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BNY Mellon Wealth Management's chief investment officer explained why stocks have limited upside. Sinead Colton Grant has hit the ground running in her new role as the chief investment officer at BNY Mellon Wealth Management. What to expect in the economy this yearThe theme of BNY Mellon Wealth Management's 2024 outlook report is "a healthy slowdown." However, Colton Grant acknowledged that there are serious discrepancies between how high- and low-income households experience the economy. 5 top places to invest nowBNY Mellon Wealth Management may be neutral on equities broadly, but it has a bullish overweight rating on US stocks.
Persons: Sinead Colton Grant, BNY, she's, BNY Mellon, Colton Grant, David Kelly, Colton, Kelly, Colton Grant's Organizations: BNY Mellon Wealth, BNY Mellon Wealth Management, BNY Mellon, BNY, JPMorgan Asset Management, Business, Mellon Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, Mellon, Management, Asset Management, BMO Capital Markets Locations: BlackRock, Invesco
5 charts that explain why stocks took off last year
  + stars: | 2024-01-12 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
Stocks ended on a high note last year, but were tested by the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hikes, banking turmoil, debt ceiling worries and war in the Middle East. Many early-year consensus predictions about what 2023 would bring — including a recession and several rate cuts — didn’t pan out. CNN spoke with five investors about the biggest lessons they learned and how they’ve helped shape their 2024 outlooks. Fundamentals have to start matteringThe S&P 500 index gained 24% last year despite an earnings recession, often defined as at least two straight quarters of corporate profit losses. Fourth-quarter earnings, which kick off on Friday with results from big banks, are expected to grow about 1% in the fourth quarter of 2023.
Persons: Stocks, they’ve, Taylor Swift, Beyoncé, David Kelly, , Kelly, Yung, Yu Ma, Don’t, George Cipolloni, Wall, Leslie Thompson, don’t, Thompson, she’s eyeing, FactSet, , Amanda Agati Organizations: New, New York CNN —, CNN, Asset Management, Treasury, BMO Wealth Management, Penn Mutual Asset Management, Fed, Spectrum Wealth Management, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Companies, PNC Asset Management Locations: New York
Andrew Kelly | ReutersAfter years of unbridled consumer spending on everything from home improvement to dream vacations, some companies are now finding the limits of their pricing power. Nike last week lowered its annual sales growth forecast and unveiled plans to cut costs by $2 billion over the next three years. "Goods companies don't have the pricing power they did in the pandemic, and some in the hotel and travel [industries] — they don't have the pricing power they did in the immediate post-Covid," he added. Sales growth for companies in the S&P 500 is on track to average 2.7% this year, according to mid-December analyst estimates posted by FactSet. Consumer spending on apparel and groceries rose 2.4% and 2.1%, respectively, from the year-earlier period, according to the survey.
Persons: Andrew Kelly, Mills, Joe Cavaretta, David Kelly, FactSet, Kelly, isn't, airfare, John F, Bob Jordan, Jordan, Ohsung Kwon Organizations: FedEx, Reuters, Shipping, Airlines, Target, Nike, Spirit Airlines, Hasbro, Fort Lauderdale Hollywood International, South Florida Sun Sentinel, Tribune, Service, Getty, Florida Sun, Morgan Asset Management, FactSet, Mastercard, Starbucks, Airline, U.S . Department of Labor, Kennedy International, Southwest, CNBC, Detroit automakers, Toyota, Cox Automotive, Bank of America Locations: New York, speedier, Fort, South
The market is now largely pricing a peak at the current Fed funds target range of 5.25-5.5%, with interest rate cuts to come next year. watch now"At the outer edges of the economy there is obvious stress that is likely to spread in 2024 with rates at these levels. So it's easy to see how bad levered investments could have been made that would be vulnerable to this higher rate regime." Recession risk 'delayed rather than diminished' In a roundtable event on Tuesday, JPMorgan Asset Management strategists echoed this note of caution, claiming that the risk of a U.S. recession was "delayed rather than diminished" as the impact of higher rates feeds through into the economy. "I think the the key conclusion here is that interest rates do still bite, it's just taking longer this time around," she said.
