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The Nasdaq Composite index finally made a new all-time high on Friday, its first since July. But history shows there may be more than 10% upside ahead as stocks enter the third year of a bull market, according to DataTrek statistics. DataTrek co-founders Nicholas Colas and Jessica Rabe said they "remain bullish" on U.S. large-cap tech stocks because the average third year of a bull market has brought an increase of just 4.4% for the tech-heavy Nasdaq, the firm's data shows. The data, too, shows that another positive year for Nasdaq is no sure-fire bet. A two-year bull market after a losing year, the pattern we are currently in since the 2022 debacle, has continued into a third year just 60% of the time since 1971.
Persons: DataTrek, Nicholas Colas, Jessica Rabe, What's Organizations: Nasdaq Locations: U.S, East, Europe
Investors will contend with earnings results from five of the Magnificent Seven companies next week. .SPX 1M mountain S & P 500 "I sort of refer to this period that we're in right now as like a strange brew," said Mark Malek, investment chief at Siebert. On Friday, the Nasdaq Composite hit an all-time high , but the S & P 500 snapped a six-week win streak. In fact, the high concentration of the mega-cap leaders in the S & P 500 spurred Goldman Sachs' David Kostin this month to release a dim long-term forecast for the overall market. HSBC head of equity strategy Nicole Inui upped her S & P 500 year-end target to 5,900.
Persons: Mark Malek, Siebert, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Siebert's Malek, they've, Nicole Inui, Inui, D.R Horton, Price, Eli Lilly, Lauder Organizations: Microsoft, Meta, Apple, Nasdaq, U.S, Treasury, Big Tech, HSBC, FactSet, Richmond Fed, Dallas Fed, Ford, Semiconductor, Caesars Entertainment, Devices, Pfizer, Royal Caribbean Group, PayPal, ADP, Kraft Heinz, Caterpillar, GE Healthcare Technologies, Holdings, ECI Civilian Workers, PCE, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, Cruise Line Holdings, Uber Technologies, Lauder Companies, Mastercard, Generac, Jobs, PMI, Manufacturing, Exxon Mobil Locations: U.S, Chicago
Traversed centuries ago by camel-back traders, two long-lost medieval cities that once thrived along the ancient Silk Road have been uncovered by drones sent searching for their secrets. This groundbreaking research in southeastern Uzbekistan could shift our understanding of the Silk Road, a vast network of trade routes that spanned from China to the Mediterranean. But the new research shows the Silk Road network was larger than previously predicted. Although many large urban centers have been discovered in Central Asia, the vast majority of archaeologically documented cities are in lowland riparian settings. The research indicates the two cities produced iron or steel to sell, as well as providing fuel for Silk Road travelers, with the region being surrounded by dense juniper forests.
Persons: Michael Frachetti, Louis, Farhod Maksudov, Frachetti, Tim Williams, Organizations: Washington University, Uzbekistan’s National Center of Archaeology, NBC News, University College London Locations: Central Asia, Uzbekistan, China, St, Tashbulak, England, Tugunbulak
S&P 500 futures are muted Thursday night after the broad index ended a three-day negative streak. Futures tied to the broad index added less than 0.1%, as did Nasdaq 100 futures . The Nasdaq Composite joined the S&P 500 in finishing the session in the green, with both lifted by Tesla' s post-earnings rally. A slide in Treasury yields also gave the S&P 500 and Nasdaq upward momentum, according to Megan Horneman, chief investment officer at Verdence. The Dow has fared the worst with a drop of more than 2% as of Thursday's close, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq have shed 0.9% and 0.4%, respectively.
Persons: Dexcom, Tesla, Elon, Megan Horneman, Horneman, Dow, They'll Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Treasury, IBM, Boeing, Colgate, Palmolive, AutoNation, Newell Brands, University of
Brendan McDermid | ReutersThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineLike an unwelcome ex-partner who shows up during the most inopportune times and refuses to leave, Treasury yields too have made a return and are hogging the market limelight. It's not inconceivable, then, that the strong economy might prompt the Fed to slow down, or even hold back, its rate cuts. The stock market slumped as yields rebounded.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Brent Schutte, Paul Hickey, Hickey, Wells, they'll, , Jeff Cox, Lisa Kailai Han, Pia Singh, Brian Evans Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Reuters, CNBC, U.S . Federal Reserve, Fed, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq Locations: TY, New York City, U.S
Looking ahead to November, Oppenheimer has updated its top stock ideas list, which features additions such as CarMax , Mastercard and Atlassian . He has an outperform rating on the stock, and his price target implies nearly 26% upside from Wednesday's close. Analyst Ittai Kidron has an outperform rating on the stock, and his $230 target reflects nearly 22% upside, as of Wednesday's close. That implies more than 15% upside from Wednesday's close. Evercore ISI also added Broadcom to its top chip stock picks ahead of its earnings report later in the year.
