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Jack Taylor | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesLONDON — European stocks are heading for a cautiously higher open Friday as investors monitor a slew of central bank decisions and data releases. The pan-European Stoxx 600 index is on course for a weekly gain of more than 1.5%, its best performance since early May. Attention this week turned to central bank action, as the Swiss National Bank announced it would cut interest rates by 0.25 percentage points to 1.25%. The SNB became the first major central bank to cut rates during this cycle back in March. The Bank of England meanwhile kept interest rates unchanged at a 16-year high of 5.25%.
Persons: Jack Taylor Organizations: Getty, Equity, European Union Parliament, Reuters, Swiss National Bank, Bank of England Locations: Godalming, United Kingdom, France
General view of the Bank Of England building in London. LONDON — The Bank of England on Thursday opted to keep interest rates steady at its June meeting, confirming market expectations even after U.K. inflation hit its 2% target. It keeps the central bank's key rate at a 16-year high of 5.25%, where it has been held since August 2023. Seven members of the Monetary Policy Committee voted to hold, while two favored to cut, the same as during the bank's May meeting. However, economists say the U.K.'s continued high rates of services and core inflation suggest the potential for ongoing upward pressure.
Organizations: Bank, LONDON, Bank of England, Monetary Locations: London
Social media algorithms have led to a more meritocratic advertising landscape that the industry has been slow to catch up with, according to VaynerMedia CEO Gary Vaynerchuk. "The social media I grew up with... it was more like email marketing," the agency executive told CNBC's Tania Bryer at the Cannes Lions festival, a major fixture in the advertising world's calendar. Vaynerchuk co-founded restaurant booking platform Resy and was an early investor in the X social media platform, formerly known as Twitter. "Now we live in a world of social media over the last two, three years, five years, where the AI algorithms that give you the For You page, the content is finding the audience." "For You" is a feature of Chinese-owned social media app TikTok which serves a scrollable stream of videos based on trending content and on users' past usage of the app.
Persons: Gary Vaynerchuk, CNBC's Tania Bryer, Vaynerchuk Organizations: Cannes Lions
But the print only served to further convince traders that an interest rate cut is not imminent. Money market pricing by 11 a.m. in London implied just a 5% probability of a trim of the Bank Rate during Thursday's BOE meeting — after recording stronger odds of such a step earlier in the week. Policymakers are equally focused on services inflation, key to understanding domestic price pressures in the country's services-oriented economy, which came in at 5.7% — higher than the 5.5% forecast by economists in a Reuters poll. "I think the most disturbing thing lots of economists like myself are looking at right now is what's happening in services inflation. And those numbers have been proving a good deal stickier than we would like," Sproule said, with the BOE targeting services inflation of around 3%.
Persons: BOE, , We've, James Sproule, CNBC's, Sproule Organizations: Bank of England's, Bank of Locations: London, Bank of England
French stocks are likely to take a further beating from political risk in the weeks and months ahead, but the impact will be focused in certain areas, according to strategists at Goldman Sachs. Along with an equity sell-off, borrowing costs climbed and the spread between French and German 10-year bond yields widened by 25 basis points. Goldman strategists expect that spread to remain wide in the coming weeks. "This would likely maintain the pressure on French domestic stocks, especially Banks, which are highly sensitive to sovereign spreads," Goldman strategists said in a research note published Friday. French domestic big names include supermarket chain Carrefour , construction firm Vinci and utility Engie , while its internationally oriented juggernauts include the likes of LVMH , L'Oreal and Remy Cointreau .
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Liz, Goldman, Banks, Vinci, Remy Cointreau Organizations: CAC, L'Oreal Locations: Carrefour
Europe stocks head for higher open to round off choppy week
  + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
This picture taken in Paris on March 3, 2024 shows the silhouette of the Eiffel Tower and the city skyline against a cloudy weather. The Stoxx 600 index is nonetheless on course for one of its worst weeks of the year so far. Stateside, two sets of inflation data — the consumer price index and the producer price index — both came in softer than expected, boosting U.S. stocks. Between those readings, the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady and revised its outlook for interest rate cuts to just one in 2024. The start of the week was dominated by market reaction to elections to the European Union's parliament, in which far-right parties made gains, as had been forecast.
