DIRS.INFO The most relevant business & tech news

☆ Dollar holds on to 7-week highs as traders consider U.S. rates outlook
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The dollar clung to seven-week highs against major currencies on Tuesday as investors ponder the outlook for U.S. rates after a strong jobs report last week dashed bets for large rate cuts, while escalating tensions in Middle East dented risk sentiment. Traders have drastically shifted their monetary easing expectations from the Federal Reserve this year. That has kept the dollar on the front foot and surging to a multi-week high against the euro, sterling and the yen. The New Zealand dollar was 0.3% higher at $0.6144 ahead of the monetary policy decision on Wednesday. A majority of economists in a Reuters poll last week said the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will cut interest rate by 50 basis points.

Persons: Kieran Williams, Louis, Alberto Musalem, Shigeru Ishiba Organizations: Federal Reserve, Asia FX, InTouch, Reserve Bank of St, Treasury, Bank of, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New Locations: Middle East, Asia, China, Bank of Japan, Reserve Bank of New Zealand

☆ Rate cuts were supposed to push mortgage rates lower. The opposite has happened.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Fed easing hasn't led to lower mortgage rates, with the 30-year fixed rate actually rising since the first rate cut. Mortgage rates are closely linked to the 10-year US Treasury yield, which have also risen over the period. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve's jumbo interest-rate cut in mid-September was welcome news to prospective homebuyers, with the expectation that a lower fed funds rate would help push mortgage rates lower. According to data from Mortgage News Daily, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has jumped about 47 basis points since the Fed rate cut, to 6.62% from 6.15%. Whether that will manifest itself in lower mortgage rates is up in the air.

Persons: —, Jerome Powell, Sonu Varghese, it's Organizations: Treasury, Service, Mortgage News, Carson, CME

☆ Gold eases as dollar firms; focus on Fed cues, U.S. data
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Spot gold was down 0.2% to $2,639.45 per ounce, as of 0303 GMT. U.S. gold futures lost 0.3% to $2,658.70. The dollar index hovered near a seven-week high, making bullion more expensive for holders of other currencies, while the benchmark U.S. Treasury 10-year yield topped 4% for the first time in more than two months. Investors are focused on the minutes of the Fed's latest policy meeting, due on Wednesday, followed by the U.S. Consumer Price Index on Thursday and the Producer Price Index data on Friday. "Looking ahead, if we see any upside surprises in the U.S. CPI numbers this week, this could boost further boost the dollar and pressure gold," Waterer added.

Persons: Gold, Tim Waterer, Israel, Bullion, Waterer, Louis, Alberto Musalem Organizations: Treasury, KCM Trade, U.S . Consumer, U.S, CPI, Louis Fed Locations: Singapore, Haifa, Lebanon, Gaza, St

☆ Why a key borrowing rate is above 4% again
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +1 min

New York CNN —A key borrowing rate for American consumers has jumped to a level not seen in months. The yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury note breached 4% on Monday for the first time since August. The 10-year yield closed at 3.98% on Friday, up from 3.85% on Thursday. The 10-year yield tracks the rate on everything from mortgages to student loans to car loans, leaving consumers looking to borrow for big-ticket purchases with elevated costs. Investors will parse the Consumer Price Index report for September and wholesale inflation figures.

Persons: ”, Karl Schamotta Organizations: New, New York CNN, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Solutions, Fed Locations: New York

☆ 10-year Treasury yield slightly higher following bumper jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

U.S. Treasury yields were slightly higher early Monday as investors assessed future moves from the Federal Reserve following Friday's bumper jobs report. The 10-year Treasury yield was up by under a basis point at 3.984%, while the yield on the 2-year Treasury was over 3 basis points higher at 3.968%. One basis point equals 0.01%. Treasury yields jumped on Friday as investors digested a better-than-expected September jobs report. The CME Group's FedWatch tool indicates that traders are now pricing in an 91% chance of a quarter percentage point rate cut at the central bank's next meeting in November.

Persons: Nonfarm payrolls, Dow Jones, Neel Kashkari, Raphael Bostic, Michelle Bowman, Alberto Musalem Organizations: Treasury, Federal, Investors Locations: Israel

☆ Dollar on a roll after U.S. jobs data and Middle East flare-up
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Bank notes of the Chinese yuan, Japanese yen and the U.S. dollar. Japan's yen fell to its lowest in nearly two months and other major currencies too were grappling with losses early on Monday as the dollar extended a rally sparked by Friday's strong U.S. jobs data and an escalation in the Middle East conflict. But that came on top of a more than 4% decline last week, its biggest weekly percentage decline since early 2009. Yields dipped early last week when investors bought safe-haven Treasuries after Iran launched more than 180 missiles against Israel in escalating geopolitical tensions. Market expectations have swung to the extreme for the Federal Reserve to do just a 25 bps cut in November, rather than 50 bps, following the jobs data.

