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☆ A pair of fund managers who've beaten 97% of competitors in the last 15 years share 4 top investments to score safe, solid returns in a market driven by speculative AI stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-13 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Here are four investments to make right now with stocks at risk of giving up their gains. "When we see windows of market distress, we tend to have a range of different opportunities to deploy that cash," McLennan said. If foreign currencies continue to strengthen relative to the dollar, the fund managers think international stocks could take off. Perhaps that's why, of their four favorite investments to make right now, three are international stocks. All three of the stocks McLennan and Brooker are most bullish on are all trading at discounts despite being leaders in their fields and having strong leadership teams, they said.

Persons: Matt McLennan, Kimball Brooker, McLennan, it's, Morningstar, Brooker, there's, they're, Wednesday's, Goldman Sachs, they'll, They've Organizations: Eagle Global Fund, Federal, McLennan

☆ Bill Gates explains why we shouldn't be afraid of A.I.
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-12 | by ( Kif Leswing | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

US philantropist Bill Gates speaks during the Global Fund Seventh Replenishment Conference in New York on September 21, 2022. For example, on Tuesday, senators received a classified briefing about AI and the military. In the blog post, Gates cites how society reacted to previous advancements to make the case that humans have adapted to major changes in the past, and they will do so for AI as well. Gates suggests that the kind of regulation the technology needs is "speed limits and seat belts." He proposes regulation that would clearly outline what kind of deepfakes are legal to make.

Persons: Bill Gates, Gates, He's Organizations: Global Fund Seventh, Microsoft, Intel, DARPA, International Atomic Energy Agency Locations: New York

☆ Tiger Global pulls back on raising new capital and focuses on returns, amid brutal fundraising environment
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-12 | by ( Darius Rafieyan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

At the same time the company continues to raise money for its latest venture capital fund. For years, Tiger Global, Chase Coleman's $50 billion investment fund, went on a fundraising tear, raising billions of dollars in fresh capital and dominating the venture ecosystem in the process. This includes the firm's flagship hedge fund as well its crossover fund, created in 2021, which combines Tiger's public and private investments into a single strategy. Between July 2022 and July 2023 the Tiger Global fund, the Tiger Global Crossover fund, and the Tiger Global Long Opportunities fund, through their US and Cayman Islands feeder funds, raised about $53 million in total. A spokesperson for Tiger Global declined to comment for this story.

Persons: Chase, Carlyle, TCV, Tiger Organizations: Tiger, SEC, Tiger Global, Apollo, TPG, Insight Partners Locations: Cayman Islands, PitchBook

Beijing/Hong Kong CNN —US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen urged China on Saturday to combat the “existential threat” of climate change by supporting international funds intended to help developing countries confront the crisis. On the second full day of her visit to Beijing, Yellen said the United States and China should work together to tackle global challenges despite differences over a range of issues. Yellen said China’s support for existing multilateral climate institutions like the Green Climate Fund (GCF) and the Climate Investment Funds, alongside the United States and other partners, could improve their impact. The GCF is the main climate financing mechanism of the United Nations and helps developing countries to tackle climate change. Kerry would be the third Cabinet official from the Biden administration to travel to China, after Yellen and Secretary of State Antony Blinken, who visited in June.

Persons: Janet Yellen, Yellen, —, ”, Joe Biden, Nancy Pelosi’s, China Nicholas Burns, John Kerry, Kerry, Biden, Antony Blinken Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Climate, United Nations, Amazon Fund, US, Yellen Locations: Beijing, Hong Kong, China, United States, Taiwan

