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(This is CNBC Pro's live coverage of Monday's Wall Street chatter as global markets sell off. — Lisa Kailai Han 7:02 a.m.: How long sell-offs typically last Bad news: The current market sell-off may have further to go. — Lisa Kailai Han 6:09 a.m.: Oppenheimer's Stoltzfus: Best to not 'jump to conclusions' Investors need to have a cool head as global markets sell off, according to Oppenheimer's John Stoltzfus. — Fred Imbert 5:51 a.m.: Global markets in an 'aggressive risk-unwind', Vital Knowledge says Fears of a U.S. recession are pressuring global markets, leading investors around the world to sell some of this year's top winners, according to Adam Crisafulli of Vital Knowledge. "Markets are caught in an aggressive risk-unwind as equities plunge around the world, with tech getting hit particularly hard," he wrote in a note Monday.

Persons: Wharton's Siegel, Jeremy Siegel, CNBC's, Siegel, hasn't, it's, … They're, —, Lisa Kailai Han, Tom Lee, Lee, Duncan Toms, Toms, Fred Imbert, Victoria Greene, Greene, It's, Nimrit Kang, — Lisa Kailai Han, Dan Ives, Gene Goldman, Gennadiy Goldberg, Ives, Goldman, Goldberg, Oppenheimer's John Stoltzfus, Evercore, Ed Hyman, Hyman, Adam Crisafulli, Crisafulli Organizations: CNBC, Stock, Nikkei, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Wharton, Federal Reserve, Fundstrat Global, HSBC, G Squared, Wealth, NorthStar Asset Management, Street, Wedbush, TD Securities, Federal, NASDAQ, U.S, Fed, Global Locations: U.S, Europe, Japan, China

☆ 2 recession indicators with perfect track records show the US just entered a downturn — opening the door for stocks to plummet as the Fed gets set to cut rates
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-03 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

AdvertisementSt. Louis FedDespite the Sahm Rule's impressive history, it is sometimes criticized because it fails to account for rising labor participation, which can raise the unemployment rate. In addition to downcast labor market data, the ISM Manufacturing Index fell further into contraction territory this week, signaling that US manufacturing continues to slow. The market's direction also depends on how investors interpret interest rate cuts alongside future data. Fed funds rate futures markets are now pricing in a 50-basis-point cut in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. AdvertisementHartnett and his team analyzed Fed rate-cutting cycles and identified three different types of rate cuts — cuts into a soft landing, cuts into a hard landing, and panic cuts, which are due to a credit event or some sort of Wall Street crisis.

Persons: —, Claudia Sahm —, Louis Fed, Piper Sandler, Tom Essaye, Jack McIntyre, Lara Castleton, Janus Henderson, Michael Kantrowitz, we've, Kantrowitz, Michael Hartnett, Hartnett Organizations: Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business, Labor, Brandywine Global, ISM, Nasdaq, Fed, Janus, Janus Henderson Investors, Bank of America, Fund

☆ Wall Street will look for signs of what's next for the market after a rocky start to August
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The S & P 500 ended the week down by 2%. As of Friday, the Nasdaq Composite was more than 10% below its recent high, while the S & P 500 was down by 5.7%. Markets were last pricing in a 71% chance of a half percentage point rate cut in September, up from 22% on Thursday, according to the CME FedWatch Tool . Brands , Fidelity National Information Services , Uber Technologies , Marathon Petroleum , Caterpillar Wednesday Aug. 7 3 p.m. Consumer Credit (June) Earnings: Costco Wholesale , Warner Bros. Discovery , Occidental Petroleum , Ralph Lauren , CVS Health , Hilton Worldwide Holdings , Walt Disney Company Thursday Aug. 8 8:30 a.m.

