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Scott Wren, a senior global market strategist at Wells Fargo Investment Institute, recently noted that market breadth is abnormally narrow. He found that the five best performers in the S&P 500 accounted for nearly three-fifths of its exceptional 10.6% year-to-date gain through May 31. That fate will soon apply to the S&P 500, Wren warned. Such a sell-off would take the S&P 500 below 5,000 for the first time since April. "And it's tough to be patient when the S&P 500 set a bunch of all-time high records."
Persons: , Scott Wren, Wren, Steve Sosnick, Sosnick, who's, it's, we've, they've, they're, we're, Goldman Sachs, There's, He's Organizations: Service, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Business, Interactive Brokers, Wells Fargo Investment, Nvidia, Investors Locations: Wells Fargo
Technology stocks have fueled market strength in 2024, and analysts are watching a group of Nasdaq 100 stocks with further upside potential ahead. Against this backdrop, CNBC Pro used its stock screener to search for Nasdaq 100 stocks that analysts expect to surge over the next 12 months. AMZN YTD mountain Amazon stock has added more than 20% in 2024. The company also beat Wall Street's revenue forecast in the first quarter and issued a higher-than-anticipated earnings outlook for the current quarter. Shares are about flat in 2024, but analysts see nearly 27% upside from current levels, per LSEG.
Persons: Alexa, Marvell, Goldman Sachs, Toshiya Hari Organizations: Nasdaq, Broadcom, Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, CNBC Pro, CNBC, Analysts, Amazon, Marvell Technology, Wall, Marvell, PDD Holdings, Diamondback Energy
Experts say the AI mania has shades of the dot-com and housing bubbles and could end painfully. AdvertisementExperts say the frenzy around AI stocks resembles the last two major market bubbles — and could end in disaster if investors get spooked. "This is the goofiest and likely most dangerous concentration of overvaluation I've seen in 34 years investing and throughout financial history," Bloomstran said. Some experts have compared Nvidia to Cisco, the network hardware company whose stock ballooned during the dot-com bubble before ultimately crashing. No one can predict if the AI craze will end with a devastating crash like the dot-com and housing bubbles, or usher in a new market regime led by Nvidia and its kin.
Persons: , Nathan Burks, Adetokunbo Fadahunsi, Ann Marie Hibbert, Burks, Hibbert, Chris Bloomstran, Semper Augustus, I've, Bloomstran, John Chambers, Robert Galbraith, it's Organizations: Service, George Mason University, Big Tech, Nvidia, Microsoft, Cisco, REUTERS, Wall Street Journal Locations: West Virginia
Nvidia is set to surpass Apple in a major technology ETF, triggering a $23 billion trade later this month. Microsoft, Apple, and Nvidia are all worth more than $3 trillion amid an ongoing AI-fueled tech boom. AdvertisementNvidia is poised to overtake Apple in one of the biggest technology ETFs later this month, sparking a massive $23 billion trade. A diversification rule in the tech ETF has limited the concentration of the fund in a big way. With Nvidia set to take the second spot from Apple, it will spark a massive combined trade worth more than $20 billion.
Persons: Organizations: Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Service, Business, Bloomberg News, Bloomberg
So that's what the bank did, listing 10 signals that they found to be most reliable, as well as the best investing approach for a market peak. The index has reached 110 within the six months preceding every market peak since July 1990, and in January 2024, it reached 111. ValuationElevated stock valuations are also telling of a market peak, but Bank of America's indicators relating to P/E ratios aren't currently triggered. A third macroeconomic indicator, Bank of America's Credit Stress Indicator (CSI), is not triggered. It often drops below 0.25 within six months of a market peak, but sits at 0.39.
Persons: , Savita Subramanian, America quantifies Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Business, Conference, Bank of America Investor, Bank, America, The Conference Board, SSI, Wall Street, of America's, CSI Locations: today's
The S&P 500 is likely to fall at least 5% in the coming months, one strategist predicted. CFRA's Sam Stovall said a pullback tends to follow a great first quarter for the benchmark index. On the bright side, Stovall said the S&P's full-year gain is usually over 20% after a stellar start. AdvertisementBrace for stocks to take a breather and retreat by at least 5% after a breathless start to the year, one strategist warned. The S&P 500 surged by more than 10% in the first quarter.