Persons: Stefano RELLANDINI, STEFANO RELLANDINI, Germany's DAX, Emmanuel Macron's Organizations: Eiffel, Getty, CAC, Federal Reserve, spooked Locations: Paris, AFP
Jordan Bardella, President of the National Rally (Rassemblement National), a French nationalist and right-wing populist party, speaks to over 5,000 supporters on June 9th, at Le Dôme de Paris. French stocks plunged on Friday, with the country's blue-chip index heading for its worst week in more than two years, as investors weigh a potential far-right victory in the upcoming parliamentary elections. A volatile week kicked off in French politics, as President Emmanuel Macron called a snap election last Sunday. The president's decision came after the far-right National Rally party won a historic 31.37% of the French vote for the European Parliament, more than double the 14.6% won by Macron's own Renaissance party. The French leader has since said that he will not step down as president if National Rally makes significant gains in the French legislature, handing them control over economic policy and other domestic issues.
Persons: Jordan Bardella, Emmanuel Macron, Macron's Organizations: National, CAC Locations: French, Le, Paris, London
Labour Party leader Sir Keir Starmer speaks during the launch of Labour's general election manifesto on June 13, 2024 in Manchester, United Kingdom. LONDON — Britain's left-leaning Labour Party, considered the front-runner in the upcoming national election, on Thursday said it would be "pro-business" and prioritize "wealth creation" as it released its manifesto. "Economic growth and social justice must go hand in hand," Labour leader Keir Starmer said at a launch event in Manchester, England, calling it a "manifesto for wealth creation, a plan to change Britain." Labour policies are "fully costed," Starmer said, adding, "You can't play fast and loose with the public finances." The Conservatives argue Labour lacks a clear plan for the nation and will raise taxes on working families.
Persons: Sir Keir Starmer, Britain's, Keir Starmer, Starmer, Angela Rayner, Rayner Organizations: Labour Party, Labour, National Health Service, Conservative Party Locations: Manchester, United Kingdom, England, Palestinian, Israel
LONDON — U.K. economic growth ground to a halt in April, according to flash figures published on Wednesday, stalling the muted rebound from last year's recession mere weeks ahead of a national election. Economists polled by Reuters had expected growth to flatten, after the economy expanded by 0.4% in March. The picture was slightly brighter on a longer timeframe, with gross domestic product up 0.7% in the three months to April. Construction output declined 1.4% in its third straight fall, while production output was down 0.9%. Lindsay James, investment strategist at Quilter Investors, attributed the April slowdown to recent gloomy weather.
Persons: Lindsay James, James Organizations: LONDON, Reuters, Quilter Investors Locations: Rotherhithe, London, United Kingdom
A staff wanted sign in the window of a restaurant in the Soho district of London, U.K., on Tuesday, Sept. 7, 2021. LONDON — U.K. unemployment unexpectedly rose to its highest level in two and a half years, data showed Tuesday, amid a heated general election campaign in which the economy is a key battleground. Simultaneous strong wage growth divided opinions from market-watchers mulling the timing of an interest rate cut from the Bank of England. While market pricing on Tuesday suggested next to no chance of a rate cut at the BOE's June meeting, and a 36% shot in August, that probability rises to nearly 60% for the September deliberations. Consultancy Capital Economics said that, while the stickiness of wage growth would be a "lingering concern" for the BOE, the rate should soon be on a "firm downward path" as unemployment rises.
Persons: Richard Carter, Cheviot, BOE, Capital's, Ruth Gregory, Rishi Sunak, Keir Starmer, Sunak, We've, it's, Starmer Organizations: LONDON, Bank of England, National Statistics, Reuters, Consultancy Capital Economics, Conservative Party, Labour, Conservatives Locations: Soho, London
A man shelters from the rain under an umbrella as he walks past the Euro currency sign in front of the former European Central Bank (ECB) building in Frankfurt am Main, western Germany. Euro zone government bond yields extended gains Thursday afternoon, shortly after the European Central Bank announced its first interest rate cut in five years. Germany's 10-year bond yield, seen as the euro area benchmark, was up 6 basis points to 2.557% at 3:12 p.m. London time. The country's 2-year bond yield was higher by 4 basis points to 3.025%. Italy's 10-year bond yield was up 7 basis points to 3.88%, while the yield of the Spanish bond of the same maturity added 6 basis points to 3.29%.
