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☆ Dollar shines on US economic resilience; Aussie tumbles after employment data
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-17 | by ( Rae Wee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The Australian dollar tumbled after the country's July employment unexpectedly fell while its jobless rate ticked up more than expected. The Aussie sank nearly 1% after the release of the figures, dragging the New Zealand dollar alongside it. The yen bottomed out at 146.565 per dollar in early Asia trade, its lowest level since November, having come under renewed pressure as a result of interest rate differentials between the U.S. and Japan. "We've got the U.S. staying really resilient still, under the weight of high interest rates," said Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA). "We expect 25-basis-point rate hikes in both September and November, for a peak policy rate of 5.75%," said Wells Fargo economist Nick Bennenbroek of the Bank of England's monetary policy outlook.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, homebuilding, We've, Carol Kong, Kong, Wells, Nick Bennenbroek, Matt Simpson, there's, CBA's, Rae Wee, Gerry Doyle Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, dovish Bank of Japan, Aussie, New Zealand, U.S, Federal Reserve, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Fed, FX, Bank of England, Bank, Zealand, Reserve Bank of Australia, People's Bank of China, The U.S, Thomson Locations: Asia, Japan, China, CBA's Kong, The

☆ Gold at 5-month low as rallying U.S. yields bolster dollar
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Spot gold held its ground at $1,893 an ounce, as of 0335 GMT, having dropped to its weakest level since March 15 at $1,888.30. Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields hit a 10-month high, boosting the dollar to its highest level since mid-June and drawing investors away from non-interest-bearing gold. "Whilst the FOMC minutes saw the U.S. dollar and yields strengthen further to weigh on gold, there are tentative signs of stability for spot gold prices today," said Matt Simpson, a senior analyst at City Index. Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao says spot gold may fall to $1,879 per ounce, as it has broken two key supports. Upside to gold prices will likely need delivery of rate cuts expected in 2024, they added.

Persons: Matt Simpson, Wang Tao Organizations: Aurum, U.S ., Treasury, Federal Reserve, Reuters, NAB Commodities Research, Palladium

☆ Dollar shines on U.S. economic resilience, Aussie tumbles after employment data
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Hundred dollar bills are seen in this photo illustraiton in Warsaw, Poland on Sept. 21, 2022. The Australian dollar tumbled after the country's July employment unexpectedly fell while its jobless rate ticked up more than expected. The Aussie sank nearly 1% after the release of the figures, dragging the New Zealand dollar alongside it. "We've got the U.S. staying really resilient still, under the weight of high interest rates," said Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia, or CBA. "We expect 25-basis-point rate hikes in both September and November, for a peak policy rate of 5.75%," said Wells Fargo economist Nick Bennenbroek of the Bank of England's monetary policy outlook.

Persons: homebuilding, We've, Carol Kong, Kong, Wells, Nick Bennenbroek, Matt Simpson, there's, CBA's Organizations: dovish Bank of Japan, Aussie, New Zealand, U.S, Federal Reserve, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Fed, FX, Bank of England, Bank, Australian, Zealand, Reserve Bank of Australia, People's Bank of China, The U.S Locations: Warsaw, Poland, Asia, Japan, China, CBA's Kong, The

☆ Dollar firm, yuan slides after China unexpectedly cuts rates
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The safe-haven dollar stayed firm against major peers while the yuan sank to a nine-month trough after China's central bank unexpectedly cut key policy rates for a second time in three months on Tuesday to shore up the country's sputtering economy. Chinese data on industrial output and retail sales released shortly after the PBOC's rate cut also fell short of economists' forecasts. The Australian dollar , which often acts as a proxy trade on China, dipped as much as 0.39% to $0.6463 but failed to breach Monday's nine-month low of $0.6454. "There's a floor under (the Aussie dollar), and any rumors of stimulus could light the bullish match for these markets to bounce." Elsewhere, the U.S. dollar pushed to a fresh nine-month high of 145.60 yen before retreating to be down 0.09% at 145.435.

