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Needham sees Apple doubling its revenue growth by building out an advertising business. Analyst Laura Martin said the big technology company's single-digit revenue growth rate feels "increasingly at risk" over a three-year time horizon. Martin pointed to eMarketer data showing worldwide ad revenue should come in at just about $9.3 billion for Apple in the 2024 fiscal year. Selling connected TV ads on AppleTV+ could alone double the company's expected revenue growth rate of just 1% this year, Martin said. More broadly, she said advertising could help "reinvigorate" Apple's "anemic" revenue growth rate, while also accelerating free cash flow growth and upside to return on invested capital.
Persons: Needham, Laura Martin, Martin, LSEG Organizations: Apple, Amazon, Big Tech Locations: U.S
Investors eager to buy into the stock market rally may want to hold off, according to an analyst for Canadian investment bank Canaccord Genuity. The S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite closed at all-time highs on Monday, adding to strong gains in the first half of the year. The tech-heavy Nasdaq ended the first half up 18.1%, while the S & P rose 14.5% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 3.8%. In fact, the top 10 stocks in the S & P now account for more than 38% of the index's total capitalization, a new high, Welch said. Meanwhile, the S & P 500 is trading at a rich multiple of 24 times trailing 12-month profits, and expectations are for 10.1% earnings growth in the second quarter, he said.
Persons: Canaccord Genuity's Michael Welch, Welch, Russell Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial
The best-performing exchange-traded funds in the second half will likely be decided by broader shifts in the markets and economy. Even with mounting uncertainty, however, there are some types of ETFs that could emerge as winners. Equities A handful of stocks were big winners in the first half, and some narrowly focused ETFs were able to ride that wave. Single-stock funds tied to Nvidia have also seen heavy interest, including the GraniteShares 2x Long Nvidia ETF (NVDL) . However, Hougan said he didn't think that omission would be a big hurdle for ETF investors.
Persons: Michael Arone, Arone, Jay Jacobs, Jacobs, Todd Sohn, bullish, we're, Sohn, Matt Hougan, Hougan Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, SPDR, State Street Global Advisors, Nvidia, Microsoft, NYSE Technology, iShares, Digital Infrastructure, Real, U.S . Tech, Blackstone Senior Loan, Loan Fund, New, Bitwise Asset Management, ETH Locations: U.S
CNBC Daily Open: Tesla powers S&P 500, Nasdaq to record highs
  + stars: | 2024-07-04 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Record highsThe S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite closed at record highs in a shortened session ahead of the July 4 Independence Day holiday. The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell as the latest economic data indicated the jobs market was cooling. Despite some officials advocating for potential rate hikes, the Federal Open Market Committee ultimately decided to hold rates steady. [PRO] Tesla bull caseWedbush analyst Dan Ives raised his Tesla price target to $300 from $275, with a bull case of $400 by 2025.
Persons: Nela Richardson, Elliott Management's, Elliott, Bob Jordan, Gary Kelly, JPMorgan's Kolanovic, Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic, Dubravko, Dan Ives Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Dow Jones, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Federal, Market Committee, ADP, Southwest Airlines Locations: U.S
In a year when the S & P 500 is touting a 15.5% advance, small-cap stocks look underwhelming – but investors shouldn't shy away from them, said Julie Biel, chief market strategist at Kayne Anderson Rudnick. "I don't think you want to avoid them — they're part of a balanced diet," said Biel, who is also a portfolio manager at the firm. The benchmark small-cap index Russell 2000 is up roughly 1% year to date, whereas the S & P 500 has rallied almost 16%, largely thanks to the strength of Nvidia and other megacap tech stocks. The S & P 400 mid-cap index has also fallen short of its large-cap counterpart, up a modest 5% in 2024. Biel herself manages a small- and mid-cap growth portfolio and takes a long-term investment approach.
Persons: Julie Biel, Kayne Anderson, Biel, Russell, Ryan Organizations: Nvidia, Russell, Isaac, Ryan Specialty, IFS, West Pharmaceutical Services Locations: Biel
RBC Capital Markets increased its 2024 year-end target for the S & P 500, but the bank is taking a cautious stance on its market outlook. Head of global equity strategy Lori Calvasina now sees the broad market index ending the year at 5,700, up from her previous target of 5,300. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 in 2024 While she does see more upside ahead for the benchmark, Calvasina noted that valuations suggest the market is a bit overbought. There is also the risk that another short-term pullback — similar to what the market experienced in April — will take place, the strategist said. The S & P 500 has climbed nearly 15% year to date, with gains driven largely by chipmaker Nvidia and a small group of other megacap tech stocks.