☆ Wall St Week Ahead As earnings loom, investors weigh recession resilience
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-07 | by ( David Randall | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The financials sector is down 2%, while energy is nearly 9% lower. These unloved sectors are growing attractive to investors increasingly torn over whether a long-feared U.S. recession will ever materialize. Quincy Krosby, chief global strategist for LPL Financial noted a "tug of war" in the market over the likelihood of a recession. The healthcare sector trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 17.6, well below the 20.1 ratio of the broad S&P 500. Yet a continued rally in megacaps will likely stretch their valuations further, prompting some investors to rotate toward healthcare and financials, LPL Financial's Krosby said.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Quincy Krosby, Sameer Samana, Max Wasserman, Financials, Tom Ognar, Morgan Stanley, John Quealy, Financial's Krosby, David Randall, Megan Davies, Michelle Price, Richard Chang Organizations: YORK, Global, BofA, Commerce Department, LPL Financial, Reserve, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, FINANCIALS, Miramar Capital, Abbott Laboratories, Allspring Global Investments, LPL Financial Holdings Inc, Trillium Asset Management, Russell, Thomson Locations: U.S, BlackRock, Wells Fargo, megacaps

☆ Regulators tighten screw on investment fund redemptions
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-05 | by ( Huw Jones | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Central banks had to inject liquidity into markets in March 2020 during COVID-19 lockdowns as money market funds struggled in the face of a "dash for cash" to meet promises of daily redemptions. Property funds aimed at retail investors have also been offering daily redemptions and some have faced multiple suspensions in recent years due to market turbulence. For funds that invest over 50% in liquid assets, daily dealing would remain appropriate. Funds that invest mainly in less liquid assets could still offer daily redemptions if they can show regulators an ability to use specified "anti-dilution" liquidity management tools (LMTs), or else they must tighten redemption terms, the FSB said. LMTs include being able to deduct a fee from redemptions to end "first-mover advantage", or investors who rush for the exits leaving those remaining worse off.

Persons: IOSCO, Martin Moloney, Huw Jones, David Holmes, Christina Fincher Organizations: Industry, IMF, ICI, Thomson Locations: COVID, redemptions

LONDON, July 5 (Reuters) - Dismissal of this year's much-scorned equity market rally as the frothy preserve of a handful of AI-fuelled stocks may be both misleading and also one of its strengths. Or, put another way, if you remove the top 10 stocks, the other 490 would only have gained 4%. And an eye-popping 75% surge in the high-octane 10-stock FANG+TM index (.NYFANG) - mega cap U.S. digital and tech stocks including Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia and Tesla - underlines that. In short, they're hard to avoid unless you dodge either U.S.-listed companies or equity markets altogether. "While stock market investments may be risky in the short run, when viewed against inflation they have offered far more certainty in the long run," he told clients.

Persons: Russell, Andrew Lapthorne, Japan's, Germany's DAX, Italy's, Duncan Lamont, Lamont, Mike Dolan, Mark Potter Organizations: Nasdaq, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, H1 Stock, Japan's Nikkei, MIB, McKinsey, Bank, Big Tech, Reuters, Twitter, Thomson Locations: Europe, Japan, U.S, United States

☆ Analysis: Investors shelve China assets before bigger stimulus
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-23 | by ( Summer Zhen | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

[1/2] A view of the city skyline, ahead of the annual National People's Congress (NPC), in Shanghai, China February 24, 2022. A global fund manager survey by BofA Securities showed shorting Chinese stocks was the second-most "crowded" trade in June, after going long on big tech. "I can't believe that there is anymore bad news to absorb," said Andy Maynard, head of equities at China Renaissance. Restoring confidence is looking increasingly like a long-term project and investors are positioning for a longer game and a slower rebound. "We are all looking for something a bit more decisive in helping to restore animal spirits, investor confidence and market confidence, and I think that hope may be still at risk of being disappointed."

