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☆ Here's the inflation breakdown for June 2024 — in one chart
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

They also generally like to examine "core" inflation readings. The monthly core CPI reading was 0.1% in June, the smallest increase in about three years, since August 2021. Shelter inflation has moderated much slower than expected, one of the big reasons inflation hasn't yet fallen back to target, economists said. There were encouraging signals in the latest CPI report: Monthly shelter inflation dropped to 0.2% after being stuck at 0.4% for four consecutive months. Services inflation is the trouble spotInflation for physical goods spiked as the U.S. economy reopened in 2021.

Persons: David Paul Morris, Mark Zandi, Zandi, Sarah House, Aubrey George, George, Joe Seydl, Olivia Cross Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, U.S . Labor Department, Moody's, Wells, Wells Fargo Economics, U.S . Federal Reserve, CPI, Housing, of Labor Statistics, Morgan Private Bank, Capital Economics, BLS Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, North America

☆ High inflation is largely not Biden's or Trump's fault, economists say
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

The Federal Reserve, which acts independently from the Oval Office, was slow to act to contain hot inflation, for example. That Biden is seen as stoking high inflation is due somewhat to optics: he took office in early 2021, around the time inflation spiked notably, economists said. "In my view, neither Trump nor Biden is to blame for the high inflation," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics. At a high level, hot inflation is largely an issue of mismatched supply and demand. For example, Trump imposed tariffs on imported steel, aluminum and several goods from China, which Biden largely kept intact.

Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Justin Sullivan, Trump, Biden, David Wessel, Mark Zandi, Wu Shaoyang, Wessel, Zandi, Stephen Brown, Eric Baradat, —, Michael Strain, Strain, Jerome Powell, Olivier Douliery Organizations: CNN, Getty, Federal Reserve, Biden, Trump, Hutchins, Brookings Institution, Moody's, Qingdao Port, International Monetary Fund, North, Capital Economics, American, Afp, American Enterprise Institute, Federal, . Federal Locations: Atlanta, U.S, Ukraine, Qingdao, Shandong Province, China, North America, Washington, It's

☆ Election deepfakes could undermine institutional credibility, Moody's warns
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Michelle Castillo | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

A new report from Moody's on Wednesday warns that generative AI and deepfakes are among the election integrity issues that could present a risk to U.S. institutional credibility. In a letter to Rosenworcel, it encouraged the FCC to delay its decision until after the elections because its changes would not be mandatory across digital political ads. Some social media platforms have already self-adopted some sort of AI disclosure ahead of regulations. Google requires all political ads with modified content that "inauthentically depicts real or realistic-looking people or events" to have disclosures, but doesn't require AI disclosures on all political ads. Thirteen states have laws on election interference and deepfakes, eight of which were enacted since January.

Persons: Gregory Sobel, William Foster, Jessica Rosenworcel, Dan Ives, Ives, Tony Adams, Moody's, Abhi Srivastava, Secureworks, Adams, they've Organizations: Federal Communications, FCC, Federal, Commission, Wedbush Securities, Meta, Google, Facebook, Unit, United Nations Locations: Moody's, New Hampshire

☆ Investors have lined up over $250 billion to scoop up distressed commercial real estate as pain in the sector continues
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Commercial real estate values have been on the decline in the US. Related storiesBanks, meanwhile, are quietly shedding exposure to commercial real estate debt. AdvertisementInvestors have been watching the commercial real estate industry since the pandemic when the work-from-home trend cleared offices of workers. Some real estate veterans are calling for a major correction in the industry. The commercial property sector, in particular, could see a wave of bankruptcies and properties with forced sales, according to Kiran Raichura, the deputy chief property economist at Capital Economics.

Persons: —, Banks, Goldman Sachs, Torsten Slok, Moody's, Kiran Raichura, Raichura Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Business, Deutsche Bank, New York Times, Capital Economics Locations: North America, American

☆ Companies are going bankrupt at the fastest past since the pandemic
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-08 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Read previewA historic surge of corporate bankruptcies is hitting Wall Street, with this year's volume of filings already above levels seen in the past 13 years, S&P Global Intelligence reported. When, earlier this year, hope was much stronger for a quick and significant reduction to interest rates, bankruptcies remained more subdued, S&P previously noted. AdvertisementYet, deteriorating consumer spending is also grinding down on corporate prospects. AdvertisementAmong notable June bankruptcies tracked by S&P Global, were the electric vehicle maker Fisker, as well as Redbox DVD rental operator Chicken Soup for the Soul Entertainment. That's followed by healthcare and industrials, S&P Global reported.

