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☆ Stock market today: S&P 500 notches 5-day streak of gains ahead of next week's Fed meeting
  + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +2 min
The S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow Jones all posted gains amid rate cut speculation. Odds of a 50 basis point cut rose sharply this week from about 30% to 49%. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 notched a five-day win streak, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average surged almost 300 points. Odds are split 49% / 51% for a 50 basis point or 25 basis point rate cut, respectively. Advertisement"A less aggressive Fed rate outlook could spark some volatility given market expectations," Adam said.
Persons: Dow Jones, —, Raymond James, Larry Adam, Adam Organizations: Nasdaq, Service, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Dow, Open, Fed, Markets
☆ Why the stock market's AI trade came back to life this week
  + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +5 min
AI stocks like Nvidia, Super Micro Computer, and Broadcom soared nearly 20% this week. Oracle shares surged 24% after Ellison's bullish comments on AI's long-term potential. AdvertisementThe stock market's artificial intelligence trade was revived this week, with shares of AI stalwarts like Nvidia, Super Micro Computer, and Broadcom all soaring nearly 20%. Since those bullish comments, Oracle shares soared as much as 24% at their intraday peak on Friday. The AI rally has spread throughout the tech sector this week, with semiconductor stocks seeing renewed interest and a nearly 10% surge.
Persons: Ellison's, —, Larry Ellison, Jensen Huang, Oracle's Ellison, Ellison, it's, Oracle, Jackson Ader, Huang, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Nvidia, Micro, Broadcom, Oracle, Service
☆ The Fed needs to 'start getting out of the way' and deliver a big rate cut next week, famed economist Claudia Sahm says
  + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
Economist Claudia Sahm urged the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 50 basis points next week. Sahm cites solid inflation progress and a slowing labor market as reasons for the big rate cut. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve "absolutely" needs to deliver a 50 basis point interest rate cut next week, according to famed economist Claudia Sahm. We need to kind of clean it up, do a 50 basis point cut, and then be ready to do more," Sahm said. AdvertisementInvestors are undecided as to what the Fed will do at its FOMC meeting next week, with the CME FedWatch Tool showing a near 50/50 split probability between a 25 basis point or 50 basis point cut as of Friday morning.
Persons: Claudia Sahm, Sahm, —, Powell, it's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, CNBC, Fed, Atlanta
☆ Stock market today: S&P 500 goes for 5-day win streak as markets look ahead to next week's Fed meeting
  + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +2 min
US stocks jumped on Friday as S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 aimed for a five-day win streak. Investors are focused on the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate cut announcement next week. The Fed is expected to cut rates for the first time since 2019, with about even odds for a 25- or 50-basis point cut. Based on probabilities from the CME's FedWatch Tool, there's a 49%/51% split on whether the Fed will deliver a 50-basis point or 25-basis point interest rate cut, respectively. AdvertisementNext week's expected interest rate cut from the Fed will represent the first time the central bank has lowered rates since 2019.
Persons: —, Jerome Powell, it's, Aditya Bhave Organizations: Nasdaq, Federal, Service, Federal Reserve, Bank of America Locations: Here's
☆ Americans are the richest they've ever been thanks to soaring real estate and stock prices
  + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Americans' net worth hit a record $163.8 trillion in Q2, driven by a surge in real estate and stock prices. Data from the Federal Reserve shows a nearly 2% increase In net worth from Q1, with real estate leading the gains. Record highs in Americans' net worth could drive a "wealth effect" that leads to the economy's continued resilience. AdvertisementNew data from the Federal Reserve reveals that Americans are the richest they've ever been. A $1.8 trillion increase in real estate valued and a $700 billion gain in stocks drove the increase.
Persons: —, David Rosenberg, " Rosenberg, It's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, National, Census Locations: States
☆ An under-the-radar industrial stock is a safe way to bet on the AI boom, Bank of America says
  + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Bank of America upgraded Johnson Controls to 'Buy' for its exposure to AI data centers. AdvertisementJohnson Controls is the stock to buy for safe exposure to the AI boom, according to a note this week from Bank of America. That is more than triple the data center exposure its closest competitors have, including Trane Technologies and Carrier. AdvertisementAs for a potential catalyst for Johnson Controls, aside from its data center exposure, Bank of America highlighted its ongoing search for a new CEO. Advertisement"JCI hypothetically re-rating fully in line with the average of these HVAC peers would imply a 57% higher valuation," Obin said.
