-than-expected fall in German industrial production in September contributed to the euro's weakness, said Fiona Cincotta, senior financial market analyst at City Index. The euro, like most other currencies, gained sharply on the dollar last week as a series of data points - most notably U.S. data from Friday showing job growth slowed in October - sent the U.S. unit lower. The dollar fell 1.4% last week, its steepest decline since mid-July, a sharp reversal after a recent run higher. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari said on Monday the U.S. central bank likely has more work ahead to control inflation. The yen softened to 151.74 per dollar last week, edging closer to October 2022 lows that spurred several rounds of dollar-selling intervention.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Fiona Cincotta, Chester Ntonifor, Neel Kashkari, Jerome Powell, Carol Kong, Kong, Ankur Banerjee, Alun John, Sam Holmes, Miral Fahmy, Edmund Klamann, Kim Coghill, Emelia Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, PMI, Federal, Treasury, BCA Research, Fed, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, U.S, Bank, Australian, Commonwealth Bank of, Aussie, Thomson Locations: Rights SINGAPORE, LONDON, U.S, Australia, Tokyo, Singapore, London

☆ Morning Bid: Some payback, but bonds hug gains on oil
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The oil price slide was helped by signs from Israel that it's open to pauses in the Gaza fighting. The typically hawkish Minneapolis Fed boss Neel Kashkari insisted it was still too early to take another rate hike off the table. Elsewhere, the Reserve Bank of Australia raised its policy interest rate again, as expected, by another quarter point to a 12-year high of 4.35%. Overall, the global stocks picture reflected some of the cooling of last week's rally and some of the China export numbers. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Lucas Jackson, Mike Dolan, that's, Neel Kashkari, Christopher Waller, Michael Barr, John Williams, Lorie Logan, Jeffrey Schmid, Zimmer, Jack Henry, Akamai, Christina Fincher Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Minneapolis Fed, International Monetary Fund, Reserve Bank of Australia, Asia bourses, UBS, Credit Suisse, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Michael Barr , New York Fed, Dallas Fed, Horton, Mosaic, Emerson Electric, Occidental, Devon Energy, Products, Chemicals, Gen, Fidelity, Reuters, Reuters Graphics, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, Israel, Gaza, China, Asia, Japan, Hong Kong, Swiss, Canada, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Michael Barr ,, Lorie Logan , Kansas, eBay, Gilead, Occidental Petroleum

☆ Fed’s Neel Kashkari Not Convinced Rate Hikes Are Over
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( Bob Fernandez | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Neel Kashkari, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, said he has concerns about inflation “ticking up again. That’s what I’m worried about.” Photo: MIKE SEGAR/REUTERSA top Federal Reserve official said he would err on the side of overtightening monetary policy rather than not doing enough to bring inflation down to the central bank’s 2% target. “Undertightening will not get us back to 2% in a reasonable time,” Neel Kashkari , the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, said in an interview with The Wall Street Journal on Monday.

Persons: Neel Kashkari, MIKE SEGAR, Undertightening, ” Neel Kashkari Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of, ”, REUTERS, Federal, Wall Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

☆ Dollar steady as risk rally eases, RBA in focus
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( Ankur Banerjee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

U.S. one dollar banknotes are seen in front of displayed stock graph in this illustration taken, February 8, 2021. The Australian dollar was 0.23% lower at $0.6474, but remained close to the three-month peak of $0.6523 touched on Monday. "I think the RBA will probably reiterate its tightening bias," said Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia. "But I think it's still too early to say the latest easing in the dollar will be sustained. The yen hit 151.74 per dollar last week, edging closer to October 2022 lows that spurred several rounds of dollar-selling intervention.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Carol Kong, Neel Kashkari, Jerome Powell, Powell, CBA's, Sterling, Kazuo Ueda, Ankur Banerjee, Sam Holmes Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Reserve Bank of Australia, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, New Zealand, Fed, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, U.S, Bank of Japan, Thomson Locations: Rights SINGAPORE, Tokyo, Singapore

☆ Kashkari: Fed has more work to do to control inflation
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( Michael S. Derby | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

Neel Kashkari, President and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, attends an interview with Reuters in New York City, New York, U.S., May 22, 2023. REUTERS/Mike Segar/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Nov 6 (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari said on Monday that the U.S. central bank likely has more work ahead of it to control inflation. “The economy has proved to be really resilient even though we’ve raised interest rates a lot over the past couple of years. Kashkari's comments suggested he is still leaning toward raising interest rates again. But with price pressures falling, many in markets believe the Fed is done with raising rates.