Persons: Oppenheimer, Michael Wiederhorn, Cigna, Ittai Kidron, Kidron, Atlassian, Morgan Stanley, Rick Schafer, Schafer, Hock Tan Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Mastercard, Dick's Sporting Goods, Bloomberg, Humana, Bloomberg News, Broadcom, ISI
Investors have been increasingly on edge about the prospect of former President Donald Trump winning the election, a possibility for which Wall Street has been preparing to a greater extent. While polls remain effectively dead-even, Trump’s prospects have grown since the start of this month in political betting markets. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite led the decline, ending the day down by 1.6%; while the S&P 500 and Dow both fell about 1%. Recent strong economic data has led traders to question whether the central bank might maintain higher rates for longer than anticipated. The current market environment suggests continued volatility ahead, said Torres, warning of the potential for further yield curve steepening and increased market turbulence ahead.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, ” Steven Ricchiuto, Kamala Harris, Dow, , José Torres, McDonald’s, Kelly Ortberg, Torres Organizations: New, New York CNN, Mizuho Securities, Treasury, Nasdaq, Dow, Interactive Brokers, Nvidia, Apple, Boeing, Federal Locations: New York, United States
Both have opined that the rally on Wall Street underscores a growing belief that former President Donald Trump will win on Nov. 5. However, I don't yet believe that Wall Street and Pennsylvania Avenue have intersected just yet. Indeed, if the stock market is anticipating a Trump victory, what might the bond market and gold market be telling us, assuming they expect the same outcome? Are those markets telling us a Trump victory would lead to higher inflation and bigger fiscal deficits? Those betting on a Trump win would be loath to say so if they follow the messages of multiple markets.
Persons: Stanley Druckenmiller, Dan Loeb, Donald Trump, Loeb, it's, Dow Jones, Kamala Harris, Trump, Ron Insana Organizations: Senate, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Atlanta, Dow, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Nvidia, European Central Bank, Trump, stoke, Democratic, Pennsylvania, CNBC Locations: U.S
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. The team pointed to high valuations and concentration in today's stock market as reasons for their forecast. [PRO] Ranking the Magnificent SevenThe Magnificent Seven bag of stocks — Alphabet , Amazon , Apple , Meta , Microsoft , Nvidia and Tesla — is responsible for most of the S&P 500's rally this year. Not so, according to a tech investor who owns all seven stocks.
Persons: Europe's, Goldman, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Bob Iger, Iger, Bob Chapek Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Treasury, Autonomous, Microsoft, Disney, Apple, Meta, Nvidia, Tesla
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Shares of Hyundai Motor India fallHyundai Motor India shares retreated more than 5% on Tuesday – their trading debut – according to BSE data. Hyundai Motor India is a wholly owned Indian subsidiary of South Korean automaker Hyundai. New bullish phase for goldGold prices hit a record high of $2,700 per ounce on Monday, and are continuing their ascent Tuesday.
Persons: Australia's, Paul Wong Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Treasury, Hyundai Motor India, Hyundai, South, Reuters, Sprott Asset Management, Citi, U.S ., Scotiabank, Canadian Locations: Asia, Pacific, India, Reuters ., China, U.S
Zions reported earnings of $1.37 per share on $792 million in revenue, ahead of the earnings of $1.17 per share and $779 million in revenue expected by analysts polled by LSEG. Nucor — The steel production company declined about 3% despite posting adjusted earnings and revenue that topped expectations in the third quarter. Nucor said it expects a decline in GAAP earnings per share for the current period over the prior quarter. In the third quarter, Hexcel reported adjusted earnings of 47 cents per share on revenue of $456.5 million. Alexandria reported third-quarter revenue of $791.6 million and funds from operation of $2.37 per share, as adjusted.
Persons: Zions, Nucor, Hexcel, FactSet, , Darla Mercado Organizations: Nike, NBA, WNBA, LSEG, SAP, Alexandria Real Locations: Alexandria
Jim Cramer says not to panic over higher bond yields
  + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
CNBC's Jim Cramer examined Monday's market action and said investors shouldn't be too concerned about rising bond yields. "Stocks have soared with bond yields at these levels before; in fact, they've soared with the 30-year at 5%, they've soared with the 30-year at 6%, so let's stop it with the jeremiads." The indexes ticked lower on Monday as bond yields jumped, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average losing 0.8% and the S&P 500 dipping 0.18%. But Cramer noted that the stock market has "had a fabulous run," even as bond yields have been creeping up. Cramer acknowledged that some investors, particularly traders with a more short-term view, are inclined to automatically trim stocks when bond yields rise.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, shouldn't, Cramer Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal
Stock futures were flat in overnight trading after the Dow Jones Industrial Average snapped a three-day winning streak. The S&P 500 declined about 0.2%, while the Nasdaq Composite added close to 0.3%. Investor attention remains fixated on third-quarter earnings season, with about one-fifth of the S&P 500 slated to report results this week. "It is good to see analysts getting realistic about 2025 earnings growth," she said. "However, at 15% earnings growth, we believe it is still too optimistic given the expectation for slower economic growth in 2025."
