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“These trends are likely to continue, given further increases in interest rates in 2023.”What’s going onWhile the Fed doesn’t directly set mortgage rates, what it does with its benchmark lending rate influences mortgage rates — and they were hit hard last year. As mortgage rates rose, more buyers began purchasing discount points as a way to “buy down” a rate. Typically, each point is equal to 1% of the borrower’s mortgage cost. A borrower with a $400,000 loan could, for example, buy down a 7.5% mortgage rate to 7.25% for $4,000. By reducing the mortgage rate upfront, the monthly costs are lower going forward and will be smaller for the life of the loan.
Persons: , Rohit Chopra, ” What’s, Organizations: DC CNN, Consumer Financial, Federal Reserve Locations: Washington, White
Washington, DC CNN —The average US mortgage rate hit 7.49% this week, the highest level in 23 years. The lower risk you present, the lower your mortgage rate will be. Another way people who are quoted a certain mortgage rate can lower it is by buying down the rate with discount points. A borrower with a $400,000 loan can buy down a 7.5% mortgage rate to 7.25% for $4,000. By reducing the mortgage rate upfront, the monthly costs will be smaller for the life of the loan.
Persons: homebuyers, , Freddie Mac, homebuyer, who’ve Organizations: DC CNN, Consumer Financial, Bureau, National Association of Realtors, Equal, Consumer, Companies Locations: Washington
Mortgage rates climb to 7.49%, hurting home sales
  + stars: | 2023-10-05 | by ( Anna Bahney | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +1 min
Washington, DC CNN —US mortgage rates climbed even higher this week, hitting 7.49% and pushing homeownership further out of reach for would-be homebuyers. “Unsurprisingly, this is pulling back homebuyer demand.”Mortgage rates have spiked during the Federal Reserve’s historic inflation-curbing campaign. The central bank has indicated it may keep rates higher for longer, due to stubborn inflation. That has pushed up the 10-year Treasury yield, a key benchmark for mortgage rates. The average mortgage rate is based on mortgage applications that Freddie Mac receives from thousands of lenders across the country.
Persons: homeownership, Freddie Mac, , Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Organizations: DC CNN, Federal, , Treasury, National Association of Realtors Locations: Washington
House business is on ice while GOP finds new speaker
  + stars: | 2023-10-05 | by ( Annie Grayer | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +5 min
The House calendar remained officially stuck on October 3 – Tuesday – the date when House Speaker Kevin McCarthy was ousted and left the chamber without adjourning. “The House of Representatives is effectively frozen,” Rep. Garret Graves, a Louisiana Republican, told reporters. As speaker pro tempore, Republican Rep. Patrick McHenry of North Carolina can perform tasks like recessing the House, adjourning the chamber and recognizing speaker nominations, according to the House Practices Guide. “Until we figure out how we have another speaker of the House, everything stops,” Rep. Kelly Armstrong, a North Dakota Republican on the House Oversight Committee, told CNN. While House Republicans intend to hold a candidate forum for would-be speakers on Tuesday, it could take time for Republicans to unify behind a single one.
Persons: Kevin McCarthy, Garret Graves, , Patrick McHenry of, Joe Biden, Graves, ” Graves, , “ We’re, James Comer, we’ve, Michael McCaul, Kelly Armstrong, Tom Cole, Jim Jordan of, Steve Scalise, Organizations: DC CNN —, Representatives, , Louisiana Republican, Republican, CNN, Republicans, Kentucky, Foreign, Texas Republican, North Dakota Republican Locations: Washington, , Louisiana, Patrick McHenry of North Carolina, Texas, Oklahoma, Jim Jordan of Ohio,
The public will continue to support them – that is until the strikes begin to affect Americans’ daily lives. CNN reached out to the Justice Department for comment but has not received a response. The US Labor Department releases August figures on job openings, quits, hires and layoffs. The US Labor Department reports the number of worker filings for jobless benefits in the week ended September 30. The US Labor Department releases September data on the state of the job market, including payroll gains, wage growth and the unemployment rate.
