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☆ A growth stock showing signs of a breakout even as investors rotate out of group before Fed
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Todd Gordon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

I wonder if this is collectively the same group that doubted the bull market when it was rallying on narrow breadth led by the Mag 7. Today we'll revisit Meta (META) , the second largest market cap name in the sector behind Alphabet. I currently hold a 7% target allocation in my Tactical Alpha Growth (TAG) portfolio and a 2% target allocation in my Strategic Income & Growth (SIG) portfolio at Inside Edge Capital. -Todd Gordon, Founder of Inside Edge Capital, LLC DISCLOSURES: ( Gordon owns META in his wealth management company Inside Edge Capital. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: Elliott, I'm, Zuckerberg, Todd Gordon, Gordon Organizations: Netflix, Spotify, CNBC Pro, Alpha, Edge, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Gold keeps rising to record after record. How to play it from here with options
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Gold is at a new record around $2,610 per ounce — more than ten times the low of just over $253 per ounce in 1999. @GC.1 ALL mountain Gold futures, long term Physical gold holders typically retain their assets through market fluctuations. The fundamental case A notable exception has been Saudi Arabia, which has historically acted as a liquidity source by buying gold when prices fell and selling as prices rose. In 2023, central banks purchased 1,037 metric tons of gold, with China buying nearly 225 tons, the largest amount since 1977. The trade As an alternative to buying gold directly, one could consider purchasing a longer-dated call option and selling a nearer-dated strangle to offset decay on the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) , which tracks the price of gold.

Persons: Carter Braxton Worth Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: U.S, Saudi Arabia, China, Central

☆ Apple shares are breaking down and could be under pressure for months, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

—Katie Stockton with Will Tamplin Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein. This material is not to be reproduced or redistributed absent the written consent of Fairlead Strategies.

Persons: AAPL, Headwind, — Katie Stockton Organizations: Apple, AAPL, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities Locations: AAPL

☆ David Zaslav risked Warner Bros. Discovery's future by passing on the NBA — and the gamble might pay off
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-14 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

NBA rights proved to be a hotter commodity than many expected — seemingly including WBD CEO David Zaslav. The Charter deal is a coup for WBDWall Street has had little confidence in Zaslav and company lately. AdvertisementAfter the news that WBD had done just that with Charter, Greenfield heaped praise on WBD. As great as WBD's deal with Charter may be, Greenfield doesn't believe Zaslav is out of the woods. If Zaslav surprises the Street again with his Comcast deal, his company may have better days ahead.

Persons: —, David Zaslav, NBCU, WBD's, Max —, WBD, Rich Greenfield, LightShed, Greenfield, Turner, Craig Moffett, MoffettNathanson, Moffett, Zaslav, Brian Roberts, Matt Belloni, Greenfield doesn't, Comcast's NBCU, Charter's, Venu, Brandon Ross Organizations: Service, Warner, NBA, Business, TNT, HGTV, Food Network, Comcast, DirecTV, Warner Bros, WBD, Charter, NBC Universal, Zaslav, Puck News, —, Disney Locations: Zaslav

☆ Tesla is poised for a breakout, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Before we get into the charts, it's important to discuss the process of choosing to write about TSLA this week. In other words, oftentimes, the most comprehensive method to locate constructive trade set-ups is reviewing a big list and taking note of the charts that look attractive. That's why I frequently intentionally do NOT look at the chart's stock symbol while going through a long list. I want the chart, and only the chart, to be the factor that influences my decision to potentially buy or sell it. Thus, seeing the above potential breakout attempt come to fruition would have a meaningful impact on its longer-term trend, too.

Persons: TSLA, That's, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: Tesla, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ A market and tech hedge ahead of an uncertain Fed decision next week
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Jeff Kilburg | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The Federal Reserve has telegraphed the kickoff of their interest rate cutting campaign to begin next week. I believe a quarter-point interest rate cut is their first step but, a half-point interest rate cut (which has the ability to roil markets) has recently been floated strongly. The Nasdaq-100 dropped 6% last week and is now up nearly 5% this week, these are not normal market conditions. QQQ YTD mountain Invesco QQQ Trust, YTD The Cboe Volatility Index , yet elevated, is not showing current signs of panic. The trade The CME Fedwatch tool is narrowly favoring a 25 basis point interest rate cut but, it is oddly closer to a coin toss than it was last week.