Persons: Victor J, Jim Reid, David Folkerts, Landau, Reid, Folkerts, GSAM, Karen Ward, it's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Blue, Bloomberg, Getty, Monetary, Federal Reserve, Deutsche Bank, Global Economics, Research, Silicon Valley Bank, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, European Central Bank, Fed, ECB, JPMorgan, Management Locations: New York, Washington, U.S, Canada, Brazil, Chile, Hungary, Mexico, Peru, Poland
watch now'Last resort' 401(k) hardship withdrawals riseIn extreme circumstances, savers can take a hardship distribution without incurring a 10% early withdrawal fee if there is evidence the money is being used to cover a qualified hardship, such as medical expenses, loss due to natural disasters or to buy a primary residence or prevent eviction or foreclosure. The share of participants who tap such hardship withdrawals is on the rise, according to reports by Fidelity Investments and Bank of America — largely to avoid a foreclosure or eviction or to cover medical expenses, Fidelity found. Bank of America's recent participant pulse report showed that the number of 401(k) plan participants taking hardship withdrawals was up 13% from the second quarter and 27% compared to the first quarter of the year — with the average withdrawal amount just over $5,000. Still, hardship withdrawals should be "your choice of last resort," cautioned Joe Buhrmann, senior financial planning consultant at eMoney Advisor. "'Leakage' from plan accounts through 401(k) loans and withdrawals can have outsized effects on retirement readiness," said Sharon Carson, retirement strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management.
Persons: Mike Shamrell, Joe Buhrmann, you'll, Sharon Carson Organizations: Fidelity Investments, Bank of America, Fidelity, Bank of, Morgan Asset Management
Euro zone business activity fell again in November
  + stars: | 2023-11-23 | by ( Jonathan Cable | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
LONDON, Nov 23 (Reuters) - The downturn in euro zone business activity eased in November but remained broadbased, suggesting the bloc's economy will contract again this quarter as consumers continue to rein in spending, a survey showed. "Ongoing weakness in the euro zone business surveys suggests a recession is on the horizon. The new business index rose to 46.7 from 45.6. Manufacturing activity, which has contracted every month since July 2022, fell again in November. Its PMI rose to 43.8 from 43.1, beating the poll expectation for 43.4 but resolutely below breakeven.
Persons: Mike Bell, Stephane Mahe, Bert Colijn, Jonathan Cable, Christina Fincher Organizations: PMI, P Global, Reuters, Morgan Asset Management, REUTERS, European Union, ING, Thomson Locations: October's, J.P, France, Nantes, Britain
Fidelity raises $700 mln in its first bond mutual fund in China
  + stars: | 2023-11-23 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
SHANGHAI/SINGAPORE, Nov 23 (Reuters) - Fidelity International has garnered 5 billion yuan ($700 million) from investors for its first fixed income mutual fund in China, deepening the asset manager's involvement in the $3.8 trillion mutual fund market. The bond fund - Fidelity's second mutual fund product in China - raised the sum mainly from institutional investors in a three-week, shortened subscription period, the money manager said. China's mutual fund industry is crowded with over 150 players, including foreign ones such as BlackRock (BLK.N), Schroders (SDR.L) and JPMorgan Asset Management. "The fundraising size is rather encouraging," due to tough competition in the local market and Fidelity's limited track record in China, said Huang, who heads Fidelity International's two-year-old China mutual fund unit. Fidelity International was formerly the international investment arm of Boston-based Fidelity Investments before being spun off.
Persons: Helen Huang, Huang, Neuberger Berman, ASIFMA, Li Gu, Samuel Shen, Tom Westbrook, Muralikumar Organizations: Fidelity International, Reuters, Fidelity, JPMorgan Asset Management, Fidelity Investments, Regulators, China Securities Regulatory Commission, Thomson Locations: SHANGHAI, SINGAPORE, China, BlackRock, Boston, Beijing, Shanghai, Singapore
Goldman Sachs researchers are projecting oil prices to jump nearly 20% next year. AdvertisementAs the holiday season approaches, drivers are experiencing a welcome respite at gas stations, but those savings will likely go away in the new year. Last week, West Texas Intermediate crude, a benchmark for oil prices, dipped to approximately $73 per barrel, a significant 20% drop from its late September peak of $94. "The big surprise of 2023 is stronger than expected non-OPEC supply growth, which we think will slow heading into 2024," Struyven said. And what the US economy doesn't need in the near future is Americans tightening their budgets after their summer of fun and the holiday spending season.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, , GasBuddy, Daan Struyven, CNBC's, Dado Ruvic, Struyven, David Kelly, We're, Kelly Organizations: Service, West, AAA, OPEC, Reuters, US Strategic Petroleum Reserve, Biden, Strategic Petroleum Reserve Energy Department, Strategic Petroleum Reserve, Morgan Asset Management Locations: West Texas, OPEC, Ukraine, Russia, Saudi Arabia
While many experts don't see inflation getting back to normal just yet, it could in a year or two. Consumer price inflation has been mostly slowing this year. Some experts see inflation as measured by the Consumer Price Index being around 2% — the Fed's target year-over-year rate of price growth — by some time in 2024. Advertisement"We foresee headline and core CPI inflation around 2.2% y/y in Q4 2024," Daco said in his commentary. Goldman Sachs forecasts that measure is expected to cool off and see a 2.4% year-over-year increase in December 2024.