Persons: Stocks, payrolls, Bill Hornbarger, Benjamin F, Edwards, Russell, Claudia Sahm, selloff, Michael Kantrowitz, Piper Sandler, Kantrowitz, Jan Hatzius, Goldman Sachs, Hatzius, CNBC's, Eli Lilly, Ralph Lauren, Martin Marietta Organizations: Nasdaq, Treasury, Investors, Federal Reserve, Walt Disney Company, Caterpillar, Costco, Micro Computer, PMI, PMI Services, Services PMI, Simon Property Group, Diamondback Energy, Tyson Foods, Devon Energy, Airbnb, Wynn Resorts, TransDigm, Brands, Fidelity National Information Services, Uber Technologies, Marathon Petroleum, Consumer Credit, Costco Wholesale, Warner Bros, Discovery, Occidental Petroleum, CVS Health, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Gilead Sciences, Akamai Technologies, News Corp, Paramount Global, Expedia, Martin, Martin Marietta Materials Locations: Fortinet, Devon

☆ Fears grow Fed is too late to cut rates as bets increase for a half-point easing at next meeting
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

"A 50 basis point Fed cut in September is clearly justified as the labor market is now showing clear signs of softening," said Yung-Yu Ma, chief investment officer at BMO Wealth Management. The firm, which has long been saying the Fed will need to cut aggressively this year, expects another 50 basis point cut in November by a 25 basis point cut move in December. A basis point is 0.01 percentage point. The S & P 500 lost more than 2.5% and Treasury yields plummeted, sending the policy-sensitive 2-year note down more than a quarter percentage point to 3.91%. "It's very possible the Fed alters its inter-meeting communications on the balance of risks to remove all doubt [of] a September rate cut."

Persons: Yung, Yu Ma, David Donabedian, Preston Caldwell, David Rosenberg, Jerome Powell, Jamie Cox Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Labor Statistics, BMO Wealth Management, Wall, Citigroup, CIBC Private Wealth, Morningstar, Rosenberg Research, Harris Financial

☆ Here’s where Jeffrey Gundlach says investors can find attractive yields in preparation for Fed rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Central bank policymakers have kept their target interest rate at 5.25% to 5.5% for the past year, creating a yield bonanza for investors in money market funds, certificates of deposit and Treasury bills. Gundlach, speaking on CNBC's " Closing Bell " on Wednesday, said he sees the Fed enacting as much as 150 basis points worth of rate cuts in the next year, or 1.5 percentage points, which would lower the fed funds rate to 3.75% to 4.00%. As interest rates come down, cash, short-dated instruments and floating-rate debt will also see lower yields, translating to less income for investors, he added. In lieu of those bank loans, investors may want to consider migrating toward BB-rated, fixed-rate high yield bonds — high-yield issues, he said. State Street offers the SPDR Portfolio High Yield Bond ETF (SPHY) .

Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, Jerome Powell, Gundlach Organizations: Federal, BB, Corporate Bond, SEC, State Street, Investors Locations: Central

☆ Everything you need to know about when a rate cut could happen
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Now the central bank is mulling over when to do something it hasn’t done since the darkest days of the pandemic: cut interest rates. “A rate cut could be on the table in the September meeting,” Fed Chair Jerome Powell said on Wednesday, immediately jolting markets. When will the Fed cut rates? Rate cut probabilityThat said, investors are entirely convinced the Fed will cut rates at their September meeting, according to Fed funds futures data. Torsten Slok, Apollo Global’s chief economist, is maintaining his prior forecast that the Fed won’t cut rates at all this year.

Persons: Jerome Powell, we’re, It’s, Powell, ”, ” Powell, Torsten Slok, Apollo Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Fed, European Central Bank, CNN Locations: New York, “

☆ Time to dump CDs? 6 experts share 6 investing moves to make as the Fed prepares to cut rates in September.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Certain areas of the stock market that benefit from lower rates could see a boost. AdvertisementInstead, plug some money into longer-duration bonds to lock in higher returns while they're still around, Milan said. In addition to tying down solid returns, longer-duration bonds could also appreciate when rates fall, he said. AdvertisementLook at rate-sensitive areas of the stock marketCertain areas of the stock market should also benefit from Fed rate cuts. But investors should keep their eye on the labor market the more the Fed cuts rates, Young Thomas said.