Persons: Aly, Morgan Stanley, Hong, Dong Chen, Andy Maynard, Morgan, James Liu, Guan Yi, Summer Zhen, Jason Xue, Tom Westbrook, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: National People's Congress, REUTERS, BofA Securities, Pictet Wealth Management, China, Reuters, G Investments, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, China, HONG KONG, Beijing, Asia, Singapore, Hong Kong, Pacific

Can that real wage growth persist if the jobs market now loosens with a lag from the swingeing five percentage points of rate hikes in just 15 months? What's more, other surveys have yet to show inflation expectations falling so sharply or lifting confidence. The possibility of a disinflation spur to demand at this juncture may complicate that picture considerably. Importantly, the slower fall in inflation in both Britain and the euro zone means real wage growth remains negative - unlike the latest twist stateside. Bank of America chart on investor survey growth outlookReuters GraphicsThe opinions expressed here are those of the author, a columnist for Reutersby Mike Dolan, Twitter: @reutersMikeD.

Persons: it's, Goldman Sachs, Dom Wilson, Mike Dolan, Alexander Smith Organizations: University of, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Bank of, UBS Global Wealth Management, Fed, Reuters, Twitter, Thomson Locations: Michigan, Europe, Britain

The 15% year-to-date rally in the S&P 500 (.SPX) is pulling once doubtful investors back into the market. Meanwhile, options investors are buying calls - bets on upside in stocks - at levels not seen in years. A record 1.8 million S&P 500 calls traded on Thursday, helping lift the one-month moving average of calls-to-puts to the highest in at least four years, Trade Alert data showed. The S&P 500 has posted a median gain of 18% in the 12 months after clearing the 20% threshold, LPL Financial data showed. One encouraging signal is that a greater number of S&P 500 stocks are heading higher, in addition to the handful of megacap growth names such as Microsoft (MSFT.O) and Nvidia (NVDA.O) that led gains this year.

Persons: you've, Emily Roland, Goldman Sachs, Willie Delwiche, we're, Delwiche, Brent Kochuba, Matt Stucky, Ken Mahoney, Lewis Krauskopf, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili, Richard Chang Organizations: YORK, National Association of Active Investment, Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, Trade, John Hancock Asset Management, Mount Research, American Association of, Investors, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Company, Fed, Microsoft, Nvidia, Asset Management, Thomson Locations: U.S

☆ Cut Off From Headquarters: Global Fund Managers Are Stuck in China’s Black Box
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-10 | by ( Jing Yang | Rebecca Feng | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

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Persons: Dow Jones

☆ Fading risks, fear of missing out may fuel US stocks after near 20% rally
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-08 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

"Further strength might beget further strength because of the FOMO factor," he added, using the popular acronym for "fear of missing out." "Inflation has clearly subsided, and yet labor market strength has remained intact," wrote BMO Capital Markets chief investment strategist Brian Belski in a recent note. “Moving past the debt ceiling and at least having some economic data that looks ok is actually enough to get some people interested,” said Keith Lerner, co-chief investment officer at Truist Advisory Services. Lerner on Monday shifted his expected S&P 500 range for this year up to 3,800-4,500, from 3,400-4,300 previously, citing improving earnings trends among other factors. For Hans Olsen, chief investment officer at Fiduciary Trust Co, that’s an ominous sign.

Persons: Cash, Chuck Carlson, Brian Belski, BofA, ”, Keith Lerner, Lerner, Monday, John Lynch, Hans Olsen, Olsen, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Diane Craft Organizations: YORK, BofA Global, Deutsche Bank, Horizon Investment Services, BMO Capital Markets, ” BMO, Reuters Graphics, ISI, Advisory, Comerica Wealth Management, Microsoft, Nvidia, Reuters, Thomson

George Clinical declined to comment. The private equity firm has entered a deal to buy most of George Clinical, the clinical research organisation said in December, adding the transaction was subject to FIRB approval. George Clinical did not disclose a sale price but said its parent, the George Institute, a medical research group, would retain an undefined stake. The George Clinical deal would involve the holding of healthcare and patient data which is considered sensitive in Australia. Hillhouse has offered to ensure data remains onshore and not be shared overseas, the people said.