Persons: Lori Calvasina, Calvasina, , We've, ” Calvasina, , chipmaker Organizations: RBC Capital Markets, chipmaker Nvidia
U.S. stock futures are little changed Monday night after the major averages closed higher to start the second half of 2024, as tech stocks outperformed. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell 26 points, or 0.07%. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures dipped 0.06% and 0.1%, respectively. The central bank leader will be part of a panel discussion and will not be issuing prepared remarks beforehand. He will join ECB President Christine Lagarde and Roberto Campos Neto, governor of Brazil's central bank.
Persons: Kevin Gordon, Charles Schwab, Gordon, Jerome Powell, Christine Lagarde, Roberto Campos Neto, Sara Eisen, Dow Jones Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, European Central Bank Forum, ECB Locations: Brazil's
Even better: The fact that the S & P 500 has performed so well this year makes the outlook sweeter. In years with the S & P 500 climbing more than 10% in the first six months, it jumped 7.9% in the typical second half. Presidential election years also typically bring returns in the second half of the year, according to Stovall's data. For the entire second half, the S & P 500 has climbed 3.5% on average. Some investors are wondering how much farther the S & P 500 can run up after notching all-time highs this year.
Persons: CFRA Research's Sam Stovall Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC
CNBC Daily Open: Amazon enters $2 trillion club
  + stars: | 2024-06-27 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. The yield on the 10-year Treasury rose as investors parse comments from Fed officials and await key inflation data due Friday. $2,000,000,000,000Amazon's market capitalization surpassed $2 trillion for the first time on Wednesday, joining the ranks of tech giants like Apple and Microsoft. YouTube dominanceAlphabet's YouTube, the pioneer of user-generated content, continues to dominate media consumption, now accounting for nearly 10% of all TV viewership in the U.S.
Persons: Annie Palmer, Elliott Management, Sanjay Mehrotra, Rich Greenfield, Piper Organizations: CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Southwest Airlines, Delta, Micron, YouTube, Nielsen, Netflix, Media, Disney, Warner Bros Locations: Shein, U.S
CNBC Daily Open: Micron slides, Amazon's $2 trillion
  + stars: | 2024-06-27 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) during morning trading on March 4, 2024 in New York City. This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Micron slidesShares of Micron fell almost 8% in extended trading on Wednesday as its revenue forecast failed to top analysts' expectations. The stock rose 3.9% on Wednesday.
Persons: Sanjay Mehrotra, Annie Palmer, Elliott Management, Shunichi Suzuki, Australia's, Arjun Jayaraman Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Micron, Apple, Microsoft, Southwest Airlines, Delta, U.S ., Finance, CSI Locations: New York City, Shein, Asia, Pacific, India
Retailer traders took Nvidia' s recent sell-off as a buying opportunity, snapping up shares of the dominant artificial intelligence chipmaker amid the volatility. The cohort bought $1.8 billion worth of Nvidia shares over the past week as the Jensen Huang-led company suffered a quick pullback, according to JPMorgan data. JPMorgan estimated that retail investors are up 179% trading Nvidia this year, topping the stock's year-to-date performance. Meanwhile, other megacap tech stocks fared poorly among individual investors last week, JPMorgan said. Advanced Micro Devices saw net sales of $163 million, Microsoft had a net drawdown of $158 million and Tesla $122 million.
Persons: Jensen Huang, Nvidia's Organizations: Nvidia, JPMorgan, Microsoft, Google, Oracle, Meta Locations: U.S
The S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have rallied during the second quarter and are currently within 1% of their record highs. "It's great to see S & P and Nasdaq make new highs, but clearly something is not right if key barometers for risk are rolling over," Ginsberg wrote. There doesn't even seem to be a consensus among the biggest names in the stock market. These latest signs of weakness are part of the long-standing worry about the lack of market breadth . RSP YTD mountain The equal-weight S & P 500 is headed for a losing second quarter.
Persons: Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Russell, Ginsberg, Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nasdaq, Wolfe Research, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Big Tech, RSP, Bears
Neil Hennessy said investors need to look at value stocks that offer attractive price-to-sales multiples and avoid what he sees as a dying "Magnificent Seven" trade. While Hennessy admitted that the Magnificent 7 stocks have performed well, he said their average price-to-earnings multiple sits at around 47 while their price-to-sales multiple is above 12. "The reality of our world is money is shifting over to value," said the University of San Diego alum. But Hennessy said the stock is attractively priced, with a price-to-sales multiple of 0.9 and P/E ratio of just 7. But the average price target implies the stock can turn around and surge more than 27% over the coming year.
