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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed Chair Powell: Continued economic strength could warrant further tighteningCNBC's Steve Liesman joins 'Halftime Report' to discuss Fed Chair Jerome Powell's comments from the Economic Club of New York, which focused on the state of inflation, rate hikes, and labor market conditions.
Persons: Powell, Steve Liesman, Jerome Powell's Organizations: Economic, of New Locations: of New York
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed Chair Jerome Powell: The resilience of the economy is a story of stronger demandFed Chair Jerome Powell at the Economic Club of New York responds to questions about the economic impacts of monetary policy, debt terms limiting the effect of rate hikes, and more.
Persons: Jerome Powell Organizations: Economic, of Locations: York
Investors turn to the Fed amid Israel-Hamas turmoilThe Middle East crisis has put markets on edge, pushing up oil prices and driving demand for safe havens, like gold. A key update comes Thursday at noon Eastern, with Jay Powell, the Fed chair, set to speak at the Economic Club of New York. In recent months, inflation has begun to ease, but the path has been bumpy as hiring remains robust and consumers continue to spend. That’s fueled fears in the bond markets that Fed policymakers will keep their prime lending rate at around 5 percent well into next year. The conviction has prompted a mammoth sell-off in Treasuries in recent weeks, pushing the yield on the 10-year T-bill to a 16-year high.
Persons: Jay Powell Organizations: Economic, of New Locations: Israel, of New York, Treasuries
But he also said that the central bank might need to raise interest rates more if economic data continued to come in hot. Mr. Powell tried to paint a balanced picture of the challenge facing the Fed in a speech before the Economic Club of New York. Officials have rapidly raised interest rates to a range of 5.25 to 5.5 percent over the past 19 months. “We are attentive to recent data showing the resilience of economic growth and demand for labor,” Mr. Powell acknowledged in his prepared remarks on Thursday. Those tougher financial conditions could affect growth, Mr. Powell said Thursday.
Persons: Jerome H, Powell, Mr, , Organizations: Federal Reserve, Economic, of New, Fed Locations: of New York, Israel, Gaza
WASHINGTON (AP) — Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Thursday that inflation remains too high and that bringing it down to the Fed's target level will likely require a slower-growing economy and job market. Powell noted that inflation has cooled significantly from a year ago. But he cautioned that it's not yet clear whether inflation is on a clear path back to the Fed's 2% target. That would allow the Fed to stay on hold and observe how growth and inflation evolve in the coming months. Political Cartoons View All 1211 ImagesBut several recent economic reports have suggested that the economy is growing robustly and that inflation could remain persistently elevated, which could require further Fed action.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, it's, ” Powell, , Organizations: WASHINGTON, , Economic, of New, Wall Locations: of New York,
"We cannot yet know how long these lower readings will persist, or where inflation will settle over coming quarters." After a short delay, Powell noted the labor market and economic growth may need to slow to ultimately achieve the Fed's goal. "Still, the record suggests that a sustainable return to our 2 percent inflation goal is likely to require a period of below-trend growth and some further softening in labor market conditions," Powell said. "We're very far from the effective lower bound, and the economy is handling it just fine," Powell said. Robust job creation in September and a slow pace of layoffs could put progress on inflation at risk.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Economic, of New, Defiance, Fed Locations: of New York
The country's largest energy producer Exxon Mobil also made the list, with a free operating cash flow three-year CAGR of nearly 100%. Exxon Mobil also maintains a nearly 21% debt-to-equity ratio. Average consensus analyst forecasts imply more than 13% further upside for Exxon Mobil stock from Thursday's $112.95 close. Exxon Mobil last week agreed to buy Permian Basin driller Pioneer Natural Resources in an all-stock deal for $60 billion, the largest merger and acquisition of 2023. Chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices touts a 4.4% debt-to-equity ratio and a roughly 4% debt-to-asset ratio.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Salesforce Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Economic, of New, CNBC, Exxon Mobil, ExxonMobil, Natural Resources, AMD Locations: of New York
Protesters disrupt an Economic Club of New York event on Oct. 19th, 2023. The start of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech on Thursday was delayed by climate activists protesting at the Economic Club of New York. The protesters appeared to be from a group called Climate Defiance. The group's mission statement calls for the end of fossil fuel extraction on federal lands and waters, among other items. The Federal Reserve leader appeared to leave his seat near the podium at some point during the protest.
Persons: Jerome Powell's, Powell, Transportation Pete Buttigieg Organizations: of New, Federal, Economic, Federal Reserve, Defiance, Transportation Locations: of New York, New York
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailClimate protesters disrupt start of Federal Reserve Chair Powell’s economic speechThe start of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech on Thursday was delayed by climate activists protesting at the Economic Club of New York. The protesters appeared to be from a group called Climate Defiance. The group’s mission statement calls for the end of fossil fuel extraction on federal lands and waters, among other items.