Persons: pont, QQQ Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Nasdaq, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ A hedge if this tech comeback is a head fake and a correction is still in order
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The Technology Select Sector Index, which the ETF 'XLK ' tracks, is down about 9% since the all-time high on July 10. This is even though the technology sector earnings have experienced a compound annual growth rate 2.7% greater than the S & P 500. The chart below reflects the earnings growth of the Technology Sector vs. the S & P 500 over the past 20 years in a log scale. Not only has the technology sector grown earnings faster, but earnings growth has also been more stable. While technology stocks are down almost 9% from their all-time highs, those all-time highs also reflected all-time high valuations.

Persons: we've, it's Organizations: Technology, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Stocks linked to the economy are acting poorly, especially this bellwether, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Carter Braxton Worth | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Year to date, the S & P 500 machinery group is up only 8% versus the S & P 500 industrial sector, which is up 12%. The S & P 500 itself which is up 16%. We remain underweight industrials generally, and machinery stocks specifically. Here's S & P 500 machinery industry comprising 17 stocks with a total market capitalization of $764 billion: The 2-panel chart below depicts the S & P 500 machinery industry marking new highs the past 18 months, yet a series of lower relative highs to the market. Top Panel: S & P 500 Machinery Industry Group Bottom panel: Machinery's Relative Performance to the S & P 500 Index Caterpillar chart below... we're sellers here.

Persons: Here's, Carter Braxton Worth Organizations: Caterpillar, Machinery Industry, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: U.S

☆ Solar stocks get a Harris bump. What the charts say about whether the rally is for real
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

But the stock quickly dropped to find new support around $210, eventually settling into a trading range between $200 and $240. This price range lines up well with previous resistance from 2023, adding further conviction to the importance of these levels. But if RUN can finally break above the $24 level, that would mean clear skies ahead from a technical perspective. While solar stocks still have much to prove, their technical configurations suggest investors should watch this space closely leading into the November elections. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: Kamala Harris, FSLR, it's, David Keller Organizations: Nasdaq, Inc, Sunrun Inc, CMT, Sierra Alpha Research, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ A 'butterfly' options spread trade that pays off if there's an earnings-driven rally in Adobe
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Tony Zhang | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The company's innovation pipeline provide long-term growth potential, with the earnings event likely serving as a catalyst for further upside. With expected EPS growth of 14% and revenue growth of 11%, Adobe maintain its leadership in the software industry. To capitalize on the potential for an earnings-driven rally, we suggest using a "broken wing butterfly," which offers a high reward-to-risk ratio. Specifically, I suggest the ADBE Sep 20, 2024 $585/630/650 Call butterfly at $10.96 Debit. This strategy entails: • Buying the Sep 20 $585 Calls @ $18.80 • Selling the Sep 20 $630 Calls (2 contracts) @ $5.53 • Buying the Sep 20 $650 Calls @ $3.22 This butterfly strategy offers a maximum reward of $3,404 per contract while limiting risk to only $1,096 per contract.

Organizations: Adobe, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Small caps are outperforming large caps. How to use charts to find buy candidates in the group
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Todd Gordon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Then on July 11, things really got started as June CPI came in below expectations and the outlook for the first Fed rate cut became significantly more likely. Let's drill down into the sectors that makeup the Russell 2000 to see who's leading and lagging since that July 5th turning point. Let's find out who is actually profitable and could maintain the rally after the initial shine of a fresh rate cut wears off. Where to look in small caps A big component of the Russell 2000 based on market capitalization representation is health care at 18.7%. Should the Fed strike a dovish tone after the first rate cut I will be shopping for quality names.

Persons: Russell, Piper Sandler, Hamilton Lane, Jefferies, JEF, Todd Gordon, Gordon, ARES Organizations: Nasdaq, Inside Edge, CNBC PRO, Ares Management, Fed, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: financials

☆ A trade that wins if Apple shares continue to break down following iPhone event
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Nishant Pant | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Moreover, shortly after Apple introduced the iPhone 16 , Chinese smartphone manufacturer Huawei launched its tri-fold phone, the Mate XT. This device garnered significant attention, securing more than 2 million pre-orders within just a few hours of its release. The trade The trade structure I'm employing is known as a "bear put spread." THIS CONTENT IS PROVIDED FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSITUTE FINANCIAL, INVESTMENT, TAX OR LEGAL ADVICE OR A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY ANY SECURITY OR OTHER FINANCIAL ASSET. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: Tim Cook, AAPL, Nishant Pant Organizations: Apple, Huawei, AAPL, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: AAPL

☆ How to trade Adobe's upcoming earnings using options
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-09 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

I'll break down various option trade scenarios into the earnings, focusing on one that will benefit from a big move in any direction. Adobe's Creative Cloud subscription model generates recurring revenue and maintains a solid customer base, from freelancers to large enterprises. Adobe's Document Cloud, featuring Acrobat and PDF solutions, is critical in digital document management and e-signatures. Of course, any bears out there could also use a calendar to bet on a downside move, using a $500 Sep/Jan put calendar. Combining the call and put calendar is a trade I usually refer to as a strangle swap.