Persons: Friday's, Chris Weston, haven't, Brent, underperformance, Shigeru Ishiba, Sterling, Huw Pill, Andrew Bailey, BoE Organizations: U.S ., Federal, U.S, Treasuries, Federal Reserve, Bank of England Locations: China, East, Israel, Lebanon, Gaza, Iran, Japan

☆ Goldman Sachs is getting more bullish about stocks, raises S&P 500 forecast to 6,000
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The bank raised its 2024 S & P 500 target to 6,000 from 5,600. Goldman also raised its 12-month S & P 500 target to 6,300 from 6,000. But Goldman thinks ultimately earnings growth will lift markets further before the year is out. The S & P 500 is in the red for October so far. Analysts polled by FactSet expect S & P 500 earnings grew for a fifth straight quarter.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, That's, Goldman, David Kostin, Kostin, Wells, Ken Gawrelski Organizations: Evercore ISI, CNBC, Federal Reserve, FactSet, North America Retail Locations: Friday's

☆ Brace for stock-market volatility this week if inflation comes in hot after the September jobs report, BofA says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

A blockbuster jobs report raises the stakes for upcoming inflation data, BofA analysts say. AdvertisementThe September jobs report was good news, but it gives investors more reason to brace for the next inflation reading, Bank of America analysts say. Economists forecast the CPI report will show inflation continued to cool last month, rising 2.3% year-over-year compared to 2.5% in August. AdvertisementHowever, with the blockbuster September jobs report, some economists say inflation is still a concern. The September jobs report blew past forecasts, with 254,000 nonfarm payrolls added compared to expectations of 150,000.

Persons: —, Brian Rose Organizations: Service, Bank of America, CPI, Fed, UBS

☆ No case for more jumbo rate cuts by the Fed, strategists say
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

A television broadcasts the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on Sept. 18, 2024. Roche said the figures made the Fed's "jumbo interest rate cut look silly, populist and panicky." 1 is that [it gives the impression that] the economy is more fragile than it is ... and the economy is fine, thank you very much, and doesn't need jumbo rate cuts," he told CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe." And headline and core inflation will stay above the Fed target of 2%, so the case for aggressive rate cuts [is not there]," he said. "Yes there is a case for modest rate cuts, there is a case for 25 to 50 basis point cuts by January next year, but a case for 50 basis point cut at the next meeting just does not exist," Parker said.

Persons: Michael Nagle, David Roche, Roche, CNBC's, " Roche, Bob Parker, Parker, Dave Pierce Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Bloomberg, Getty, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Quantum, Federal, Market, International Capital Markets Association, Fed, Global, Capital, Dow Jones Industrial Locations: Israel, U.S

☆ Goldman lowers recession odds to just 15%
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The bank's economists over the weekend lowered their recession probability to just 15%, which chief economist Jan Hatzius classified as the "unconditional long-term average." September's smashing nonfarm payrolls surge of 254,000 and a downward move in the unemployment rate served as a catalyst for the firm to nearly abandon the chance of a contraction. Prior to the report, traders had been betting that the Fed might repeat its 50 basis point — half percentage point — interest rate cut from September before the end of the year. But expectations have swung now, and Goldman concurs with market pricing that the "next few meetings" will see 25 basis point moves. That's about 1.5 percentage points lower than the current level and 2 full percentage points below the pre-September cut.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Hatzius, Goldman, Lisa Shallett, Morgan Stanley, Shallett Organizations: Labor Department, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S

☆ Fed cuts could turn the tide for commercial real estate. Where to find opportunity
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Federal Reserve interest rate cuts may help turn the tide for commercial real estate. "Lower interest rates are not a magic bullet, but less restrictive monetary policy lays the groundwork for a commercial real estate recovery," wrote senior economist Charlie Dougherty. "Decreased long-term interest rates appear to be easing upward pressure on cap rates and slowing declines in property valuations. "That said, reduced interest rates should prevent distress from spreading and shorten the hurdles coming down the road," he added. Gimple specifically likes single-asset, single-borrower CMBS and commercial real estate collateralized loan obligations.

Persons: Wells Fargo, Charlie Dougherty, Dougherty, Douglas Gimple, Gimple, It's, that's Organizations: Treasury, Companies, Fed Locations: Central, Diamond, Los Angeles, New York, Miami, Hawaii

See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 30-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering near 6% today, according to Zillow data. 15-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 15-year mortgage rates remain in the low 5% range, according to Zillow data. Average Refinance Mortgage Rates TodayRefinance rates have inched up after dropping in September. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data.