Persons: Neel Kashkari, Mike Segar, we’ve, Kashkari, Michael S, Leslie Adler, Matthew Lewis Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Reuters, REUTERS, Fox News, Fed, Derby, Thomson Locations: New York City , New York, U.S, New York

Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari doused hopes of early rate cuts late on Monday, saying the central bank likely has more work ahead of it to control inflation. Market participants will parse commentary from Fed Board Governor Christopher Waller and New York Fed President John Williams later on Tuesday for more clues on the central bank's interest rate path. Uncertainty about the timing of potential rate cuts and some dismal corporate forecasts for the fourth quarter have cast a doubt on whether there could be a year-end rally for stocks. ET, Dow e-minis were down 106 points, or 0.31%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 14.5 points, or 0.33%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 43.25 points, or 0.28%.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Neel Kashkari, Christopher Waller, John Williams, Jerome Powell's, Ipek Ozkardeskaya, Amruta Khandekar, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Companies, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Treasury, U.S, Fed, New York Fed, Swissquote Bank, EBay, Dow e, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Occidental Petroleum, Intel, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, China

☆ U.S. crude oil prices fall below $78 a barrel to their lowest since July
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( Spencer Kimball | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

An oil pumpjack pulls oil from the Permian Basin oil field in Odessa, Texas, on March 14, 2022. U.S. crude prices on Tuesday fell below $78 a barrel to hit the lowest point since July as weak global economic data overshadowed concerns that the Israel-Hamas war could erupt into a broader regional conflict. Beijing's crude oil imports rose by volume and value in October, but the country's overall exports fell more than expected, indicating slowing global demand. The data out of China offset the effect of Saudi Arabia's and Russia's oil output cuts, which lifted oil prices earlier in the week. Oil prices had spiked in the week following Hamas' devastating terrorist attacks on Israel on concerns that the war could escalate into a broader regional conflict that disrupts oil supply.

Persons: Brent, Neel Kashkari, Kashkari, — CNBC's Evelyn Cheng Organizations: West Texas, Minneapolis Federal, Bloomberg Television, CNBC PRO Locations: Odessa , Texas, Israel, China, Minneapolis, U.S, Saudi, Riyadh, Moscow

☆ Dollar steady as risk rally eases, Reserve Bank of Australia in focus
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

A man walking past the Reserve Bank of Australia in the central business district of Sydney on June 7, 2022. The dollar was steady on Tuesday, holding overnight gains as investors took a breather from a risk rally, while the Australian currency drifted lower ahead of a central bank interest rates decision later in the day. All eyes in Asian hours will be on the Reserve Bank of Australia, which is widely expected to raise rates by 25 basis points, snapping four months of on hold policy decisions. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari said on Monday the U.S. central bank likely has more work ahead of it to control inflation. The yen hit 151.74 per dollar last week, edging closer to October 2022 lows that spurred several rounds of dollar-selling intervention.

Persons: Carol Kong, Neel Kashkari, Jerome Powell, Powell, CBA's, Sterling, Kazuo Ueda Organizations: Reserve Bank of Australia, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, New Zealand, Fed, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, U.S, Bank of Japan Locations: Sydney, Tokyo

☆ Gold slips as dollar firms, Powell speech eyed for cues on rates
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold bars of different sizes lie in a safe on a table at the precious metals dealer Pro Aurum. Gold prices fell to a near two-week low on Tuesday as the dollar firmed and safe-haven demand slowed, while investors awaited comments from Federal Reserve officials, including Chair Jerome Powell, for more clarity on the interest rate outlook. Spot gold fell 0.5% to $1,968.30 per ounce by 0717 GMT, its lowest since Oct. 25. The dollar rose 0.3% after hitting a six-week low in the previous session, making gold more expensive for other currency holders. SPDR Gold Trust , the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings rose 0.50% to 867.57 tonnes on Monday.