Persons: J.P, David Kelly, , Gregory Daco, Daco, Kelly, ING's James Knightley, Sarah Foster's, Goldman Sachs, Jerome Powell, Powell, Mark Hamrick, Hamrick Organizations: Morgan, Service, Consumer, CPI, Morgan Asset Management, Bankrate, Federal Reserve, Federal, Business
Annual consumer price inflation plunged to a lower-than-expected 4.6% in October from 6.7% in September, official data showed on Wednesday. The Bank of England's forecasts and the consensus from a Reuters poll of economists had pointed to a reading of 4.8%. Sterling fell slightly against the dollar after publication of the data, which showed key inflation measures watched closely by the BoE also falling by more than expected. Investors added to their bets on BoE rate cuts next year with three 25-basis-point reductions in Bank Rate fully priced in by December 2024, and a first cut fully priced for June. Reporting by Andy Bruce and David Milliken, editing by William James and Bernadette BaumOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Rishi Sunak, Sterling, BoE, Julien Lafargue, Sunak, Huw Pill, Hugh Gimber, Andy Bruce, David Milliken, William James, Bernadette Baum Organizations: Bank of England, of, ONS, Barclays Private Bank, Conservative Party, U.S ., Morgan Asset Management, Thomson Locations: Britain, Italy
Inflation cooled off in October
  + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
Inflation cooled off in October based on new year-over-year data out Tuesday. The Consumer Price Index increased 3.2% year over year in October, less than the year-over-year increase of 3.7% in September. AdvertisementInflation cooled but is still above the Fed's 2% target per the year-over-year change in the Consumer Price Index, or CPI, for October. The year-over-year increase in October was just less than the forecast of 3.3%, and the increase is less than the September's 3.7% year-over-year increase . AdvertisementThe food index didn't see as large an increase as the shelter index, with a year-over-year increase of 3.3%.
Persons: , David Kelly, Kelly, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Service, of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Morgan Asset Management, PMI, Federal Reserve, Federal
But the cost of crude oil has been largely declining since the middle of October. The average for a gallon of gas in the United States, meanwhile, dropped to $3.37, according to AAA. This “steady, if slow” decline in gas prices, said an AAA spokesperson, may soon gain speed if oil prices continue their descent. They’re more concerned with economic weakness in China and an increase in oil production in the United States. In the first week of November, US crude oil production reached a new record of 13.2 million barrels per day.
Persons: ” David Kelly, , ” David Morrison, refiners, ” Craig Erlam, Brent, Chris Isidore, , Ted Decker, Refinitiv, Read, Homebuyers Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, AAA, Asset Management, Federal Reserve, Trade, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, . West Texas Intermediate, International Energy Agency, Revenue, National Association of Realtors, Census Locations: New York, Europe, Saudi Arabia, Russia, United States, China, Iran, America, United
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBonds still have less volatility than stocks do, says JPMorgan Gabriela SantosGabriela Santos, JPMorgan Asset Management global market strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss whether it's the right time to buy bonds, where investors are looking right now, and more.
Persons: Gabriela Santos Gabriela Santos Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina is still attractive among emerging markets, strategist saysSylvia Sheng, multi-asset strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management Global, says "Chinese equities are very attractive at current levels" from a longer-term perspective.
Persons: Sylvia Sheng Organizations: China, Morgan Asset Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with JPMorgan's Meera Pandit and Virtus Investments' Joe TerranovaMeera Pandit, JPMorgan Asset Management global market strategist, and Joe Terranova, Virtus Investments, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss the catalyst to move markets higher, what the market may have gotten wrong and what the Federal Reserve is most focused on.
Persons: JPMorgan's Meera Pandit, Joe Terranova Meera Pandit, Joe Terranova Organizations: Investments, JPMorgan Asset Management, Virtus Investments, Federal Locations: Virtus
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed's mixed commentary is contributing to yield volatility, says JPMorgan's PanditMeera Pandit, JPMorgan Asset Management global market strategist, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the catalyst to move markets higher, what the market may have gotten wrong, and more.
Persons: JPMorgan's, Meera Pandit Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management
The entrance to JPMorgan Chase's international headquarters on Park Avenue is seen in New York October 2, 2012. It is the bank's third-biggest city in the European Union in terms of staff with 900 people, coming after Warsaw (1,200) and Dublin (more than 1,000). In the wake of Britain's exit from the European Union, JPMorgan bought a seven-storey building near its historic headquarters in the first arrondissement to house more employees. JPMorgan will commit $50 million of the $60 million investment and Bpifrance will provide 10 million euros ($10.66 million). The aim is to raise between 150 million euros to 200 million euros by the end of 2024, the U.S. lender said.