Persons: —, Daniel Milan, they're, Ed Mahaffy, Mahaffy, Robert Phipps, Bernstein, Liz Young Thomas, Shmuel Shayowitz, Kristy Kim, Young Thomas Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Business, Cornerstone Financial Services, Treasury, ClientFirst Wealth Management, Corporate, Per Stirling Capital Management, Bloomberg, Bond, Index, Fed, Vanguard, ®, Schwab, Fidelity Locations: Michigan, Milan, TreasuryDirect, TomoCredit

☆ S&P 500 futures rise after Meta posts quarterly beat: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures rose in overnight trading Wednesday as investors weighed the latest corporate earnings reports, including strong results from Meta Platforms. S&P 500 futures gained 0.4%, while Nasdaq-100 futures jumped 0.6%. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 30 points, or 0.1%. In extended trading, Meta Platforms rallied 7% on stronger-than-expected second quarter results and upbeat guidance. Stocks are coming off a winning session that saw the S&P 500 rally 1.58% for its best day since February.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Chris Zaccarelli Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Meta, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Meta Platforms, Arm Holdings, Federal Reserve, Independent, Alliance, Nvidia, Devices, VanEck Semiconductor, Apple, Dow, Intel, Booking Holdings, Moderna

☆ Here's everything you need to know about the Fed decision coming Wednesday
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Market pricing currently indicates an absolute certainty that the Fed will approve its first reduction in more than four years — when it meets Sept. 17-18. They don't want investors to start pricing in a rate cut coming in September and there's literally nothing else that could possibly happen," he said. "Opening the door for that rate cut is probably the most appropriate thing for them at this point," Reynolds added. Expectations for easingGlenmede expects that starting in September, the Fed could cut at each of the three remaining meetings. The Fed will not provide an update on its quarterly summary of economic projections at this meeting.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Chris Kleponis, they've, Michael Reynolds, Reynolds, there's, it'll, Powell, Goldman Sachs, David Mericle, Mericle, Bill English, We've Organizations: Banking, Housing, Urban, Capitol, AFP, Getty, Glenmede, Fed Locations: Washington ,, Yale, Jackson Hole , Wyoming

☆ Fundstrat's Tom Lee makes another bold call, calling for big rally post-Fed
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Fundstrat's Tom Lee is out with his next eye-popping prediction — and it implies good news for the market in the coming days. "In short, we see a risk-on rally starting Wed that could add +100 points to the S & P 500," he told clients. Lee said investors should expect a gain of at least 6% for small caps during this run alone. "We still see this as the 'summer of small caps' so our preference is to be buying," he said. A rise of 5% would propel the S & P 500 to a new all-time intraday high, topping the record set earlier this month.

Persons: Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Lee, Russell, CME's Organizations: Federal Reserve

☆ S&P 500 futures are little changed as Wall Street awaits Fed decision: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

S&P 500 futures are near flat Tuesday night as investors parsed the latest earnings reports and readied for the Federal Reserve monetary policy decision coming Wednesday afternoon. Futures tied to the broad index lost 0.1%, while Nasdaq 100 futures ticked higher by 0.2%. Fed funds futures are pricing in a strong likelihood that central bankers will keep rates steady at the 5.25% to 5.5% range, according to CME's FedWatch Tool. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq are tracking to end July down 0.4% and 3.3%, respectively. The Dow and Russell 2000 are slated to finish the month higher by more than 4% and 9%, respectively.

