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Industry analysts think the AI revolution is still in its early stages, and longtime fund manager Chris Retzler agrees. But the market veteran believes small, under-the-radar growth stocks—not the well-known companies that have already surged — are the best way to play the AI boom. AdvertisementHow to invest in small caps — and where to find themSince 2008, Retzler has single-handedly managed the Needham Small Cap Growth Fund (NESGX). Plus, investors are overlooking small-cap stocks' exposure to key growth opportunities like AI, data center buildouts, military modernization, and telecommunication improvements, in Retzler's view. "Money doesn't go immediately to small caps — it goes to the next market cap, generally," Retzler said.
Persons: , Chris Retzler, Retzler, he's, Morningstar, doesn't, Rogers, Lumentum, that's, Generac Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Business, Industry, Growth, MKS, Aspen Locations: ROG
Since then, several major investment firms have lifted their long-term S&P 500 price targets. The firm recommends pairing cyclicals and growth stocks with those attributes so that investors are prepared for stronger or weaker growth. Technology firms using AI need more power, which is a major long-term tailwind for utility companies, Wilson wrote. "We see the recent pullback as an attractive entry point and an opportunity to formally upgrade the sector to overweight," Wilson wrote. "Small-cap valuation is relatively cheap but earnings growth is highly concentrated," Wilson wrote.
Persons: , Brian Belski, Binky, Morgan Stanley, Long, Mike Wilson, subpar, Wilson, Wilson's, Goldman Sachs, Morgan, Morgan Stanley's Organizations: Service, Business, BMO Capital, Deutsche Bank, optimist, Consumer, Utilities
Property values tend to rise over time, but they've grown especially fast in recent years. Higher home prices and elevated mortgage rates make renting cheaper in top US cities. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . In recent years, tenants have seen firsthand that the same is true of those who own houses — or apartment complexes.
Persons: Organizations: Service, National Association of Realtors
"We should be anticipating higher highs in the market," Lundgren, the chief market strategist at MOTR Capital Management & Research and a portfolio manager at Little Harbor Advisors, recently told Business Insider. The 28-year market veteran's upbeat sentiment is more widespread now than last fall, when the S&P 500 struggled mightily before a powerful end-of-year surge. There can be negative or positive stretches within an established bull or bear market, Lundgren noted. Only one of the ETFs tracking Lundgren's preferred sectors has beaten the S&P 500 (in dark blue) since late last summer. When adjusting for market cap, cyclicals have fared much better and have bested the equal-weight version of the S&P 500 in several cases.
Persons: , David Lundgren, Lundgren, he'd, we've Organizations: Service, MOTR Capital Management & Research, Little Harbor Advisors, Business, Yahoo Finance, Yahoo
Affordability remains a headacheHome affordability has taken a huge hit since the pandemic as mortgage rates, property prices, and — by extension — down payments have surged. Mortgage rates have since more than doubled at over 7%, and houses cost over $70,000 more at $332,000. The 30-year fixed mortgage rate is now roughly triple the 2.7% rate it was at in early 2021. The savings rate in the late 2010s was around 6.5% of disposable income, and it spiked early in the pandemic due to a surge of government stimulus. 23 cities where down payments are down meaningfullyAlthough affordability is limited as mortgage rates, home prices, and down payments have risen, there are still dozens of cities where the cost of buying a house is headed lower.
Persons: , Hannah Jones, Realtor.com, Freddie Mac, they'd, Jones Organizations: Service, Business Locations: Realtor.com
He believes the stock market is rational — even when it doesn't appear to be. Related stories"The market is ruthlessly efficient, both long term and short term," Lundgren said. The strategist added: "The market doesn't care one iota about fundamentals in the short term. Like any market, stock exchanges determine prices based on what buyers and sellers will pay and sell for. Just because it's taking place in a mall doesn't make that mall an insane asylum."
Persons: , Tuesday's, Redditors, David Lundgren, Lundgren, who's, that's, It's, Benjamin Graham, Mark Minervini Organizations: Service, GameStop, Business, Street, MOTR Capital Management & Research, Little Harbor Advisors, AMC
Sports bettors flocked to ESPN Bet after its mid-November launch. Taking 10% to 20% market share by 2027 no longer seemed like such a stretch — even in a crowded, competitive space. ESPN Bet's share of the online sports betting market has dipped in recent months. The gamble may be riskier than analysts thought, and it will be an outright disaster if ESPN Bet doesn't perform better than Barstool Sportsbook. Related storiesIn the first quarter, Penn's interactive segment headlined by ESPN Bet lost nearly $200 million on an adjusted basis.