Persons: they're, they've, you'll, Freddie Mac, it's, They'll Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Federal, Zillow, Fed Locations: U.S, Chevron

☆ 'I am getting increasingly queasy': JPMorgan's strategy chief on why investors should dial back risk amid market distortions
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-06 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Yet, as markets eye a soft landing, potential shocks pose a higher risk to investors, David Kelly says. The firm's chief global strategist says the promise of a soft landing has encouraged Americans to pour into riskier assets at the exact time they shouldn't be. "I will say that although I think this is positive for the equity market, I am getting increasingly queasy about the fact that the equity market keeps on pricing in a soft landing," Kelly told Business Insider. He said that as the market prices in a soft landing, valuations rise, which means any shock to the market could send asset prices tumbling. According to Fed data, the total aggregate wealth of American households grew by about $50 trillion in the last five years.

Persons: David Kelly, —, Kelly, shouldn't, you've, payrolls Organizations: Service, Asset, Business, Federal

☆ What a hot job market means for inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-06 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

New York CNN —The US job market is still piping hot. That comes after the Federal Reserve last month cut interest rates by a jumbo half-point, signaling that it is turning its attention from tamping down inflation to keeping the job market steady. But some warn that a still-strong labor market could make it more difficult for inflation to continue cooling. That’s because a low unemployment rate and hot job market underline a strong American consumer, whose spending helps drive up the cost of goods and services. Consumer inflation eased to its slowest annual pace since February 2021 in August, continuing a trend of cooling down in recent months.

Persons: FactSet, ”, Seema Shah, “, Gina Bolvin Organizations: New, New York CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Investors, “, Fed, Asset Management, Labor Statistics, Bolvin Wealth Management Group, International Longshoremen’s Association, United States Maritime Alliance Locations: New York, July’s, Israel, Iran, Russia, Ukraine

Since the Fed will likely be able to take a slower approach to lowering rates, mortgage rates are unlikely to go down further this year. Current 30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates are around 6%, according to Zillow data. In September, 30-year refinance rates averaged 5.89%, while 15-year refinance rates were around 5.19%. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile. Now that the Fed has cut rates, mortgage rates may not drop much in October.

Persons: they're, you'll, Freddie Mac, it's, they've Organizations: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal, Zillow, Fed Locations: U.S, Chevron

☆ 'Inflation is not dead': Consumer prices are still in focus for investors despite the Fed's labor-market pivot
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-05 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The upcoming inflation report will help determine the Fed's next move. Friday's surprisingly strong jobs data has slashed bets of a half-point rate cut. AdvertisementBut with September's jobs report crushing expectations, concerns may have been premature. AdvertisementHow inflation data could compound these forecasts will be known on Thursday, when the CPI report comes out. Still, with inflation still slightly above the central bank's 2% target , some analysts are cautioning investors not to forget about price pressures.

Persons: Friday's, —, it's, they're, Mohamed El, Erian, Brian Rose, Seema Shah Organizations: UBS, Service, US, Bloomberg, CPI, Fed, Bank of America, Barclays

☆ ‘Fed not done cutting’ after stronger-than-expected jobs report, Fedwatch Advisors’ Ben Emons says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email‘Fed not done cutting’ after stronger-than-expected jobs report, Fedwatch Advisors’ Ben Emons saysBen Emons, FedWatch Advisors chief investment officer & founder, joins 'Fast Money' with the traders to discuss the markets post jobs report.

Persons: ’ Ben Emons, Ben Emons Organizations: FedWatch Advisors

☆ The jobs market had a very strong September
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The Fed is pivoting away from fighting inflation to supporting the labor market. The encouraging numbers doubled down on a labor market that's showing signs of strength after a slowdown. The Federal Reserve signaled a pivot from fighting inflation to supporting the job market with a 50-basis-point interest rate cut in mid-September, the first cut in four years. AdvertisementWage growth was another highlight for the labor market in September. The latest jobs report didn't just indicate a strong September.

Persons: —, Glen Smith Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, BLS, GDS Wealth Management, Fed

☆ The September jobs report dashed hopes for another jumbo rate cut next month
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

AdvertisementThe September jobs report offered good news all around — except to those expecting a second straight jumbo 50-basis-point rate cut from the Federal Reserve next month. In addition, the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 4.1%, bucking estimates that it would stay unchanged at 4.2%. Analysts agree that September's blowout job numbers make an aggressive interest rate cut harder to justify. Advertisement"Did the Fed even need to cut rates in September, let alone cut by 50 basis points?" Late last month, the bank predicted that investors would take on more risk if the unemployment rate hit 4.1% and if payrolls reached above 150,000.