Persons: —, Johnson, Andrew Obin, Obin Organizations: of America, Johnson, Bank of America, Service, JCI, Trane Technologies, Johnson Controls Locations: chillers
☆ Warren Buffett's $13 billion bet on Occidental Petroleum turns sour as oil prices hit a 3-year low
  + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
Occidental Petroleum shares have dropped 29% since mid-April, impacting Warren Buffett's stake in the company. Berkshire Hathaway's $13 billion stake in Occidental Petroleum may be underwater, based on estimates. The price decline in Occidental shares has coincided with a 23% decline in crude oil prices since mid-April. AdvertisementTo be clear, the average price Berkshire Hathaway paid for its Occidental Petroleum stake is only known by Berkshire Hathaway itself. Another sign that Berkshire Hathaway's Occidental Petroleum bet is souring is based on the warrants it owns to purchase additional shares.
Persons: Warren Buffett's, —, Warren, Warren Buffett's Berkshire, Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, Chris Bloomstran, Semper Augustus, Bloomstran, Vicki Hollub, it's, Hollub Organizations: Occidental Petroleum, Berkshire Hathaway's, Service, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Berkshire, Berkshire Hathaway's Occidental Petroleum, Apple, Bank of America, Occidental, Occidental Petroleum's Locations: Berkshire, Occidental
☆ GameStop craters as earnings show sales falling and profits driven mostly by its huge cash pile
  + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
GameStop stock plunged on Wednesday after revealing a 31% revenue decline in its second-quarter earnings. The video game retailer's revenue drop comes amid the industry's shift to digital game downloads. AdvertisementGameStop investors received a sobering wakeup call on Wednesday after the video game retailer saw its stock plunge as much as 18%. GameStop's earnings revealed a sharp 31% revenue decline to $798 million as the video game industry accelerates its transition from physical game sales to digital game downloads. AdvertisementAside from the sharp revenue decline, GameStop reported a slight profit surprise with adjusted earnings per share of $0.01 higher than the -$0.09 estimate from Wall Street.
Persons: —, Keith Gill, Ryan, Ryan Cohen's GameStop Organizations: GameStop, Service, Nintendo, Sega, Wall, Federal, SEC
☆ Nvidia stock jumps as CEO Jensen Huang looks to address key investor concerns
  + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Nvidia stock surged 6% on Wednesday, helping fuel a tech-led rebound in the stock market. CEO Jensen Huang discussed the return on investment of AI infrastructure at a Goldman Sachs conference. Productivity gains and immediate cost savings are the core tenets of Nvidia's ROI pitch to customers. The gains in Nvidia stock came as CEO Jensen Huang addressed investors at a Goldman Sachs conference in San Francisco Wednesday morning. "You reduce the computing time by about 20 times, and so you get a 10x savings," Huang said of running Nvidia's GPU accelerators relative to traditional CPUs.
Persons: Jensen Huang, Goldman Sachs, —, David Solomon, Huang, Solomon, Nvidia's, Claude, There's Organizations: Nvidia, Goldman, Productivity, Service, San Locations: San Francisco
☆ The market is acting like Harris won last night's debate against Trump
  + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Price action in the stock market suggests markets think Kamala Harris won Tuesday's debate. Investors reacted by selling assets tied to the "Trump trade," with declines in Trump Media stock and bitcoin. AdvertisementThe first Presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is over and markets have named the winner. Following Tuesday night's debate, markets are showing signs that Vice President Harris came out on top, with investors voting with their portfolios and selling assets tied to the so-called Trump trade. On the flipside, assets that could see a boost from a Kamala Harris presidency were up Wednesday.
Persons: Price, Kamala Harris, Trump, Harris, —, Donald Trump, Matthew Ryan, Ebury, it's Organizations: Trump Media, Service, Trump, Technology Group, Truth, cryptocurrency, ING, ING Economics
☆ Ally Financial plunges 19% after CFO says its borrowers are struggling
  + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Ally Financial shares dropped 19% Tuesday after its CFO warned of weaker financial health among borrowers. Ally Financial, a major auto lender, expects rising delinquency rates going forward. AdvertisementShares of Ally Financial plunged as much as 19% on Tuesday after the company's CFO said it is seeing a deterioration in the financial health of its consumers. He added: "We're clearly dealing with a cohort of borrowers who have been struggling with cost of living and now are struggling with an employment picture that's worsened." Overall, Ally Financial's comments are not encouraging for the consumer picture, but Ally Financial is known for catering to borrowers with credit scores in the lower to middle ranges.
