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Rashtrapati Bhavan, the official residence of the President of India, in New Delhi. China's growth slowdown is set to hurt global commodity demand, but India could make up for some of that shortfall, according to ANZ. India's economic growth is likely to outpace China's, with the South Asian nation set to become the third-largest economy by the end of this decade, the bank predicted. That means India's demand for commodities will likely surge, and it could cover more than half of China's demand shortfall especially in the energy sector, the bank said in a recent report. "India's demand for commodities is slated to grow rapidly, supported by favorable demographics, urbanization, the expansion of manufacturing and exports and the build-up of infrastructure," ANZ analysts wrote.
Persons: Rashtrapati Organizations: Rashtrapati Bhavan, ANZ, South Locations: India, New Delhi, China
Companies Vitol SA FollowBRUSSELS, July 21 (Reuters) - Global energy trader Vitol paid out $2.5 billion to its employee shareholders in 2023 after posting a record profit of $15 billion last year, company results showed, bringing the total paid out to a third of its profits in the last year. Swiss firm Vitol pays out cash to its over 400 employee shareholders through an annual share buyback scheme. The 2023 buyback comes on top of a $2.5 billion tranche paid out during 2022. Vitol is the world's largest independent oil trader and a major player in the liquefied natural gas and power markets. Revenues last year totalled $506 billion up from $279 billion in 2021.
Persons: Vitol, Julia Payne, Chris Reese, Sharon Singleton Organizations: BRUSSELS, Thomson Locations: Russia, Ukraine
Exports were led by U.S.-bound shipments of cars and mining machinery, while China-bound shipments of steel, chips and nonferrous metal caused a double-digit decline in overall exports to China. "Going forward, it could be hard for Japan to maintain a trade surplus in a stable manner unless exports regain strength and global commodity prices keep import costs low." The overall trade numbers produced a trade surplus of 43 billion yen ($308.11 million), confounding the median estimate for a 90.1 billion yen deficit. U.S.-bound shipments, Japan's major ally, rose 11.7% year-on-year in June, led by shipments of cars, construction and mining machinery, following a 9.4% rise in the previous month. ($1 = 139.5600 yen)Reporting by Tetsushi Kajimoto; Editing by Shri Navaratnam and Stephen CoatesOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Takeshi Minami, Tetsushi Kajimoto, Shri Navaratnam, Stephen Coates Organizations: Ministry of Finance, U.S, Norinchukin Research, Thomson Locations: TOKYO, Japan, China, .
U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres signalled that Russia's withdrawal meant that the related pact to assist Russia's grain and fertilizer exports was also terminated. Moscow said it would consider rejoining the grain deal if it saw "concrete results" on its demands but that its guarantees for the safety of navigation would meanwhile be revoked. REUTERS/StringerUkrainian forces have been striking Russian supply lines as it pursues a counteroffensive to drive Russian forces out of its south and east. On Monday it reported two more civilians killed by Russian forces, which it said had begun a major push in the northeast. The grain deal was hailed as preventing a global food emergency when brokered by the United Nations and Turkey last year.
Persons: Dmitry Peskov, Antonio Guterres, Moscow, Antony Blinken, Saraf, Halima Hussein, Volodymyr Zelenskiy, Zelenskiy, Stringer, Hanna Maliar, Serhiy Cherevatyi, Vladimir Putin, Marat Khusnullin, Putin, Artem Dekhtyarenko, Max Hunder, Michelle Nichols, Abdi Sheikh, Ron Popeski, Lidia Kelly, Peter Graff, Philippa Fletcher, Alex Richardson, Grant McCool Organizations: UN, Russian Federation, International Rescue, REUTERS, Stringer Ukrainian, Lyman, Ukrainian Armed Forces, TV, Reuters, Ukraine's Security, Ukraine, United, United Nations, Thomson Locations: Crimea, Ukraine, Russian, KYIV, Russia, Moscow, Ukrainian, Washington, AFRICA Ukraine, East Africa, Somalia, Ethiopia, Kenya, Somalia's, Mogadishu, Kyiv, Turkey, Kerch, Kupiansk, Kharkiv, United Nations, New York
Spot prices of Russia's crude oil this week surpassed the $60-per-barrel threshold of the Group of Seven's oil price cap scheme, as Moscow and Riyadh tighten supplies. The G7 introduced its oil price cap mechanism on Dec. 5 to retain Russian flows in the market while also limiting revenue for the Kremlin's war coffers. Under the G7 scheme, Western shipping and insurance providers can offer services to non-G7 buyers of Russian crude if the crude oil is acquired at a price below $60 per barrel. Spot assessments from commodities pricing agency Argus show that Urals prices on July 12 reached $60.18 and $60.78 per barrel for Primorsk and Novorossiysk-loaded cargoes, respectively. S&P Global Platts meanwhile valued Primorsk cargoes at $60.32 per barrel on July 11 and Novorossiysk Urals crude at $60.26 per barrel on July 12.