Persons: , Sports bettors, Penn, ESPN Bet doesn't, Shaun Kelley, hasn't, Kelley, BofA, ESPN Bet wouldn't, Bob Iger —, what's, Jay Snowden, We're, Snowden, That's, It's, that's Organizations: Service, ESPN, Penn Entertainment, Sports, ESPN Bet, Business, Bank of America, ESPN Bet's, Penn, Disney
Stocks sold off last month as price growth came in higher than expected. Goldman Sachs shared 21 growth stocks that can take off if inflation misses estimates. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. US equities have ticked up in May as traders get more optimistic about the path of price growth and interest rates. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.
Persons: Stocks, Goldman Sachs, Organizations: Investors, Service, Federal Reserve, Index, Business
And while WBD's $0.40-per-share loss was 4 cents better than last year, it was still lower than analysts had hoped for. Warners added about 2 million net streaming subscribers globally in the first quarter, bringing its total to 99.6 million. There's a simple explanation for WBD's streaming ad growth despite modest subscriber additions: the advent of live sports on Max. As impressive as WBD's burgeoning streaming ad business looks now, it may be nothing more than a blip if Comcast's NBC outbids TNT for NBA media rights in the league's next TV deal. Suddenly, it seems like Zaslav is taking an even bigger risk by playing hardball with the NBA.
Persons: Discovery's, David Zaslav, Max, Warners, WBD, it's Organizations: Warner Bros, Business, NBA, Warners, Max, MLB, NHL, NBC, TNT, Media, UBS, hardball
However, there's an easy way to invest in real estate without breaking the bank or even leaving the couch: buying real-estate stocks, which BMO Capital Markets finds increasingly attractive. But, contrary to what many investors believe, higher rates don't always hurt real-estate stocks, Belski wrote. AdvertisementThe market's misleading narrative about real-estate stocks has made the group remarkably cheap relative to its solid fundamentals, in Belski's view. "The severity of underperformance appears mismatched with the fundamental underpinnings of the group," Belski wrote. 13 real-estate stocks set to outperformInvestors looking to diversify their portfolios should consider 13 stocks in the real-estate sector with outperform ratings from BMO Capital Markets.
Persons: , Brian Belski, Belski, it's Organizations: Service, Business, BMO Capital Markets, BMO, doesn't Locations: Montreal
Price growth was partially offset by lower mortgage costs, as 30-year fixed rates hung between 6.6% and 6.94% in the first quarter. That's a small win for buyers, considering that rates peaked at 7.8% late last year and were above 7% until mid-December. At the first sight of lower mortgage rates, that widespread price appreciation has returned — much to the chagrin of buyers who thought they were going to catch a break. Conversely, prices fell outright only in 15 cities, versus 32 in the fourth quarter of 2023. 15 cities where home prices are downBelow are those 15 US real-estate markets where single-family home prices fell from last year.
Persons: , Lawrence Yun Organizations: Service, National Association of Realtors, Business, NAR Locations: That's
For the 27th straight year, some of the brightest minds from across the business world descended on Beverly Hills in early May to attend the Milken Institute Global Conference. But while speculation stole headlines, Milken speakers spent much of their time fixated on the state of the US economy. But despite continued concerns about stagflation, Milken speakers overwhelmingly expressed confidence about economic growth at a May 6 session called "Global Markets at Inflection." "The economy is still extremely strong, consumers are still doing really well, businesses are still doing really well," Scharf said. Though far from perfect, the US is still the best place to investDespite the $34.7 trillion anvil hanging over the economy, Milken speakers widely agreed that the US is still the best place to invest and operate a company.
Persons: Elon Musk, he's, Milken, Wells, Franklin Templeton, Gerard Baker, Andre Esteves, Jenny Johnson, Charlie Scharf, Scharf, we've, it's, you've, hasn't, Sam, Joshua Friedman, Anne Walsh, Friedman, Esteves, they've, Johnson, " Scharf, Wells Fargo Organizations: Milken Institute Global, SpaceX, Business, Milken, The, Consumers, Starbucks, Canyon Partners, Investors, Guggenheim Investments, Milken Institute Global Conference, US Locations: Beverly Hills, Wells Fargo, Brazil, McDonald's, Washington
Read previewThe performance of hedge fund manager Harris Kupperman's Praetorian Capital Fund is proof that being pessimistic can pay off — even when the economy grows and stocks rise. ​​Since launching at the start of 2019, Kupperman's fund is up an astounding 891.1% net of fees through March 31. AdvertisementBesides budget headaches, the hedge fund manager is wary of escalating political tensions at home and abroad. How to build a crisis-resistant portfolioThe hedge fund manager's blueprint for game plan scoring gains in a shaky backdrop with persistent inflation centers around commodities. A-Mark has consistently generated mid-single-digit earnings per share in recent years, though the hedge fund manager said that could easily rise to $10 as interest in precious metals rises.