Persons: Dow, Zions, Megan Horneman, Lockheed Martin Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, SAP, America, Verdence Capital Advisors, Lockheed, General Motors, Verizon, Tesla, IBM, Boeing
Quantitative and technical strategist Javed Mirza pointed out in a note to clients that the Nasdaq 100 has not set a record high since July. On Monday, the Nasdaq 100 was trading about 2% below its record close. "The Nasdaq 100 just triggered a new short-term 'mechanical sell' signal, diverging from the other North American equity indices," Mirza said. The Nasdaq 100's slump is not the only factor pointing to toward a new phase for the bull market. To be sure, even the late stage phases of a bull market can last for quite a while.
Persons: Raymond James, Javed Mirza, Mirza, Dow Jones Organizations: Nasdaq, TSX, Canadian
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - OCTOBER 16: Traders and others work on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) floor in New York City. U.S. stock futures ticked higher Sunday night after the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 notched their best weekly win streaks of 2024. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 0.13% and 0.16%, respectively. Roughly one-fifth of S&P 500 companies are set to report through Friday. Of the 14% of S&P 500 companies that have already posted third-quarter results, 79% have beaten expectations, according to FactSet's John Butters.
Persons: FactSet's John Butters, Sam Stovall Organizations: NEW, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, U.S, CFRA Research Locations: New York City . U.S
Both the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average surged to new record highs Friday, sealing six straight weeks of gains. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 36.86 points, or 0.09%, to end at 43,275.91. This marked the longest string of weekly advances in 2024 for both the Dow and S&P 500, which respectively ended 0.96% and 0.85% higher. Procter & Gamble also reported better-than-expected earnings, while revenue fell short of estimates. More than 70 S&P 500 companies have reported earnings this season.
Persons: Gamble, Rob Williams, we’re, , Williams, Donald Trump Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Netflix, Dow, Procter, Sage Advisory, Republican
Earnings next week will be key to where stocks head from here. While roughly one-tenth of S & P 500 companies reported over the past week, about 20% of the broader index plans to report next week. He noted that the S & P 500 is trading at a 40% premium to its long-term P/E ratio, while tech stocks are trading at upwards of 60%. For the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S & P 500 , it's the first such streak going back to December 2023. Meanwhile, the equal-weighted S & P 500 slightly outpaced the market-cap weighted benchmark this week, a bullish signal for sectors such as health care.
Persons: Sam Stovall, Stovall, FactSet's John Butters, Butters, it's, Tesla, Lockheed Martin, Russell, Nelson Yu, Harker Organizations: U.S, CFRA Research, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Lockheed, GE Aerospace, Business Machines, General Motors, Verizon Communications, United Parcel Services, Southwest Airlines, Nvidia, Philadelphia Reserve, Chicago, PMI, New, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Locations: Independence, Philadelphia, . Kansas
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - OCTOBER 16: Traders and others work on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) floor in New York City. This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. That's higher than both the 0.1% gain in August and the 0.3% Dow Jones forecast, according to the advance report. Meanwhile, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co's reported its third-quarter net revenue jumped 36% year on year, and revised its fourth-quarter revenue upward.
Persons: it's, Dow, Christine Lagarde's, Dow Jones Organizations: NEW, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, European Central Bank, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, U.S . Federal Reserve Locations: New York City, U.S
As the fourth quarter ramps up, several stocks have room to appreciate in coming months, according to Jefferies. Heading into the end of the year, Jefferies has updated its list of stock recommendations it calls its "franchise picks," spotlighting high-conviction, buy-rated names. "Higher reinvestment rates are correlated with better returns," Jefferies added. Their average price target of almost $24 implies roughly 10% upside – less than the nearly 26% that would result if Jefferies' target of $27 is reached. And Jefferies' target of $295 implies more than 17% upside from the current price.