Persons: Jerome Powell’s Organizations: Federal, Economic, of New Locations: of New York
US stocks dropped on Thursday following comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. Powell said that inflation is still too elevated and reiterated the higher-for-longer outlook for rates. "Does it feel like policy is too tight right now? AdvertisementAdvertisementUS stocks fell on Thursday after comments from Federal Reserve President Jerome Powell indicated that interest rates are likely to stay higher for longer. The comments from Powell sent stocks lower and bond yields higher, with the 10-year US Treasury yield hitting a high of 4.99%, representing its highest level since June 2007.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Organizations: Federal, Service, Economic, of New, Treasury, Netflix, Nasdaq Locations: of New York, Fundstrat, Here's
Gold firms on Middle East conflict, spotlight on Powell speech
  + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold bars arranged at the Korea Gold Exchange store in Seoul, South Korea, on Friday, Oct. 13, 2023. Gold prices hovered near a 2-1/2-month high on Thursday as escalating Middle East turmoil buoyed demand for the safe-haven asset, while investors awaited U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech due later in the day. Spot gold was steady at $1,947.45 per ounce by 0318 GMT after hitting its highest since Aug. 1 on Tuesday. Market focus will be on Powell's speech to the Economic Club of New York for more cues on the interest rate path after recent dovish comments from several Fed officials. I don't think there's a whole lot to reprice there and doubt the Fed Chair is going to fight that sentiment," Spivak said.
Persons: Jerome Powell's, Ilya Spivak, Joe Biden, Spivak Organizations: Korea Gold Exchange, Federal, Gaza, Economic, of New Locations: Seoul, South Korea, ., Israel, of New York
Felipe Villarroel, portfolio manager at TwentyFour Asset Management, said he recently swapped some 10-year Treasuries for higher yielding 30-year Treasuries. At these levels, yields give “a massive cushion in your total returns" to protect against bond prices falling further, he said. Yields on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury were over 4.95% in Asia trade on Thursday, their highest level in more than 16 years, and 30-year yields breached 5% this month for the first time since 2007. An auction of 30-year U.S. Treasuries showed weak demand last week, sending yields higher. "The tightness that (bond yields) are imposing on the economy and markets is rising ... this caps the extra work the Fed needs to do," said Smith.
Persons: Jerome Powell, David Rubenstein, Amanda Andrade, Rhoades, Felipe Villarroel, Treasuries, Matt Smith, Ruffer, Buyers, Leslie Falconio, Ruffer's Smith, Smith, Davide Barbuscia, Michelle Price, Ira Iosebashvili, Nick Zieminski Organizations: Federal, Economic, of Washington, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Treasuries, TwentyFour Asset Management, Bank of America Global Research, Treasury, UBS Global Wealth Management, BlackRock Investment Institute, Thomson Locations: Washington ,, Asia
Please refresh the page if you do not see a player above at that time.] Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivered a speech on the U.S. economy Thursday at the Economic Club of New York. The speech comes during a difficult time for Wall Street. Stocks have been volatile in recent weeks, with Treasury yields reaching multiyear highs, as traders weigh the potential of Fed rates staying higher for longer. According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, traders were pricing in a 96% chance that the central bank keeps rates at the current 5.25%-5.5% range heading into Powell's speech.
Persons: Jerome Powell Organizations: Economic, of New, Wall, Treasury, CNBC, YouTube Locations: U.S, of New York
Fed's Powell to take the stage amid a suddenly choppy landscape
  + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell holds a press conference after the release of the Fed policy decision to leave interest rates unchanged, at the Federal Reserve in Washington, U.S, September 20, 2023. Powell's appearance comes less than 48 hours before the beginning of the traditional quiet period ahead of the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee's meeting on Oct. 31-Nov. 1. Many in the poll offered the caveat that if progress on inflation stalls out or reverses, the Fed would not hesitate to resume raising rates. Waller said as much on Wednesday: "If the real economy continues showing underlying strength and inflation appears to stabilize or reaccelerate, more policy tightening is likely needed despite the recent run-up in longer-term rates." Reporting by Dan Burns and Ann Saphir; Editing by Andrea RicciOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Evelyn Hockstein, Powell, Philip, Jefferson, Krishna Guha, Christopher Waller, Waller, Dan Burns, Ann Saphir, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, REUTERS, U.S, Economic, of New, Fed, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, New York, of New York, U.S
US weekly jobless claims hit nine-month low
  + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +6 min
Though the labor market is gradually cooling, conditions remain tight, with claims at the very low end of their range of 194,000 to 265,000 for this year. The Fed's Beige Book report on Wednesday said "labor market tightness continued to ease across the nation" in early October and implied cooling wage pressure. The labor market is driving consumer spending and the overall economy, ultimately keeping inflation elevated. The claims report covered the week during which the government surveyed business establishments for the nonfarm payrolls component of October's employment report. The so-called continuing claims increased 29,000 to a still-low 1.734 million during the week ending Oct. 7, the claims report showed.