Persons: —, Ally, Russell Hutchinson, Hutchinson, " Hutchinson, Ally Financial's, Sanjay Sakhrani, Ally's, Sakhrani Organizations: Financial, Ally, Service, Barclays
☆ Why oil prices have cratered to their lowest level in nearly 3 years
  + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Oil prices plunged to their lowest level since December 2021, with Brent oil falling 4% to $68.99 on Tuesday. OPEC cut its oil demand outlook and delayed production boosts, while US production hits record highs. In its monthly oil market report, OPEC cut its outlook for oil demand because of the deceleration in China's economy. That's nearly double its oil production levels in 2014. Senior market analyst David Morrison at Trade Nation said in an email that investors shouldn't expect a rebound in oil prices anytime soon.
Persons: Brent, —, oil's, That's, David Morrison, Morrison Organizations: ., Service, brent, OPEC, Trade Nation Locations: Brent, YCharts
☆ Apple will hit a $4 trillion market cap in 2025 as the iPhone 16 sparks big upgrade cycle, Wedbush says
  + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Apple's iPhone 16 launch will drive the company to a $4 trillion valuation by 2025, Wedbush said. Pent-up demand and unchanged prices are set to fuel iPhone 16 sales, especially in China, Ives said. AdvertisementApple's upcoming launch of the iPhone 16 will help catapult the company to a $4 trillion valuation in 2025, according to Wedbush Securities. That pent-up demand among iPhone users who need a new phone will ultimately help fuel iPhone 16 unit sales of 240 million in 2025, he predicted. Apple stock is down about 1.5% since it unveiled its iPhone 16 lineup on Monday.
Persons: Wedbush, Dan Ives, Ives, — Organizations: Service, Wedbush Securities, Apple Intelligence, Apple, Baidu Locations: China, Asia
☆ All the data is pointing to a soft landing in the US economy, top economist says
  + stars: | 2024-09-09 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
The US economy is not facing a recession, says Apollo chief economist Torsten Sløk. Sløk cites strong employment data, wage growth, and consumer spending as key indicators. AdvertisementThe US economy is cruising toward a soft landing with no recession on the table, according to Apollo chief economist Torsten Sløk. "Daily data for debit card transactions shows that consumer spending has been accelerating in recent weeks," Sløk said. That's not something you see right before a recession hits the economy, according to Sløk.
Persons: Torsten Sløk, Sløk, — Organizations: Service, Sløk, Atlanta
☆ The top 10 NFL football teams are worth a combined $78 billion
  + stars: | 2024-09-06 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Top 10 NFL teams are worth a combined $78 billion, with the Dallas Cowboys claiming the top spot. As the NFL season gets underway, here are the most valuable football teams in the league. According to a new analysis from CNBC, the top 10 most highly valued NFL teams are worth a combined $78 billion. AdvertisementThe average NFL football team is worth $6.49 billion, according to the analysis, with the most valuable team hitting an $11 billion valuation, while the lowest valued team, the Cincinnati Bengals, is worth $5.25 billion. Here are the top 10 most valuable NFL football teams, according to CNBC.