Persons: Dow, Russell, Jerome Powell, CME's, Powell, Bryce Doty Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Microsoft, Sit Investment, Fed, Boeing, Albemarle, Qualcomm, Etsy

☆ The first Fed interest rate cut in years is on the horizon. Here's what homeowners, buyers need to know
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-29 | by ( Ana Teresa Solá | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Valentinrussanov | E+ | Getty ImagesThe Federal Reserve is poised to make the first interest rate cut in years this fall, which can influence mortgage rates to go down. To that point, people in the market to buy a home have been eagerly waiting for the Fed to cut rates. The Fed is meeting this week, but experts say it seems more likely that the first rate cut will come in September. That would be the first rate cut since 2020 in the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic. While mortgage rates are fixed and mostly tied to Treasury yields and the economy, they are partly influenced by the Fed's policy.

Persons: Chen Zhao, Freddie Mac, Refinance, it's, Zhao, Selma Hepp, Hepp, Jacob Channel, there's Organizations: Fed, Treasury, Mortgage, Association, Finance Locations: Redfin

☆ Yields on cash are likely to drop. Put money to work here instead, Janus Henderson says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-29 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Investors who are camped out in cash are nabbing sweet yields, but the clock is ticking on that attractive income. Money market fund assets totaled $6.14 trillion as of the week ended July 24, according to the Investment Company Institute . The largest money market funds are offering an annualized 7-day current yield of 5.12%, per the Crane 100 Money Fund Index. "Investors must also remember that the liquid securities held in money market funds have maturities capped at slightly over a year," he said. While these short-term bonds may be an attractive alternative to hiding out in cash, investors should avoid making them the lion's share of their fixed income holdings.

Persons: Daniel Siluk, Janus Henderson, Matthew Mish, Siluk Organizations: Investment Company Institute, Federal, UBS, SEC, BBB, Treasury Bond ETF

☆ Apple and Microsoft are among the 'Magnificent Seven' stocks set to report next week. Here's what that means
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-26 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

On Friday, the tech-heavy S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite ended the week with losses, down 0.8% and 2.1%, respectively. However, the bulk of Magnificent Seven results is set for release in the week ahead. As it is, all seven of the Magnificent Seven companies closed out the week with losses. FOMC meeting, July jobs report Elsewhere, investors will also be reviewing the latest Federal Reserve interest rate decision set for release on Wednesday. Traders will also get insight into the labor market next week, with the release of the July jobs report on Friday.

Persons: Russell, Ryan Grabinski, John Belton, Tesla, Belton, FactSet, Stanley Black, Decker, Lam, Kraft Heinz, Ingersoll Rand Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Microsoft, Facebook, Apple, Nvidia, 2H, 3Q, Gabelli, Traders, Dallas Fed, Semiconductor, Nation Entertainment, Electronic Arts, Starbucks, Match Group, Caesars Entertainment, Corning, Howmet Aerospace, Procter, Gamble, Pfizer, Merck, Co, PayPal, ADP, Civilian Workers, Chicago PMI, MGM Resorts International, Allstate, Lam Research, eBay, Qualcomm, Western, Cruise Line Holdings, Hess, Boeing, Mobile, Marriott International, GE Healthcare Technologies, Generac Holdings, Mastercard, Labor, PMI, Manufacturing, Intel, Holdings, Motorola Solutions, Technology, Air Products, Chemicals, Jobs, Exxon Mobil, Chevron Locations: Chicago, Albemarle, Kellanova, Hershey, Moderna

☆ This bank cut the 5.25% yield on its 1-year CD. Where to find compelling rates
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-26 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Bread Financial , once home of the 5.25% yield on a 1-year certificate of deposit, has dialed back its rate. The financial institution recently dialed back its annual percentage yield for its 1-year CD to 5.15%. See below for current APYs on select high-yielding 1-year CDs. Popular Direct has a 1-year CD with an APY of 5.2%, while Goldman Sachs ' Marcus and Sallie Mae still offer APY of 5.15% on their instruments. BMO Alto's 1-year CD weighs in at an APY of 5.05%.