Persons: Jerome Powell, it's, Kyle Rodda, Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel, Neel Kashkari, Powell, Rodda Organizations: Aurum, Federal Reserve, Capital.com, Fed Bank of Minneapolis, Investors, Trust Locations: Gaza

☆ The S&P 500 hits best winning streak in 2 years as stocks extend gains amid falling bond yields
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The S&P 500 just notched its longest winning streak since November 2021. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementAdvertisementUS stocks rose on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 notching its best winning streak since November 2021 as bond yields continued to fall back. All three benchmark indexes traded higher, with the S&P 500 notching its seventh-straight winning session, while the Nasdaq Composite closed higher for the eighth consecutive trading session. Still, investors are keeping an eye on elevated interest rates and the potential for key government bond yields to spike again after they fell back from 16-year highs.

Persons: —, Neel Kashkari Organizations: Nasdaq, Fed, Service, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Minneapolis, Dow Jones

☆ Morning Bid: Stocks clocking best week of the year
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-03 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. The U.S. October employment report out later on Friday caps a hectic two weeks of central bank decisions, company updates and unnerving geopolitics. As the first major marker of U.S. economic strength in the final quarter of the year, the payrolls report packs a punch despite expected strike-related distortions. The interest rate relief this week is pervasive, however, as the Fed, ECB and BoE all paused tightening and U.S. Treasury debt sales worries ebbed somewhat. U.S. Treasury (.MOVE) and equity market (.BIX) volatility gauges have subsided to their lowest levels since early last month.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, BoE, ebbed, Antony Blinken, Sam Bankman, Fried, Michael Barr, Neel Kashkari, Huw Pill, Emelia Sithole Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Mike, U.S, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and Bank of England, Apple, Fed, ECB, Treasury, U.S . Treasury, Labor Department, Eversource Energy, Cardinal Health, Dominion Energy, Gartner, Church, Dwight, AMC, Liberty Media, Icahn Enterprises, Federal, Bank of England, Israel Productivity, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Isreal, Gaza, Gaza City, Canada, Minneapolis, Israel

☆ The Fed is about to make its next move. Here are 8 quotes from Jerome Powell and other central bankers that point to what comes next.
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-25 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

After 11 interest rate hikes, Federal Reserve officials appear divided on next steps. Jerome Powell and other central bankers have signaled another rate hike could be on the table. Since the Federal Open Market Committee's September meeting, several central bankers have signaled that interest rates could still go higher. Atlanta Fed President, Raphael Bostic, October 20: "I really do try to keep people focused on what inflation is, still at 3.7%. Federal Reserve chairman, Jerome Powell, October 19: "Financial conditions have tightened significantly in recent months, and longer-term bond yields have been an important driving factor in this tightening.

Persons: Jerome Powell, —, CME's, Patrick Harker, Raphael Bostic, Neel Kashkari, Lorie Logan, Christopher Waller, Susan Collins Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Federal, Market, Philadelphia Fed, Atlanta Fed, Minneapolis Fed, Dallas Fed, Governors, Boston Fed

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 26, 2023. On the earnings front, consumer goods maker Procter & Gamble (PG.N) edged up 0.2% after its quarterly sales topped market expectations. EV maker Tesla (TSLA.O) and streaming services company Netflix (NFLX.O) are scheduled to report quarterly results after market close. ET, Dow e-minis were down 93 points, or 0.27%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 18.5 points, or 0.42%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 88.25 points, or 0.58%. Travelers Companies (TRV.N) reported a 14% fall in quarterly profit.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Joe Biden, Morgan Stanley, New York's John Williams, Governors Christopher Waller, Michelle Bowman, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Patrick Harker, Neel Kashkari, Ankika Biswas, Shashwat Chauhan, Arun Koyyur, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, United Airlines, Dow, Nasdaq, U.S, Chevron, Exxon Mobil, Occidental Petroleum, Treasury, Procter, Gamble, Abbott Laboratories, Tesla, Netflix, Federal Reserve, Governors, Generale, Philadelphia Fed, Wall Street Journal, Minneapolis, Dow e, Nvidia, Biden, China . United Airlines Holdings, Rivals American Airlines, Delta Air Lines, Interactive, Travelers Companies, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, United, Gaza, Israel, New, China, Bengaluru