Persons: Andrew Kelly, Christopher Rupkey, Unadjusted, Jerome Powell's, Jay Hawkins, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: REUTERS, Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Financial, Treasury, Reuters, United Auto Workers, UAW, Ford, General Motors, Chrysler, U.S, Economic, of New, National Association of Realtors, realtors, BMO Capital Markets, Philadelphia Fed, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York City, U.S, WASHINGTON, New York, Texas , New York , New Jersey, Georgia, California, Tennessee, Michigan, of New York, Toronto, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Delaware
Several Fed officials have indicated that may work as a substitute to further rate rises, while still stressing rates will remain higher for longer. Over 80% of economists, 91 of 111, had no rate cut in their forecast until at least the second quarter of next year. That 55% majority slipped from over 70% in a September poll, extending a trend of rate cut calls being pushed to later. As recently as July, a majority of economists polled said the Fed would start cutting by end-March. All but two of 28 respondents to an extra question said the bigger risk was the first rate cut comes later than they expect.
Persons: Brett Ryan, Jerome Powell, it's, Lawrence Werther, Prerana Bhat, Rahul Trivedi, Sarupya Ganguly, Ross Finley, Jonathan Cable Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, Reuters, Fed, Deutsche Bank, Economic, of New, Daiwa, Thomson Locations: BENGALURU, of New York
U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell holds a press conference after the release of the Fed policy decision to leave interest rates unchanged, at the Federal Reserve in Washington, D.C., on Sept. 20, 2023. The top monetary policymaker will speak at noon ET to the Economic Club of New York at a critical time for the U.S. economy. Inflation numbers have been improving lately, but Treasury yields have been surging, sending conflicting messages about where monetary policy might be headed. Markets largely expect the Fed to stay on hold with rates, but they will be looking to Powell for confirmation and clarification on how officials view both current conditions and longer-term trends. "Really, their ultimate goal is to keep financial conditions tight so inflation comes down," he said.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Luke Tilley, Tilley Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, Washington , D.C, Economic, of New, Wilmington Trust Locations: Washington ,, of New York, U.S, Wilmington
The markets have been misinterpreting recent Fedspeak, a Barclays analyst said. Markets "have read far too much into recent Fedspeak that implied that these higher rates might have done some of the heavy lifting." If a strong US economy is driving interest rates higher, the Fed may have to hike rates again. But I think we've read far too much into recent Fedspeak that implied that these higher rates might have done some of the heavy lifting," she said. The so-called Fedspeak infused markets with optimism that the central bank will be pausing rate hikes.
Persons: , Meghan Graper, isn't, Powell, Jerome Powell, Graper Organizations: Barclays, Service, Bloomberg, Economic, of New Locations: of New York
Describing that anticipated outcome while keeping open the possibility of future rate increases will be one challenge Powell faces. Another will be discounting speculation about the prospect of rate cuts or changes to other aspects of Fed policy, such as the ongoing reduction of the central bank's balance sheet. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note is just about six-tenths of a percentage point below the Fed's policy rate; when the gap between the two shifts from negative to positive is when monetary policy gets perhaps its truest test. Recent data on balance don't fully back the Fed's view of a gently slowing economy and steadily easing inflation. "Assuming the economy keeps growing ... the Fed will get back to hiking," Blitz said.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Larry Meyer, Meyer, Krishna Guha, Powell's, Christopher Waller, Waller, Steven Blitz, Howard Schneider, Dan Burns, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, U.S ., Economic, of New, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Evercore ISI, Hamas, U.S . House, Graphics, TS Lombard, Thomson Locations: U.S . Congress, of New York, Israel, Palestinian, Washington, U.S
Dollar buoyed by safe-haven bids, rate jitters
  + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The yen was last steady at 149.53 per dollar. "Obviously war is inflationary, disrupts growth and threatens risk assets," James Malcolm, head of FX strategy at UBS in London. Elsewhere, the safe-haven dollar stood near a one-week high against a basket of currencies as risk sentiment remained fragile, pinning the euro near a one-week low hit on Friday. The Australian dollar , often used as a proxy for risk appetite, gained 0.19% to $0.6309, after sliding 1.4% last week. "The kiwi dollar jumped this morning following a clear and decisive victory of New Zealand's opposition National Party," said Kyle Rodda, senior financial market analyst at Capital.com.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Benjamin Netanyahu, James Malcolm, David Chao, Christopher Luxon, Chris Hipkins, Kyle Rodda Organizations: Federal, U.S, country's, Bank of Japan, UBS, Sterling, Asia Pacific, Australian, Economic, of New, New Zealand, National Party, ACT, Labor Party, New Zealand First Locations: Chicago, Israeli, Asia, Gaza, London, Friday's, Israel, Japan, of New York
Morning Bid: Stocks ease in nervous Gaza wait
  + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
Israeli soldiers gather on and around a tank near Israel's border with the Gaza Strip, in southern Israel October 15, 2023. ECB speakers are out in force this week, including Bank of Spain Governor Pablo Hernández de Cos on Monday, when the euro zone also releases trade data. It will be a busy week for BoE rhetoric as well, starting with the central bank's chief economist, Huw Pill, on Monday. There's lots of important British data, with house prices later today, jobs and wage figures on Tuesday, and CPI on Wednesday. Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech at the Economic Club of New York this Thursday, just before the start of the central bank's blackout period, is probably the most anticipated bit of central bank speak for the week.