Persons: —, Seema Shah, Glen Smith, Morgan Stanley, payrolls, Smith Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Asset Management, GDS Wealth Management, Federal

☆ Stock market today: Dow notches record high after strong jobs report eases slowdown worries
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

US stocks rose 1% and the Dow hit a record as the jobs report alleviated slowdown worries. AdvertisementUS stocks surged about 1% on Friday after the September jobs report soothed fears of an economic slowdown. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, odds of a 50-basis point cut dropped to 0% from 53% last week. Consensus now expects two 25-basis point rate cuts from the Fed at their next two FOMC meetings before year-end. ING's chief economist, James Knightley, said the jobs report was "unambiguously strong."

Persons: —, Dow, Sonu Varghese, Jeffrey Roach, James Knightley, Knightley Organizations: Dow, Service, Federal, Fed, Financial Locations: Here's

☆ Stock market today: US stocks jump after blowout September jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks surged after the September jobs report exceeded expectations with 254,000 jobs added. Wage growth saw a resurgence, with average hourly earnings rising 0.4% month-over-month. AdvertisementUS stocks surged on Friday after the September jobs report blew past economist estimates. The chances of a 50 basis point cut plunged to 10% after the jobs report was released, compared to 53% last week, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Another strong aspect of the jobs report was wage gains, according to Capital Economics.

Persons: —, James Knightley, Knightley, Paul Ashworth Organizations: Service, ING, Federal Reserve, Capital Economics

☆ Treasury yields dip ahead of September jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The 10-year Treasury yield was lower by one basis point at 3.84%, while the yield on the 2-year Treasury was also one basis point lower at 3.697%. U.S. Treasury yields were slightly lower early Friday as investors gear up for the closely watched September jobs report. Treasury yields rose on Thursday after ADP data showed private payrolls grew by more than expected in September. Private companies added 143,000 jobs, ahead of August's figure of 103,000 and a forecast of 128,000. That was given as justification for the jumbo 50-basis-point interest rate cut carried out by the Fed last month.

Persons: Dow Jones, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Fed

Over the last few months, mortgage rates have dropped dramatically, going from near 7% to below 6%. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. You can calculate this by dividing your closing costs by the amount you're saving on your monthly mortgage payment. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data. Now that the Fed has started lowering its benchmark rate, mortgage rates are down.

Persons: they've, Freddie Mac Organizations: ADP, Federal Reserve, Zillow, ARM, Federal Housing Administration, Department of Veterans Affairs, Fed Locations: Chevron

☆ Fed close to pulling off the elusive economic soft landing in 2024 after great September jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

"It also increases the possibility of a no-landing as well, meaning even stronger economic data for 2025 than we currently expect." watch nowBeyond that, it virtually eliminated any chance that the Federal Reserve would be repeating its half percentage point interest rate cut from September anytime soon. But broadly speaking, the news was very good and raised questions over just how aggressive the Fed will need to be. Jones said the Fed will have a dilemma on its hand as it figures out the proper policy response. "In an election year, passions run high and every economic report or event can garner intense reaction.

Persons: Anna Rose Layden, We've, Beth Ann Bovino, Friday's nonfarm, Dow Jones, Bovino, David Royal, Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab, Jones, they're, Elizabeth Renter Organizations: Outfitters, Getty, Federal Reserve, U.S . Bank, Fed, Fed Bank of America, Wall, U.S Locations: Tysons , Virginia, U.S

☆ Dollar hits one-month peak to yen as Fed seen taking time with rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The euro languished not far from a three-week trough reached in the previous session, after normally hawkish European Central Bank policymaker Isabel Schnabel took a dovish tone on inflation, cementing bets for a rate cut this month. Currently, traders lay 34.6% odds of another 50 basis-point U.S. rate cut on Nov. 7, after the Fed kicked off its easing cycle with a super-sized reduction last month. "I do think that if the payrolls report overall is not too shabby tomorrow night, then we will see that pricing (for a 50 basis-point cut) coming in quite significantly." The dollar added 0.09% to 146.575 yen after earlier reaching 146.885 for the first time since Sept. 3. The euro was little changed at $1.10455, sitting not far from Wednesday's low of $1.10325, a level last seen on Sept. 12.

Persons: European Central Bank policymaker Isabel Schnabel, Ray Attrill, Attrill, Asahi Noguchi, Sterling Organizations: Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Private U.S, ADP, Fed, National Australia Bank, Dovish Bank of Japan Locations: U.S, Iran, Israel

Search resuls for: "FEDWATCH"

25 mentions found