Persons: Matt Simpson Organizations: Reserve Bank, Australia's, U.S, Traders Locations: China

☆ Gold stays near 1-month lows as U.S. dollar, yields hold ground
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold are placed in a workroom at Krastsvetmet precious metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia, January 31, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander ManzyukGold prices held near one-month lows on Friday, shrugging off cooler-than-expected U.S. inflation figures for last month, with bullion staying on course to wrap up its worst week in seven as the U.S. dollar and bond yields stood strong. Spot gold edged 0.1% higher to $1,913.95 per ounce by 0347 GMT, but traded near its lowest level since July 7 touched earlier in the day. Interest rate increases weigh on gold because they tend to lift bond yields and in turn raise the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion. Gold prices have slid about 1.4% so far in the week as the U.S. dollar index and benchmark 10-year Treasury bond yields were both on track for their fourth consecutive weekly gain.

Persons: Alexander Manzyuk, Matt Simpson, Mary Daly Organizations: REUTERS, U.S ., City, U.S, Palladium Locations: Siberian, Krasnoyarsk, Russia, U.S

☆ Asian shares hesitant after Wall Street sell-off, dollar buoyant
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-03 | by ( Stella Qiu | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Both S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures added 0.2%, following a heavy wave of selling on Wall Street overnight. In Asia, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) slipped 0.2%, having also suffered a colossal drop of 2.3% just a day earlier. U.S. 10-year yields hovered at 4.0856% in Asia, just a touch below a nine-month top of 4.1260% hit overnight. The risk-sensitive Australia dollar snapped a key support level to hover at $0.6532, just a touch above its 2023 low of $0.6459. Brent crude futures were up 0.2% at $83.33 per barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 0.1% to $79.6.

Persons: Issei Kato, Fitch, Matt Simpson, nonfarm, Stella Qiu, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: REUTERS, Asia, Apple, Bank of, Nasdaq, Japan's Nikkei, Bank of Japan, Index, Inc, U.S, Bank of England, Brent, . West Texas, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, SYDNEY, Asia, Pacific, Brisbane, U.S

☆ Dollar shaky after US credit rating downgrade
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-02 | by ( Rae Wee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

U.S. Dollar banknote is seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. "We don't think the Fitch decision is that material. Elsewhere, the Japanese yen was roughly 0.1% stronger at 143.21 per dollar, paring some of its gains from earlier in the morning. "I think the market is still trying to get their head around what this whole thing means," said NAB's Catril. The New Zealand dollar fell 0.23% to $0.6136, after data on Wednesday showed the country's jobless rate hit a two-year high in the second quarter.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Fitch, Sterling, we've, Rodrigo Catril, NAB's Catril, Matt Simpson, Rae Wee, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: REUTERS, AAA, White, U.S, Fitch, National Australia Bank, NAB, Bank of Japan's, Reserve Bank of Australia, Index, New Zealand, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, States

☆ Dollar shaky after U.S. credit rating downgrade
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The dollar struggled to make headway on Wednesday after a cut on the U.S. government's top credit rating by Fitch raised questions about the country's fiscal outlook, though it drew some support from a relatively resilient run of economic data. "We don't think the Fitch decision is that material. Elsewhere, the Japanese yen was roughly 0.1% stronger at 143.21 per dollar, paring some of its gains from earlier in the morning. "I think the market is still trying to get their head around what this whole thing means," said NAB's Catril. The New Zealand dollar fell 0.23% to $0.6136, after data on Wednesday showed the country's jobless rate hit a two-year high in the second quarter.

Persons: Fitch, Sterling, we've, Rodrigo Catril, NAB's Catril, Matt Simpson Organizations: AAA, White, U.S, Fitch, National Australia Bank, NAB, Bank of Japan's, Reserve Bank of Australia, Index, New Zealand Locations: States

☆ Aussie set for biggest one-day drop since March, yen at 3-week low
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-01 | by ( Joice Alves | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The Aussie fell 1.4% to $0.6626, wiping out the 0.87% gains it clocked in July and set for its sharpest daily drop since March. "I think it was right that the RBA held today, given trimmed mean inflation and unemployment matched the RBA's forecasts. China's Caixin/S&P Global manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) missed analysts forecasts and showed the first decline in activity since April. The euro eased 0.2% to $1.0975, not too far from an almost three-week low touched on Friday. Money markets now see a 60% probability that the Bank of England will hike rates by 25 basis points on Thursday.