Persons: P Global Platts, , Giovanni Staunovo, they're, David Fyfe Organizations: Argus, P Global, CNBC, Ice Brent, of, Petroleum, International Energy Agency, UBS, P, Commodity Insights Locations: Moscow, Riyadh, Ust, Luga, Novorossiysk, , Libya, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Turkey, Iraq, Lower U.S
Russia's flagship Urals crude just breached the price cap of $60 a barrel on Tuesday, per S&P Global. The price cap came into effect on December 5 and sought to limit Moscow's energy revenues. These production cuts prop up oil prices as demand outsizes supply, an unnamed European oil trader told S&P. The benchmark US West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures were up 0.2% at $75.90 a barrel at 2.29 ET on Thursday. The global benchmark Brent crude oil prices were up 0.3% at $80.33 a barrel.
Persons: Phil Rosen Organizations: P Global, Service, P, West Texas, Brent Locations: Wall, Silicon, Russia, Ukraine, China, Saudi Arabia
Summary Wholesale prices rise at slowest annual pace since April 2021Rise in utility bills, food prices moderatesYen-based import prices fall at fastest pace since July 2020TOKYO, July 12 (Reuters) - Japan's wholesale inflation slowed for a sixth straight month in June due to sliding fuel and commodity prices, data showed on Wednesday, a sign the cost-push pressure that drove up consumer prices is steadily easing. The data underscores the central bank's view that consumer inflation will slow in coming months as global commodity prices slide from last year's peak levels. But the pace appears to be moderating," Masato Higashi, head of the Bank of Japan's price statistics division, told a briefing. The rise, which followed a 5.2% gain in May, was the slowest annual pace since April 2021, data by the BOJ showed. Food and beverage prices increased 7.4% in June, smaller than a 8.0% gain in May, the data showed.
Persons: Masato Higashi, Leika, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Bank of, Thomson Locations: TOKYO
Producer prices sank 5.4% in June from a year earlier and slipped 0.8% from a month ago, according to China's National Bureau of Statistics. This was weaker than a Reuters poll that had expected a 5.0% annual decline, compared with the 4.6% annual decline in May. The annual decline in June was China's ninth consecutive drop and its steepest since December 2015. Monthly consumer price inflation in June was weaker 0.2%, weaker than expectations for flat growth and tracking the 0.2% decline in May. But this would still be soft and won't constrain the People's Bank of China's ability to loosen policy further."
Persons: Zhichun Huang, , Huang, PBOC Organizations: Visual China, Getty, National Bureau of Statistics, Reuters, Bank, People's Bank of China Locations: China, Ukraine
In the world of business, multinationals from Iberdrola to Siemens Energy are also looking to make plays in green hydrogen. The DOE adds that more research is required to "analyze the trade-offs between the hydrogen production options and the hydrogen delivery options when considered together as a system." "You produce the hydrogen, the green hydrogen, and then you would synthesize it into ammonia with nitrogen," he said. Despite some clearly big obstacles, partnerships and programs related to the supply and distribution of green hydrogen are starting to take shape. Elsewhere, German firm Enertrag says it's been "operating a tanker and transport trailer to deliver large quantities of green hydrogen to customers" since 2021.