Persons: George Clinical, Hillhouse, Zhang Lei, George, George Clinical's, Scott Murdoch, Kane Wu, Sumeet Chatterjee, Christopher Cushing Organizations: Hillhouse Capital, Foreign Investment, Board, of, Treasury, George Institute, Yale University, Tencent Holdings, HK, JD.com Inc, Baidu Inc, Koninklijke Philips NV, Thomson, & $ Locations: HONG KONG, Beijing, Hong Kong, Singapore, London, United States, Australia, China, Refinitiv, Netherlands, Asia, Pacific, Sydney

☆ Uganda enacts harsh anti-LGBTQ law including death penalty
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-29 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Same-sex relations were already illegal in Uganda, as in more than 30 African countries, but the new law goes much further. It imposes capital punishment for some behaviour including transmitting a terminal illness like HIV/AIDS through gay sex, and stipulates a 20-year sentence for "promoting" homosexuality. Uganda receives billions of dollars in foreign aid each year and could now face another round of sanctions. The bill's sponsor Asuman Basalirwa told reporters that parliament speaker Anita Among's U.S. visa was cancelled after the law was signed. "Our data shows that this law runs counter to the interests of economic progress and prosperity of all people in Uganda," he said.

☆ Saudi is a BRIC in crumbling East-West money wall
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-29 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

MUMBAI, May 29 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Middle East money is the answer to plugging the growing financial gaps created in Asia by Western investment restrictions, or at least that’s the very wishful thinking of the regions’ financiers and governments. Even if the NDB might have teamed up with Saudi regardless of sanctions on Russia, any deal will be high on symbolism. It makes sense for petrodollar countries to look East given Asia’s growing oil demand. Bankers also want Middle East companies to come and list in Hong Kong as those from elsewhere stay away and economists believe Middle East funds will step up investments into China as global funds retreat. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

☆ Analysis: US debt ceiling deal could stall safety flight fueling megacap rally
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-19 | by ( David Randall | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Their rally has been responsible for all of the 8.3% year-to-date gain in the S&P 500 (.SPX) through Wednesday's close, a Deutsche Bank report showed. A recent survey of global fund managers from BofA Global Research showed that 71% believe a deal to raise the debt ceiling will be reached before the X-date. Excitement over artificial intelligence, which has boosted some megacap names this year, is another factor that could support the category. At the same time, the debt ceiling has been only one of of several worries weighing on the market. Paul Christopher, head of global market strategy at Wells Fargo Investment Institute, expects lawmakers will reach an agreement to extend the debt ceiling through September.

☆ Sideways stock market is making traders crazy, but the pain trade is still up
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-17 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Second quarter guidance is light, but guidance is unchanged for the year. Traders are "not sure they should be leaning into, or out of, the market," Craig Johnson at PiperSandler tells me. One of the favorite indicators traders like to use is the "pain trade." "The pain trade is up," Johnson, a chief market technician, tells me. "Everyone is negatively positioned; the real risk is they get caught offsides and the market moves higher."

☆ Tech is the 'most crowded trade' as stock-market bearishness rises to the highest levels so far this year
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-16 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Investors are loading up on mega-cap tech stocks as they turn more bearish, according to Bank of America. The bank said tech is the "most crowded trade" followed by shorting banks and shorting the US dollar. Sign up for our newsletter to get the inside scoop on what traders are talking about — delivered daily to your inbox. According to Bank of America's global fund manager survey, tech stocks are the "most crowded trade" on Wall Street as bearishness towards the broader stock market hits its highest level so far this year. Mega-cap tech stocks have a war chest of cash and a wide moat around their businesses that in the past have enabled steady growth during periods of economic weakness.

The latest Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) data show that speculators have built up record short positions in two- and five-year Treasuries futures, and a record net short aggregate position when 10-year bonds are added to the mix. A short position is essentially a wager that an asset's price will fall, and a long position is a bet it will rise. The latest CFTC data show that in the week through May 9 speculative accounts grew their net short position in two-year Treasuries by 116,409 contracts - the biggest increase in over two years - to a new record 749,885 contracts. Funds also increased their net short position in five-year bonds for a third straight week by a slender 412 contracts, to a fresh record 910,642, while they trimmed their net short position in the 10-year space slightly to 731,698 contracts. Funds were ultra-bearish the five-year and 10-year bonds in late 2018, but nowhere near as bearish on two-year Treasuries.