Persons: CFRA's Sam Stovall, Stovall, , Brace, Sam Stovall, CFRA Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Microsoft, Yahoo Finance, Wall Street, CFRA Locations: Friday's
Dollar firm as euro wallows; yuan brushes aside China data
  + stars: | 2024-06-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The dollar was firm on Monday as the euro hovered near a more than one-month low amid continued concerns about the political outlook in Europe. The yuan held close to a multi-month low after China released a slew of economic data that pointed to an uneven recovery in the world's second-largest economy. A Reuters poll published last week showed 63 of 65 economists thought a first cut would not come until Aug. 1. Elsewhere, the yuan was mostly flat at 7.2550 per dollar after domestic data showed a mixed economic picture in China. China's central bank left a key policy rate unchanged as expected on Monday as the weak yuan continued to hamper policy easing.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron's, Matt Simpson, Neel Kashkari, Index's Simpson, Sterling, Kazuo Ueda, bitcoin Organizations: U.S, Gazprom, European Central Bank, Reuters, Index, . Minneapolis Federal, Bank of England, Bank of Japan Locations: Poland, Bulgaria, Europe, China, U.S
Interest rate cuts and continued earnings growth will power the Dow Jones to above 100,000 within the next decade. AdvertisementA powerful cocktail of earnings growth and interest rate cuts will serve as a "turbo booster" for stock prices and power the Dow Jones Industrial Average to over 100,000. And if the Fed doesn't cut interest rates this year, that won't derail Demmert's bullish forecast because earnings growth remains strong and resilient. "Yes, the AI tech stocks trade at much higher multiples than most stocks - but deservedly so given their premium growth rates," Demmert said. For the Dow Jones to hit 100,000, it would need to grow at a compounded annual growth rate of 11.2% over the next nine years.
Persons: Dow Jones, James Demmert, Demmert, Organizations: Research, Service, Dow Jones, Street Research, Federal
The S & P 500 has made an all-time high on nearly thirty days this year, four of them this past week. The main S & P is up more than 3% in the second quarter while its median stock is off 5% quarter to date. .SPX mountain 2024-03-29 S & P 500 quarter to date The S & P 500 has added $5.5 trillion in market capitalization in 2024, with roughly half kicked in by the Big Three. Wall Street strategists as a group project no upside for the S & P 500 in the second half , their average and median targets both below Friday's closing level. The weekly American Association of Individual Investors survey shows the spread between bulls and bears narrowing lately even with the S & P grinding higher.
Persons: we've, FANG, That's, It's, Jerome Powell's, Chris Verrone, I've Organizations: Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Investment, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Citi U.S, CPI, Fed, American Association of
At stake is one of the top two spots in the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) , whose June rebalance is based on market cap values as of Friday's close. The market caps of Microsoft, Apple and Nvidia were all within $100 billion of each other as of Thursday's close, according to a FactSet calculation. This type of big shift in an index fund is unusual, but not unprecedented. The fund tracks an index from S & P Dow Jones Indices that uses weighting caps to keep the index in bounds. Depending on how many shares of Nvidia are required, it might cause a short-term spike in the name," Bajaj said.
Persons: Dow, Dow Jones, Matthew Bartolini, Bartolini, Mohit Bajaj, SPDR, Bajaj, Todd Sohn, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia, Technology, Apple, Microsoft, Dow Jones, Dow Jones Indices, UBS, SPDR, Amazon, Trading, WallachBeth, Bajaj, Street Global Advisors, NYSE Technology Locations: U.S, SPDR Americas, rebalancing
Liontrust Asset Management's Clare Pleydell-Bouverie is looking beyond the headline-makers, however, to other companies set to gain from AI adoption. She said AI is set to remove "a lot of waste out of people's jobs," and bring about a "phenomenal productivity uplift." 'Higher customer conversion' Pleydell-Bouverie also said consumer-facing companies like French beauty and cosmetics label L'Oreal stand to gain from the adoption of AI. "They've pioneered beauty tech as an industry," she said, adding that the company's generative AI beauty assistant system has a 60% higher customer conversion than in-store advisors. The analysts have an average price of $450.25 on L'Oreal, giving it slightly downside potential.