Organizations: European Central Bank, ECB, Bank Syz Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, London
Christine Lagarde, president of the European Central Bank (ECB), at a rates decision news conference in Frankfurt, Germany, on Thursday, April 11, 2024. The European Central Bank is widely expected to announce a reduction in interest rates at its meeting in Frankfurt on Thursday, despite lingering inflationary pressures in the 20-nation euro zone. The central bank's key rate has been at a record 4% since September 2023. A cut would be the ECB's first since September 2019, when the deposit facility was in negative territory. Canada on Wednesday became the first G7 nation to cut interest rates in the current cycle, while Sweden and Switzerland's central banks already announced their own rate reductions this year.
Persons: Christine Lagarde, Lagarde Organizations: European Central Bank, ECB, Reuters, U.S . Federal Reserve, Wednesday Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, Canada, Sweden
A popular pastime on long-haul flights — drinking alcohol before dozing off to sleep — may present health risks even to young and healthy passengers, according to a new study. The combination of alcohol consumption, sleep and the low oxygen concentration at high altitudes was found to challenge the cardiovascular system and extend the duration of hypoxaemia, or low levels of oxygen in the blood. Inflight sleep already exacerbates the fall in blood oxygen saturation caused by the reduced atmospheric pressure in aircraft cabins, the study states. Under the added effect of alcohol consumption, lab tests showed that participants' blood oxygen saturation decreased further, their heart rate increased and deep sleep was reduced. Even "young and healthy participants" suffered from "clinically relevant" desaturations and heart rate accelerations during sleep, the study found.
Persons: Eva, Maria Elmenhorst Organizations: German Aerospace Center's Institute of Aerospace Medicine, Aachen University, NBC News
U.K. Prime Minister Rishi Sunak (left), leader of the incumbent Conservatives, and opposition leader Sir Keir Starmer of the Labour Party. The politicians traded barbs in their first head-to-head debate on Tuesday ahead of the July 4 General Election. "I'm clear that I'm going to keep cutting people's taxes as we now are ... Mark my words, Labour will raise your taxes, it's in their DNA. You name it, Labour will tax it," Sunak said. Labour leader Keir Starmer said the £2,000 calculation was "based on made-up Labour policies."
Persons: Rishi Sunak, Sir Keir Starmer, Sunak, Keir Starmer, Starmer, Liz Truss, Julie Etchingham Organizations: Conservatives, Labour Party, Conservative Party, Labour, Conservative, ITV News
Company logo of pharmaceutical company GlaxoSmithKline is seen at their Stevenage facility, Britain October 26, 2020. LONDON — Shares of British pharmaceuticals giant GSK plunged 9% Monday, after a U.S. court ruled that scientific evidence could be presented in a stack of lawsuits relating to the discontinued heartburn drug Zantac. The Delaware State Court late on Friday ruled that plaintiffs' expert witnesses could testify in the roughly 75,000 cases alleging the once-popular drug ranitidine — sold under the brand name Zantac in the U.S. — may cause cancer. The companies involved deny there is a scientific consensus that the drug can be linked to any later development of cancers. In a statement Friday, GSK said it disagreed with the latest Delaware ruling and would immediately seek an appeal.
Persons: ranitidine —, Brent Wisner, Wisner Baum, Zantac Organizations: GlaxoSmithKline, Stevenage, GSK, Delaware State Court, France's, Pfizer, Germany's Locations: Britain, Delaware, U.S, France's Sanofi
Nigel Farage, leader of Reform UK, during a news conference in London, UK, on Monday, June 3, 2024. LONDON — British politician and media personality Nigel Farage, best known for leading the Brexit campaign, announced Monday he would run in the U.K.'s general election next month. Farage had said he would not stand as a parliamentary candidate for his Reform party in order to focus on supporting Donald Trump's U.S. presidential campaign. Farage previously led the UK Independence Party, which rose to prominence in the 2010s on a platform of quitting the European Union, reducing immigration and opposing multiculturalism. This later became the right-wing populist Reform Party under a new leader, while Farage stepped away from politics and focused on media commentary.