In 2020, Bain Capital set up a previous global fund after securing $3.2 billion in commitments. The program was previously called Bain Capital Distressed and Special Situations Fund and used to sit within Bain Capital's credit business. Bain Capital's special situations strategy is now a standalone business, after being carved out with an independent team outside the umbrella of the credit unit. Globally, Bain Capital currently has $16 billion of assets under management as part of its special situations strategy. Last year, Bain Capital closed a $2 billion "special situations fund" for Asia Pacific to cover a range of asset types, which included a focus on real estate.

☆ Wall St Week Ahead US. consumer price data to test feared stagflation scenario
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-05 | by ( David Randall | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Some also believe the recent banking sector tumult will hurt lending and further constrain growth, forcing the Fed to cut rates before inflation is tamed. April’s survey of global fund managers from BoFA Global Research showed stagflation expectations near historical highs, with 86% saying it will be part of the macroeconomic backdrop in 2024. Next week’s consumer price data for April, due on Wednesday, May 10, could offer a clearer picture of whether the Fed’s interest rate increases are cooling inflation. Charlie McElligott, managing director of cross-asset macro strategy at Nomura Securities, pointed to the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow estimate, which is projecting a 2.7% growth rate in the second quarter, up from 1.8% on May 1. At the same time, expectations that the Fed is unlikely to raise rates much higher has created a better backdrop for investors, he said.

However, a number of countries have recently begun lifting their domestic states of emergency, such as the United States. WHO Director-General Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus has said he hopes to end the international emergency this year. One source close to negotiations said lifting the "public health emergency of international concern", or PHEIC, label could impact global funding or collaboration efforts. "I expect WHO to end the public health emergency of international concern. If WHO does not end it... [this time], then certainly the next time the emergency committee meets."

HONG KONG, May 2 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Money flowing into the People's Republic is getting uncomfortably hot. Yet recent reversals in New York, Hong Kong and Shanghai suggest that is driven by fickle short-term funds – exactly what Beijing doesn’t want. Reuters Graphics Reuters GraphicsFollow @mak_robyn on TwitterCONTEXT NEWSChinese spirit maker ZJLD shares closed down 18% lower than their initial public offering price on their trading debut April 27. The KKR-backed company raised $676 million in what was the biggest offering in Hong Kong since October 2022. Separately, the Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan, Canada's third largest pension fund, closed down its China equity investment team based in Hong Kong, Reuters reported on April 25, citing sources.

☆ China investment consensus cracks as politics fuel fears
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-28 | by ( Tom Westbrook | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

It is unlikely to be resolved quickly even if the markets keep rallying and China economy keeps global growth ticking. Data paints a murky picture, but supports brokers' analysis that the bid from long-only money managers is absent. Allocation analysis from data firm EPFR shows a broad downtrend, especially to U.S.-domiciled China funds. EPFR figures show allocation to China funds outside the U.S. has increased for two years and mainland markets' recent performance has also been encouraging. "Our reservations about China's long-term investment prospects are based on our outlook for returns to capital."

☆ Stock ETFs are seeing accelerated inflows even as grimmer Wall Street predictions warn of a bear market ahead
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-24 | by ( Zinya Salfiti | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Stock ETFs pulled in more than $12.6 billion in April, according to data from Bloomberg. It's the largest inflow into such funds since January and more than double the pace seen in February and March. Investors are pouring large amounts into equity ETFs even as Wall Street predictions warn of a bear market ahead. Wall Street veteran Ed Yardeni wrote: "In late October, we concluded that sentiment was so bearish it had to be bullish." Then, the current bull market is likely to resume, in our opinion," according to the Yardeni Research founder.

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