Persons: Clare Pleydell, CNBC's, Bouverie, They've Organizations: Big Tech, Amazon, Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Liontrust Global Technology Fund, Technology, JPMorgan Chase, JPMorgan, L'Oreal, Euronext Locations: Euronext Paris, U.S
When it comes to dividend funds, the Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF is “the gold standard,” according to Morningstar. The exchange-traded fund seeks to track the total return of the Dow Jones U.S. Dividend 100 Index. Therefore, it is not like its peers that track a broad market index, Jackson pointed out. It also looks at return on equity, dividend yield and the dividend growth rate over the past five years. After the stocks are selected, the index market cap weighs them, with a maximum position around 4%.
Persons: Morningstar, Ryan Jackson, , Russell, Jackson, Schwab, D.J, Tierney, Morningstar's Jackson Organizations: Schwab, SEC, Morningstar, Dow Jones U.S, Schwab Asset Management
DraftKings — The sports betting stock added 1.8% after Morgan Stanley reiterated its overweight rating and said shares were again worthy of a top-pick designation. Morgan Stanley said the stock can rally despite concerns around Illinois' legalization of a sports betting tax. Nvidia — Shares were marginally lower ahead of the chipmaker stock's first day of trading after its 10-for-1 stock split . Planet Fitness — Stock in the fitness center chain advanced about 4% on the heels of an upgrade from Jefferies earlier on Monday. Analyst Randal Konik said "the stars have aligned" for Planet Fitness stock, adding that he expects strong franchise unit growth in 2025.
Persons: GoDaddy, Robert Half, Dow, Morgan Stanley, Joseph Moore, Randal Konik, — CNBC's Michelle Fox, Alex Harring, Jesse Pound Organizations: KKR, CrowdStrike, Comerica, Dow Jones, Dell Technologies, Palantir Technologies, AMD —, Nvidia —, Southwest Airlines —, Street Journal, Elliott Investment Management, Carvana, JPMorgan, Energy Global, Jefferies, Fitness Locations: Illinois
Chipmaker Nvidia is clearly the poster child for artificial intelligence, according to one portfolio manager — but she says another firm is being overlooked. "[We] think of Nvidia as the poster child for AI chips, and they are. But, [Broadcom] was another company that posted over a billion in revenue from AI chips," Pleydell-Bouverie told CNBC's Pro Talks . For the first quarter , Broadcom said revenue came in at $11.96 billion , topping analysts' forecasts of $11.72 billion. AVGO YTD mountain Year-to-date share movement in Broadcom Pleydell-Bouverie flagged that the company has a "leading position" in segments like custom ASICs (Application-Specific Integrated Circuits).
Persons: , Clare Pleydell, Bouverie, CNBC's, Hock Tan, Bernstein, Stacy Rasgon, Fred Imbert Organizations: Nvidia, Broadcom Inc, Broadcom, Nasdaq, Broadcom Pleydell, Circuits, Liontrust Global Technology Fund, Technology
Many companies are in the AI infrastructure buildout phase right now. That's because, in order to enable AI applications, companies have to make the switch from "general purpose computing to accelerated computing," she said. "You can't run AI on traditional compute, it would be prohibitively expensive, and far too energy intensive," said Pleydell-Bouverie. That's a 35% increase from last year, she said, and all this incremental investment is being directed to AI initiatives. And the world is "only in the first five minutes of this AI infrastructure buildout," she added.
Persons: Clare Pleydell, Bouverie, Meta Organizations: Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, Liontrust Asset Management, CNBC Pro, Google, Apple, JPMorgan, Liontrust Global Technology Fund, Technology
Dollar steadies before inflation test; yen brushes off Tokyo CPI
  + stars: | 2024-05-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The dollar was licking wounds against peer currencies on Friday after a downward revision to U.S. GDP for the first quarter suggested room for rate cuts this year, while investors braced for inflation data. The dollar index , which measures the currency against six major peers, consolidated around 104.82 after dipping as low as 104.63 overnight. Softer U.S. consumer price inflation data earlier in May rekindled rate cut expectations for this year, weakening the dollar across the board and setting it on track to post its first monthly losses in 2024. "All told, the Tokyo CPI leaves us confident that nationwide underlying inflation will fall below 2% as soon as July." Price data for the euro zone is due on Friday, following a stronger-than-expected April inflation reading for Germany on Wednesday.