Persons: , Harris Kupperman's, , Kupperman, Washington, He's, there's, Precious Metals, Mark Organizations: Service, Capital Fund, Business Locations: cryptocurrencies, East, Ukraine, China
Small- and mid-cap companies have long lagged the broader market due to a slew of challenges, including higher interest rate expectations. However, the strategy head acknowledged that not all small- and mid-cap stocks are the same. The former has been the most consistent small-cap group in economic regimes like this one, though quality stocks can also be a strong choice. Below are the other eight SMID-cap stocks with earnings prospects that Bank of America is bullish about now. Along with each is its ticker, market capitalization, sector, Z-scores for earnings and revenue (higher is better), and Q1 earnings report date (soonest are listed first).
Persons: BofA, Russell, Jill Carey Hall, Hall Organizations: Bank of America's, Business, Bank of America
Less than a month ago, analysts were calling for subdued earnings growth of just 3%. Although higher rates can be a headache, Lefkowitz said earnings growth matters most. Instead of obsessing over when interest rates will fall, Lefkowitz said investors should consider the reasoning behind the Fed's decisions. "If rates are rising and that's leading to more confidence in the earnings growth outlook, then that shouldn't be a headwind to markets," Lefkowitz said. Follow this 5-part investing game planHealthy earnings growth and a resilient economy have strategists at UBS GWM bullish about US stocks.
Persons: Jonathan Golub, weren't, that's, David Lefkowitz, Lefkowitz, , shouldn't Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management, UBS, Business, UBS GWM, Bank of America, Federal, Healthcare
Large technology stocks have continued to be a key driver of earnings growth. Those calls are based on the firms' expectation that the economy will continue to grow despite uncomfortably high interest rates. Bullish firms concur that elevated interest rates are a serious concern for investors. "Should the outlook for earnings growth deteriorate, the recent stretch of quality outperformance will likely continue and also expand to include stocks with stable growth," Kostin wrote. Along with each is its ticker, market capitalization, sector, 2024 expected earnings growth rate, and 10-year EBITDA growth variability rate, according to Goldman Sachs.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, That's, Jonathan Golub, David Lefkowitz, Stocks, they've, Mike Wilson, Morgan, 19.3x, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Wilson, Kostin, Russell Organizations: UBS, Business, UBS Beats, UBS Global Wealth Management, Companies, Federal Reserve
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Discovery's TNT is dangerously close to being left out of the NBA's next TV deal after rival NBC made a massive offer, according to a recent report from The Wall Street Journal. A source familiar with the negotiations told Business Insider that a deal hasn't been finalized and offers are always changing. Still, it's not clear that paying an average of $2.5 billion a year for NBA rights will be profitable. AdvertisementJoe Bonner, a media analyst at Argus Research, has been under the assumption that WBD can and will retain NBA rights even though its cable-TV revenue is steadily shrinking.
Persons: , hasn't, NBA hasn't, Craig Moffett, Peacock, Moffett, it's, Joe Bonner, Bonner Organizations: Service, Warner Bros, TNT, NBC, Wall Street Journal, Business, NBA, ESPN, Amazon, Puck, Comcast, Argus Research
The Copenhagen-based firm subadvises funds like the Harbor International Compounders ETF (OSEA), which O'Reilly has co-managed since its launch in early September 2022. But despite launching less than two years ago, O'Reilly said in a recent interview that the ETF's success didn't happen overnight. "We feel the strategy that we have can work in any market environment," O'Reilly said. The ETF is more balanced when it comes to countries, as no more than 13% of its stocks are from a single nation. 5 international stocks to buy nowAfter outlining his investing strategy, O'Reilly spoke about five companies he's especially excited about now.