Persons: David Gray, Matt Simpson, Carlos Casanova, Kit Juckes, Sterling, Joice Alves, Ankur Banerjee, Alex Richardson, Hugh Lawson Organizations: REUTERS, Australian, Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank of Japan's, City, Federal, P Global, European Central Bank, ECB, Societe Generale, Bank of, Thomson Locations: Sydney, Australia, China, Asia, Hong Kong, U.S, Bank of England, London, Singapore

☆ Gold heads for monthly gain on hopes for an end to rate-hike cycle
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Bars of gold are seen at the Krastsvetmet company, one of the world's largest producers of precious metals in Moscow, Russia on January 31, 2023. Gold prices were bound for their biggest monthly gain in four on Monday as expectations grew that major global central banks may be nearing the end of current monetary policy tightening cycles. Spot gold was down 0.2% at $1,954.79 per ounce by 0431 GMT, while U.S. gold futures slipped 0.4% to $1,953.80 per ounce. Gold prices were set to end the month about 1.8% higher, the most since March, as expectations that U.S. interest rates could be nearing their peak put the dollar on track for its second straight monthly decline. Other precious metals also looked set to post monthly rises, with spot silver leading at 6.5%, but down 0.5% on the day at $24.22 an ounce.

Persons: Matt Simpson, Simpson, Baden Moore Organizations: Federal Reserve, Central Bank, National Australia Bank Locations: Moscow, Russia, China

☆ Reactions to Bank of Japan's monetary policy decision
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

July 28 (Reuters) - The Bank of Japan maintained ultra-low interest rates on Friday but took steps to make its yield curve control policy more flexible, underscoring growing concerns over the rising side- effects of prolonged monetary easing. It also maintained guidance allowing the 10-year yield to move 0.5% around the 0% target, but said those would be "references" rather than "rigid limits". The benchmark 10-year Japanese government bond yield remained at 0.5%, the BOJ's policy ceiling under YCC. "We maintain our view the BOJ will keep its ultra-easy monetary policy settings unchanged this year, and expect USD/JPY to remain solid at 140 by the end of this quarter." MOH SIONG SIM, CURRENCY STRATEGIST, BANK OF SINGAPORE, SINGAPORE"By the time the decision come in, we're not surprised given the overnight Nikkei report.

Persons: CAROL KONG, we're, It's, they're, MATT SIMPSON, Subhranshu Organizations: Bank of Japan, Japan's Nikkei, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF, BANK OF SINGAPORE, Nikkei, Thomson Locations: SYDNEY, SINGAPORE, BRISBANE

SummaryCompanies Alphabet climbs on Q2 profit beatMicrosoft slides as AI spending grows faster than revenueFed's rate decision awaited at 2:00 p.m. Meta Platforms <META.O> rose 1.8% after Alibaba's cloud unit said it would support the Facebook owner's open-source AI model Llama. The Fed is expected to deliver a 25-basis point interest rate hike later in the day, though there is less clarity over what the central bank will do at subsequent meetings. ET, Dow e-minis were down 65 points, or 0.18%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 7.25 points, or 0.16%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 43.75 points, or 0.28%. Wells Fargo (WFC.N) climbed 2.8% after the bank's board authorized a new share buyback program of up to $30 billion.

Persons: Joshua Warner, Stefan Koopman, Wells Fargo, Bansari Mayur Kamdar, Johann M, Savio D'Souza, Anil D'Silva Organizations: Microsoft, Dow, Nasdaq, Wall, Google, NYSE, Facebook, Rabobank, Dow e, Federal Trade Commission, Thomson Locations: Bengaluru

The euro slipped 0.25% against the dollar, government bond yields across the bloc edged lower while European stock markets dipped, with Spain's benchmark index down 0.65% in a clear underperformance. Meanwhile, U.S. stock futures , rose 0.2% and 0.3%, respectively, pointing to a positive open for Wall Street. With the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and Bank of Japan meeting this week, a note of caution underpinned the mood across global markets. The benchmarks continued their fourth straight of week of gains last week, as supply is expected to tighten following OPEC+ cuts. HOST OF EARNINGSOn top of central bank meetings and economic data, investors also braced for a slew of earnings from both sides of the Atlantic.