Persons: —, Tacking, Mark Zandi, Zandi, That's Organizations: Service, P Global Intelligence, Business, Global, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Fed, Nike, Walgreens, P Global, Soul Entertainment

☆ Media, tech titans head for Sun Valley with streaming alliances top of mind
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-08 | by ( Lillian Rizzo | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

In past years, media companies chased high subscriber numbers in an attempt to best each other. Nathaniel S. Butler | National Basketball Association | Getty ImagesWith the NBA's media rights negotiations still ongoing, sports will remain a topic of conversation at this year's gathering. League commissioners, especially the NFL's Roger Goodell, are often attendees of the Sun Valley conference. Discovery has been weighing whether to match a competing offer for the media rights as the league looks to finalize smaller package deals. Sports remain the glue holding the traditional pay-TV bundle together, and has proven invaluable for streaming services, too.

Persons: Drew Angerer, Discovery's David Zaslav, Bob Iger, Dana Walden, Alan Bergman, Josh D'Amaro, Hugh Johnston, Ted Sarandos, Greg Peters, Andy Jassy, Jeff Bezos, Tim Cook, it's, Shari Redstone, Neil Begley, Redstone, David A, Barry Diller —, Paramount —, Jeff Shell, Max, Jonathan Miller, Begley, Sun, Mark Boidman, Dwyane Wade, Nathaniel S, Butler, Roger Goodell, Miller, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Andrew Harnik Organizations: Getty Images Media, titans, Allen, Co, Warner Bros, Netflix, Apple, Amusements, Paramount Global, Paramount, Moody's Investors Services, Co . Media, Technology Conference, Grogan, CNBC, Media, Shell, Disney, Hulu, ESPN, Fox Corp, Integrated Media, Hollywood, Solomon Partners, Sports, NBA, National Basketball Association, Getty, League, Sun, NFL, YouTube, Amazon Locations: Sun Valley , Idaho, Sun, Idaho, Atlanta

☆ Companies are going bankrupt at the fastest pace since the pandemic
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-08 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

When, earlier this year, hope was much stronger for a quick and significant reduction to interest rates, bankruptcies remained more subdued, S&P previously noted. As the Federal Reserve has held interest rates at the 5.25%-5.50% level for nearly a year now, some analysts have called the central bank out for risking unnecessary damage to the economy. AdvertisementYet, deteriorating consumer spending is also grinding down on corporate prospects. AdvertisementAmong notable June bankruptcies tracked by S&P Global, were the electric vehicle maker Fisker, as well as Redbox DVD rental operator Chicken Soup for the Soul Entertainment. That's followed by healthcare and industrials, S&P Global reported.

Persons: —, Tacking, Mark Zandi, Zandi, That's Organizations: Service, P Global Intelligence, Business, Global, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Fed, Nike, Walgreens, P Global, Soul Entertainment

☆ Powell will get necessary data for rate cuts in September, says Moody's Mark Zandi
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPowell will get necessary data for rate cuts in September, says Moody's Mark ZandiMark Zandi, Moody's chief economist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss whether the narrative around the Federal Reserve has shifted to rate cuts, whether July data sets the stage for Fed moves in September, and much more.

Persons: Powell, Mark Zandi Mark Zandi Organizations: Federal Reserve

☆ These are the best ways to play GenAI as it disrupts new industries, according to RBC
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-07 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Semiconductor stocks and technology behemoths get all the acclaim when it comes to artificial intelligence, but RBC Capital Markets is offering up some alternate ways to play the theme. Other technology giants have followed suit, with Amazon closing above a $2 trillion market value for the first time ever last month. Against this backdrop, RBC Capital Markets highlighted some of its favorite ways to play the theme beyond the classic winners, viewing AI as the "next disruptive mega-trend." While the social media giant has already gotten a boost from the trend, RBC Capital Markets expects shares to benefit from a world where digital advertisers market toward AI and virtual assistants. RBC Capital Markets also highlighted a handful of software stocks that could win big as AI proliferates, viewing the tool as a "revenue enhancer and profitability expander" that may take three to five years to materialize.