Persons: Adobe Sensei, Jan, I've Organizations: Adobe, Labor, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Wall Street cheers Powell speech, but risks remain. This options trade capitalizes on a potential move lower
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( Jeff Kilburg | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech gave the stock market a jolt higher, reaffirming expectations for interest rate cuts going forward. Still, I believe the Fed will remain data dependent, which should temper euphoria and keep the S & P 500 in its 2024 range. I want to embrace this range and position accordingly for U.S. equites to again cool off going into September. Volatility has been the overarching theme for August, and I believe the recent uber-sensitivity to macro data will keep markets extraordinarily spastic. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: Jerome Powell's, equites, Powell Organizations: Nvidia, Fed, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ How to determine if this comeback rally is for real, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Todd Gordon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Stocks have made a nice comeback after testing support last week in the wake of a violent summer swoon tied to the yen carry trade. I run four equity portfolios at Inside Edge Capital, the most actively managed is appropriately named "Active Opps." In this article I'll cover the technical formation of the resistance zone as well as the option hedge we're using. If this is an ill-fated rally, or a so-called bear market rally, my bet is it will fail around this zone. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: Nvidia's, Todd Gordon Organizations: Edge, Nasdaq, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ A trade that wins if the drop in Chipotle after CEO jumps to Starbucks is overdone
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Nishant Pant | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) shares are getting wrecked after its CEO Brian Niccol left to try and turn around Starbucks. With a positive outlook on CMG, I see this pre-market drop as an opportunity to invest in a company that seems almost recession-proof. The trade To initiate a bullish position on CMG, I plan to use a strategy known as a "bull call spread." This trade was written assuming Chipotle was trading around $51 a share. If CMG trades at or above the short strike by the expiration date, this trade could yield a return of 100% on the amount risked.

Persons: Brian Niccol, let's, Chipotle Organizations: Grill, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: Chipotle

☆ Levels to watch on the yen, bond yields and Nvidia to know when this volatile market spell is over
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Todd Gordon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

S & P down 5.50% here, headlines of a Nikkei crash, and another great Yen carry unwind happening. I traded for a hedge fund and served as senior technical analyst for an foreign exchange company during the great financial crisis of 2008 that saw a severe yen carry unwind. If the line is headed south the dollar is weakening relative to the yen, and the yen is strengthening relative to the dollar. I believe that the July 11th CPI print that came 0.1% below expectations was the culprit to this whole yen carry unwind. Could this yen carry unwind move further?

Persons: it's, Todd Gordon Organizations: Nikkei, Markets, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ The energy sector decline is overdone and this stock could lead the bounce, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Persons: DVN, Katie Stockton Organizations: Devon Energy, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities Locations: Devon

☆ Traders are betting on an outsized move in Deere on earnings this week — how to play it
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Deere (DE) , headquartered in Moline, Illinois, manufactures agricultural machinery, heavy equipment, forestry machinery, diesel engines, and related components. One of the oldest companies in the United States, Deere traces its history back to John Deere's "self-scouring plow" in 1837. However, even assuming 50 bushels per acre and a $5/bushel average price increase, the revenue per acre would have risen by ~$250/acre. However, while Deere & Company stock has underperformed the S & P this year, its enterprise value is nearly $100 Billion, almost double the company's valuation in January 2020, just before the pandemic. Unsurprisingly, DE options are pricing in a larger-than-average 6% move when the company reports earnings on Thursday.