Persons: Neil Hennessy, Hennessy, I'm, SPX Organizations: Oshkosh Corp, University of San Diego, Oshkosh, LSEG
One fund has a formula that has enabled it to consistently beat the S & P 500 : the Hennessy Cornerstone Growth Fund. The fund uses a formula-based strategy for investing, according to its portfolio managers Neil Hennessy, Ryan Kelley, and Joshua Wein. "We're trying to combine value with momentum and some growth," Kelley said. Stocks the fund owns Most of the stocks in the outperforming fund aren't actually in tech but in the industrials, consumer, financials and health-care sectors — because of the formula they use. It is the only name which survived in the recent rebalancing to the current batch of 50 stocks, said Wein.
Persons: Neil Hennessy, Ryan Kelley, Joshua Wein, Kelley, Wein, They've, We're, aren't Organizations: Cornerstone Growth Fund, CNBC Pro, Micro Computer, Urban Outfitters Locations: United States
U.S. S&P 500 futures fell slightly Wednesday night after the S&P 500 rose for a second day. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures dipped 0.19% and 0.32%, respectively. Goldman Sachs shares slid 1.7%, while JPMorgan Chase shares rose slightly. During the regular session Wednesday, the S&P 500 closed up 0.2%, while the Nasdaq Composite added 0.5%. Strategists surveyed by CNBC Pro anticipate the S&P 500 will likely end the year not even 1% higher from current levels.
Persons: Levi Strauss, Goldman Sachs, Brian Levitt, CNBC's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Micron, Bank, Federal Reserve, U.S, JPMorgan Chase, Dow Jones, Amazon, CNBC Pro, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Nike
Stocks could be due for a pullback this summer given high second-quarter earnings growth expectations, according to Citi. In the second quarter, S & P 500 companies are expected to post a year-over-year earnings growth rate of 8.8%, according to a FactSet estimate. That is a forecast Chronert said is "probably a reach," especially for the 493 S & P 500 companies outside of Nvidia and the megacaps. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 Last week, Chronert was among several strategists on the Street to hike their S & P 500 year-end target on the strength of a handful of megacap tech stocks that have carried the broader index to all-time highs. According to a CNBC Pro survey , strategists on a median basis anticipate the S & P 500 will rise to just 5,500 by the end of the year.
Persons: Scott Chronert, Chronert, CNBC's, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Citi, Nvidia, ISI, CNBC
The risk of an economic slowdown now outweighs the risk of inflation, according to Morgan Stanley. But Morgan Stanley worries that the poor breadth of the market , measuring the number of advancing stocks against those declining, is a sign that slowing economic growth is becoming a bigger risk than stubbornly high inflation. To be sure, the Morgan Stanley strategist does not expect weak breadth to herald weak returns. Here are some of the quality large-cap and defensive stocks with strong upward earnings revisions that can outperform, according to Morgan Stanley. Burlington shares are higher by 25% this year, and the stock is overweight-rated by Morgan Stanley.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Wilson, Russell, Bernstein, BURL, Aneesha Sherman, Morgan, Jefferies, HubSpot Organizations: Wall, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Monster Beverage, Beverage, Nvidia Locations: Burlington
UPS shares were unchanged in premarket trading. Planet Fitness — The budget-friendly gym chain climbed 3.1% after TD Cowen named the stock a top pick and raised its rating to buy from hold. Affirm — The buy-now-pay-later stock jumped 3.2% on the heels of Goldman Sachs' initiation at a buy rating. IBM — The legacy tech giant moved 1.4% higher after Goldman Sachs initiated coverage with a buy rating. Cinemark — Shares popped 3.3% after Roth MKM upgraded the American movie theater chain to buy from neutral, citing "meaningful box office improvement."
Persons: Eli Lilly — ResMed, Eli Lilly's, Eli Lilly, Jefferies, TD Cowen, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Roth MKM, , Michelle Fox, Sarah Min, Jesse Pound Organizations: Coyote Logistics, UPS, RXO, Coyote, Nvidia, Carrier, Citi, Ferrari —, UBS, Anheuser, Busch InBev —, IBM
The S&P 500 has gone 377 days without a 2.05% sell-off. That's the longest stretch for the benchmark since the great financial crisis, according to FactSet data compiled by CNBC. Zoom In Icon Arrows pointing outwards The S&P 500 has gone 377 days without a selloff of 2.05% or more, which is the longest period since the Great Financial Crisis. Year to date, the S&P 500 is up more than 14%. Zoom In Icon Arrows pointing outwards The S&P 500 has notched the longest stretch without a 2.15% or more gain since the Great Financial Crisis.