Persons: Vincent Caintic, Banks, Goldman Sachs, Marcus, Sallie Mae Organizations: Federal, BMO

☆ Markets now pricing in three rate cuts before the end of the year following better inflation news
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-26 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Improving news on inflation again has raised investors' hopes that the Federal Reserve soon will start to aggressively lower interest rates. Futures market pricing now indicates that while the Fed will remain on hold at next week's policy meeting, it will commence cutting in September and move again in November and December. The market-implied probability for a September cut nudged up to about 90% Friday morning, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool that measures fed funds futures pricing. Traders in early 2024 were pricing in at least six cuts this year, but the central bank's rate-setting group has remained on hold for a year. Following the two-day meeting that concludes next Wednesday, the Fed meeting schedule is empty for August, save for the all-important annual conclave in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

Persons: Joseph Brusuelas, —, Jerome Powell, Christopher Waller Organizations: Federal Reserve, Friday's Commerce Department, RSM, Traders, Federal Open, Fed Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming

☆ Fed Governor Waller sees central bank 'getting closer' to an interest rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-17 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller on Wednesday suggested that interest rate cuts are ahead soon as long as there are no major surprises on inflation and employment. "So, while I don't believe we have reached our final destination, I do believe we are getting closer to the time when a cut in the policy rate is warranted." Keeping with statements from other policymakers, Waller's sentiments point to an unlikelihood of a rate cut when the Federal Open Market Committee meets later this month, but a stronger likelihood of a move in September. "Given that I believe the first two scenarios have the highest probability of occurring, I believe the time to lower the policy rate is drawing closer," Waller said. Williams noted that inflation data is "all moving in the right direction and doing that pretty consistently" and is "getting us closer to a disinflationary trend that we're looking for."

Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, John Williams, Williams Organizations: Federal, Kansas City Fed, Market Committee, CNBC, New York Fed, Wall Street, Fed, Traders

☆ Gold heads for record high close on view that Fed is poised to cut rates
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-16 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

An employee handles one kilogram gold bullions at the YLG Bullion International Co. headquarters in Bangkok, Thailand, on Friday, Dec. 22, 2023. Gold prices advanced Tuesday, on track for a record close as rising expectations of a September interest rate cut bolstered demand for bullion. Gold futures advanced 0.6% to $2,443.80. According to UBS, central bank buying of bullion is the highest it's been since the late 1960s. The U.S.-listed shares of Harmony Gold and Gold Fields rose 6% and 4%, respectively.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Joni Teves, Teves, Gold Organizations: Co, Federal, U.S, greenback, UBS, Citi, Miners, Harmony Locations: Bangkok, Thailand, Ukraine, China, U.S

☆ Traders see the odds of a Fed rate cut by September at 100%
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-16 | by ( John Melloy | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Traders are now 100% certain the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by September. That put the annual inflation rate at 3%, the lowest in three years. Odds that rates would be cut in September were about 70% a month ago. The CME FedWatch Tool computes the probabilities based on trading in fed funds futures contracts at the exchange, where traders are placing their bets on the level of the effective fed funds rate in 30-day increments. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's recent hints have also cemented traders' belief that the central bank will act by September.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Jerome Powell's, Powell Organizations: Bank, Financial, Federal, U.S, Capitol, Washington , DC, Traders, Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: Washington ,

☆ Stock market today: Dow closes above 40,000 as rally breaks out beyond mega-cap tech
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Max Adams | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Investors cheered the broadening of a 2024 stock-market rally that has been largely concentrated with mega-cap tech names associated with the AI trade. Behind the rally in encouraging data that's paving the way for a rate cut in September. Consumer prices rose less than expected last month, while wholesale inflation was hotter, though only slightly and not enough to derail a coming rate cut, market pros said Friday. The rate-sensitive two-year Treasury note has dropped by about 14 basis points in a week and the 10-year bond is down over eight basis points in that time.