Persons: Kai Pfaffenbach, Bruno Schneller, Schneller, Eddie Cheng, Allspring's Cheng, SPAIN UNDERPERFORMS, Fiona Cincotta, Nell Mackenzie, Dhara, Wayne Cole, Amanda Cooper, Peter Graff Organizations: REUTERS, Nasdaq, Fed, ECB London, Wall, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and Bank of Japan, ECB, INVICO Asset Management, Bank of Japan, Japan's Nikkei, Allspring Global Investments, Brent, . West Texas, Intel, Microsoft, GE, Boeing, Exxon Mobil, Coca Cola, Ford, GM, U.S, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, Spain, U.S, Spain's, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Ukraine, Russia, China, SPAIN, SPAIN UNDERPERFORMS Spain, Sunday's, Basque, Catalan, Coca, London, SYDNEY

Shares of the electric car maker slid 3.1% in premarket trading after Musk's comments, even as Tesla beat quarterly profit estimates. Netflix (NFLX.O) fell 6.0% after the streaming video company's quarterly revenue forecast also fell short of estimates, while analysts said its new money-making ventures will take time to bring in returns. ET, Dow e-minis were up 61 points, or 0.17%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 4.25 points, or 0.09%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 98 points, or 0.61%. Investors also await weekly jobless claims data and existing home sales data for the month of June, due later in the day. Reporting by Bansari Mayur Kamdar and Johann M Cherian in Bengaluru; Editing by Dhanya Ann ThoppilOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Tesla, Johnson, Elon Musk, markdowns, Joshua Warner, Dow, Goldman Sachs, chipmaker TSMC, Bansari Mayur Kamdar, Johann M, Dhanya Ann Thoppil Organizations: Netflix, Dow, Nasdaq, U.S . Federal Reserve, Enterprise, IBM, Dow e, Airlines, Investors, Thomson Locations: U.S, Bengaluru

☆ Aussie surges after strong jobs data; China's yuan jumps
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-20 | by ( Rae Wee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

"Ultimately, it's another strong set of employment figures which keeps the pressure on a data-dependant (Reserve Bank of Australia) to potentially hike rates in August." The offshore yuan last bought 7.1901 per dollar, while the onshore yuan strengthened past 7.18 per dollar to a session-high of 7.1620. RATES OUTLOOKIn the broader currency market, sterling was nursing deep losses after a sharp fall in the previous session following Britain's inflation data, which undershot market expectations. "The market I think is a bit more reasonable now with its expectations for rate hikes by the BoE. "We thought (the fall) was too strong, so it looks like the dollar has regained some of those losses," said CBA's Capurso.

Persons: David Gray, Matt Simpson, it's, Ken Cheung, BoE, Joseph Capurso, Yannis Stournaras, CBA's Capurso, Rae Wee, Sam Holmes, Jamie Freed Organizations: REUTERS, Australian, New Zealand, Bank of Australia, prudential, U.S ., People's Bank of, Mizuho Bank, Bank of England, Traders, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Central Bank, U.S, Thomson Locations: Sydney, Australia, SINGAPORE, China, Asia

☆ Global shares rise, dollar rebounds as Fed seen on target for rate hike
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-18 | by ( Herbert Lash | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Retail sales increased 0.2% last month, the U.S. Commerce Department said, but core retail sales increased 0.6%, excluding automobiles, gasoline, building materials and food services. Headline data for May also was revised higher to show sales gaining 0.5% instead of 0.3% as previously reported. Asian stocks fell earlier in the session as markets caught up with growth data from Monday showing the post-pandemic bounce in China's economy was over. Besides the Fed, the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan also hold policy meetings next week. Expectations that the Fed and the ECB will diverge on rate hikes have caused the dollar to weaken recently.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Morgan Stanley, Jimmy Chang, Chang, J.P, Morgan, Fiona Cincotta, DAX, Brent, Herbert Lash, Elizabeth Howcroft, Selina Li, Chizu Nomiyama, Jonathan Oatis, Deepa Babington Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Bank, Federal, Bank of America, U.S . Commerce Department, Rockefeller, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Deutsche Bank, Citigroup, Fed, European Central Bank, Bank of, ECB, U.S, West Texas, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, New York, Europe, China, Germany, Bank of Japan, London, Hong Kong

☆ Global shares rise, US shares mixed as Fed seen on target for rate hike
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-18 | by ( Herbert Lash | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