Persons: Jefferies, Morgan Stanley, Wells, , Johnson Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, JPMorgan, Consumer, Johnson, PepsiCo, Sysco, Jefferies, ConocoPhillips, Port, North Field, Oil, Procter, Gamble, Colgate Locations: Wells Fargo, Alaska, Port Arthur, Texas, Qatar, Houston, LSEG, U.S, , New Jersey, Kenvue
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Better-than-expected growth for ChinaChina's third-quarter gross domestic product expanded by 4.6% year on year, according to the National Bureau of Statistics. Chinese and U.S. retail sales going strongChina's retail sales for September grew 3.2% from a year ago, said the National Bureau of Statistics. Across the Pacific Ocean, retail sales in the U.S. rose a seasonally adjusted 0.4% for September.
Persons: Dow Jones, Pat Gelsinger, Altera Organizations: CNBC, China, National Bureau of Statistics, Dow, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Intel, U.S . Federal Reserve Locations: U.S, Asia, Pacific, Shanghai
In this article KBE.IXIC.SPX.DJIASML-NLDAMZN.FTSEMS Follow your favorite stocks CREATE FREE ACCOUNTThe Morgan Stanley headquarters in New York, US, on Monday, Oct. 14, 2024. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Morgan Stanley , for one, reported third-quarter figures that surpassed earnings and revenue estimates. The bank's profit jumped 32% from a year ago, far outstripping the LSEG estimate and topping several other big banks' income growth. The investment banking business was a main source of profit for Morgan Stanley.
Persons: DJI ASML, Morgan Stanley, Michael Nagle, Piper Sandler, – CNBC's Hugh Son, Alex Harring, Jeff Cox, Lisa Kailai Han, Jesse Pound Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, U.S . Federal Reserve, P Bank ETF, UBS, U.S . Labor Department Locations: New York, Wall
Dow Jones Industrial Average futures sat near flat Thursday night after the blue-chip average finished the preceding session at a record closing level. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures were rose 0.1% and 0.2%, respectively. Those moves come after a rally in Travelers propelled the Dow to finish Thursday at an all-time closing high. The broad S&P 500 inched lower despite notching a fresh intraday high during the session, while the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite concluded modestly higher. That would mark the longest weekly winning streaks in 2024 for both the Dow and S&P 500.
Persons: Dow, They'll, Raphael Bostic, Neel Kashkari, Liz Young Thomas Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Netflix, Travelers, Dow, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Minneapolis Fed, American Express, Procter, Gamble
Since then, economists have been expecting an additional stimulus package worth up to 10 trillion yuan ($1.4 trillion) to restore bullishness in the world’s second-largest economy. Chinese Housing Minister Ni Hong attends a press conference on the property sector in Beijing, China, on October 17, 2024. Widespread concernThe ailing property sector is widely believed to lie at the root of China’s numerous economic woes. It also cut the reserve requirement ratio for banks by half a percentage point, which would free up about 1 trillion yuan ($142 billion) for new lending. The resulting crisis has resulted in a precipitous fall in real estate prices and loss of confidence among consumers.
Persons: Xi Jinping, Housing Ministry didn’t, Larry Hu, , , Ni, Minister Ni Hong, Florence Lo, Xiao Yuanqi, Pan Gongsheng Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Housing Ministry, Macquarie, CNN, ” Investors, Ministry of Housing, Ni Hong, Minister, Administration Locations: China, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Beijing
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Breather from rally U.S. markets fell Monday, weighed down by a drop in semiconductor stocks and a 8.1% slide in UnitedHealth . Tech stocks fell 6.36%, while telecoms stocks rose 1.97%. Indeed, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, who's a member of the Federal Open Market Committee this year, noted that the central bank is "a long way from where [rates are] likely to settle."
Persons: ASML, there's, They're, Michael Hartnett, Mary Daly, who's, Dow, Piper, Craig Johnson, , Jeff Cox, Samantha Subin, Yun Li, Lisa Kailai Han, Alex Harring Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, UBS, Tech, ASML's, Bloomberg, Nvidia, AMD, Semiconductor, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Dow, Survey, U.S . Federal Reserve, San Francisco Fed, Federal Locations: New York City, U.S, Tuesday's, Netherlands, ., Beijing
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - OCTOBER 16: Traders and others work on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) floor in New York City. U.S. stock futures hovered near the flatline Wednesday evening after the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at a record for the second time this week. Futures tied to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures fell around 0.1% each. The S&P 500 rose 0.47%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite added 0.28%. On the economic front, traders will be looking toward weekly jobless claims and September's retail sales due on Thursday.
Persons: Adam Crisafulli, It's, Morgan Stanley, Blackstone Organizations: NEW, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, Alcoa, Transport, CSX, Vital Knowledge, Travelers, Elevance, T Bank, Truist Locations: New York City . U.S
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