Persons: Nigel Farage, Farage, Donald Trump's, , Rishi Sunak, Keir Starmer Organizations: Reform, LONDON, UK Independence Party, European Union, UKIP, Brexit Party, Party, Conservative Party, Labour Party, Labour Locations: London, British
Inflation in the euro zone rose to 2.6% in May, statistics agency Eurostat said Friday, but a higher-than-expected print did not sway market bets of an interest rate cut from the European Central Bank next week. Core inflation, excluding the volatile effects of energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, increased to 2.9% from 2.7% in April. The data comes with the ECB widely expected to cut interest rates at its June 6 meeting, the first reduction since 2019. While headline inflation increased in May, fluctuations in the rate have been forecast over the coming months due to base effects from the energy market and the unwinding of government fiscal support schemes across the bloc, . Staff are also due to release their latest round of inflation and growth projections at next week's meeting, providing more clues on the pace and level of potential cuts this year.
Persons: Klaas Knot, Kamil Kovar Organizations: Eurostat, European Central Bank, Reuters, ECB, Staff, Moody's, U.S . Locations: Corfu, Old Town, Greece, London
Shares of British luxury sports car manufacturer Aston Martin are set to rise more than twofold in the next 12 months, according to analysts from Barclays. The investment bank has an overweight rating on the stock at a price target of £300 ($380.79), giving it potential upside of about 116.5% from its closing price of £138.60 on May 30. Aston Martin is listed on the London Stock Exchange under the ticker AML. Shares in Aston Martin are down some 46.5% in the last 12 months. BP Another stock with massive upside potential on Barclays' radar is British oil and gas player BP .
Persons: Aston Martin, defensives, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Jenni Reid Organizations: Barclays, London Stock Exchange, Aston, BP, London Stock Locations: Aston Martin, U.S, Europe
European stocks are on course for a lower open Thursday, continuing a negative trend this week as global markets come under pressure from rising bond yields. Equity market gloom has been mirrored globally, as expectations that interest rates will be higher for longer have driven up bond yields — generally a harmful move for stocks. First to release will be the euro zone, amid uncertainty over how how many times the European Central Bank will cut interest rates this year beyond its expected first cut at its June meeting next week. That will be followed by the U.S. personal consumption expenditures price index report, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. The minutes from the Fed's most recent meeting and recent comments from policymakers have seen money markets fully price in just one rate cut from the world's biggest central bank this year.
Organizations: Equity, European Central Bank, U.S, Federal Locations: Asia, Pacific
European stock markets are heading for a lower open on Wednesday following the worst session for a month. The benchmark Stoxx 600 dropped 0.6% on Tuesday, its steepest loss since April 30, as investors focus on the interest rate outlook and monitor rising global bond yields. European marketsA solid crop of first-quarter and full-year earnings has put the Stoxx on course for a monthly gain. "Earnings season was generally better than feared," Marcus Morris-Eyton, portfolio manager for Europe and global growth at AllianceBernstein, told CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe" on Tuesday. "51% of companies beat expectations, but actually two thirds of companies beat or met expectations, and when you dig beneath the surface what is particularly interesting is the margin strength across European companies during the quarter," Morris-Eyton said.
Persons: Marcus Morris, CNBC's, Morris, Eyton Locations: Europe, AllianceBernstein
Klaas Knot, president of De Nederlandsche Bank NV, on the sidelines of the Group of 20 (G-20) finance ministers and central bank governors meeting in Gandhinagar, India, on Tuesday, July 18, 2023. Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesLONDON — European Central Bank Governing Council member Klaas Knot said it would "soon" be time to ease monetary policy in the region, but cautioned that the process would need to be done slowly to keep inflation in check. "It can soon be appropriate to ease the currently restrictive monetary policy stance and gradually take our foot off the brake ... policy rates will slowly but gradually move into less restrictive levels," Knot, head of the central bank of the Netherlands, said at the Barclays-CEPR International Monetary Policy Forum in London Tuesday. In a Reuters poll of 82 economists this week, all said they expected a June cut. Knot, usually known for his more hawkish stance, said Tuesday there had been "clear disinflation" since the peak above 10% in late 2022, particularly in goods inflation.