Persons: Angela Weiss, Adam Turnquist Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Afp, Getty, CNBC, Nvidia, LPL
Once-obscure chipmaker Broadcom has enjoyed a record-setting rally that's pushed its market capitalization inches behind Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway conglomerate and its portfolio of household names and economic bellwethers. When Broadcom hit an all-time high earlier this week, its market capitalization briefly surpassed drug maker Eli Lilly's. As of Tuesday's close, Broadcom had a market cap of $839 billion, right behind Eli Lilly's $845 billion and Berkshire's $882 billion. Omaha-based Berkshire is currently No.7 in market value, after a cluster of megacap technology giants. Big AI beneficiary Broadcom, meanwhile, is seeing strong demand from customers in need of high-capacity chips that can power complex AI applications.
Persons: that's, Warren Buffett's, Eli Lilly's, Hock Tan, Steve Sosnick, Tesla, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Broadcom, Warren, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Apple, Berkshire, BNSF Railway, Geico Insurance, U.S ., PetroChina, Bank of America, Interactive Brokers, VMware Locations: Palo Alto , California, Omaha, Berkshire, U.S, Saudi Aramco
CNBC Daily Open: Boeing's 'moment of reckoning'
  + stars: | 2024-06-18 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Immigrants, jobs and inflationImmigration has helped the U.S. job market sustain a strong run in recent months without reigniting inflation, economists and analysts say. This dynamic — a hot job market and cooling inflation — is in part the result of increased inflows of immigrants. The conglomerate sold 1.3 million shares for $39.8 million, reducing its holding to 6.9%. [PRO] S&P 500 to hit 6,000Evercore ISI predicts the stock market will soar to unprecedented heights, setting a new year-end target for the S&P 500 at a record 6,000.
Persons: Neel Kashkari, CNBC's Rebecca Picciotto, Ryan Cohen, Keith Gill, Matthew Bartolini, Berkshire Hathaway, Charlie Munger, Tesla Organizations: CNBC, Microsoft, Apple, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Minneapolis Federal, GameStop, Fund, Nvidia, SPDR Locations: U.S, SPDR Americas, Berkshire, BYD
Goldman Sachs sees upside for the S & P 500 for the rest of this year as corporate earnings strengthen. Chief U.S. Equity Strategist David Kostin hiked his year-end S & P 500 price target by 400 points, or about 7.7%, to 5,600. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 index in 2024. That's 11.6% off where the S & P 500 wrapped up last week. The S & P 500 has climbed nearly 14% since the start of 2024.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Godman, Kostin, Goldman Organizations: Chief U.S, Equity, Microsoft, Nvidia, Wall, CNBC
The S & P 500 is higher by 14% already this year, having topped 5,400 for the first time, already blowing past the year-end forecasts of many strategists. In its revised forecast, Goldman Sachs anticipates the S & P 500 still has further to climb. It would mean a 13% fall for the S & P 500, back down to 4,700. Megacap exceptionalism If AI stocks continue to outperform, defying expectations, stocks could see a huge megacap tech rally between now and year's end. In this scenario, investors can expect the S & P 500 to close out the year at 6,300, a gain of about 16%.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David J, Kostin, Goldman, Nvidia — Organizations: Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, Federal Reserve
Wall Street is wondering whether the tech rally that's pushed the S & P 500 through record after record this year can continue, even as some cracks emerge in the market outlook. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 near record highs A peek inside the major indexes also reveals a similar pattern. Information technology is the best-performing sector in the S & P 500 this week, gaining 6.2%. As it is, the S & P 500 is already above 5,400, having advanced more than 13% this year. Winners and losers market David Miller, investment chief at Catalyst Funds, also said the S & P 500 could end 2024 with a 17% or 18% gain.
Persons: Jeff Klingelhofer, it's, Klingelhofer, Brian Nick, Nick, Dave Sekera, Dave Donabedian, Donabedian, David Miller, Miller Organizations: Nasdaq, Nvidia, Dow Jones, Apple, Thornburg Investment Management, CNBC, Macro, Federal Reserve, Morningstar, CIBC Private Wealth, Catalyst Funds, Microsoft, Google, Visa, MasterCard, American Airlines, Delta Air Lines, Novo Nordisk, TransDigm, Index, Retail, Manufacturing, Housing, Philadelphia Fed, Kroger, Darden, PMI Locations: U.S, NAHB
Investors may want to be careful when buying tech stocks, as some names in the sector have become overvalued after their recent gains. Additionally, the CNBC Magnificent 7 Index has seen gains nearly twice that of the XLK and Nasdaq year to date, rising about 35%. CNBC Pro screened FactSet data for stocks in the XLK whose forward price-earnings ratio is above the S & P 500's. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 23.4, which is nearly double its five-year average P/E of 12.6. The megacap tech stock's forward P/E of 32.8 is 13.1% above its five-year average.
Persons: Jefferies, Oppenheimer Organizations: Nasdaq, CNBC, Barclays, Broadcom, JPMorgan, Citi, UBS, Microsoft
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