Persons: Angel Garcia, Olaf Scholz, Murray Douglas, Wood Mackenzie, Douglas, Wood Mackenzie's Douglas, , Jorgo Chatzimarkakis, Chatzimarkakis, Enertrag, it's, Cepsa Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Siemens Energy, International Energy Agency, CNBC, U.S . Department of Energy, DOE, Octopus Energy, Port Locations: Spain, German, Australia, North Africa, Madrid, Rotterdam, Europe
Sainsbury's says UK food inflation falling as sales rise
  + stars: | 2023-07-04 | by ( James Davey | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
SummarySummary Companies Q1 like-for-like sales up 9.8%Says has returned to volume growthKeeps profit guidance for full yearLONDON, July 4 (Reuters) - Sainsbury's (SBRY.L), Britain's second largest supermarket group, said on Tuesday food inflation was starting to fall as a return to volume growth helped power a 9.8% rise in quarterly underlying sales. The group, which has a 15% share of Britain's grocery market, also maintained guidance for a 2023-24 underlying pretax profit of 640-700 million pounds ($812-$888 million) versus 690 million pounds in 2022-23. "Food inflation is starting to fall and we are fully committed to passing on savings to our customers," Sainsbury's CEO Simon Roberts said, pointing to 60 million pounds in lower prices since March. Last month, market leader Tesco (TSCO.L), reported a 9% rise in first-quarter underlying UK sales and said food inflation had peaked. While the UK government has raised concerns about the surge in food prices it says it is not considering imposing price caps.
Persons: Simon Roberts, James Davey, Sarah Young, Paul Sandle, Jason Neely Organizations: Aldi, Tesco, Thomson Locations: Britain, Sainsbury's, Europe
When Japanese authorities escalate their verbal warnings to say they "stand ready to act decisively" against speculative moves, that is a sign intervention may be imminent. When Japan intervenes to stem yen rises, the Ministry of Finance issues short-term bills, raising yen it then sells to weaken the Japanese currency. That means there are limits to how long Japan could keep defending the yen, unlike for yen-selling intervention - where Japan can essentially print yen by issuing bills. Japanese authorities also consider it important to seek the support of Group of Seven partners, notably the United States if the intervention involves the dollar. Washington gave tacit approval when Japan intervened last year, reflecting recent close bilateral relations.
Persons: Leika Kihara, Tetsushi Kajimoto, Kentaro Sugiyama, William Mallard Organizations: Bank of Japan, Ministry of Finance, Market, Japan, Seven, Washington, Thomson Locations: TOKYO, Japan, Tokyo, United States, Washington
But it shelved the plan, citing “noticeable” falls in pasta prices. Pasta prices dipped in May compared with April, though provisional official data released Wednesday showed that they ticked up again this month. Broader food price inflation, albeit slowing, is still high in Italy and elsewhere. Concerns have grown that retailers and food producers are deliberately keeping prices high to boost profit margins — claims they strenuously deny. That meant they had “locked in higher prices” for longer, he told a gathering of central bankers in Portugal.
Persons: Danni Hewson, AJ Bell, Pasta, Remo Casilli, Andrew Bailey, , Mintec, Andrew Woods, , Jack Allen, Reynolds, That’s, Christine Lagarde, ” Nestlé, ” Lagarde, Jeremy Hunt, , Cristiano Laurenza, ” — Valentina Di Donato, Hanna Ziady Organizations: London CNN, CNN, , Bank of England, Labor, European Union, Capital Economics, European Central Bank, Wednesday, Competition, Markets Authority, Unione Italiana Food Locations: Italian, Italy, United Kingdom, United States, France, Germany, Russia, Ukraine, Cecco's, Fara San Martino, Portugal, Europe, European, , Sweden
That has hurt shares of energy companies: after soaring in 2022, the S&P 500 energy sector (.SPNY) has lost nearly 10% this year, making it the index’s worst performing sector. Most investors believe central bank interest rate hikes to fight inflation should keep a lid on global growth for the time being. Yet some are positioning for a rebound in energy shares, drawn by attractive valuations and signs the U.S. will continue to stave off an economic downturn. Stan Majcher, a portfolio manager at Hotchkis & Wiley, is among those counting on oil prices rebounding due to tight supply. “If you don’t get it, the path of least resistance is for oil prices to move much higher," he said.