[1/3] Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 7, 2023. Headline data for May also was revised higher to show sales gaining 0.5% instead of 0.3% as previously reported. Deutsche Bank said it was lowering its forecast for China's economic growth this year, following similar moves on Monday by J.P. Morgan, Morgan Stanley and Citigroup. Besides the Fed, the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan also hold policy meetings next week. Expectations that the Fed and the ECB will diverge on rate hikes have caused the dollar to weaken recently.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Dow Industrials, Thomas Hayes, Dow, Morgan Stanley, J.P, Morgan, Fiona Cincotta, DAX, Brent, Elizabeth Howcroft, Selina Li, Chizu Nomiyama, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Reserve, U.S . Commerce Department, Treasury, Dow, Nasdaq, Microsoft Corp, Amazon.com Inc, Apple Inc, Great, Great Hill Capital, Bank of America, Dow Jones, Deutsche Bank, Citigroup, Fed, European Central Bank, Bank of, ECB, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Great Hill, New York, Europe, China, Germany, Bank of Japan, Hong Kong

☆ Gold edges lower on slight dollar uptick
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices edged lower on Monday as the dollar inched up, although investors largely bet on the U.S. Federal Reserve hitting the brakes soon on interest rate hikes. Spot gold fell 0.1% to $1,952.74 per ounce by 0307 GMT, around $11 lower from the three-month high hit on Friday. "Whilst inflation remains high, markets are responding to the relative change over the absolute level of interest rates going forward. And if peak cycles are close, it is another supportive feature for gold, alongside central bank buying," Simpson added. Lower interest rates decrease the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion.

Persons: Matt Simpson, Simpson, Talim Organizations: Agosi AG, U.S . Federal Reserve, Index, Fed, European Central Bank, Hong, Japan's Nikkei Locations: Pforzheim, U.S, Europe, Hong Kong

☆ China’s Rebound Falters, Tripped Up by Debt and Weak Exports
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-16 | by ( Keith Bradsher | More About Keith Bradsher | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +5 min

China’s economy is flashing many warning signs. Weak spending is pushing China close to a dangerous trend known as deflation: Consumer prices are flat, and wholesale prices paid by companies are actually falling. “It’s not a strong recovery; the economy is quite weak,” said Wang Dan, the chief economist at Hang Seng Bank China. Some companies are also moving supply chains out of China, which will have a longer-lasting effect on exports, Mr. Fattal said. But a huge accumulation of debt, particularly at the level of local governments, has made that hard to do.

Persons: ”, Diana Choyleva, “ It’s, Wang Dan, Richard Fattal, Fattal, Lou Jiwei, Cui Dongshu, Fu Linghui, Lou, Ms, Wang, Li You Organizations: Enodo, National Bureau, Statistics, Investment, Hang Seng Bank China, National Bureau of Statistics, Administration, Customs, Companies, Workers, China, China Passenger Car Association Locations: Shanghai, London, China, Baoding, United States, Europe

☆ Gold set for best week since April on dollar drop
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold bars and gold coins of different sizes lie in a safe on a table at the precious metal dealer Pro Aurum. Spot gold was little changed at $1,959.81 per ounce by 0504 GMT, and up 1.9% for the week. Making gold less expensive for overseas investors, the dollar index touched its lowest level since April 2022. However, if the Fed does indicate more rate increases, "that could provide some nervousness (among gold investors)" Simpson added. Spot silver fell 0.2% to $24.8091 per ounce, but was set for its biggest weekly gain since March.

Persons: Gold's, Matt Simpson, Christopher Waller, Simpson, Tim Waterer Organizations: Aurum, City, Federal, KCM

☆ Dollar slides ahead of U.S. inflation data, sterling hits 15-month peak
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

An old British £1 note is pictured with a one Dollar bill note on January 07, 2023 in Bath, England. U.S. inflation data is due later on Wednesday, with expectations core consumer prices rose 5% on an annual basis in June. The figures should also provide further clarity on the Federal Reserve's progress in its fight against inflation. "We're already seeing markets move in anticipation of a softer U.S. inflation report," said Matt Simpson, senior market analyst at City Index. "Speculation of a possible tweak could allow the yen some support ahead of the BOJ meeting this month."