☆ Why Fed officials aren’t addressing the Israel-Hamas war the way they did with Ukraine
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-17 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Emma Jones, a spokesperson for the Fed, declined to comment on why many Fed officials, who in the past moved swiftly to acknowledge the war in Ukraine, weren’t addressing the war in Israel. There are some Fed officials who are starting to talk about it, though — albeit only when asked questions. Fed officials see little immediate threat to the US economyAtlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic was the first to speak about the war, at the American Bankers Association’s annual conference last Tuesday. That’s probably why more Fed officials were quicker to acknowledge the war in Ukraine, Dorn said. “I don’t think the Fed wants to look like they’re taking sides,” Dorn added — but said Fed officials could easily talk about it without looking partial.

Persons: Chris Waller, ” Waller, Michael Barr, Philip Jefferson, Michelle Bowman, Lorie Logan, Emma Jones, James Dorn, “, ”, Raphael Bostic, Bostic, Neel Kashkari didn’t, aren't, they're, Al Drago, Susan Collins, ” Collins, Patrick Harker, we’ve, Harker, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, ” Dorn, Dorn, There’s, Gregory Daco, Daco Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, ”, Dallas Fed, Fed, Cato Institute, CNN, Atlanta Fed, American Bankers, Minot State University, Minneapolis, Federal, Bloomberg, Getty, ” Boston, Wellesley College, Philadelphia Fed, Delaware State Chamber of Commerce, JPMorgan, Rystad Energy Locations: New York, Ukraine, Russia, Israel, Waller’s, North Dakota, Delaware, Iran, Lebanon, Syria, United States, That’s, Gaza, Hormuz, EY

☆ Morning Bid: Banks, Biden visit buoy markets
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., August 15, 2023. Biden leaves later on Tuesday for a high stakes visit to Israel and Jordan and Washington said Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu had agreed to let humanitarian aid reach besieged Gazans. That reversed a pre-weekend 'safety bid' that emerged amid fears an Israeli ground invasion into Gaza could draw other regional countries and groups into the war. Before then, bond markets will have to negotiate tomorrow's 20-year Treasury auction. The relatively new 20-year tenor has often proved unpopular and will be watched closely after a poor reception for the latest 30-year bond last week.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, Joe Biden's, Biden, Washington, Benjamin Netanyahu, Wells, Goldman Sachs, Charles Schwab, Jerome Powell's, Vladimir Putin, Xi Jinping, Lockheed Martin, Johnson, JB Hunt, Michelle Bowman, John Williams, Neel Kashkari, Tom Barkin, Luis de Guindos, Joe Biden, Olaf Scholz Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Bank of America, Bank of New York Mellon, Federal Reserve, HK, Bank of England, Lockheed, United Airlines, Michelle Bowman , New York Fed, Minneapolis Fed, Richmond Fed, European Central Bank, European Union, Luxembourg Retail, Reuters Graphics Reuters, EIA, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Israel, Gaza, Jordan, Israeli, Gazans, Asia, Europe, Wells Fargo, China, Russian, Beijing, Ukraine, United, Canada, Michelle Bowman , New, Frankfurt, Luxembourg, Venezuela

☆ Dollar pauses ahead of Fed minutes, US yield moves weigh
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Iain Withers | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Four thousand U.S. dollars are counted out by a banker counting currency at a bank in Westminster, Colorado November 3, 2009. U.S. Treasury yields continued to slide, pinning the dollar close to two-week lows as markets digest recent comments from policymakers that the Fed may not need to tighten monetary policy further. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield dropped ten basis points, extending declines from Tuesday after a sharp sell-off in September left bonds cheap. On Tuesday, Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said the central bank did not need to raise borrowing costs any further, while Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said it was "possible" that further hikes might not be needed. The European Central Bank has made "important progress" in getting inflation back down to target but there is still a long road ahead and a further rate hike cannot be ruled out, Dutch central bank chief Klaas Knot said on Wednesday.