Persons: —, Chicago Bears Jim Rogash, Miami Dolphins Raheem Mostert, Doug Murray, New York Jets Mike Stobe, PATRICK T, FALLON, Las Vegas Raiders John Locher, New York Giants Tim Warner, New England Patriots Rich Graessle, Los Angeles Rams Kirby Lee, Dallas Cowboys Ronald Martinez Organizations: NFL, Dallas Cowboys, Service, Kansas City Chiefs, Baltimore Ravens, CNBC, Cincinnati Bengals, Chicago Bears, Philadelphia Eagles Philadelphia Eagles, Miami Dolphins, AP, New York Jets, San Francisco 49ers San Francisco 49ers, Las Vegas Raiders, New York Giants, New England Patriots, Los Angeles Rams, USA Locations: Las Vegas , Nevada
☆ Stock market today: Dow rises 462 points as stocks rally after Powell says rate cuts are coming
  + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
US stocks surged as Fed chair Jerome Powell signaled imminent interest rate cuts. "The direction of travel is clear, and the timing and pace of rate cuts will depend on incoming data," Powell said. AdvertisementUS stocks rallied on Friday with the Dow Jones Industrial Average gaining more than 450 points after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell confirmed that interest rate cuts are near. That should pave the way for an interest rate cut at the Fed's FOMC meeting in September. AdvertisementWith interest rate cuts imminent, investors are now asking how big the Fed will cut rates by.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, —, Ryan Detrick Organizations: Jackson, Service, Dow Jones Industrial, Federal, Treasury, Fed Locations: Here's
☆ Gold is outperforming tech stocks this year, and investors should keep buying, BofA says
  + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +2 min
Bank of America strategist Michael Hartnett advises buying gold amid record-high prices. Gold's year-to-date rally of about 20% is outperforming US tech stocks. AdvertisementInvestors should buy gold even as the metal hovers around record-high prices, according to Bank of America investment strategist Michael Hartnett. AdvertisementHartnett noted that gold is the only asset that's outperforming US tech shares. AdvertisementThe juxtaposition of record-high gold prices and negative outflows is "explained only by unprecedented central bank buying," Hartnett said, adding China's central bank was the largest buyer of gold in 2023.
Persons: Michael Hartnett, Hartnett, —, haven't Organizations: of America, stoke, Service, Bank of America, Federal Reserve, 2nd
☆ US stocks test record highs as Powell says 'the time has come for policy to adjust'
  + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
US stocks tested record highs as Fed chairman Jerome Powell delivered his speech at Jackson Hole. "The time has come for policy to adjust," Powell said, confirming imminent interest rate cuts. AdvertisementUS stocks tested record highs on Friday as Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell delivered remarks at the Jackson Hole economic symposium. AdvertisementOf note about Powell's Jackson Hole speech, according to Renaissance Macro Research, is that it didn't include the word "gradual." AdvertisementIf Friday's surge higher holds, it could buck the trend of the stock market's reaction to Powell's previous Jackson Hole speeches.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Jackson, Powell, —, Susan Collins, Raphael Bostic, Powell's Jackson, Steve Sosnick, Sosnick Organizations: Service, Federal, Treasury, CNBC, Macro, Interactive Brokers
☆ There's a hidden risk lurking for AI stocks in 2025
  + stars: | 2024-08-11 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +6 min
Depreciation costs could lead to AI stock price declines and valuation scrutiny, according to Baird's Ted Mortonson. AdvertisementThe lurking problem is that the useful lifetime of AI GPU chips can be a lot shorter than many expect, especially as AI chips go through an ever-accelerating innovation cycle, leading to higher-than-expected depreciation expenses that ultimately drag down profits. For example, the bank expects Alphabet to record $28 billion in depreciation costs in 2026, which is 24% more than current consensus estimates of $22.6 billion. AdvertisementBut even that has its limits because of how quickly Nvidia is releasing new GPU chips. And for Mortonson, it all comes back to the return on invested AI capital.
Persons: Ted Mortonson, —, doesn't, outlays, Ross Sandler, Baird, Morton, Sandler, Mortonson, there's Organizations: Barclays, Service, Companies, Nvidia, Business
☆ Why a full-fledged bear market is still unlikely even after the latest sharp sell-off
  + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
Bank of America says the recent stock market sell-off is unlikely to be the start of a new bear market. AdvertisementThe stock market's recent sharp sell-off is unlikely to transform into a full-fledged bear market, according to Bank of America. But according to Bank of America strategist Savita Subramanian, the tell-tale signs of a stock market peak have yet to materialize. AdvertisementFor perspective, Subramanian pointed to stock market history to highlight that pullbacks in the market are common. Instead of preparing for a prolonged market sell-off, Subramanian recommends investors go bargain hunting and focus on buying high quality stocks.