Persons: behemoths, GenAI, CrowdStrike, Eaton, Thomson Organizations: RBC Capital Markets, Nvidia, RBC Capital, Adobe, Accenture, Thomson Reuters Locations: Shopify

☆ Is inflation Biden's or Trump's fault? The answer isn't so simple, economists say
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-03 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

"He caused the inflation," Trump said of Biden during the June 27 debate. "He decimated the economy, absolutely decimated the economy," Biden said. 'Neither Trump nor Biden is to blame'Global events beyond Trump's or Biden's control wreaked havoc on supply-and-demand dynamics in the U.S. economy, fueling higher prices, economists said. "In my view, neither Trump nor Biden is to blame for the high inflation," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics. For example, Trump imposed tariffs on imported steel, aluminum and several goods from China, which Biden largely kept intact.

Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Andrew Harnik, Trump, Biden, David Wessel, Mark Zandi, Mario Tama, Wessel, Zandi, Stephen Brown, —, Michael Strain, Strain Organizations: Getty, Federal Reserve, Biden, Trump, Hutchins, Brookings Institution, Finance, Social Security, Medicare, Moody's, Port, International Monetary Fund, North, Capital Economics, American, American Enterprise Institute, Federal, U.S Locations: Atlanta, U.S, Ukraine, China, Port of Los Angeles, San Pedro , California, North America, It's

☆ India's water crisis could lead to unrest, hurt economic growth, Moody's warns
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-27 | by ( Charmaine Jacob | In Charmainemariajacob | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

People seen filling water from Delhi Jal Board Tankers amid a water crisis in Delhi at Baljeet Nagar, on June 22, 2024. Severe water shortages in India could hurt its sovereign credit strength, according to Moody's Ratings, warning that the water crisis could lead to social unrest if the agriculture and industrial sectors are disrupted. Rapid industrialization and urbanization, coupled with a meteoric economic expansion, has led to severe water shortage. India relies substantially on monsoon rain for its water supply, but is also prone to severe and extreme weather conditionsDelhi, one of the world's most densely populated cities with over 200 million people, is knee-deep in a water crisis. "There are 2.8 million people in the city who are aching for just a drop of water," Delhi Water Minister Atishi was quoted as saying on Monday, a day before she ended her hunger strike over the water crisis, as her health deteriorated.

Persons: Moody's, Atishi Organizations: Delhi Jal Locations: Delhi, Baljeet, India

☆ A San Francisco home worth $1.8 million was just listed for $488,000—but the new owners can't move in until 2053
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-25 | by ( Celia Fernandez | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The three-bedroom property, built in 1924, listed earlier this month is worth $1.8 million but is currently priced at $488,000, according to The San Francisco Standard. The property will be sold as is, meaning the new owners will become the current tenants' new landlords. The San Francisco metro area is one of the most expensive place to live. To afford life in a big city like San Francisco, you'd have to make double what most Americans earn, according to a May Moody's Analytics analysis. The unusual sale is partly due to a family feud, according to The San Francisco Standard.

Persons: you'd, Sandra Lee, Cheryl Lee, Todd Lee, Sandra, didn't, Lee Organizations: San Francisco, San Francisco Standard, North, CNBC Locations: San Francisco's, San Francisco, Russia Hill

☆ WaFd Bank CEO: Fears in the commercial real estate are 'overblown'
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWaFd Bank CEO: Fears in the commercial real estate are 'overblown'Brent Beardall, WaFd Bank CEO, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the state of regional banks being downgraded by Moody's, and the headwinds in the sector.

Persons: Brent Beardall Organizations: WaFd, WaFd Bank

☆ The unemployment rate hit 4% for the first time in 2 years. Here's why economists say you shouldn't worry
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( Genna Contino | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The unemployment rate, which has remained low for two years, has been inching higher in the first half of the year, according to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. For the first time since January 2022, the unemployment rate ticked to 4.0% last month, up from 3.9% in April. Even though the employment rate has reached the highest it has been in a couple of years, 4% is still historically low, experts point out. Economists say people shouldn't be too concerned because both the number of jobs and the size of the labor force are growing. May's unemployment rate was impacted heavily by people, particularly those who are between 20 and 24 years old, entering and reentering the workforce, according to Moody's Analytics head labor economist Marisa DiNatale.