Persons: , ” Andrew Flowers, , Eva Rothenberg, Suisse’s, Jerome Powell, Patrick Harker, Michael Barr, John Williams, Loretta Mester, Raphael Bostic, Michelle Bowman, Levi Strauss, Tom Barkin, Mary Daly Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN —, Gallup, Guild of America, Teamsters, Reno, United Auto Workers, UAW, Toyota, Honda, CNN, Nationwide, UBS, DOJ, US Department of Justice, Credit Suisse, “ UBS, CS, Bloomberg, Justice Department, P Global, Institute for Supply Management, McCormick, US Labor Department, Atlanta Fed, Constellation Brands, Conagra, Co, US Commerce Department, Carnival Corp Locations: Washington, United States, Hollywood, Las Vegas, Germany, Russia
Washington, DC CNN —Americans are taking notice of a possible government shutdown and the uncertainty of ongoing labor strikes, according to the University of Michigan’s latest consumer sentiment survey. The university’s Consumer Sentiment Index edged lower by 1.4 points in September, according to a final reading. That would mean some federal workers become furloughed and agencies operate with skeleton crews, hamstringing agencies’ ability to provide crucial government services. The ongoing United Auto Workers strike is also not expected to end soon. With so much turmoil, Americans will likely feel uneasy in the coming weeks, which could affect their spending.
Persons: , Joanne Hsu, There’s Organizations: DC CNN, University of Michigan’s, , Republicans, United Auto Workers, UAW, Ford, GM, Kaiser Permanente, Commerce Department Locations: Washington, Kaiser, California , Colorado , Oregon, Washington , Virginia, Las Vegas, Reno
Pending sales had been on the rise the two months prior, despite elevated prices and higher mortgage rates, according to a report released Thursday by the National Association of Realtors. Pending transactions were down 18.7% from August 2022, when average weekly mortgage rates ranged between 4.99% and 5.5%. August may have been the beginning of the end of this resilient housing market — at least for a while, she added. “For others, the higher mortgage rates and general economic uncertainty are simply making them more cautious. Either way, expect the number of home sales transactions this fall to be at a decade low.”
Persons: , Lawrence Yun, , Lisa Sturtevant, Sturtevant Organizations: DC CNN, National Association of Realtors Locations: Washington
However, consumer spending, America’s economic engine, was revised much lower, to a 0.8% annualized rate, according to data released Thursday. Spending in the second quarter grew at its weakest pace since the first quarter of 2022, when it was flat. Consumer spending accounts for about 70% of economic output. The second quarter stretches from April through June, but the Commerce Department releases consumer spending figures on a monthly basis. In July, consumer spending jumped a robust 0.8%, the strongest monthly gain since January, as shoppers spent on concerts, films, toys and recreational equipment.
Persons: , Claire Li, Gregory Daco Organizations: DC CNN, Commerce, Commerce Department, Moody’s Investors, Moody’s Investors Service Locations: Washington, EY
"America's Collection: The Art and Architecture of the Diplomatic Reception Rooms at the US Department of State." Durston Saylor/Courtesy Rizzoli The Thomas Jefferson State Reception Room. Durston Saylor/Courtesy Rizzoli The James Monroe State Reception Room, which was designed by Walter M. Macomber. Durston Saylor/Courtesy Rizzoli The James Monroe State Reception Room. Durston Saylor/Courtesy Rizzoli The design of diplomacy: See inside the lavish reception rooms at the US State Department Prev NextRooms that take you back in time“America’s Collection” gives those without diplomatic credentials a chance to experience that moment.