Persons: Brent, David Lefkowitz, Baker Hughes, Stan Majcher, Refinitiv, Charles Lemonides, Sam Peters, David Randall, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: YORK, UBS Wealth Management, UBS, Federal Reserve, TD Securities, . West Texas, Brent, U.S, drillers, Hotchkis, Wiley, Kosmos Energy Ltd, Bank of America Survey, Hess Corp, Occidental Petroleum Corp, ClearBridge Investments, Thomson Locations: U.S, China, Saudi Arabia
The three media organizations are among the world's leading suppliers of financial news and information. OPEC declined to comment on why reporters from the three media organizations were not invited to cover the OPEC-hosted July 5-6 seminar in Vienna. "Reuters will continue to cover OPEC in an independent, impartial and reliable way, in keeping with the Thomson Reuters Trust Principles." This would be the second consecutive OPEC+ event in which OPEC has restricted media coverage. OPEC sent an email on Tuesday inviting reporters at other media organizations to attend, the sources said.
Persons: Platts, Simon Webb, Rosalba O'Brien Organizations: OPEC, Reuters, Bloomberg, Wall Street, of, Petroleum, Thomson Reuters Corp, Thomson, Street, Financial Times, P, Commodity, Argus, Financial Locations: OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Vienna
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTwo global experts on how tensions in Russia are impacting the marketsHelima Croft, Head of Global Commodity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, and Tina Fordham, Founder of Fordham Global Foresight, discuss how ongoing tensions in Russia are impacting the global markets.
Persons: Helima, Tina Fordham Organizations: Global, Strategy, RBC Capital Markets, Fordham Global Foresight Locations: Russia, Helima Croft
Oil prices spiked more than 1% on Sunday after the Wagner Group's attempted mutiny. Analysts say oil prices could continue to gain on the geopolitical risks in energy giant Russia. Following the aborted coup over the weekend, benchmark crude oil US West Texas Intermediate and Brent crude oil futures both jumped over 1% on Sunday. As of Monday, oil prices have come off — but analysts say oil futures could continue posting gains due to the geopolitical risk in energy giant Russia. Benchmark US WTI crude oil futures were up 0.2% at $69.29 a barrel at 1:29 a.m. EDT on Monday.
Persons: Wagner Group's, Rystad Energy's Jorge Leon, , Vladimir Putin's, Jorge Leon, Leon, Paul Sheldon Organizations: Service, West Texas Intermediate, Brent, Rystad Energy, P, Commodity Locations: Russia, Kuwait, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan
But there's very high uncertainty on next year's wage negotiations and the sustainability of wage growth," Governor Kazuo Ueda told a briefing. The BOJ's decision contrasts sharply with that of the European Central Bank, which raised borrowing costs to a 22-year high on Thursday. NOT ENTIRELY DOVISHBank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda speaks at a group interview with media in Tokyo, Japan, May 25, 2023. The yen's recent decline could also heighten calls from politicians for the BOJ to tweak YCC, as it squeezes households and retailers by pushing up raw material import costs. "But it may be forced to act if the yen weakens further and drives up import costs, angering the public.
Persons: Ueda, Kazuo Ueda, Kim Kyung, We've, Izuru Kato, Leika Kihara, Kantaro Komiya, Sam Holmes, Kim Coghill Organizations: Bank of Japan, European Central Bank, U.S . Federal Reserve, REUTERS, Companies, Totan, Thomson Locations: TOKYO, Bank, Tokyo, Japan
Explainer: Why is UK food inflation so stubbornly high?
  + stars: | 2023-06-16 | by ( James Davey | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
While market leader Tesco (TSCO.L) said on Friday there were "encouraging early signs" that food inflation was starting to ease across the market, it remains stubbornly high, running at over 19% in April, according to the most recent official data. Below are possible reasons why:NOT ALL COMMODITY PRICES ARE FALLINGSome global commodity prices have fallen enabling supermarkets to pass on reductions in areas such as milk, bread, butter, pasta and oils. Generally speaking, food retailers and their suppliers operate with long-term contracts. Having eventually secured better prices, suppliers are reluctant to give up those hard won gains. Some politicians and trade unions have raised concerns about profiteering by food retailers, saying they have kept prices high despite falls in commodity, energy and shipping costs.