Persons: Peter O'Reilly, who's, O'Reilly, You've, he's, Germany — Organizations: London, Asset Management, Business, Carnegie Asset Management Locations: Ireland, Dublin, Copenhagen, France, Japan, United Kingdom, Germany
There have been 13 other market selloffs during the second year of a bull market since 1946, Belski noted. AdvertisementFollowing its 2021 pullback, the S&P 500 finished the second year of its bull market up 22.6% and 11.5% higher than its nadir. Valuations are still historically high, and mega-cap growth companies continue to make up a disproportionately large share of the S&P 500. Since Belski thinks this bull market has legs, he doesn't want to forgo future upside. These firms have higher earnings growth than the median S&P 500 name and also have lower price-to-earnings (P/E) and P/E-to-growth (PEG) ratios — a recipe for success.
Persons: , pales, Keith Lerner, Truist, Lerner, who've, Brian Belski, he's, Belski, selloffs Organizations: Service, Business, BMO Capital Markets, selloffs
Median rent for one-bedroom apartments in the US declined again in April, according to @Zumper. AdvertisementLandlords aren't able to charge tenants more because apartment supply is surging across the nation at the highest rate in decades, according to Zumper. A flood of supply should keep rent growth in check for the remainder of the year and even into 2025, in Zumper's view. Below are the 28 US cities where rent for a one-bedroom apartment is cheaper than it was in March, according to Zumper. Along with each are its month-over-month and year-over-year rent changes, average rent price, and national rent ranking among the top 100 markets in the nation.
Persons: , iM2zdLRQMA — James Faris, @JamesFaris_, Ivy Zelman, Anthemos Georgiades, Zumper Organizations: Service, Business, Federal Reserve, Apple, Big Apple Locations: New York City, York City
Home affordability has also been crippled by a combination of limited home supply and resilient demand due to solid wage growth, Zelman noted. Rent growth fell again on a year-over-year basis in April, according to a new report from real-estate site Zumper. And Zelman found that wage growth will outpace that of rent this year. AdvertisementOwning a home costs an average of 9% more on a square-foot basis than renting, according to Zelman & Associates. Along with each is the per-square-foot cost premium of owning compared to renting, according to Zelman & Associates.
Persons: , Ivy Zelman, I've, Zelman, Zelman isn't Organizations: Service, Zelman, Associates, Business, Wall, Toll Locations: Houston, Tampa
The S&P 500 is in its most perilous position since late last summer, cautioned David Keller, the chief market strategist at StockCharts.com. After an uptick in volatility in March 2023, the S&P 500 enjoyed a virtually uninterrupted rally before peaking on the final day of July. Related storiesIn the meantime, investors should keep a close eye on two key technical support levels for the S&P 500, Keller said: 5,050 and 4,820. Utilities are one of only two parts of the market that's up in the last month, due to its risk-off nature. The VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) is another compelling way to ride that rally, Keller said.
Persons: , David Keller, I'm, Keller, Stocks, StockCharts.com, they're, Keller isn't, that's Organizations: Service, Business, Utilities, StockCharts.com, VanEck Oil Services, P Oil & Gas Exploration, Production, Miners Locations: East, Israel, Freeport
But strategists at the Wall Street giant aren't only watching sales and earnings growth, the latter of which is expected to rise 8% this year and 6% in 2025. Share buybacks will be the next most common use of cash, Kostin wrote. Companies will also reward shareholders through dividends, which should tick up 6% this year thanks to 8% earnings growth, according to Goldman Sachs. "The AI investment cycle among the mega-cap tech stocks will support investing for growth," Kostin wrote. Goldman SachsBelow are the 30 stocks in that basket where capex and R&D spending is at least 10% of a company's market value.
Persons: shouldn't, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, That's, It's, they'll, Stocks Organizations: Business, Corporate
Like many others, fund manager Jim Golan has made a fortune from mega-cap growth stocks. For the last 19 years, Golan has logged consistently solid returns as manager of the $2.2 billion William Blair Large Cap Growth Fund (LCGNX). Large, high-quality growth stocks have been in vogue since the early 2010s, though that doesn't explain why Golan's fund has excelled versus its peers. How to invest in large growth stocks — and 4 top picksTo impress Golan, stocks must have scale or other structural advantages that lead to success over his three- to five-year investing horizon. Below are four companies the leading fund manager is especially bullish about, along with the ticker, market capitalization, sector, and thesis for each.
Persons: Jim Golan, Golan, William Blair Large, David Ricci, Morningstar, , Golan isn't Organizations: Growth, Business, Microsoft, Nvidia
Top researcher Ivy Zelman shared where home prices are heading next in this market. Here are 10 charts from Zelman's April report that help explain what's happening. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.
Persons: Homebuyers, Ivy Zelman, Organizations: Zelman's, Service, Point2, Business
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