Persons: Harry S, John Kerry, Obama, Kerry, Truman, Oz, Durston Saylor, Benjamin Franklin, John Blatteau, Thomas Jefferson, James Monroe, Walter M, John Quincy Adams, Childe Hassam, Edmund C, Martin Van Buren, Henry Clay, George Washington, , Francis Scott Key, Paul Revere, John Adams, Clement Conger, Edward Vason Jones, Benjamin West's, John Jay, Henry Laurens, William Temple Franklin, Bruce M, Jones, King George III, Mark Alan Hewitt, Adams, Louisa Catherine, Martha Washington, Alexandra Kirtley, ” Kirtley, Kirtley, , Betsy Kornhauser, Kornhauser, , Joshua Shaw, Thomas Cole, Cole, Virginia Hart, ” —, Walter Thurston Gentlemen's, we’re, ” Hart Organizations: DC CNN, US, Truman, US Department of State, State Department, Benjamin, Thomas, James, James Madison, Henry, American, Department, Powel, York’s Metropolitan Museum of Art, Winterthur Museum, Library, Philadelphia Museum of Art, CNN, Metropolitan Museum of Art, River School, , , Department of State, Rizzoli Electa Locations: Washington, United States, Virginia, Mount Vernon, Paris, Great Britain, Philadelphia, British, Delaware, China, American, Europe
US home prices rose in July to record-high levels
  + stars: | 2023-09-26 | by ( Anna Bahney | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
Prices rose 0.6% from the month before, according to seasonally adjusted data from the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index released Tuesday. Compared to a year ago, the national composite index also rose, with prices up 1% from July 2022, the prior peak, according to Case-Shiller data. In July, prices rose in all 20 cities after seasonal adjustment. Prices in Las Vegas were down 7.2% from a year ago and in Phoenix prices were down 6.6%. The West, where prices are down 3.8% from a year ago, and the South, with prices down 3.6%, continue to see annual price declines.
Persons: , Craig Lazzara, Dow, Selma Hepp, Freddie Mac Organizations: DC CNN, Dow Jones, CoreLogic, Federal Reserve Locations: Washington, Chicago, Cleveland, New York, Las Vegas, Phoenix
And the US economy’s surprising resilience, despite 11 rate hikes, has raised hopes of a soft landing becoming a reality. “I’ve always thought that the soft landing was a plausible outcome, that there was a path to a soft landing,” he said. But historical records show that a soft landing has only occurred once in the 1990s, or perhaps even a handful of times. The US Commerce Department releases its final estimate of second-quarter gross domestic product. The US Commerce Department releases August data on household income, spending, and the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge.
Persons: it’s, Jerome Powell, Powell, “ I’ve, , , Powell’s, ” “ Jerome Powell, ” Quincy Krosby, Krosby, ” Krosby, Matt Egan, ” Neil Bradley, “ We’ve, Read, Christine Lagarde, Michelle Bowman, Austan Goolsbee, Lisa Cook, John Williams Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, Fed, LPL, CNN, Corporate, US Chamber of Commerce, European Central Bank, Costco, Global, Board, Survey, US Commerce Department, Micron, Nike, US Labor Department, National Association of Realtors, Carnival Corp, University of Michigan, New York Fed, China’s National Bureau of Statistics Locations: Washington
The median price for existing homes — which include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops — was $407,100 last month. The median price in August was the highest price of any August on record and the fourth highest of any month. August marked the third consecutive month the median sales price was over $400,000. Sales of existing homes fell short of expectations and were down 0.7% from July to August to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.04 million units. Annually, August sales were down 15.3% from a year ago when the sales pace was 4.77 million units.
Persons: , ” Lawrence Yun Organizations: DC CNN, National Association of Realtors, NAR Locations: Washington, Northeast, Midwest, South
Washington, DC CNN —Mortgage applications rose last week, even as mortgage rates remain stubbornly high, an indication that at least some buyers are determined to move forward with a home purchase in one of the most challenging markets in decades. “Mortgage applications increased last week, despite the 30-year fixed-rate edging back up,” said Joel Kan, MBA’s vice president and deputy chief economist. The increase in total mortgage applications was driven higher by a surprise increase in applications to refinance a mortgage. Refinance applications climbed 13% from the previous week, but were still almost 30% below the same week one year ago. The MBA noted that this week’s data is compared to the prior week’s data, which included an adjustment for the Labor Day holiday.