Persons: BoE, Matt Simpson, Simpson, YCC, Jane Foley, that's, Susan Kilsby Organizations: Bank of England, U.S ., Fed, Bank of Japan, Rabobank, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New, ANZ Locations: Bath, England, U.S, Tuesday's, Asia, Reserve Bank of New Zealand

☆ Dollar slumps ahead of US inflation data, sterling rises
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-12 | by ( Rae Wee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

"The (RBNZ) statement and minutes retained their dovish undertone overall, but they can't not warn that inflation is still 'too high' as they need to contain inflation expectations," said Matt Simpson, senior market analyst at City Index. The broader market focus remained on U.S. inflation data due later on Wednesday, with expectations for core consumer prices to have risen 5% on an annual basis in June. "We're already seeing markets move in anticipation of a softer U.S. inflation report," said City Index's Simpson. U.S. Treasury yields came under pressure on Wednesday, with the two-year yield and benchmark 10-year yield settling below 5% and 4%, respectively. "Speculation of a possible tweak could allow the (yen) some support ahead of the BOJ meeting this month."

Persons: BoE, Matt Simpson, we've, Index's Simpson, Sterling, YCC, Jane Foley, Rae Wee, Jamie Freed, Edmund Klamann Organizations: Bank of England, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, U.S ., Fed, BoE . U.S, Treasury, Bank of Japan, Rabobank, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, U.S, Asia, BoE .

SummaryCompanies JPMorgan gains on Jefferies' upgrade ahead of earningsMegacaps recover after dip ahead of Nasdaq 100 rebalanceFutures up: Dow 0.02%, S&P 0.11%, Nasdaq 0.16%July 11 (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures inched higher on Tuesday ahead of key inflation data that could support a sooner-than-expected end to the Federal Reserve's rapid interest-rate hikes. "The big-cap Nasdaq index is going to adjust weightings vs. a full addition or deletion. Also, far more money tracks the S&P 500, which is why S&P 500 component changes get a lot more attention than Nasdaq 100 moves." The S&P 500 banks index (.SPXBK) has shed 9% so far this year in the aftermath of the biggest crisis since 2008 that pummeled regional lenders. The sub-index is underperforming the benchmark S&P 500 index (.SPX), which has notched a 14.9% gain.

Persons: Joshua Warner, Hogan, Jefferies, Johann M Cherian, Shinjini Ganguli, Arun Koyyur Organizations: JPMorgan, Jefferies, Nasdaq, Dow, Federal, Fed, Index, Treasury, Nasdaq Inc, Riley, Dow e, JPMorgan Chase, Zions Bancorp, Truist, Thomson Locations: U.S, Bengaluru

Spot gold held its ground at $1,926.19 per ounce by 0231 GMT. The dollar (.DXY) was near a two-month low on prospects of lower rates, while benchmark U.S. yields hovered near Monday's lows at 4.0018%. A weaker dollar makes gold cheaper for holders of foreign currencies. "As we've become accustomed to inflation decelerating, an upside surprise would spark the most volatile reaction and weigh on gold. Gold bulls need inflation to behave to justify a bullish breakout," Simpson added.

Persons: Matt Simpson, we've, Simpson, Seher, Sherry Jacob, Phillips Organizations: Index, U.S, Investors, U.S . CPI, Consumer, Thomson Locations: Wednesday's U.S, China, Bengaluru

Compounding worries that this would lead to a more hawkish central bank, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Lorie Logan said on Thursday that a continued above-target inflation outlook and a stronger-than-expected labor market "calls for more-restrictive monetary policy." U.S. Treasury yields climbed after the labor market data boosted expectations for aggressive Fed rate hikes to rein in stubbornly high inflation. Emerging market stocks (.MSCIEF) lost 1.88%. In Treasuries 2-year Treasury yields rose above 5% for the first time since early March and touched their highest levels since June 2007. In currencies, the dollar index fell 0.048%, with the euro up 0.13% at $1.0865.

Persons: Lorie Logan, Alex Coffey, Coffey, Sterling, Janet Yellen, Matt Simpson, Brent, Sinéad Carew, Marc Jones, Clarence Fernandez, Hugh Lawson, Richard Chang Organizations: ADP, The Labor Department, Federal Reserve Bank, Dallas, Treasury, U.S, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Japan's Nikkei, Reuters Graphics Reuters Graphics CHIPPING, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Asia, Pacific, Japan, United States, Europe, China, Beijing, New York, London

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