Persons: Klaas Knot Organizations: De Nederlandsche Bank, Bloomberg, Getty, Central Bank Governing, Barclays, CEPR, Monetary, ECB, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of England, Reuters Locations: Gandhinagar, India, Netherlands, London
U.S. Treasury yields were slightly lower early Tuesday at the start of a shortened trading week, as investors await fresh data releases on consumer confidence and inflation. The 10-year Treasury yield slipped 2 basis points to 4.449%, while the 2-year Treasury yield was down 2 basis points at 4.927%. Yields and prices move in opposite directions. One basis point equals 0.01%.
Organizations: Treasury
Labour's Shadow Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves gives a speech on the British economy ahead of the Bank of England monetary policy release on May 07, 2024 in London, England. LONDON — More than 100 business leaders on Tuesday voiced their support for the U.K.'s center-left opposition Labour Party, nearly five weeks before the country heads to the polls. The group, which includes Wikipedia founder Jimmy Wales and former vice-chairman of JP Morgan Cazenove Charles Harman, said in an open letter to The Times newspaper: "We, as leaders and investors in British business, believe it is time for a change." The writers of the letter claim that the U.K. economy has suffered from a decade of stagnation amid a lack of both political stability and a long-term, consistent economic strategy. The Labour Party has "shown it has changed and wants to work with business to achieve the UK's full economic potential," they said.
Persons: Rachel Reeves, Jimmy Wales, JP Morgan, Charles Harman, Karen Blackett, Andrew Higginson Organizations: Bank of, Labour Party, The Times, WPP, JD Sports, British Retail, Tesco Bank, Heathrow Airport Locations: Bank of England, London, England
Labour leader Tony Blair arriving in Downing Street after his election victory with crowds waving flags in the background, 2nd May 1997. The more domestically-oriented FTSE 250 has tended to outperform the FTSE 100 following elections, with stronger outperformance following Labour victories, it said. Leon Neal | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesAccording to Capital Economics, the U.K. stock market has faltered on five occasions under past Labour governments. Higgins also observed that the relative performance of U.K. stocks has "generally been underwhelming since 2010," when the Conservatives took office. Three could be attributed to the "unsustainability of fixed exchange rate regimes" between the 1930s and 1970s, one to the Great Financial Crisis, and the fifth to the 1976 Debt Crisis, he said.
Persons: Tony Blair, Jeff, Rishi Sunak, Rachel Reeves, Sir Keir Starmer, Angela Rayner, Leon Neal, John Higgins, Higgins, Labour's, Keir Starmer, Reeves, Venkatakrishnan, Liz Truss, Sunak Organizations: BBC News, Current Affairs, Labour Party, Labour, Conservative Party, Citi, Conservative, Centre, Getty, Capital Economics, Conservatives, Shadow, Economic, Barclays, C.S, CNBC Locations: Downing, Purfleet, United Kingdom, Davos
British retail sales plunge 2.3% in April, missing estimates
  + stars: | 2024-05-24 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
People walk in the rain over the London Bridge in central London on March 12, 2024. Lucy North - Pa Images | Pa Images | Getty ImagesLONDON — U.K. retail sales volumes dropped 2.3% in April as wet weather deterred shoppers, the Office for National Statistics said Friday. "Sales volumes fell across most sectors, with clothing retailers, sports equipment, games and toys stores, and furniture stores doing badly as poor weather reduced footfall," the ONS said. Sales were up 0.7% across the three months to April compared to the previous three months following a weak December and holiday season, but were down 0.8% year on year. watch nowKris Hamer, director of insight at the British Retail Consortium, pointed to bright spots in the data in cosmetics and computer sales.
Persons: Lucy North, Kris Hamer, Hamer, GfK Organizations: National Statistics, Reuters, British Retail Consortium, Bank of England's Locations: London
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