Persons: , Joel Kan, Jerome Powell, Kan, homebuyers, Black Knight Organizations: DC CNN —, Mortgage, Association, , Labor Locations: Washington, Black
Washington, DC CNN —US home building sank in August, dropping 11.3% from July levels, as mortgage rates stayed elevated amid lingering inflation. After rising in July, new home starts dropped in August as mortgage rates climbed back to their late 2022 peak. “The combination of high interest rates, high pricing, and limited inventory has continued to plague the housing market,” said Kelly Mangold of RCLCO Real Estate Consulting. “In many cases, even repurchasing their same home at today’s mortgage rates would be out of a typical buyer’s price range.”More than 90% of homeowners have a mortgage rate under 6% and many have rates closer to 2% or 3%. Home builder confidence was lower in September, according to a separate report from the National Association of Home Builders / Wells Fargo Housing Market Index released Monday.
Persons: , Kelly Mangold, Mangold, Organizations: DC CNN, Housing, Census, Real Estate Consulting, , National Association of Home Builders Locations: Washington, Wells Fargo
Government shutdown would leave the Fed flying blind
  + stars: | 2023-09-18 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
Washington, DC CNN —In the event of a US government shutdown, the Bureau of Labor Statistics says it will stop releasing data, including key figures on inflation and unemployment. A lack of crucial government data would make it difficult for investors and the Federal Reserve to interpret the US economy. “By the time the Fed discovered its mistake, the effects of excessive monetary tightening could be difficult to reverse,” she said. It’s unclear whether the Fed would hold rates steady in the absence of government data or how it would navigate a government shutdown when deliberating monetary policy. The effects of a government shutdown also depend on how long it lasts, which also isn’t clear at this point.
Persons: Kevin McCarthy, acquiesce, Greg Daco, , Agron Nicaj, Price, Julia Pollak Organizations: DC CNN, of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, BLS, Republicans, , MUFG, Labor, Survey, ZipRecruiter, Fed Locations: Washington, EY, United States,
Washington, DC CNN —Home builder confidence took a hit in September as average mortgage rates for a 30-year fixed-rate loan stayed above 7%. “The two-month decline in builder sentiment coincides with when mortgage rates jumped above 7% and significantly eroded buyer purchasing power,” said Alicia Huey of the NAHB. All three dimensions of the new housing market evaluated saw declines in September: The index gauging current sales conditions fell six points to 51. “High mortgage rates are clearly taking a toll on builder confidence and consumer demand, as a growing number of buyers are electing to defer a home purchase until long-term rates move lower,” said Robert Dietz, NAHB Chief Economist. As mortgage rates stayed above 7% over the last month, more builders cut prices to boost sales, according to NAHB.
Persons: , Alicia Huey, Huey, Robert Dietz, That’s Organizations: DC CNN —, National Association of Home Builders, , NAHB Locations: Washington, Wells Fargo
Inflation is expected to slow because of these trends
  + stars: | 2023-09-17 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
Washington, DC CNN —US inflation has slowed steadily from its four-decade peak last June, and it’s expected to cool further thanks to easing car prices and rents. Despite the expected inflation drop, she said investors anticipate the Fed will keep interest rates steady and not cut them anytime soon. “It may take a little bit longer than expected for inflation to come down to 2%, and inflation being in a 2-3% range next year is reasonable,” she said. Tuesday: Canada’s statistics agency releases August inflation data. The UK’s Office for National Statistics releases August inflation data.