Persons: Ronen, Kevin Buckland, Brent, Antony Blinken, Joe Biden, Pablo Hernández de Cos, BoE, Huw Pill, Jerome Powell's, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Cos, Edmund Klamann Organizations: REUTERS, Japan's Nikkei, Bank of Spain, U.S . Federal Reserve, Economic, of New, Netflix, Thomson Locations: Gaza, Israel, Iran, Asia, Europe, of New York, U.S
With two wars, a rising price of oil and a shaky bond market, there is plenty of worry for the markets and economists this week, including a slew of corporate earnings reports and data on the state of the housing market and retail spending. Meanwhile, Russia has been pressing its invasion of Ukraine that is now a year and a half old. Last week ended with a surprise increase in consumer’s expectations of inflation in the University of Michigan’s sentiment survey. Where new home construction a few months ago was holding up the housing market, now it has slumped amid mortgage rates that have brushed 8%. The firm published its monthly economic outlook last week and did not include any more Fed rate hikes in the current cycle.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Powell, ” Sam Bullard Organizations: Hamas, University of, , BCA Research, , National Association of Home Builders, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, National Association of Realtors, Economic, of New, Wells Locations: East, Ukraine, Gaza, Israel, Palestinian, U.S, Iran, Lebanon, Russia, of New York
Walter Isaacson trailed Elon Musk for years and interviewed Steve Jobs over 40 times to write their biographies. Elon Musk's biographer, Walter Isaacson, once said that the Tesla CEO was "in some ways the Steve Jobs of our time." AdvertisementAdvertisementBoth Musk and Jobs had a "dark streak""When I was reporting on Steve Jobs, his partner Steve Wozniak said that the big question to ask was 'Did he have to be so mean? AdvertisementAdvertisementIsaacson said Steve Jobs (left) took on the role of "alpha male" at Apple and "marginalized" his cofounder Steve Wozniak (right). "As much as I think Steve Jobs is a total genius, Steve Jobs would design a product, be it the Mac or the iPhone, and then it would be thrown over the wall to some manufacturing facility in China or something.
Persons: Walter Isaacson, Elon Musk, Steve Jobs, , Elon Musk's, Tesla, Jobs, Isaacson, Musk, Steve Wozniak, Grimes, " Isaacson, didn't, Kimberly White, Wozniak, Martin Eberhard, Tom Mueller, It's, Frederic J . BROWN, Musk's, Franz von Holzhausen Organizations: Service, Apple, Jobs, Twitter, SpaceX, Getty, Wall Street, Tesla, Economic, of New Locations: AFP, China, of New York
Fed's Powell set to speak Oct 19 ahead of blackout period
  + stars: | 2023-10-12 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: 1 min
Oct 12 (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will speak on Oct. 19 before the Economic Club of New York, just before the U.S. central bank's blackout period begins ahead of its next interest-rate decision. Powell will deliver prepared remarks and respond to questions from a moderator at the midday event in New York, according to senior Fed officials' weekly event schedule updated each Thursday. The Fed next meets on Oct. 31-Nov. 1; officials are barred from public comments on the economy or policy outlook starting the second Saturday before policy meetings begin. Reporting By Dan Burns; Editing by Leslie AdlerOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Dan Burns, Leslie Adler Organizations: Economic, of New, Fed, Thomson Locations: of New York, U.S, New York
The September jobs report that the Labor Department will issue Friday will show just how much of that durability remains. A growing body of evidence, though, suggests that the job market is cooling — something Fed officials would like to see. Businesses often raise their prices to cover their higher labor costs. Fewer Americans are quitting their jobs after a surge in resignations in the aftermath of the pandemic. Most people quit to take other jobs with higher pay, so the decline in quitting indicates that workers now see fewer available opportunities elsewhere.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Mary Daly, ” Daly, Goldman Sachs Organizations: WASHINGTON, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Institute for Supply Management, Federal Reserve Bank of San, Economic, of New Locations: United States, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, of New York
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