Persons: Shannon Stapleton, Bpifrance, Cartier, Louis Vuitton, JP Morgan, Jamie Dimon, Mathieu Rosemain, Anousha Sakoui, Louise Heavens Organizations: JPMorgan Chase's, REUTERS, Rights, JPMorgan, U.S, European Union, Gardens, Justice, Ritz Paris Hotel, Spark, JPMorgan Asset Management, Thomson Locations: New York, France, London, Paris, Europe, Warsaw, Dublin, U.S, Vendome, Spark France
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLock in bond yields where they are now, says JPMorgan's Gabriela SantosGabriela Santos, JPMorgan Asset Management global market strategist, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss yesterday's Fed meeting and what it means for the markets.
Persons: JPMorgan's Gabriela Santos Gabriela Santos Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management, yesterday's
Goldstone was referring to a type of business-development company, an investment vehicle widely used in the private-credit market. The vehicle Condor allocated to is a slice of BlackRock's $81 billion private-credit business, which is part of the wider $317 billion alternative-assets platform. 'Size matters'In the summer, BlackRock executives teased out their focus on private credit and fixed income broadly during an investor-day presentation. BlackRock's string of private-credit developments adds up to a long-term bet that this dynamic will continue. "That, in essence, is the paradox of private credit."
Persons: David Goldstone, Goldstone, BDC, it's, hasn't, Rowe Price, Franklin Templeton, Blackstone, Axel Springer, Greg Greifeld, Greifeld, Tim Clarke, Rob Kapito, We've, Jim Keenan, BDCs, Keenan, Clarke, PitchBook, they're, Larry Fink, " Fink, Merrill Lynch, BlackRock, Jared Gross, J.P, Phil Tseng, BlackRock's, Gross, Morgan Organizations: Condor Capital Wealth Management, Condor, BlackRock, BlackRock doesn't, Federal Reserve, Fidelity, Apollo, KKR, Growth, BlackRock TCP Capital Corp, BlackRock Capital Investment Corp, Kreos, Barclays, Tennenbaum Capital Partners, Morgan, who's Locations: New Jersey, BlackRock, PitchBook, Banks, London
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe really like U.S. high-yield right now, says JPMorgan's Phil CamporealePhil Camporeale, JPMorgan Asset Management multi-asset portfolio manager, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, the third quarter GDP data, why he's positioning for a soft landing and believes the Fed has more to risk being dovish, and more.
Persons: Phil Camporeale Phil Camporeale Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailU.S. inflationary pressures have come down an 'awful long way,' JPMorgan saysBob Michele of JPMorgan Asset Management discusses the outlook for the next Federal Open Market Committee.
Persons: Bob Michele Organizations: JPMorgan, JPMorgan Asset Management, Market
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailI wouldn't take another rate hike this year off the table, says JPMorgan's Meera PanditMeera Pandit, JPMorgan Asset Management global market strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, rising Treasury yields, the Fed's inflation fight, and more.
Persons: JPMorgan's Meera Pandit Meera Pandit Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Markets slideU.S. stock markets slid on Wednesday as earnings season picked up steam and Treasury yields touched multi-year highs — breaking above 4.9% for the first time since 2007. The electric vehicle maker reported adjusted earnings of 66 cents per share vs. 73 cents per share expected and revenue of $23.35 billion per share vs. $24.1 billion expected. Its earnings came in at $3.73 per share, better than the $3.49 per share expected.
Persons: Elon Musk, Tesla, Stocks Organizations: CNBC, Netflix, Counterpoint Research, JPMorgan, Asset Management, Federal Reserve Locations: Asia, Japan, South Korea, Hong Kong, China, Apple's
Investors shouldn't be scared off by slower economic growth caused by higher-for-longer interest rates and inflation, according to JPMorgan Asset Management (JPMAM). For reference, JPMAM called for forward long-term returns of 4.3% in 2021. The firm added that productivity gains from AI will likely add a tenth of a percentage point to global growth in the next decade. The long-awaited reversal for international stocks won't happen overnight, JPMAM strategists said. The firm is highly optimistic about the asset class after its brutal multi-year selloff and expects 4.6% and 5.1% long-term returns for those groups, respectively.
Persons: it's, JPMAM, David Kelly, Kelly, Monica Issar, Grace Koo, , they're, Bob Michele, who's, he's, Bonds, REITs Organizations: Asset Management, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, US, JPMorgan, Management, Fed, JPMorgan Asset Management, Investors Locations: Europe, Australasia, Real
A rate cut will be bad news for stocks, JPMorgan warns
  + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA rate cut will be bad news for stocks, JPMorgan warnsA cut in interest rates by the Federal Reserve next year is likely to be bad news for U.S. equity investors, according to Hugh Gimber, global market strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management.
Persons: Hugh Gimber Organizations: JPMorgan, Federal Reserve, Asset Management
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