Persons: Rick Wilking, Raphael Bostic, Neel Kashkari, Sterling, Klaas Knot, Iain Withers, Rae Wee, John Stonestreet, Kirsten Donovan Organizations: REUTERS, Federal, Treasury, Hamas, ING, Atlanta Fed Bank, Minneapolis, Bank's, ECB, European Central Bank, Thomson Locations: Westminster , Colorado, Israel, Palestinian, U.S, London, Singapore

☆ Dollar loses steam ahead of Fed meeting minutes, US inflation test
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Rae Wee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Four thousand U.S. dollars are counted out by a banker counting currency at a bank in Westminster, Colorado November 3, 2009. A slew of Fed officials have signalled in recent days that the U.S. central bank may not need to tighten monetary policy much further than initially thought. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said on Tuesday the central bank did not need to raise borrowing costs any further, and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari followed with similar remarks later in the day. U.S. Treasury yields have similarly tracked lower following the dovish Fed comments, with the two-year yield , which typically reflects near-term rate expectations, hitting a one-month low of 4.9260% on Tuesday. The offshore yuan , which touched a roughly one-month high of 7.2700 per dollar on Tuesday, last bought 7.2839.

Persons: Rick Wilking, Raphael Bostic, Neel Kashkari, Sterling, Thierry Wizman, Carol Kong, CBA's, Rae Wee, Jamie Freed Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Treasury, dovish, Atlanta Fed Bank, Minneapolis Fed, U.S, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, New Zealand, Bloomberg, Thomson Locations: Westminster , Colorado, Rights SINGAPORE, U.S, Asia, CHINA, China

☆ Gold steady as Fed officials adopt dovish policy tone
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices held near a more than one-week high on Wednesday as the dollar edged lower after several U.S. Federal Reserve officials suggested that the recent surge in Treasury yields might make further rate hikes less necessary. Spot gold was trading at $1,859.43 per ounce as of 0529 GMT after hitting its highest level since Sept. 29 on Tuesday. The dollar dipped to nearly a two-week trough against a basket of currencies, tracking a slide in U.S. Treasury yields that have retreated from their 2007 highs scaled last week. Higher rates raise the opportunity cost of holding gold, which is priced in dollars and does not yield any interest. Elsewhere, spot silver rose 0.2% to $21.85 per ounce, platinum gained 0.6% to $885.93 and palladium added 0.5% at $1,175.13.

Persons: Kelvin Wong, Neel Kashkari, Raphael Bostic, Wong Organizations: . Federal Reserve, Treasury, Asia Pacific, OANDA . Minneapolis, Atlanta Fed, CPI Locations: Moscow, Russia, ., U.S, OANDA

☆ Rupee to rise on bets Fed will not hike rates further
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Nimesh Vora | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Non-deliverable forwards indicate rupee will open at around 83.18-83.20 to the U.S. dollar compared with 83.2450 in the previous session. The dollar index was down to 105.74 and the Korean won led Asian currencies higher. The dollar index has struggled since reaching a year-to-date high of 107.34 last Tuesday. It's "possible" that the recent rise in yields on longer-term Treasuries means the Fed need not raise interest rates as much as otherwise, but it's hard to know definitively, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said on Tuesday. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic outright said the U.S. central bank need not raise borrowing costs any further.

Persons: Thomas White, Brent, Neel Kashkari, Raphael Bostic, Michael Hewson, Nimesh Vora, Nivedita Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, U.S . Federal, U.S, Korean, Treasury, Fed, . Atlanta Fed, Brent, Thomson Locations: India, Rights MUMBAI, Israel, Asia, Minneapolis, U.S

☆ Treasury yields mixed as investor attention turns to key inflation reports
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Yields and prices have an inverted relationship and one basis point equals 0.01%. ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by over one basis point to 4.6428%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last less than one basis point higher at 4.9906%. U.S. Treasury yields were mixed on Wednesday as investors looked ahead to the release of key inflation data that could inform the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Elsewhere, investors continued to consider the Israel-Hamas war that prompted many to invest in traditionally safer Treasurys earlier in the week, pushing yields lower.

