As politicians sleepwalk toward a potential debt ceiling crisis, financial markets have begun pricing in a small — but growing — chance of a disastrous default.
“The probability of default has gone up noticeably,” Andy Sparks, head of portfolio management research at MSCI, told CNN in an interview.
Yellen has used unusually strong language for a former central banker to warn Congress against messing with the debt ceiling.
Asked about MSCI’s estimate of a 2% implied probability of a default, Valliere said that number is low.
But this is not a typical debt ceiling debate.”Fallback optionsThere are some early indicators of concern popping up in the bond market.