Persons: John Deere's, John Deere, outperforming, Massey Ferguson Organizations: Deere, Caterpillar, Deere & Company, Nasdaq, Farmers, CNH Industry, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, ~$, ~ $ $ Locations: Moline , Illinois, United States, Mexico, Holland

☆ An options strategy that will win during a market comeback, while withstanding more volatility
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-09 | by ( Jeff Kilburg | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The massive resurgence in volatility (as measured by the Cboe Volatility Index - VIX ) has revealed market vulnerability coupled with significant uncertainty. With the VIX hitting a multi-year high of 65 this week, elevated options premiums offer higher risk/reward scenarios. .VIX YTD mountain Cboe Volatility Index, YTD The VIX, also known as Wall Street's "fear gauge", vaulted above 60 earlier this week, the highest since pandemic induced volatility back in March 2020. In the event you disagree with my bullish view, feel free to take the other side of this trade. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: Lehman Organizations: Lehman Brothers, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Paris Olympics benefit from being first global event to fully emerge from pandemic's shadow
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Https | Media-Cldnry.S-Nbcnews.Com Image Upload Newscms Alex-Smith-Circle-Byline-Template.Jpg | Alexander Smith | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +3 min

PARIS — Lighting the Olympic cauldron symbolically opened these Games — and, as much as possible, might have also taken a torch to some awful pandemic memories. The past two Games were staged in bubbles in and around Beijing and Tokyo as Covid was still a factor. And while some athletes have tested positive for Covid during the Paris Games, they have not upended competition. (NBC News is a division of NBCUniversal, which owns the U.S. media rights to the Olympic Games through 2032.) French fans have been wildly cheering for their athletes and team throughout these Games — so much so, that even Americans have taken notice.

Persons: we’ve, ”, Covid, Thomas Samson, “, Keylle Fabrino, “ It’s, Selma Attie, ” Mark Lazarus, Katie Ledecky, they’ve, Léon Marchand, ” Ledecky Organizations: PARIS, Paris Games, Getty, Brasil, NBC, Olympic Games, NBC Universal Media Group, Los Angeles, Paris La Défense, U.S Locations: Taiwanese, London, Beijing, Tokyo, Paris, Brazil, France, NBCUniversal, Los Angeles, Inglewood

☆ A bullish options trade on a tech recovery after the latest sell-off
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Nishant Pant | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

We saw another EMA crossover in May, signaling the end of the pullback and the start of a new bull run. July 2023 : Although the majority of the current correction unfolded in August, the EMA crossover signal had already appeared in July. For example, in May 2023, waiting for the EMA crossover would have meant missing out on 4.6% of the move. The trade setup: QQQ bull call spread To take a bullish trade on QQQ, I will be using a trade structure called a "bull call spread." For example, if QQQ is trading at $440 at the time of the EMA crossover, one could consider buying a 440-441 call spread.

Persons: bullish, Nishant Pant Organizations: Nasdaq, Corrections, Trust, EMA, ITM, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: QQQ

☆ Prepare for a new high-volatility market regime
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

A spike in the VIX of this magnitude has not occurred since 2020, when the COVID-19 related decline in the S & P 500 was maturing. We believe another high-volatility regime is upon us, with the prolonged low-volatility regime that preceded it coming to an abrupt halt. If our long-term trend following measures were to deteriorate behind the S & P 500, we would be more inclined to reduce exposure. A rebound in the S & P 500 (i.e., a VIX pullback) can be used to hedge partial exposure from a top-down perspective. Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only.

Persons: It's, Katie Stockton Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities

☆ Using a 'bear put spread' to hedge against further market declines
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The S & P 500 5,350 puts I discussed are trading nearly $170 as I write this, up ~ $12,000 per contract. This is even though the S & P 500 is down only 2.3% since I wrote that article over a month ago. One could roll those options down and out to the September 5200/4500 S & P 500 put spread which costs about $100. If you didn't read the earlier article, here are the components of a long put spread, sometimes referred to as a "Bear Put Spread." In periods of high implied volatility, option premiums are generally higher because the market anticipates larger price movements.

Persons: It's, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, it's, Trump Organizations: Starbucks, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, ~ $, & $ $

☆ An options trade to generate income during this market turbulence
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Jeff Kilburg | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

I want to embrace this turbulence and use options to create income and potentially get long the broader market at lower levels. Risk happens fast, and investors have recently been conditioned that markets only go up with the impressive rally grinding higher since last November in the S & P 500. .SPX 1Y mountain S & P 500, 1-year The highly liquid ETF that tracks the S & P 500, the SPDR S & P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) , was up nearly 35% (mid-July) from last November. This move forced many bears on Wall Street to capitulate and many malleable analysts to quickly reconfigure their end of year S & P 500 targets substantially higher. The trade With the S & P now down 5% from mid-July recent highs, I look at this acute move lower as a buying opportunity.

Persons: Warren Buffett Organizations: Trust, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

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