Persons: John Williams, Matt Simpson, Index's Simpson, Marcel Thieliant, Sterling, bitcoin Organizations: Treasury, greenback, New York Fed, Index, PCE, Capital Economics, Japan's Ministry of Finance, Germany Locations: U.S, Tokyo, Asia
However, investors can boost their performance when accounting for reinvesting dividends. The stock has a dividend yield of 4.2%, which is just a snapshot of how much it pays currently. The stock has a dividend yield of 3.1%. If you're a long-term investor, you're dollar-cost averaging," she said. Names on her radar these days include Amgen , which is yielding about 3%, and Southern Copper , which has a dividend yield of 3.2%.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Dow, it's, Kim Abmeyer, Abmeyer, — CNBC's Chris Hayes Organizations: Dow Jones, UnitedHealth, Microsoft, Abmeyer Wealth Management, Dow, CNBC Pro, Chevron, Pfizer Locations: Wednesday's, Dallas, Chevron
We asked seven pro investors to identify the best trades of their careers and explain how the lessons from those decisions still apply today. The CBOE Volatility Index, also known as the VIX, shot above 40, essentially meaning traders were betting that the stock market would be exceptionally rocky over the following month. Jeff Muhlenkamp, lead portfolio manager at Muhlenkamp & CompanyJeff Muhlenkamp Muhlenkamp & CompanyJeff Muhlenkamp's namesake Muhlenkamp Fund (MUHLX) has been in the top 3% of its category in the past half-decade, thanks to trades like one he pulled off on Chinese internet firm Baidu (BIDU). "I pretty much expected, 'OK, if I get a double out of this in five years, I'll be happy' — that's pretty decent money," Muhlenkamp said. He noted that industrials within the Russell Mid Cap value index have returned 116% over the previous five years.
Persons: , That's, Michael Burry, Warren Buffett, Berkshire, Rob Arnott, Tim Boyle, Arnott, I'd, Bob Elliott, Bob Elliott's, Elliott, Jeff Muhlenkamp, Jeff Muhlenkamp Muhlenkamp, Jeff Muhlenkamp's, Muhlenkamp, you've, Sona Menon, Cambridge Associates Sona Menon, Bryant VanCronkhite, Allspring Bryant VanCronkhite Allspring Bryant VanCronkhite, VanCronkhite, Russell, industrials, James Davolos, Davolos, George Patton, Harley Bassman, Harley Bassman's, Bassman, Merrill Lynch, I'm Organizations: Service, American Express, Business, Research, Bloomberg, Getty, Bridgewater Associates, Treasury, Securities, Muhlenkamp, Baidu, Google, North, Cambridge Associates, Allspring, Horizon Kinetics, Opportunities Fund, Credit Suisse Locations: industrials, West Africa, New York City, Guinea
The major averages hit record highs in May, with the S & P 500 breaking above 5,300 for the first time. Historically, the summer months prove to be less robust for the S & P 500. July is typically a standout month, however, with the S & P 500 posting a 3.27% increase on average. .SPX YTD mountain The S & P 500 has added more than 11% in 2024. The S & P 500 tech sector averages a flat performance for June going back a decade.
Persons: It's, — CNBC's Christopher Hayes Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, CNBC, Tech, Technology, Nvidia
As the hype surrounding artificial intelligence shows no signs of abating, one tech fund manager is set to reveal her top ways to play the AI theme. On Wednesday's Pro Talks, Pleydell-Bouverie — who co-manages Lionstrust's global tech, innovation and dividend funds — will name companies that are "selling the picks and shovels for AI" and are "already making money." Pleydell-Bouverie manages the Liontrust Global Innovation, Liontrust Global Dividend and Liontrust Global Technology funds. Over the year to the end of March, all three funds have beaten their benchmark indexes, with the Liontrust Global Technology Fund rising 51.9%, compared to the MSCI World Information Technology Index's 39.1%. Learn more from our previous Pro Talks: Should investors buy the dip in Lululemon?