Persons: Marisa DiNatale, DiNatale Organizations: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Google

☆ Prolonged high rates will be 'corrosive' to economy, says Moody's Mark Zandi
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailProlonged high rates will be 'corrosive' to economy, says Moody's Mark ZandiMark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss expectations for Fed interest rates, economic signals for cuts, and more.

Persons: Mark Zandi Mark Zandi Organizations: Moody’s

☆ How immigrants are helping to keep job growth hot while inflation cools
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-17 | by ( Rebecca Picciotto | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Kevin Lamarque | ReutersImmigration — both authorized and unauthorized — has helped the U.S. job market sustain a fiery run in recent months without reigniting inflation, economists and analysts say. This dynamic — a heating job market and cooling inflation — is in part the result of increased inflows of immigrants. Typically, a hot labor market walks a tightrope that could easily collapse into reheated inflation. But the Brookings researchers recalculated the government's estimates — this time, factoring the impact of immigrants on the labor pool. They found that with immigration, the 2024 U.S. job market could safely absorb between 160,000 and 200,000 monthly job gains.

Persons: Joe Biden, Kevin Lamarque, Reuters Immigration —, —, Dow Jones, Goldman Sachs, Michael M, Mark Zandi, Jerome Powell, Zandi, Mandel Ngan, Biden, Donald Trump, Brendan McDermid Organizations: U.S . Border Patrol, Reuters Immigration, of Labor Statistics, FedEx, Broadway, Santiago, Getty, CNBC, Brookings Institution, Brookings, U.S, International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers, Afp, White, Republican Locations: U.S, Mexico, Brownsville , Texas, New York City, United, Lanham , Maryland, United States, Las Vegas , Nevada

☆ High exposure to commercial real estate poses a risk to regional banks, says Moody's Ana Arsov
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHigh exposure to commercial real estate poses a risk to regional banks, says Moody's Ana ArsovAna Arsov, co-head of financial institutions at Moody's Ratings, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss the health of regional banks, why Moody's recently downgraded eight regional banks, and more.

Persons: Moody's Ana Arsov Ana Arsov, Moody's

☆ Fed has hit its objective, so they should lower rates: Moody's Mark Zandi
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed has hit its objective, so they should lower rates: Moody's Mark ZandiMark Zandi, Moody's Analytics chief economist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss why the Federal Reserve should cut rates, the metrics it bases its decisions on, and more.

Persons: Mark Zandi Mark Zandi Organizations: Fed, Federal Reserve

☆ Regional banks can 'earn their way out of risk' from commercial real estate: Janney's Chris Marinac
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRegional banks can 'earn their way out of risk' from commercial real estate: Janney's Chris MarinacChris Marinac, director of equity research at Janney Montgomery Scott, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss why he disagrees with Moody's downgrade of some regional banks, how investors can position, and more.

Persons: Chris Marinac Chris Marinac, Janney Montgomery Scott

☆ With yields around 7%, fallen angel ETFs have outperformed — but come with risks
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-06 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Just two exchange-traded funds invest in the space — iShares Fallen Angels USD Bond ETF (FALN) and VanEck Fallen Angel High Yield Bond ETF (ANGL). FALN 1Y mountain iShares Fallen Angels USD Bond ETF one-year performance The iShares Fallen Angels USD Bond ETF and VanEck Fallen Angel High Yield Bond ETF track two different indexes. ANGL seeks to replicate the ICE US Fallen Angel High Yield 10% Constrained Index, while FALN tracks the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. High Yield Fallen Angel 3% Capped Index. In comparison, the Bloomberg U.S. High Yield Index has a 4.64% annualized return over the past 10 years, the firm said. Be aware of risks Fallen angel portfolios are generally much higher quality than their high-yield peers, said Morningstar's Evens.

Persons: —, Zachary Evens, Evens, Jared Woodard, Stephen Laipply, Morningstar's, Laipply, FALN Organizations: Angels, Bond, SEC, Morningstar, Chartered Alternative Investment, Association, Bloomberg Barclays, Bank of, Bank of America, U.S, ICE, Bloomberg Barclays U.S ., Bloomberg U.S, Corporate, Broad Locations: Bank, BlackRock

Generating income with dividend stocks Dividend stocks have long been a staple of income investors' portfolios. Municipal bonds offer income that's free of federal tax, however. These names trade on exchanges like stocks, and they can offer dividend yields upward of 6%. Options strategies to create income Derivative income funds , such as the JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF (JEPI), gathered some $22 billion in 2023, according to Morningstar. Further, consider comparison shopping, as all "derivative income" funds have their own quirks and differences in strategies could affect their risk/return profile.