Persons: Andrew Bailey, reassurances, Ken Murphy, Andrew Opie, Tesco's Murphy, James Davey, David Evans Organizations: Bank of England, Tesco, Food and Agriculture Organization, United Nations, British Retail Consortium, THE, Reuters, Brexit, London School of Economics, Supermarkets, Markets Authority, Thomson Locations: Britain, China, Japan, BREXIT, London, Brussels
Chocolate prices have risen by 14% in the past year, according to consumer intelligence database NielsenIQ. Chetvertakov foresees that the cocoa market could be dented by another deficit in the subsequent season, which runs from October to September next year. Spike in sugar and cocoa butter prices"As chocolate is made up primarily of cocoa butter, with some cocoa liquor included in dark or milk, the price of butter is the most direct reflection of how chocolate prices would move," said Mintec's Director of Commodity Insights Andrew Moriarty. Dark and milk chocolate bars arranged with cocoa beans, cocoa powder and cinnamon sticks. Amongst the different varieties of chocolate, prices of dark chocolate will be hardest hit.
Persons: Cindy Ord, Sergey Chetvertakov, Chetvertakov, Nino, Andrew Moriarty Organizations: Getty, P, CNBC, El, Bloomberg Locations: West Africa, Côte d'Ivoire, Ghana, Azaguie, Ivory Coast, Europe
Summary May wholesale prices up 5.1% yr/yr vs f'recast +5.5%Slowdown in wholesale inflation in line with BOJ viewFood, machinery prices up, signals broadening inflationTOKYO, June 12 (Reuters) - Japan's wholesale inflation slowed for a fifth consecutive month in May because of sliding fuel and commodity prices, data showed on Monday, a sign cost-push pressure that has driven up consumer inflation may be subsiding. The data underscores the central bank's view that consumer inflation will slow in coming months as global commodity prices slide from last year's peak levels. The corporate goods price index (CGPI), which measures the price companies charge each other for goods and services, rose 5.1% in May compared with a year earlier, BOJ data showed, slower than the median market forecast for a 5.5% gain. The rise came after a revised 5.9% increase in April and was well off the peak of 10.6% hit in December last year, as prices of electricity, fuel, nonferrous metals and chemical goods fell, data showed. Japan's core consumer inflation hit 3.4% in April as companies continued to raise prices, casting doubt on the BOJ's view that inflation will slowly move back below 2% toward the latter half of the current fiscal year ending in March 2024.
Persons: Leika Kihara, Kim Coghill, Gerry Doyle Organizations: Bank of Japan, Reuters, Thomson
People walk past buildings in Shanghai, Shanghai, China, on Friday, April 21, 2023. Producer price index in May fell 4.6%, marking the steepest year-on-year drop in seven years, when producer prices saw a year-on-year drop of 7.2% in May 2016. China's low consumer inflation and deflation in its producer prices come in contrast to relatively high inflation in major economies around the world. The mining and raw material industries led declines in producer prices, while food, tobacco and alcohol prices led consumer price gains, the data showed. Nearing bottomDespite the softness in the latest price indexes, one China market watcher seemed to be holding on to an optimistic "long China" call.
Persons: Zhiwei Zhang, Zhang, Andrew Maynard of Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Reuters, CPI, U.S . Federal Reserve, U.S ., CSI, China's National Bureau, Statistics Locations: Shanghai, China, Canada, Australia, Shenzhen, Andrew Maynard of China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOil prices could reach above $85 but stay under $90 in coming months, S&P GlobalKang Wu of S&P Global Commodity Insights says oil demand could increase by 4 million barrels a day from now to August.
Food inflation dipped slightly to 15.4% in May, but that’s still the second-highest rate on record. But chocolate and coffee prices are rising as global commodity prices soar, British Retail Consortium CEO Helen Dickinson said. Price controls anyone? “The current food price shock does not warrant such an intervention,” he added. Brexit is responsible for about a third of UK food price inflation since 2019, according to researchers at the London School of Economics.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAbout 70% of global oil demand growth will come from Asia this year, says S&P GlobalHerman Wang of S&P Global Commodity Insights says Asia is the "engine" of the oil market. He adds that many analysts expect a much tighter second half of the year, but "a lot of that rests on the China story."
The producer price index, which measures factory-gate prices, declined by 3.6%, marking the biggest contraction in three years. The weak property sector recovery likely has exerted “persistent” downward pressure on the factory-gate prices, they added. A slump in the property sector affects demand for key raw materials such as steel and cement, which are key parts of the producer price index. Producer deflation will likely deteriorate, with the PPI expected to drop further by 3.9% on falling global commodity prices. Deflation is bad for the economy because, in such an environment, consumers and companies may put off spending in anticipation of prices falling further, which would only exacerbate economic problems.
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