Persons: Clare Pleydell, Bouverie —, Bouverie Organizations: Liontrust, Management, Big Tech, Tech, Liontrust Global Technology, Liontrust Global Technology Fund, Technology, CNBC, Nvidia Locations: London, Singapore
Gold recoups from 2-week low as traders eye U.S. inflation data
  + stars: | 2024-05-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold are placed in a workroom at Novosibirsk Refining Plant, Russia on Sept. 15, 2023. Gold prices on Monday drifted higher from a two-week low hit in the previous session as traders gauged fading hopes of U.S. interest rate cuts ahead of a key inflation report due later this week. The core personal consumption expenditures price index, the preferred inflation measure for the U.S. Federal Reserve, is due on Friday. Bullion is known as an inflation hedge, but higher rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. Minutes from the Federal Reserve's meeting published last week showed the central bank's path to 2% inflation could take longer than expected.
Persons: Matt Simpson, Bullion, Index's Simpson Organizations: Novosibirsk Refining Plant, Index, U.S . Federal, Traders Locations: Novosibirsk, Russia
How to begin investingA simple way to get started is by purchasing low-cost index funds, Sethi says. Index funds track market indexes like the S&P 500, which follows the stock performance of around 500 large U.S. publicly traded companies, such as Microsoft, Apple and Nvidia. To get started, you'll need to open a brokerage account, traditional IRA, Roth IRA or other investment account. But don't let your funds simply sit in your brokerage account. You'll need to go one step further and decide which funds you'd like to invest in.
Persons: Ramit Sethi, Rich, You've, Sethi, Roth, you've Organizations: CNBC, U.S, Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Roth IRA
This report is from this week's CNBC's "Inside India" newsletter which brings you timely, insightful news and market commentary on the emerging powerhouse and the big businesses behind its meteoric rise. "This particular product, and broadly speaking, the domestic investor, has driven the upsurge in the Indian stock markets," Mahesh Nandurkar, head of India research at Jefferies, told CNBC. For instance, of the nearly 4,900 actively traded India-listed stocks, 300 stocks had a fall in revenue in the last two consecutive financial years. Foreign investors have historically had a significant influence on local equity markets. For now, the savings directed into equity markets are still a tiny proportion of the overall savings Indians put away annually.
Persons: it's, Mahesh Nandurkar, Hermes, Jonathan Pines, Deepak Jasani, Jefferies, Nandurkar Organizations: Association for Mutual Funds, SBI Equity, Opportunities, ICICI Prudential, Advantage Fund, Jefferies, CNBC, Federated Hermes, HDFC Securities Locations: India, Japan
Investors hunting for income ought to look to small-cap stocks for a few high-quality dividend payers, according to Bank of America. There are names within it that offer quality dividend yields, according to Jill Carey Hall, equity strategist at Bank of America, in a Monday research report. Further, once the Federal Reserve begins cutting rates, yields paid on cash will fall, and that will make these dividend payers even more attractive for income. Finally, Bank of America added Essential Properties Realty Trust to its list of buy-rated dividend payers. The stock has a dividend yield of 4.2%, and shares are up 7.5% in 2024.
Persons: Russell, Jill Carey, Peter Galbo, Utz, Alton Stump, Stump, Nick Joseph Organizations: Bank of America, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Brands, Properties Realty Trust, Citi Locations: West, Midwest, Southwest, Hanover , Pennsylvania, comps
Six US cities have been ranked as having world-leading economic vitality by the Oxford Economics Global Cities Index. But while they perform well on economic factors, the cities fall down on governance and quality of life. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . However, according to the latest Global Cities Index from research group Oxford Economics, six US cities are still the leading "engines of the global economy." This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.
Persons: , exoduses Organizations: Oxford Economics, Service, Oxford, Dallas, Business Locations: York, Los Angeles, San Jose, Seattle, San Francisco
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