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Search resuls for: "Lori Calvasina"


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There's reason to believe the stock market is close to its low point, according to RBC. She points out that when investors get this cautious — with bearish investors outnumbering bullish ones by at least 10% — 12-month forward returns hit 15.5% on average. But stock market downturns and economic downturns don't always happen at the same time. She notes that on average, the S&P 500 has returned 13.6% in years when US GDP is negative. Calvasina writes that on average, the S&P 500 rallies 7% off its lows in a midterm year like this one.
RBC Capital Markets' Lori Calvasina is cutting her forecast for markets at the start of what many investors expect will be a rough third-quarter earnings season. The head of U.S. equity strategy said she trimmed her 2022 S & P 500 earnings per share forecast to $216, down from $218. Her 2023 EPS outlook fell to $208 from $212, as she cited weak GDP through next year. Calvasina's year-end 2022 S & P 500 forecast dropped to 3,800, down from 4,200. Meanwhile, the strategist said that a new period of small cap leadership could be ahead for investors should they outperform large caps in the third quarter reporting period, as they did when second quarter earnings were reported.
Global central banks are jacking up interest rates with no end in sight until high inflation is vanquished. The Federal Reserve is aggressively fighting inflation by lifting its benchmark interest rate five times so far this year. There isn’t.”Higher interest rates make life more expensive for anyone who borrows money. The higher rates ding home affordability but also might be holding back home sales. Higher interest rates make financing a car — when you can find one — even more expensive.
Rich Fury/GettyDear Readers,A strange dynamic is afoot in the stock market. The institutional heavyweights on Wall Street are being beaten at their own game by upstart day-traders and retail investors — and it's not been particularly close. Peter Cecchini, the former global chief market strategist at Cantor Fitzgerald, also recently weighed in on the retail-investor phenomenon. Put simply, Main Street is putting Wall Street to shame since late March. — Peter Cecchini, former global chief market strategist at Cantor Fitzgerald, commenting on Barstool Sports founder Dave Portnoy's irreverent day-trading exploits
The last time we spoke, market observers were scratching their heads over the stock market's seemingly unstoppable march higher. Turns out maybe the stock market was right all along. Exclusive interview with the head of iSharesBlackRockETFs helped investors navigate the recent period of volatility, particularly in parts of fixed income where liquidity dried up. This development signals that a new breed of stocks is taking over as the market leaders for the next period of economic expansion. Strategists at the firm highlighted two pairs trades that have been performing well since the stock market hit rock bottom in March.
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