Persons: we’re, ” José Torres, , , Sarah House, Saira Malik, Michelle Toh, ” Read, General Mills, Christine Lagarde Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, Interactive Brokers, CNN, , , United Auto Workers, CPI, San, San Francisco Fed, National Association of Home Builders, US Commerce Department, Japan’s Ministry of Finance, FedEx, General, National Statistics, Federal Reserve, Darden Restaurants, The Bank of England, US Labor Department, National Association of Realtors, The Bank of Japan, European Central Bank, Global Locations: Washington, Wells Fargo, San Francisco, China, Michelle Toh ., Japan’s
Americans are feeling gloomier about the economy
  + stars: | 2023-09-15 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +1 min
Washington, DC CNN —Americans aren’t feeling gloomy about higher gas prices just yet, but they’re still on edge about inflation and the economy’s direction — and concerns are starting to surface about the possibility of a government shutdown. Consumer sentiment tracked by the University of Michigan edged down in September from the prior month by 1.8 points, according to a preliminary reading released Friday. “Both short-run and long-run expectations for economic conditions improved modestly this month, though on net consumers remain relatively tentative about the trajectory of the economy,” said the University of Michigan’s Surveys of Consumers Director Joanne Hsu in a release. Sentiment fell to its lowest level on record last summer when gas prices topped $5 a gallon and inflation reached a four-decade high. Consumers’ expectation of inflation rates in the year ahead fell to a 3.1% rate in September, down from 3.5% in the prior month.
Persons: they’re, , Joanne Hsu Organizations: DC CNN, University of Michigan, University of Michigan’s, AAA Locations: Washington
Washington, DC CNN —US retail sales picked in August, boosted by higher gas prices, as spending on other items grew modestly. Retail sales, which are adjusted for seasonal swings but not inflation, rose 0.6% in August, the Commerce Department reported Thursday. Excluding sales at gasoline stations, retail spending advanced a more modest 0.2% in August from July. Retail spending increased across most categories, including at restaurants and grocery stores. Online retail sales in August were flat, after jumping in July due to Amazon’s Prime Day promotional event.
Persons: That’s, It’s, “ Fitch, , David Silverman, Goldman Sachs, there’s, Lydia Boussour, “ Encouragingly, Boussour Organizations: DC CNN, Commerce Department, AAA, Federal Reserve, Fitch Locations: Washington, Libya, EY
However, core inflation, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, continued to slow, according to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics released Wednesday. On a month-to-month basis, prices rose 0.6% in August, compared with a 0.2% gain in July. Monthly core inflation rose by 0.3% in August, picking up significantly for the first time since February. The CPI’s gasoline index jumped 10.6% in August from the prior month, up sharply from the 0.2% gain in July. Gasoline prices are highly visible indicators of inflation, so more pain at the pump could also weigh on US consumers’ moods.
Persons: Sarah House Organizations: DC CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal, AAA, CNN Locations: Washington, OPEC, Libya, Wells
The problem with labor data in understanding inflation
  + stars: | 2023-09-10 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
The central bank will continue to pay close attention to the state of the labor market, specifically on wages, as it focuses on defeating inflation, but there’s only so much that labor data can reveal about price increases. Mainly, it’s that wage figures are great at gauging inflation’s progress, but they’re lousy at forecasting its future. Financial markets have shifted back to a “bad news is good news” way of perceiving economic data and will continue to react to labor data, but ultimately, it’s the actual inflation data that matter most to the Fed. The issue of labor figures in forecasting inflation lies with productivity data. The Federal Reserve releases August data on industrial production.
Persons: Austan Goolsbee, Raphael Bostic, , Quincy Krosby, ” Agron Nicaj, it’s, Anna Cooban, ” James Athey Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, Federal Reserve, Fed, Chicago Fed, Bloomberg, Atlanta Fed, Financial, LPL Financial, CNN, Oracle, National Federation of Independent Business, National Statistics, US Labor Department, Adobe, European Central Bank, US Commerce Department, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, Lennar Homes, The University of Michigan Locations: Washington, Saudi Arabia
A few days before Biden’s speech in Maine, the Fed approved raising interest rates to their highest level in more than 22 years, continuing an aggressive inflation-busting campaign. Customers are also being pinched with higher interest rates,” a food, beverage and tobacco products manufacturer told the ISM in its August survey. “When we built our first building, interest rates were around 14% or so, and that was in the early ’80s,” she said. “We’ve seen some plans go on hold or on a slower burn until those companies see what happens with interest rates and the economy,” he said. Recession or not, the bull case for US manufacturing has the industry — and Biden — in a good mood.