Persons: Dow Jones, Raphael Bostic, Neel Kashkari Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Investors, PPI, Atlanta Fed, Minneapolis Locations: Israel

If the Fed's holdings of long-dated securities were shrinking like other parts of the curve, or even at all, more of these bonds would be available to the wider market. Wang recognizes that if the Fed held fewer longer-dated securities these yields might be even higher, but also points out that the Fed's holdings are largely determined by what Treasury issues. All told, the Fed's 'QT 2' is almost twice the pace of QT 1. Reuters Image Acquire Licensing RightsSince the Fed started QT 2, its total holdings of Treasury bills and bonds have fallen to $4.93 trillion from $5.77 trillion. The average profile of Fed-held Treasury debt is longer than total outstanding Treasury debt, and getting longer.

Persons: Sukree, Benson Durham, Piper Sandler, Joseph Wang, Wang, Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, Neel Kashkari, Jamie McGeever, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Rights, Fed, Treasury, Reuters, Monetary, Minneapolis, Thomson Locations: Kasikornbank, Bangkok, Rights ORLANDO , Florida, Durham

☆ Dollar loses steam ahead of Fed meeting minutes, U.S. inflation test
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said on Tuesday the central bank did not need to raise borrowing costs any further, and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari followed with similar remarks later in the day. U.S. Treasury yields have similarly tracked lower following the dovish Fed comments, with the two-year yield, which typically reflects near-term rate expectations, hitting a one-month low of 4.9260% on Tuesday. The focus now turns to minutes of the Fed's September policy meeting out later on Wednesday, which could offer further clues on its interest rate outlook. So I think markets are a little bit unsure whether that report is real," said CBA's Kong. The offshore yuan, which touched a roughly one-month high of 7.2700 per dollar on Tuesday, last bought 7.2839.

Persons: Raphael Bostic, Neel Kashkari, Sterling, Thierry Wizman, Carol Kong, CBA's Organizations: Treasury, dovish, Atlanta Fed Bank, Minneapolis Fed, U.S, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, New Zealand, Bloomberg Locations: U.S, Asia, China

Neel Kashkari, President and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, speaks during an interview with Reuters in New York City, New York, U.S., May 22, 2023. "It's certainly possible that higher long-term yields may do some of the work for us in terms of bringing inflation back down," Kashkari said in a town hall hosted by Minot State University. "But if those higher long-term yields are higher because their expectations about what we're going to do has changed, then we might actually need to follow through in their expectations in order to maintain those yields." Asked about the chances that inflation falls back to the Fed's 2% goal but the unemployment rate does not rise sharply -- the so-called soft landing for the economy -- Kashkari said it's looking "favorable." Still, he cautioned, if the economy stays too strong, the Fed may need to raise rates further to slow it, risking a harder landing.

Persons: Neel Kashkari, Mike Segar, Kashkari, It's, Ann Saphir, Leslie Adler, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Reuters, REUTERS, Reserve, Minot State University, Thomson Locations: New York City , New York, U.S, Minneapolis

Following the comments from top Fed officials on Monday, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said the U.S. central bank does not need to raise interest rates any further, and that he sees no recession ahead. "Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict and one eye on what's happening with bond yields. The decline in bond yields is the key driver today," said John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon. "If tensions escalate bond yields might decline further because they're a safe haven but equities would sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion," he said. But the flight to safety has made Treasury yields fall enough to push up equities," Tuz said.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, dovish, Raphael Bostic, John Praveen, Praveen, Peter Tuz, Tuz, Neel Kashkari, Christopher Waller, Sinéad Carew, Shashwat Chauhan, Ankika Biswas, Terence Gabriel, Arun Koyyur, Shounak Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, U.S . Federal Reserve, Atlanta Fed, Treasury, Chase Investment, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, Traders, PepsiCo, Truist, Rivian, UBS, EV, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Gaza, Paleo Leon, Charlottesville , Virginia, Israel, Minneapolis

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