Persons: Janus Henderson, Walt Disney's, Amber Milam, Jefferies, It's, Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, Russell, Louis, Morningstar, Mike Mulach, Rick Rieder, he'd, Kathleen McNamara, there's, –, Bill Gross, JEPI, Cash, Ashton Lawrence Organizations: Federal Reserve, Meta, Mobile, Bank of America, IBM, . Investment, Fitch, Credit, nab, ICE, Federal Reserve Bank of St, Louis Fed, UBS, UBS Wealth Management, York Life Investments, –, JPMorgan, Mariner Wealth Advisors Locations: U.S, Greenville , South Carolina

☆ Golden Age for Rich Renters: Deals Make It Better Than Buying a Home
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( James Rodriguez | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +10 min

The result is that class A units account for more than half the apartment market, compared with one-third in the early 2000s, according to Moody's Analytics. High-end apartments that offer amenities up the wazoo — and rent breaks, to boot — represent a tantalizing alternative to the for-sale market right now. But as with all good things, the golden age for America's wealthy renters must also come to an end. Nations told me she still hoped to buy a home one day. "I know how challenging it is to rent in Nashville, especially on your own," Nations told me.

Persons: Emily Nations, she's, Nicole Bachaud, Rich, Joel Sanders, Sanders, Doug Ressler, David Brasington, Ressler, they're, — Organizations: Trinity, cabana, Nations, Analytics, University of Cincinnati, Census Locations: Nashville, downtown, Nations, New York, Salt Lake City, Atlanta, America, Houston, Austin, Phoenix, Charlotte, North Carolina, Raleigh , North Carolina, Tampa , Florida

☆ Investor home purchases jump for the first time in two years. Here's what that means for buyers
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-04 | by ( Ana Teresa Solá | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

watch nowWhat an investor home purchase meansIn this context, investors are defined as any institution or business that purchases residential real estate, according to Redfin. Investor share refers to the portion of homes purchased by investors over a certain period, said Chen Zhao, senior economist at Redfin. Part of the recent increase in real estate investor activity is due to seasonality, as more homes are typically sold during the spring, Walsh said. Sales began to decline as mortgage rates climbed, as higher interest rates affect both typical homebuyers and investors, he said. What investor interest means for buyers and rentersIf you're a consumer buying on the market, you are competing against investors on top of other typical homebuyers, Zhao explained.

Persons: Chen Zhao, Zhao, Matthew Walsh, there's, aren't, Moody's, Redfin's Zhao, Walsh, Sales Organizations: Investor, Parcl Labs, Moody's, Investors, CNBC Locations: U.S

☆ Inflation looks on track to get back to the Fed's target by end of year, says Moody's Mark Zandi
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInflation looks on track to get back to the Fed's target by end of year, says Moody's Mark ZandiMark Zandi, Moody’s Analytics Chief Economist, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk what's ahead for the Federal Reserve, the recent inflation read, if we will see a rate cut this year and more.

Persons: Mark Zandi Mark Zandi Organizations: Federal Reserve

☆ Euro zone inflation rises to 2.6% in May, but bloc still seen heading for interest rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-31 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Inflation in the euro zone rose to 2.6% in May, statistics agency Eurostat said Friday, but a higher-than-expected print did not sway market bets of an interest rate cut from the European Central Bank next week. Core inflation, excluding the volatile effects of energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, increased to 2.9% from 2.7% in April. The data comes with the ECB widely expected to cut interest rates at its June 6 meeting, the first reduction since 2019. While headline inflation increased in May, fluctuations in the rate have been forecast over the coming months due to base effects from the energy market and the unwinding of government fiscal support schemes across the bloc, . Staff are also due to release their latest round of inflation and growth projections at next week's meeting, providing more clues on the pace and level of potential cuts this year.

Persons: Klaas Knot, Kamil Kovar Organizations: Eurostat, European Central Bank, Reuters, ECB, Staff, Moody's, U.S . Locations: Corfu, Old Town, Greece, London

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