Persons: Kathie Leonard, Leonard, , , ” Leonard, Joe Biden, , ’ ” Leonard, Biden, Charles Krupa, Paul Krugman, Goldman Sachs, It’s, Scott Paul, Paul, it’s, Auburn Manufacturing’s Leonard, “ we’ve, Julianna Keeling, Lou Pektor, “ We’ve, Jennifer Harris, bode Organizations: DC CNN, Maine Department of Economic, Community Development, Auburn Manufacturing, CNN, Auburn Manufacturing Inc, AP, Commerce Department, Fed, P Global, Institute for Supply Management, Alliance for American Manufacturing, PMI, ISM, Labor Department, Auburn, Manufacturers, Fed Companies, National Economic Council, National Security Council Locations: Washington, Maine, Portland, Auburn , Maine, United States, Pointe, Lehigh
Washington, DC CNN —Baggage handlers and airplane cleaners at the Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport say they are exposed to brutally hot temperatures and are asking for an investigation into their employer, Prospect Airport Services. Nearly a dozen workers wrote to the Arizona Division of Occupational Safety and Health to say that even on the overnight shift, temperatures spike to unsafe levels while cleaners work inside airplanes without air conditioning. The Arizona Division of Occupational Safety and Health acknowledged the complaint in a brief statement to CNN. “Because it is an open file, we cannot comment further.”The letter also says break rooms are hot, and there is limited access to water. The complaint, from a state that experienced extreme hot temperatures throughout the summer, follows years of complaints from flight attendants and other workers who want more regulations around hot planes.
Persons: , , Trevor Laky, I’ve Organizations: DC CNN —, Phoenix Sky Harbor, Prospect Airport Services, Arizona Division of Occupational Safety, Health, CNN Locations: Washington
US consumers are done splurging, Fed report suggests
  + stars: | 2023-09-07 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +5 min
Washington, DC CNN —After a summer of robust consumer spending, America’s bars, hotels and restaurants say the era of post-pandemic splurging by US consumers has likely drawn to a close. “Consumer spending on tourism was stronger than expected, surging during what most contacts considered the last stage of pent-up demand for leisure travel from the pandemic era,” the report said. Consumer spending rose 0.8% in July, the strongest monthly spending gain since January. But that strength in leisure spending began to level off toward the end of August, the latest Beige Book shows. Still, leisure spending varied by region, with some reporting a noticeable slowing and others saying it is holding steady.
Persons: , Taylor Swift, Barbie, , Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Susan Collins Organizations: DC CNN, Federal Reserve, Warner Bros, Hospitality, , Street, Fed, Boston Locations: Washington, Boston Fed’s, Atlanta Fed’s, York, Boston
Washington, DC CNN —Last week’s economic data increasingly gave investors hope that the Federal Reserve could hold interest rates steady this month, following a hike in July that brought rates to their highest level in 22 years. It’s hard to say definitively if or when the central bank will hike interest rates again this year. The Fed could hold rates steady for the rest of the year if both the job market and the broader economy continue to slow, helping bring down inflation. Higher for longer means keeping interest rates elevated for a prolonged period. China’s National Bureau of Statistics releases August inflation data.
Persons: hasn’t, ” Leslie Thompson, Thompson, Jerome Powell, Powell, Susan Collins, Powell’s Jackson, there’s, Raphael Bostic, Olesya Dmitracova, ” Patrick Hummel, David Lesne, Juan Perez, Carrascosa, Barnes & Noble Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, Federal, Financial, Spectrum Wealth Management, CNN, Fed, Kansas City, Boston, Yahoo, Finance, Atlanta Fed, Volkswagen, Renault, UBS, French, Swiss, Barnes &, The Reserve Bank of Australia, US Commerce Department, Eagle, Express, P Global, Institute for Supply Management, Bank of Canada, US Labor Department, Kroger, China’s National Bureau of Statistics Locations: Washington, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Cape Town , South Africa, Europe
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