Persons: Dow, Russell, —, Stocks Organizations: Service, Dow Jones, Investors, Reserve, Nvidia Locations: Here's

☆ The stock market will drop 32% in 2025 as the Fed fails to save the economy from a recession, research firm says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-07 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The S&P 500 will plunge 32% in 2025 as a recession finally hits the US economy, BCA Research predicts. The firm said the Fed will fail to prevent a recession as it takes its time cutting interest rates. And perhaps most importantly, the Fed's plan to blunt any economic decline via interest rate cuts simply won't work. For example, the average mortgage rate paid by consumers is around 4%, compared to current mortgage rates of around 7%. That means even if the Fed cuts interest rates and mortgage rates decline, the average mortgage rate paid by consumers will continue to rise.

Persons: —, Peter Berezin, Berezin Organizations: BCA Research, Service, Federal, Wall

☆ Here’s where money managers are seeking income at mid-year as rates stay high
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

The prospect of "higher for longer" rates has also made short-term fixed income assets especially attractive. "We had a lot of investors who were in, if not cash, then sub-2-year duration fixed income at the start of the year." Takeaways for investors It doesn't hurt for retail investors to review their fixed income allocation now that the year is halfway over. A combination of fixed income assets may be what it takes to benefit from today's higher rates, lock in yields and capture rising prices once the Fed cuts. "We don't buy that there's one fixed income asset class that you should tilt toward," said Calcagni.

Persons: –, Don Calcagni, it's, Shannon Saccocia, Neuberger Berman, Michael Rosen, Rosen, Janus Henderson, Vishal Khanduja, Eaton Vance, Khanduja, Callie Cox Organizations: Federal Reserve, FedWatch, Investment Company Institute, Money, Mercer Advisors, Investors, Municipal, Angeles Investment Advisors, AAA CLOs, Janus Henderson AAA CLO, SEC, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Bond, Ritholtz Wealth Management, Stay Locations: Santa Monica, Calif

☆ Fed to cut rates three times by year-end, Lazard market strategist Temple says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-02 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A weakening economy may help push the Federal Reserve to make more rate cuts this year than the market is currently expecting, according to Lazard. The firm's chief market strategist Ronald Temple said in a second-half outlook that his base case is for the Fed to start cutting interest rates in September, with two additional cuts later in the year. Temple's base case is more aggressive on rate cuts than the current market view. However, Temple says the Fed will be able to lean on the economic data to make a move. Temple did caution that Fed rate cuts may not end up significantly lowering long-term interest rates, which could be bad news for prospective homeowners waiting for mortgage rates to drop.

Persons: Lazard, Ronald Temple, Temple, Jerome Powell, CNBC's Sara Eisen Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, U.S

☆ Boost returns in your 60/40 portfolio with 'the magnificent others,' AllianceBernstein says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-01 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Investors seeking to boost returns in their 60/40 portfolio should look to what AllianceBernstein calls "the magnificent others." "If you're finding companies that are giving you dividend growth rates of anywhere say from 10% to 12%, well north of inflation, that has a nice compounding effect," he said. What makes these dividend-paying stocks appealing is that free cash flow is expected to grow roughly 7% over the next five to six years, he said. Instead, investors should focus on companies that have free cash flow, a strong balance sheet and are competitively positioned, he said. Within dividend-paying names, Czaicki sees three specific areas of opportunity: energy transition and security, supply chain security, and national defense and cybersecurity.

Persons: Walt Czaicki, Czaicki, They're Organizations: Federal Reserve, Tech, Income

☆ IMF says Fed should hold interest rates where they are until 'at least' end of year
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-27 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The Federal Reserve should wait to cut interest rates until "at least" the end of the year, according to the head of the International Monetary Fund. The U.S. is the only G20 economy to see growth above pre-pandemic levels, and "robust" growth indicates ongoing upside risks to inflation, the 190-country agency said. "We do recognize important upside risks," IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said at a press briefing on Thursday. "Given those risks, we agree that the Fed should keep policy rates at current levels until at least late 2024." The Fed's current fed funds rate has stood within the range of 5.25% to 5.50% since July 2023.

Persons: Kristalina Georgieva, Georgieva Organizations: International Monetary Fund, The, IMF Locations: The U.S, U.S

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