Persons: BofA, —, Savita Subramanian, Subramanian Organizations: of America, Credit, Service, Bank of America, Nasdaq, Conference, Senior
☆ Stocks in these 4 sectors can help investors weather the historic surge in volatility, Bank of America says
  + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Subramanian said investors should buy defensive stocks so they can "sleep at night." According to Bank of America strategist Savita Subramanian, investors should "get used to the volatility." AdvertisementTo combat expectations of continued volatility, Subramanian said investors should buy defensive stocks that would allow them to "sleep at night." "The best hedge is owning high quality stocks," Subramanian said of combating market volatility. Most of these defensive stocks are found in defensive sectors, which include consumer staples, healthcare, real estate, and utilities.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, —, They're, Stocks Organizations: . Bank of America, Service, Bank of America, Procter, Gamble, Kroger, PepsiCo, Walmart, Utilities, Investors, Consolidated Edison, Alliant Energy, CMS Energy, Healthcare, Quest Diagnostics, Essex Property Trust, Digital Realty Trust Locations: Essex
☆ The S&P 500 falling 5% has historically been a good buy-the-dip opportunity, Goldman says
  + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Goldman Sachs said the decline in the S&P 500 is historically a good buying opportunity for investors. AdvertisementThe S&P 500's 6% decline over the past three days represents a great buying opportunity for investors, according to a note from Goldman Sachs strategist David Kostin. However, despite the decline, the S&P 500 is still up nearly 10% year-to-date and the sell-off sparked a reset in valuations, with the index's forward price-to-earnings multiple falling to 20x. Advertisement"Historical experience shows that investors typically profit when buying the S&P 500 index following a 5% sell-off," Kostin said. The crux of whether a 10% correction in the S&P 500 represents a solid buying opportunity for investors is whether the economy is on the verge of a recession.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, —, David Kostin, Warren Buffett, Kostin, Goldman Organizations: Apple, Service
☆ The global 'carry trade' is unwinding. Here's why it's a brutal force crushing stocks worldwide.
  + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
The unwind of the global yen "carry trade" is a force battering stocks. AdvertisementStocks plunged on Monday, and market pros say a lot of it has to do with the global unwind of the yen "carry trade." The carry trade refers to investors borrowing money at near-zero interest rates in Japan, and then redeploying that cash into higher-yielding assets around the world, such as stocks and bonds. "The selloff here is to a large extent attributable to the unwind of the so-called carry trade," Ed Yardeni told Yahoo Finance on Monday. AdvertisementThe unwind in the yen carry trade will go down as the biggest ever, according to a Monday note from Societe Generale.
Persons: —, Stocks, Ed Yardeni, that's, Yardeni, That's, Kit Juckes, Warren Buffett's, Juckes, It's Organizations: Service, Yahoo Finance, Bank of Japan, Federal, Bank of, Federal Reserve, Societe Generale Locations: Japan, Bank of Japan
☆ Dow crashes 1,000 points and the Nasdaq loses 3% as recession fears fuel market panic
  + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
US stocks plunged Monday amid recession fears and the yen carry trade unwind. AdvertisementUS stocks plunged on Monday as investors worried about a potential recession and the knock-on effects from the unwind of the yen carry trade. All of those factors have drummed up fears that a recession could be imminent, especially given that the Federal Reserve could be "behind the curve" in its failure to cut interest rates last month. AdvertisementHere's where US indexes stood at the 4:00 p.m. closing bell on Monday:Some believe the Fed should implement an emergency interest rate cut, including Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel. AdvertisementBut perhaps the biggest driver of Monday's stock market decline was the unwind of the yen carry trade.
Persons: Dow Jones, —, payrolls, Warren, Berkshire Hathaway, Jeremy Siegel, Siegel, LPL, Ed Yardeni Organizations: Nasdaq, Bank of, Service, Dow Jones, Apple, Amazon, Intel, Federal, Here's, Bank of Japan, Yahoo Finance Locations: Japan
☆ Why the Fed is being blamed for the historic stock-market plunge
  + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
The Federal Reserve is catching some heat for the historic stock market plunge. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve is to blame for the historic stock market plunge since last week, according to a growing chorus of market experts. JPMorgan strategist Mislav Matejka said in a Monday note that the lack of Fed rate cuts in the first half of the year will weigh on economic growth in the second half, and that any coming interest rate cuts from the Fed likely won't be enough. AdvertisementRegardless of what the Fed's motivation might be with waiting until September to cut interest rates, the market is taking away a pretty clear message. "There is growing sentiment is that the Fed has waited too long to cut interest rates and is now behind the curve," Comerica Wealth Management CIO John Lynch said.
Persons: —, Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Siegel, Jerome Powell, Powell, they've, we're, Kamala Harris, Mislav Matejka, Matejka, Paul Volcker, Volcker, DataTrek, Nicholas Colas, John Lynch Organizations: Federal, Service, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, CNBC, Washington DC, JPMorgan, Fed, Comerica Wealth Management Locations: Iran, Japan, Washington
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